Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part II
Firstly, thanks for the overwhelming comments and feedback. Genuinely really appreciated. I am pleased 500+ of you find it useful. If you didn't read the first post you can do so here: risk management part I. You'll need to do so in order to make sense of the topic. As ever please comment/reply below with questions or feedback and I'll do my best to get back to you. Part II
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns
Letting stops breathe
We talked earlier about giving a position enough room to breathe so it is not stopped out in day-to-day noise. Let’s consider the chart below and imagine you had a trailing stop. It would be super painful to miss out on the wider move just because you left a stop that was too tight. Imagine being long and stopped out on a meaningless retracement ... ouch! One simple technique is simply to look at your chosen chart - let’s say daily bars. And then look at previous trends and use the measuring tool. Those generally look something like this and then you just click and drag to measure. For example if we wanted to bet on a downtrend on the chart above we might look at the biggest retracement on the previous uptrend. That max drawdown was about 100 pips or just under 1%. So you’d want your stop to be able to withstand at least that. If market conditions have changed - for example if CVIX has risen - and daily ranges are now higher you should incorporate that. If you know a big event is coming up you might think about that, too. The human brain is a remarkable tool and the power of the eye-ball method is not to be dismissed. This is how most discretionary traders do it. There are also more analytical approaches. Some look at the Average True Range (ATR). This attempts to capture the volatility of a pair, typically averaged over a number of sessions. It looks at three separate measures and takes the largest reading. Think of this as a moving average of how much a pair moves. For example, below shows the daily move in EURUSD was around 60 pips before spiking to 140 pips in March. Conditions were clearly far more volatile in March. Accordingly, you would need to leave your stop further away in March and take a correspondingly smaller position size. ATR is available on pretty much all charting systems Professional traders tend to use standard deviation as a measure of volatility instead of ATR. There are advantages and disadvantages to both. Averages are useful but can be misleading when regimes switch (see above chart). Once you have chosen a measure of volatility, stop distance can then be back-tested and optimised. For example does 2x ATR work best or 5x ATR for a given style and time horizon? Discretionary traders may still eye-ball the ATR or standard deviation to get a feeling for how it has changed over time and what ‘normal’ feels like for a chosen study period - daily, weekly, monthly etc.
Reasons to change a stop
As a general rule you should be disciplined and not change your stops. Remember - losers average losers. This is really hard at first and we’re going to look at that in more detail later. There are some good reasons to modify stops but they are rare. One reason is if another risk management process demands you stop trading and close positions. We’ll look at this later. In that case just close out your positions at market and take the loss/gains as they are. Another is event risk. If you have some big upcoming data like Non Farm Payrolls that you know can move the market +/- 150 pips and you have no edge going into the release then many traders will take off or scale down their positions. They’ll go back into the positions when the data is out and the market has quietened down after fifteen minutes or so. This is a matter of some debate - many traders consider it a coin toss and argue you win some and lose some and it all averages out. Trailing stops can also be used to ‘lock in’ profits. We looked at those before. As the trade moves in your favour (say up if you are long) the stop loss ratchets with it. This means you may well end up ‘stopping out’ at a profit - as per the below example. The mighty trailing stop loss order It is perfectly reasonable to have your stop loss move in the direction of PNL. This is not exposing you to more risk than you originally were comfortable with. It is taking less and less risk as the trade moves in your favour. Trend-followers in particular love trailing stops. One final question traders ask is what they should do if they get stopped out but still like the trade. Should they try the same trade again a day later for the same reasons? Nope. Look for a different trade rather than getting emotionally wed to the original idea. Let’s say a particular stock looked cheap based on valuation metrics yesterday, you bought, it went down and you got stopped out. Well, it is going to look even better on those same metrics today. Maybe the market just doesn’t respect value at the moment and is driven by momentum. Wait it out. Otherwise, why even have a stop in the first place?
Entering and exiting winning positions
Take profits are the opposite of stop losses. They are also resting orders, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. Imagine I’m long EURUSD at 1.1250. If it hits a previous high of 1.1400 (150 pips higher) I will leave a sell order to take profit and close the position. The rookie mistake on take profits is to take profit too early. One should start from the assumption that you will win on no more than half of your trades. Therefore you will need to ensure that you win more on the ones that work than you lose on those that don’t. Sad to say but incredibly common: retail traders often take profits way too early This is going to be the exact opposite of what your emotions want you to do. We are going to look at that in the Psychology of Trading chapter. Remember: let winners run. Just like stops you need to know in advance the level where you will close out at a profit. Then let the trade happen. Don’t override yourself and let emotions force you to take a small profit. A classic mistake to avoid. The trader puts on a trade and it almost stops out before rebounding. As soon as it is slightly in the money they spook and cut out, instead of letting it run to their original take profit. Do not do this.
Entering positions with limit orders
That covers exiting a position but how about getting into one? Take profits can also be left speculatively to enter a position. Sometimes referred to as “bids” (buy orders) or “offers” (sell orders). Imagine the price is 1.1250 and the recent low is 1.1205. You might wish to leave a bid around 1.2010 to enter a long position, if the market reaches that price. This way you don’t need to sit at the computer and wait. Again, typically traders will use tech analysis to identify attractive levels. Again - other traders will cluster with your orders. Just like the stop loss we need to bake that in. So this time if we know everyone is going to buy around the recent low of 1.1205 we might leave the take profit bit a little bit above there at 1.1210 to ensure it gets done. Sure it costs 5 more pips but how mad would you be if the low was 1.1207 and then it rallied a hundred points and you didn’t have the trade on?! There are two more methods that traders often use for entering a position. Scaling in is one such technique. Let’s imagine that you think we are in a long-term bulltrend for AUDUSD but experiencing a brief retracement. You want to take a total position of 500,000 AUD and don’t have a strong view on the current price action. You might therefore leave a series of five bids of 100,000. As the price moves lower each one gets hit. The nice thing about scaling in is it reduces pressure on you to pick the perfect level. Of course the risk is that not all your orders get hit before the price moves higher and you have to trade at-market. Pyramiding is the second technique. Pyramiding is for take profits what a trailing stop loss is to regular stops. It is especially common for momentum traders. Pyramiding into a position means buying more as it goes in your favour Again let’s imagine we’re bullish AUDUSD and want to take a position of 500,000 AUD. Here we add 100,000 when our first signal is reached. Then we add subsequent clips of 100,000 when the trade moves in our favour. We are waiting for confirmation that the move is correct. Obviously this is quite nice as we humans love trading when it goes in our direction. However, the drawback is obvious: we haven’t had the full amount of risk on from the start of the trend. You can see the attractions and drawbacks of both approaches. It is best to experiment and choose techniques that work for your own personal psychology as these will be the easiest for you to stick with and build a disciplined process around.
Risk:reward and win ratios
Be extremely skeptical of people who claim to win on 80% of trades. Most traders will win on roughly 50% of trades and lose on 50% of trades. This is why risk management is so important! Once you start keeping a trading journal you’ll be able to see how the win/loss ratio looks for you. Until then, assume you’re typical and that every other trade will lose money. If that is the case then you need to be sure you make more on the wins than you lose on the losses. You can see the effect of this below. A combination of win % and risk:reward ratio determine if you are profitable A typical rule of thumb is that a ratio of 1:3 works well for most traders. That is, if you are prepared to risk 100 pips on your stop you should be setting a take profit at a level that would return you 300 pips. One needn’t be religious about these numbers - 11 pips and 28 pips would be perfectly fine - but they are a guideline. Again - you should still use technical analysis to find meaningful chart levels for both the stop and take profit. Don’t just blindly take your stop distance and do 3x the pips on the other side as your take profit. Use the ratio to set approximate targets and then look for a relevant resistance or support level in that kind of region.
Risk-adjusted returns
Not all returns are equal. Suppose you are examining the track record of two traders. Now, both have produced a return of 14% over the year. Not bad! The first trader, however, made hundreds of small bets throughout the year and his cumulative PNL looked like the left image below. The second trader made just one bet — he sold CADJPY at the start of the year — and his PNL looked like the right image below with lots of large drawdowns and volatility. Would you rather have the first trading record or the second? If you were investing money and betting on who would do well next year which would you choose? Of course all sensible people would choose the first trader. Yet if you look only at returns one cannot distinguish between the two. Both are up 14% at that point in time. This is where the Sharpe ratio helps . A high Sharpe ratio indicates that a portfolio has better risk-adjusted performance. One cannot sensibly compare returns without considering the risk taken to earn that return. If I can earn 80% of the return of another investor at only 50% of the risk then a rational investor should simply leverage me at 2x and enjoy 160% of the return at the same level of risk. This is very important in the context of Execution Advisor algorithms (EAs) that are popular in the retail community. You must evaluate historic performance by its risk-adjusted return — not just the nominal return. Incidentally look at the Sharpe ratio of ones that have been live for a year or more ... Otherwise an EA developer could produce two EAs: the first simply buys at 1000:1 leverage on January 1st ; and the second sells in the same manner. At the end of the year, one of them will be discarded and the other will look incredible. Its risk-adjusted return, however, would be abysmal and the odds of repeated success are similarly poor.
Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio works like this:
It takes the average returns of your strategy;
It deducts from these the risk-free rate of return i.e. the rate anyone could have got by investing in US government bonds with very little risk;
It then divides this total return by its own volatility - the more smooth the return the higher and better the Sharpe, the more volatile the lower and worse the Sharpe.
For example, say the return last year was 15% with a volatility of 10% and US bonds are trading at 2%. That gives (15-2)/10 or a Sharpe ratio of 1.3. As a rule of thumb a Sharpe ratio of above 0.5 would be considered decent for a discretionary retail trader. Above 1 is excellent. You don’t really need to know how to calculate Sharpe ratios. Good trading software will do this for you. It will either be available in the system by default or you can add a plug-in.
VAR
VAR is another useful measure to help with drawdowns. It stands for Value at Risk. Normally people will use 99% VAR (conservative) or 95% VAR (aggressive). Let’s say you’re long EURUSD and using 95% VAR. The system will look at the historic movement of EURUSD. It might spit out a number of -1.2%. A 5% VAR of -1.2% tells you you should expect to lose 1.2% on 5% of days, whilst 95% of days should be better than that This means it is expected that on 5 days out of 100 (hence the 95%) the portfolio will lose 1.2% or more. This can help you manage your capital by taking appropriately sized positions. Typically you would look at VAR across your portfolio of trades rather than trade by trade. Sharpe ratios and VAR don’t give you the whole picture, though. Legendary fund manager, Howard Marks of Oaktree, notes that, while tools like VAR and Sharpe ratios are helpful and absolutely necessary, the best investors will also overlay their own judgment. Investors can calculate risk metrics like VaR and Sharpe ratios (we use them at Oaktree; they’re the best tools we have), but they shouldn’t put too much faith in them. The bottom line for me is that risk management should be the responsibility of every participant in the investment process, applying experience, judgment and knowledge of the underlying investments.Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital What he’s saying is don’t misplace your common sense. Do use these tools as they are helpful. However, you cannot fully rely on them. Both assume a normal distribution of returns. Whereas in real life you get “black swans” - events that should supposedly happen only once every thousand years but which actually seem to happen fairly often. These outlier events are often referred to as “tail risk”. Don’t make the mistake of saying “well, the model said…” - overlay what the model is telling you with your own common sense and good judgment.
