How to predict draws in soccer Soccer Draw Predictions

Confusing handicap DRAW BET for Soccer (EURO 2016)

Hey guys, I am just posting here to get your feedback on the current bet that Fanobet has to offer for Euro2016. The one I want to talk about is the HANDICAP DRAW BET. I will take an example for the sake of explaining:
Albania Switzerland match handicap +2 goals Pick: Draw - Albania (+2 goals) vs Switzerland (-2)
So when I picked this with the odd of 5.5 I assume that the result will be a handicapped draw and I will win if Switzerland win exactly by 2 goals. But no, according to fanobet rules Switzerland has to win exactly by 4 goals for me to win. (+2 and -2 = spread of 4 goals)
THis is ridiculous as the odd for the below pick is 7.5
Albania Switzerland match handicap +2 goals Pick: Switzerland -2 goals
So if i pick this that means that Switzerland only has to win by 3 goals and i will win odd 7.5. So in no circumstances the DRAW BET above will ever be picked since the odd is lower and if Switzerland has to win by 4 goals then obviously they have to win by 3 goals first. That handicap draw bet is render useless and it's just there to confuse the betters.
In no where have I ever came across this so called "double handicap draw bet". So just sharing my 2 cents, I already sent my concern to the support and they said will talk to the admin to sort it out. Let me know what you think
submitted by songuyenca to fanobet [link] [comments]

A story of timing, luck and degeneracy

As a long-time contributor to this sub, I know we love nothing more than discussing our degeneracy. If nothing else, hearing such stories makes you realise there are other people out there who have lived similar experiences to you. Stories of epic failure provide a sense of comfort. Stories of unexpected triumphs provide a feeling of hope.
The following bets - and the circumstances surrounding each - were not necessarily story-worthy. However, there were a number of intricate details which I felt were worth highlighting. Aside from the statistical rollercoaster than one experiences throughout a game (i.e. going from "how can this lose?" to "this bet is over"), there are other factors which can have significant ramifications for one's betting endeavours.
This is where the factor of timing comes into play. How often have you bet on something purely due to the fact that the game was starting shortly? It could either be a straight wager on the game. Or, you might have decided to add the short-priced "lock" to boost your odds. How often has this then come back to bite you? Or conversely, this random event - where your betting urge coincided with the scheduled timing of this event taking place - results in a recuperation of losses from previous games that you "studied" prior to placing your losing wagers?
Without further ado, this is my story. It is but a speck in the ocean that is my entire betting career. But it was a Sunday night full of swings, sweats and... well I won't spoil the ending.
As you read this, I want you to keep the headline in mind. Specifically, the words timing, luck and degeneracy.
It's early on a Sunday evening in Melbourne, Australia. Approximately 6PM to be exact. We are currently under the world's strictest COVID lockdown. We have an 8PM curfew, and I was keen to get in a 1 hour walk before returning home to make dinner. Now typically - as I had already walked my dog several hours earlier - I would not go for another on my own. But for some reason, I just had an urge to get some fresh air. Here is the first element in play: timing. At 6:10PM, an AFL (Australian Football) was scheduled to begin. As I begin my walk, I inevitably flick through my preferred bookmaker's iPhone app and this game catches my eye. Part of me says "don't bet it". The other part of me curb-stomps that voice in my head and says "don't be a pussy". Now on another note, I placed a daily deposit limit of $3000 on my account. To some, that is insanely big. I generally bet $1000 or so, and so this stops me from stupidly chasing the day's losses. Here is where another element peaks it's head: luck. I had deposited $1750 that day. Had I reached my limit, the following events would only have existed in a parallel universe. But as luck would have it, I had $1250 to play with. So I said 'fuck it' and made the deposit. It's about 6:05PM now and I don't have much time. I sift through the markets on offer and decide it's best to play a Same Game Multi (parlaying multiple events from the same game). With not much time left to make a decision, I quickly check the weather forecast in Gold Coast (where this game is taking place) and note that there is meant to be rain in the second half. (Spoiler: there was no rain in the second half). As this sport is played outdoors, this would favour the unders. So I come up with a bet that looks like this:
ODDS: 4.10
A bet of $1250 would pay $5125.
​
I was ready to place the bet. The problem? The match was only seconds from beginning.
The time stamp on when the bet was accepted:
18:09:55
I made it by 5 measly seconds.
​
Ok, so game begins rather uneventfully. Now it's worth noting for those who aren't familiar with AFL that you can score by 1's and 6's. It's late in the first quarter and the total is sitting at 22 points. Needing over 23.5, I'm in desperate need of a goal. The whole bet is about to come crashing down without it. With only seconds remaining a player marks the ball from a score-able position. The siren sounds. Now in AFL, if a mark is taken before the siren ("buzzer"), the player may take their kick. As luck would have it, this legend kicks it right through the middle of the goal posts, and the first quarter score ends on 28. We live on!
Second quarter ends, and the combined total is 52 points. Again, we survive the over 48.5 by less than a full goal! (But this one cleared with a handful of minutes left to play, so there was no sweat involved).
I'l wrap up the remainder of the game fairly quickly, as it is rather uneventful. The final score is 47-49, so the total under 125.5 hits easily, the +34.5 and margin 1-39 hit comfortably, and both players rack up well over their required disposals. Fantastic. My account hits $5125.
By this stage, some would be satisfied. I wasn't. I was out for blood.
The smart move would have been to withdraw, say, $4000. Play with the remaining $1125 (house money), and lock in a profit. But what's the fun in that?
I scroll through the upcoming events and see that there is a Chinese Super League (soccer) match starting in a few hours. This isn't the first example of degeneracy in this story, but it's probably the biggest.
So what do I do? Another Same Game Multi of course. And how much do I bet on it? $5125 of course.
The bet:
ODDS: 1.95
A bet of $5125 would pay $9993.75
​
Here's where the rollercoaster of events begins.
5 minutes in, we have our first corner.
13 minutes in, we have our second.
Corners are looking good.
Fast forward to half time and Beijing are leading 2-0.
Remember, they had already accumulated 2 corners 13 minutes into the match. 32 minutes without a single corner!
The live odds for over 7.5 were now over 3.00, and I was losing hope.
The second half begins and approximately 10 minutes passes without a corner. I'm fucked.
The next 15 minutes feels like God (aka Bob from NBA Daily Discussion) had blessed me. A flurry of corners results in an 8th corner before the 70th minute mark!
What looked like a total sweat, turned into the easiest of victories. Or so I thought...
The final leg: Beijing or draw - who by the way, were 1.50 favourites to win the match - were still up 2-0. One book had the opposing team at 81.00 odds to win from here. But you guys can guess what happened next.
Wuhan goal!
I'm still leading 2-1. My brain: "it's all good man, you still have a 1 goal buffer".
Barely a few minutes later...
Wuhan goal!
It's now 2-2. My brain: "it's cool, you just need a draw, you're still likely to win this".
Including the 6 minutes of added time, I have to sit through approximately 20 excruciating minutes of soccer, with just under $10k on the line.
Luckily, Beijing did 75% of the attacking. Wuhan did have a few minor chances, but nothing that made the heart sink.
The referee blew the full-time whistle, and I slowly unclenched my ass cheeks.
I waited to see my account balance, just to make sure all was kosher. (You know, we've all been there, when we thought we bet on a certain team, but because their names are all Chinese, you actually bet on the wrong Beijing or something like that).
My balance appeared at $9,993.75.
It was time to call it a night.
I reflected on the past 6 or so hours that I had just been through, and the 3 things that kept popping up in my mind again were timing, luck and degeneracy.
P.S.
Sorry to all the Djokovic and Heat backers. Brutal. Especially Djokovic. I'd say that's a once-in-a-career circumstance, but I think that would be understating how unlikely it is that the best player in the world get's DQ'd because he inadvertently hit a ball into an official's neck out of frustration.
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The Secret of Asian Handicap Soccer Betting

Soccer betting is by far the most widely accepted form of gambling around the world. This is because of the nature of the betting style and because most people think that it's the easiest form of gambling.
There are only two teams to bet. Either Team Win or Lose or Draw. And of course there are other form of betting in soccer and - The Asian Handicap and I am going to explain a little bit more about this.
Asian Handicap is a method of giving or accepting handicap from one team. agen bola This is mostly played by Asians and more and more people in Europe are adopting this style of betting.
If you are accepting handicap, you have more probability to win because you will win your bet even if the game end up in a Draw.
There are many strategies that you can apply when betting on Asian Handicap and I am going to go through just some that is really important when you are placing a bet in soccer.
The opening odds and the movement will tell us where the game is heading. It is very important to take note of the opening odds when you are betting on Asian Handicap.
In Asian handicap, the money is with the banker so it's important to spot where the money is going to by the movement of the odds.
If you are serious about soccer betting, there are many books offering the secrets signal to look out for in the odds.
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Cricket Betting Bonuses and Promotions

