LPT: If you have a lot of free time at the moment, you can generate a little income on the side by doing online work like teaching english, transcription, microtasks or surveys. It's not a fortune but if you have time to spare anyway it's a good way to pay a few bills. (list of sites attached)
Here is a list of sites for online work that anyone can use: Appen - Paid Projects, up to 20 hours a week. Decent pay of about $14 dollars per hour but depends on the project you can get Lionbridge - Paid projects, great projects on offer TeamWork - Paid projects, good site. ClickWorker - Surveys and Writing..payments vary per task....Very good site. Neevo - Tasks , up to $1 per task approx Vipkid- Teach English to kids online, $15-$25 per hour or so QKid- Same as vipkid teaching English online- I think this pays up to $20 per hour gogokid- Teach English Online $14-25 per hour Prolific.co - Surverys, pays very well! Mturk - Microtasks- Pay is ok, haven't used it myself but seems fine Rev - Transcription TranscribeME - Transcription GoTranscript- Transcription Qmee- Surveys, varying payout on each one...pretty good site. Swagbucks- Surveys, good paying. Timebucks - Various surveys, good site. GG2U- Surveys, good site with good payout, probably average of 1$ per survey Serpclix - Good one for tasks/surveys...intall on your browser and it will let you know when there are some available BrandedSurvey- Surveys 20Cogs - You complete 20 offers to get the payout, you will have to cancel a few subsciptions after some tasks but it's a good way to make about £200-£300 Panelbase.net - Surveys, Mostly they pay £1-£4 YouGov - Surveys, good site and pay is decent. populuslive.com - Surveys, pay is decent. Ysense - Surveys and other tasks Prizerebel - Surveys and other tasks Microworkers - Various tasks HideOutTV- Watch videos and get paid HoneyGain- You get paid for browsing the internet every month , maybe $40 or so This got a very positive response when I posted a few months ago so I thought I'd put it out there again, Personally I use a combination of these sites to earn around £1000-£1500 a month. Hopefully it can be of help to more people, shoot me a message if you have any questions EDIT: Ok so the reason I said I use a combination of these sites is because I have used all of them at one time or another, but here is my current combination: Appen/Lionsbridge- Most recently worked as a social media evaluator which payed $15 per hour and gave me around 10 hours per week Clickworker- I use the UHRS section,“Universal Human Relevance System”. It’s a partner website that can be accessed over clickworker.com and where you can process additional jobs. You can earn a lot more this way Neevo- Various tasks , up to $1 per task approx VipKid and other english teaching sites- I also put ads on a spanish site called tusclasesparticulares offering skype classes. Here is a link to a lot of different English teaching sites you can use from different countries GG2U- Surveys, good site with good payout, probably average of 1$ per survey 20cogs- A good way to earn £200+ in a relatively short time Serpclix - Good one for tasks/surveys...intall on your browser and it will let you know when there are some available Qmee- Surveys, good site Prolific- Surveys- Can pay very well HoneyGain- You get paid for browsing the internet every month , maybe $40 or so These would be my go to sites, and I sporadically check for work on the others too if I have the time. I spend 2 hours a day doing this to earn £1000 per month but it's usually higher than that. You have to earn £33 per day in order to hit the £1000 per month mark, which is very doable when you have 20 or so sites to work with. For me at the moment it's usually a one hour class which makes me £15 and then a combination of projects from Lionsbridge (which currently pays about $15 dollars for an hour) and then a couple of random short tasks or surveys from one of the other sites, or more if I don't do a class...Takes a while to fine tune it and I'm always modifying the combination but believe me it's more than doable. As I say, you just need to hit that £33 a day, which is actually even easier to hit in dollars if you prefer to think of it that way. Also, and this is only useful to people in the UK, I am currently doing "Matched Betting" because the Premier league is on now and more and more sporting fixtures are making a comeback. Match betting is where you bet on one outcome in the bookies and then bet against that outcome in the exchange, with both bets at almost the same odds. So for example, If you bet £10 for Real Madrid to win at odds of 2.5 on the betting site, and then bet for Real Madrid not to win(i.e bet against them) on the exchange at the same odds, you are covered in all outcomes, win lose or draw. This means you have fullfilled the requirements of the betting sites offer (for example, Bet £10 and get £40 in free bets) without actually gambling, since there is no risk of losing the £10 you bet since it's matched. You then do the exact same thing with your £40 free bets, and this is where you make the profit since you're not using £40 of your own money. Yes It's totally legal, just a loophole in the system really, although I was very suspicious of it at first. I wrote a guide explaining how to do it, you can find it at the top of my profile if you are interested. I have made about £700-£800 per month from doing this, on top of the money from other sites, but obviously this means putting in more time! I hope this is of some help, If you have any other questions don't hesitate to ask!