Coming up in part III
Available here Squeezes and other risks Market positioning Bet correlation Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits *** Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
Note: The mention of O levels and A levels throughout the post refers to the British patterned system of education. O levels is equivalent to the 9th and 10th grade and Alevels is equivalent to the 11th and 12th grade in the American High School System Hi, I am a Pakistani guy currently on a gap year after doing A levels from one of the most prestigious schools in the country on a 100% scholarship. I did my O levels from a very less renowned school because of my financial condition but my grades allowed me admission into my A levels school. That is why most of my ECAS were done in the last 2 years. I am looking to apply to the following international universities with full scholarship/financial aid: Majors Intended: Computer Science / Data Science / Artificial Intelligence Universities: NYUAD (ED), Duke, Rice, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Case Western Reserve University, Washington and Lee, Colby, Skidmore, CMU Qatar, Georgetown Qatar, NTU, HKUST, HKU, CityU Academics
Valedictorian in O levels with the grades 8A*s,2As and a GPA of 4.33
Valedictorian in A levels with the grades 5A*s and a GPA of 4.33 from a Top 5 school in the country
Took the subjects Math, Additional Math, Biology, Chemistry, Physics, English and Accounting along with other compulsory subjects in O levels
Took the subjects Math, Further Math, Physics, Economics and Accounting in A levels. The subject Further Math comprises mostly of university-level courses relating to Linear Algebra, Calculus, Mechanics and Statistics. My course load is counted as one of the heaviest one in the British education system
Test Scores
SAT:1570 800 Math, 770 EBRW
SAT II Math Level II: 790
SAT II Physics: 800
Extra-Curriculars / Awards
Head of the most reputed STEM club in the country, CORDS
Won 4 highly prestigious National Stem Olympiads winning 10+ category awards. Led the team in one of them
Performed my duties as the Computer Science and Cryptography category head at the National STEM Olympiad Scinnova organized by our club
Was selected as the captain of the team that represented our school in the National Science Bowl
Received Bronze honour in the International Youth Math Challenge
Taught Math and Further Math to students after being selected as the Teacher's Assistant in Senior Year
Did a 2-month Data Analyst Internship for a financial advisory firm. Analyzed the performance of a stock listed company over the last 5 years and prepared a report explaining the trends in the performances with regards to the micro and macro economic factors. My report was recognized as the top one amongst the reports of other interns
Taught 50+ hours of Math, English and Urdu to the support staff of our school
Currently doing a Front End Developer internship under the mentorship of a company
Creating and Reviewing content for 3 months as the Algebra and Statistics Math Expert for the app of a San Fransisco based company named Photomath. The app has over 150 million downloads over all platforms
An academic councilor at an app based startup named Nemphis
Moderator in the largest online O/A Levels online community. Have written several articles helping students with Alevels, SATs, MOOCs and more. Councelled over 200 students privately
Currently authoring a python library for analyzing WhatsApp text messages using statistical visualizations and word clouds
Top 2% in the world on the competitive programming website codewars.com
Programmed several automated forex trading expert advisors using the MQL4 language for a client
Developed several python based web apps including Scrabble Solver, Cryptography Tool and more
Did a 23 course + 6 project Data Scientist with Python track from Datacamp
Did a 5 course SQL Fundamentals track from Datacamp
Have done several other MOOC's relating to Python, Machine Learning, Data Science etc
An active user on the data science platform Kaggle
I assume those of you on this sub are investing, not gambling. I also assume that y'all care about risk. If so, please read on. I feel like several times a day I see a "portfolio" advice post for "portfolios" that is 100% tech. IMO, these portfolios will perform poorly and have extreme amounts of risk. In a loose sense, portfolios seek to balance many different equities to achieve an optimal risk/reward. This is done through diversification. If you're 100% tech (especially if it's only US tech) you have little to no diversification. If you want extreme risk, you're better off trading individual stock, options or even FOREX. Why: There is a reasonable chance of a tech correction
Tech has all the hallmarks of another bubble tech
Many people are buying now only because yesterday's price was lower
Fundamentals are making less and less sense
It's happened before
The tech boom makes sense (I've pointed this out many times on this sub)
Cisco system was the highest valued company in 2000, today's it barely in the top 30. For example, if you bought 100 shares of Cisco in July 2000 it would have cost you ~$7000, by July 2001 100 shares was worth ~$2000. Even scarier, if you held for 20 years, 100 shares are worth ~$4000 today. You're still in the hole, big time!
This is a great example, as many over-valued tech companies, Tesla, Apple, etc... Will not go bankrupt, but they might be smaller.
Will all this actually happen?: Maybe, maybe not. I just wanted to show y'all that it's not unreasonable. Hence you must diversify to minimize downside risk. What to do :
Take a profit on some of the tech and diversify!
You can do this simply with some VTI and VXUS.
You can do this more complexly with non-tech cyclicals, fin sector, some REITs, internal funds.
Don't stop tech buying. If you believe in tech, keep buying! Just do so in a sensible way. Don't put all your money on black and cross your fingers. That's gambling and you're smart; you're buying ETFs cause you don't wanna gamble!
Even the pros love tech, but they're not 100% tech: https://wallethub.com/edu/hedge-fund-stocks/38113/ I'm long tech, buy it frequently and it makes up ~15-20% of my portfolio. Edit: Nice example, I looked at what happened right before the last tech crash:
A 50-50 portfolio of Tech and SPY dominates Tech or Spy on it's own
This backtest assumes that tech will bust soon and decrease dramatically; probably not realistic.
Play with the dates as you wish. However, even if you bought tech at the exact right time, i.e. Mid-1999, you'll see returns of the 50-50 mix is still good (though less than tech only), but with significant less variance. Also, don't forget tech ETFs can have hefty expense ratios which eat at CAGR.
For a quick, easier search - http://www.isthisanmlm.com/ has compiled this whole thread. Special thanks to u/SHIFTnSPACE. - This is now a part of the sidebar as a button widget!
What is an MLM?
Multi-level marketing (MLM), also called pyramid selling, network marketing, and referral marketing, is a marketing strategy for the sale of products or services where the revenue of the MLM company is derived from a non-salaried workforce selling the company's products/services, while the earnings of the participants are derived from a pyramid-shaped or binary compensation commission system. THIS LIST MAY CONTAIN COMPANIES THAT HAVE PREVIOUSLY HAD MLM BRANCH BUT MAY NO LONGER HAVE ONE. If you see a company and are not sure that it belongs on this list, please reach out. I have compiled this list from the sources listed at the bottom along with input from community members. This list may not be 100% accurate but the goal is to get it as close as possible. 31 - Bags 5Linx - Home & Business Services Abby & Anna - Clothing ACAN Pacific - Utilities ACN - Utilities ActiLabs - Skincare/Health Adornable.U - Accessories Advocare - Dietary Supplements AeroGrow - Garden Tools Agnes & Dora - Clothing AIM Global - Nutritional Supplements Akasuka (Japan) - Alcone - Beauty Alice's Table - Flower Arrangement Classes All'asta - Home Goods Allysian Sciences - Aloe Vera of America (Young Living) - Nutritional Supplements Aloette - Beauty Alphay Int - Nutritional Supplements AlureVe - Skincare/Health Amare Global - Nutritional Supplements Ambit - Utilities Amelia James - Ameo - Essential Oils American Income Life - Financial Amsoil - Motor Oil Amway - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Ann Summers - Product Ann Summers (UK) - Adult Novelties Anorak (UK) - Home Goods Anran (China) - Apollo (India) - Juice Apriori - Skincare/Health AquaSource UK - Nutritional Supplements Arbonne - Skincare/Health ARIIX - Water Purification Arsoa Honsha (Japan) - Fitness/Weight Loss Asea Global - Nutritional Supplements Asirvia (shut down) - Marketing Aspire/Digital Altitude - Marketing ATC Coin - Crypto Currency Athena's - Adult Novelties Atomy - Skincare/Health Ava Anderson - Ava Rose - Clot Avisae - Weight Loss Avon - Beauty b:hip Global - Health Bachar Nutrition - Nutritional Supplements Bamboo Pink - Jewelry Barefoot Books - Books Bath.Ologie - Bath Bombs Beach Body - Fitness/Weight Loss Videos BearCereju (Japan) - Cosmetics BeautiControl - Beauty Counter - Cosmetics Beauty Society - Beauty beCAUSE Cosmetics - Cosmetics Become International (US & AUS) - Cosmetics Bedroom Kandi - Adult Novelties Beever (UK) - Hair Care BelCorp (Latin America) - Cosmetics Bellame - Skincare/Health Bemer - Appliances Better Way Design/Imports - Clothing Biogreen Argentina - BioPerformance - Automotive (Fuel Pills) Bod-e Pro - Nutritional Supplements Body by Vi/Visalus - Health Body Shop at Home - Beauty Boisset Collection - Wine Boston Finney (shut down) - Bounce Life/Network - Insurance Bud Star (Canada) - CBD/THC Products BurnLounge (shut down as pyramid scheme by FTC in 2012) - Buskins - Clothing Butterfly Beauty - Cosmetics Cabi - Clothing Cambridge Weight Plan/Diet - Dietary Supplements CAN - Utilities Captain Tortue - Clothing Carico Int - Home Goods Celebrating Home - Home Goods Cellements - Skincare/Health CEO Movement (Not MLM but scammy) - Chalk Couture - Chalkboard Signs Chalky & Co - Home Goods Chandeal (Japan) - Clothing Charle (Japan) - Clothing Charlie's Project - Clothing Chef's Toolbox (AUS) (Insolvency) - Kitchen Accessories Cherish Natural Products - Chloe & Isabel - Jewelry Clever Container - Home Goods Close to My Heart - Scrapbooking Cloud 9 Parties - Adult Novelties Cobra Group/Appco - Cocoa Exchange - Food Color by Amber - Jewelry Color Happy - Color Street - Nail Wraps Colour Me Beautiful (UK) - Clothing Compelling Creations - Jewelry Conklin - Roofing Cookie Lee (shut down) - Cosway (Malaysia) - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Country Scents - Product/Candles Create Your Life - Health Creative Memories - Scrapbooking Credit Repair USA - Financial Crunchi - Cosmetics Cutco - Knives CVSL - Multiple Companies Daisy Blue Naturals - Personal Care Damsel in Defense - Product/Self Defense Darceys - Candles David Lerner Associates, INC - Financial Dazzle and Daze - Clothing Deutsche vermögensberatung/Dvag (Germany) - Financial Diana (Japan) - Dione Cosmetics - Cosmetics Direct Cellars/DC Nation - Wine Discovery Toys - Educational Toys Divvee/Nui - Dot Dot Smile - Clothing DoTERRA - Health/Oils Du Northing Designs - Clothing Dubli Network - Financial Dudley Beauty - Cosmetics DXN - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Dynamic Essentials - EcoWarehouse - Home Goods Elepreneuer - Elk River Soaps - Personal Care Ella Tina - Clothing Elli Kai - Clothing Elvacity - Nutritional Supplements EmGoldEx/Global Intergold - Enagic/Kangen Water - Ionized Water Endless Xpressions - Clothing/Accessories Enersource Int - Nutritional Supplements Enjo (AUS) - Cleaning Producs Envy Jewelry - Jewelry Epicure (Canada) - Food Equinox International (dissolved in 2001) - Ergo (Germany) - Insurance Essante Organics - Essential Bodywear - Clothing European Grouping of Marketing