What is Handicap Betting?
Handicap is a kind of sporting activities wagering for making a contest also in the event when there is an identifiable strength difference in between both opposing groups. Although handicap betting is among one of the most prominent kinds of wagering yet, many bettors are unaware of it. For this objective, our handicap overview covers every facet of things you require to understand about handicap betting in sports.
Handicap Betting Explained
Each and every single game is helpless before situational variables. Investors- on a betting profession - or bookmakers forecast these components and also talk to every player or group opportunities of achievement with the probabilities- their inferred likelihood of having triumph in the match.
Handicap betting- or else commonly called the Eastern handicap wagering- viably "align" a market, by setting aside a virtual scarcity or overflow (handicap) to every selection. Depending upon every outcome's noticeable probabilities of winning, the difference in opportunities can be substantial, supplying bit an incentive on the top pick, and low returns.
Handicap betting markets use either a favorable or adverse objective/guide handicap towards each side/player trusting which is acknowledged as the top pick (adverse handicap betting) or weak challenger (positive handicap betting). After the confirmation of the final score, if the option belongs a bet on is greater than the opponents, after the score has been applied with a handicap, you will win the wager.
Exactly how does handicap football wagering works?
In soccer similar to every enthusiastic solitary video game there is usually a difference in saw nature of the challenger team; the dimension of that difference changes relying upon an overwhelming range of impacts running from taped strength as well as economic sponsorship to situational aspects, for instance, home-field favourable position or player schedule. Soccer wagering forecasts these elements and acts as possibilities of success for each and every side as chances.
Before you start betting, we would love to introduce the 3 sorts of Handicap wagering that leaves.
Handicap wagering Overview
Level Handicap
When discussing a degree Handicap, there is no distinction in capabilities of both the groups, so there is no handicap bias provided to either of the groups, as well as they both begin with 0 objectives.
To win a wager, the gambler must recognize the group which they think will rack up an extra substantial number of objectives than their competitor. This kind of handicap isn't essential for unequal suits nevertheless is valuable because it gets rid of the draw; if the game coatings in a tie, all wagers are reimbursed because on a no handicap neither of the groups has any preferred setting.
Single Handicap
A solitary handicap happens in the scenario where Team A has a distinction in abilities over Team B. The group having superior abilities is provided an appropriate goal handicap to level up with the substandard side. This process is done just for betting function; for example, the handicap goal can be -1 goal or -1.5 goal.
This wager type is furthermore the like the North American wagerers favor to call "Betting on the spread". The group that has been regarded "much better" by the sportsbook is as yet sustained. However, they presently require to win by a certain action of objectives. For example, Team X may have a handicap of 1.5 objectives (this half objective is generally consisted of so that the sportsbook [1] can dodge a push on that wager). It suggests that the team requires to win by more than 1.5 handicap goal value to maintain their end of the offer.
These were some of the football betting types we have shared in the blog site, as well as we would certainly think of football betting approaches in our future blogs.
For example, if you wager [2] on Team A with a handicap of - 1 objective, they ought to win by greater than one objective to cover their handicap and for winning you the wager.
In case they win by one objective, the outcome with the handicap used is a draw for betting functions, so your wager is reimbursed. If Team B win or draw, you will certainly shed your bank on Team A.
Split Handicap
Split Handicap is a situation where the viewed difference between the capabilities of the two opposing team is tiny, and this permits you to slit your wager over two handicaps.
For example, Group A might be supplied at (0 and also - 0.5). If you bet on Group An and also they shed, you will shed both wagers, as they really did not cover either handicap.
In case the suit finishes in a draw, fifty percent of your risk at (0) will certainly be reimbursed, and the other half at (- 0.5) will certainly shed. If Group A successes, in any case, the two handicaps will certainly be safeguarded, so the two wagers win.
In case you're perplexed about the past experiences thinking of taking on a three-way fixed probabilities wagering, the probabilities are you're not going to get a good revenue for your venture, and your betting might profit by the brand-new viewpoint that football handicap betting offers.
Fundamentals and also every little thing to understand about Handicap Soccer betting
The most preferred Handicap Soccer bettings are European handicap betting as well as Oriental Handicap wagering
European Handicap wagering.
European Handicap betting is additionally famously called a three-way handicap. The factor for this is for each and every occasion it offers 3 feasible bets. The 3 feasible betting options are you can position your wager on the superior team having a handicap advantage, or you can place your bet on the group with much less viewed capabilities having a handicap downside, or you can select to bank on a draw. This last alternative makes the European Handicap different from Asian Handicap.
Oriental handicap betting.
Asian Handicap is a sort of football betting which is incredibly mainstream in Asia (so the name) "Handicap" implies that group gets a "online running start", adequately driving the game by a various amount or amounts prior to the beginning of the video game.
Oriental Handicaps are planned to remove the probability of an attract a Soccer game, lowering the match to two possible results.
Finest Techniques Eastern Handicap Betting
The discussion of the Oriental Handicap as a betting market has actually wound up being an important weapon in our line-up, as it allows us to select one from 2 possible outcomes, profoundly broadening our chances of winning. At this moment, you ought to find out about exactly how Oriental handicap work as well as should certainly have advanced to the following level-- thinking about how to win Asian Handicap betting. Even though there are numerous Oriental handicap betting methods, we plan to concentrate on the most common that have shown to be gainful on repetitive events.
Support top picks at - 1 or - 1.25
This is a remarkable elective technique to customarily betting on top picks. Probably one of the most considerable downside of backing top badger the success draw-win showcase is that the opportunities are typically meagre. Even though we can intend to win a lot of our wagers, the reduced opportunities indicate that any type of benefits can most certainly be cleared out with a number of unexpected losses.
We require to reduce that danger, however much as could be expected. Understand that supporting favourites at - 1 or - 1.25 methods we will utilize the alternative Asian handicap to obtain reduced possibilities. We're despite everything going to get very low chances, as taking huge top picks at - 1 or - 1.25 will usually indicate using the alternative Asian handicap as well as along these lines getting decreased odds.
However, these chances can get better with the possibilities of winning plenty of the wagers. So, we need to select our places meticulously, and just location wager when we are positive about our favorite team's victory with a minimum of a number of objectives.
Supporting the underdogs at +1.75
We use this strategy on a good deal. Typically, we look for home underdogs that go to +1.0 or +1.25 on the Asian Handicap At that point we back them on the alternative Oriental handicap, taking marginally decreased possibilities in return for obtaining an additional a large section of an objective. This approach gives us an extremely high opportunity of winning, or if absolutely nothing else obtaining a huge part of our stake returned, as inferior capacities group once in a while, lose by a minimum of two objectives.
While there are a few additional created systems that we have used successfully, these two techniques absolutely offer us the most-steady returns. Attempt not to hope to get rich of them, nonetheless, as they're with the reduced gain and low-risk. They're yet an amazing start stage for wagering on the Asian Handicap, and there's no reason for not acquiring a benefit from using them.
One more main point we wish to resolve prior to we finish the blog site is that you can place Oriental Handicap betting during in-play. This opens up the front door of opportunities for winning even more good value wagers.
Edge Approaches in Asian Handicap.
Betting on edges is a more secure choice for punters. In case you are looking for Asian handicap betting suggestions for corners or a decent methodology to increase the quantity of cash in your balance, you need to bear in mind of that the most considerable thing you need to do is watch on information and also get aware of a couple of aspects of the groups that are the part of the match. The most effective period to start going after wagers on edges seeks the tenth Matchday. You will certainly have all that could be needed details worrying the including groups "practices" both at home and away.
Verdict
We totally recommend that you check out Oriental Handicap wagering, as we solidly trust it's probably the suitable approaches to bet on football. However, we similarly ask you to be mindful prior to positioning your wagers. Although the chances from this kind of wagering are unlimited for generating income, a little mistake can trigger you to shed your cash, particularly when it remains in duplicated order.
This is the reason we advise that at your very first beginning, location bets for tiny risks rather than urging for the big ones. This little stake wagering will certainly make you lose a minimum quantity of money. Similarly, it would be optimal if you guarantee that you TOTALLY understand all that we've covered in this blog site. This is amongst one of the most detailed sorts of betting, and it may take several times of reviewing our information for you to handle what it has to do with. Try not to be reluctant to re-read a section a couple of times to get the total information about the Asian handicap betting.
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Cricket Betting-BetBarter.net

Online Latest Sports wagering websites
If you are looking forward to winning real money from on-line most recent sporting activities betting sites, then you have actually come with the ideal platform. We below provide our customers with a chance to bet on cricket, football, soccer, horse racing, boxing or any other sports, the one point that signs up with every online sports bookmaker is a longing for a quality betting experience. Just the best online bookies and also sportsbooks can give that.
Finally, you ought to have the final say in whom you wager with? That is the factor behind furnishing you with options. We suggest finest on-line sporting activities wagering websites that are the most safe and secure, usually trusted, and also most elevated examined on the internet.
Finest online betting websites
Betbarter
Spin Sports
22bet
These websites are plainly among the leading ones we select that are best for you. Nevertheless, these are not only betting websites. The site list on our page is established via our rankings which shows the best online wagering websites for sports.
We spend our countless hours searching, evaluating, screening, looking at and also researching prior to we offer you the complete range of sports bookies offered out there.
On-line wagering games in India
Selecting the best online gambling [1] site, finally, descends to your wagering dispositions. If you like sporting activities, you will require to pick an on-line wagering website that considers those needs. For example, several video game betting sites will certainly have a complete exhibition of service fields to examine; regardless, others will certainly focus on on-line gambling casino video games and slots.
On the internet sporting activities betting experience
For pupils, picking the right sports betting website is only the start. There are much more things to adjust, also. Points, as an example, just how to deposit as well as area wagers or exactly how to improve incentive alternatives as well as probabilities may allot a little initiative to comprehend.
Thankfully for you, we have every one of the suitable reactions you have to assist you with locating a practical pace with points.
Cricket has ended up being one of the most loved amongst viewers sport in India. Along these lines, the nation's online wagering websites have broadened their cricket wagering markets and also opened unbelievable new on-line games betting selections. The Indian Premier League, also called the IPL, has actually become a feature event on the planet's cricket schedule and also brought capability from over the globe to contend in India.
The on-line wagering platforms will allow you to search for the best odds readily available online, apart from that, increases your betting market with a selection of wagering options offered such as prop wagers, gamer bets, handicap wagers as well as team-specific bets. We have formerly composed blogs as well as detailed all of these bets with their explanations. Our overviews will certainly even more guide you to discover the best websites with phenomenal advertising deals and also even more substantial probabilities.
On-line gambling websites have similarly substantially changed exactly how India can wager on cricket with the presentation of Live In-Play odds. Follow the cutting edge as well as expect the outcome of the match as it happens, with live opportunities for wagering markets, for instance, following wicket-taker, runs in an over, complete team score, as a whole, gamer score, along with some more.Live In-play betting can not be considered as an amusing one. However, it offers a chance for players to discover added worths to their betting experience and opens the door for learning as well as applying methods for creating earnings. Other preferred sports wagering games consist of equine auto racing, football and also kabaddi.
Football Betting
The video game of football has followers from all around the globe. If you are additionally a determined fan of it, you will certainly want to bet on the exciting football competitions such as EPL, Bundesliga [2], La Liga, UEFA Champions Organization, Serie An as well as a lot more.
Kabaddi Betting
The Indian video game kabaddi has come to be hugely in recent times with the advancement of the Pro Kabaddi Organization throughout India. This quick-paced as well as extraordinary game has been compared to a real 'pet cat and also computer mouse' pursue and also has actually gotten an enormous group of viewers. On the internet betting sites across India will presently need to upgrade their betting markets for the game to require the requirements of the country.
It would be best if you maintained your eyes on the high-value kabaddi promos and deal as numerous newly-entered sites on the market are seeking to draw in new customers to bet on a diverse range of sporting activities.
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Best Way to Deposit Money to Bet Online in India

