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The Single Dumbest Myth in All of Sports Betting! You Probably Made This Idiotic Mistake
Just don’t do it. The square player buys it hook, line, and sinker and thinks it’s the De Vinci Code of NFL betting. So often we warn gamblers about the mortal sin of using inductive rather than deductive reasoning. The quintessence of that is the rapid circulation of the insipid illogic of “all you have to do is pick the straight up winner of a game and chances are you will have the spread winner.” It’s always followed by some stat where the outright winner has covered 80 percent of the time. Dah. As any sports betting podcaster knows, when an underdog wins they cover 100 percent of the time. The favorite cannot cover unless they win outright. It’s impossible. The only scenario in which a team can win and not cover is when the favorite wins but by a smaller margin than the spread. Not shockingly the numbnuts who perpetuate unscientific preposterousness almost always quote stats relevant to the NBA or NFL. In college sports there are more mismatches and hence larger spreads where the margin is larger for a favorite to win and not cover. If a team is a 3.5 point favorite the only way the team that wins will not cover is for the favorite to win by one, two or three points. Any other result will have the team that wins covering. At what percentage do these half-wits think a team should win and not cover? Obviously the stupidity of this widely circulated inductive blather can be refuted from now until eternity. Or at least until an underdog wins but fails to cover, whichever comes last. But to those who subscribe to it as if there is any logic, thanks for keeping the books in business for the rest of us. Since the prevailing premise behind this urban myth is “it’s so much easier to pick the SU winner than the spread winner” why don’t these fancied geniuses just pick dog winner after dog winner on the moneyline? There are plenty of underdogs that win outright, many huge dogs in fact. If one wants to postulate how much easier it is to pick the SU winner, why waste such foreknowledge on collecting $100 for every $110 risked? Just keep picking those 250 dogs and get your money’s worth. I don’t want to ruin this fool’s gold with such a logical question, but like I keep saying, I guess those pipe dreamers are needed to keep the books in business for the rest of us. No oddsmaker will go broke underestimating the intelligence of the betting public. The author Joe Duffy has been a successful professional handicapper long before the Internet. Duffy burst on to the scene as scorephone legend “JD of the ACC”back in the 1980s and is now CEO ofOffshoreInsiders.com
PART 3 of I got messaged this question and thought I’d share the response:: ON BOOK-MAKER BEHAVIOR AND VEGAS CONSPIRACIES
I’ve been seeing a lot of debate and disagreement about how lines are set, who sets lines, what RLM’s are, do favorites get more juice, whether bookies takes sides, following sharp behavior and tons of other related topics. It all boils down to one thing that I got asked about today (for about the 15th time since I started posting in the sub)… WTF IS GOING ON WITH THESE LINES/HOW DO I READ THEM? First of all, like everything I’ve written for the subr so far… I’m not writing this as gospel. Simply sharing my experience, and my perspective on how I view book-maker behavior. MY SOURCES:: Most of what I’m sharing is taken from things that I’ve read online, public conversations I’ve had with some private european bookies… and then two private conversations--one with a C-suite level exec for one of the major Vegas sports book (that’s all I can share there), and another with the line-setter for a mid-sized bookmaker here in Canada (whose lines are sometimes a few points off of Pinnacle/Vegas even at closing time). WHAT IS THE BOOK-MAKER TRYING TO DO WHEN THEY SET A LINE? So first off, it’s important to differentiate between book-makers… this is a simple segmentation, but let’s go with major players and minor players. Major players are the big offshore books (the major online books fall here… volume driven by pinnacle and its limits), and also the big Vegas books (your CANTOR, MGM, Wynn etc), and the minor players are local bookies and your smallemid-size online books. We’ll get into why the differences matter… BUT for the most part, book-makers are trying to do one thing, and one thing alone when they set a line:: Set a line that will result in relatively equal action on both sides Basically if a book charges 10% vig, as long as the total volume on each side of the bet is within 10%, the bookie will come out profitable, regardless of the end result. I think this is obvious but if there’s a question in the comments I can break the math down. This is the major philosophy for most books, on the vast majority of their lines. Knowing this can be an epiphany moment for some—because you realize that Vegas/books don’t have much an incentive to pursue conspiracies… because on 90%+ of the lines