Professionals/CEDIPAC SA (dissolved 1995) - European Home Retail (dissolved 2007) - Evanescence Network - Health EVER Skincare - Skincare/Health Evolution Travel - Product EvolvHealth - Health Faberlic (Russia) - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Family First Life - Insurance Family Heritage Insurance - Insurance Fantasia - Adult Novelties Fantasia (Canada) - Adult Novelties Farmasi - FES Connect - Financial Fibi & Clo - Footwear Fifth Ave Collection - Jewelry First Fitness Nutrition - Dietary Supplements Fit4Mom - Clothing FITTEAM Global - Dietary Supplements Flamingo Paperie - Art Fleuresse - FM World (UK) - For Tails Only - Pet Supplies Forever Living - Health/Oils Forex Education (iMarkets Live branch) - Crypto Forex Entourage - Financial Fortune Hi-Tech Marketing (dissolved 2013) - Four Oceans - Health Fragant Jewels - Bathbombs FreeLife - Nutritional Supplements Frontrow - Fuel Freedom Int - Automotive Fund America (Bankrupt 1990) - Gano Excel - Nutritional Supplements GelMoment - Beauty Gemstra - Jewelry Genesis Pure - Nutritional Supplements Global Legacy Initiative - GoDesana - Pet Gold Canyon - Product/Candles Golden Days (China) - Health Grace & Heart - Jewelry Green HoriZen - CBD Greeting Cake Company - Cake Kits H2O At Home - Personal Care Hale - CBD Oil Hanky Panky Parties (Canada) - Adult Novelties Happy Coffee - Coffee Harvard Risk Management (Legal Shield) - Hayward's Gourmet Popcorn - Food HB Naturals - Health He(L)o - Health Healthy Peach - Dietary Supplements Heavenly Chia - Food Heka Corp - Fitness Helo Wristbands - Health HempWorx - Health Herbalife - Health Heritage Makers - Scrapbooking Hinode - Cosmetics Holiday Magic (shut down) - Home Interiors - Home Goods Honey - Beauty Honey & Lace - Clothing Hualin Biotech (China) - Health iCoinPro - Crypto Currency ID Life - Health Igniting Passion (Canada) - Adult Novelties iMarketsLive - Financial Trading Software Immunotec - Health Imperial Candles (UK) - Candles In a Pikle - Bags Income Advantage - India Hicks - Product/Accessories Infinitus - Health Initials, Inc - Bags Inkd Up Nails - Beauty innov8tive nutrition - Nutritional Supplements InteleTravel - Travel Intimo (AUS/NZ) - Adult Novelties Isagenix - Dietary Supplements ItWorks! - Health J. Elizabeth - Clothing J. Hilburn - Clothing J.R Watkins - Jafra - Beauty Jamberry - Beauty Jamby - Clothing Jamie at Home (shut down) - Janice Collection - Home Goods Java Momma - Coffee Javita - Coffee Jbloom - Jewelry Jequiti - Cosmetics Jerky Direct - Jeunesse - Beauty Jewel Kade (31) - Jewelry Jewelscent - Product/Candles JK Apparel (Canada) - Clothing Jordan Essentials - Beauty JoyMain (China) - Health Joyome (Plexus) - Beauty JuicePlus - Nutritional Supplements Jump Natural - Health Kaesar & Blair - Kalaia - Skincare/Health Kalo & Co - Pearl/Jewelry Kangen Water - Kannaway - CBD Oil Karat Bars - Gold Kaszazz - Scrapbooking Keep Collective - Jewelry Keep Me Safe - Cos KETO (Pruvit) - Keto Coffee - Coffee Ketones - Health Kirby - Vacuums Kleeneze - Home Goods Kobold (Vorwerk) - Kyani - Health Labella Baskets - Home Goods Lady Godiva Beauty - Cosmetics Lavylites - Beauty L'BRI - Beauty LeadUp Consulting - Legal Shield - Legal Services LegArt (Canada) - Leggings Legend Age (China) - Legging Army - Clothing Legging Girl - Clothing Lemongrass Spa - Beauty LeReve (Canada) - Cosmetics Le-Vel (Thrive) - Health Lia Sophia (dissolved) - Jewelry Life Abundance - Pet LIFE Leadership - Financial Life Tree World - Food LifeBrook - LifePlus (US/Germany) - Dietary Supplements Life's Abundance - Pet Supplies LifeVantage - Dietary Supplements Lilla Rose - Jewelry Limelife - Skincare/Health Limu - Health Limu - Nutritional Supplements Linen World - Home Goods Lion Crown - Lipsense - Beauty Liv International - Travel Live Sore - Clothing Longabeger Company - Baskets Longrich (China) - Beauty Lorraine Lee Linen - Home Goods Love Winx - Adult Novelties LR Beauty & Health - Beauty LuLaRoe - Clothing Lulu Ave - Jewelry Luminess - Cosmetics Lyconet/Lyoness - Lyoness - Financial M. Global (Jamberry) - Jewelry M. Network - Nutritional Supplements Maelle Beauty - Beauty Magnabilities - Jewelry Magnolia & Vine - Jewelry Makeup Eraser - Cosmetics Man Cave - Kitchen Accessories Mannatech - Dietary Supplements Mark. - Financial Market America - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Marly Ray - Pearl/Jewelry Marvelous Mouse Travels - Travel Mary & Martha - Home Goods MaryKay - Beauty Maskara - Beauty Matilda Jane - Clothing Max & Madeleine - Skincare/Health Maxwell Clothing - Clothing MCA - Financial Medifast - Nutritional Supplements Melaleuca - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Metabolife (dissolved in 2005) - MiA Bath and Body (Closed) - mialisia - Jewelry Miche EU - Accessories Miki (Asia) - Nutritional Supplements MOA Nutrition - Nutritional Supplements Modere - MojiLife - Essential Oils Monat - Hair Care MonaVie (went into foreclosure 2015) - Morinda Bioactives - Personal Care/Dietary Supplements Motives Cosmetics - Cosmetics Multpure - Water My Club 8 - CBD Oil My Daily Choice - Nutritional Supplements My LALA Leggings - Clothing myEcon - Financial National Safety Associates - Dietary Supplements National Wealth Center - Education Natura (Brazil) - Cosmetics Nature Direct (AUS) - Essential Oils Nature's Sunshine Products - Dietary Supplements Neal's Yard Remedies Organic - Beauty NeoLife - Dietary Supplements Neora (Nerium) - Nerium - Skincare/Health NeVetica - Pet Supplies New Era (China) - Nutritional Supplements New U Life - Health Neways - Personal Care Nikken - Noevir - Beauty Nomades - Jewelry Noonday Collection - Jewelry Norwex - Cleaning Producs Nouveau Riche (real estate investment college) (dissolved 2010 - Nspire Network - Feminine Products NuCerity - Skincare/Health NuSkin - Tooth Paste/Personal Care Nutriboom - NXIVM - Financial Nygard - Clothing Omnilife - Dietary Supplements One Hope Wine - Wine Optavia - Health Opulenza - Jewelry Organo Gold - Coffee Oriflame - Personal Care Origami Owl - Jewelry Our Hearts Desire - Jewelry Paid 2 Save - Travel Pampered Chef - Kitchen Accessories Paparazzi - Jewelry Paperly - Paper Park Lane Jewelry - Jewelry Party Girl - Candles Party Lite - Candles Party Time Mixes - Food PartyLite - Candles Passion Parties - Adult Novelties Pawtree - Pet Paycation - Travel Peach - Clothing Pearl Chic - Pearl/Jewelry Peekaboo Beans - Clothing Perfect (China) - Cosmetics Perfectly Polished - Beauty Perfectly Posh - Beauty Personally Poetic - Jewelry PHP - Insurance Pierre Lang - Jewelry Pink Zebra - Candles Piphany - Clothing PixieLane - Clothing Plexus - Health Plumeria Bath - Beauty Plunder - Jewelry PM International - Health Pola (Japan) - Skincare/Health Poofy Organics - Beauty Powur - Solar Panels Premier Designs - Jewelry Premier Financial - Financial PrimeMyBody - Health Primerica - Financial Princess House - Kitchen Accessories ProDoula - ProYoung - Health Pruvit - Health Pulse Cosmetics - Cosmetics Pure Haven - Cosmetics Pure Romance - Product PureHaven - Home Goods PUREly - Essential Oils Purium - Health Qnet - Nutritional Supplements Quanjian Natural (China) - Food RadiantlyYou - Rain International - Health Rainbow Vacuum - Vacuums Real Time Pain Relief - Health Red Aspen - Beauty RED Safety - Security Regal Home and Gifts - Home Goods Reliv - Health Reliv - Nutritional Supplements Renatus Real Estate - Education RevitalU - Coffee/Health Riway - Deer Placenta Robert Kiyosaki - Rodan+Fields - Beauty Roland (Vorwerk) - Rolmex (China) - Kitchen Accessories Royal Tongan Limu (dissolved in 2003) - Royaltie Gens - Marketing Ruby Ribbon - Clothing Saba - Health/Beauty Sabika Jewelry - Jewelry SafeGirl Security - Self Defense Salad Master - Home Goods SARSO (India) - Scentsy - Health/Oils Schneider's Gourmet World - Food Scout & Cellar - Wine Seacret - Beauty SendOutCards - Gift Cards Senegence - Skincare/Health Shakeology (BeachBody) - Dietary Supplements Shaklee - Dietary Supplements Shopping Sherlock - Shrimp & Grits - Clothing Signature Homestyles - Home Goods Silpada - Jewelry Silver Icing - Jewelry Simple Man - Personal Care Simply Success Elite - SimplyFun Games - Education Skinny Body at Home - Dietary Supplements SkinSanity/Tomorrow's Leaf - Skincare/Health Smart Circle - Smartway - Solavei (dissolved 2015)[ - Solvei (bankrupt) - Sophie Paris (France/Asia) - Clothing South Hill Designs - Jewelry Southern Living at Home - Home Goods SouthWestern Advantage - Education Sseko - Clothing Stampin Up - Paper Steam Energy - Utilities Steeped Tea - Tea Stella & Dot - Clothing Stream Energy - Financial Style Dots - Jewelry Success University - Education Sun Hope (China) - Sunrider - Health/Beauty/Home Goods Sunset Gourmet - Food Sunshine Empire (dissolved 2009) - Surge 365 - Travel Sweet Legs - Clothing Sweet Minerals - Beauty Symmetry Financial Group - Insurance Syntek Global - Automotive T.O.P Marketing Group - TAG Team Marketing - Taisei/Green Planet/Kaikisui (Japan_ - Purifiers Tara at Home - Home Goods Tastefully Simple - Food Tavala - Health Tealightful - Tea Team National - Financial TeDivina - Tea Telecom Plus (UK) - Utilities Telexfree (bankrupt 2014) - The Advert Platfrom - Crypto Currency The Body Shop at Home - Beauty The Landmark Forum - Health The Super Affiliate Network - Marketing Thermomix (Vorwerk) - Thirty One - Bags Thrive - Health Thrive Life - Food Tiber River Naturals - Beauty TKO WorldWide - Tocara (Canada) - Jewelry Tom James - Clothing Total Life Changes/TLC - Health TouchStone Crystal - Jewelry Touchstone Essentials - Dietary Supplements Tracy Negoshian - Clothing Trades of Hope - Jewelry Tranont - Financial Transformational Beauty - Cosmetics Travel Evolution - Travel Traveling Vineyard - Wine TraVerus Global - Travel TriVita - Nutritional Supplements Tropic Skin Care - Skincare/Health True Peak Revolution (Europe) - Truvision Health - Health TS-Life - Nutritional Supplements Tupperware - Tupperware Unicity - Health United Sciences of America (dissolved in 1987) - United Warehouse (UK) - US Health Advisors - Usana - Nutritional Supplements Usborne - Books Utility Warehouse (UK) - Utilities Valentus - Dietary Supplements Vantel - Product/Pearls Vasayo - Health VectoCutco - Knives Vemma - Dietary Supplements viaOneHope - Wine ViBella - Jewelry VIC Cosmetics - Vida Divina - Tea Vie at Home (closed) - Virtuity Financial Group (World Financial Group) - ViSalus (Body by VI) - Dietary Supplements Vitality Extracts - Essential Oils VivaMK - Cleaning Producs Volo - Health Vorwerk - Home Goods Votre Belle Maison (UK) - Giftware Voxxlife - Health Wakaya Perfection - Health WakeUpNow (dissolved 2015) - Watkins Inc - Health/Home Goods Wealthperx - Travel Wikaniko - Home Goods Wildtree - Food Willing Beauty - Beauty Winasun - Health Wine Shop at Home - Wine Wines for Humanity - Wine Wink Naturals - Health World Financial Group/Pinnacle Leadership Development - Financial World Leadership Group (dissolved in 2008) - World Ventures/Wealth Wave/TKO WorldWide - Travel WoTaBu - Travel XanGo/Ziji - Health Xerveo - Dietary Supplements Xoom Energy - Utilities Xooma - Weight Loss Xstream Travel - Travel Xyngular - Health Yanbal Int - Jewelry Yandi (China) - Nutritional Supplements Yelloow - Beauty Yevo (closed) - Yofoto (China) - Health Yoli - Health Yoonla - YOR Health - Weight Loss Young Living - Health Youngevity - Younique - Beauty YTB International - Travel Zepter - Zija - Health Zilis - Health Zinzino (Scandanavia) - Zrii - Skincare/Health Zurvita - Health Zyia - Clothing Zyn - Travel TOTAL COUNT = 594 This list will be continually updated (5/19/2020). 2018 Archived MLM Mega Thread Sources: https://mlmtruth.org/2018/02/08/the-mlm-master-list/ , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_multi-level_marketing_companies Special thanks to u/Copacetic1515 (I could not stick your thread) For income disclosure information: Updated 2019 Thread Other Helpful Links: Discussion about World Financial Group
Forex and stock trading automation what do you think?