Football wagering websites
After cricket, football is just one of the most prominent sports on which Indians like to bet. There are numerous football betting websites which allow the customer place bets swiftly. As you're most likely conscious, Indians enjoy to bet on online sports, so it needs to not stun any person European best on the internet sporting activities wagering websites currently offer India's extensively aired I-League as an element of their football betting line-ups that furthermore incorporate English Premier League, Italian Serie A, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga and several football competitions around the world.
Whether you have an interest in wagering on global, local or domestic football competitions, there isn't any type of lack of on the internet platforms offered to do so.
What is the very best online wagering website for football?
The most effective online betting website for football is betbarter. It is for the description that this website has outstanding cricket as well as football competition addition, and also acknowledges Indian gamers. They easily approve wagerers from India and reduce the transactions by allowing INR for deposit.
While India betting legislations restricted bookmakers from functioning in your area, Betbarter is both licensed and also totally lawful in the United Kingdom. Or else 'perhaps' unlawful-- however actually, no sports gambler has actually ever been arrested for betting from the solace of their own residence making use of the on the internet wagering systems. The authorities discover it testing to regulate regulations in the field of on-line wagering, that is why they like to prevent that resulting it to be a grey area.
Which are the preferred video games in football to bet on?
You can rapidly find the most considerable football organizations on the most effective online betting sites in India:
Aside from these international leagues, there are local Indian football leagues:.
There are likewise some small-scale organizations of football, where you can place your bank on the go:.
You go select plenty of alternatives in the sportsbooks to more continue with on-line gambling covering leagues from all around the globe.
Sorts of banking on finest online betting sites football.
Expected Outcomes.
Expected outcomes wagering is a long term wagering process that you can make on, for instance, which team will certainly win the title toward completion of the competition. These type of wagers will, generally, be accessible for a big part of the period, yet you can get the very best rewards either before the period begins or prior in the video game.
Suit Betting.
It is one of the most popular type of wagering which individuals like to do. This wagering is for a single match which suggests that you can predict on any type of team, or you can likewise put a bank on both of them to get a tied game. Keep in mind that football [1] is among the rare sports which allows wagerers to bet on a draw. And you can get an excellent cost for your right forecast.
Props.
A prop wager is a bet that most likely won't have anything to do with the outcome of the game. For example, the Man of the Match prop wager is a widely known choice at the sportsbooks. Here, you can bet on which gamer will win the Man of the Match title. The Man of the suit player can come from either of the teams, winning or losing one. One more example of Props bet is "Will player Y rack up a goal?
Overalls.
This wager of Totals indicates that for football matches is the factor at which the sportsbook will certainly set an accumulation for the variety of objectives that are mosting likely to be scored, and also you bet on the oveunder. As an example, if an outright is define for 2.5 goals, you will certainly bet on whether the authentic number of objectives will can be found in either over or below all beginning by the sportsbook.
Asian Handicap [2] This bet type is similarly the same as the North American bettors prefer to call "Betting on the spread". The group that has been considered "far better" by the sportsbook is yet sustained. However, they presently need to win by a details procedure of goals. As an example, Team X may have a handicap of 1.5 objectives (this fifty percent objective is generally included so that the sportsbook can evade a push on that wager). It suggests that the group needs to win by greater than 1.5 handicap objective value to sustain their end of the bargain.
These were a few of the football wagering kinds we have cooperated the blog, and we would develop football wagering strategies in our future blog sites.
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Predicting Promoted Club Survival Rates in the Premier League, based on Championship Performance [OC]

Background

The introduction of the Playoffs has brought added spice to the end of season drama, but some argue that it dilutes the strength of the PL by having potentially weaker teams secure promotion via this method.
I will have a look at this in the post below and discuss how worthy this argument is, amongst some other bits and bobs including taking a look at already Promoted Championship sides from 2016/17 (Newcastle and Brighton). I had a vested interest in this as a Fulham fan, but we are no longer a part of this party, so I am instead looking at the remaining two contenders, in addition to Champions: Newcastle, and Runners Up: Brighton.
Next week's Championship Playoff final will be the 22nd (since the PL became 20 teams), and will be contested between Premier League virgins Huddersfield, and old faeces (that’s right you pieces of shit), Reading who have had the fortune of being promoted as champions in 2005-06 and 2011-12.
I will consider historic promotion data, look to add some weight to old arguments, and hopefully uncover some new stuff along the way. This post will go through some of the stats from this years Championship, and see how they perform when predicting the likelihood of a promoted team becoming established in the Premier League. For the purposes of this piece, I am using the term 'established' to mean a team that achieves 5+ consecutive years in the PL.
 
So... Here is the full history of promotions:
Season Team Championship Status
2016–17 Newcastle United Winner
2016–17 Brighton Runner-up
2016–17 Reading Playoffs
2016–17 Huddersfield Playoffs
2015–16 Burnley* Winner
2015–16 Middlesbrough Runner-up
2015–16 Hull City Playoffs
2014–15 AFC Bournemouth* Winner
2014–15 Watford* Runner-up
2014–15 Norwich City Playoffs
2013–14 Leicester City* Winner
2013–14 Burnley Runner-up
2013–14 Queens Park Rangers Playoffs
2012–13 Cardiff City Winner
2012–13 Hull City Runner-up
2012–13 Crystal Palace* Playoffs
2011–12 Reading Winner
2011–12 Southampton* Runner-up
2011–12 West Ham United* Playoffs
2010–11 Queens Park Rangers Winner
2010–11 Norwich City Runner-up
2010–11 Swansea City* Playoffs
2009–10 Newcastle United Winner
2009–10 West Bromwich Albion* Runner-up
2009–10 Blackpool Playoffs
2008–09 Wolverhampton Wanderers Winner
2008–09 Birmingham City Runner-up
2008–09 Burnley Playoffs
2007–08 West Bromwich Albion Winner
2007–08 Stoke City* Runner-up
2007–08 Hull City Playoffs
2006–07 Sunderland Winner
2006–07 Birmingham City Runner-up
2006–07 Derby County Playoffs
2005–06 Reading Winner
2005–06 Sheffield United Runner-up
2005–06 Watford Playoffs
2004–05 Sunderland Winner
2004–05 Wigan Athletic Runner-up
2004–05 West Ham United Playoffs
2003-04 Norwich City Winner
2003-04 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up
2003-04 Crystal Palace Playoffs
2002-03 Portsmouth Winner
2002-03 Leicester City Runner-up
2002-03 Wolverhampton Wanderers Playoffs
2001-02 Manchester City* Winner
2001-02 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up
2001-02 Birmingham City Playoffs
2000-01 Fulham Winner
2000-01 Blackburn Rovers Runner-up
2000-01 Bolton Wanderers Playoffs
1999-00 Charlton Athletic Winner
1999-00 Manchester City Runner-up
1999-00 Ipswich Town Playoffs
1998-99 Sunderland Winner
1998-99 Bradford City Runner-up
1998-99 Watford Playoffs
1997-98 Nottingham Forest Winner
1997-98 Middlesbrough Runner-up
1997-98 Charlton Athletic Playoffs
1996-97 Bolton Wanderers Winner
1996-97 Barnsley Runner-up
1996-97 Crystal Palace Playoffs
1995-96 Sunderland Winner
1995-96 Derby County Runner-up
1995-96 Leicester City Playoffs
Anything with a star denotes a team that has been promoted to the Premier League and who have not yet been relegated.
 

Who are the promotion kings?

Winners Total
Sunderland 4
Newcastle United 2
Reading 2
Sunderland have won the league 4 times since the inception of the playoffs. Watch out next year lol. Newcastle have just secured their second Championship Title. Last time they hung around in the PL for a while... Reading also have 2 titles, including the win in 05-06 which saw them collect the MOST amount of points in a Championship Season (During the Playoff Age) with 106. They hold secured the greatest Goal Difference in a single season with +67.
 
Runners Up Total
West Bromwich Albion 3
Birmingham City 2
Middlesbrough 2
Boing Boing, the Baggies have been promoted FOUR times, but three of them are as best of the rest.
This year, Brighton have secured the highest Runner-up pts total in Playoff History with 93, matching Burnley's tally as runners up in 2013/14. Incidentally this was also Burnley’s Title winning season haul in 15/16.
 
Playoff Wins Total
Crystal Palace 3
Hull City 2
Watford 2
West Ham United 2
Palace are the kings of the Playoffs, and have won promotion 3 times via this route. Other sides who favour the Playoffs are Hull (15/16), and West Ham (11/12), who both arrived in the PL via this route for a second time... More on this in a bit..
 
Team Total Promotions
Sunderland 4
West Bromwich Albion 4
Birmingham City 3
Burnley 3
Crystal Palace 3
Hull City 3
Leicester City 3
Norwich City 3
Watford 3
So in total, there are some common names that have enjoyed plenty of promotion joy since the playoffs were introduced. Palace obviously have benefitted more than anyone, but there are collections of teams who have yo-yo'd between the top 2 divisions.
 

On Average, how long do promoted teams stay for?

So in the 21 Years of Playoff history that's 63 promotions (21 Winners, 21 Runners up and 21 Playoff Champions), how long do promoted teams last with the big dogs? Let's have a look at the spread..
Length of Stay Total Clubs as %
1 Season 29 47
2 Seasons 8 13
3 Seasons 3 5
4 Seasons 1 2
5+ Seasons 12 18
Not Yet Relegated (NYR) 10 16
Total Promotions 63 -
So yeah you may have guessed it..
 

What difference does it make where you finish?

Well some would argue that promoted teams are weaker as they finish below the automatic promotion sides. How does this stack up? Well, I looked at the average length of stay for each promotion method, and there is indeed a significant difference...
Postion Average Length of Stay
Winners 3.95
Runner-up 3.67
Playoffs 2.71
 
So now that we know Championship Winners generally last longer than Playoff winners, let’s take a look and try to understand why?
Some of the metrics that suggest a good side are Goals Scored, Overall Goal Difference, Points, and Goals Conceded. All these metrics give an overall impression of how strong a side is...
I am aware that teams and tactics change, but in the short term i.e. first 1 or 2 seasons following a promotion, these metrics provide an indicator regarding a teams playing style, strengths and weaknesses. Again these do change from one season to the next, but fuck it, let’s have a look anyway cos I already crunched the numbers.
 

Points

Teams who storm the division usually take a lot of points. But are points an accurate predictor of if a team is likely to avoid the PL trapdoor after promotion?
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2005–06 Reading Winner 106 99 32 67 2
1998-99 Sunderland Winner 105 91 28 63 4
2013–14 Leicester City* Winner 102 83 43 40 4
2009–10 Newcastle United Winner 102 90 35 55 6
2000-01 Fulham Winner 101 90 32 58 13
2001-02 Manchester City Winner 99 108 52 56 15
2002-03 Portsmouth Winner 98 97 45 52 7
1996-97 Bolton Wanderers Winner 98 100 53 47 1
63% success is significantly higher than the 35% average, so pick up lots of points on the way to promotion and you stand a good chance of staying up in the medium to long term. None of this year’s teams have chalked up that many points so we will have to look elsewhere..
 

