Indianapolis Colts

Division: AFC South

Coaching Changes

Colts lost defensive line coach Mike Phair to the Panthers and replaced him with Brian Baker who is most recently out of Alabama. Mike Groh reunites with Frank Reich as he was hired as wide receivers coach, while Patullo moved to the role of pass game specialist to accommodate. Tyler Boyles was signed on as the assistant to the head coach to replace Parks Frazier who is moving to offensive quality control coach.

Free Agency

Players lost/cut

Name	Position	New Team
Adam Vinatieri	K	Free Agent
Clayton Geathers	S	Free Agent
Joe Haeg	T	Buccaneers
Jabaal Sheard	DE	Free Agent
Eric Ebron	TE	Steelers
Devin Funchess	WR	Green Bay
Pierre Desir	CB	New York Jets
Quincy Wilson	CB	New York Jets

Adam hasn’t officially announced his retirement, but I doubt he comes back to the NFL. He struggled throughout the year before going on IR. Geathers is a great character guy who began the season as the starting strong safety, but slowly lost reps to the impressive rookie Khari Willis. Haeg is the only guy the Colts probably wanted back as he’s a capable backup at all five slots on the line. Sheard is getting up there in age, Ebron seems to have made a business decision, and Funchess was the worst affected in the week one Claviclysm when injured his clavicle alongside Hill and Foles while being the only one to miss the rest of the season. Pierre Desir was an unexpected cut this offseason after playing well enough through the year despite playing through an injury. Quincy Wilson was traded to the Jets after a few disappointing seasons.
Players signed

Name	Position	Old Team	Length	Money
Philip Rivers	QB	Chargers	1 Yr	25 Mil
DeForest Buckner	DT	49ers	5 Yr	21 Mil/Y
Sheldon Day	DT	49ers	1 Yr	1.75 Mil
Xavier Rhodes	CB	Vikings	1 Yr	3 Mil
Trey Burton	TE	Bears	1 Yr	.91 Mil
Roosevelt Nix	RB	Steelers	1 Yr	.96 Mil
TJ Carrie	CB	Browns	1 Yr	1 Mil

Let’s start with Philip Rivers. It’s clear that Jacoby Brissett is not the guy and the Colts had to make a choice. They went with a player that both head coach Frank Reich and offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni have worked with previously, which may be quite valuable as we implement the offense during a shortened offseason. Regardless, Philip underwent a dramatic statistical drop last year. I think he’s still got juice left in him and can make a great deal of good throws if he has a decent amount of room in the pocket. If you have some time, I recommend this video by The Scouting Academy featuring former offensive coordinator turned quarterback guru Steve Fairchild.
While DeForest Buckner was not technically a free agent, he was a massive departure from the Chris Ballard modus operandi of building through the draft. The team desperately needed a 3T and they traded their first round pick for one of the best in the league. Joining him will be recent teammate Sheldon Day who will likely take over quite a few snaps at the 1T.
Xavier Rhodes was signed on almost immediately after cutting Pierre Desir. He certainly seemed physically incapable of doing what was asked of him last year. Some players have called out the scheme change as a reason that Rhodes might return to form. Personally, I don’t quite see it and think his primary value on the team might be on using his intelligence as a veteran presence in a young CB room.
Of the remaining three, Trey Burton seems like a lock at TE2 after an injury filled stint with the Bears. Roosevelt Nix is an interesting choice as I expect him to continue his heavily blocking role he played with the Steelers as well as pick up a few more rushing snaps than he did with the Steelers as we lack a true fullback. Carrie is a guy that has a chance at being the backup slot behind Kenny Moore, but I don’t think he’s secured a spot yet.

Draft

Round	Pick	Name	Position	College
2	34	Michael Pittman	WR	USC
2	41	Jonathan Taylor	RB	Wisconsin
2	85	Julian Blackmon	S	Utah
3	122	Jacob Eason	QB	QB
4	149	Danny Pinter	G	G
6	211	Robert Windsor	DT	Penn State
6	211	Isaiah Rodgers	CB	UMass
6	212	Dezmon Patmon	WR	Washington State
7	213	Jordan Glasgow	LB	Michigan

Michael Pittman Jr, WR, USC 2.34 Grade: A
This man just feels like a Colt. He’s a physical player and will immediately slot in as Philip River’s YOLO target. He’s got great size and uses it well both in positioning himself against a receiver to win the ball as well as using his frame and forcing his way down field. Even on truly contested catches, he has great hands with only 5 drops against 176 catchable targets in college. Lastly, his frame and hand usage make him a valuable blocker, which is particularly valued by Frank Reich as he plans to run the damn ball.
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin 2.41 Grade: A-
This man is going to run the damn ball. Let’s start by mentioning his toughness, with nearly 1000 rushes through three years. The man’s body doesn’t show any sign that it will ever give up. He has enough cutting ability to dodge the occasional tackle, but excels at using his physique and contact balance to force his way through a tackle. If the defense fails to collapse on Taylor quickly, they’re at risk of him taking off. Taylor was the fastest running back at the combine running a 4.39 at 225 pounds. Going 1-on-1 with him nearing full speed is almost a futile prospect. As he finds lanes behind probably the best run blocking line in the league, he’ll be plenty of trouble. Not without flaws, he’s had a somewhat questionable history with fumbles that will likely lead to plenty of time with Tom Rathman. He also has limited experience in the passing game.
Julian Blackmon, S, Utah 3.85 Grade: C+
Perhaps I’m being a bit too harsh on Blackmon because I’m slightly addicted to watching Pittman embarrass the Utah defense in the Utah vs USC game. Perhaps it’s just because I’ve watched limited tape and safeties struggle with getting on tape for failing in coverage more often than being particularly good in coverage. Either way, as the heir apparent to Malik Hooker’s starting free safety position, Blackmon feels in a way like the opposite player. While both players had an eye for the ball coming out of college, Blackmon feels overall much more inconsistent in coverage, but he also feels like a much more solid tackler. Blackmon is also a recent convert to safety from corner, so perhaps what I’m seeing is simply growing pains especially because my reviewed games are from early in the season.
Jacob Eason, QB, Washington 4.122 Grade: C+
Jacob Eason was a surprise drop for many who considered him a second round prospect. His arm is an absolute cannon belonging right in that Josh Allen tier of pure arm strength. Of course, he’s a fourth round pick for a reason. He struggles to work through his progressions, he can’t consistently throw with touch, and there are some huge question marks regarding his work ethic. There’s a whole lot of potential, but I’m not going to call the future franchise QB spot secured for the Colts yet. For the time being, I’ll call him a fine backup for a team that didn’t otherwise have a QB rostered for 2021.
Danny Pinter, G, Ball State 5.149 Grade: B-
Danny Pinter is an undersized prospect that is moving in to play guard after most recently playing as a tackle. As a tight end convert from a small school, he still lacks a lot of the technique and strength and conditioning that you would hope for in an NFL O-line prospect. I’ve seen him be pretty weak with his hand placement and he’s let the defender get into his chest a couple times. The upside here is Pinter’s mobility. He ran the second fastest 40 of all offensive linemen at the combine at 4.91 seconds at 306 pounds and put up respectable numbers for the remaining footwork related drills. Altogether a fine pick for a team with a solid offensive line that will hopefully have time to develop their rookie.
Robert Windsor, DT, Penn State 6.193 Grade: C
Robert Windsor has a good first step and a motor that doesn’t stop. That’s all the good I can say about him. Windsor doesn’t have the strength, length, or technique to make an impression. With the potential of Denico Autry moving to the edge, it seems like they might be looking at Windsor as a backup for Buckner. If Tyquan Lewis continues to be a disappointment in the limited camp, Windsor might just sneak onto the roster by need alone, which is the only reason I can bump my grade to a C, though perhaps I’m a little too critical as I felt there were a couple of other players that are more roster worthy.
Isaiah Rodgers, CB, UMass 6.211 Grade: A
Isaiah Rodgers is an absolute burner. His pro-day speed was 4.28. Admittedly hand timed is always faster, but he’s clearly quick on tape. A bit undersized at 5’10”, he’ll likely be relegated to the back end of the cornerback depth chart until he can develop into an NFL level corner, but his immediate value seems very obvious on special teams. His speed makes him a threat at kick returns and he’ll likely get tried out as a backup punt returner. As a gunner, he will gladly hit you with everything he’s got. Check this hit.
Dezmon Patmon, WR, Washington State 6.212 Grade: B+
Patman is an intriguing prospect. He’s got a great combination of size and speed. While easily compared to second round pick Pittman because of his physical traits, Patmon lacks a lot of the polish. Worse hands, worse route running, and doesn’t quite play to his size like Pittman does. Regardless, I expect him to find production in his rookie year as Frank Reich was playing with the most injured wide receiver core in the league last year and has proven an ability to scheme depth players open consistently. Lastly, I think his size and River’s tendencies towards giant players is going to come into play fairly often near the redzone.
Jordan Glasgow, LB, Michigan 6.213 Grade: B+
Glasgow isn’t a guy I want to see playing a lot of defensive snaps in a game. He’s technically refined enough, but physically doesn’t seem to have a very high ceiling. During the Middle Tennessee State game that I reviewed for him, Michigan used him plenty to blitz the quarterback where he was plenty effective, but I won’t pretend that he was up against top tier opponents. Ultimately Glasgow is going to be a special teams specialist after a college career where he excelled at special teams, which at the end of the 6th round is all you can ask for.