Hello, the reason I'm opening this discussion is that for a while I've been thinking about building forex/stock trading automation system(something like a bot but in a more sophisticated way). I have a decent python experience with over 1 year of hands-on deep learning and general purpose projects so it is valid to say I'm quite experienced with tensorflow 2.x, keras, numpy, pandas, matplotlib and most of standard python libraries. I'm currently learning c++ for performance needs that cannot be met with python alone. I've been intending to use my background to create a trading system I have not thought of specifics but my general overview of a problem solution might be to create a combination of deep learning models and maybe some reinforcement learning techniques as well(which something I'm currently learning). The question is do you think of a criteria to get best outcomes in terms of prediction accuracy and be able to deliver something that might turn profitable at some point? I have not started working on the project yet but when I read about the topic in kaggle and general machine learning forums, the idea of forex bots/ auto-trading systems is sometimes met with skepticism: some argue it's nearly impossible to create something useful and some others claim that they were successful to create deep learning models (my best guess is RNN/LSTM architectures) with variable accuracy(60-90%). I don't think experimentation will hurt, I mean I can start working something out and figure out the best results for myself but I thought it's a good idea to ask for guidance from those who have similabetter background/experience as/than myself as well as others who might have tried already and hear the feedback first. What do you think?
eToro: impressions, doubts and (ignored) lessons from copy trading
(no promotional content, no affiliate links) Hi, exactly four years ago, I started copying eToro investors / traders that I selected using the broker's built-in search engine (profitable in last two years, already being copied by others), followed by manual filtering, to take into account fluctuations in yearly returns, composition of their portfolios etc. With that, I got a list of 10 people whom I started to copy on a demo account: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1u52f0XHfr-LauIscKcFDYF0yGTTUr6VY/view?usp=sharing In the screenshot you can see that in case of the first two of them the amount invested was $10,000, while for the rest it was just $100. This is because I started copying the first two a couple of weeks earlier; eventually I changed this into $100 the same day I made the screenshot and this is when my calculations start - so this thing is irrelevant, I just cannot travel in time to make another screenshot. What I did after that? Well, within the next six weeks my profits oscillated between -$11 and +$9.50 (the biggest profit was on Nov 9, a day after US presidential elections). I found this "boring" and discontinued experimenting with copy trading. Today I looked back at those ten traders. Here is what I found. Firstly, seven of them are not with eToro anymore; investorNo1, Simple-Stock-Mkt, tradingrelax, 4exPirate, primit, Gallojack, xjurokx. The other three traders are:
toppertrader: not being copied by anyone and for a good reason: his loss this year alone is 61.16%!
Jean-marcLenfant: copied by only 67 people; his loss this year is -1.09% but in general he is quite successful, with yearly profits ranging from 3.57% to 7.32%.
Girem2: he has no copiers, his profit this year is 41.45% but in 2018 he experienced a loss of 83.15%!
My observations and thoughts are as follows:
Seven out of ten traders are not with eToro anymore, which makes me wonder why. I have no proof but my guess is they simply performed poorly, lost their copiers and closed their accounts. This is already alarming but what if they opened another account? Or, even worse, multiple accounts? They could be investing small money and try different risky approaches, hoping that at least one account will turn out profitable in the long turn, attracting potential copiers. (I'm not claiming that those 7 particular traders did this, it's just my general suspicion regarding some of eToro traders)
I'm unable to calculate what would be my profit if I never stopped copying them, because I cannot check at what day and with what profit those seven traders left eToro. I'm guessing this would be an immense loss. On the other hand, considering the three traders who are still with eToro, I would lose more than a quarter of my assets!
What now? I must be a quite adventurous person or at least an incorrigible optimist, because a month ago (exactly on Aug 26th) I started copying three traders with real money. Here is who they are. rubymza (Heloise Greeff)
invests in stocks, with GOOG, INTC, BLDP, MA, MSFT, AMZN, V, MU, IBM and NXPI making up 50.3% of her portfolio (allocation of each of them is in between 3.02% and 6.85%)
active since 2016 (only the year 2016 ended with a loss)
has 3044 copiers and $2M-$5M of copy assets under management
strategy (her own words): "My investing strategy focusses mostly on US indices, tech and pharma, promising future (5-10years) growth. My trades are based on technical analysis using machine learning to understand patterns and trends in the markets. I prefer to keep a diverse portfolio to spread risk while achieving great returns."
he is a Forex trader, making typically 21 trades per week; his favorite currency pairs are EURCHF (12% of trades), CADCHF and GBPUSD; the trades, however, typically make up below 5% of his portfolio (at least whenever I'm checking it), making most of my funds unused
active since January 2017: surprisingly enough, he has every single month profitable, though monthly profits are in the range of 0.03% to 3.34% only
has 8977 copiers and more than $5M of copy assets under management
strategy (his own words): "I monitor currency pairs all day to find the best entry. There is some management/scaling position for perfect entry. The risk control is a big part of my strategy," (quite vague, to be honest)
commodities compose 76% of his portfolio and his favorite assets are Gold and Oil (at the moment, Gold makes up half of invested amount)
active since July 2016, with the following yearly profits, starting from 2016: 6.56%, 10.05%, 13.09%, 32.26% and -2.03% (the current year)
has 1493 copiers and $1M-$2M of copy assets under management
strategy (his own words): "My system is based on patterns, and a variety of technical analysis tools and some fundamental analysis. I primarily trade in commodities. " (quite vague as well)
own experience: my profit with rayvahey is 2.56%
What was my strategy to hand-pick these particular traders? First I did some basic scanning using eToro's built-in search engine. The most important filter was that the trader was profitable within the last two years: unfortunately, eToro does not allow to reach details of earlier performance automatically. To know how the trader performed before 2019, I had to look at stats in the profile of each of them. I was also taking into account how often they trade (to avoid those who do only a couple of trades yearly), whether they were trading recently and whether they write posts regularly in their feed. With this, I got a list of fifteen candidates to copy:
olivierdanvel
marianopardo
rubymza
rayvahey
martidg97
overit
misterg23
knw500
jianswang
reinhardtcoetzee
miyoshi
alderique
jarodd76
benson9904
big-profits
As you already know, I finally chose three of them. Rubymza seemed to be the most trustworthy stock trader, based on profits, posts feed and regular trading, among other things. Regarding OlivierDanvel, his uniqueness is the ability to record continuous profits with the Forex market. Finally, with rayvahey I wanted to increase my exposure to the commodities market. Wish me good luck! Michael P.S. You might find those copy-trading related readings interesting:
How to analyse which stock to buy? You could use something simple like Moving Average Crossover or your system could be something very complex. I generally use 5-7 setups when I trade. The reason is, a lot of times I get false signals on one setup, but when I compare it with the Macro, when 3/5 systems give buy signal, I buy. When 3/5 systems give me a sell signal, I sell. DISCLAIMER- I only trade in stocks, so some setups may not be available in Forex.
Price Action Trading.
I believe that price action alone is the single greatest system. The more indicators you use, the more messy your chart gets. For me, less is more. I usually start buy drawing Support and Resistance zones /areas, the immediate zones and long term zones. Then I plot Fibonacci Points. I love Fibs. This alone is enough to trade.
Heikin Ashi + Stochastic RSI.
The Heikin Ashi candlestick reduces noise and gives good signals. The rules are simple, if there are two continuous green closed candles, it's a buy signal and vice versa. I usually add Stochastic RSI to improve the success rate, but the number of signals reduce.
Volume.
Volume precedes price. Volume can tell a lot of things about the strength of a trend. I also use a VMA, volume moving average. I find out if the trend is backed by a volume or not. I look for divergences too.
Divergence.
There are two types of divergences, simple and hidden. I use RSI and/or MACD to find divergence. It's very reliable. The drawback is that divergence works better in higher time frame. I usually use 1D chart to plot divergence. Another thing, A divergence doesn't mean that the trend will change immediately.
Delivery % Analysis.
This isn't available for Forex. There's a whole type of analysis on this. It has nothing to do with charts. It's based on numbers. I like to add numbers along with charts to improve my success rate. There are a common scenarios and 4 hidden scenarios in this analysis.
Index Correlation.
If the index goes up 2% and the stock is correlated, and it goes up 4%, I can conclude using backtested data that the stock is dependent on the index. If the index falls a bit, the stock will also fall, much more than the index. Then there are stocks that have no correlation with the index, or inversely correlated.
Option Chain.
This is probably not available for Forex, I am still learning it. This is a VERY reliable system. Mastering this will help with get 80-90% accuracy. It's pretty tough. A single view can give you an entire picture of support and resistance zones and what's happening. Are new positions being created or hedged? Other Setups.
Moving Averages- 20 & 200 day EMA or the EMA channel.
Sector Performance.
Bollinger Bands using channel.
I can talk deeply about all the systems with examples. But I've just tried to mention everything in brief. -Vikrant C.
Removed "Do you want to be navigated instantly or in x seconds?" hint on the "You're almost at your destination page" in some contexts to avoid confusion
Universal Bypass now says "You are being navigated to https://..." with "Take me to destinations after 0 seconds." set, so you know something is happening if the destination is slow.
Improved beermoneyforum.com bypass
Fixed universal-bypass.org/options not redirecting to options if an option is meant to be highlighted
Fixed options page breaking if an unknown option is meant to be highlighted
Removed max. values from options with number inputs as they sometimes need to be surpassed and weren't enforced anyway
Universal Bypass will now change its extension tab titles to reflect how many seconds are left on internal timers, i.e. if you've set "Take me to destinations after 5 seconds." the "You're almost at your destination." page will be called "(5) You're almost at your destination." and count down with the timer on the page.
Improved the way the version number is shown in the options to make it more apparent that bypass definitions are separate from the extension version
Fixed "Instantly take me to destinations of trackers" not working in Chromium-based browsers
Fixed cases of Universal Bypass being detected and improved the Linkvertise preflight bypass to allow for auto-updating of anti-detection rules
Updated translations
7dbafa1
Added bypasses for: 4shared.com (download without login), cloudgallery.net, curimovie.com
Fixed Soralink Wordpress Plugin bypass interfering with certain download sites
13.6
Added functionality for more subtle bypasses (that never even open the "You're almost at your destination" page) to count towards the bypassed sites counter
Improved the way the options page and background script talk to each other to keep their states in sync., and to ensure that only one options page is open at a time.
The "You're almost at your destination" page will now be blank if you're meant to be navigated instantly.
