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[OC] GMs put down your ballpoint pens, because (most) coaching hires are done and your grades are in

One of my favorite basketball angles to follow is the coaching carousel. Two weeks ago, I ranked my favorite coaching candidates of this cycle.
Apparently, NBA front offices don't value my opinion much because they didn't hire a single one of my picks. So in turn, I am going to react to that cruel snub by judging their own.
SACRAMENTO KINGS
job requirement
On paper, former coach Dave Joerger did exactly what a coach of a rebuilding program should have done. He helped coax improvement out of their young stars, resulting in a sizable step up from 27-55 to 39-43. In some ways, this team felt ahead of schedule.
Unfortunately for Joerger, teams don't play on paper and coaches don't work in a vacuum. He may have a great resume, but he's continually had trouble getting along with those around him (leading to an early firing in Memphis as well.) Reportedly, Joerger had some friction with his players as well as the front office. There may have been some issues regarding playing style and starting lineups as well, as prized # 2 pick Marvin Bagley III came off the bench for most of the year. Ideally, a new coach would help to push this team forward, but also push the pace and style in a more King-ly image.
the hire: Luke Walton, former head coach, L.A. Lakers
The circumstances around Dave Joerger's firing were odd, but their chosen replacement checks a lot of the boxes that the team wanted. Luke Walton is still a young coach at 39 (in fact, he's still younger than a few NBA players like Vince Carter and Jamal Crawford.) He also cut his coaching teeth in the Golden State's system during their more uptempo era, which this Sacramento franchise clearly values. Owner Vivek Ranadive copies the cross-state rivals so much that he's bordering on "Single White Female" status.
If Luke Walton allows the team to run and gun with De'Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield, Bodgan Bogdanovic, Harrison Barnes (on that 73-win Warriors team, remember) and Marvin Bagley as the smallball 5, their offense could be lethal. We saw glimpses of that intention with Walton's initial Lakers teams, although the success varied (his offenses only ranked 23rd, 23rd, and 24th in his three seasons.) Stylistically, this should be a good fit. In terms of personality, Walton has always earned kudos for his low-key approach and likability, which should fit in with the front office's desire for cohesion.
Of course, there's at least one person out there who isn't a fan of Luke Walton's behavior. After the hiring, reports came out about the sexual assault civil case that may be pending. We have to presume the Kings didn't know about that issue beforehand, but it's a complication nonetheless. I still expect this to be resolved behind the scenes (with Walton's wallet losing weight in the process), but it's an embarrassment that forces us to downgrade this hire from a B+ to a B.
PHOENIX SUNS
the job requirement
We may not remember this now, but the young Phoenix Suns had similar expectations to the Sacramento Kings this year. In fact, their Vegas oveunder win total was even higher.
Clearly, no one can accuse this team of overachieving in the same way, as the Suns slumped down to the bottom of the sea once again. Not only did they have a pitiful 19-63 record, they ranked # 28 (of 30) in offense, and # 29 in defense, an impressively balanced pile of shit.
What's discouraging about this franchise is that there actually is talent here, including Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton. A new coach will be tasked with getting the most out of those players, and finally getting this rebuild off the ground.
the hire: Monty Williams, assistant coach, Philadelphia
Calculating a coach's "heat" is a strange science. Monty Williams hasn't been a head coach since the 2014-15 season, and had a sub .500 record during his time in New Orleans. However, for some reason, he became THE hot coaching candidate of the cycle.
A lot of the growing buzz about Williams stems from his likability. He's always gotten along with his stars, and that connection and endearment has only amplified after the tragic death of his wife. That said, you don't want to hire a coach based on whether or not he's a "good guy" or not. At the end of the day, we need results not fuzzy feelings.
If you dig deeper into Williams' resume, you can get more optimistic that both are possible. Williams inherited the Pelicans (then "Hornets") at a strange time, right as they were trading Chris Paul and re-starting from scratch. The team landed the # 1 pick and Anthony Davis two years later, and Williams+AD helped lead to a solid turnaround. The win total consistently improved from 21 to 27 to 34 to 45. The offensive rating went from # 28 to # 16 to # 13 to # 8.
In theory, Williams and his 45-37 record should have been lauded. Unfortunately, something else took place that season: Steve Kerr took over the Warriors and immediately electrified the team. Suddenly, every franchise thought they were one coaching change away from the same. New Orleans dumped Williams and hired Alvin Gentry (from that Golden State staff) and expected the same spark. It did not work that simply. In fact, the team sagged from 45-37 under Williams down to 30-52 under Gentry and had inconsistent success thereafter (to be fair, AD's scattered injury issues make a direct 1:1 comparison difficult.)
Heading to Phoenix, Williams will have a similar task on his hands with a young and talented team. He'll also try to make the most out of a new big man in DeAndre Ayton. Williams wasn't a center in the NBA, but at 6'8" he's probably more of a "big man's coach" than most in the league. The fact that the Suns gave him a 5 year deal should give him some authority in that locker room as well. Williams' head coaching resume is still too thin to call this a home run hire, but it's a logical pick. Let's grade it a B+. (Although don't get too excited, Suns fans, since I probably graded Igor Kokoskov's hiring highly as well. The well may be too poisoned here to enjoy a half full glass of optimism.)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS
job requirement
While there's undeniable appeal to the notion of coaching LeBron James in the legendary purple and gold, it's also the most difficult job to navigate. James has never been a teacher's pet, and can bristle or withdraw when he's lost faith in you. However, James is no longer the type of superstar beyond coaching: he needs to lock in on defense, and probably needs his minutes reduced in order to preserve his longevity in the future. The first task for a new coach would be to earn the respect of their "King." At the same time, a coach needs to help develop their younger core, some of whom stagnated with James in the lineup. There will be always be outsized expectations here, and the current roster may not be able to make a deep playoff run without new pieces or strong internal improvement.