Roster

QB: 3 Rivers, Brissett, Eason
Things are pretty straightforward for the Colts this year. There aren’t any preseason games, so nobody can retire after one. Rivers is the starter, hoping to prove that his career isn’t over after a down year last year. Brissett is a capable enough backup. Eason is the team’s insurance for 2021 when no other quarterbacks are on the roster and will hopefully not have to start during what is sure to be an odd season. First man out is $wag Kelly, who seems mainly to hold a roster spot as a favor between Frank Reich and his old friend Jim Kelly.
RB: 4 Mack, Taylor, Hines, Nix
For a while at least, Mack gets to hold the starting job. It’s certainly a competition with Taylor’s level of talent and I expect a pretty even split over the course of the year. Despite some competition at the position, Hines may have his best year considering River’s appreciation for receiving backs. Rosie Nix is the new fullback from the Steelers who might get a few touches here and there, but exists primarily for his blocking ability. First man out is Jordan Wilkins. This is a contentious cut for Colts fans. Wilkins has an unusual level of highlight type plays that lend to his 6.0 yards per attempt over 51 carries last year. Alas, roster spots are at a premium and running backs are not.
WR: 6 Hilton, Pittman, Pascal, Campbell, Marcus Johnson, Dezmon Patmon
Hilton’s the obvious choice. After two years struggling with health issues, Colts fans are hoping their WR1 remains healthy for the whole year. Pittman comes in as a fairly polished candidate from the top of the second round in a stacked receiver class. He’ll hold down the X receiver immediately. Zach Pascal was a pleasant surprise for Colts fans last year. With a list of injuries above him, Pascal did his best as WR1 for several games last year and led the Colts in receiving yards. As a WR3, he’ll get less focus and still be fairly valuable. Campbell has shown plenty of big play ability, what he needs to show is durability. He suffered four separate injuries last year including training camp. Hopefully, it was just a fluke and he can show off more of what he can do with a ball in his hands. Marcus Johnson is a fan favorite after his Tampa Bay showing last year. After starting the season on injured reserve, he returned to the practice squad and eventually made the roster last year. Colts fans are hoping his 16.3 yards per reception last year and 17 yards per reception in 2018 weren’t flukes and can be duplicated on more snaps Rivers. Dezmon Patman comes in as a somewhat unrefined option. I’ve already mentioned his physical traits. With a little bit of help from Reich’s scheming, I think he’ll find a handful of receptions this year, particularly towards the red zone. The first man out here is Daurice Fountain. After moving to the active roster in mid-2018, Reece was a training camp hit in 2019 until suffering an ankle injury in camp. While he might compete for the position, I haven’t seen enough from him in the first two years to give him right of way over Johnson and the rookie Patmon.
TE: 3 Jack Doyle, Trey Burton, Mo Alie-Cox
Jack Doyle has been a reliable pass catcher and mauling run blocker for years. He’s solid in his position as a starter. Trey Burton reunites with Frank Reich and is only two years removed from having a 569 yard season with the Bears. After struggling with injuries last season, Burton is hoping for a return to form this season. Mo Alie-Cox was a bit disappointing as many were expecting more receiving stats, but he’s still a talented run blocker with plenty of potential for next year. With Rivers having an appreciation for big bodied receivers, perhaps the 6’5.5” receiver with a 7’1” wingspan will find a few jump balls his way.
OL: 9 Castonzo, Nelson, Kelly, Glowinski, Smith, Clark, Patterson, Pinter, O’Donnell
The Colts are lucky enough to return all 5 starting offensive linemen this year. Castonzo played some of the best football of his career last year and signed on for two more years after considering retirement for a while. Quenton Nelson is coming off his second First Team All-Pro year. Kelly is a great Center coming off a fairly healthy season and going into a contract year. Glowinski is the weak point of the line, but that’s not so much an insult to Glowinski as it is a credit to the rest of the team. He’s still a very serviceable guard. Braden Smith is surpassing my wildest expectations from the day he was drafted as a guard. With early 2018 injuries to the tackle position, Smith made the shift and has been great at the position. Beyond the starting five, things get a bit more questionable with a significant loss of depth this past year. Clark returns on a one year contract and will be taking over the swing tackle position now that Joe Haeg has left. Patterson suffered a torn ACL in his rookie year, but is the only center on the roster behind Kelly and not including Nelson who only holds the position so he can keep 56. Pinter seems like the obvious option as a backup guard. O’Donnell is a Canadian football prospect that I assume the Colts found at the East-West Shrine bowl where he played fairly well. The Colts need depth at tackle and I can see O’Donnell doing that. First man out is Eldrenkamp as a backup guard.
DL: 9 Autry, Buckner, Day, Houston, Turay, Stewart, Muhammad, Lewis, Banogu
Autry has largely played DT the past couple years and done a fine job of it. With Sheard leaving in free agency, I currently have Autry slotted as the guy to move outside and take over the job. Buckner is our 3T we’ve been looking for. I hopefully don’t need to say anything else. Sheldon Day is competing with Grover Stewart for the 1T spot. I’ve got Day listed as my starter, but for a position that will see plenty of rotation I don’t think it matters either way. Turay is the “if only” story of 2019. Houston had a surprisingly healthy year and racked up 11 sacks, tied for second most in his career. Turay showed a ton of talent in his few snaps prior to injury in 2019. Over the five weeks he played, he ranked second in PFF’s pass-rushing grade and pass-rush rate with a 22.9% pressure rate. If he can build on these past two years, Turay may be a monster. Tyquan Lewis is the disappointment of Chris Ballard’s 2018 draft. He’s struggled with a couple of injuries and he’s had a few healthy scratches that I haven’t heard anything verifiable to explain away. Alas, I’m leaving him in the lineup as a guy who is flexible enough to back up Buckner, but also play outside as need be. Banogu is another guy that has shown flashes here and there. First one out is Robert Windsor, who might take that 3T spot if Lewis doesn’t shape up in camp.
LB: 6 Leonard, Walker, Okereke, Speed, Adams, Glasgow
13 games, 5 Int, 2 FF, 7 PD, 5 Sacks, 121 Tackles. Darius Leonard put up some impressive stats last year and he’s aiming for the top. If he can pull off a 16 game season with similar stats, he’ll have an argument for DPOY. Walker is a smart player, if a little limited athletically and in coverage skills. I’ll keep him as the starter, but many fans are arguing for Okereke to take over the role. Okereke was PFF’s top ranked rookie linebacker last year, particularly for his athleticism and strength in coverage. EJ Speed had some limited play last year while Leonard was dealing with a concussion. He played fine, but has yet to show anything to get excited about. Glasgow takes the final spot primarily for special teams value. Adams has played a handful of snaps here and there, but is primarily going to be a special teams player. First man out is Zaire Franklin was only getting special teams snaps anyways.
CB: 5 Rhodes, Moore, Ya-Sin, Tell, Rodgers
Rhodes is hoping for a resurgence in a different scheme. I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt and give the former first team all-pro the nod as CB1. Kenny Moore II has been a great slot corner for the Colts these past couple years. He struggled with injuries for a long while to end out the year last year, but I fully expect him to continue his efforts to make himself a household name this year. Rock Ya-Sin was our rookie pick last year near the top of the 2nd round. He had some common rookie CB mistakes, but showed enough talent and growth to believe he has a high chance of taking over the CB1 role. Marvell Tell is an incredible physical specimen that the Colts took last year with the expectations of moving him to CB from Safety. With injuries to the cornerback position, he got a few more snaps than we were hoping, but he flashed a great deal. If Xavier Rhodes’s physical decline last season continues, I wouldn’t be completely surprised to see Tell starting over a healthy Rhodes. Rodgers is still very developmental as a corner, but holds plenty of value for special teams. First man out is TJ Carrie who would have been a fine slot backup in case Kenny Moore went down.
S: 5 Hooker, Willis, Odum, Blackmon, Milligan
Malik Hooker is entering the last year of his contract with the Colts after having his fifth year option declined. Hooker lit up the stat sheet his rookie year, but ever since the scheme change, has struggled to prove he was worth the draft position. With an improved pass rush this year, perhaps his sixth sense in finding the ball will come into play more often. Khari Willis was a pleasant surprise last year. It was clear the Colts liked him when Ballard traded draft capital to move up, but I wouldn’t have expected him to so clearly take over the starting strong safety position. On top of that, Willis played reasonably at free safety during Hooker’s injury last year. Odum is a solid backup who can play at both strong and free safety. Julian Blackmon is the new rookie who I assume is intended to be Hooker’s successor next year. For the time being he’s coming back from an ACL injury and may not be available until midyear, but as the successor to the starting position, I think it’s important to at least give him a spot for now. Milligan is a versatile player. He’s really a free safety, but played a bit of slot corner last year when Kenny Moore went down.
ST: 3 Blankenship, Sanchez, Rhodes
Hot Rod is my guess to be kicker. While McLaughlin played well enough for the Colts. Even with a 100% hit rate on extra points, there’s plenty of room for more consistency as he ranked 22nd overall in field goal percentage last year. It’ll be a tough contest in camp, but if I’m calling my shot with Hot Rod. Sanchez hasn’t played his best football these past couple years. I’m hoping someone else takes over kickoffs and Sanchez can focus entirely on punting in hopes of returning to form.

Position Group Strengths and Weaknesses

QB
The Colts QB room seems solid. I’m expecting Rivers to return to his typical self that still throws a decent amount of interceptions. Regardless, a quarterback that doesn’t constantly hold onto the ball for 3+ seconds playing behind this line is going to have plenty of opportunities to make great plays. For this year of all years, it seems like the value in having backup quarterbacks is going to be at an all time high and I don’t feel so bad about what the Colts have. I’ll call it a fairly average group until Rivers can prove his career isn’t over.
Backfield
The Colts have a group of good backs, but lack an elite option particularly when considering that none have proved themselves a threat in both the rushing and passing game at the moment. As a group, I’ll call it borderline top 10 in large part because any one of these players could get injured without it feeling season ruining as may be true with a few of the teams with top running backs.
OL
I have no complaints about the starting offensive line, the huge question mark is about the depth. The Colts were lucky enough to start the same five men all season last year, but one injury to Anthony Castonzo and Colts fans will have flashbacks to the five game stretch he missed in 2018 where Luck suffered 10 of the 18 total sacks on the season. Alas, many teams struggle with depth and I hope I don’t have to argue too much about this being one of the best groups in the NFL.
Pass catchers
By Adjusted Games Lost, the Colts had the single most injured wide receiver room last year. The single biggest thing that needs to be proven is that we can stay healthy across the board. If they stay healthy, the Colts are a mid tier group, but under the assumption that TY’s health issues these past two years continue, I’m forced to assume they’re a bottom third group until we can trust someone to be a true WR1 in most games.
DL
The Colts starting lineup seems pretty strong, but for a position group that we want to rotate with depth players on, I’ve gotta question what kind of play we’re going to see out of guys like Tyquan Lewis and Ben Banogu. As such, I’ll call this group middling overall.
LB
It’s just a solid group all around. The fact that we can’t decide between Okereke and Walker as starters is primarily a question of which is better, not which is worse. Behind them is plenty of serviceable depth that holds an important role in special teams.
Secondary
This is the one group with question marks at basically every spot. Can Rhodes return to All-Pro form? Was the apparent growth for Ya-Sin real and can it continue? Can Moore stay healthy? Can Tell develop into a starting safety? Can Hooker stay healthy after missing significant time these past two years and can he prove he’s worth his draft position?
Special Teams
What just one year ago felt like a solid group for kicking and punting, now feels a bit questionable. I don’t want to get so down about Rigo’s down year as it was still overall decent. With the new search for a kicker, I can’t complain about either of the current options and I don’t believe either will get nearly the leash that Adam Vinatieri got last year, so I’d say the floor there is much higher. The returning seems like it’s best in years after Hines has impressed and our return team overall just seems to be getting stronger. With the addition of Isaiah Rodgers, this may be a group to beat.

Schedule Predictions

Week 1: @ Jaguars (W)
Ah yes, the Jaguars. An eternal question mark for the Colts. Generally believed to be one of the worst rosters in the league, I’d have to agree. There are plenty of question marks on their defense that they’re hoping will be filled in by rookies. I would expect them to have growing pains even without a shortened offseason. Week one, this seems to weigh heavily with the Colts who’ve added strong veteran talent in Rivers and Buckner.
Week 2: vs Vikings (W)
Despite having one of my favorite drafts of the year, the Vikings have many of the same struggles as the Jaguars. First, we must accept that moving from Diggs to Jefferson isn’t likely to be a smooth transition in Jefferson’s first year. Just as notably they’re losing their two corners that put up the most snaps for them in 2019. While neither of their 2018 corners were playing at their best, it currently looks like they’ll have two rookie starting corners with Gladney and Dantzler and I think all of reddit knows to expect cornerbacks to have rookie year struggles.
Week 3: vs Jets (W)
Can TY play corner? The Jets draft is another one of my favorites, but they’re still not quite there as a whole. Despite my love for Becton, I don’t think their list of offensive line changes have turned into a complete group. On top of that, I’m still not quite happy with their weapons. Bell looks like he’s still got mileage left in him if only he had a better line. Their tight end group is highly dubious, and their wide receiver group has really better hope Mims can actually play like a WR1. I think it’ll be a better game than some might assume based on a lot of opinions I hear on the Jets, but I’ve got the Colts with the edge.
Week 4: @ Bears (W)
As a fan of watching line play, this will be a game to remember. The Bears d-line is arguably the best run defense in the league and they’re not bad against the pass either particularly when backed by a good secondary. Unfortunately for the Bears, I’m expecting their weaker offensive line to struggle vs the Colts defensive line more than the opposite.
Week 5: @ Browns (L)
Ah, yes. I get to another one of my favorite offseasons. Just about everything the Browns did seemed like a good move. On paper, the Browns offense is scary as hell and I just don’t have any arguments for why they would be worse. Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills are going to be great additions to fix that line, then you go and add Hooper as if you didn’t have enough weapons. With even half-decent coaching this team can be dangerous and I can’t trust the Colts secondary to handle every weapon.
Week 6: vs Bengals (W)
After five straight years of the Bengals losing their first round pick for a significant amount of time due to injury, maybe this year will be an exception. With the return of Jonah Williams, perhaps that line can actually have a half decent year, but I’m not going to bet the house on it. For the time being, the Bengals are still working on their rebuild.
Week 7: Bye
Week 8: @ Lions (W)
What little I watched of the Lions last year seemed like a decent quality team. As rarely as I like to bet on rookie corners, Okudah is as complete as any college corner I’ve seen. I’m not ready to call them a strong team, but they don’t seem weak by any means. A return from Stafford could make the NFC North one of the most internally competitive divisions to watch. Regardless, I feel like the Colts have a somewhat stronger roster.
Week 9: Ravens (L)
If only I could go to this game in person. I’d love to see how the Colts defense matches up against that Ravens offense in person. Top to bottom the Ravens have one of the strongest rosters in the league, so they get the strong edge.
Week 10: @ Titans (L)
I hate Thursday night games. The home team has a huge statistical advantage. Going into Tennessee tired after a tough Ravens game certainly isn’t going to do the Colts any favors when they’ve gotta try to tackle Derrick Henry.
Week 11: vs Packers (L)
This is just a long stretch of teams asking a lot of the Colts physically. Stopping the run week after week with the Ravens then Derrick Henry then Jones/Dillon is just going to be physically brutal. Luckily, the Colts are coming off a ten day bye at home, but the Packers are just an overall solid team all around and I think they’ll still be very competitive at every phase of the game.
Week 12: vs Titans (W)
I don’t think the Colts will be happy with their string of losses. I think they’re coming back hungry and trying to prove themselves against a divisional opponent at home.
Week 13: @Texans (W)
After the Texans split games in 2018 and 2019, the Colts are going to get the first win of 2020. For two closely matched teams in 2019, the Colts have lost nobody of any particular importance and purely added more talent, while the Texans sold off Hopkins in hopes that Cooks and Cobb will somehow elevate their offense. It’s a risky bet.
Week 14: @ Raiders (W)
Last year’s Raiders led the Colts by 7 points with just over 2 minutes to go in the half prior to Brissett’s pick 6. Looking at things from a clean slate, I’d fully expect the return of previously inactive Hilton, Leonard, and Hooker to cover the gap between the two teams and I have the Colts winning next year’s game.
Week 15: vs Texans (L)
Let’s not underrate Deshaun Watson. Having watched Luck carry a questionable offense for years, I think Deshaun’s got enough talent to pull some wins out of his ass. I’m certainly not so low on the Texans roster to believe Deshaun can’t push it to a win.
Week 16: @ Steelers (W)
Last year’s game was a 2 point Steelers victory after an Adam Vinatieri kick went awry with about a minute left in the game. So, they question is, were the Colts offseason improvements worth 2 points on the Steelers? Both of these teams are expected to improve greatly with the return and hiring of 2004 quarterback legends, but I’d have to give a slight nod to Big Ben as the greater improvement from Mason Rudolph vs Rivers replacing Brissett/Hoyer. For remaining Inactives, I’d have to credit the loss of TY Hilton as a more significant factor than that of James Connor. What I think finally takes the Colts over the top is the combination of their first round pick for DeForest Buckner as well as a stronger pair of second round additions with Pittman and Taylor vs Claypool.
Week 17: vs Jaguars (L)
If you don’t like the look of that L next to the Jaguars game, you don’t like AFC South football. The Jags always seem like a much better team about once a year. I’m looking at you 2018 Jags. At 10-5, I think the Colts have a good chance at being guaranteed a playoff berth and the Jags probably just want to prove themselves more.