Fixed some sites detecting Universal Bypass after general preflight bypass
Universal Bypass' built-in updating system for the injection script now also includes rules for preflight bypasses. Collectively, this is now called "bypass definitions."
Fixed "Close tab containing the crowd-sourced destination after x seconds of visiting it" still not always working on Firefox, and this solution doesn't even need the "Access browser tabs" permission anymore.
Changed default values of options with seconds and removed hint that "0" means instant because I think that's obvious.
Fixed "Close tab containing the crowd-sourced destination after x seconds of visiting it" not working on Firefox by adding the "Access browser tabs" permission. On Chromium-based browsers, this permission isn't needed, and Universal Bypass on Firefox doesn't do anything else with it.
Fixed instant navigation causing Google's "clever" code to break some bypasses
Updated translations
13.2
Added a timer to the "You're almost at your destination" page if the destination would detect Universal Bypass if you would navigate too quickly.
Improved shon.xyz bypass
Updated translations
5cb0e9f
Added filesupload.org bypass
Improved katmoviehd.nl bypass
13.1
Removed the option to disable the info box. The info box was added to prevent getting reports for websites which are bypassed by crowd bypass, but we still do. I believe people disable the option — maybe because "Show informational messages on some sites" sounds scary, maybe because they never encountered one — and then when they encounter a crowd-bypassed site, they have no indication of that, and report it. As always, I'd like to get some feedback on this, especially from other perspectives.
Custom bypass developers: You can now use "safelyAssign(...)" instead of "location.href = ..." or "location.assign(...)" which will assert that the URL is good before actually assigning, returns false if not. Note that you should only use this for instant redirects, for everything else "safelyNavigate(...)" is still recommended.
Added majidzhacker.com bypass to replace tinyurl.majidzhacker.com bypass
Universal Bypass now provides version information to universal-bypass.org so it can automatically redirect to the correct changelog and adjust behaviour of the install button
Added "UNIVERSAL_BYPASS_INTERNAL_VERSION" constant for use in the injection script and custom bypasses to determine extension capabilities in future bypasses
Implemented auto-updating of the injection script because of Google's insane new release delay. This does mean that the Privacy Policy has changed because now a request to Github is sent every hour. Aside from that, this is actually incredibly awesome for the future of Universal Bypass, as you can now take advantage of the latest bypasses without having to wait for the next release, even on Firefox!
Added some more general bypasses based on patterns I see way too often. This has potential to meddle in sites where it shouldn't, so please get in touch if you have any issues.
Improved the look of highlighted options in dark mode
11.3
Replaced "Automatically open crowd-sourced destinations in a new tab" option with "Open crowd-sourced destinations in a new tab after x second(s)" so it is in line with the new "Take me to destinations after x seconds" option added in 11.0. Again, I'd like to hear your feedback on these new, rather drastic changes.
Fixed firstrun page being opened in a new window on Firefox
Restyled options slightly to better fit custom bypasses
Some general code improvements
11.0 — The Timed Update
Replaced "Instantly take me to destinations" option with "Take me to destinations after x seconds" option which can be used to get the same effects as with the old option with the added feature of having a timer to automatically take you to the destination which I'm personally not a super fan of but I see the request from time to time and this seemed to be the best solution. I'd definitely like to hear your feedback on this.
Note: The mention of O levels and A levels throughout the post refers to the British patterned system of education. O levels is equivalent to the 9th and 10th grade and Alevels is equivalent to the 11th and 12th grade in the American High School System Hi, I am a Pakistani guy currently on a gap year after doing A levels from one of the most prestigious schools in the country on a 100% scholarship. I did my O levels from a very less renowned school because of my financial condition but my grades allowed me admission into my A levels school. That is why most of my ECAS were done in the last 2 years. I am looking to apply to the following international universities with full scholarship/financial aid: Majors Intended: Computer Science / Data Science / Artificial Intelligence Universities: NYUAD (ED), Duke, Rice, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Case Western Reserve University, Washington and Lee, Colby, Skidmore, CMU Qatar, Georgetown Qatar, NTU, HKUST, HKU, CityU Academics
Valedictorian in O levels with the grades 8A*s,2As and a GPA of 4.33
Valedictorian in A levels with the grades 5A*s and a GPA of 4.33 from a Top 5 school in the country
Took the subjects Math, Additional Math, Biology, Chemistry, Physics, English and Accounting along with other compulsory subjects in O levels
Took the subjects Math, Further Math, Physics, Economics and Accounting in A levels. The subject Further Math comprises mostly of university-level courses relating to Linear Algebra, Calculus, Mechanics and Statistics. My course load is counted as one of the heaviest one in the British education system
Test Scores
SAT:1470 800 Math, 670 EBRW (Retaking the SAT in September with an aim of around 1550)
SAT II Math Level II: 790
SAT II Physics: 800
Extra-Curriculars / Awards
Head of the most reputed STEM club in the country, CORDS
Won 4 highly prestigious National Stem Olympiads winning 10+ category awards. Led the team in one of them
Performed my duties as the Computer Science and Cryptography category head at the National STEM Olympiad Scinnova organized by our club
Was selected as the captain of the team that represented our school in the National Science Bowl
Received Bronze honour in the International Youth Math Challenge
Taught Math and Further Math to students after being selected as the Teacher's Assistant in Senior Year
Did a 2-month Data Analyst Internship for a financial advisory firm. Analyzed the performance of a stock listed company over the last 5 years and prepared a report explaining the trends in the performances with regards to the micro and macro economic factors. My report was recognized as the top one amongst the reports of other interns
Taught 50+ hours of Math, English and Urdu to the support staff of our school
Currently doing a Front End Developer internship under the mentorship of a company
Creating and Reviewing content for 2 months as the Algebra and Statistics Math Expert for the app of a San Fransisco based company named Photomath. The app has over 150 million downloads over all platforms
Currently authoring a python library for analyzing WhatsApp text messages using statistical visualizations and word clouds
Top 2% in the world on the competitive programming website codewars.com
Programmed several automated forex trading expert advisors using the MQL4 language for a client
Developed several python based web apps including Scrabble Solver, Cryptography Tool and more
Did a 23 course + 6 project Data Scientist with Python track from Datacamp
Did a 5 course SQL Fundamentals track from Datacamp
Have done several other MOOC's relating to Python, Machine Learning, Data Science etc
An active user on the data science platform Kaggle
Creating a blog couldn’t be easier and yet more complicated in 2020. There are so many different things to think about, and yet so many different platforms you can use to streamline the process. Understandably you’ll already have an idea of what you want to write about, I, unfortunately, can’t help you with that, but what I can do is show you how you can set up a killer blog that will drive readers to your website. We’ll take you through what you’ll need to get started, our five steps to setting your blog up, the best blogging platforms to use, how to get your blog discovered, and the do’s and don’ts of blogging. But first, we need to establish what type of blog you want to set up.
What type of blog?
Firstly you’ll want to have a goal in mind. What are you aiming to achieve through your blog? Do you want to pull in more users to your sales pages by writing about your brand, to increase its publicity? Do you want to build a blog that promotes brands and products from other companies? Or do you just want to set up a blog documenting your travels around the world? In order to pick the right software for you, you’ll want to have a grasp before you start of how big this blog is going to be, whether you’re going to monetize it, and what type of blog it’s going to become. For example, if you’re planning on building an affiliate blogging programme, where you promote other brand’s products and call readers to action to but the products, you’ll be writing a lot of content and will benefit from having a more comprehensive blogging system with lots of plugins to promote sales. But if you’re looking to just set up a personal, or a personal brand blog talking about yourself and your brand, you may not perhaps need as many comprehensive features as you would if you were building an affiliate blog. You may also want to build an online portfolio of your work, which could require an entirely different piece of blogging kit, as opposed to the traditional blog that hosts articles and journals.
What you’ll need to get started.
There are 3 key things you’ll need to get up and running.
A blogging platform.
After you’ve identified the type of blog you want to set up, plus whether you’re going to make money from it, you’ll then need to pick a blogging platform tailored to your needs. Many people chose to operate on WordPress as it is one of the most comprehensive blogging systems going, but they forget platforms like Wix and Squarespace that are great for both helping you save and make money and are great options for those who are less tech-savvy and are new to the blogging game. Plus if you’re blogging for business, you might want to think about using LinkedIn for your business blog. We’ll go into more detail on what blogging platforms are best for your needs shortly, but make sure to keep in mind your objectives and technical experience when choosing the right platform for you.
A hosting platform.
Every website needs a web host to store their website’s information on the internet. A web host is an online service provider that will store your website’s information on one of its online servers. This will put your blog out there to the world. The best web hosts will perform a variety of functions for you, for example, Wix is an all-in-one package that will host your website for you, allow you to register a domain name, and has easy to use website design tools to help you start your blog. Web hosting can be expensive though so make sure you pick the best value for money host that can cater to the amount of traffic you have running through your website. Check out our post on the 11 best hosting providers. [Insert blog link here]
A domain name.
I’m sure by now you already know what sort of blog you want to set up, whether that’s a travel, blog, a blog accompanying your online store, or perhaps an affiliate marketing product review blog. You’ll have a niche and an idea and now all you need is a name. Every website online has what’s called a domain name. It’s included in the website address at the top of your search bar, for example, our domain name is www.digitalsupermarket.com. You’ll need to register a domain name after you purchase a hosting plan, to enable customers to find your site quickly and easily. One good tip is to find a hosting platform like Bluehost or GoDaddy that will provide you with a free domain name when you register for one of their web hosting plans as domain registration can be fairly pricey. Pick a great domain name that is easy for customers to read and type into Google so they can find it easier online. TOP TIP: To increase your blog’s search engine ranking, and to help more people find you on Google, try to pick a domain name that has either a .com or .co.uk ending. These domains often rank a lot higher in Google searches than .org’s, .net’s, and .info’s, and for that reason can be slightly more expensive, yet can help boost your site’s reach and credibility.
The Best Blogging Platforms For You.
There are a wealth of platforms out there catering to all your blogging or online portfolio needs. We have listed some of the main ones below shedding some light on what needs they service and why they might be a great option for you.
WordPress - The best software to give you full customisation.
WordPress is perhaps one of the most renowned blogging platforms in the world, running approximately 35% of the internet. It’s favoured highly by professional bloggers because it gives you total freedom to do whatever you want with your blog. WordPress can help you build your blog using one if its search engine optimised themes, you can customise using its drag and drop website builder tool to create a stunning blog. What’s more, is you’ll be able to use its professional blogging service to post your content online and take advantage of the hundreds of third party app plugins, you can integrate into your blog, to improve automation, add new features, and drive traffic to your site. The only downside of WordPress is that it can be quite technical and can take some time getting used to, but once you’ve got the hang of things, you’ll have great control over everything on your webpage. Pros: Cons:
Full customisation
Domain name registration
Fully scalable
Tons of third-party plugins and apps
Technical and can take some getting used to
Not the best if you’re not tech-savvy or are just starting out.
Wix - Best for monetizing your site.
Wix is probably the most streamlined and easiest blog providers. It’s so simple and easy to use, it’s therefore great for anyone just starting out in the blogging world. You can customise one of its stunning templates with Wix’s drag and drop editor, and then upload blog posts to your site by slotting in pictures, gifs, social media buttons, sidebars, and other widgets that will help your blog stand out. One of the coolest features about Wix is its marketplace integration, where you can install a whole variety of third-party applications to your blog to provide your users with greater features and usability. Wix is the perfect all-in-one blogging solution to help you easily build a platform to amplify your business to the world, helping you to make more money, but it can also save you a lot of money as it’s cost-efficient plans roll up, web hosting, blog posting, and domain registration all into one product! Check out our Wix review and our comparison of Wix and Squarespace for a deep dive into Wix’s main blogging features. [Insert link here] Pros: Cons:
Streamlined and easy to use blogging software
Includes as a package, web building tools, domain registration, and web hosting
Tons of third-party plugins and apps on the Wix marketplace
Great platform to help make money and save money on its reasonably priced subscription plans
Don’t get the same full control as you see with WordPress
Locked into using Wix’s templates.