Accurate as of 1241BST 27/08/20 (Decimal, lower is more likely): Leicester Win: 8.50 Draw: 6.00 Man City Win: 1.30
Fun Facts
We have lost six of our last seven PL games against Man City bar the 2-1 victory over the Citizens on Boxing Day 2018
We have lost each of our last four PL trips to the Etihad since the 3-1 win in the title winning season; this is our longest away league losing streak to the Citizens since August 1961
Man City have never lost their opening home match in any of their last 25 top-flight campaigns (W16 D9), with their last such defeat coming in the 1989-90 campaign against Southampton (1-2)
We have never won our three opening matchings in a single top-flight campaign before - the last time we did so in any division was in the 1922-23 second tier
Man City are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games (W10 D1), scoring at least twice in each match. Indeed, the Citizens have won their last seven at the Etihad by an aggregate of 26-1
04/10/20 - Premier League - Leicester City vs West Ham - Pre-Match Thread
Key Facts
Round: 4 of 38 Referee: Andy Madley
Average Reds: 0.13
Average Yellows: 3.35
Location: Filbert Way, King Power Stadium Time: 1200BST/UTC+1, 04/10/20 Channels (UK): BT Sport (Out / Unlikely / Suspended ) Leicester:
Ricardo
Ndidi
Praet
West Ham:
Fredericks
Diop
Betting Odds
Accurate as of 0901BST 03/10/20 (Decimal, lower is more likely): Leicester Win: 1.65 Draw: 4.20 West Ham Win: 5.00
Fun Facts
Leicester won both PL meetings with West Ham last season, including a 4-1 victory in this exact fixture. They last more consecutively against the hammer sin the league competition between April 1965 to December 1966 (5).
The Hammers have won just one of their last 11 Premier League meetings with us (D4 L6), winning 2-0 away in May 2018
West Ham have won just four of their 23 Premier League games under David Moyes (D5 L14), although one of those was a 2-0 win at Leicester in May 2018
The Foxes are looking to win their first four games to a league season for the first time in their history. Their haul of 12 goals so far is the most after three games of a Premier League season since 2011-12 (Man Utd 13, Man City 12)
London sides haven't won any of their last eight Premier League visits to Leicester (D2 L6), with Crystal Palace the last side to beat the Foxes away in the competition.
The Premier League is back this weekend, which means a resurgence in Match Betting. Here is my 3 Part Mega Guide to making £500 for several hours work, and then making £500- £1000 on a monthly basis.
So a lot of you will know that I regularly post guides and tips about match betting, However since the same questions always come up in the comments, I decided to make one big, very thorough Mega Guide in order to eliminate as many doubts as possible for you guys. Like I said before, This guide is a handy way to sort out a month's rent for 5 or 6 hours work, so I really hope it can be of use to someone. Anyway, Here it is: PART 1: MATCH BETTING EXPLAINED; HOW TO MAKE £500 IN 5/6 HOURS Having done my research and having been able to turn a really nice profit in such a short time, I wanted to make a short guide to eliminate people's doubts and simplify things a little. Since it really doesn't take a lot of time to hit that £500 profit mark, it's a shame not to try it out. Anyway, Here it goes: I was sceptical as hell about Match betting because a friend showed me the Facebook groups and it just looked like a giant gambling pyramid scheme. It turns out there is a decent chunk of change to be made from it, you just need to follow the guides and never ever actually gamble with your money. Never ever Gamble?Yes That's right, you are going to be using Gambling sites to complete the various offers, but the whole idea behind match betting is that every time you "make a bet", you match that same bet on the exchange. So for example, if I bet £10 for Real Madridto Winon the Bookie Site at odds of 2.5, I then also make a Matched bet on the Exchange (This is a separate site such as Smarkets or Betfair) where I bet for Real Madridnot to winat odds of 2.5 (or as close as I can get to those odds).In this way I am covered in all outcomes, and it allows me to fulfill the requirements of the bookies offer (For example Bet £10 and get £30 in Free bets) What's the difference between the Bookie Site and the Exchange?On the Exchange Site you are basically being the Bookie and just like a Bookie, you have liability. If I bet £10 and my bet wins at odds of 2.5 then I win £25, so the bookies liability for this bet is £15, the extra money that they would have to give me if I win. There arecalculatorson the Match betting sites which you can use to calculate what Liability you need to enter on the exchange each time you make your matched bet. There is also software to help you find what games have the closest odds on both the bookies and the exchange, which is very important. What do I do when I get my free bets?It's the same process again, You find a game that has very close odds on both the bookies and the exchange ( You can do this by eye or by using odds matching software. A good site with