Goal Difference

Points are sometimes harder to come by if the division is more competitive. So let’s look at Goal Difference as this can also give an indication of a teams quality. Below are the Top 10 previous GD scores.
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2005–06 Reading Winner 106 99 32 67 2
1998-99 Sunderland Winner 105 91 28 63 4
2000-01 Fulham Winner 101 90 32 58 13
2001-02 Manchester City Winner 99 108 52 56 15
2009–10 Newcastle United Winner 102 90 35 55 6
2014–15 AFC Bournemouth Winner 90 98 45 53 3
2002-03 Portsmouth Winner 98 97 45 52 5+
1996-97 Bolton Wanderers Winner 98 100 53 47 1
2016–17 Newcastle United Winner 94 85 40 45 TBC
2004–05 Wigan Athletic Runner-up 87 79 35 44 8
2009–10 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up 91 89 48 41 7
This years Newcastle side are actually of the GD vintage having achieved the 9th best GD in Championship history (+45) since the inception of the playoffs.. As a result, they make a strong case for avoiding the drop in 2017/18 and also for going on to secure long term top flight status.
 
Now let’s look at the 10 worst GD scores for sides who have been promoted...
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2009–10 Blackpool Playoffs 70 74 58 16 1
2006–07 Derby County Playoffs 84 62 46 16 1
2007–08 Stoke City Runner-up 79 69 55 14 NYR
2008–09 Burnley Playoffs 76 72 60 12 1
2012–13 Crystal Palace Playoffs 72 73 62 11 NYR
2003-04 Crystal Palace Playoffs 73 72 61 11 1
2004–05 West Ham United Playoffs 73 66 56 10 5+
2012–13 Hull City Runner-up 79 61 52 9 2
1998-99 Watford Playoffs 77 65 56 9 1
1995-96 Leicester City Playoffs 71 66 60 6 5+
2016–17 Reading Playoffs 85 68 64 4 TBC
2016–17 Huddersfield Playoffs 81 56 58 -2 TBC
Basically though, if you can’t do the business at both ends of the pitch, there is a good chance you will be relegated.
 
You will hopefully notice that at the bottom of the pile are this years Reading and Huddersfield sides.
Whoever wins this game will be promoted with the lowest Goal Difference since the inception of the playoffs. Worrying.
Rather than just looking at GD holistically, let's consider the specifics.
 

Are you more likely to stay up if you can score bags of goals?

Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2001-02 Manchester City Winner 99 108 52 56 15
1996-97 Bolton Wanderers Winner 98 100 53 47 1
2005–06 Reading Winner 106 99 32 67 2
2014–15 AFC Bournemouth Winner 90 98 45 53 3
2002-03 Portsmouth Winner 98 97 45 52 7
1998-99 Sunderland Winner 105 91 28 63 4
2014–15 Watford Runner-up 89 91 50 41 2
2000-01 Fulham Winner 101 90 32 58 13
2009–10 Newcastle United Winner 102 90 35 55 6
2009–10 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up 91 89 48 41 7
 
To confirm this, lets look at teams who were promoted with less than impressive scoring records.. If we look at the sides who have been promoted, who averaged less than 1.5 goals per game (69 Total)...
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2010–11 Swansea City Playoffs 80 69 42 27 6
2007–08 Stoke City Runner-up 79 69 55 14 10
2015–16 Hull City Playoffs 83 69 35 34 1
2011–12 Reading Winner 89 69 41 28 1
2016–17 Reading Playoffs 85 68 64 4 TBC
2006–07 Birmingham City Runner-up 86 67 42 25 1
2004–05 West Ham United Playoffs 73 66 56 10 6
1995-96 Leicester City Playoffs 71 66 60 6 6
2007–08 Hull City Playoffs 75 65 47 18 2
1998-99 Watford Playoffs 77 65 56 9 1
2003-04 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up 86 64 42 22 2
2015–16 Middlesbrough Runner-up 89 63 31 32 1
2006–07 Derby County Playoffs 84 62 46 16 1
2012–13 Hull City Runner-up 79 61 52 9 2
2001-02 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up 89 61 29 32 1
2013–14 Queens Park Rangers Playoffs 80 60 44 16 1
1995-96 Sunderland Winner 83 59 33 26 1
2016–17 Huddersfield Playoffs 81 56 58 -2 TBC
2008–09 Birmingham City Runner-up 83 54 37 17 2
This does not read well for these teams..
You will notice this years Playoff sides Reading and Huddersfield, are both in this category...
Huddersfield if promoted, will have the second worst goals scored total in playoff history. It's worth noting there are some REALLY crappy teams on this list.
So OK, I hear some of you say, 'it's not all about scoring goals, defending is the key to staying up'..
 

"Don't concede, you won't get beat"

Looking at the sides who have been promoted having conceded the most amount of goals, we can see how long they tend to stick around..
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2016–17 Reading Playoffs 85 68 64 4 TBC
2012–13 Crystal Palace Playoffs 72 73 62 11 4
2003-04 Crystal Palace Playoffs 73 72 61 11 1
2008–09 Burnley Playoffs 76 72 60 12 1
1995-96 Leicester City Playoffs 71 66 60 6 6
2009–10 Blackpool Playoffs 70 74 58 16 1
2016–17 Huddersfield Playoffs 81 56 58 -2 TBC
2010–11 Norwich City Runner-up 84 83 58 25 3
1998-99 Watford Playoffs 77 65 56 9 1
 
If Reading are promoted they will hold the worst defence in promotion history, conceding a whopping 64 goals. Among them for company are the Palace 03-04, and Watford 98-99 teams who both haemorrhaged goals in the PL.
If Huddersfield are promoted they will hold the worst Goal Difference in promotion history since the inception of the playoffs, and will in fact be the only team to ever secure promotion to the Premier League with a NEGATIVE goal difference. They also have T6 worst defence in history of playoffs. Other sides who have been promoted with less than double digit goal differences have all met the same grim fate in the Premier League (barring Leicester’s 95-96 team).
 

What about teams that are not so porous?

Looking at the very best defences, and teams who concede less than a goal every 1.4 games or '0.7 goals per game':
Season Team Championship Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
1998-99 Sunderland Winner 105 91 28 63 4
2001-02 West Bromwich Albion Runner-up 89 61 29 32 1
2015–16 Middlesbrough Runner-up 89 63 31 32 1
2000-01 Fulham Winner 101 90 32 58 13
2005–06 Reading Winner 106 99 32 67 2
2010–11 Queens Park Rangers Winner 88 71 32 39 2
1995-96 Sunderland Winner 83 59 33 26 1
This is very interesting, as it suggests defensive teams are able to fight off the drop in their first year, but are often found lacking in the second. As a tactic, it appears that 'Keeping it tight' alone is not enough to secure long term PL status.
It is therefore worth noting that although some of these sides had excellent defensive records, they were often lacking going forward. In fact the three sides with the lowest 'Goals For' in this table were all relegated in their first season.
So what does this mean? Well Its fair to say you can’t draw conclusions just from this, however it’s clear that if you concede a lot of goals in the Championship, you will be relegated early on in your Premier League escapade. Likewise, if you can’t score goals, you will struggle to survive. That is why goal scorers are so highly prized... So now let’s take a look at top goal scorers for all the teams who were promoted, and see what role they have played in promotion and how that might predict survival rates..
 

Top Scorers

Season Status Team Top Scorer Total Team Goals Scored As a % Length of stay
01-02 Winner Manchester City Shaun Goater 32 108 30 5+
03-04 Playoff Crystal Palace Andy Johnson 32 64 50 1
12–13 Playoff Crystal Palace Glenn Murray 30 61 49 5+
97-98 Winner Nottingham Forest Pierre van Hooijdonk 29 82 35 1
99-00 Runner-up Manchester City Shaun Goater 29 78 37 1
00-01 Winner Fulham Louis Saha 27 90 30 5+
11–12 Runner-up Southampton Rickie Lambert 27 81 33 5+
02-03 Winner Portsmouth Svetoslav Todorov 26 97 27 5+
04–05 Runner-up Wigan Athletic Nathan Ellington 25 76 33 5+
08–09 Winner Wolverhampton Wanderers Sylvan Ebanks Blake 25 80 31 3
15–16 Winner Burnley Andre Gray 25 72 35 2
96-97 Winner Bolton Wanderers John McGinley 24 100 24 1
98-99 Runner-up Bradford City Lee Mills 24 82 29 1
99-00 Winner Charlton Athletic Andy Hunt 24 79 30 5+
00-01 Playoff Bolton Wanderers Michael Ricketts 24 76 32 5+
02-03 Playoff Wolverhampton Wanderers Kenny Miller 24 73 33 1
97-98 Playoff Charlton Athletic Clive Mendonca 23 77 30 1
98-99 Winner Sunderland Kevin Phillips 23 91 25 4
00-01 Runner-up Blackburn Rovers Matt Jansen 23 76 30 5+
16–17 Winner Newcastle United Dwight Gayle 23 85 27 TBC
16–17 Runner-up Brighton Glenn Murray 23 74 31 TBC
99-00 Playoff Ipswich Town David Johnson 22 71 31 2
11–12 Playoff West Ham United Ricardo Vaz Te 22 69 32 5+
10–11 Runner-up Norwich City Grant Holt 21 71 30 3
95-96 Runner-up Derby County Dean Sturridge 20 66 30 5+
95-96 Playoff Leicester City Iwan Roberts 20 59 34 5+
02-03 Runner-up Leicester City Paul Dickov 20 81 25 1
13–14 Winner Leicester City David Nugent 20 83 24 4
13–14 Runner-up Burnley Sam Vokes 20 72 28 1
14–15 Winner AFC Bournemouth Callum Wilson 20 98 20 3
14–15 Runner-up Watford Odion Ighalo 20 91 22 2
15–16 Playoff Hull City Abel Hernandez 20 63 32 1
07–08 Winner West Bromwich Albion Kevin Phillips 19 88 22 1
10–11 Winner Queens Park Rangers Adel Taarabt 19 83 23 2
13–14 Playoff Queens Park Rangers Charlie Austin 19 60 32 1
96-97 Playoff Crystal Palace Bruce Dyer 18 76 24 1
04–05 Playoff West Ham United Teddy Sheringham 18 66 27 5+
05–06 Winner Reading Kevin Doyle 18 99 18 2
10–11 Playoff Swansea City Scott Sinclair 18 69 26 5+
14–15 Playoff Norwich City Cameron Jerome 18 88 20 1
16–17 Playoff Reading Yann Kermorgant 18 68 26 TBC
96-97 Runner-up Barnsley Neil Redfearn 17 78 22 1
09–10 Winner Newcastle United Andy Carroll 17 90 19 5+
04–05 Winner Sunderland Marcus Stewart 16 79 20 1
09–10 Playoff Blackpool Charlie Adam 16 74 22 1
15–16 Runner-up Middlesbrough David Nugent 8 63 12 1
97-98 Runner-up Middlesbrough Mikkel Beck 15 80 19 5+
01-02 Playoff Birmingham City Tommy Mooney 15 61 25 3
05–06 Runner-up Sheffield United Ade Akinbiyi 15 77 19 1
07–08 Playoff Hull City Frazier Campbell 15 65 23 2
03-04 Winner Norwich City Darren Huckerby 14 79 18 1
05–06 Playoff Watford Darius Henderson 14 76 18 1
06–07 Runner-up Birmingham City Gary McSheffrey 14 67 21 1
07–08 Runner-up Stoke City Ricardo Fuller 14 69 20 5+
95-96 Winner Sunderland Craig Russell 13 71 18 1
09–10 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Chris Brunt 13 89 15 5+
06–07 Winner Sunderland David Connolly 12 76 16 5+
16–17 Playoff Huddersfield Elias Kachunga 12 56 21 TBC
03-04 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Lee Hughes 11 72 15 2
08–09 Runner-up Birmingham City Kevin Phillips 11 72 15 2
98-99 Playoff Watford Gifton Noel-Williams 10 65 15 1
01-02 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Scott Dobie 10 70 14 1
08–09 Playoff Burnley Martin Paterson 10 54 19 1
12–13 Runner-up Hull City George Boyd 10 72 14 2
11–12 Winner Reading Noel Hunt 8 85 9 1
12–13 Winner Cardiff City Aron Gunnarsson 8 73 11 1
06–07 Playoff Derby County Arturo Lupoli 7 62 11 1
 