Squarespace - Best for creating visually stunning blogs.
Squarespace is very similar to Wix, in that it is an all-in-one web building and blogging platform that can help you build a blog you can monetize efficiently. It sets itself aside though through its better design and customisation features, making it one of the best platforms on the marketing if you’re looking to design a visually aesthetic blog. I’d recommend using this platform if you are a business operating in some sort of design, arts, or culinary industry. Although it offers minimal template options, Squarespace’s templates are works of art and offer you great customization when building your blog. Plus Squarespace offers a great blogging tool that lets you schedule posts and customize your blog to suit more mobile audiences. Pros: Cons:
Streamlined and easy to use blogging software
Can build a visually stunning blog on Squarespace with its streamlined tools
Excellent blogging features
All-in-one web host, domain registrar, and web builder
Can’t add third-party applications on Squarespace
LinkedIn - Best for blogging businesses.
Aside from setting up a blog on your own site, corporate entities can use LinkedIn to enhance and amplify their presence online. LinkedIn has more than 575 million users, most of whom are professionals and members of corporate conglomerates, and you can use this social platform to target some of the most influential people in the world. If you’re blogging about business this is the perfect platform to use a pre-existing community of people to enhance your social standing. You’ll then be able to build connections and followers on your profile who can easily share your blog on their platform through a couple of simple clicks. Pros: Cons:
Utilise LinkedIn’s pre-existing community of business people to amplify your brand
Target corporate directors and influential people directly through LinkedIn
Check out what people are looking at on LinkedIn and tailor your content to that market
Again you are confined within what LinkedIn’s platform will let you do, it’s not your site and you don’t have full customisation
Instagram - Best for the Artists.
Instagram is one of the biggest blogging sites in the world and without realising it, we are all technically bloggers in some way with our Instagram accounts, right? Ultimately for professional use, it is great for building a portfolio that has some form of visual or graphic eye-catching media around it. Instagram lets you post videos, photos, boomerangs, even write a blog in the photo’s caption if you wanted to! Best of all, Instagram is free, and you can use its business software to link up your online store, to drag users away from your profile, using its product tagging features, and land them in your online checkouts. Our top tip for using Instagram is to post regularly and keep on the theme of your blog. Don’t go off-piste as you’re followers will catch on quickly and unfollow you. And with 1 billion people using the platform each day, it is a great way to gain people’s attention and build your brand’s presence online. Pros: Cons:
Best for the creatives.
Totally free and easy to use interface.
Access to a pre-existing community of people.
Online selling capabilities.
Again you are confined within what Instagram’s platform will let you do, it’s not your site and you don’t have full customisation
The Do’s And Don’ts Of Blogging
Here are a couple of top tips to bear in mind when building your blog to help you create an awesome, lead driven platform.
The Don’ts
Don’t use complicated language too soon.
With that in mind, do include language that your target audience will understand. But remember they are still here to learn, so don’t drop people in at the deep end right away by using complex jargon off the bat. Define terms and spell it out in layman’s terms for people at the outset, and as the post goes on, then introduce more complex writing. Introducing technical jargon at the start of your posts is an instant turn off for most readers.
Don’t waffle - Keep it succinct.
People want to get to the punchline now. 43% of people admit to skimming through blogs to get to the information they need, meaning to get your blogging site converting leads, you need to engage the reader early on and offer information succinctly throughout your post. Plus don’t make your blog too long. Depending on what you’re writing, a lot of people will see large volumes of text and will switch off immediately. There is no set limit for what a good and bad amount of text is, that’s something you’ll have to figure out per your industry, but from my experience, the shorter, the better.
Don’t make headlines too long.
Also ensure that your headline is not more than 60 characters long. If it gets too long it won’t rank well in search engines and people just won’t want to read it. Check out this headline analysis tool which will analyse the effectiveness of your proposed headlines.
Don’t plagiarise or use credited images.
Copying other people’s work is lazy and can land you in a lot of hot water in extreme cases if you breach a copyright regulation. But it’s also just unfair on the person who has worked hard or been creative to write that work. The same goes for images, people need to make a living from the content and photos they’re taking so don’t steal that off them.
The Do’s
Do write killer headlines.
People are like goldfish. You only have about 3 seconds to get their attention. That’s why it is important to write catchy, funny, and enticing headlines to draw your reader in. One good way to do it is to use the “How To” and “10 Best” strategies. These sorts of titles telling people ‘How to set up a blog’ or ‘the ten best web hosting platforms’ are search engine optimised, lead winning titles that rank highly in Google searches. Try them out and see!
Do post regularly.
The key to creating a great blog that builds leads is posting regularly. Although it is not the best idea to post regularly. Ideally, you want to post 3-4 times a week to get the best influx of traffic to your site. You’ll also want to check out when’s best to post for your target audience, for example, if you’re in the FOREX market, you’ll want to post your blogs perhaps at 8 AM, before the markets open when city workers are on their staring at their phones on their morning commuter trains to the city.
Do share on social media.
Share your content far and wide on your social platforms. Everyone is on social media these days and its outreach is simply phenomenal. That’s why you should always share your posts to your social channels to get greater traffic on your website, and include share buttons all-around your blog to invite your readers to share your articles too!
Do use SEO keywords to drive more traffic.
In a nutshell, SEO keywords are the phrases people put into search engines when they are looking for information on a certain subject. They are how you get found on your website. Depending on what you are writing about, there is always a set of keywords relating to that topic that you can implement, to help you show up higher in people’s google searches. For example, people might regularly search in google, ‘what is the best compost for growing sunflowers?’ When you come to writing about growing sunflowers in your blog, you might want to use these words or incorporate this question into your blog somewhere, to help you rank higher on Google.
Do use call’s to action to take your readers to the next step.
If you don’t challenge your reader at the end of your blog to follow you on Instagram, or check out your sales pages, you’ll never get the leads or sales you are looking for. With that in mind, build compelling calls to action at the end of each of your posts, to pull readers into taking the next step. Check out our post on landing pages to see a couple of cool ways on how to implement calls to action on your site [insert link here].
Do identify a target audience.
People will often tell you to write as though you were in the shoes of the person you’re looking to bring to your website, but it’s true! Identify what type of people you’re writing to, for instance, if you’re writing a business blog about FOREX trading, you’ll write with potential traders in mind who have one eye on the stock market and the other on your blog. Or if you’re a wedding florist, you’ll set your portfolio up to target those people looking to get married in the next year.
Leads, Sales, Results.
Blogging is one of the most influential marketing strategies in the world and the best bloggers can reap some awesome rewards for producing some truly awesome content. It is fairly straightforward to get started and we advise if you’re a small business, or someone with minimal blogging experience, to try out Wix or Squarespace first before you jump into using more technical platforms like WordPress. Once you’re up and running remember our top tips on what to do and what to avoid when writing your blog. Plus don’t forget to think about optimising and adding useful applications to your site to help you build and grow your content. Check out these 39 awesome blogging tools you can use to drive greater traffic to your site! Found this article useful? Make sure you share it with your friends on Facebook and Twitter and let us know in the comments if you have any other useful blogging tips.
How to analyse which stock to buy? You could use something simple like Moving Average Crossover or your system could be something very complex. I generally use 5-7 setups when I trade. The reason is, a lot of times I get false signals on one setup, but when I compare it with the Macro, when 3/5 systems give buy signal, I buy. When 3/5 systems give me a sell signal, I sell. DISCLAIMER- I only trade in stocks, so some setups may not be available in Forex.
Price Action Trading.
I believe that price action alone is the single greatest system. The more indicators you use, the more messy your chart gets. For me, less is more. I usually start buy drawing Support and Resistance zones /areas, the immediate zones and long term zones. Then I plot Fibonacci Points. I love Fibs. This alone is enough to trade.
Heikin Ashi + Stochastic RSI.
The Heikin Ashi candlestick reduces noise and gives good signals. The rules are simple, if there are two continuous green closed candles, it's a buy signal and vice versa. I usually add Stochastic RSI to improve the success rate, but the number of signals reduce.
Volume.
Volume precedes price. Volume can tell a lot of things about the strength of a trend. I also use a VMA, volume moving average. I find out if the trend is backed by a volume or not. I look for divergences too.
Divergence.
There are two types of divergences, simple and hidden. I use RSI and/or MACD to find divergence. It's very reliable. The drawback is that divergence works better in higher time frame. I usually use 1D chart to plot divergence. Another thing, A divergence doesn't mean that the trend will change immediately.
Delivery % Analysis.
This isn't available for Forex. There's a whole type of analysis on this. It has nothing to do with charts. It's based on numbers. I like to add numbers along with charts to improve my success rate. There are a common scenarios and 4 hidden scenarios in this analysis.
Index Correlation.
If the index goes up 2% and the stock is correlated, and it goes up 4%, I can conclude using backtested data that the stock is dependent on the index. If the index falls a bit, the stock will also fall, much more than the index. Then there are stocks that have no correlation with the index, or inversely correlated.
Option Chain.
This is probably not available for Forex, I am still learning it. This is a VERY reliable system. Mastering this will help with get 80-90% accuracy. It's pretty tough. A single view can give you an entire picture of support and resistance zones and what's happening. Are new positions being created or hedged? Other Setups.
Moving Averages- 20 & 200 day EMA or the EMA channel.
Sector Performance.
Bollinger Bands using channel.
I can talk deeply about all the systems with examples. But I've just tried to mention everything in brief.
Copy trading with eToro: impressions, doubts and (ignored) lessons
(no promotional content, no affiliate links) Hi, exactly four years ago, I started copying eToro investors / traders that I selected using the broker's built-in search engine (profitable in last two years, already being copied by others), followed by manual filtering, to take into account fluctuations in yearly returns, composition of their portfolios etc. With that, I got a list of 10 people whom I started to copy on a demo account: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1u52f0XHfr-LauIscKcFDYF0yGTTUr6VY/view?usp=sharing In the screenshot you can see that in case of the first two of them the amount invested was $10,000, while for the rest it was just $100. This is because I started copying the first two a couple of weeks earlier; eventually I changed this into $100 the same day I made the screenshot and this is when my calculations start - so this thing is irrelevant, I just cannot travel in time to make another screenshot. What I did after that? Well, within the next six weeks my profits oscillated between -$11 and +$9.50 (the biggest profit was on Nov 9, a day after US presidential elections). I found this "boring" and discontinued experimenting with copy trading. Today I looked back at those ten traders. Here is what I found. Firstly, seven of them are not with eToro anymore; investorNo1, Simple-Stock-Mkt, tradingrelax, 4exPirate, primit, Gallojack, xjurokx. The other three traders are:
toppertrader: not being copied by anyone and for a good reason: his loss this year alone is 61.16%!
Jean-marcLenfant: copied by only 67 people; his loss this year is -1.09% but in general he is quite successful, with yearly profits ranging from 3.57% to 7.32%.
Girem2: he has no copiers, his profit this year is 41.45% but in 2018 he experienced a loss of 83.15%!
My observations and thoughts are as follows:
Seven out of ten traders are not with eToro anymore, which makes me wonder why. I have no proof but my guess is they simply performed poorly, lost their copiers and closed their accounts. This is already alarming but what if they opened another account? Or, even worse, multiple accounts? They could be investing small money and try different risky approaches, hoping that at least one account will turn out profitable in the long turn, attracting potential copiers. (I'm not claiming that those 7 particular traders did this, it's just my general suspicion regarding some of eToro traders)
I'm unable to calculate what would be my profit if I never stopped copying them, because I cannot check at what day and with what profit those seven traders left eToro. I'm guessing this would be an immense loss. On the other hand, considering the three traders who are still with eToro, I would lose more than a quarter of my assets!