they’re making money regardless of the result. For an experienced gambler who already doesn’t believe in conspiracies there’s another important benefit to this realization. Books care about what the market thinks is a fair price/line… not about what the “actual” fair price/line is… essentially if the market wants an inefficient line, the bookie will give it to them. There isn’t yet enough sharp money to hammer lines back to their “actual” fair price. You mean books don’t use math!? The starting point for these books is always math-based, and involves a statistical model. You’d be surprised at how primitive they are though… for instance I know of a baseball book that uses ZERO Sabermetrics in its predictions, and it does just fine… that’s because the stats is only a starting point for them—their business hinges on equal volume on both sides, more than it does on getting the line statistically right. The evidence of this is looking at local books vs. off-shore ones… home-teams are almost always given an extra point or two in local books, because of the extra betting action they generate in their towns. Hell, the SF super bowl odds vs. ML odds on Sunday is a great example. To me this just further highlights the edge that using any kind of analytics brings. Do bookmakers always try to balance their books? Basically yes. Smaller bookmakers especially will almost always pursue this strategy… when they have too much action on one side, they’ll actually go to a major sports book and hedge out their risk almost all of the time (sometimes they’ll hedge with each other and get preferential vig). There are rare occasions where major books actually don’t try to balance each side, but we’ll get into that… OKAY I UNDERSTAND HOW/WHY THEY SET LINES… BUT WHY DO LINES MOVE? I think this is fairly intuitive/obvious to most… but basically bookmakers will move their lines to react to the market. As money comes in on one side A, that side becomes more expensive, in order to incentivize more betting on side B. SO WHY DO BOOKMAKERS SOMETIMES MOVE THEIR LINES IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION? So now we’re into reading line movements. There are a few different sources for this… scoresandodds.com has a casino grid that’s OK, and pregame.com also has one that’s OK (there are links in the side-bar). Basically it tells you the %age of money wagered on each side, and the current line. Is this information accurate? Not even close. BUT that doesn’t it's useless… it’s a very decent view of where the public betting money is going. The problem is that it doesn’t include any private money (e.g., a sharp who calls in a large bet instead of placing it online). As long as you know it’s a rough, not-close-to-perfect estimate of public betting only, then it’s absolutely fine to use. What does normal line movement look like? If the line is getting more expensive on the side where most of the wagers are coming in, that’s normal (e.g., Team A -6 is the line, and 90% of betting is on Team A… line moves to Team A -7). What does reverse line movement look like? The opposite. 90% of betting is on Team A… but the line moves to Team A -5. This can happen for two reasons:
There is so much private money coming in, that it more than outweighs the public majority, OR:
The bookmakers see a game that they feel is reasonably predictable (they know something the public doesn’t know).
The majority of the time, RLM’s are due to sharp/private money, and historically they hit about 57% of the time. Useful to know because it means any RLM has positive expected value. However, sometimes it is actually the bookies as well. This is almost always a call made by a major sports book, and it is certainly rare… but to say bookies never take a side is incorrect. The major sports books are the ones with the floats to take a "side"—and when they do it’s usually on a relatively low-volume event (read: never an NFL game)... and usually involves shorting a favorite (e.g., MIA in NBA). Regardless of what causes RLM, how can I use it to make money? Because we know RLM has positive expected value, it can be a great red-flag if it is moving against you, or a way to add higher confidence value to your existing picks. CONCLUSION After reading this you should know why book-makers set lines the way they do, why Vegas conspiracies are silly… and how to read RLM/use RLM to add confidence or raise red-flags on your existing predictions. Basic stuff for a lot of people, especially the more experienced amongst us, but I thought given the questions I had been getting about it, and the debate going on, I’d put together my perspective. There’s certainly more advanced ways to read lines as well, if there’s questions about the effects of futures bets, or the connection between the spread and ML, I can get into that as well. THOUGHTS? Would love to get the contrarian view. EDIT: I'm not covering how some online bookmakers change lines based on a customer's betting behavior... if your book is doing that to you, they're garbage and you should get another one.