the hire: Frank Vogel, former head coach, Orlando
There's no doubt that Frank Vogel has a strong resume, largely from his time in Indiana. Sure, he benefited from a talented and balanced starting 5 (that included an ascending rookie named Paul George), but still managed to get them to the # 1 defense two straight years; talent alone can't do that.
The trouble is: NBA coaches tend to age in dog years, as the game evolves so rapidly from year to year. 5 years ago, Tom Thibodeau, Stan Van Gundy, and Frank Vogel were some of the top coaches in the NBA. They were all fired in the last year. In some ways, it's surprising that a "retread" like Vogel landed a big job like this (although the fact that others turned it down may have helped.)
Is Vogel past his prime? It's hard to say. He clearly struggled to translate his magic to the Magic, as the team ranked # 22 and # 18 in his two years at the helm. Those old Pacers had relied heavily on size and a traditional plodding center in Roy Hibbert, but that style has gone out of style. Offensively, he also looked out of step. He slowly adapted and tried to shoot more threes, but didn't have the roster suited to that playing style.
Overall, I'd still call Frank Vogel an average to above-average coach. He has the type of low-key personality and humility that should work in a tough assignment like this, and he has enough playoff success to earn the (initial) respect from LeBron James. At first glance, I'd give this hire a B grade.
But unfortunately, there is more than one glance here. We have to do a double take, because the Lakers somehow hired assistant Jason Kidd to be Vogel's lieutenant. I don't think Kidd is as bad of a coach as his Reddit reputation suggests (he does earn the respect of most of his players.) That said, he's an awfully dangerous choice to be a # 2. He's too ambitious and too conniving. This is like naming Littlefinger your "Hand." You're just asking to get stabbed in the back.
The dynamics of that decision are also fraught. According to some reports, the Lakers wanted to hire Kidd outright, but felt that his previous domestic violence charges may make that difficult in the modern political climate. It's almost impossible to see this partnership working out as anything other than a battle for power. Odds are, Vogel will not survive that short 3 year contract. So while the hire itself may be a "B," the circumstances downgrade this to a C.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
job requirement
In some regard, Cleveland mortgaged their future to chase titles in LeBron James' final days in town. And in the wake of the King's departure, the Cavs roster looks about as stable as King's Landing right now. Veterans Tristan Thompson, J.R. Smith, Brandon Knight, Jordan Clarkson, and Matthew Dellavedova will combine to make $70M next season. Yikes.
Fortunately, those contracts will all come off the books after next season, at which point the team will be left with their young talent (and potentially Kevin Love?) But make no mistake, this is a DEEP rebuild situation here. Last year's lottery pick Collin Sexton flashed some offensive talent, but hasn't proven to be a sure-fire bet as a true PG or winning player. Ideally, he may be best served becoming a super Sixth Man. And if a Sixth Man is your primary asset at the moment, you have a long way to go.
In deep rebuilds like that, player development becomes key, as well as the need to create an optimistic and winning culture. Brett Brown (PHI) and Kenny Atkinson (BKN) both did admirable jobs of such, and would have appeared to be natural templates for the Cavs to follow. Sure enough, they interviewed several similar candidates: rising assistants on good staffs that understood the modern NBA. That said, they clearly did not hire someone who fit that exact template.
the hire: John Beilein, head coach, Michigan
I fully expected the Cavs to hire a young NBA assistant, but they went off the board completely with a 66-year-old college coach instead. In fact, I rarely even consider college coaches for NBA posts, because quite frankly it's a less appealing job for them. There's more job security (and similar money) available in the NCAA. Veteran John Beilein had already been at Michigan for 12 years, and theoretically could have stayed for another decade if he wanted. In that regard, the Cavs' front office (which includes Beilien's former player Mike Gansey) pulled off a major coup here.
However, the other reason I tend to ignore college coaches is because their talents don't always translate to the pro game. The playing style is different, and obviously the roster construction is different as well. In college, you can get by with recruiting a group of studs and getting out of the way.
All those factors lead me to natural skepticism about college coaches, but a natural optimism regarding Beilein's potential transition. In several ways, he's not the stereotypical college coach. In terms of playing style, he's been ahead of the curve offensively. Back at West Virginia, he had his bigs (remember Kevin Pittsnogle?) launching threes. At the time, people looked at them as an oddity, not realizing they'd be emulating them years later.
Beilein has also had success despite a lack of super recruits, which is crucial in terms of projecting his success forward. He's had some top 25 prospects here and there, but he's never loaded up in the way that Kentucky or Duke do. He doesn't lure in surefire pros; he helps makes pros. Trey Burke, Nik Stauskas, Mo Wagner, etc. These are all players who became R1 picks in part thanks to Beilein and his development skills. In that way, Beilein should help the young Cavs get better and better year to year as well.
If there's any hesitation with Beilein, it's the age issue. As mentioned, he's 66. Now, that's not ancient by any means. In fact, that's younger than several great coaches across sports, including Bill Belichick (67), Nick Saban (67), Pete Carroll (67), Gregg Popovich (70), and Mike Krzyzweski (72). However, the problem here is that the Cavs don't have a program up and rolling like those other coaches do. This may be a 3-4 year rebuild, by which point Beilein may be losing the eye of the tiger. That lone concern downgrades this hire slightly, but it remains a healthy B+/A-.
still to come
Minnesota and Memphis haven’t formally hired new coaches yet, and we may see another surprise firing by the time the offseason is through. We’ll try to judge those as they come in.
update: Coaching analysis is never that popular on here, so thanks to everyone who read!
submitted by ZandrickEllison to nba [link] [comments]