this software is called OddsMonkey). Only this time when you use the calculator to work out your liability, you will set it to "Free bets SNR" so it knows you are not using real money. It will tell you how much Liability to use in the exchange and off you go. How does this make me money?The fact that you have a free bet to use is what makes you money, For example a £30 free bet at odds of 5.5 in the bookies will win you £135 (30x 4.5, because the original free bet stake of £30 is not returned to you). Now let's say that the closest odds I can find in the Exchange for the same game are 6.0, I will need a liability of £112.50 to match my free bet in the bookies ( I use the calculator on oddsmonkey to work this out) £135- 112.50 = £22.50 in Profit. Alternatively if my bet on the exchange wins, I will lose the free bet of £30 (but it's not actually a loss to me because It's not real money) and I will win £22.50 on the exchange. Either way, I make a Profit of £22.50 What about providing card details?You can use a separate, virtual bank account for all your match betting, In this way your main banking information is not shared with any of the sites you sign up to. A good one to use is Monzo, the app is easy to use and it only takes5 minutesto open an account. It'sfree to openan account and last I checkedthey actually have a referral scheme where you get £5 if you sign up through a referral link. Non Referral here: https://monzo.com/ Where can I learn to do it? There are some sites that you have to pay a monthly subscription to but I found one called Team Profit that is free and has a full guide of all the different offers you can complete. I worked my way down through the list of offers, nice and handy, and having completed 20 offers at 15 minutes per offer, I came out at £470 for 5 hours total of work. If you are new to this site and are opening a free account I would really appreciate if you use my Referral (£10) Here is the non referral link to the page with all the offers: https://www.teamprofit.com/welcome-offers-list TLDR: You do not need to "gamble" to match bet, in fact by definition, the bet you make is "matched" on the exchange, so it is not a gamble in any sense. PART 2: MAKING £500-£1000 EVERY MONTH. You may sometimes see people commenting saying they have made a lot more money since finishing the welcome offers, £1000-£1500 a month and such, but never saying exactly how... Personally I have made a lot more profit every month since I finished the welcome offers, Usually around the £1000 per month mark. People say that Match betting drys up once you finish the welcome offers but this is simply not true, it's a matter of being more organised and checking your email for new offers, while also checking the Reload Offers section on Team Profit every morning (Takes literally 5 minutes) Below is an Example from last month where I made £300 in one week. Bare in mind that the amount you make weekly will vary with the amount of sport that is on, but as long as there's sport, you will always be able to earn. This example is simply to show you the potential Match Betting has long after you've completed the Welcome offers: Here's exactly how I did it: Coral: Money back as a free bet up to £50 if your team is ahead in the first half but doesn't win the match in the end: Matched 5 Premier League games, 3 were successful. I received three £50 free bets which I matched and turned into £130 profit risk free. £130 in 30 minutes William Hill: Money Back as Cash if your horse comes 2nd- 2 of the 6 horses I matched came 2nd, I was also able to make a profit by just matching the bets because my odds were higher on the bookies side by using the Happy Hour odds (between 12pm-1pm, 3 horses with enhanced odds) and also the 3 daily bet boosts on Horse raising( to boost my odds on another 3 horses). £20 in 5 minutes Paddy Power: Money Back up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10 free bet. £8 in 3 minutes Skybet: Money Back as cash up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10. £9.50 in 3 minutes Skybet: Wednesday Super odds: Matched the three super odds on the exchange and due to the difference in odds (If the odds on the bookies are greater than those for same bet on the exchange you are automatically profiting). £10 in 3 minutes Boylesports: £10 Free bet if your bet loses(Premier League Match): £8 in 3 minutes Paddy Power 2up: An offer where you get paid out early if your time goes up by 2 goals, the profit varies depending on what the odds on the exchange are when you back the team you orignally lay against, but this offer can make you a lot of profit (You will need to download the team profit calculator app and use the early payout calculator). Last week it Made me £35. £35 in 5 minutes Novibet: Deposit £100 and get a £50 free bet. Very easy because you just have to deposit the money, get your free bet, withdraw your £100 straight away, then match the free bet on the exchange. £40 in 5 minutes Coral: Bet 3x £5 in play and get a £5 free bet-Availble everyday. Just match these at half time so the odds are stable, Make sure you also place mug bets every couple of