First all, I just want to say all the things I post about in this thread are from my experiences. I Have been wagering online at least 10+ years, 8 of those (at least) being online. It seems there are quite a few new users on here with questions about wagering online. First off, lets talk about the legalities. It is completely legal to bet online at the federal level. (check your local state laws) The only laws that have been put into place are going after the actual book makers and banks for allowing transactions to go to offshore books. With millions of transactions going through the banking system daily this is nearly impossible to enforce. The only law you could possibly be breaking by betting online is not paying your taxes on winnings if you actually turn a profit. You could walk right into the IRS with a detailed report of your online betting activity, and if you pay your honest taxes on it, they couldn't care less. They just want their money. As far as funding accounts. This can be tricky at times. Your credit card could work, it might not. Pre Paid (international cards) are very useful for these transactions. There is one type of card that is great (I have PMed a few users about the method) I'd rather not post it publicly, but if you have questions. PM me. One very easy method to fund an account is p2p transfers (Moneygram, Western Union) Most books will reimburse fees for deposits over $300. (Even if they do not, Fees are typically very low to send funds). One tip on these types of deposits. Try to keep them under 1k, and ALWAYS, if possible do these transactions in person. Numerous online transactions have been known to get people flagged and banned from these person to person transfers. There are other funding methods out there, but the previous 2 examples have done everything I have needed them to do, so I haven't dabbled into others. As far as choosing a book. Please, please, please do your homework. visit sportsbookreview.com to get an accurate description of each book. These books are just like any other business trying to get your business. Find and ONLY use an A+ book (5Dimes, Heritage, Bookmaker) etc, and find and research the bonuses and go from there. Also, I cant stress this enough, DIVERSIFY. Fund 2-3 books. You can always find better lines/prices on different books. Do your homework, and find the best line. Betting the games: The most important things. 1. Line shopping (covered earlier) Find the best line/price and hammer it. Have funds in numerous books to make this work. 2. Chasing/Money Management. - This is the biggest downfall of most sports players. If you lose big one day, take it, and come back tomorrow. betting sports is NOT a sprint. It is a marathon. There is a reason Hawaii football is one of hte top 3 bet teams every year. Degenerates chasing losses big time, by going large on 2 WAC teams with the start time being after midnight eastern time. Set your self a goal for what you want to accomplish and stick to it. 3. TV Games/# of games bet - One of the biggest mistakes people can do is to bet a game just because it is on TV (the need to have action) or looking at lines, seeing a game starts in 10 minutes, so you throw some action down just to be in. Go into a day, pick a few games you really like and have it. There is no reason to bet games just for convienence (All of this goes away if you are just in this for the thrill and the wild ride and are just looking for action, its up to you) If you really have a plan and place and can practice great money management skills, you can beat this game. Pick a few games based on your research and hammer them. Well thats about it for part 1. I also have strong opinions on parlay, touts, chasing steam, etc. Let me know if you want more, Flame away! tl;dr - Only use A+ rated books, Funds at least 2-3 books to line shop. Focus on a few games, and don't chase. and betting online is LEGAL. good luck!
Mizzou Homecoming Talent Show Monday-Wednesday 6:30 PM at Jesse Auditorium. MU Students sing, dance, and perform their talents during a three-day showcase.
Show-Me Burlesque and the Vertical Sideshow team up to perform Kaleidoscope at 9:30 p.m. Thursday at The Blue Note, 17 N. Ninth St. The show has been billed as “a collision of sex, dance and euphoria, live and in Technicolor.” $10; ages 18 and older.
MU Department of Theatre presents ‘Good Kids’ Thursday-Saturday 7:30 PM and Sunday 2 PM at Corner Playhouse. Something happened to Chloe after that party last Saturday. The problem is, Chloe can’t remember anything about that night. Provocative and stunningly current, Good Kids explores the public and unsettling aftermath of a sex crime and its cover-up. Who’s telling the truth? Whose version of the story do you believe? And what does that say about you?