Schemes

Offense
If you’re looking at last year’s team as a model for this year’s offense, you’re probably missing something. To quote Ozzurip from last year’s review, “The point is that there isn’t a specific scheme.” Frank Reich isn’t beholden to doing one thing every week. He wants to find every mismatch and exploit it to the best of his ability by using a diverse set of tools. Jacoby’s limitations as a player saw the passing offense get unnecessarily flat last year. Philip Rivers is the bet to run Frank Reich’s offense properly.
This starts by looking at your traditional West Coast offense utilizing a lot of nickel and dime throws in order to set up a rush. Of course with the Colt’s power running and more modern RPO usage, the run game is setting up this short passing game just as well. When teams are playing too close to the box, Frank will call up a play to push the ball deep where his new quarterback is more than willing to follow through. Ultimately, Reich will push whatever works. If the Colts are running over the opposing team, he won’t be afraid to lean into the run, but I personally believe the Colts will want to be a pass first offense once again. This is admittedly not a commonly agreed upon point among Colts fans. Feel free to take my opinion with a grain of salt.
The Colts have a diverse set of weapons that allow them to play just about any game they want to and will gladly lean on certain weapons to target specific weaknesses in the opponent’s defense. You want big guys? Let’s throw Doyle, Alie-Cox, Pittman, and Patmon out there. This not only puts out a selection of big bodies to have to defend against, but also a good list of run blockers for whichever running back they’re throwing out. Want speed? Hilton, Campbell, and Hines are each capable of stretching the field vertically. The last note I want to add would be a likely increase in 22 personnel. Just toss out Patmon and mix and match some running backs. Reich has mentioned seeing Mack and Taylor on the field at the same time, but I would fully expect plenty of plays with Nix holding a lead blocker role or even a more Tom Rathman-esque fullback that pulls in passes in the short game.
Defense
The Colts defense is a pretty simple scheme based on a 4-3 Tampa 2 defense. Despite some excitement after the Chiefs game where the Colts played man on 73.3% of snaps, expect for the Colts to play a vast majority of their snaps in zone coverage. Playing man for that one game was likely just taking advantage of a weakened receiving core than it was a proof of the Colts sudden willingness to move to a different scheme.
The Colts are heavily reliant on the front four to generate pressure and do so by rotating through 8-9 defensive linemen with the goal of keeping players fresh. The Colts defensive lineman with the highest snap count last year was Justin Houston who only played in 65.18% of snaps. Perhaps bringing in Buckner will cause the team to add a bit more consistency after Buckner’s 78.72% snaps on the 49ers last season. This focus on the front 4 is accentuated by the 6th lowest blitz rate in the league in 2019.
Part of what helps the defensive line be effective is their ability to focus on the passer while the linebackers work heavily to stop the run. The Colts run a lot of a concept called patterns where the play side linebacker’s goal is to control the offensive line and push the run outside where the other linebacker is meant to be athletic enough to cross the line and stop the run. For a more detailed look at the Colts implementation of this concept, read Zach Hicks’s writeup on this
Behind the linebacker group is typically a Cover-2 whose primary goal is to cover the deep zones and prevent any big plays. The idea is that forcing a team to dink and dunk down the field forces the offense to be successful on more plays to reach the end zone. More plays means more opportunities on each drive for interceptions, sacks, forced fumbles, and simply missed passes in order to set the offense back. The Colts were ultimately tied for 10th in the league at 13.1 percent of drives ending in a turnover.
Shoutouts to those who helped:
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1. Introduction

Franchise QB Andrew Luck stunned the NFL world a few weeks before the 2019 season began by announcing his retirement at age 29. I really felt sorry for Colts fans; that had to be a devastating blow. The timing also prevented the team from drafting accordingly.
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Indianapolis rolled with Jacoby Brissett and they were right in the thick of the playoff race. They were sitting on a 6-4 record before a four-game losing skid crushed their hopes.
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2. Offensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

2.1 Quarterbacks (QBs)
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After spending 16 seasons with the Chargers (!!!), Philip Rivers will be wearing a Colts uniform in 2020. That’s going to look weird.
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Last year, Rivers had his fourth-highest passing yard output with 4,615, but the problem lied with his poor TD-to-INT ratio. Indeed, 20 interceptions represented the second-most of his career, while his 23 TD passes were its lowest in 12 years.
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Rivers has never been much of a runner. Now in his late thirties, things are looking even worse. He seems to get bottled up easily. Also, he appeared dead armed at numerous times. We’ll see if a change of scenery will rejuvenate his career, but it seems doubtful at this point.
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Jacoby Brissett has to be one of the top backup QB in the league. With Andrew Luck announcing his surprise retirement a few weeks before the 2019 season began, Brissett took over under center.
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Brissett didn’t have a great year. Throwing just six interceptions was nice, but racking up just 18 TD passes just won’t cut it in the NFL. Granted, he didn’t have a lot of weapons at his disposal with the Colts lacking a #2 WR and their top wideout T.Y. Hilton missing six games. He still represents a good insurance policy in case the Rivers experiment doesn’t pan out.
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2.2 Running Backs (RBs)
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After missing to hit the 1,000 rushing-yard mark by 92, Marlon Mack accomplished the feat in 2019 with 1,091 rushing yards. He’s not much of a receiver, though; he caught just 14 passes last year.
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My opinion may not be very popular, but I’m not sold on him. I believe he benefits a lot from the great blocking in front of him. He rarely gets much more than what’s blocked ahead of him. Still, he’ll remain Indy’s top back, while splitting time with a few more guys.
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Jordan Wilkins added a bit over 300 rushing yards by posting a nice 6.0 yards-per-rush average. The year before, that average turned out to be 5.6. Those are great numbers, but the team seems reluctant to increase his workload.
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Nyheim Hines is mainly used as a pass catcher. He might take on an Austin Ekeler-type role with Rivers this year.
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Considering the depth at the position, taking Jonathan Taylor early in the 2nd round of the draft may sound puzzling at first. Perhaps the organization agrees with me about Mack not being as great as he looks. The fact that Mack is set to hit free agency at the end of the year also played a role in the decision as well.
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Taylor carried the ball 926 times for the Wisconsin Badgers. He rushed for at least 1,975 yards in each of his three college years, which is unreal! He is a great runner with cement hands; he fumbles the ball too often and doesn’t catch very well out of the backfield.
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2.3 Wide Receivers (WRs)
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T.Y. Hilton had missed just four games during his first seven seasons in the NFL; he missed six matchups in 2019 alone. He ended with career-lows in receptions (45) and receiving yards (501).
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He stormed out of the gate with 30 receptions, 306 yards and 5 TDs over the first five games. During the next five: 15 catches, 195 yards and 0 TD. He had an injury-riddled season.
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I believe he can revert to his old self. He showed he could still play at a high level early in the season, but injuries got the best of him. We’ll see how his 30-year old body reacts in 2020.
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The undrafted receiver from Old Dominion, Zach Pascal, showed some flashes last year. He led the team with 45 receptions and 5 TDs. I don’t believe he can do much better, though.
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It’s difficult to evaluate Parris Campbell’s first year as a pro. He had a sore hamstring, a sports hernia, a broken hand and a broken foot in 2019. It’s hard to show off your skills under such circumstances.
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The speedy receiver out of Ohio St. will have a chance to prove his worth in the upcoming season. He was selected in the 2nd round of the 2019 draft at the #59 overall spot.
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Another candidate to start opposite Hilton is second-round rookie Michael Pittman from USC. The word on him is he’s a hard worker with a good mix of size and speed. He also does a great job with contested catches and he has reliable hands, as shown by his five drops out of 254 targets in college.
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2.4 Tight Ends (TEs)
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The Colts had a nice combo of pass catching tight ends with Jack Doyle and Eric Ebron. Both finished with similar above-average marks from PFF, but Ebron packed his bags to head to Pittsburgh. His presence will be missed, even though he’s known for his tendency to drop passes.
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Doyle’s numbers decreased last year, but they are likely to shoot up following Ebron’s departure. After catching 59 and 80 balls during the 2016 and 2017 seasons, he missed most of the 2018 season before hauling in “just” 43 passes last year. He struggled down the stretch with just 7 receptions in four contests, but the 6’6’’ guy is likely to bounce back.
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Mo Alie-Cox could see an increased role in 2020. He has only caught 15 passes in two years, but has received great grades as a blocker.
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2.5 Offensive Line (OL)
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This unit has to be one of the strongest in the entire league. They do a great job, both in the running and passing game.
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After pondering about the possibility of retiring, left tackle Anthony Castonzo opted to sign a two-year deal. He graded as the seventh-best tackle in the league according to PFF, but he turns 32 very soon. Keep that in mind.
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Pro Bowler Quenton Nelson has been a star at left guard. The number six overall pick from the 2018 draft out of Notre Dame has not disappointed. He was rated the second-best guard in the league, only behind Brandon Brooks from the Eagles.
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Center Ryan Kelly has been a steady guy during his first four years with the Colts. He’s entering his prime years at age 27. He obtained the #8 spot out of 37 centers based on PFF ratings.
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Braden Smith was a second-round pick in the 2018 draft. After receiving a very respectable 71.8 grade in his rookie season, he improved upon those numbers to reach a 79.8 mark last year. All signs point towards him being a smart selection.
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Right guard Mark Glowinski seems to be the weakest link of the fortress. He was claimed off waivers in 2018 after the Seahawks released him. He has been an average player in his two-year stint in Indy.
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In summary, all five starters are returning which is excellent news for the Colts. Having continuity on the offensive line is critical to success.
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2020 VS 2019 OFFENSE
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The whole QB position received a lift with the addition of Philip Rivers. Whether he’ll be an adequate starter or not remains to be seen, but having Rivers-Brissett has to be viewed as a better alternative than having Brissett-Hoyer, as was the case in 2019.
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The RB and WR positions remain fairly intact with the exceptions of a few backups who won’t be there anymore. The team definitely has good depth in the backfield; the same cannot be said about the receiving corps. However, the WR position is much more likely to see an improvement with Hilton having a clean bill of health and Parris Campbell getting a chance to show what he can do at the pro level (as well as rookie Michael Pittman).
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At tight end, losing Ebron represents a deterioration for the team.
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Finally, how is the 2020 outlook for the offensive line compared to last year? Even though I love the group, you have to expect a downgrade here. These guys played at a high level, and none of them missed a single game last year. Can you really expect them not to miss any game due to injuries in 2020? That seems highly unlikely.
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Therefore, we have an expected upgrade at QB and WR, but a likely downgrade at TE and on the OL. The team finished 16th out of 32 teams in terms of points scored per game. I expect the production to stay approximately the same.
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Final call (2020 vs 2019): Stable
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3. Defensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