days if you do this one a lot, I would reccomend doing it 5 times a week tops. £20 in 30 minutes Paddy Powe Skybet Bet clubs: Bet 5x £10 bets in a week to get a £10 free bet with Paddy Power. Bet £25 in a week to get a £5 free bet with Skybet. £10 in 30 minutes Above you can see the reality of making profit long after you've finished the welcome offers, but it comes down to organisation. So in Summary, these are my 6 Rules for making a monthly Profit: (1) Check your email daily for offers, many times bookies will send you personalised offers just for you, and these can be very VERY generous. (2) Check the Reload Offers section on Team profit every morning to see what offers are available that day. (3) Offers change all the time- Don't let this put you off. There are always new offers to replace the previous ones. There are also Weekly/Daily offers ( Coral £50 free bet, Paddy power refund if 2nd 3rd 4th, William hill money back if second, Paddy Power 2up, Bet clubs etc) which are constantly available when sport is on. (4) Make Mug bets ( Explained more in PART 3) (5)It all adds up. Don't think "It's only a £5 free bet, not worth matching". I get around 15 £5 free bets every week, If I ignored them all I would be down £200 at the end of the month. (6) Don't spend all day at it. Once you've checked your email and reload offers, you know what offers you need to do that day. Set alarms so you can make your matches before each event starts, but don't spend ages sitting at your computer waiting for "the perfect match", for your own mental health, set a time limit of 1 hour per day at most. PART 3: FAQ (1)How much money do you need to put in to start? When you go onto the offers page on Team Profit after signing up, there is an option to start with £25, £50 or £100. You can select one of those three options And it will show you a different number of offers according to your selection. I started with £100 because I wanted to get things moving a little quicker. I did this so that I would have enough money for liability to do a bigger earning offer at the start. One year later, and having see the potential for profit, I keep around £500 floating between my accounts. This is useful for large sporting events where I may want to do around 10- 15 offers in a short time. (2)Is it in anyway going to impact my credit score? Using gambling sites doesn't effect your credit score unless you borrow money to fund it. I do all my match betting through a virtual bank (Monzo) in order to keep that stuff out of my main bank on the off chance that it raises any eyebrows. You'll be using Monzo like a cash card, where you can only spend the money you put into the card. This is why it won't affect your credit score, because you wouldn't be taking out an overdraft or using credit for example. (3)What is Mug Betting? Mug Betting is where you make bets that have no relation to any offer or promotion in order to appear like a regular punter. If you are doing a lot of offers on one site, it's a good idea to make mug bets in order to avoid being "gubbed" (Gubbed is a term for when bookies realise you are only taking advantadge of promotions and close your account permanantly). Of course you will also Match these "Mug bets" on the exchange. Make 1-2 Mug bets on Each site every week(On the sites you are using a lot for offers and promotions) in order to ensure your accounts last longer than 1-2 years. I have been matching for well over a year and have never been gubbed. Take the extra couple of minutes to Mug bet, it's worth it. More on Mug betting here Ok so that's everything I can think of to share with you guys, The link to sign up to your free Team Profit account is at the bottom of Part 1 of this guide. TLDR: You do not need to "gamble" to match bet, in fact by definition, the bet you make is "matched" on the exchange, so it is not a gamble in any sense. I really hope this guide will help someone out because It really is a solid way to sort out a months rent for quite a modest amount of work. Thanks for Reading.
20/09/20 - Premier League - Leicester City vs Burnley - Pre-Match Thread
Key Facts
Round: 2 of 38 Referee: Lee Mason
Average Reds: 0.13
Average Yellows: 3.37
Location: Filbert Way, King Power Stadium Time: 1900BST/UTC+1, 20/09/20 Channels (UK): BBC (Out / Unlikely / Suspended ) Leicester:
Evans
Ricardo
Benkovic
Burnley:
Barnes
Gudmundsson
Mee
Cork
Tarkowski
Betting Odds
Accurate as of 1025BST 19/09/20 (Decimal, lower is more likely): Leicester Win: 1.60 Draw: 4.00 Burnley Win: 6.00
Fun Facts
We are unbeaten in nine home league games against Burnley (W5 D4), including all five of their games against them at Filbert Way in the PL. (W3 D2)
Burnley are looking to earn back-to-back league wins over Leicester for the first time since August 2006 when they won three in a row, and the first time in the top flight since December 1968 (also three in a row)
The away side opened the scoring in both PL meets between us last season. However the home side came back to win 2-1 on each occasion
We have lost only one of opening home games in 13 Premier League Campaigns (W7 D5), last losing to Bolton 0-5 in 2001/02.