Talking Horse Productions presents ‘Mothers and Sons’ Friday-Saturday 7:30 PM and Sunday 2 PM at Talking Horse Theatre. Mothers and Sons by Terence McNally takes place in the Central Park West apartment of Cal and Will and their son Bud. Cal’s former lover Andre, died of AIDS almost twenty years ago, and Katherine, Andre’s mother, makes a surprise visit to Cal. Through their intense interactions we see how they have come to terms with their lives since Andre’s death. Sometimes humorous sometimes difficult, this is a play about relationships: how complicated love can be, how huge the losses, how important and accessible hope can be when one opens to possibility. And, not insignificantly, how our culture has changed since the AIDS epidemic.
Stephens College presents ‘Night Witches’ at 7:30 p.m. Friday and Saturday and 2 p.m. Sunday in the Macklanburg Playhouse. This new, devised work tells the tale of a female Soviet regiment who flew air missions against Germany in World War II. Tickets range from $7 to $14. Rated PG-13.
Mizzou Homecoming Step Show Friday 7:30 PM at Jesse Auditorium. You won’t want to miss this show! 5 organizations and 3 dance teams will compete to win part of the $2000 grand prize.
SPECIAL EVENTS
‘Art of Time’ Tuesday 7 PM at Missouri Theatre. Steven Page (founder and former lead of the iconic band Barenaked Ladies) and Wesley Stace (AKA John Wesley Harding) join singers Andy Maize (Skydiggers) and Craig Northey (The Odds) in a re-imagining of the Beatles’ groundbreaking album, Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band. The singers and Art of Time’s world class orchestra, collaborate for an incredible night of music. One part tone poem, one part rock opera, Sgt. Pepper is a cornerstone of rock & roll history. Songs including Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds, When I’m Sixty-Four, and With a Little Help From My Friends are re-imagined in arrangements that affectionately celebrate the music while preserving the vocal harmonies and musical elements that earned its designation by Rolling Stone as “the most important rock and roll album ever made.”
Ragtag Cinema presents Passport Series #6: ‘Being 17’ (France) Wednesday and Thursday 6:30 PM. Damien (Kacey Mottet Klein) stands in front of his class and pompously recites a Rimbaud poem. On the way back to his desk, Thomas (Corentin Fila) trips him. Thereafter, these classmates are at one another’s throats. Outside of school, both boys are revealed to be kind, caring sons. Damien regularly cooks dinner for his mother Marianne (Sandrine Kiberlain), a military spouse who also works as a country doctor. Thomas works on the family farm and takes care of his ailing mother. When Thomas needs medicine, he calls Marianne, unaware that she’s Damien’s mother. After his mother goes to the hospital, Thomas’ father sends him to live with Marianne and Damien.
The African-American Experience in Missouri: A Talk with Miller Boyd Thursday 6:30 PM at Missouri Theatre. Learn about the history of African Americans in Missouri from Professor Miller Boyd from the African American Studies Program at the University of Mississippi. This is part of the African American Experience in Missouri lecture series.
Halloween Brew ‘N View: The Rocky Horror Picture Show Thursday 8:30 PM at The Blue Note. Kick off your Halloween by experiencing the chaos and delight of the world’s greatest (and only) rock & roll audience participation film, hosted (as always) by Mark “The Master” Chambers! Follow Brad and Janet as they encounter Dr. Frank N. Furter, and dance to songs that are now cult classics. Halloween shows off the best costumes and the most raucous behavior of the entire year! Let’s do the Time Warp again, Columbia! Warning: the show features ADULT LANGUAGE and the film includes ADULT CONTENT.
Morning Movies at Forum 8 Theater: Secret Life of Pets Friday-Sunday 10 AM. Those belonging to our Frequent Moviegoer Club (FMG) will be able to see any movie in the series free-of-charge when they present their FMG card at the box office. Each member will get up to 6 free admissions with their FMG card per show. Nonmembers will be charged $1.00 per ticket.
Mizzou Homecoming Campus Decorations Friday 6-9 PM in Greektown. Stroll through Greektown to see fraternities’ and sororities’ 2016 Campus Decs, based on the Homecoming theme, Truman’s Tall Tails..
Morning Movies at Forum 8 Theater: Angry Birds Friday-Sunday 10 AM. Those belonging to our Frequent Moviegoer Club (FMG) will be able to see any movie in the series free-of-charge when they present their FMG card at the box office. Each member will get up to 6 free admissions with their FMG card per show. Non-members will be charged $1.00 per ticket.