Quite obviously at the top of the table you can see a lot of teams have a length of stay of 5+ years and you would be right to assume that this means, if you have a goal scorer, you will score more goals and your chances of survival will be greatly improved.
We covered this from a team aspect in 'goals for' but this doesn't always tell the full story. Some teams are heavily reliant on one player for their goals and some spread them amongst the side.
In the above table, there is a column "% of goals". This represents the percentage of the teams goals scored by the top scorer. A higher percentage means the team were more reliant on the striker, a lower percentage means the team were not so reliant on the player.
 

Sides that are heavily reliant on a single goal scorer

Season Status Team Top Scorer Total Team Goals Scored As a % Length of stay
03-04 Playoff winner Crystal Palace Andy Johnson 32 64 50 1
12–13 Playoff winner Crystal Palace Glenn Murray 30 61 49 5+
99-00 Runner-up Manchester City Shaun Goater 29 78 37 1
97-98 Winner Nottingham Forest Pierre van Hooijdonk 29 82 35 1
15–16 Winner Burnley Andre Gray 25 72 35 2
95-96 Playoff winner Leicester City Iwan Roberts 20 59 34 5+
 
Those with a keen eye will notice Palace have appeared in there twice with quite a difference in outcomes.. We can take a look at their two promotion seasons..
Season Team Status Champ Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2012–13 Crystal Palace Playoffs 72 73 62 11 NYR
2003-04 Crystal Palace Playoffs 73 72 61 11 1
Their performance was REMARKABLY similar.. Amassing almost exactly the same number of points, GF, GA, GD and Top scorer total and % of team goals. Maybe their PL performance will shed some light..
Season Team PL Status Pts GF GA GD Length of Stay
2004-05 Crystal Palace Relegated 33 41 62 -21 1
2013-14 Crystal Palace Survived 45 33 48 -15 NYR
Palace picked up 12 more points by conceding 14 fewer goals… So yes, as above, shut up shop in your first season and you really do improve your chances.
 

What about teams who have a 'goal scorer' but are not reliant on just that 1 player for Goals?

When you look at teams who have a goal scorer who nets at least 25, but where these goals amount to no more than 1/3 of the teams goals:
Season Status Team Top Scorer Total Team Goals Scored As a % Length of stay
11-12 Runner-up Southampton Rickie Lambert 27 81 33 5+
04–05 Runner-up Wigan Athletic Nathan Ellington 25 76 33 5+
08–09 Winner Wolverhampton Wanderers Sylvan Ebanks Blake 25 80 31 3
01-02 Winner Manchester City Shaun Goater 32 108 30 5+
00-01 Winner Fulham Louis Saha 27 90 30 5+
02-03 Winner Portsmouth Svetoslav Todorov 26 97 27 5+
Both Brighton and Newcastle have strikers who should have hit that mark this year (Glenn Murray and Dwight Gayle, both 23 Goals, 30% and 27% respectively), so maybe we should expect both these sides to mount a strong challenge when it comes to survival, and actually going on beyond the 1st season. Brighton will however, no doubt be handicapped by the fact Glenn Murray will turn 34 next year.
 

What about when teams spread the goals around?

When you consider teams who have a top scorer who contributes less than 1/4 of the teams goals, you can identify those teams who 'share goals around'.
 

How many goals does a teams top scorer need in order to have a realistic impact on survival?

Season Status Team Top Scorer Total Team Goals Scored As a % Length of stay
09–10 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Chris Brunt 13 89 15 5+
11–12 Winner Reading Noel Hunt 8 85 9 1
97-98 Runner-up Middlesbrough Mikkel Beck 15 80 19 5+
03-04 Winner Norwich City Darren Huckerby 14 79 18 1
05–06 Runner-up Sheffield United Ade Akinbiyi 15 77 19 1
06–07 Winner Sunderland David Connolly 12 76 16 5+
05–06 Playoffs Watford Darius Henderson 14 76 18 1
12–13 Winner Cardiff City Aron Gunnarsson 8 73 11 1
08–09 Runner-up Birmingham City Kevin Phillips 11 72 15 2
03-04 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Lee Hughes 11 72 15 2
12–13 Runner-up Hull City George Boyd 10 72 14 2
95-96 Winner Sunderland Craig Russell 13 71 18 1
01-02 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion Scott Dobie 10 70 14 1
07–08 Runner-up Stoke City Ricardo Fuller 14 69 20 5+
15–16 Runner-up Middlesbrough David Nugent 8 69 12 1
06–07 Runner-up Birmingham City Gary McSheffrey 14 67 21 1
07–08 Playoffs Hull City Frazier Campbell 15 65 23 2
98-99 Playoffs Watford Gifton Noel-Williams 10 65 15 1
06–07 Playoffs Derby County Arturo Lupoli 7 62 11 1
01-02 Playoffs Birmingham City Tommy Mooney 15 61 25 3
16–17 Playoffs Huddersfield Elias Kachunga 12 56 21 TBC
08–09 Playoffs Burnley Martin Paterson 10 54 19 1
 
 
This doesn't bode well for Huddersfield, as their top scorer has only 12 Goals this year.
Reading are better off with Kermorgant who has netted 18 times, but this is some way off an outstanding return.
 
*Basically, if you share the goals around too much, you nulify your threat. If you rely too heavily on one player, you risk becoming sterile. If you rely too heavily on one player and they do not score enough, you are proper fucked.
 

What about the argument that "first timers are Naive to the Premier League"?

Let’s look at teams who were promoted for the first time. In doing this, I have excluded teams that were in Premier League prior to achieving their first promotion.. So teams like Newcastle, Palace & Blackburn who were all in the PL but were promoted after being relegated are not included as they are not true 'first timers'.
So looking at 'True First Timers', there is a rather interesting split.
Season Status Team Length of stay
2016–17 Runner-up Brighton TBC
2016–17 Playoff winner Huddersfield TBC
2014–15 Winner AFC Bournemouth NYR
2012–13 Winner Cardiff City 1
2010–11 Playoff winner Swansea City NYR
2009–10 Playoff winner Blackpool 1
2008–09 Playoff winner Burnley 1
2007–08 Runner-up Stoke City NYR
2005-06 Winner Reading 2
2004–05 Runner-up Wigan Athletic 5+
2002-03 Winner Portsmouth 5+
2002-03 Playoff winner Wolverhampton Wanderers 1
2001-02 Runner-up West Bromwich Albion 1
2000-01 Winner Fulham 5+
1998-99 Runner-up Bradford City 1
1998-99 Playoff winner Watford 1
1997-98 Playoff winner Charlton Athletic 1
1996-97 Winner Bolton Wanderers 1
1996-97 Runner-up Barnsley 1
1995-96 Runner-up Derby County 5+
1995-96 Winner Sunderland 1
There have been a total of 19 'First Timers' since the inception of the playoffs... 20 if you include Brighton this year, and it will climb to 21 if Huddersfield can secure promotion..
It is true then, that First Timers are at a higher risk of being relegated straight away. First Timers are however, no less likely to go on and become an established PL side, so there is cause for optimism amongst next years virgins..
 
Brighton Fans can look to Stoke City as the model for 'True First-Timers' establishing themselves in the PL after being runners up in the Championship.
Huddersfield Fans can only really turn to Swansea City for inspiration when looking at noob teams who have established themselves in the PL via the playoffs.
Huddersfield fans may also be alarmed when they look at other first timers who have been promoted via the playoffs.. Every other team besides Swansea have been relegated at the first attempt. Amongst them are the horrid Watford side who were relegated from the PL in 1999-00 with a then record low pts tally.
 

How well does this model perform on 2015/16 promoted teams?

Burnley - 15/16 Champions: Andre Gray Top Scored with 23 (31.9%) of Burnley's total goals (72), but he actually got 25 for the season as he scored 2 for Brentford. Whilst they did not score sackfulls of goals, Burnley had a healthy Goal Difference (+37), so under the model above you would expect them to make a case for survival. They did in fact manage to stay up.
Middlesbrough - 15/16 Runners Up: David Nugent Top scored for Boro with a lowly 8 (12%) of Boro's total Goals (69). Whilst they had a very strong defensive record, they did not score enough goals in the Championship, and that was ultimately their undoing in the PL this year. The model would have predicted that Boro would be relegated, and again it would have been correct.
Hull - 15/16 Playoffs: Were always in danger as the Playoff team, and had a reasonable GD ratio. Again, Hull did not rip up the record books with their goal scoring (Only managed 69) but were not overly reliant on Abel Hernandez who scored 20 (28%) of their total. As Hull simply did not score enough, and were coming up through the playoffs, this would have been a marginal call. Given the data behind playoff teams success rates, the lack of Goals Scored and with an 'Average' Top scorer, it probably would have plumped for Hull to be relegated.
 
At the risk of Over simplifying this, there is a strong case for 'Scoring Goals' as the number 1 predictor of if a team is likely to stay up, and become an established PL side
 

What does this mean for the 2016/17 promoted clubs?