What now? I must be a quite adventurous person or at least an incorrigible optimist, because a month ago (exactly on Aug 26th) I started copying three traders with real money. Here is who they are. rubymza (Heloise Greeff)
invests in stocks, with GOOG, INTC, BLDP, MA, MSFT, AMZN, V, MU, IBM and NXPI making up 50.3% of her portfolio (allocation of each of them is in between 3.02% and 6.85%)
active since 2016 (only the year 2016 ended with a loss)
has 3044 copiers and $2M-$5M of copy assets under management
strategy (her own words): "My investing strategy focusses mostly on US indices, tech and pharma, promising future (5-10years) growth. My trades are based on technical analysis using machine learning to understand patterns and trends in the markets. I prefer to keep a diverse portfolio to spread risk while achieving great returns."
he is a Forex trader, making typically 21 trades per week; his favorite currency pairs are EURCHF (12% of trades), CADCHF and GBPUSD; the trades, however, typically make up below 5% of his portfolio (at least whenever I'm checking it), making most of my funds unused
active since January 2017: surprisingly enough, he has every single month profitable, though monthly profits are in the range of 0.03% to 3.34% only
has 8977 copiers and more than $5M of copy assets under management
strategy (his own words): "I monitor currency pairs all day to find the best entry. There is some management/scaling position for perfect entry. The risk control is a big part of my strategy," (quite vague, to be honest)
commodities compose 76% of his portfolio and his favorite assets are Gold and Oil (at the moment, Gold makes up half of invested amount)
active since July 2016, with the following yearly profits, starting from 2016: 6.56%, 10.05%, 13.09%, 32.26% and -2.03% (the current year)
has 1493 copiers and $1M-$2M of copy assets under management
strategy (his own words): "My system is based on patterns, and a variety of technical analysis tools and some fundamental analysis. I primarily trade in commodities. " (quite vague as well)
own experience: my profit with rayvahey is 2.56%
What was my strategy to hand-pick these particular traders? First I did some basic scanning using eToro's built-in search engine. The most important filter was that the trader was profitable within the last two years: unfortunately, eToro does not allow to reach details of earlier performance automatically. To know how the trader performed before 2019, I had to look at stats in the profile of each of them. I was also taking into account how often they trade (to avoid those who do only a couple of trades yearly), whether they were trading recently and whether they write posts regularly in their feed. With this, I got a list of fifteen candidates to copy:
olivierdanvel
marianopardo
rubymza
rayvahey
martidg97
overit
misterg23
knw500
jianswang
reinhardtcoetzee
miyoshi
alderique
jarodd76
benson9904
big-profits
As you already know, I finally chose three of them. Rubymza seemed to be the most trustworthy stock trader, based on profits, posts feed and regular trading, among other things. Regarding OlivierDanvel, his uniqueness is the ability to record continuous profits with the Forex market. Finally, with rayvahey I wanted to increase my exposure to the commodities market. Wish me good luck! Michael P.S. You might find those copy-trading related readings interesting:
How to analyse which stock to buy? You could use something simple like Moving Average Crossover or your system could be something very complex. I generally use 5-7 setups when I trade. The reason is, a lot of times I get false signals on one setup, but when I compare it with the Macro, when 3/5 systems give buy signal, I buy. When 3/5 systems give me a sell signal, I sell. DISCLAIMER- I only trade in stocks, so some setups may not be available in Forex.
Price Action Trading.
I believe that price action alone is the single greatest system. The more indicators you use, the more messy your chart gets. For me, less is more. I usually start buy drawing Support and Resistance zones /areas, the immediate zones and long term zones. Then I plot Fibonacci Points. I love Fibs. This alone is enough to trade.
Heikin Ashi + Stochastic RSI.
The Heikin Ashi candlestick reduces noise and gives good signals. The rules are simple, if there are two continuous green closed candles, it's a buy signal and vice versa. I usually add Stochastic RSI to improve the success rate, but the number of signals reduce.
Volume.
Volume precedes price. Volume can tell a lot of things about the strength of a trend. I also use a VMA, volume moving average. I find out if the trend is backed by a volume or not. I look for divergences too.
Divergence.
There are two types of divergences, simple and hidden. I use RSI and/or MACD to find divergence. It's very reliable. The drawback is that divergence works better in higher time frame. I usually use 1D chart to plot divergence. Another thing, A divergence doesn't mean that the trend will change immediately.
Delivery % Analysis.
This isn't available for Forex. There's a whole type of analysis on this. It has nothing to do with charts. It's based on numbers. I like to add numbers along with charts to improve my success rate. There are a common scenarios and 4 hidden scenarios in this analysis.
Index Correlation.
If the index goes up 2% and the stock is correlated, and it goes up 4%, I can conclude using backtested data that the stock is dependent on the index. If the index falls a bit, the stock will also fall, much more than the index. Then there are stocks that have no correlation with the index, or inversely correlated.
Option Chain.
This is probably not available for Forex, I am still learning it. This is a VERY reliable system. Mastering this will help with get 80-90% accuracy. It's pretty tough. A single view can give you an entire picture of support and resistance zones and what's happening. Are new positions being created or hedged? Other Setups.
Moving Averages- 20 & 200 day EMA or the EMA channel.
Sector Performance.
Bollinger Bands using channel.
I can talk deeply about all the systems with examples. But I've just tried to mention everything in brief.
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YOUTUBE courses
9.Jon Penberthy – Tube Ads Academy 2019 10.Dave Kaminski – YouTube Video Ads For Regular People 11.Dan Henry – YouTube Ads for Courses 12.JAMIE TECH – YOUTUBE COURSE 13.Tom Breeze – YouTube Ad Workshop 14.Jordan Mackey – Youtube Advanced Masterclass 15.Graham Stephan – The YouTube Creator Academy 16.Kody – Youtube Mastery Class 17.Jordan Mackey – Make Money On Youtube Made Easy 2019 18.David Vlas – Youtube Compilation Machine 19.Matt Par – Make Money On YouTube without Making Videos 20.Hooman Nouri – YouTube Mastery [Download] 21.Brko Banks – Youtube Mastery [Download] 22.David Vlas – Youtube Revenue Machine [Download] 23.Brko Banks Course – How To Make Money On Youtube [Download] 24.Jordan Mackey – Youtube Advanced Masterclass 2019 – Over $50k Per Month From Youtube 25.Sean Cannell – 10X Your Brand With YouTube 26.Paul Murphy – Affiliate YouTube Success 27.BECOME A SUCCESSFUL PRODUCT REVIEWER ON YOUTUBE 28.YouTube Marketing Become a Digital TV Star in Your Niche 29.Bulletproof Youtube Ads by Adskills
TIK TOK courses
30.Rachel – The TikTok Academy
TWITTER courses
31.Jose Rosado – Twitter Money Mastery 32.Twitter SEO Academy – Bradley Benner
FACEBOOK courses
33.Cat Howell – Facebook Ads That Convert 3.0 34.Patrick wind – Facebook Ads Accelerator 35.Joanna Wiebe – 10x Facebook Ads 36.Anissa Holmes – Facebook Bootcamp 37.Andra Vahl – Facebook Advertising Secrets 38.Rachel Miller – Moolah’s Grow Your Audience Course (Facebook Page Strategies) 39.Chris Winters – F.A.M. Facebook Agency Machine 40.Kallzu – Facebook Agency Machine 41.Joanna Wiebe – 10x Facebook Ads 42.Ben Adkins – Facebook Ads Backpack Guide Advanced 2019 43.Wholesale Hackers – Facebook Ads for Real Estate 44.Keith Krance – Facebook Ads University Elite 2019 45.Brian Pfeiffer & Ross Minchev – FaceBook Diet Made EZ Video Course 46.iStack Training – Facebook & Ecom Mastery event Barcelona Replay 2019 47.Istack Training – Facebook & Ecom Mastery event Las Vegas Replay 2019 [Download] 48.Manuel Suarez & Ben Cummings – Facebook Masters Course 49.Peter Parks – Social Ads For FB Marketing 50.Chris Winters – F.A.M. Facebook Agency Machine 51.Freedom Junkies – Crushing Facebook Ads 52.FB Ads Machine 2.0 – Dan DaSilva, Mike Dolev
FILMMAKE/VIDEO courses
53.Parker Walbeck – Full Time Filmmaker 54.Parker Walbeck – Course Creator Pro $ (only on request) 55.Werner Herzog – Teaches Filmmaking 56.Eric Thayne – Six Figure Filmmaker 57.Hollywood Camera Work – The Master Course 58.Bimber – Viral Magazine, Video, News WordPress Theme (DOWNLOAD) 59.Christopher Perilli – The Video Authority 60.Max Rylski – Video Graphics Bonanza V2 61.Video Motion Pro | The New Way to Create Highly Profitable Videos and Info Products Quickly and Easily 62.Ryan Deiss – Script a High Converting Video Sales Letter 63.First Page Videos – Brian Dean 64.Video Series AWE18 Replay 65.Zamurai Video Immersion 66.Ben Adkins – Clients From Video 67.Video Breakthrough Academy – Clark Kegley 68.Perfect Pitch Videos 69.How to Create Video Tutorials and Perform on Camera 70.Video Ads Traffic 71.10X Your Conversion With a Video Landing Page
DROPSHIPPING courses
72.Scott Hilse – Simplified Dropshipping 3.0 73.SIMPLIFIED SHOPIFY DROPSHIPPING – SCOTT HILSE 74.ANTON KRALY – DROPSHIP LIFESTYLE 6.0 75.ANTON KRALY – DROPSHIP LIFESTYLE 5.0 76.Anton Kraly - Dropship Lifestyle 77.Biaheza's Full Dropshipping Course(for download) 78.Andrei Kreicbergs – eBay Dropshipping Coaching 2.0 79.Adam Thomas – Dropshipping Accelerator 2018 80.Hayden Bowles – Hacking Shopify Dropshipping 81.Paul Joseph – Dropshipping Titans 82.Kevin David – Shopify Dropshipping Ninja MasterClass 83.Online Auction Flipping (eBay dropshipping guide) 84.Dropshipping with Aliexpress Build and Launch your Store 85.Dream Dropshipping – Online Empire Academy(for download) 86.Advanced Dropshipping Class Till Boadella 87.Online Empire Academy – Dream Dropshipping – Value $997
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TRADING courses