Columbia Farmers Market Saturday 8 AM – noon at the ARC. Experience the taste of mid-Missouri at the Columbia Farmers Market! Columbia Farmers Market moves back to the parking lot behind the ARC and runs every Saturday (March 19-October 29) from 8-noon. Fresh vegetables & fruit, meat, farm fresh eggs, cheeses, honey, cut flowers, plants, artisan items & more. As a producer-only market, everything sold here is offered by the farmers and artisans who help sustain our region. Food Stamps accepted at all markets. Live music at the ARC market every Saturday! Rain or Shine! 573-823-6889.
Boone County Farmers Market Saturday 8 AM – noon at the Columbia Mall. Offering a large selection of fruits, vegetables, flowering plants, hanging baskets, and wooden planters. Also specialty products like jams, jellies, baked goods, antibiotic-free beef, kettle corn, soaps.
BYOBW ‘Track’ or Treat Saturday 9-10:30 AM at The ARC. Ages 2-6. Riders can bring their fanciest Big Wheel, tricycle, or other pedal powered vehicle and cruise the ARC Track! Halloween props will be set up for an exciting haunted ride and great photo ops for parents! Tons of prizes and awards will be given to all riders and mileage will be recorded. All equipment must be clean and approved by event staff before entering the track surface. Absolutely no bicycles! Track is closed to walkers/joggers during event. Don’t forget the costume.
Mizzou Homecoming Parade Saturday 9 AM in The District. Floats, bands, and strollers wind through downtown before the game.
Meet the Author: Kenneth Winn Saturday 10:30 AM at Boone County Historical Society. Join us on the third Saturday of every month for Meet the Author presentations. Admission is Free! Doors open at 9:30am and the event begins at 10:30am. Book signings and sales at 11:30am. Also available at every Meet the Author: free coffee and the delicious, fresh-baked Harold’s Doughnuts! Kenneth Winn will discuss his book ‘Missouri Law and the American Conscience.’ This acclaimed University of Missouri Press publication consists of ten essays that showcase Missouri as both maker and microcosm of American history. Some of the topics are famous: Dred Scott’s slave freedom suit, Virginia Minor’s women’s suffrage case and Curt Flood’s suit against major league baseball.
7 th Annual Harvest Hootenanny Saturday 3-8 PM at 1209 Smith Street. This community event celebrates local food, urban growing, and hands-on education here in Columbia, MO. Guests will enjoy a large Missouri raised meal, with tea, coffee, beer and wine; live music; games; and a raffle.
Rocheport Oktoberfest Saturday 12-10:30 PM in Rocheport. At our first iteration of Oktoberfest, we are celebrating the downhome vibes of the Mid-MO music scene. From folk, to traditional, to Americana; we will have it all. Music will start at noon and go all the way until 10:30 in the evening. This event is FREE to the public and will feature an array of delicious brews and food.
Orr Street Farmers and Artisans Market Sunday 9-1 PM at Wabash Bus Station. Vendors with everything from fresh produce to handcrafted jewelry will be selling their wares. Food trucks and music will also be there to bring the fun to this weekly event.
Princess Tea Party Sunday 1 PM and 4 PM at Kimball Ballroom, Stephens College. Tickets are $20 per person and include: A Royal treat, princess activities, party favors, a sing-a-long and lots of photo opportunities.
Walktoberfest Sunday 2 PM at Cosmo Park. Super heroes will unite to fight diabetes at the 11th annual Walktoberfest. The 5K run and walk begins at 2 p.m. and is sponsored by the Show-Me Cosmopolitan Club. Funds raised at the event will be donated to local organizations that support diabetes research and education, including Camp Hickory Hill and the Cosmopolitan International Diabetes and Endocrinology Center at University of Missouri Hospital. Children and adult participants are urged to dress as their favorite super hero. Entry fees are $20 advance and $25 race day for adults and $10 advance or $15 race day for children age 17 and under. Race packets will be available from 1 to 1:50 p.m. at the Burfurd Shelter at Cosmopolitan Park. All registered participants will receive a T-shirt. To register for Walktoberfest, email Judy Weitkemper at [email protected].