3.1 Defensive Linemen (DLs)
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The best player on the interior of the defensive line for the Colts has been Denico Autry. After posting 10.5 sacks over his first four seasons with the Raiders, he exploded with 9 sacks with the Colts in 2018, but a disappointing 3.5 last year.
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Still, his level of play has been adequate as he finished as the 32nd-best DL among 114 qualifiers. He was a respectable player in all aspects of the game.
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Considering Grover Stewart was a mediocre player, the team reinforced the position by acquiring a couple of 49ers players: DeForest Buckner and Sheldon Day.
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The Colts sacrificed the #13 overall pick in the 2020 draft in order to get Buckner. That’s a fair price to pay for one of the best interior defenders in the league who is also entering his prime years. He’s been good both against the run and the pass; he has averaged 7.1 sacks per season. What a huge boost for this unit!
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As for Sheldon Day, he’s not nearly as good as Buckner. He’s more of a rotational presence. His PFF grades have been a bit below-average thus far in his four-year career.
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3.2 Defensive Ends (DEs) / Edge Rushers (ED)
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Justin Houston was clearly the most dangerous pass rusher the Colts had in 2019. In his first season with Indy after spending eight years in Kansas City, he led the team with 11 sacks.
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Despite missing some games due to injuries during his nine-year career, he has average 9.9 sacks per season. Now on the wrong side of 30, you need to start being concerned about whether his play will tail off or not.
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Jabaal Sheard was used on more than 50% of the defensive snaps. He regularly gets 4-5 sacks per season, as was the case last year. However, poor tackling has penalized him in his PFF grades, making him the 81st-best edge defender out of 107 players. He has yet to be signed by any team so far.
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Al-Quadin Muhammad played 47% of the snaps and had mitigated success. It was his best season over his three-year career, but nothing spectacular either. He’s not a great athlete and was a former sixth-round pick; he has limited upside.
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3.3 Linebackers (LBs)
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I don’t think the Colts regret picking Darius Leonard in the second round of the 2018 draft. As a rookie, he led the league in tackles with 163 (19 more than any other player!). Last year, he picked up 121 tackles in 13 games, on pace for 149.
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He is the total package. He’s efficient in run defense, in coverage and as a pass rusher. As a matter of fact, he has recorded 12 sacks during those two years.
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That being said, Colts fans have to be concerned about some comments he made last year. He was concussed for three weeks following a big collision with Derrick Henry and he experienced painful headaches for a while. During his absence, he debated his NFL future. If he suffers another concussion, he seems to be thinking already about a potential retirement.
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Anthony Walker’s job could be in jeopardy. He played many more snaps than rookie Bobby Okereke, but the latter is definitely breathing down his neck.
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Walker graded as an average linebacker with the number 42 spot out of 89 players. His grade took a huge hit because of poor run defense.
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Meanwhile, the rookie from Stanford obtained the 9th-highest grade in the league! He was an every-down linebacker in college, and is very likely to get an increase workload in 2020.
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3.4 Cornerbacks (CBs)
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Rock Ya-Sin enjoyed a satisfying rookie season. He is an interesting story. After playing three years at a Divison-2 college, he transferred to Temple for his final year. Despite not being particularly fast, his sheer will helped him earn amazing grades. He yielded a meager 53% completion rate and not a single one went above 20 yards. He finished as an average corner in 2019; with one full year of experience under his belt, he is likely to improve this season.
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Pierre Desir obtained the second-highest playing time among the team’s cornerbacks. He took a step back after a breakout 2018 campaign and the team decided to release him. The Jets signed him the next day.
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It remains to be seen which player will benefit the most from Desir’s departure. The Colts acquired T.J. Carrie and Xavier Rhodes, formerly of the Browns and the Vikings, respectively. Both of them are coming off a very disappointing season.
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Rhodes used to be a pretty solid corner, but his play has deteriorated a lot recently. After receiving 73.8 and 72.4 grades from PFF in 2016 and 2017, he earned a disappointing 58.2 mark in 2018 and a dreadful 47.9 last year. Did injuries slow him down, or is he done?
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Carrie was pretty ineffective with the Browns last year. After a few fairly good seasons with the Raiders, his play took a dip in each of his two years in Cleveland. I don’t have much faith he can rebound.
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Don’t count out Kenny Moore though. He was surprisingly good in the slot last year. We’ll see if he can solidify a starting spot in this now crowded secondary.
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3.5 Safeties (S)
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Malik Hooker and Khari Willis finished the 2019 season with an identical PFF grade: 69.5. That mark put them in the number 37 spot out of 87 safeties.
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Hooker is a former first-round pick out of Ohio State that has picked off at least two passes in each of its first three years as a pro. He has done a fine job and is still very young.
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The Colts traded up to select Willis in the 4th round of the 2019 draft. His first season exceeded expectations as he shared time with Clayton Geathers, who has yet to sign a contract.
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2020 VS 2019 DEFENSE
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Will the 2020 defense be superior to the 2019 unit?
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I love the fortification on the interior of the line with the big-time acquisition of DeForest Buckner, and to a lesser level Sheldon Day.
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The CB position may also see an upgrade with Ya-Sin’s sophomore season coming up and the additions of Rhodes and Carrie (with the hopes that one of them will bounce back after a frustrating 2019 season).
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At safety, Hooker and Hillis could also elevate their play because of their young age and added experience.
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However, as a whole I see a downgrade in the edge / linebacking corps. Justin Houston is not getting any younger, and Jabaal Sheard could be missed. The team must also cross its fingers that Darius Leonard won’t suffer another concussion.
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Overall, I see a small upgrade here. Adding Buckner coupled with young talented guys like Leonard, Ya-Sin and Hooker makes me predict they will finish around the 12th-15th place in terms of points allowed (as opposed to 18th last year).
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Final call (2020 vs 2019): Small upgrade
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4. Regular Season Wins

According to sportsbooks, the Colts are expected to win 8.5 games this season. Should we bet the “over” or the “under”?
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Here is the methodology I used in order to answer this vital question:

• Use BetOnline.ag’s point spreads on all 256 regular season games.
• Convert those point spreads into win probabilities.
• Simulate each of the 256 games, according to those win probabilities, via the R statistical software.
• Repeat the previous step one million times (you get 1M simulated seasons).
• Count the proportion of seasons where the Colts won more or less than 8.5 games.

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Here are the results:
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	Estimated Probability	Sportsbook	Odds	ROI
OVER 8.5 WINS	66.9%	DraftKings	-143	+13.7%
UNDER 8.5 WINS	33.1%	Sports Interaction	+180	-7.3%

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Tip: Bet OVER 8.5 wins
Return On Investment (ROI): +13.7%
Rank: 20th-highest ROI out of 32 teams
Minimum odds required to bet (i.e. ROI = 0%): -202
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Here are BetOnline’s point spreads for the Colts’ 16 regular season games:

• HOME: +2.5 vs BAL, -9 vs CIN, -2.5 vs GB, -4.5 vs HOU, -10.5 vs JAX, -2 vs MIN, -6.5 vs NYJ, -3 vs TEN.
• ROAD: +1.5 @ CHI, +1 @ CLE, -1.5 @ DET, +2 @ HOU, -6.5 @ JAX, -2 @ LV, +2.5 @ PIT, +2.5 @ TEN.

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Note: The “Best odds” from the table above were obtained after looking at 13 well-known online sportsbooks on May 18th, 2020.
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Woohoo! You made it through the whole article, thanks for reading my friend! Tomorrow, we'll talk about the Philadelphia Eagles!
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Professor MJ

Preface

1. I don't take into account medical or character concerns because I don't have enough information
2. I try not to take positional value into account, although it bleeds in a little with the QBs