I have been a matched betting enthusiast for years and now I am teaching it for free to everyone.

Hey beermoneyukers!
After years working in my 9-5 job as a website developer for a large corporation I decided I could not face selling my soul any longer lols and packed in my job.
Since then, I had a stint working as a freelancer whilst also making a healthy side income via matched betting. And over the past 9 months I’ve been building a website that teaches people how to do the same.
There are a lot of websites out there that teach matched betting, but most require a monthly subscription and most have long articles that can be a bit dry and hard to follow.
So instead, I built a website, Team Profit, that:
  Is completely free
  Uses animated video guides to teach people (link)
  Has infographics to accompany all video guides
  Provides step by step guides for 25+ bookmaker offer which will make you £600+ risk free (link)
I have amended the video script over 50 times to try to make it as concise and helpful as possible, hopefully they are a good watch!
Any feedback on the videos, guides, blog or anything else, please let me know, I spend every day adding new content and improving existing content.
If you are thinking of learning matched betting and making £600+ risk free, please check it out!
www.teamprofit.com
 
MEGA FAQs GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING
 
The video guides I posted above will teach you everything about matched betting.
However, I figure no harm in me writing down everything I know about matched betting in an FAQ style layout. Hopefully this will be useful to you.
I have tried to answer every question as concise as possible / no rambling :D
I have split the FAQs into the following sections:
 
INTRODUCTION
1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
2) How popular is matched betting?
3) Does it involve gambling?
4) How much money will I need to start?
5) How much time will it take me to learn matched betting?
 