Café Berlin’s Pumpkin Carving Contest Sunday 5-8 PM. We're having a pumpkin carving contest. You have to bring your own pumpkins though...carving materials too. Carving will start at 6 PM sharp, and you have 1.5 hours to complete. To register: bring one coffee mug the day of the contest. Pumpkins will be judged on creativity, originality, and overall appearance. 1st place | Cafe Berlin winter Care Package: A new t-shirt, our signature bloody mary mix, our house blend coffee beans, 4 tickets to any show, and a $20 gift card. 2nd place | A new t-shirt and two tickets to any show. 3rd place | find the bar....we'll buy you a shot, loser. (jk, ur gr8). We'll have spiced rum and cider flowing all to keep you snug. Hot choco? YUP! Pumpkin lates? nope. STAG? you bet.
GALLERY
The George Caleb Bingham Gallery, located in the Fine Arts Building at University of Missouri, presents Foundations through Oct. 20. This exhibit features drawings by beginning undergraduates.
Orr Street Studios, 106 Orr St., presents Photo Vision through Oct. 28. This exhibit features work by professional and amateur photographers.
For the fourth time, the Columbia Art League delivers its Interpretations exhibit: 40 visual artists and 40 writers contribute a piece of work; that work then is studied by an artist from the opposite discipline who uses it as a springboard for a new creation of their own. The results are always a fascinating look at our dialogue with others’ work and the filters through which we pass ideas and experiences. Through Nov. 4.
Sager Braudis Gallery, 1025 E. Walnut St., presents its Autumn Exhibit through Nov. 26. Exhibiting artists are Norleen Nosri, Julia Katz, Bill Dawson, Chris Dahlquist and Joel Sager.
The Montminy Gallery, located inside the Boone County Historical Society, 3810 Ponderosa St., presents We Are the Music Makers through Nov. 6. Coinciding with the 10th anniversary of the Roots N Blues N BBQ festival, this photography exhibit chronicles the last several decades of music in the South. The images are by Tim Duffy, founder of the Music Maker Relief Foundation; the foundation’s Music Maker Revue plays the fest each year. boonehistory.org.
The MU Museum of Art and Archaeology, 115 Business Loop 70 W., presents Drawing Inspiration: Renaissance and Drawings from the Permanent Collection through Oct. 9. The Museum of Art and Archaeology is also putting on an exhibit of 19th century Japanese Art through December 11. Kabuki was a subversive form of theatre meant to challenge social customs and the government. The museum’s prints will depict the avant-garde art. Distinction, a look at the evolution of portraiture, is on display through Dec. 23.
The State Historical Society of Missouri, located on MU’s Lowry Mall, presents Evolving Environments through Dec. 23. The exhibit features artifacts from the career of Kansas City father-son architecture team Sidney and Herbert Hare.
SPORTS
Stephens College Volleyball vs. Park University TUE 7 PM Silverthorne Arena.
Mizzou Volleyball vs. LSU WED 7 PM Hearnes Center.
Mizzou Softball vs. Central Methodist University FRI 4 PM University Field.
Mizzou Softball vs. Crowder College FRI 6 PM University Field.
Stephens College Soccer vs. Columbia College FRI 7 PM Cosmo Park.
Columbia College Volleyball vs. Vanguard University SAT 11 AM Southwell Complex.
Mizzou Football vs. Middle Tennessee 3 PM Faurot Field.
Mizzou Volleyball vs. Kentucky SUN 1 PM Hearnes Center.
LIVE MUSIC
Tuesday
Leighton Roden 7 to 10 p.m. at Murry’s.
Wednesday
Deerhunter, Aldous Harding, Jock Gang 8:30 p.m. at The Blue Note; $20.
Huntertones 7 p.m. at Stotler Lounge, University of Missouri; $8 to $16.
Facing Giants, Conman Economy, Project 9 p.m. at The Social Room; $3.
John G. Stewart Trio 6:30 p.m. at Jazz, A Louisiana Kitchen.
Tom Andes 7 to 10 p.m. at Murry’s.
Thursday
Cosmonauts, Mr. and the Mrs. 8 p.m. at Café Berlin; $7.