1 Chase Young, Edge, Ohio St, 6'5/264
Value: Top 5
Best Edge prospect I've ever scouted (since 2015). Insane burst, advanced hand usage, bendy, etc. Can win with power or speed.
2 Joe Burrow, QB, LSU, 6'2/221
Value: Top 5
Great pocket mobility to buy extra time, reads field very well and moves through progressions, very accurate, ability to play out of rhythm, toughness to make throw in face of pressure. Lacks ideal arm talent.
3 Jedrick Wills, OT, Alabama, 6'4/312
Grade: Top 5
I have Wills in a tier of his own among the OL this year and I think he's an elite OT prospect. Of the big 4 OTs, Wills is the most well rounded. His balance is phenomenal and he's always in control. His pass sets look great and he combines an immoveable anchor to counter power rushers with sufficient feet to meet speed. As a run blocker, he's incredibly powerful as a drive blocker and has the movement ability to block at the second level. His Auburn game is absolutely phenomenal.
4 Isaiah Simmons, LB/S, Clemson, 6'4/238, SPARQ: 98%
Value: Top 5
Ability to play OLB, slot CB, SS, and single high FS. Covers a ton of ground, reliable tackler, and legit ability as slot CB and deep safety. Teams should want him playing in space and chasing the ball. Lacks desired aggressiveness for a traditional LB.
5 Jeff Okudah, CB, Ohio St, 6'1/205, SPARQ: 99%
Value: Top 10
Checks almost every box as a CB prospect. Smooth hips to mirror in man, intelligence and awareness to read QBs eyes, physicality to match bigger WRs, good ball skills, and physical in run game. Lacks the great recover speed giving him a smaller margin of error.
6 CJ Henderson, CB, Florida, 6'1/204, 95% SPARQ
Grade: Top 10
He's been getting a little more hype the past few days as a top 10 pick but I've had Henderson in my top 10 since February. I really don't see a huge difference between Henderson and Okudah. He's the ideal man to man CB with elite mirroring ability. His feet are incredibly quick, he has easy fluidity in his hips, and his closing burst is fantastic. Additionally, Henderson has the ideal frame and physical profile at 6'1 with 4.39 speed and 60th percentile arm length. He has two main issues - tackling and ball production. For me, the ball production is more concerning but I prioritize sticky man coverage over ball production. In sum, Henderson is a rare prospect with elite traits at a valuable position.
7 Tua Tag, QB, Alabama, 6/217
Value: Top 10
Great mobility and makes plays out of rhythm. Accurate at all levels of the field with good touch on deep balls. Lacks ideal arm talent.
8 Javon Kinlaw, DL, South Carolina, 6'5/324
Grade: Top 10
Kinlaw is one of the most disruptive players in this class and possesses elite physical traits. Not only is he massive and long (92% length), but his burst off the ball is incredible. He simply outpowered and outphysicaled the best OL in the country in the SEC. He displayed good hand usage and rip moves and has the ability to stack and shed vs the run using his size and length. While his upside is sky high, there is some downside with Kinlaw given his inconsistency. He can play too high and struggle to anchor at times, getting washed and pushed around vs the run. I'll take the Chris Jones type upside and accept that risk.
9 Derrick Brown, DL, Auburn, 6'5/326, SPARQ: 33%
Value: Top 20
Difficult to block with a single blocker. Beats up guy in front of him with pure strength and power rather than pure burst. Dominant vs the run and bench presses OL. Doesnt project as a very productive pass rusher and questions about whether he can win with pure strength/power in the NFL.
10 Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama, 6'1/193, SPARQ: 22%
Value: Top 20
Elite route running traits and YAC ability. Can line up in any spot in the offense and create easy separation at every level. Lightening quick off the line and knows how to release off of press. Finesse player with a slight build and won't win many contested catches. Struggles at times with physicality.
11 D'Andre Swift, RB, Georgia, 5'8/212, SPARQ: 60%
Value: Top 20
2018 film is much better than 2019. Alvin Kamara esque playing style with slippery play and insane lateral cuts. Very explosive and an excellent pass catcher. Quicker than fast and didn't make the same plays in 2019 that he did in 2018.
12 Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin, 5'10/226, SPARQ: 90%
Value: Top 20
Projects as an elite inside runner. Patient behind the line with great vision and then absolutely explodes through the crease. Great one-cut ability, power, and contact balance. Long speed to break a big run at any time. Not incredibly shifty or creative.
13 CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma, 6'1/198, SPARQ: 71%
Value: Top 20
Elite YAC ability and playmaking. Incredibly quick with the ball in his hands. Creates separation out of breaks with quickness. Fantastic hands and ability to make difficult catches. Not a burner and struggles to separate at times. Inexperienced route runner.
14 Cam Akers, RB, Florida St, 5'10/217, 54% SPARQ
Grade: Top 20
A former top recruit, Akers chose to go to Florida St at the wrong time. Akers demonstrates every trait I look for in a RB at a high level - burst, toughness/violence, contact balance, lateral agility, and receiving ability. He didn't have the stage of Swift, Dobbins, CEH, or Taylor and didn't have the same type of huge games given the awfulness of Florida St. However, he's the most well rounded of the top RBs this year and has the highest upside. The one issue I have with Akers is questionable vision at times but it's hard to know whether to attribute that to him or the OL.
15 Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa, 6'5/320
Value: Round 1
Great feet to mirror rushers. Good hand placement in run game and drives feet to generate movement. Loses balance too often and lets the DL control the engagement in his pass sets. Solid floor with high upside.
16 Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia, 6'5/315
Value: Round 1
Massive OT with awesome power to drive in run game. Great anchor and difficult to beat with power rush. Doesnt have light feet but ability to consistently recover and stop speed rushers. Off balance too often.
17 Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville, 6'7/365
Value: Round 1
Massive and bullies DL in run game. Routinely throws DL around and plays with mean demeanor. Projects immediately as a great run blocker. Feet are great for his size but still struggles to mirror in pass sets. Anchor not as great as expected either.
18 Antoine Winfield, S, Minnesota, 5'9/203
Grade: Round 1
Winfield is a versatile, high IQ, physical safety prospect with excellent ball skills. He's incredibly physical and ball carriers feel him when he hits. His reactions are very quick and combined with his ball skills, his ball production at Minnesota should translate to the NFL. Against the run, blockers don't phase him and he's a reliable tackler as the last line of defense. He didn't look like an especially explosive or sudden athlete on film but he killed the combine with a 82% SPARQ score. His main issues are his size and injury history.
19 Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Arizona St, 5'11/205, 89% SPARQ
Grade: Round 1
Aiyuk can create easy separation all over the field in a variety of ways: deep with straight line speed, with physicality, or with quickness and burst out of breaks. While he's not necessary a burner, Aiyuk is one of the most twitched up and dynamic WRs in this draft. He has the rare ability to cut without losing much speed and maintaining that speed after the catch. He's not necessarily a jump ball catcher but he has flashed the ability to make contested catches. Even in games where his production wasn't there, he's consistently open play after play. He's sometimes portrayed as just a deep ball and YAC guy but he has the ability to be so much more than.
20 Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU, 5'11/206, 89% SPARQ
Grade: Round 1
Reagor immediately stands out when watching him as he looks like he's moving at a different speed than everyone else on the field. He's exceptionally twitched up and explosive and is among the easiest separators in the entire class. His game just looks effortless. Not only does he offer separation, YAC, and deep speed but he also shows the ability to make contested, difficult catches and displays excellent body control. He's a lot more well rounded to me than someone like Henry Ruggs or KJ Hamler. My biggest issue with Reagor is that he struggles to extend beyond his frame and thus doesn't give his QBs a huge target.
21 Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado, 6'1/227
Grade: Round 1
For clarity, my grade is not taking into account injury concerns as I don't have access to his medicals. Thus I wouldn't be surprised if he drops due to medical issues and I'm fine if that's the case. Nonetheless, Shenault has largely been forgotten about given the combination of WR depth this year and his injuries. He really shouldn't be as he is such a dynamic and exciting WR with huge upside. My comp for him is Sammy Watkins and AJ Brown. He has RB size with awesome physicality and YAC ability. He's a little raw in his routes and Colorado didn't do him a lot of favors as they just wanted to get the ball in his hands as much as possible and the easiest way to do so was on wildcat plays, reverses, and screens. Nonetheless, Shenault expresses excellent route running traits and creates easy separation with his burst and physicality. While I don't think he's a burner, he has sufficient speed to threaten and win deep. Combined with his contested catch ability and skills with the ball in his hands, Shenault is an incredibly exciting WR prospect.
22 Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU, 6'1/202, SPARQ: 82%
Value: Round 1
Slot WR. Twitched up with quickness to separate on intermediate level and speed to win deep. Great YAC and used on reverses and screens. Ability to adjust for difficult balls.
23 Jordan Love, QB, Utah St, 6'3/224
Grade: Round 1
I would take Love in the top 10 overall if I had a need at QB. Love easily has the best arm talent in this draft class, routinely making jaw dropping throws. He's not a Josh Allen type either with scattershot accuracy and only capable of throwing the fastball. His accuracy is precise at all levels and he can manipulate his velocity and throw with touch. Furthermore, Love is a very mobile QB with the ability to evade pressure, escape the pocket, and keep his eyes downfield. Some of his throws on the run are reminiscent of Patrick Mahommes or Carson Wentz. The issue with Love is simply decision making - locking into his first read or trusting his arm too much. However, you look at his 2018 season and the volume of those bad decisions is not there. In 2019, Love lost not only his coaching staff but his main offensive weapons as well. Considering his elite traits, I'll gladly bet that Love can return to his 2018 form.
24 JK Dobbins, RB, Ohio St, 5'9/209
Value: Round 1
B+ at everything but no elite, defining trait. Rocked up downhill runner with one-cut explosion. Good contact balance and runs through weak tackles. Doesn't create a lot on his own.
25 Clyde Edwards Helaire, RB, LSU, 5'7/207, SPARQ: 68%
Value: Round 1/2
Bowling ball shape with awesome physicality, toughness, and contact balance. Good burst and sufficient long speed. Very quick lateral cuts to make defenders miss and good vision. Receiving weapon either out of backfield or lined up out wide. Lacks preferred explosive qualities.
26 Kenneth Murray, LB, Oklahoma, 6'2/241
Value: Round 1/2
Violent hitter with awesome burst and sideline to sideline range. Demonstrative playing style and always around the ball. Iffy in coverage and slow processor. May be best suited as a run and chase WLB.
27 Patrick Queen, LB, LSU, 6/229, SPARQ: 84%
Value: Round 1/2
Twitchy and explosive run and chase WLB. Sideline to sideline range and offers great coverage with ability to man up on RBs and TEs. Great closing burst and plays with violence. Some tackling issues, angles aren't great, and struggles in the box.
28 K'Lavon Chaisson, Edge, LSU, 6'3/254
Value: Round 1/2
Flash player with little pass rushing production. Flashes show elite pass rushing potential - great burst, bend, and speed to power. Lacks polish as pass rusher but represents a big question mark. However, floor is raised by his ability to play as a standup SAM LB with pass rushing ability.
29 Yetur Gross Matos, Edge, Penn St, 6'5/266
Value: Round 1/2
Perfect 43 DE build. Really good burst to win with speed rush and decent bull rush. Good hand usage and uses a rip move frequently. Offers good edge setting ability vs the run right now. Inconsistent and not as disruptive as desired on film.
30 AJ Terrell, CB, Clemson, 6'1/195, 86% SPARQ
Value: Round 1/2
Ideal combination of athleticism and size for press man CB. Incredibly quick feet with sticky man coverage and fluidity to stay in hip pocket. Easy mover who stays in phase. Willing and physical tackler in run game. Some issues downfield against physical WRs.
31 Henry Ruggs, WR, Alabama, 5'11/188, SPARQ: 99%
Value: Round 1/2
Elite speed that should instantly change the way opposing defenses play. Instant acceleration and easy separation. Struggles with physicality, long strider causes less separation then desired, and lack of production.
32 Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson, 6'4/216
Value: Round 1/2
Huge catch radius with ability to extend himself for difficult catches. Fantastic hands and jump ball extraordinaire. Sufficient speed to threaten deep and great ball tracking. Advanced sideline footwork. Doesn't consistently separate and may struggle with physicality.
33 Grant Delpit, S, LSU, 6'2/213
Value: Round 1/2
Twitchy athlete with awesome burst and range as single high FS. Versatile and can line up all over the field. Capable of big hits but very unreliable tackler with inconsistent angles and poor form.
34 Josh Jones, OT, Houston, 6'5/319
Value: Round 1/2
Great feet to mirror speed and great at getting to second level and pulling. Very balanced in pass sets with a solid anchor. Burying guys in pass pro vs Oklahoma. More of a wall off run blocker than drive blocker.
35 K'Von Wallace, S/NCB, Clemson, 5'11/206, 97% SPARQ
Grade: Round 1/2
Wallace projects as a slot CB, safety hybrid with elite athleticism. He's extremely twitched up on film with a phenomenal closing burst on the ball. He reacts decisively on his reads and consistently makes plays on the ball with very good ball skills. Moreover, he's an extremely physical player that plays with an attitude and tenacity.
36 Ross Blacklock, DL, TCU, 6'3/290, SPARQ: 29%
Value: Round 1/2
Projects as 3Tech with awesome initial get off. Plays with great leverage to get under OL's pads. High motor and extremely active. Struggles at times to shed vs the run.
37 AJ Epenesa, Edge/DL, Iowa, 6'6/275, SPARQ: 15%
Value: Round 1/2
Power rusher with great bull rush and hand usage. Great hand usage with long arm move and hand swipes. Very stout vs the run. Can line up all over and very disruptive when lined up inside. Combine performance really hurt him and may need to put on weight on passing downs.
38 Bryan Edwards, WR, South Carolina, 6'3/212
Grade: Round 2
Edwards is being somewhat overshadowed due to injuries and WR depth. Like Shenault and Aiyuk, Edwards is another big, dynamic, explosive WR with phenomenal YAC ability, toughness, and physicality. Furthermore, Edwards has been incredibly productive at South Carolina starting with his true freshman season at only 17 years old. Edwards can line up all over the formation and turns into a RB with the ball in his hands. Not just a YAC guy, Edwards flashes fantastic hands and the ability to make incredible circus catches. While he doesn't create consistent separation, his quickness and burst is more than sufficient.
39 Zack Baun, LB/Edge, Wisconsin, 6'2/238
Grade: Round 2
If I was coaching a game today and needed a sack, Baun would be my second choice in this class behind Chase Young. He's one of the few pass rushers in this class with some advanced pass rushing moves and can win in a variety of ways. He can win with a pure speed rush, flashes some speed to power with a long arm move, and has a nice spin move. Overall, he was consistently disruptive off the edge for Wisconsin. While he lacks size and natural strength, he use of leverage allows him to hold the edge vs the run. In the NFL, I think he projects as a SAM/Rush LB. He has some experience dropping back at Wisconsin and looked natural in space.
40 Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU, 5'10/191, 47% SPARQ
Value: Round 2
Incredibly physical and feisty - great effort vs 6'6 Collin Johnson. Good closing burst and very quick feet. Great vs the run and phenomenal at the catch point. Not incredibly fluid and lacks desired physical traits.
41 Kristin Fulton, CB, LSU, 6/197, 69% SPARQ
Value: Round 2
Sticky man coverage and stays in WR's back pocket. Good closing burst off ball and plays with physicality. Inconsistent at catch point and not especially fluid or fast.
42 Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama, 6'1/205
Value: Round 2
Ideal combo of size and speed. Awesome ball skills as a former WR. Good closing burst in zone and sticky man coverage. Not especially physical and isn't comfortable with his back to the ball. May be best in zone scheme.
43 Noah Igbonohue, CB, Auburn, 5'10/198, 66% SPARQ
Value: Round 2
Twitched up player with quick feet and explosion. Physical player and willing tackler. Incredibly sticky in man coverage and allows little separation. Really struggles when the ball is in the air and lacks ball production.
44 Ezra Cleveland, OT, Boise St, 6'6/311
Value: Round 2
Ideal frame and movement ability for NFL LT. Easy ability to meet speed rusher and awesome mirror ability. Adequate but not great anchor vs power - should suffice. Lacks aggression and more of a wall off run blocker than drive blocker.
45 Isaiah Wilson, OT, Georgia, 6'6/350
Grade: Round 2
If Mechi Becton weren't in this class, Wilson would be getting a lot more buzz. An absolute mountain at 6'6/350, Wilson carries that weight as well as one possibly can. If you're looking for a traditional RT, Wilson is your guy. He's a mauler in the run game and plays with a nasty demeanor, throwing around SEC defenders. He projects immediatly as a great run blocker in the NFL. In pass pro, he has an easy anchor and shouldn't struggle against power. While he'll struggle some mirroring speed rushers, his kickslide looks fluid and even without ideal feet, his it'll be a struggle for defenders to get around a 6'6/350lbs OT with 93rd percentile arm length.
46 Robert Hunt, IOL, Lousiana, 6'5/323
Grade: Round 2
Hunt is a college RT that projects inside in the NFL. His upside as a guard is huge as he is moves extremely well for the position. He demonstrates great balance and control with a great anchor to stop power. Moreover, he plays with a great nasty demeanor fitting for a guard. While he struggled some in space against speed, moving inside will ease those concerns.
47 Kyle Dugger, S/LB, Lenoir-Rhyne, 6'1/218, SPARQ: 99%
Value: Round 2
The most explosive player I've watched this year. Absolutely dominated lower competition. Explosive and powerful player that plays with violence. All over the field and filled up the stat sheet. The opposition looked like traffic cones that he would just run over. Older prospect (24) with some rawness. Hips look a little stiff and angles/reactions are a little off. May be best suited in a WLB role where he can run and chase.
48 Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama, 6/201, SPARQ: 20%
Value: Round 2
Very solid all around and versatile safety that should be a long term starter but lacks big upside. Comes downhill in a hurry with good closing burst. Used in the box and deep as single high FS and did well in each role. Questionable tackling at times and didn't make a lot of game changing plays.
49 Justin Madibuike, DL, Texas A&M, 6'3/293
Value: Round 2
Rocked up frame with little body fat. Great burst and uses power and leverage to destroy single blockers vs the run. Flexibility to finish at the QB. Inconsistent play and should be more disruptive.
50 KJ Hamler, WR, Penn St, 5'9/178
Value: Round 2
Ridiculously quick and stands out immediately. Effortless separation all over field with speed and quickness. Body catcher and struggles extending for the ball.
Players Just Outside
Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon
Michael Pittman, WR, USC
Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor
Austin Jackson, OT, USC
Terrell Lewis, Edge, Alabama
Darrell Taylor, Edge, Tennessee
Julian Okwara, Edge, Notre Dame
Raekwon Davis, DL, Alabama
Neville Gallimore, DL, Oklahoma
Willie Gay Jr, LB, Miss St
Jaylon Johnson, CB, Utah
Ashtyn Davis, S, Cal

A big project here that has been underway for a bit, with some tweaking as needed.
I only made trades in the first round. Any trades you see are reflective of first round deals. There's usually a handful of them, so I tried to really push for trades, rather than a take a less realistic approach to it and be super conservative about. Additionally, I added a few 3rd round compensatory picks, based on the projections from over the cap.