Newcastle are in a strong position, and history/form suggests that they will go on and gain a foothold in the PL. There is only a small chance they will be relegated based on their league finish, Total Goal scored, % of team goals scored by top scorer, and given their history as a PL side. Make no mistake, this is a very good Newcastle side, who should go on and become a fully fledged PL outfit over the next few years.
Brighton are well positioned to make a really good go at staying in the PL beyond 1 year. Yes they are a first time visitor, but first timers can go on to establish in the PL. Generally Runners up perform similarly to Champions, so given that this Brighton side matched the previous best tally achieved by a Runner Up, and were only a point behind Newcastle, the signs are there that this is a decent team. They were reliant on Glenn Murray more than Newcastle relied on Gayle, but not enough to make them one dimensional. Glenn Murray's age is a concern, but he done the business for Palace when landed in the PL in 13/14.
Reading and Huddersfield are both in for a whole lot of pain, whoever goes up. Neither side have a strong Goal Difference which suggests that they will struggle to pick up many points next year. History does not favour teams from the playoffs either, and with Reading holding the worst defence in the history of promoted teams, I would not bet against them going straight back down. Alarmingly Huddersfield have not scored anywhere near enough goals to make them look anything like staying longer than 1 year in the PL. Neither side have scored enough goals, and this is a big worry. It is possible if Huddersfield win promotion, they could go down with a record low points total. Whoever goes up, I would say, make an almost irrefutable case for coming straight back down.
 
So in summary, the Playoffs, although exciting, more often than not provide the Premier League with fodder. Good luck to the Playoff finalists next week. You both are sure as fuck gonna need it.
 
TLDR:
1. Points are not the only indicator of how successful promoted teams are/will be in the PL.
2. Teams who score lots of goals, but are not overly reliant on 1 striker tend to do very well in the PL.
3. Teams who concede a lot of goals in the Championship do badly in the PL.
4. Teams with strong Championship defences are able to survive in the PL in the Short Term but do not stay for long if they cannot score.
5. Teams that win the Championship are more likely to not only survive in the PL, but also to go on and prosper.
6. Playoff Teams are more likely to be relegated at the first attempt and are much less likely to go on and have a prolonged stay in the PL.
7. Newcastle have a VERY strong chance of staying up. They are well positoned to go on and become an established PL side.
8. Brighton have a good chance of staying up next year and are also in with a good chance of becoming an established PL side.
9. Reading and Huddersfield are both well and truly fucked.
 
Disclaimer: I might have just made this entire post to make myself and other Fulham fans feel better about not achieving promotion this year. There were some alarm bells that I should have heard ringing (lack of a top quality goal scorer in particular) that I perhaps underestimated as a fan.
All in all, it will look as though this is the most amount of effort anyone has ever made to rub salt in a winners face, and yeah you'd probably be right. What you gonna do?
 
EDIT: Please also allow me to draw attention to my Previous post "An Analysis of English Football League Managers based on Previous Pedigree as a Professional" which predicted that Newcastle and Brighton would be promoted... although this was after half a season...I also plumped for spurs in that post... so don't believe everything you read on the Internet kids.
 
EDIT 2: Thanks to anon who gilded this within 10 minutes of it being posted.
EDIT 3: Holy shit double gold! Thanks Anon!
EDIT 4: WTF?! Guys it's already been gilded! STOP! .. I dont want a snoovatar!!
EDIT 5: 5x Gold. I have officially peaked.
EDIT 6: Guys What the hell seriously. Went out to walk the dog and this got gilded 4 more times!! 9 Golds? I'm like Usain Bolt or something
EDIT 7: Well .. I am lost for words. This post has been gilded 10 times, making it (I think) the second highest gilded post of all time in soccer, only 1 behind Leicester City are Premier League Champions which got 11. I don't know what else to say..
Thanks to everyone for the gold, the karma and for all the comments and support!
Choose Love.
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ELI5: Asian handicap betting (What do those numbers like +1.50 or -1.50 mean?)

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FAQ: Soccer betting

Since soccer betting is popular, there have been a lot of repetitive questions in the POTD's. I thought I could gather the most common questions and answer them here instead. I'm sure I will forget something frequently asked, so just let me know and I'll add it to this post.
Q: I can't find x in my book/what league is this?
A: Usually, both teams are stated in the POTD. Google them and you will probably find your answer. You can also use flashscore.com or a similar livescore service, select the right sport and CTRL+F your way to success.
Q: What does handicap mean?
A: When we talk about handicap in soccer, we are usually talking about the final result of the game. However, handicap expressions do exist in various markets such as corners/possession/shots taken/over-under goals and so on, but its use is essentially the same.
To add confusion, there are so called "european handicaps" and "asian handicaps". European handicaps are stupid and redundant, since they all can be expressed in asian handicaps. As far as I seen, this sub only uses the asian handicaps so I am only going to explain them.
A picture says more than a thousand words, so I'm just going to leave this here: Asian handicap explained in one picture.
Q: I don't have (a specific handicap) in my book!!!
A: Usually, this can be solved using existing lines and some math. If you want to place a -1 bet, but only have ML and -1.5 (or even european -1) you can place two bets and essentially create your own -1.
Example: Our book has ML @1.45 and -1.5 @2.50 and we'd like to risk $10. We have to place such an amount on ML that risk+winnings will equal $10. $10/1.44 = $6.94. Place that on ML and the rest of the $10 ($3.06) on -1.5. You now have your own -1 with an odd of ((6.94*1.44)+(3.06*2.05))/10 = 1.76.
If the math is too hard to follow, just use the awesome Runline Calculator.
This method can be used to create the most common types of handicaps, but you might be forced to use different variables and more bets. Use your head and you'll figure it out :)
Q: What is ML/-0.5?
A: ML (which is the exact same as -0.5) is a straight bet on whichever team you expect to be the winner after 90 minutes. If the game ends in a draw or the other team wins, you lose all your money.
Q: What does PK/DnB/+0 mean?
A: All the expressions above mean the same thing. If the game ends up in a draw after 90 minutes, your bet will push (and you get your initial bet amount back).
Q: What do "quarter handicaps" mean? (x.25/x.75)
A: A quarter handicap is two bets combined in one. For example +2.25 is a bet where half of the amount is automatically placed on +2 and the other half on +2.5.
Once again, the Asian handicap explained in one picture might be handy. The same thing applies whether it is a final result handicap, oveunder goals or something else.
Q: Is (2.0, 2.5) the same as 2.25?
A: Yes, also take a look at the answer above.
Q: Do bets ever include an eventual over-time/penalty shootout?
A: First and foremost, unless the game is part of a knock-out stage and a winner has to be declared, over-time will not be played and the game will end in a draw. It is worth noting that over-time is 2x15 minutes, and it is added if the game is currently a draw after the first 90 minutes. NOTE: some people mix up over-time and injury-time. Injury-time is added to the initial 90 minutes (most usually 2-4 minutes) to make up for time that was spilled during injuries, substitutions and/or other unexpected events during the game. Injury-time is always included in every bet.
If it is a knock-out game, and the bet does not explicitly state something like "including over-time", your ML bet will still be graded as a loss if your team manages to win during over-time.
I hope that this guide will clarify some common questions for newbie degenerates that seek their luck in soccer. As I said before, let me know if anything should be further explained/added.
submitted by manske to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Fostering new ways to cricket betting

Match Betting
This is the most essential type of wagering on a cricket match. Match wagering basically includes wagering in the group that will win a particular match. For instance, if England are playing Australia in a one day worldwide, a match wager would wager on England to win. In spite of the fact that this is the easiest type of cricket bet, there are still things that may should be comprehended so as to put down an effective wager. A few bookmakers will possibly pay out if a specific number of overs have been finished or will void the wager if the match finishes in a draw and these are conditions that should be taken in to thought while putting down a match wager.
Live Cricket betting
Live cricket betting along with the creation of web cricket betting , new types of cricket betting have turned out to be accessible that give elective approaches to wager than the essential ways referenced previously. One of these new types of wagering is known as 'in-play' wagering and this has turned into an online marvel lately.
In-Play/Live Betting
This type of wagering enables wagers to be set over the span of a match and lifts the confinement of just having the option to put down a wager before the match has begun. Cricket is considered similar to the ideal game with regards to in-play or live wagering. This is on the grounds that, as most of matches occur through the span of in any event 4 hours as far as Twenty20 matches and as long as 5 days for test matches, there is a lot of time to consider wagering open doors as a match creates.
There are such huge numbers of occasions over the span of a cricket coordinate that can totally change the state of the diversion and the wagering markets. For instance, a group could be determined to 100/1 out of a test coordinate, looking agreeable and prepared to set a major score. Unexpectedly, the climate changes for the bowling group and 4 wickets fall for only 20 runs, leaving the batting group on 120/5. It is the ability of having the option to choose this adjustment in climate conditions, which fit the bowling group and utilizing it furthering your potential benefit by putting the fitting bet at the opportune time.
A portion of the in-play cricket wagering markets most consistently offered by online bookmakers include:
Keeps running from Next Delivery
This gives the chance to put down wagers ball-by-ball amid a cricket match, betting on the aggregate sum of runs scored from the conveyance being referred to. Once more, this can be beneficial, particularly if conditions are beginning to support either the batting or bowling group
Batsman Runs
This bet generally includes wagering on whether a batsman will score over or under a predefined aggregate of runs and is set only preceding the batsman being referred to confronting his/her first conveyance. It is critical to recollect that once a batsman has confronted their first conveyance, the wager can not be changed at all.
Technique for Dismissal
This in-play showcase gives the chance to put a bet on how the following wicket will fall amid a match. For instance, on the off chance that a bowler is reliably beating the outside edge of the bat, at that point an edge to the wicketkeeper is a genuine probability and thusly the batsman will be gotten out. Notwithstanding the got strategy for rejection, the batsman can likewise be bowled out, given leg before wicket (LBW), run out or befuddled.
Numerous online bookmakers currently offer a money out element, which enables individuals to take a benefit when it winds up accessible or cut their misfortunes, before the match has even got done with, giving more prominent power over cricket wagering. In any case, it is important that live streams and updates of cricket matches are frequently subject to a postponement and this can result in chances being suspended for a brief timeframe and the wager being declined therefore. (Peruse article for complete subtleties on technique).
Handicap Betting
Handicap wagering is valuable for cricket when there is a befuddle between the two partaking groups or one group has picked up a major preferred standpoint over another throughout a match. The fundamental standard being that the group which are clear top picks to win the match are given a debilitation by the bookmaker which they at that point need to over desire that wager to turn into a triumphant wager. Effectively connected to sports, for example, ball or soccer, handicap wagering isn't as straight forward with regards to cricket.
In the shorter types of the amusement, for example, Twenty20 and one day cricket, the debilitation is generally set after one of the groups has finished their innings. Accordingly, in the event that Australia have posted a sum of 200 runs, the bookmaker would then be able to apply a debilitation of, for instance, - 20.5 for Australia and +20.5 for England. Impediment wagering for test cricket isn't exceptionally normal and is generally supplanted by the 'edge of triumph' when the last innings of the match is going to occur.
Basically, handicap cricket betting is utilized in cricket to keep the match intriguing, regardless of whether one group is fundamentally out playing out the other.
#cricketprediction #matchprediction #todaymatchprediction #predictiontips #crickettips #todaymatch
submitted by MATCHPREDICTION123 to u/MATCHPREDICTION123 [link] [comments]