Felly, Sam Maxfield 9 p.m. at Rose Music Hall; $15 to $25.
Jack Grelle 7 p.m. at Logboat Brewing Company.
Bruiser Queen, Crushed Out 9 p.m. at The Social Room; $5.
Artie’s Univibe 6:30 p.m. at Jazz, A Louisiana Kitchen.
Leighton Roden 7 to 10 p.m. at Murry’s.
The Norm Ruebling Band 6 PM at The Roof.
Friday
Dierks Bentley, Randy Houser, Drake White and the Big Fire 7:30 p.m. at Mizzou Arena; $31.75 to $51.75.
Liquid Stranger, Bleep Bloop, Perkulator, Shlump 9 p.m. at The Blue Note; $13 to $15.
John Galbraith 5 p.m. at Rose Music Hall; free.
Tom Petty Hootenanny with Mercury Trio, Rose Ridge, Big Medicine, Philip Woolridge and I’ll Have Another 9 p.m. at Rose Music Hall; $5.
Davon Sparkling, DNA, Ebony Tusks, Maz-Blanko 9 p.m. at The Social Room; $5.
Third Switch 6:30 p.m. at Jazz, A Louisiana Kitchen.
Jessy Johnson 6 PM at Cooper’s Landing.
Saturday
Moon Hooch, Honeycomb, Gekko 9 p.m. at Rose Music Hall; $10 to $12.
Yeesh, Smokeseeker, Ted Tyro 8 p.m. at Café Berlin; $5.
Joel Anderson Trio 6:30 p.m. at Jazz, A Louisiana Kitchen.
Tom Andes Trio 9 p.m. at Murry’s.
Noah Earle 5 PM at Cooper’s Landing.
Sunday
Donny McCaslin Quartet 3:30 and 7 p.m. at Murry’s; $20 to $45.
Big Gigantic, Louis Futon, Lusid 9 p.m. at The Blue Note; $24 to $26.
Diane Coffee 8 p.m. at Rose Music Hall; $10 to $12.
‘Stephens Sings’ Fall Choral Concert 7:30 PM at Sacred Heart Catholic Church; free.
MOVIE GUIDE THE ACCOUNTANT - Christian Wolff (Ben Affleck) is a math savant with more affinity for numbers than people. Behind the cover of a small-town CPA office, he works as a freelance accountant for some of the world’s most dangerous criminal organizations. AMERICAN HONEY - A sensation at the Cannes Film Festival, where it took home the Jury Prize, American Honey is a dazzling and ambitious road film set in the Midwest. Star (20-year-old Sasha Lane, delivering a headturning debut performance) is dumpster diving when she notices a van carrying a young, motley crew. She follows them inside the local K-Mart and makes eye contact with Jake (Shia LaBeouf). The next day, Star hops in their van, and they head towards Kansas City, selling magazines door-to-door and partying along the way. THE BEATLES: EIGHT DAYS A WEEK – THE TOURING YEARS - Directed by Ron Howard and produced with the full cooperation of Paul McCartney, Ringo Starr, Yoko Ono and Olivia Harrison, this entertaining and evocative documentary transports us to the 1960s, when The Beatles cemented their reputation as a brilliant live act. The film will focus on the time period from the early Beatles' journey in the days of The Cavern Club in Liverpool to their last concert at Candlestick Park in San Francisco in 1966. Their inner workings and astounding musical gifts are revealed through electric, never-before-seen archival materials, including footage exclusive to movie theaters. THE BIRTH OF A NATION - Set in the antebellum South, Birth of a Nation boldly explores the life and death of Nat Turner, a slave who orchestrated an uprising in 1831. As a young boy, Nat startles his owners by displaying an aptitude for reading. They decide to teach him how to read the Bible. As an adult, Nat (Nate Parker) is a gifted preacher, regularly offering wisdom to his fellow slaves. Nat's owner Samuel (Armie Hammer) encounters hard times and decides to take advantage of Nat's gift. Written and directed by Parker, Birth of a Nation premiered at the Sundance Film Festival, where it won the Grand Jury Prize and the Audience Award. BOO! A MADEA HALLOWEEN - Madea (Tyler Perry) fends off killers, poltergeists, ghosts, ghouls and zombies on Halloween. DEEPWATER HORIZON - Lone Survivor director Peter Berg helms this docudrama about the true story of the Deepwater Horizon disaster, a 2010 oil rig explosion in the Gulf of Mexico which resulted in the largest offshore oil spill in U.S. history. The film depicts the challenges Mike Williams (Mark