FIRST ROUND

1.1 - Cincinnati Bengals - QB Joe Burrow (LSU). Don't need too much explanation here. Burrow is the best QB in this draft, perhaps even the best player, given how Chase Young was a bit quiet against Michigan & Clemson. Bringing him back to Ohio is too good.
1.2 - Washington Redskins - EDGE Chase Young (Ohio State). Another very easy pick, as Young has the potential to step into the NFL as a game changer from the first snap. Explosive, smart, and incredible hands, he has franchise changing potential.
1.3 - TRADE: Los Angeles Chargers - QB Tua Tagavailoa (Alabama). Miami could perhaps outbid the Chargers, but I don't see Miami wanting to give up too much of their stockpile for one player, especially given how many needs the Dolphins have. Thus, their #6 pick, a 3rd, and a 2021 1st round pick to Detroit for LAC to get a QB who could get them back to the playoffs immediately.
1.4 - New York Giants - OT Andrew Thomas (Georgia). This feels like such a good fit. Thomas is incredibly powerful, and fits the MO of the Giants well, building a powerful run game behind Saquon Barkley.
1.5 - Miami Dolphins - QB Justin Herbert (Oregon). According to reports, the Dolphins have done the most work on Herbert, and with the Chargers jumping up for Tua, the Dolphins choose to tap Herbert as their new starting QB, and hopefully fill out the rest of their needs with their massive stockpile of picks.
1.6 TRADE: Detroit Lions - DT Derrick Brown (Auburn). The Lions move back and still have their pick of Brown or Okudah, the two most popular names here. Ultimately, I went with Brown, as Brown can solve both their struggles stopping the run, and provide an interior pass rush.
1.7 Carolina Panthers - CB Jeff Okudah (Ohio State). The Panthers are probably hoping to get Brown, as his explosiveness is unreal, but Okudah could be an excellent piece to Matt Rhule's new defense, with his lockdown coverage ability.
1.8 TRADE: New York Jets - OT Tristan Wirfs (Iowa). As the Cardinals debate OL vs. WR, the Jets ensure they land a top OT by offering them their 3rd round pick and a future 6th round pick. The Cardinals accept, and the Jets get Sam Darnold some much needed protection.
1.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - WR Jerry Jeudy (Alabama). A great spot for the Jaguars, as Jeudy is arguably the best player left on the board, and also fills a big need for an offensive playmaker. Whether Nick Foles or Gardner Minshew starts for the Jags next season, Jeudy will make their lives easier.
1.10 Cleveland Browns - OT Jedrick Wills (Alabama). With Cleveland a sure bet to take a tackle, the Jets hopped them to get their choice. The Browns still take Wills, who has the athleticism to play either side, but either way is a big upgrade for Cleveland, as they attempt to rebuild their offensive line.
1.11 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - WR CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma). With their decision now made for them, the Cardinals take perhaps the biggest playmaker on the board. Lamb is an exceptional fit for Kingsbury's passing attack, and he should give them a replacement for Larry Fitzgerald, whenever he chooses to retire.
1.12 Las Vegas Raiders - LB/S Isaiah Simmons (Clemson). With a big need to improve the speed of their LB spot, the Raiders take Simmons, which also fits nicely with Mayhew's affinity for Clemson players. Simmons' versatility is perhaps the best among any player in this draft.
1.13 TRADE: Philadelphia Eagles - CB Kristian Fulton (LSU). With teams like Dallas, Jacksonville, and Miami ahead of them, the Eagles act promptly to get the cornerback of their choosing. Sending their 2nd round pick and a 2021 day three pick to Indy, the Eagles land an elite cover corner in Fulton.
1.14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Javon Kinlaw (South Carolina). With the top 3 quarterbacks gone, the Bucs opt to do the smart thing, and take the disruptive DT from South Carolina. If they retain Barrett, this could be quite the deadly pass rush next season.
1.15 Denver Broncos - WR Henry Ruggs III (Alabama). The Broncos could use some speed to compliment Courtland Sutton at WR. Pairing the two of them should give second-year QB Drew Lock a promising group of pass catchers, as he attempts to bring the Broncos back to the playoffs.
1.16 Atlanta Falcons - EDGE A.J. Epenesa (Iowa). Almost too good to be true for the Falcons, as they get the second best pass rusher at 16 without having to move up. Thankfully the board falls well to them, and Epenesa gives them a powerful pass rushing presence to boost their DL.
1.17 Dallas Cowboys - S Grant Delpit (LSU). This pick seems almost too trendy, but that's because it's just a fantastic fit. Delpit's stock dropped a bit due to some poor tackling, but his ability to make plays all around the field is still unmatched at the safety position. A great fit in Dallas.
1.18 Miami Dolphins (via PIT) - OT Mekhi Becton (Louisville). The next tackle off the board comes to Miami, as the Dolphins need to rebuild this unit in a massive way. And what better way than to add a massive pass protector like Becton, who can keep Herbert clean for years to come.
1.19 Las Vegas Raiders (via CHI) - WR Tee Higgins. Wouldn't it be nice to grab a QB here Bears fans? Instead, the Raiders add a weapon on the outside in Higgins, whose elite body control allows him to come down with some insane catches. He gives the Raiders the outside weapon they're searching for.
1.20 Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) - CB Trevon Diggs (Alabama). The Jaguars could use a corner to play across from Bouye, and Diggs has elite size, and the ability to be a stud for them.
1.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State). I'd love to see the Colts target Arik Armstead in free agency to improve their pass rush, but if they don't, grabbing a high potential pass rusher like YGM would be an excellent move, especially after trading back for more picks.
1.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Laviska Shenault (Colorado). Shenault can make plays in so many different ways. He'd give OC Brian Daboll and QB Josh Allen a major boost with his play making.
1.23 New England Patriots - EDGE K'Lavon Chaisson (LSU). The Patriots would be best not using this on a tight end, as they are slow developers in their first seasons. Instead, go sign Hunter Henry, and then draft a pass rusher like Chaisson to help your defense continue to disrupt opposing offenses.
1.24 New Orleans Saints - LB Kenneth Murray (Oklahoma). The Saints could use some help in the middle of their defense, and Murray can make plays from sideline to sideline, a very well-rounded player.
1.25 Minnesota Vikings - CB C.J. Henderson (Florida). Death, taxes, Vikings drafting 1st round corners. Though this time, the need for one is very clear, given the potential exodus of corners they could have in free agency. Henderson has the ability to be a lockdown corner in Mike Zimmer's defense.
1.26 Miami Dolphins (via HOU) - RB D'Andre Swift (Georgia). Fans usually hate running backs in the first round, but the value of Swift here, compared to reaching on a pass rusher or guard here, is fantastic. He's a dynamic back, with play making ability both as a runner and as a pass catcher.
1.27 TRADE: Tennessee Titans - EDGE Curtis Weaver (Boise State) - The Titans hop ahead of the Ravens, landing the pass rushing OLB of their choice in Weaver. A strong pass rusher with plenty of moves, he and Harold Landry would form a scary good young duo in Tennessee.
1.28 Baltimore Ravens - WR Justin Jefferson (LSU) - Rather than reach for an edge rusher, the Ravens add Jefferson, whose electrifying season was a big part of why LSU are the national champions. He can help Lamar Jackson in a lot of ways, and is a pretty willing blocker in the run game.
1.29 TRADE: Seattle Seahawks - OT Lucas Niang (TCU) - Picking up a 2021 3rd round pick to swap with the Titans, the Seahawks use this pick to grab Niang, and give Russell Wilson some more protection, an upgrade over Ifedi in Seattle.
1.30 Green Bay Packers - WR Jalen Reagor (TCU) - Back to back Horned Frogs at the end of the first round, as the Packers add a big time weapon to their offense. Reagor's ability to take the top off of defenses would be a huge boost for Rodgers.
1.31 Kansas City Chiefs - RB Travis Etienne (Clemson) - Wanted to give the Chiefs some defensive help, but nothing stood out as a great fit. Instead, the Chiefs take the best player left on the board in Etienne, and continue to add elite weapons to an already dangerous offense.
1.32 TRADE: Carolina Panthers - QB Jordan Love (Utah State). The 49ers are low on picks in this draft, so a trade back to replenish their ammo would be great. And the Panthers land themselves Love, who can develop under Rhule and new Panthers OC Joe Brady, sending a 4th and a 7th round pick to the 49ers in return.

SECOND ROUND

2.1 Cincinnati Bengals - OT Josh Jones (Houston). Now that they have their franchise QB, they need to protect their franchise QB. With Jonah Williams added in last year, the Bengals add a long, athletic pass protector in Jones.
2.2 Indianapolis Colts (via WAS) - WR K.J. Hamler (Penn State). The Colts used their first pick to add defensive help, and now this pick turns into the speedy Hamler to help the offense.
2.3 Detroit Lions - CB A.J. Terrell (Clemson). After taking a DT in the first round, the Lions land a great fit in Terrell to give them some needed cornerback help.
2.4 New York Giants - EDGE Zack Baun (Wisconsin). Continuing to build the team from the inside out, the Giants add an excellent pass rusher in Baun, who has risen immensely since last season.
2.5 Los Angeles Chargers - OT Austin Jackson (USC). Like the Bengals, the Chargers need to find protection for their new signal caller, and this comes in the local product out of USC.
2.6 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - CB Jeff Gladney (TCU). After moving out of the first round, the 49ers add extra picks and now select a cornerback to boost their outstanding defense.
2.7 Miami Dolphins - G Soloman Kindley (Georgia). Miami needs to take multiple offensive linemen in the first two days of the draft, and they so here with a strong interior guard in Kindley.
2.8 Arizona Cardinals - DT Raekwon Davis (Alabama). After adding CeeDee Lamb in the first, the Cardinals add a long, powerful DT to give a boost to their defense, rather than reach on OL here.
2.9 Cleveland Browns - S Xavier McKinney (Alabama). The Browns should have plenty of opportunities to fill their biggest needs with elite prospects, and they do exactly that by adding McKinney here.
2.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - RB Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin). The theme here is continuing to add weapons to this offense, and Taylor can be a big boost either in tangent with Fournette, or as a pass catcher out of the backfield.
2.11 Chicago Bears (via LVR) - G/C Tyler Biadasz (Wisconsin). Back to back Badgers, as the Bears add some much needed help on the OL in Biadasz, who can easily slide to guard alongside Daniels.
2.12 Indianapolis Colts - QB Jacob Eason (Washington). The Colts may have waited a bit, but they do add a QB with immense potential in the strong armed-Eason. A season behind Brissett could do him wonders.
2.13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Auburn). The Bucs find themselves a pass protector, and PTW may have the highest ceiling out of all these guys due to his immense athleticism.
2.14 Denver Broncos - OT Isaiah Wilson (Georgia). The Broncos too need to find some help at OT, and they get that with Wilson, another incredibly athletic SEC pass protector.
2.15 Atlanta Falcons - DT Neville Gallimore (Oklahoma). Didn't like a fit for any corners here, so the Falcons take Gallimore and provide a boost to their defensive line.
2.16 New York Jets - EDGE Terrell Lewis (Alabama). In need of pass rushers as well, the Jets take a chance on Lewis, who has immense potential, but has dealt with some injuries.
2.17 Pittsburgh Steelers - EDGE Julian Okwara (Notre Dame). The Steelers enter the draft, and they pick Notre Dame's top edge rusher, a crafty and surprisingly strong pass rusher.
2.18 Chicago Bears - TE Cole Kmet (Notre Dame). The first tight end off the board is Kmet, who will provide Trubisky another weapon in hopes that he can get things figured out.
2.19 Dallas Cowboys - DT Justin Madibuike (Texas A&M). The Cowboys first two picks gives them two impact defenders to help straighten out their defense.
2.20 Los Angeles Rams - OT Trey Adams (Washington). If the Rams want another run at the Super Bowl, heck, even the playoffs, they need to upgrade their OL, and they do that with the massive product out of Washington.
2.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - TE Hunter Bryant (Washington) Picking this up from the Eagles, the Colts reunite Bryant and Eason, giving them a natural replacement for Ebron as a pass catching TE.
2.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Jabari Zuniga (Florida). The Bills add a pass rusher here, as Zuniga's excellent play earns him a spot in the second round.
2.23 Atlanta Falcons (via NE) - CB Jaylon Johnson (Utah) - The Falcons add a corner with the pick they received in the Sanu trade. Johnson was a major asset for the tough Utah defense.
2.24 Miami Dolphins (via NO) - EDGE Jonathan Greenard (Florida). Just two picks behind a fellow Gator's pass rusher, Greenard fits Flores scheme quite well, and provides some pass rush help.
2.25 Houston Texans - RB Cam Akers (Florida State). Akers may be the most underrated back in this draft, as he managed to put up excellent footage in Tallahassee, despite playing behind that garbage OL.
2.26 Minnesota Vikings - T/G Calvin Throckmorten (Oregon). The Vikings run came to end as the 49ers obliterated their OL. They address that with the RT out of Oregon.
2.27 Seattle Seahawks - EDGE Darrell Taylor (Tennessee). The Seahawks will likely re-sign Jadeveon Clowney as a powerful SDE, but adding an edge rusher who gets after the QB a bit more would be great.
2.28 Baltimore Ravens - ILB Troy Dye (Oregon). Filling the void left by C.J. Mosley, Dye steps into to a Ravens defense, and could be a bit component for them going forward.
2.29 Tennessee Titans - RB J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State). This would change if the Titans re-sign Derrick Henry, however, with a very good offensive line, the Titans could likely continue rushing success without Henry.
2.30 Green Bay Packers - DT Ross Blacklock (TCU). Perhaps one of my favorite "sleepers" of the draft, Blacklock has a fantastic blend of size and quickness to him.
2.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Cameron Dantzler (Mississippi St.). A big, physical corner, Dantzler should step in and contribute for the Chiefs fairly quickly, given their needs at corner.
2.32 Seattle Seahawks - WR Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.). A big play waiting to happen every time the ball heads his direction, Aiyuk would give Russell Wilson an electric weapon.