OFFERS & YOUR PROFIT
1) How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month from Daily Offers (existing customer offers)?
4) What type of Daily Offers are available?
 
BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGES
1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?
2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?
3) What is mug betting?
4) What is a betting exchange?
5) How do we use a betting exchange?
 
ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS
1) How sustainable is matched betting?
2) Will it impact my credit rating?
3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
4) Do I need to know about sports?
 
WHICH WEBSITES TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS
1) Where can you learn matched betting?
 
ADDITIONAL FAQS
1) Depositing and withdrawing
2) Sending identification documents
Any questions that haven’t been answered please add a comment and I’ll add the FAQ and answer.
 
INTRODUCTION
 
1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
There are more than 25 online bookmakers in the UK. In order to attract new customers, they each offer free bets, known as ‘Welcome Offers’.
In total they offer over £800 in free bets to new customers.
In order to receive the free bet, bookmakers require you to place your first bet. An example offer is ‘Bet £5, Get £20 free bet’.
The risk is that you could lose both the £5 bet (your own cash) and the £20 free bet.
By using a technique called matched betting, we remove this risk.
This is because we match our first £5 bet on the bookmaker with a £5 bet on a betting exchange on the opposite outcome (this is known as a ‘lay bet’).
For example, we bet £5 on Man Utd to win on the bookmaker, and £5 on Man Utd not to win on the betting exchange.
As we have now bet on all outcomes, regardless of whether Man Utd win, draw or lose, we will neither win nor lose money. However, we have received the £20 free bet!
With the £20 free bet, we can now repeat this process by betting on say Liverpool to win on the bookmaker and Liverpool not to win.
This time, because we are using a £20 free bet but our winnings are paid out in cash, we will always make a profit.
We repeat this process for 25+ bookmakers, one by one. In total we can convert the £800+ in free bets to over £600+ in actual cash profit, in very little time at all.
 
2) How popular is matched betting?
Matched betting isn’t new and has been around since at least 2005.
However, it is only since 2015 that it has really increased in popularity due to the rise of websites teaching matched betting. You can see this trend here: Google Trends Link
By looking at the various matched betting sites popularity, a reasonable estimate is at least 25,000 people in the UK are matched betters. You can see a review of sites that teach matched betting in the ‘Which websites teach matched betting?’ section below.
 
3) Does it involving gambling?
This is the most common assumption with matched betting. You’d be forgiven for thinking that it did involve gambling simply because the name ‘matched betting’ would suggest it did.
However, matched betting does not involve gambling, you will never be risking a penny.
Because we are always covering the opposite outcome occurring, there is never any risk we will lose money. Furthermore, we still receive the free bets which we will where we make our profit.
The profitability and risk free nature of matched betting has been reviewed in the Daily Telegraph and the Guardian
 
4) How much will I need to start?
You can start with as little as you want, however the lowest I would recommend starting with would be £25.
With £25, you can start your first bookmaker welcome offer and make a deposit into your first betting exchange, meaning you can start making a profit.
For more details, see this Starting with £25 guide.
The downside, with only £25 you are restricted by having to wait for withdrawals before you can move onto the next offer.
Therefore, I would say an optimal amount to have available for your cash flow would be in the region of £200 as this allows you to complete multiple welcome offers simultaneously.
 