Wahlberg) and the rest of the rig's crew as they fought for survival. DON’T BREATHE - Three friends plot to end their money woes by burglarizing the home of a blind recluse (Stephen Lang), but the heist quickly goes awry when they discover that their target is concealing a horrifying secret -- and that he isn't as harmless as they had thought. THE GIRL ON THE TRAIN - A recent divorcee (Emily Blunt) fantasizes about a couple that she passes each day on her commuter train ride. Soon, she becomes entangled in a mystery involving the couple, as well as her former husband and his new family in this adaptation of the 2015 bestseller by Paula Hawkins. JACK REACHER: NEVER GO BACK - This time around, Reacher works to exonerate Maj. Susan Turner after she is accused of treason, and his quest leads him to a conspiracy involving the murder of soldiers. KEEPING UP WITH THE JONESES - An ordinary suburban couple (Zach Galifianakis and Isla Fisher) discovers that their hospitable new neighbors (Jon Hamm and Gal Gadot) are actually government spies, thrusting them into an international espionage imbroglio. KEVIN HART: WHAT NOW? - Comedian Kevin Hart returns to his hometown of Philadelphia to perform in front of a record setting, sold-out Lincoln Financial Field in this stand-up documentary. Footage from his historic 2015 show is mixed with skits starring Halle Berry and Don Cheadle. THE MAGNIFICENT SEVEN - In this remake of the classic 1960 oater of the same name (itself a Western remake of Akira Kurosawa's masterpiece, The Seven Samurai), seven gunslingers join forces in order to protect a small town from a mining tycoon and his goons, who plan to seize the residents' land by force. The seven-man army is led by a mysterious bounty hunter, and also includes a sharp-witted gambler, a troubled ex-Civil War soldier, a mountain man, an expert knife thrower, an outlaw, and a Comanche warrior. MASTERMINDS - A dim-witted armored-car driver (Zach Galifianakis) is lured into taking part in a massive heist by a seductive co-worker (Kristen Wiig) and her criminal accomplice (Owen Wilson). But when his partners steal the money and betray him, he is forced to evade a police detective (Leslie Jones) and an eccentric hit man (Jason Sudeikis) while seeking his revenge. MAX STEEL - Max discovers that his body can generate the universe’s most powerful energy. Unbeknown to Max, a techno-organic extraterrestrial named Steel has been keeping an eye on him. When they finally meet, they discover that together they form MAX STEEL. MISS PEREGRINE’S HOME FOR PECULIAR CHILDREN - After a family tragedy, a boy (Asa Butterfield) follows a series of clues that lead him to a mysterious orphanage on a remote Welsh island. There, he discovers a community of children with unusual abilities. OPERATION AVALANCHE - It's the height of the Cold War, and the US government is concerned a Russian mole has infiltrated NASA. In response, two young CIA agents (Matt Johnson and Owen Williams) investigate undercover, posing as a documentary filmmaking crew. They are shocked by what they discover. In reality, director Matt Johnson surreptitiously filmed Operation Avalanche on location at NASA; he obtained access by claiming he was making a student documentary. WHEN THE BOUGH BREAKS - John and Laura Taylor desperately want a baby. After exhausting all other options, they finally hire Anna to be their surrogate - but as she gets further along in her pregnancy, so too does her psychotic and dangerous fixation on the husband.
CHECK EACH THEATRE FOR SHOWTIMES RAGTAG CINEMA – 10 Hitt Street 573-443-4359 REGAL STADIUM 14 THEATER – 2800 Goodwin Pointe Drive 573-817-0770 GOODRICH FORUM 8 – 1209 Forum Katy Parkway 573-445-7469
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Legal Sports Betting: How Does It Impact Vegas Bookmakers and Professional Sports Bettors
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