Third Round

3.1 Cincinnati Bengals - C Nick Harris (Washington) 3.2 Washington Redskins - WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (Michigan) 3.3 Detroit Lions - EDGE Bradlee Anae (Utah) 3.4 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - G John Simpson (Clemson) - from trade w/ NYJ (via NYG). 3.5 Carolina Panthers - DT Rashard Lawrence (LSU)
3.6 Miami Dolphins - G Shane Lemiuex (Oregon) 3.7 TRADE: Detroit Lions - WR Michael Pittman Jr. (USC) - from trade w/ LAC. 3.8 Arizona Cardinals - OT Yasir Durant (Missouri) 3.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - S Ashtyn Davis (California) 3.10 Cleveland Browns - G Ben Bredeson (Michigan)
3.11 Indianapolis Colts - DL Marlon Davidson (Auburn) 3.12 Tampa Bay Bucs - CB Deommodore Lenoir (Oregon) 3.13 Denver Broncos - CB Lamar Jackson (Nebraska) 3.14 Atlanta Falcons - WR Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) 3.15 New York Jets - S Antoine Winfield Jr. (Minnesota)
3.16 Las Vegas Raiders - CB/S Shyheim Carter (Alabama) 3.17 Las Vegas Raiders - LB Jacob Phillips (LSU) 3.18 Dallas Cowboys - WR Tyler Johnson (Minnesota) 3.19 Denver Broncos (via PIT) - OT Robert Hunt (UL-Lafayette) 3.20 Los Angeles Rams - DT Leki Fotu (Utah)
3.21 Philadelphia Eagles - S Kyle Dugger (Lenoir-Rhyne) 3.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Anfernee Jennings (Alabama) 3.23 New England Patriots - QB Jake Fromm (Georgia) 3.24 New Orleans Saints - QB Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) 3.25 Minnesota Vikings - DL Nick Coe (Auburn)
3.26 Cleveland Browns (via HOU) - LB Malik Harrison (Ohio State) 3.27 Las Vegas Raiders (via SEA) - WR Devin Duvernay (Texas) 3.28 Baltimore Ravens - EDGE Khalid Kareem (Notre Dame) 3.29 Tennessee Titans - DT Jordan Elliott (Missouri) 3.30 Green Bay Packers - LB Jordan Mack (Virginia)
3.31 Kansas City Chiefs - LB Jordyn Brooks (Texas Tech) 3.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - OT Scott Franz (Kansas State)
Compensatory Picks (as predicted by OverTheCap) 3.33 New England Patriots - OT Ezra Cleveland (Boise State) 3.34 New York Giants - WR Gabriel Davis (UCF) 3.35 New England Patriots - TE Adam Trautman (Dayton) 3.36 Seattle Seahawks - S Hamsah Nasirildeen (Florida State) 3.37 Houston Texans - EDGE Josh Uche (Michigan) 3.38 Pittsburgh Steelers - TE Colby Parkinson (Stanford) 3.39 Philadelphia Eagles - CB Thomas Graham (Oregon)

Fourth Round

4.1 Cincinnati Bengals - WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (Liberty) 4.2 Washington Redskins - CB Amik Robertson (Louisiana Tech) 4.3 Detroit Lions - RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) 4.4 New York Giants - CB Damon Arnette (Ohio State) 4.5 Houston Texans (via MIA) - C/G Netane Muti (Fresno State)
4.6 Los Angeles Chargers - C Matt Hennessy (Temple) 4.7 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - C Jake Hanson (Oregon) 4.8 Arizona Cardinals - RB Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma St.) 4.9 Cleveland Browns - OT Jack Driscoll (Auburn) 4.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - LB Akeem Davis-Gaither (Appalachian St.)
4.11 Tampa Bay Bucs - RB Eno Benjamin (Arizona St.) 4.12 Denver Broncos - DT Raequan Williams (Michigan St.) 4.13 Atlanta Falcons - CB Darnay Holmes (UCLA) 4.14 New York Jets - EDGE Kenny Willekes (Michigan St.) 4.15 Las Vegas Raiders - QB Anthony Gordon (Washington St.)
4.16 Indianapolis Colts - RB Kylin Hill (Mississippi St.) 4.17 Dallas Cowboys - WR Isaiah Hodgins (Oregon St.) 4.18 Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Ben Bartch (St. John's) 4.19 New England Patriots (via CHI) - LB Logan Wilson (Wyoming) 4.20 Los Angeles Rams - WR Chase Claypool (Notre Dame)
4.21 Philadelphia Eagles - WR Denzel Mims (Baylor) 4.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) 4.23 Baltimore Ravens - RB A.J. Dillon (Boston College 4.24 New Orleans Saints - CB Bryce Hall (Virginia) 4.25 Houston Texans - TE Brycen Hopkins (Purdue)
4.26 Minnesota Vikings - WR Lynn Bowden (Kentucky) 4.27 Seattle Seahawks - G Logan Stenberg (Kentucky) 4.28 Baltimore Ravens - Cesar Ruiz (Michigan) 4.29 Pittsburgh Steelers (via TEN) - OT Justin Herron (Wake Forrest) 4.30 Green Bay Packers - OT Matt Peart (UCONN)
4.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Kindle Vildor (Georgia Southern) 4.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - LB Cameron Brown (Penn State)
Anyways. That's my shot at one. Tell me why you hate it...

Welcome to the /politics polling megathread! As discussed in our metathread, we will be hosting a daily polling megathread to cover the latest released polls. As the election draws near, more and more polls will be released, and we will start to see many new polls on a daily basis. This thread is intended to aggregate these posts so users can discuss the latest polls. Like we stated in the metathread, posts analyzing poll results will still be permitted.

National Poll of Polls and Projections

Poll of Polls
Poll of polls are averages of the latest national polls. Different sources differ in which polls they accept, and how long they keep them in their average, which accounts for the differences. They give a snapshot to what the polling aggregates say about the national race right now, to account for outliers or biases in individual polls.
We have included both the 4 way race (4 way), and head to head aggregates (H2H), as they are presented this way in most polls.

Aggregator	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
RCP (4 way)	45.1	42.2	4.8	2.0	Clinton +2.9
RCP (H2H)	46.9	44.3	N/A	N/A	Clinton +2.6
PollsteHuffpo (4 way)	46.1	41.5	5.3	N/A	Clinton +4.6
PollsteHuffpo (H2H)	47.5	42.3	N/A	N/A	Clinton +5.2

Projections
Projections are data-driven models that try to make a prediction of a candidate's prospects on election day. They will incorporate polling data to give an estimate on how that will affect a candidate's chance of winning. Note: The percentages given are not popular vote margins, but the probability that a given candidate will win the presidency on election night.

Model	Clinton %	Trump %
Fivethirtyeight Polls Plus*	66.3	33.6
Princeton Election Consortium**	> 99	< 1
NYT Upshot	84	16
Daily Kos Elections	88	12

^{* Fivethirtyeight also includes Now Cast and a Polls-Only mode. These are available on the website but are not reproduced here. The Now Cast projects the election outcome if the election were held today, whereas Polls-Only projects the election on November 8th without factoring in historical data and other factors.
** Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium includes both a "random drift" and Bayesian projection. We have reproduced the "random drift" values in our table.}
The NYT Upshot page has also helpfully included links to other projection models, including "prediction" sites. Predictwise is a Vegas betting site and reflects what current odds are for a Trump or Clinton win. Charlie Cook, Stu Rothenburg, and Larry Sabato are veteran political scientists who have their own projections for the outcome of the election based on experience, and insider information from the campaigns themselves.

Daily Presidential Polls

Below, we have collected the latest national and state polls. The head to head (H2H) and 4 way surveys are both included. We include the likely voter (LVs) numbers, when possible, in this list, but users are welcome to read the polling reports themselves for the matchups among registered voters (RVs).
National Polls

Date Released/Pollster	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
11/07, Ipsos/Reuters	42	39	6	3	Clinton +3
11/07, Gravis	47	43	3	2	Clinton +4
11/07, CCES/Yougov	43	39	5	N/A	Clinton +4
11/07, Angus Reid	48	44	6	N/A	Clinton +4
11/07, Monmouth U.	50	44	4	1	Clinton +6
11/07, Bloomberg/Selzer	44	41	4	2	Clinton +3
11/07, CBS News	45	41	5	2	Clinton +4
11/07, Fox News	48	44	3	2	Clinton +4
11/07, NBC/SM	47	41	6	3	Clinton +6
11/07, Economist/Yougov	45	41	5	N/A	Clinton +4
11/07, ABC/WaPo	47	43	4	1	Clinton +4
11/07, IBD/TIPP	41	43	6	2	Trump +2
11/07, Rasmussen	45	43	4	2	Clinton +2
11/07, LA Times/USC	43	48	N/A	N/A	Trump +5

State Polling

Date Released/Pollster	State	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
11/07, Gravis	Alaska	41	44	3	6	Trump +3
11/07, Gravis	Arizona	43	45	3	5	Trump +2
11/07, Data Orbital	Arizona	44	47	4	2	Trump +3
11/07, Gravis	Colorado	44	43	5	2	Clinton +1
11/07, Breitbart/Gravis	Florida	46	45	4	N/A	Clinton +1
11/07, Trafalgar (R)	Florida	46	50	2	1	Trump +4
11/07, Opinion Savvy	Florida	48	46	3	1	Clinton +2
11/07, Quinnipiac U.	Florida	46	45	2	1	Clinton +1
11/07, Gravis	Georgia	44	48	3	3	Trump +4
11/07, CBS/Yougov	Georgia	43	49	4	N/A	Trump +6
11/07, Fox 2/Mitchell	Michigan	47	41	N/A	N/A	Clinton +6
11/07, Breitbart/Gravis	Michigan	46	41	3	N/A	Clinton +5
11/07, Trafalgar (R)	Michigan	47	49	3	N/A	Trump +2
11/07, Clarity Campaign (D)	Missouri	38	54	N/A	N/A	Trump +16
11/07, Emerson*	Missouri	41	47	7	2	Trump +6
11/07, Gravis	Nevada	45	43	4	N/A	Clinton +2
11/07, Emerson*	Nevada	47	46	4	N/A	Clinton +1
11/07, Remington (R)	Nevada	45	46	3	N/A	Trump +1
11/07, Emerson*	New Hampshire	45	44	5	3	Clinton +1
11/07, Breitbart/Gravis	New Mexico	45	37	11	N/A	Clinton +8
11/07, Zia Poll*	New Mexico	46	44	6	1	Clinton +2
11/07, Gravis	New York	55	36	2	2	Clinton +19
11/07, Breitbart/Gravis	North Carolina	46	45	3	N/A	Clinton +1
11/07, NYT/Siena	North Carolina	44	44	3	N/A	Tied
11/07, Quinnipiac U.	North Carolina	47	45	3	N/A	Clinton +2
11/07, Gravis	Ohio	42	48	4	1	Trump +6
11/07, Emerson*	Ohio	39	46	7	2	Trump +7
11/07, Gravis	Oregon	44	40	6	5	Clinton +4
11/07, Gravis	Pennsylvania	46	40	7	2	Clinton +6
11/07, CBS/Yougov	Pennsylvania	45	43	4	N/A	Clinton +2
11/07, Trafalgar (R)	Pennsylvania	46	47	2	1	Trump +1
11/07, Clarity Campaign (D)	Pennsylvania	47	43	4	1	Clinton +4
11/07, Gravis	South Carolina	43	48	3	1	Trump +5
11/07, Starboard Comm. (R)	South Carolina	36	47	3	1	Trump +11
11/07, CBS/Yougov**	Utah	23	40	7	N/A	Trump +16
11/07, Breitbart/Gravis	Virginia	47	42	4	N/A	Clinton +5
11/07, Hampton U.	Virginia	45	41	N/A	N/A	Clinton +4
11/07, Chris. Newport U.	Virginia	48	42	N/A	N/A	Clinton +6
11/07, Gravis	Wisconsin	47	44	3	1	Clinton +3
11/07, Clarity Campaign (D)	Wisconsin	47	43	4	1	Clinton +4

^{Jill Stein is not listed on the ballot in Nevada, South Dakota, and Oklahoma. She is not on the ballot, but eligible as a write-in candidate in Indiana and North Carolina.
*Emerson only polls landlines. The Zia Poll is 95% landlines with only a 5% cell phone supplement. Standard pollster practice is to include as much as a 45% cell phone supplement or internet panel to account for changes in the electorate.
**Evan McMullin is second in this survey, drawing 24% of the vote.}
For more information on state polls, including trend lines for individual states, visit RCP and HuffPo/Pollster and click on states (note, for Pollster, you will have to search for the state in the search bar).
Update Log/Comments:

• Any poll denoted with (R) or (D) refers to a pollster that is an internal pollster traditionally polling for one party or another. That doesn't mean their polls are wrong, but they do have a potential bias.
  
• All national polls are believed to be final calls except for IBD. ABC will be releasing its final tracking poll result in the afternoon. CNN is presumably releasing its final poll at noon or 4PM EST today.
  
• I updated the previous megathread a little late yesterday. 3 polls came out around 11PM-12AM EST: A Targetsmart final tracking poll of Ohio, showing Trump leading by 3 pts (previously, Clinton led); a WMUUNH poll of New Hampshire, showing Clinton leading by 11 pts (previously, Clinton was up 7); and a Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce national poll, showing Clinton up 4 pts (previously, Clinton was up 5).
  
• Opinion Savvy has released its final Florida poll, showing Clinton up 2 pts. Its previous poll had Clinton up 4 pts.
  
• Trafalgar has released its final Florida poll, showing Trump leading by 4 pts. The margin is identical to its previous poll.
  
• Clarity Campaign, what appears to be an internal Democratic pollster, has released polling showing Clinton up 4 pts in Pennsylvania, and 4 pts in Wisconsin. Trump leads by 14 pts in Missouri.
  
• Angus-Reid has released its final national poll, showing Clinton up 4 pts. This pollster used a randomized online sample from an online panel, although its methodology does not appear to be similar to the LA Times/USC panel poll.
  
• Data Orbital has released what appears to be its final Arizona poll, showing Trump leading by 3 pts. Its previous poll had Trump up 8 pts.
  
• ABC News tracker has updated and finds the race unchanged with the addition of its Sunday sample.
  
• Trafalgar has released its final poll from Pennsylvania, showing Trump leading by 1 pt.
  
• Starboard Communications has released its final poll from South Carolina, showing Trump leading by 11 pts.
  
• CBS/Yougov has released final polls for Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Utah. Its Pennsylvania poll shows a 6 pt gain for Trump, who now only trails by 2 pts.
  