5) How long will it take me to learn matched betting?
To learn the principles of matched betting, it will take up to 20 minutes.
To become familiar with completing your first offer, I would set aside another 30-60 minutes so you can take your time and ensure you are completing it correctly.
For example, the video guides on Team Profit last a total of 21 minutes (8 minutes for the explainers videos and 13 minutes to watch the step-by-step real time example). Although they last just 21 minutes, some users watch certain parts of the video again to become comfortable with the process.
It is very much recommended to avoid trying to learn matched betting by yourself. There are thousands of experienced matched betters who can help you. For more details on this, see the ‘Which Websites Teach Matched Betting’ section.
If you need any help anytime, please do comment in this Reddit thread and I’ll help you out.
 
OFFERS
 
1)How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
From the welcome offer, you can make approximately £1,000 cash profit.
There are 25+ bookmaker offers available on sports for at least £600 profit. These are relatively straightforward offers and good value in terms of time to complete. It would take around 12 hours to complete these offers, which works around £40 / hour tax free. You can complete them over any time period you like.
There are at least another 5 bookmaker offers, such as Bet365 and BetVictor, though these require more time, you could make around £100 to £200. They require more time because the bookmaker requires you to bet many more times before you can withdraw.
Plus 20+ offers across casino and bingo, though some are not risk free and typically take more time to complete, but you should be able to make at least £200 profit from these offers.
So overall, there is an easy £600 profit risk free, then up to another £400 if it’s worth your time to do them.
 
2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
A £10 free bet is worth between £5 to £8 in actual cash profit.
The reason for the range is because the higher odds you choose for your free bet, the more actual cash profit you will make.
For example, if you bet on a football team with odds of 2.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £5 cash profit. Whereas if you bet on a football team that is unlikely to win, with odds of say 6.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £8 cash profit.
Note though, the higher odds you choose, the more you will need in your betting exchange account in case the bet wins. For a detailed explanation with examples, read this free bet profit article.
 
3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month (from existing customer offers)?
Anywhere from £100 to £1,000+ per month.
Bookmakers continue to run free bet offers to retain their customers, I refer to these as Daily Offers.
Daily Offers are typically less valuable than the welcome offers but still worth completing.
For example, rather than ‘Bet £5 Get £20’ that they offer to new customers, they may instead run ‘Bet £20 Get £10’ and on a particular football match.
I would say for people with a day job, aiming for between £300 to £500 a month is realistic. In terms of time required, for every hour you spend, you should make around £30 tax free.
So to make £300 a month, expect to spend around 2-3 hours a week. I’d say to earn more than this, you will likely need to accept a lower hourly rate and do some of the low value offers too.
If you are looking to make £1,000+, I’d expect you would have to be near full time and also be fortunate to keep your enough of your bookmaker accounts open for 12+ month period (what is mugging bet FAQ below).
 
4) What type of offers are available for existing customers?
 
Easy offers:
The most common easy offer on football matches is Bet £20 Get £10 free bet. Many bookmakers run this offer, though it will usually be on a particular football match.
The most common easy offer on horse racing is usually on SkyBet, who will run simple offers such as ‘Get £25 free bet if your horse comes 2nd or 3rd’.
There are also easy casino offers, such as ‘£5 risk free’, where you spin on slots and hope to win, if you don’t they’ll refund up to £5 of losses.
These offers can make you up to £300 per month (or £500 on a good month with European football) and are easy for those with a day job.
 
Harder offers:
If you are looking to make more than £300 to £500 a month, then you will need to spend time on Saturday’s completing horse racing offers on Channel 4 racing and during the week too, though Saturday’s are the most profitable.
Plus you will need to do more advanced offers such as football accumulator refunds, each way offers, though I will leave these aside given they could have their own separate thread :p
If you’d like to understand where you can learn more about these offers, see ‘Which sites teach matched betting?’ FAQ below.
 
BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGE
 
1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?
 
There are 3 formats of bookmakers welcome offers.
 
‘Bet £X Get £Y free bet’ - these are the most straightforward. Simply place your first bet and receive a free bet.
This format of welcome offer, ranging from Bet £5 Get £20 to Bet £50 Get £50, is available on Coral, SkyBet, BetBright, Betfred, Paddy Power, BetStars, William Hill, Stan James, Betway, Ladbrokes, TitanBet, 32Red and MarathonBet.
 