118.Stock Options Day Trading Mindset For Success 119.Wiseguys Revealed: Modern Flow Trading 120.ABS – Reese Shapiro – Binary Option Money Making Private Method 121.CF X UNIVERSITY – CARTER FX 2.0 122.TradeSmart College – Bollinger Bands Necessities 123.WARRIOR PRO TRADING COURSE 124.MAFIA TRADING – MINDSET TRADER DAY TRADING COURSE 125.TradeSmart College – Buying and selling Plans 126.STOCK TRADING SIMPLIFIED: THE COMPLETE GUIDE FOR BEGINNERS 127.FX CARTEL TRADING COURSE 128.INVESTOPEDIA ACADEMY BY DAVID GREEN 129.GREG CAPRA – PRISTINE STOCK TRADING METHOD(for download) 130.ADVANCE STOCK TRADING (SHORT TERM, SWING AND LONG TERM) 131.The Complete Trading Course – Price Patterns, Strategies, Setups, And Execution Tactics By Corey Rosenbloom 132.Cryptocurrency Trading And Ico Investment Masterclass 2018 | Blockchain 133.ROCKY DARIUS – Crypto Trading Mastery Course 134.The Trading Boss Method 1 And 2 135.RASHAD SMITH – 7 Figures Forex Course 136.The Forex Scalper Mentorship Package(for download) 137.PIPS UNIVERSITY – The Only Forex Course You Will Ever Need(For Download) 138.URBAN FOREX – Mastering Price Action 139.ATLAS FOREX – FOREX COURSE 140.FOREVER BLUE – FOREX COURSE 141.ANGEL TRADERS FOREX STRATEGY COURSE 142.MAKE MONEY WORK FROM HOME ONLINE TRADE FOREX 4 BEGINNERS 143.JASON STAPLETON – TRADERS WORKSHOP FOREX FULL COURSE 144.FOREX TRADING FOR NEWBIES 145.CRYPTO TRADING MASTERY COURSE
ECOM courses
146.Jared Goetz – Ecom Hacks Academy 2020 147.Marvin Hospes – eCom Success 3.0 148.Sarah Chrisp – Ecomm Clubhouse 149.Deepwork Labs – eCommerce Accelerator 150.Tony Folly – eCommerce Masterclass-How To Build An Online Business 2019 151.Vince Wang & Jordan Welch – eCom Accelerators Private Mastermind Replays 152.Gabriel St. Germain – eCom Blueprint 2.0 153.Ricky Hayes – Ecom Lifestyle University 154.Rafael Cintron – 7 Figure Ecommerce Inner Circle 155.iStack Traning – Ecommerce Mastery live Asia Thailand 2019 156.Tai Lopez – ECOM Agency 157.Ecom Titans – Keys To Consistency 158.Gabriel Beltran – The Ecom Millionaire Mastermind, Miami 159.Bill Dalessandro – Ecommerce: Product To Profit 160.Matt Gartner – eCom Lab 161.Arie Scherson – Ecom Inner Circle 162.Matt Gartner – 8 Hour eCommerce Profits 163.Justin Cener – eCommerce Bootcamp Mentor Program 164.Anthony Mastellone – eCom Success Lab 165.Earnest Epps – High Ticket eCom Secrets 166.Jon Mac – Ecommerce Accelerator 167.Seth Smith – Advanced Ecommerce Academy 168.Chris Blair – eCom Vantage
MARKETING courses
169.CXL Institute – 10 Courses Marketing Bundle 170.Matt Serwin – Klaviyo Email Marketing Masterclass 171.Million Dollar Marketing Methods – 2020 SEO 172.Fred Joyal – Marketing Course for Dental Marketing 173.Justin Jackson – Marketing For Developers 174.Brian Bewer – Madcam Marketing 2.0 175.Tiz Gambacorta – Amik Affiliate Marketing Intensive Kickstarter 176.Matt Cramer & Shayne Hillier – Real Estate Marketing Student Beta Program v2.0 177.Sean Vosler – 7 Figure Marketing Copy 178.Russ Henneberry – Content Marketing Mastery Course 2019 179.Ted McGrath – Marketing Masters Map 180.Jon Penberthy – Legit Marketing Academy 2019 181.ConversionXL, Dan McGaw – Optimizing Your Marketing Tech Stack 182.Brandon Belcher – CPA Marketing University 183.Jeremy Haynes – Digital Marketing Manuscript 2.0 + DSP 184.Mohamed Ali Aguel – Momentum Marketing Tribe 185.Jordan Steen -The Digital Marketing School 186.James Jason – Mortgage Marketing Mastery 187.Digital Marketing Nanodegree v3 188.Sean Terry – Marketing Mastery X 189.Simon Colhoun – Affiliate Marketing & List Building Video Course 190.Saj P & Jeevan S – Zero Resistance Marketing 191.Simplilearn – Digital Marketing Certification Training 192.Billy Gene’s Gene Pool | billy gene is marketing 193.Stefan James – Affiliate Marketing Mastery 194.Jaiden Gross – 30-Day Affiliate Marketing Challenge Training ADVERTISING/ ADS courses 195.Harmon Bothers – Write Ads That Sell 196.Dental Clients – Proven Tested Ads and Funnel 2019 197.Traffic and Funnels – Advertising Workshop 198.Eugene M. Schwartz – Breakthrough Advertising 199.Kody – Advanced Bing Ads Training 200.Mike Harri – Pinterest Ads Masterclass 201.Ross Minchev – Pin Ads Jumpstart 202.Patrick Wind – Ads Accelerator Program 203.Adskills – Search And Destroy Bootcamp 204.Duston McGroarty – Push Notification Ads Masterclass 205.Epic Mail Machine – $100K Deals With No Paid Ads 206.Tristan Broughton – Google Ads Ecom Academy 207.Google Ads Mastery 2019-2020 208.Justin Sardi – Video Ads Masterclass
SALES courses
209.Josh Braun – Sales DNA 210.Dan Kennedy – Ultimate Sales Letter 2.0 211.Jim Huffman – The ClickMinded Sales Funnel Course 212.Building Sales Funnels for Backend Profits 213.GKIC – The No B.S. Renegade Guide To Putting Together A Highly Effective Sales Team
SMMA courses
214.Joel Kaplan – SMMA 7 Figure Agency 215.Quenten Chad & Jovan Stojanovic – 30 Days SMMA 216.Nick Kenens – Cold Emails for SMMA
COPYWRITING courses
217.Jim Edwards – Copywriting Secrets 218.Kyle – The Process A Draft By Draft Copywriting Walkthrough 219.Kim Krause Schwalm – Ultimate KKS Bundle (Copywriting) 220.Ray Edwards – Copywriting Academy 2 221.Shortcut Copywriting Secrets 222.Paul Hollingshead – AWAI’s Accelerated Program for Six-Figure Copywriting 223.Pam Foster – Direct Response Copywriting Course 224.Writing Tools & Hacks Copywriting/Blogging/Content Writing (Download) 225.AWAI – The Web Copywriter’s Clear Path to Profits
BLOGGING courses
226.Sarah Titus – Best Blogging Bundle 227.Ahrefs Academy – Blogging for business 228.WordPress Blogging How To Start A WordPress Blog 229.Blogging to Generate Leads: Business Blogging Essentials CONSULTING courses 230.IMQueen – 1 Hour Consulting 231.Alex Becker – Hero Consulting Accelerator 232.Joe Soto – Local Consulting Academy Update last 233.Sabri Suby – Consulting Empire 234.John Shea – The SEO Consulting Blueprint (DOWNLOAD) 235.John Logar – Consulting Rocket 236.Sam Ovens – The Consulting Blueprint Complete
AGENCY courses
237.Elizetxe – Agency Blueprint 238.Sebastian Robeck and Bryan Ostemiller – Agency Hyper Growth 239.Michael Laurens – Agency Accelerator 240.Mariah Miller – Agency Takeoff 241.Jeff Miller – The Agency Scaling Secrets Trainings And Masterclasses 242.Natasha Takahashi – The Chatbot Agency Accelerator 243.Alex Brittingham – Agency Growth Hack 244.Jason Wardrop – The 6 Figure Agency Blueprint 245.Jeff Millers – Agency Scaling Secret 246.Bob Mangat – 7 Figure Agency Update-1 247.Joseph Davis – Underground Agency Playbook 248.Joseph Davis – Digital Agency Masterclass 249.Get Chris Record – Digital Agency Builders 2019 250.Brian Willie – Maps Liftoff Agency 251.Robb Quinn – Agency in a Box
EMAIL courses
252.Ben Settle – Email Players List Swell 253.Mike Shreeve – Email Academy 254.Alex Berman – Email 10k 255.Ezra Firestone – Smart Email Marketing 2.0 256.Matt Bacak – Email Marketing Specialist 257.HOW TO SEND UNLIMITED EMAILS STEP BY STEP 258.Ben Adkins – Cold Email Clients 259.Email Prospecting Blitz 260.Justin Cener – 97 Done For You Email Templates
BUSINNES courses
261.Max Tornow – Freedom Business Mentoring 262.Caity Hunt – Home Business Freedom Formula 263.John Whiting – Business Growth for Entrepreneurs 264.Josh Hall – Web Design Business Course 265.Andre Chaperon – Lean Business For Creators 266.Katie Yeakle – Secrets of Writing High-Performance Business-to-Business Copy 267.Beau Crabill – Credit Cards for Business
MANAGEMENT courses
268.Tai Lopez – Home Sharing Management Company 269.Ezra Firestone – Traffic MBA – Smart Project Management ORATORY, CHARISMA, PERSUASION, FOCUS and MIND courses 270.Charlie Houpert – Charisma University 271.Jason Capital – The DOMINANCE 272.Jim Kwik – Unleash Your Brain 273.Vanessa Van Edwards – People School Science of People 274.Ramit Sethi – How To Talk To Anybody (Complete) 275.Magnetic Influence – Dani Johnson 276.Lazy Consultant System – Mitch Miller 277.Professional Speakers Academy – Andy Harrington 278.Unlimited Persuasion Power 279.Creating Fame Complete – Laura Roeder 280.[Download] HypnoRitual 281.Conversion XL – Digital Psychology and Persuasion Minidegree 282.Fascinate Your 7 Triggers to Persuasion and Captivation – Sally Hogshead 283.Persuasion IQ The 10 Skills You Need To Get Exactly What You Want 284.Power of Persuasion – Eben Pagan 285.Unlimited Persuasion Power 286.Course Builder’s Laboratory – Danny Iny 287.Bob Proctor – Magic In Your Mind 288.Mind Body Eating Online Conference BOTS courses 289.Steve Larsen – ChatBots For MLM 290.Brian Anderson – Quantum Chat Bots 291.Nick Moreno – Messenger Bots For Entrepreneurs 292.Scott Oldford and Katya Sarmiento – Bots for Business 293.Bastian Ernst – Funnel Bots Pro OTHER COURSES 294.Asian Efficiency – Finisher’s Fastlane 295.Colin Dijs – December Mastermind 2019 296.The Lending Lead Gen Academy 297.Stu McLaren – Tribe 2019 298.Yuping Want – Sourcing Warrior Mastermind 299.Carl Allen – Dealmaker Wealth Society 300.Nick Torson & Max Sylvestre – Quit 9 To 5 Academy 301.Bob Diamond – The Overages Blueprint 2019 302.Get Aidan Booth and Steven Clayton – Parallel Profits 303.Harlan Kilstein – Sneaker Riches 304.Tony Robbins, Dean Graziosi – The Knowledge Broker Blueprint 305.Mitch Harper – 60 Day Startup 306.RSD max - The Natural 307.Guru Siphon Formula – 6 modules & 143 videos 308.Andre Chaperon – Lean Business For Creators 309.Todd Brown – Borrowed Best Seller JASON CAPITAL courses 310.Instagram Agent System 311.Conversation God 2019 312.Email Income Experta 313.Sales god 314.High Income Weekly Skills Training 315.Status Unleashed (bonus) 316.THE JASON CAPITAL COPYWRITING CERTIFICATION PROGRAM TAI LOPEZ courses 317.Tai Lopez - SMMA 2.0 318.Tai Lopez - Cashflow System 319.Tai Lopez - Digital Social Marketing Consultant 320.TAI LOPEZ – PRIVATE MENTOR CONFERENCE 2018 321.TAI LOPEZ –ENTREPRENEURS STARTER KIT DAN LOK courses 322.DAN LOK – HIGH TICKET CLOSER 323.Dan Lok – Instagram Secret 2019 324.DAN LOK – PERFECT CLOSING SCRIPT 325.DAN LOK – TUBE YOUR OWN HORN 326.DAN LOK – 6 STEPS TO 6 FIGURES
IMAN GADZHI courses
327.IMAN GADZHI – AGENCY INCUBATOR 328.IMAN GADZHI – SIX FIGURE SMMA 329.IMAN GADZHI – INFLUENCER IGNITED 2.0 330.IMAN GADZHI – KAIZEN CURE 331.IMAN GADZHI – PEN TO PROFIT MEMBERSHIP If you need proof of the courses, just let me know and if you are looking for another course that is not on the list, we will just let you know and we will give you a good price. We have more than 1000 courses available. Write us [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
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