Fanobet Asian Handicap Scam

I made a bet, Bolivia +1, Panama won the game 2-1 i was suposed to get a refund on my bet, but instead it shows on my history that i lost my bet (https://gyazo.com/03299354d5d94d9b2c6eeda56eb014e2), so i went to the support chat, this is what they send me (https://gyazo.com/7b480ba4ba165ef4378696959a9a2cbd), with the rules that he sent i'm suposed to get a refund like in any other betting site, but instead he keeps making rules up and refusing to restore my funds (https://gyazo.com/ee0d4034774670df09acbe926c1e332b) (https://gyazo.com/3f51631965f0f20a57a5923ef848247d) (https://gyazo.com/45354f637fb2505689c60d21ebc21e6d)
submitted by joao1900 to fanobet [link] [comments]

MicBet review - August 2019

MicBet is an up-and-coming cryptocurrency online casino and sportsbook portal, where players can wager on their favorite casino games or sport events with digital assets. This also renders deposits and withdrawals feasible in matter of minutes. The online gaming revolution of MicBet is brought with the teamwork of veteran professionals in the industry and proficient gaming software developers.
Rewards and Promotions
MicBet’s prizes, rewards, and promotions are at the apex of the online casino business and they are consistently looking to deliver significantly more to loyal players. Players will discover section-specific bonuses divided into Sports, Casino, and poker on top of the Loyalty Program on MicBet’s rundown of offers. Check these promotions underneath.
Deposit and get up to 300 USD (Sports)
Deposit agreement remunerates players up to 300 USD with extra 100% of the original sum. Each bonus will be activated automatically once after player satisfied the requirement, and it can’t be cancelled. Minimum amount of deposit to activate the deposit bonus is 30 USD/100 BRL (or corresponding amount in other currency). The bonus is eligible only for sportsbook fans.
Duplicate your deposit (Casino)
Casino enthusiast, as expected, will get the most out of their 1st, 2nd, and 3rd deposits.
1st deposit – each player will get 100% of the deposited amount up to 1000 USD / 4000 BRL
2nd deposit – each player will get 50% of the deposited amount up to 1000 USD / 4000 BRL
3rd deposit – each player will get 25% of the deposited amount up to 1000 USD / 4000 BRL
However, players have to reach 35 times Roll over (wager) to release the bonus balance into real balance and withdraw it.
Daily Freeroll – Texas Hold’em Torunament
Definitely the most interesting bonus for poker fans is a Daily Freeroll event. This Texas Hoodlum Free roll event grants a free buy-in to each player and the winning pool is as high as $300 USD. MicBet is very strict about the policies of the promotion as it can be easily misused – it can happen only once, to only one person per family of the account, address, Email address, IP address, or any environment sharing the computer.
Loyalty Program
“The more you play the more rewards you get”. Each bet made in the casino grants certain amount of Comp Points (1 USDT = 0.1 CP). Depending on the status level that a player holds at a given moment, he is able to utilize special privileges:
Level 1: Upon registration, players automatically become Level 1 members (no rewards are given at this stage)
Level 2: 500 CP needed – 0.1% lossback and 50 free spins
Level 3: 2,000 CP needed – 1% lossback and 100 free spins
Level 4: 5,000 CP needed – 3% lossback and 500 free spins
Level 5: 10,000 CP needed – 5% lossback and 1,000 free spins
Level 6: 50,000 CP needed – 10% lossback and 5,000 free spins
Monthly Cashback is automatically distributed to wallets at the beginning of every month from lost deposits accrued the month prior. That’s a reliable, instantaneous addition to your bankroll. Best of all, no wagering requirements apply, and the higher you climb up the Loyalty Ladder, the bigger the cashback kickback!
Software providers and scope of games at MicBet
MicBet aims to become a go-to, exclusive online crypto casino platform by offering high-end games supplied by prestigious game providers. MicBet has allied with top-tier iGaming providers offering world-class player experience.
The alliance with some of the most influential game providers such as, Evoplay, ISoftbet, Microgaming (Standrad, Brand, JP), NetEnt, PGSoft, PlaynGo, Quickspin, Betrader (Standard, Vertual sports) , Evolution Gaming(Standard, Brand game) , Asia Gaming, and Spinola have geared up the top-ranked games – Rubi Casino Queen, Break da Bank again, Cash Camel and the like.
Live casino section at MicBet is accumulated of a long range of different software providers and casino games. The games that are played the most are Roulette, Baccarat, BlackJack, and Table Games. The interface is designed in such a manner to be easily navigable and accessible. As soon as the players opt-in for their favorite game and software provider, they choose the desired table depending on the minimum/maximum buy-ins. Sometimes, the tables have a limited number of players allowed to play at the same time, but mostly the games are hosted in such a way that all participants can place their bets. Suffice it to say that all live casino markets are open 24/7 accommodating players’ wagering preferences at all cost.
MicBet’s poker section opens up a lobby where players can opt-in for the most suitable blinds and game types. Weekly VIP and Rakeback challenges stand readily available to players to collect. Daily freerolls are available twice each day starting at 00:00 and 12:00 UTC time. Pro players can browse through Sit & Go’s but also participate in multiple games simultaneously.
Nothing beats a club with a functioning sportsbook that offers a broad in-play (live) wagering choices. That is the thing that you will discover at this house. MicBet’s crypto sports wagering choices incorporate:
Soccer
Basketball
Tennis
Baseball
Ice Hockey
American Football
Aussie Rules
Beach Soccer
Boxing
Cricket
MMA
Motorsport
Pesapallo
Rugby
In any case, that is not every last bit of it since you get the opportunity to wager on e-Sports too. Markets incorporate famous amusements like Counter-Strike, League of Legends, and Overwatch.
Players get the opportunity to wager on matches that have just begun gratitude to MicBet’s live wagering alternatives. The absolute most normal wagering markets incorporate quarters, recreations, innings, aggregates overs or unders, cash lines, handicaps, half-time, draws and the sky is the limit from there!
Payment, Safety, and Security
MicBet is a place to be if the players are on the hunt for the best digital money gaming amusement. At MicBet, your budget is held in the USDT (Tether) which is a token strictly tied to the value of USD.
Along these lines, you never need to stress over any changes in digital assets while playing at MicBet Sportsbook or Casino. You can store and pull back with Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), USDT(1 usd = 1 usdt) , and BRL. MicBet will include a lot more coins for store and withdrawal over the coming months. Other fiat currency will be added soon as well.
Minimum bets:
mBTC 0.01 ( 0.00001 BTC) ETH 0.01 USDT 0.01 BRL 0.01
The casino employs physical, electronic and managerial procedures to safeguard the security of the data players provide. SSL encryption is used on the Website for all sensitive data.
MicBet has an additional layer of security - they strive to keep major amounts of bets/wagers in the store wallet, and keep only sufficient amount of funds on the platform at any given moment. This is the best way to deal with the funds extortions at the moment.
Gambling club diversions offered on MicBet are given and managed by Micro Global Services Ltd N.V., who are working under the permit 8048/JAZ issued by Curacao iGaming by the Government of Curacao.
Customer support
Customer support is a top priority at MicBet and it includes 24/7 live chat and email support every day of the year. All inquiries are normally answered within 1h since the submission. Whatsapp support is also available.
submitted by micbet to u/micbet [link] [comments]

SoccerBetting F.A.Q. (Sticky)

1/X/2 = homewin/draw/awaywin
AH = Asian Handicap
EH = European Handicap
DnB = Draw no Bet
BTTS = Both teams to score
GG Goal Goal = BTTS(Both teams to score: YES)
GG3+ BTTS with 3 and more goals (2-1, 2-2 etc)
DC = Double Chance = home win or draw/draw or awaywin / home win or away win = 1X / X2 / 12
O2.5 - Over 2.5 goals (3 or more goals)
U2.5 - Under 2.5 goals (2 or less goals)
YH=yank handicap (American style line i.e. -150 means wager 150 to win 100)
Chalk = betting the favorite
GL= goal line, betting when a team will win/lose by a certain number of goals.
ML = money line, outright outcome doesn't matter by how much or how little. Depending on the action can get much better or worse odds.
CS: Correct Score
AGS: Anytime Goalscorer
FGS: First Goalscorer
HT/FT: Half-time result / Full-time result
Useful link to understand Asian Handicap
Useful link to check the best odds for a match
Different types of accumulators
Useful to keep track on your bettingperformance
Stake,Yield and ROI explained.
Good and useful redditposts about betting:
Different leagues and teams behavour
Also here
Basic advice for betting
I am starting this so it can be filled up with info that can be useful for this subreddit.
submitted by essbeck to SoccerBetting [link] [comments]