‘Refunds’ (also known as Risk Free offers) - these are similar to Bet £X Get £Y free bet. The only difference is you only receive your free bet if your first bet loses, hence I refer to these offers are refund offers.
This format of welcome offer is, ranging from £10 to £50 refunds, is available on Bwin, Dafabet, UniBet, Totesport, 188Bet, SuperLenny, Genting and 888Sport.
 
‘Multi Bets’ - these welcome offers require multiple bets to be placed before receiving your reward. It can take form of a bonus which requires to bet £X amount until you can withdraw any winnings, or the form of a cash reward once you have bet £X amount.
This format of welcome offer is available on Bet365, BetVictor and some other bookmakers, however they often require such a large amount of betting that I haven’t included them in this list.
The quickest to complete are the Bet £X Get £Y due to their simplicity, then the next best are the ‘Refunds’ offers.
The Multi Bet offers can be very valuable (e.g. Bet£365’s offer is worth over £150 profit risk free) but can also require much larger deposits in order to place the bookmaker bets and lay these bets in your Exchange.
 
For details of each bookmaker offer, see this Welcome Offer List & Guides
 
2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?
 
Bookmakers vary in their level of generosity to existing customers. This is a little subjective, but in my opinion, this is the ranking of bookmakers for existing customers:
 
Best: Bet365
Bet365 run a £50 Risk Free offer most months (sometimes twice a month during popular football months) which is worth £35. It is very quick to complete (less than 10 minutes) so for £35 to £70, or around £500 a year, it is a great offer.
Plus they have one of the best horse racing offers, up to a £50 risk free bet if your pick a winning horse with high odds. This is a profitable offer worth around £20-£30 a week, or up to £1,000 to £1,500 a year.
 
Second Best: SkyBet
SkyBet run regular £5 to £25 free bet offers on horse racing and football, plus regular £5 risk free offers in SkyVegas.
 
Third & Fourth Best: Coral and Paddy Power
Both these sites run regular horse racing, price boosts and football offers (Bet £20 Get £10 in particular), at least £20 to to be made on every week from these two sites.
 
Good: William Hill, Ladbrokes, BetStars, Stan James, Betway, Bwin, Betfred, Totesport, 188Bet, 888, BetVictor
All these bookmakers run offer(s) each week so it’s worth ensuring you have completed the welcome offer for each of these sites so you can take advantage of their daily offers for existing customers.
 
3) What is mug betting?
If you are only ever betting when you receive an offer, the bookmaker will no longer allow your account to receive free bet offers (this is known as being ‘gubbed’).
To get around this, you should place ‘mug’ bets. ‘Mug’ bets are simply bets that a ‘mug’ punter would place. Mug bets include £1 accumulators (betting on several teams to win) and betting on favourites without an offer.
Most advice suggests that for every offer you receive, you should place 2-3 mug bets.
If you are gubbed, it does kinda suck when you receive the email, as you can no longer profit from the bookmaker’s offers.
It is also becoming increasingly common as bookmakers are noticing more suspected matched bettors, due to its increasing popularity. My advice is to make money whilst you can and take sensible precautions to try to keep your account active.
For more details, see this Mug Betting article
 
4) What is a betting exchange?
A betting exchange is a marketplace for customers to bet between each other on the outcome of particular events. This differs from a traditional bookmaker because an exchange also gives you the ability to be the bookmaker yourself and take bets from other exchange users.
Standard bookmakers generate profit by offering odds that are in their favour. Betting exchanges explained in terms of how they generate revenue is they charge a commission on any winnings a player receives.
The two market leading betting exchanges are, Betfair and Smarkets.
For more details, Betting Exchanges Comparison.
 
5) How we use betting exchanges?
When matched betting, a betting exchange is used to place our lay bets (the opposite bet to our trigger bet). So when we place the trigger bet with the bookmaker on one outcome to release the initial free bet, we must also cover the opposite outcome so that if the bookmaker bet does lose we still win on the lay bet - making it risk free!
Similarly when we are placing the free bet bet with the bookmaker we then lay off that bet using the exchange and because we’re using a free bet but being paid out in cash, this is how we turn free bets into withdrawable cash.
We only ever use betting exchanges for lay bets.
 
ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS
 
1) How sustainable is matched betting?
Matched betting over the past 6-9 months has become harder. Most bookmakers have realised they are thousands of matched betters taking advantage of their offers and so have either reduced the generosity of their offers or have made the daily offers more complicated.
However, there is still intense competition between the bookmakers, meaning they will always run special offers to an extent.
By spending a few hours a week, you can still make £300 to £500 a month, whereas in past year(s) this figure could have been £500 to £800.
The biggest issue matched betters face is being ‘gubbed’. As explained in the mug betting FAQ, this is when a bookmaker restricts you from receiving free bets and bonuses.
There are various theories as to how a particular bookmaker decides to to gub a customer. Reasons include taking up too many offers, winning a high % of bets, withdrawing regularly, placing bets far in advance or at irregular times.
The truth is nobody really knows precisely why people gubbed. However, you can expect to get gubbed at some point from a particular bookmaker, it may be 2 months, it may be 2 years, it is hard to know.
I really think though that everyone can make up to £1,000 from the Welcome Offers and at least £300 to £500 a month without any problems. I think the issues comes when you are making £1,000+ every month which sooner or later bookmakers will catch up that you are taking up a lot of offers.
Having said this, some people say they have been making £1,000+ every month for years, so maybe it is possible if you are using a wide variety of bookmakers and consistently placing mug bets.
 
2) Will it impact my credit rating?
Having betting activity on your bank statement does not impact your credit rating.
The only thing to be wary of when making betting deposits and withdrawals is that it can affect your application for a mortgage. So if you’re planning on applying for a mortgage in the near future then I’d recommend using a separate bank account to that which you’ll be applying for the mortgage with.
 
3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
The vast majority of welcome offers do not have any withdrawal restrictions.
A handful of welcome offers do but this will be state in the terms and conditions. It is much easier though to use a matched betting website as they will clearly highlight the key terms of each offer (see ‘Which websites teach matched betting’ section below).
Casino offers will almost always have withdrawal restrictions, however for the matched betting welcome offers we are focusing on sports betting.
 
4) Do I need to know about sports?
Not at all! You do not need a sports background or have any sort of betting knowledge, many matched betters do not know anything about sport or betting before learning matched betting.
You may learn matched betting a little faster if you have sports betting experience but it really isn't important at all.
 
WHICH WEBSITE TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS
 
There are 30+ websites that three key stages to matched betting:
Stage 1) Learning matched betting
Stage 2) Completing the Welcome Offers (for new customers)
Stage 3) Profiting in the long term from Daily Offers (for existing customers)
Below I have tried to cover the main sites that will help you with each of these stages.
 
In summary, I may be biased :p but I think the:
Stage 1) and Stage 2) best approach is to use TeamProfit.com
Stage 3) Join a paid membership site, either OddsMonkey.com, ProfitAccumulator.co.uk or ProfitMaximiser.co.uk to continue to make money from the Daily Offers.
 
FREE SITES:
 
TeamProfit.com (link)
I really believe Team Profit is the best site to learn matched betting and complete the welcome offers, but compare us to the other sites and see what you think!
Learn matched betting with animated videos (link)
25+ Welcome Offers using the step by step guides (link)
A free Facebook group to provide help to you anytime you need (link).
 
MoneySavingExpert.com (link)
The advantage of MoneySavingExpert is the sheer volume of content, covering all aspects of matched betting.
The disadvantage of MoneySavingExpert it is not well structured as it is just one forum with a long lists of posts so it takes quite a while to find relevant threads and miss key information.
 
MatchedBettingBlog.com (link)
The advantage of MatchedBettingBlog is the clear layout of the daily offers posted each day for with step by step instructions. It’s a good site to check to avoid missing the best and easier daily offers. The forum community also helps to post additional offers on top of those listed on the homepage, and also provides general advice on completing daily offers.
The disadvantage of MatchedBettingBlog is it is relatively limited in terms of teaching matched betting and does not provide a clear list of welcome offers. Also, for those looking to make £500+ every month, it doesn’t provide any software to help with the more advanced types of matched betting with daily offers, such as horse racing refunds and accumulator refunds, that the paid member sites offer.
Additional free matched betting sites include:
Matchedbettingfree.co.uk (link) (Reddit thread link)
Freebets4all.com (link)
 
PAID SITES:
 
Paid sites usually charge £15 to £25 a month.
In return, they will teach matched betting, provide list of welcome offers and provide daily offers too. Additionally, most paid sites will also provide software that helps to make you more money plus save you time.
 