• Hampton University has released its final poll for Virginia, showing Clinton leading by 3. Its previous poll last week showed Trump leading by 3.
  
• The Economist/Yougov has released its final tracking poll, showing Clinton leading by 4 pts. Previously, Clinton led by 3.
  
• Trafalgar has released its final poll for Michigan, showing Trump leading by 2 pts.
  
• Gravis has released its final poll for Nevada, showing Clinton leading by 2 pts.
  
• Breitbart/Gravis has released its final polls for Florida, Michigan, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia. Clinton leads by 1 pt in Florida and North Carolina, 5 pts in Michigan and Virginia, and 8 pts in New Mexico.
  
• CCES/Yougov has released its final 50 state survey. In its national poll, it has Clinton up 4 pts, identical to the spread with the CBS/Yougov model. Ipsos/Reuters has also released its final 50 state survey.
  
• Gravis has released a multi-state final polling report of Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Wisconsin. It has also released its final national poll, showing Clinton leading by 4 pts.
  
• Ipsos/Reuters has released its final national poll, showing Clinton leading by 3 pts. Previously, she led by 4 pts.
  
• Fox 2/Mitchell has released its presumably final tracking poll of Michigan, showing Clinton leading by 6 pts. Previously, she led by 5 pts.
  
• Election Results: Dixville Notch in NH has historically voted at the stroke of midnight, along with Hart's Location and Millsfield. 8 voters have voted. 4 have voted for Clinton, 2 for Trump, 1 for Johnson, and a write-in for Mitt Romney. In Hart's Location, 17 have voted for Clinton, 14 for Trump, 3 for Johnson, 2 for Sanders, and 1 for a Kasich/Sanders ticket. In Millsfield, 4 have voted for Clinton, 16 have voted for Trump, and 1 for Sanders.
  

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Welcome to the /politics polling megathread! As discussed in our metathread, we will be hosting a daily polling megathread to cover the latest released polls. As the election draws near, more and more polls will be released, and we will start to see many new polls on a daily basis. This thread is intended to aggregate these posts so users can discuss the latest polls. Like we stated in the metathread, posts analyzing poll results will still be permitted.

National Poll of Polls and Projections

Poll of Polls
Poll of polls are averages of the latest national polls. Different sources differ in which polls they accept, and how long they keep them in their average, which accounts for the differences. They give a snapshot to what the polling aggregates say about the national race right now, to account for outliers or biases in individual polls.
We have included both the 4 way race (4 way), and head to head aggregates (H2H), as they are presented this way in most polls.

Aggregator	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
RCP (4 way)	45.3	43.4	4.6	2.1	Clinton +1.9
RCP (H2H)	47.0	45.3	N/A	N/A	Clinton +1.7
PollsteHuffpo (4 way)	45.6	40.7	4.7	N/A	Clinton +4.9
PollsteHuffpo (H2H)	48.5	42.4	N/A	N/A	Clinton +6.1

Projections
Projections are data-driven models that try to make a prediction of a candidate's prospects on election day. They will incorporate polling data to give an estimate on how that will affect a candidate's chance of winning. Note: The percentages given are not popular vote margins, but the probability that a given candidate will win the presidency on election night.

Model	Clinton %	Trump %
Fivethirtyeight Polls Plus*	69.5	30.5
Princeton Election Consortium**	98	2
NYT Upshot	87	13
Daily Kos Elections	91	9

^{* Fivethirtyeight also includes Now Cast and a Polls-Only mode. These are available on the website but are not reproduced here. The Now Cast projects the election outcome if the election were held today, whereas Polls-Only projects the election on November 8th without factoring in historical data and other factors.
** Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium includes both a "random drift" and Bayesian projection. We have reproduced the "random drift" values in our table.}
The NYT Upshot page has also helpfully included links to other projection models, including "prediction" sites. Predictwise is a Vegas betting site and reflects what current odds are for a Trump or Clinton win. Charlie Cook, Stu Rothenburg, and Larry Sabato are veteran political scientists who have their own projections for the outcome of the election based on experience, and insider information from the campaigns themselves.

Daily Presidential Polls

Below, we have collected the latest national and state polls. The head to head (H2H) and 4 way surveys are both included. We include the likely voter (LVs) numbers, when possible, in this list, but users are welcome to read the polling reports themselves for the matchups among registered voters (RVs).
National Polls

Date Released/Pollster	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
11/02, Economist/Yougov	46	43	4	2	Clinton +3
11/02, Ipsos/Reuters	45	37	5	N/A	Clinton +8
11/02, WaPo/ABC	46	46	3	2	Tied
11/02, IBD/TIPP	44	44	4	2	Tied
11/02, Rasmussen	44	44	5	2	Tied
11/02, LA Times/USC	42	48	N/A	N/A	Trump +6
10/31, NBC/SM	47	41	6	3	Clinton +6
10/31, Morning Consult	42	39	7	5	Clinton +3

State Polling

Date Released/Pollster	State	Clinton %	Trump %	Johnson %	Stein %	Net Margin
11/02, CNN/ORC	Arizona	44	49	???	???	Trump +5
11/02, Emerson*	Arizona	43	47	2	2	Trump +4
11/02, U. of AR	Arkansas	36	59	N/A	N/A	Trump +33
11/01, KABC/SUSA	California	56	35	4	1	Clinton +21
11/02, U. of Denver	Colorado	39	39	5	4	Tied
11/02, Emerson*	Colorado	44	41	8	4	Clinton +3
10/31, Remington (R)	Colorado	45	44	N/A	N/A	Clinton +1
11/02, Quinnipiac U.	Florida	46	45	2	2	Clinton +1
11/02, CNN/ORC	Florida	49	47	???	???	Clinton +2
11/02, TargetSmart	Florida	48	40	3	2	Clinton +8
11/02, Trafalgar (R)	Florida	45	49	2	1	Trump +4
11/02, Emerson*	Georgia	42	51	2	N/A	Trump +9
10/31, WXIA-TV/SUSA	Georgia	42	49	3	N/A	Trump +7
11/01, Loras College	Illinois	45	34	6	2	Clinton +11
10/31, Monmouth U.	Indiana	39	50	4	N/A	Trump +11
11/01, West. KY U.	Kentucky	37	54	1	1	Trump +17
11/01, Emerson*	Maine	46	42	5	1	Clinton +4
11/01, MPRC (D)	Maine	42	37	9	4	Clinton +5
11/02, Fox 2/Mitchell	Michigan	47	44	3	N/A	Clinton +3
11/02, Mich. State U.**	Michigan	47	28	11	4	Clinton +19
11/02, PPP (D)	Missouri	37	50	4	2	Trump +13
11/02, Remington (R)	Missouri	39	51	4	N/A	Trump +12
11/02, Emerson*	Missouri	37	52	5	2	Trump +15
11/01, Monmouth U.	Missouri	38	52	4	2	Trump +14
10/31, WMUUNH	New Hampshire	46	39	6	1	Clinton +7
11/02, LV NOW/JMC	Nevada	45	45	4	N/A	Tied
11/02, CNN/ORC	Nevada	43	49	???	???	Trump +6
10/31, Remington (R)	Nevada	44	48	4	N/A	Trump +4
11/02, Trafalgar (R)	North Carolina	44	49	4	N/A	Trump +5
11/02, Quinnipiac U.	North Carolina	47	44	3	N/A	Clinton +3
11/01, WRAL/SUSA	North Carolina	44	51	3	N/A	Trump +7
11/01, Elon U.	North Carolina	42	41	3	N/A	Clinton +1
10/31, Remington (R)	North Carolina	45	47	2	N/A	Trump +2
11/02, Quinnipiac U.	Ohio	41	46	5	2	Trump +5
11/02, Fox 12/DHM	Oregon	41	34	4	2	Clinton +7
11/02, Quinnipiac U.	Pennsylvania	48	43	3	3	Clinton +5
11/02, Monmouth U.	Pennsylvania	48	44	3	1	Clinton +4
11/02, CNN/ORC	Pennsylvania	48	44	???	???	Clinton +4
11/02, Susquehanna	Pennsylvania	45	43	2	2	Clinton +2
11/01, F & M College	Pennsylvania	49	38	4	2	Clinton +11
10/31, Remington (R)	Pennsylvania	45	43	N/A	N/A	Clinton +2
10/31, Breitbart/Gravis	Pennsylvania	47	44	3	2	Clinton +3
10/31, Nielson Bros.	South Dakota	35	49	7	N/A	Trump +14
11/01, CBS 11/Dixie Strat.	Texas	39	52	3	0	Trump +13
11/02, Hampton U.	Virginia	41	44	N/A	N/A	Trump +3
11/02, Winthrop U.	Virginia	44	39	5	2	Clinton +5
11/01, WaPo/Schar	Virginia	48	42	6	2	Clinton +6
11/01, Emerson*	Virginia	49	45	3	1	Clinton +4
11/02, Marquette Law	Wisconsin	46	40	4	3	Clinton +6

^{Jill Stein is not listed on the ballot in Nevada, South Dakota, and Oklahoma. She is not on the ballot, but eligible as a write-in candidate in Indiana and North Carolina.
*Emerson Does not poll cell phones or include an internet supplement. Landline only polls are no longer the industry standard in polling, and may lead to erroneous results.
**Michigan State University's poll was in the field for 2 months. This is much much longer than the ideal polling period of 3-5 days.}
For more information on state polls, including trend lines for individual states, visit RCP and HuffPo/Pollster and click on states (note, for Pollster, you will have to search for the state in the search bar).
Update Log/Comments:

• Rasmussen's Pulse Opinion Research also released polling of NC, PA, FL and OH, on behalf of Alliance-ESA last updated 11/01. It's not clear what the numbers they intend to report, though, as they model the electorate in several different ways. Using the 3 day sample, Clinton leads by 1 pt in FL, 4 pts in NH, 4 pts in NV, and 6 pts in OH. Trump leads PA by 1 pt. The two candidates are tied in NC.
  
• SurveyMonkey also released some new state polls.
  
• Any poll denoted with (R) or (D) refers to a pollster that is an internal pollster traditionally polling for one party or another. That doesn't mean their polls are wrong, but they do have a potential bias.
  
• We are expecting a Marquette Law School poll for Wisconsin later today. Monmouth U. will also be releasing a Pennsylvania poll (likely at 1PM EDT). Quinnipiac U. is expected to release polls for FL, OH, NC and PA at 3PM EDT.
  
• Susquehanna College released its final survey for Pennsylvania, taken 10/31 to 11/01 and showing Clinton up 2 pts. Its previous poll had Clinton up 5 pts.
  
• Monmouth University has released its final poll for Pennsylvania, showing Clinton up 4 pts. The previous poll had Clinton up 10.
  
• Marquette University Law has released its final poll for Wisconsin this cycle, showing Clinton up 6 pts. Its previous poll had Clinton up 7 pts in early October.
  
• Quinnipiac University has released (presumably) its final polls for Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. They show Clinton up 1 pt in FL, 3 pts in NC, and 5 pts in PA. Trump leads OH by 5 pts. In their previous polls, Clinton was up 4 in FL, 4 in NC, and 6 in PA. The two candidates were tied in OH.
  
• Hampton University has released a poll (presumably its final poll) for Virginia, showing Trump up 3 pts. Its previous poll had Clinton up 12 pts.
  
• JMC Analytics has released a poll for Nevada, showing the race tied. Its previous poll had Clinton up 2 pts.
  
• The Times/Picayune has released polls for Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico. Trump leads AZ by 1 pt, Clinton leads CO by 7 pts, NV by 7 pts, and NM by 8 pts. This is a non-probability sample poll, much like the SurveyMonkey state polls.
  
• Rasmussen's Pulse Opinion Research also released polling of NC, PA, FL and OH, on behalf of Alliance-ESA last updated 11/02. It's not clear what the numbers they intend to report, though, as they model the electorate in several different ways. Using the 3 day sample, Clinton leads by 3 pts in NC, 4 pts in NH, 1 pt in PA and 3 pts in OH. The two candidates are tied in FL and NV.
  
• Fox 2/Mitchell has updated its Michigan tracking poll, showing Clinton up 3 pts. Its previous poll had Clinton up 6 pts. Note that Mitchell is a robocaller that only polls landlines and does not call cell phones or have an internet panel supplement.
  
• The Missouri Times/Remington Research weekly poll of Missouri has been released, showing Trump up 12 pts. Remington is a Republican internal pollster. On the downballot, they are seeing Republican Eric Greitens leading Democrat Chris Koster for the first time in the gubernatorial race. Their first sample of the MO Senate race has Sen. Roy Blunt up 4 pts over MO SoS Jason Kander.
  
• The University of Arkansas has released a poll for Arkansas, showing Trump up 33 pts.
  
• University of Colorado Boulder has released a non-random internet poll of Colorado, showing Clinton up 10 pts (44-34). It was conducted between Oct. 17th and Oct. 24th.
  
• PPP has released a poll for Missouri, showing Trump up 13 pts.
  
• Ipsos/Reuters has updated its tracking poll, showing Clinton up a rounded 8 (7.3) pts.
  
• U. of Denver has released a poll of Colorado, showing the candidates tied.
  
• Trafalgar Group, a Republican internal pollster, has released its final poll for North Carolina, showing Trump up 5 pts.
  

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