Cara Baca kei Atau Odds Di Angkor4D

Link Alternatif ~ Untuk mengerti cara perhitungan odds kemenangan yang bisa kita dapatkan dari suatu pertandingan, tentunya kita perlu terlebih dahulu mengetahui Cara Baca Kei atau Odds.
Melalui artikel Cara Baca Kei atau Odds yang sudah kami siapkan khusus berikut ini, akan kami jelaskan secara terperinci seluruhnya, mulai dari pengertian apa itu odds, apa saja jenisnya, bagaimana perhitungannya, dan juga bagaimana cara aplikasinya dalam taruhan bola. Yuk simak…
Cara Baca Kei atau Odds : Pengertian Odds
Dalam dunia taruhan bola, kei, atau yang juga dikenal sebagai odds, memiliki pengertian sebagai perhitungan hasil kemenangan yang bisa kita dapatkan dari suatu pertandingan.
Ada 2 jenis odds, yaitu odds plus, dan juga odds minus yang bisa disebut sebagai kei minus juga. Ada juga beberapa orang yang menyebut kei minus sebagai uang air. Berbeda dengan hitungan perkalian di live casino yang sudah fix 1:2, 1:3, 1:4 dst, di Cara Baca Kei atau Odds pada judi bola perlu memperhatikan beberapa angka desimal di belakang hingga menjadi 1:1.23, 1:1.02 dst.
Berdasarkan jenis hitungannya, di bandar bola Angkorliga ada 5 jenis odds yang bisa kita pilih, masing-masingnya adalah odds (HK) Hongkong, (IND) Indonesia, (US) Amerika, (Dec) Decimal, dan (MY) Malaysia. Kami sarankan untuk selalu menggunakan odds Indonesia, karena selain lebih mudah, odds pasaran ini juga yang paling banyak digunakan banyak orang di tanah air, baik bandar ataupun pemain.
Cara mengganti settingan odds Indonesia di layar komputer anda adalah seperti pada gambar di bawah ini (cara ganti settingan odds di HP akan dijelaskan di artikel ini juga):
Cara Baca Kei atau Odds : Hitungan Odds
Pada umumnya ada 2 odds di satu pasaran, yaitu odds untuk kita pasang home atau away. Dan dari kedua odds tersebut, ada 1 yang odds minus (tulisan merah) dan 1 odds plus (tulisan hitam). Ada juga kemungkinan keduanya akan jadi odds minus (seperti contoh di atas pada baris paling bawah, ada odds -1.08 dan -1.04). Tapi tidak mungkin ada 2 odds positif berbarengan.
Contoh pertama, berdasarkan gambar di atas pada baris kedua vooran 0 untuk Belgium vs England, ada 2 odds yaitu:
  1. Pasang Belgium, odds -1.39 (merah)
  1. Pasang England, odds 1.25 (hitam)
Contoh kedua, kita bisa melihat contoh untuk pasaran di HP berikut ini : Angkor4D
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Pada contoh gambar di atas pada menu bet Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08, pasaran OveUnder Full Time adalah 2.5 (2 1/2) dengan dua odds yang tersedia:
  1. Pasang Over (Atas) 2.5, odds -1.23 (merah)
  1. Pasang Under (Bawah) 2.5, odds 1.01 (hitam)
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Cara Baca Kei atau Odds : Hitungan Fix-Odds
Selain kedua odds minus dan plus tadi, ada juga fix-odds yaitu hitungan 1X2. Odds ini hanya ada 2 di setiap pertandingan: First Half dan Full Time, dan khusus untuk 1X2, bukan oveunder atau yang lainnya. Sebagai contoh silakan kita lihat pada berikut ini:
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Odds untuk 1X2 bisa kita lihat pada kolom paling kanan, yaitu 7.20, 1.35 dan 4.40. Pada perhitungan fix-odds, odds yang berlaku tersebut sudah termasuk modal anda. Perhitungan 1X2 dengan contoh home (Sigma Olomouc) vs away (Sevilla) di atas adalah seperti ini:
  1. Bila kita pasang 200 di home, dan Sigma menang, kita akan mendapat 200 X 7.20 = 1440. Ini sudah termasuk modal kita, jadi kemenangan kita +1220.
  2. Bila kita pasang 200 di away, dan Sevilla menang, kita akan mendapat 200 X 1.35 = 270. Ini sudah termasuk modal kita, jadi kemenangan kita +70 saja.
  3. Bila kita pasang 200 di draw, dan hasilnya draw, kita akan mendapat 200 X 4.40 = 880. Ini sudah termasuk modal kita, jadi kemenangan kita + 680.
Jika kita perhatikan, hitungan perkalian odds untuk Sigma sangat besar (X 7.20), karena di sini Sevilla jauh lebih diunggulkan. Hal ini masih sesuai dengan ciri-ciri awal fix-odds tadi yaitu tanpa menggunakan handicap atau vooran.
Cara Baca Kei atau Odds : Macam-Macam Odds
Untuk odds yang ada pada web Bandar Taruhan Bola Angkorliga.info terbagi menjadi 5 kelompok yaitu Indo, HK, US, MY & DEC, berikut penjelasannya:
Odds Indo (Indonesia)
Angka hitam 1.03 artinya jumlah kemenangan yang akan kita dapatkan saat bertaruh. Jika kita memasang 100, berarti jumlah kemenangan kita adalah 100 x 1.03 = 103
Angka merah -1.08 artinya adalah jumlah kekalahan yang akan menimpa kita saat bertaruh. Jika kita memasang 100, berarti jumlah kekalahan kita adalah 100 x 1.08 = 108
Odds HK (Hongkong)
Odds taruhan bola Hongkong dalam pertandingan sepakbola kadang diminati oleh pemain judi bola online di Indonesia karena bisa diminimalisir. Berbanding terbalik dengan pasaran Malaysia dan Indonesia, uang kei dikenakan didepan dan menggunakan odds minus, odds Hongkong menggunakan odds desimal tanpa minus. Misalnya kita memasang 100, pada odds 0.96, Jika kalah kita akan kalah 100ribu, bila menang, kita kan menang 96ribu.
Odds MY (Malaysia)
Pada pasaran ini seluruh uang kei lansung dibulatkan kedalam pasaran. Pada pasaran Malaysia semua pasaran yang dipasang tidak akan mendapatkan bayaran lebih karena di pasaran Malasysia ini uang kei di minimalisir untuk tim unggulan. Untuk tim yang tidak diunggulkan rata-rata hanya memiliki perbedaan sekitar 0.04 atau 0.006 di tiap pasaran.
Odds US (United States)
Odds Amerika ini hampir sama saja dengan perhitungan odds Indonesia tetapi perbedaannya bahwa odds ini dihitung dalam bentuk persen . Misalnya memasang Bayern 04 Leverkusen 100 pada odds 101 berarti jika menang, 100 x -101% = 101.
Odds Dec (Desimal) Eropa
Untuk odds decimal ini, untuk mengalikan kemenangan, kita harus mengurangkan dulu odds nya dengan 1. Misalnya kita bertaruh 100 pada odds 1.93, maka oddsnya harus kita kurangkan dulu dengan 1. Jadi perkaliannya adalah 1.93 – 1 = 0.93. Jadi apabila kita menang, 100 X 0.93 = 93ribu.
Kembali ke saran kami di awal tadi : Sebelum bermain pastikan terlebih dahulu pasaran yang anda gunakan adalah Odds Indonesia.
Selain untuk mempermudah kita untuk menghitung kemenangannya, ada beberapa bandar bola yang memberikan promo dengan peraturan bahwa member harus bet di Odds Indonesia dengan minimal odds di angka tertentu.
Akan sedikit menyulitkan bila odds Indonesia yang dimaksud bandar tersebut harus dicari di Odds Malaysia, bukan? Nah di artikel berikutnya ini akan kami jelaskan salah satu cara mengganti odds di akun anda menjadi odds Indonesia. Angkor4D
Cara Baca Kei atau Odds : Cara Ganti Odds Indonesia
Bila anda lebih biasa menggunakan laptop/komputer, setting mengganti odds ke Indonesia sangatlah mudah. Kita cukup klik menu odds di kanan atas, seperti pada contoh gambar di bagian paling atas artikel ini. Namun untuk pengguna HP atau smartphone, terbatasnya layar fisik pada gadget mengharuskan developer untuk meletakkan menu ganti odds ini ke halaman setting.
Topik ini kami pilih karena melonjaknya permintaan para pemain judi mengenai panduan ganti pasaran Indonesia melalu mobile/smartphone. Di Indonesia sendiri pengguna Telepon Selular atau Handphone diperkirakan mencapai 371,4 juta pengguna atau 142 persen dari total populasi sebanyak 262 juta jiwa.
Artinya, rata-rata setiap penduduk memakai 1,4 telepon seluler karena satu orang terkadang menggunakan 2-3 kartu telepon seluler. Sementara kaum urban Indonesia mencapai 55 persen dari total populasi.
Berikut ini adalah panduan cara pengaturan Kei Atau Odds menjadi pasaran Indonesia pada versi mobile/HP :
  1. Lakukan Login ke ID anda pada web Angkorliga.info dan masuk ke menu sports - M8BET, AFB88 atau United Gaming, hingga tampilan di layar HP anda jadi seperti di bawah ini. Pilih salah satu seperti berikut ini:
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  1. Lalu Pilih Soccer Menu ( yang kami tandai warna merah) seperti yang nampak pada gambar dibawah ini:
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  1. Pilih “Tipe Odds” Lalu pilih “Indonesia” untuk selanjutnya kita jadikan pengaturan bawaan anda (warna merah) seperti dibawah ini:
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  1. Selesai, Selanjut nya kalian bisa bermain dan pasang team yang kalian dukung
NB : Penting untuk diingat berhati-hatilah dalam memilih odds karena odds terbesar belum tentu membawa kemenangan, bisa jadi yang lebih kecil membawa keuntungan bagi anda.
Itulah rangkuman singkat tentang Cara Baca Kei atau Odds, jangan lupa untuk bermain hanya di bandar yang aman, web Bandar Taruhan Bola Angkorliga.info, selain menjadi satu-satunya bandar terpercaya Angkorliga juga selalu memberikan bonus besar dan promo yang menarik setiap saat. Angkor4D
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submitted by lisalim88999 to u/lisalim88999 [link] [comments]

FOOTBALL: HOW TO PREDICT A DRAW Top 5 websites for predicting draws in football system draw betting Betting on draws V1 - YouTube The best soccer betting strategy - Bet on Draws!

Learn the different types of handicap betting, such as level handicap, single handicap and split handicap ... If favourite draws the bet is lost-1.75-1.50 and -2.00: If favourite loses the bet is lost-1.75 ... Top 3 soccer betting trends Handicap betting markets, Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham explanation. Use that in betting predictions and soccer tips. Predict draw in soccer bets, handicap betting Soccer bets on matches that will end up draw Draw soccer predictions There is a big chance for a soccer match to end up a draw. The handicap market is where you bet on a team that begins the game with a disadvantage (or handicap) and needs to score more goals in order to beat the opposition. Alternatively the opposition is given a head start at the beginning of the game, and can win the game by just drawing the match (or winning outright). To counter the perceived bias in abilities, and to provide more balanced and appealing odds, bookmakers offer what is known as handicap betting.In the context of soccer, the Handicap odds level the playing-field by accounting for difference in perceived strength of the participants by literally applying a goal handicap - positive and negative - to each side. Handicap betting comes in some ways, and the other common type is the Asian handicap. This type of handicap betting is more or so a gift to wagers since it works by eliminating one of the possible results of a given match. The usual results from any soccer game are the home win, draw or the away team but the Asian handicap does not recognize a ...

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FOOTBALL: HOW TO PREDICT A DRAW

Our Draw Betting System: https://jkdgo.com/get-rich-soccer-betting Telegram Channel: https://t.me/teamdiego About JK Diego: https://jkdgo.com/who-is-jk-diego How To Beat The Bookies With Draws the most profitable soccer betting system. How To Beat The Bookies With Draws the most profitable soccer betting system. Draw Strategy How to win $1000 Per Week Must Watch - Duration: 4:50. Football Betting Tips - 100% Sure Free Soccer Tips 9,787 views system draw betting OFFICIEL WEBSITE : http://tinyurl.com/football-multiples FootyBetter EXTRA Is Here!! Today we are proud to announce to you our profitable... A quite wellknown strategy about betting on football games on the draws, and increasing the stake for ensuring the profit. Reviewed on the video. Enjoy!

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