OddsMonkey.com (link | non)
OddsMonkey charge £15 per month or £150 per year.
They are the most well known provider of matched betting software. Earlier this year, they added the full range of matched betting services, so now they provide all of the below:
Tutorial articles
Welcome offer step by step guides
Daily offers calendar
Software: OddsMatcher, Horse Racing Refunds, Tennis Refunds, range of calculators and spreadsheet
Forum
The advantage of OddsMonkey is the exceptional value. They have the best range of software and tools for matched betters to maximise their profits, are consistently bringing up new tools at no added cost. At only £15 per month it is one of the best options to consider.
The only disadvantage is the forum is not as busy as the next two options, ProfitAccumulator and Profit Maximiser. Though the forum is still a sufficiently active to ensure any questions have you are answered quickly.
 
Profit Accumulator (Link - Chazmer87's I don't have one | non)
Profit Accumulator charge £23 per month or £150 per year
Profit Accumulator helped to bring matched betting to the main stream with a highly active community. There are clear similarities between OddsMonkey and Profit Accumulator in terms of their high standard of software and offers.
The advantage of Profit Accumulator is their very active community. There is a great deal of advice in virtually every aspect of matched betting and the information is all well structured. Plus they have a very good offers coverage.
The only disadvantage to Profit Accumulator is the higher cost. The membership itself is £23 per month, plus their version of the Horse Racing Refunds software is £10 per month, or £115 a year. So in total you are paying £33 per month versus OddsMonkey’s £15 per month.
 
Profit Maximiser (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser is run by the original matched betting guru Mike Cruickshank.
Mike has been building software for matched betters for many years and has a very active Facebook Group.
Each piece of software is sold separately, I believe the below is accurate, each have their own £1 free trials:
Bonus Bagging £27 plus VAT - provides a list of all welcome offers and teaching (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser £97 plus VAT - provides all daily offers (Link | non)
Each Way Sniper £47 plus VAT - provides a horse racing betting system (Link)
Accumulator Generator £149 plus VAT - provides a football betting system (Link)
I believe Mike may have a couple more tools, if so I’ll edit this post if you could please comment / send me a message.
The advantage of Mike’s products is that there is no monthly recurring fee, so if you intend to do this for many months, it may work out profitable to do so. Plus from what I understand their Facebook Group finds some lucrative casino loophole offers faster than other matched betting providers.
The disadvantage of Mike’s products is that you have to buy each product separately rather than having it all within one simple account. Additionally, the total cost if you were to buy all 4 above listed products is £320 + VAT (total cost £384) whereas you could receive all these tools for £15 per month from Oddsmonkey. Having said that, Mike’s products do come with a £1 free trial, just be careful to cancel before the trial ends if you don’t want to continue.
Additional free matched betting sites include: Yes Bets link
Pure Profit link
 
ADDITIONAL
 
1) Depositing and withdrawing
To ensure you qualify for the Welcome Offer, use a bank card to deposit into your newly set up bookmaker account. Most sites will allow Paypal too though check the terms and conditions.
If you use Skrill or Neteller, typically you will not qualify for the Welcome Offer (bookmakers have this rule to prevent fraud) but you can check the terms and conditions.
Withdrawing is easy, you should receive your funds within 1-3 working days depending on the bookmaker.
 
2) Sending identification documents
Occasionally, bookmakers may require to send in identification documents (passport or drivers licence for example) and a copy of your bank card. This is to prevent fraud. This usually happens if you are not listed on the Electoral Roll or there is a difference between your home address and billing address. Simply take a photo of the documents they ask for and email them back.
 
THAT COMPLETES THE MEGA FAQ GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING!
 
If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please do post a comment thanks!
 
submitted by greenmachine9 to beermoneyuk [link] [comments]

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