We have only won both of our first two games to a PL campaign twice before - in 1997/98 and most recently in the winning season of 2015/16
What a fantastic season we have had. Brand new celebs (well, celebs brand new to CLB), a new champion, a new betting system, a new ranking system, and tokens just for posting your thoughts! What more could you ask for? Whilst we're waiting on the La Lega finale result, which may still create a mini-drama on the WR, here are the final headlines covering days 3 and 4 of the week. Scarlett may have lost her championship, but she is still the highest ranked celeb on CBL Premier League Natalie Portman has found herself fighting some tough battles in this season, and there was no doubt that it would be tough against Alexandra Daddario. Scoring 56 to Alexandra's 103, Natalie clearly lost this round and has been relegated to league 2 in season 4. Portman drops 10 to 48 whilst Daddario climbs 1 into 5th place. u/JustSoGinger
Daddario's youtube channel has been a shining light in these dark times we live in right now, thank the lord 🙏
The final Premier League battle of the season saw Scarlett Johansson and Anna Kendrick square up against each other. Scarlett managed to draw more votes in this battle, winning 98-54. Scarlett remains in 1st place on the World Rankings whilst Anna Kendrick have been knocked down 7 places into 14th, mainly due to the performances of others this week. u/Dugonginae
Scarlett's had more losses than she deserves in my eyes, hopefully time for a late comeback.
League 2 Jessica Alba and Kristen Bell in a battle of the boobage here. Alba looking mighty fine and nippy whilst Kristen's cleavage is enhanced by a tight red wet outfit. The real winners were clearly us voters who were treated to such a battle. There were only 10 votes in it and the win went to Kristen Bell. Despite her win, Bell drops 3 on the WR into 26th whilst Alba drops 1 into 45th. u/Dojo_Casino
Voting Kristen here. Tough decision- I'm a fan of both ladies, but Kristen's sparkling personality and mom boobs lovely swimwear won me over.
Final League 2 battle is the Mother of Dragons, known for various nude scenes throughout the Game of Thrones series, versus the Scarlet Witch, known for being a badass hero in the MCU. The nudity only assisted Clarke in achieving a 17 vote lead to win this round. Clarke climbs 4 into 11th, whilst Olsen also climbs 57 into 59th! u/OTT_4TT
I voted for Emilia because I just think she is more attractive. If it had been Elizabeth's sister, Ashley, had been up for a vote versus Emilia, I would have voted for Ashley.
OTT, perhaps consider nominating Ashley Olsen for Season 4. We may end up with an Olsen-v-Olsen battle at some point! League 3 KB vs KC for D3-L3's battle. Kate Beckinsale vs Kaley Cuoco. I don't think many would be surprised given how the season has played out so far that Beckinsale not only won, but won by quite a bit. 64 votes in fact! Beckinsale retains her 4th place position whereas Cuoco drops 16 places into 355th. u/TheSnickerdoodleKid
Kaley is not getting relegated or promoted regardless of the result which should be at least some consolation since Kate is winning this. As age-defying as ever, Kate will wrap up an undefeated Season 3 campaign.
Ruby Roundhouse, better known as Karen Gillan, took on fellow Disney star Vanessa Hudgens on the final battle of League 3 this season. Despite very different appearances and appeal, this one ended up in a league draw with a single vote giving Gillan the lead. Karen Gillan drops 2 into 24th this week whilst Hudgens climbs 7 into 39th. u/TheClockwork0
I love matchups like this that make me choose between very different assets. Karen is so tight, but she has softer features overall. Vanessa rocks a more badass look with thicker features. I voted Vanessa today, but I could vote Karen any day.
League 4 Katherine McNamara vs Hailee Steinfeld, one with the appearance of a girl next door beauty vs a swimsuit beauty. This was another closely fought battle that ended up in a league draw. McNamara managed to swing the extra few votes to end this battle with a slight lead. McNamara ends this week in 53rd place whilst Steinfeld drops 9 into 70th. u/AutonInvasion
Hailee has the better outfit here, and if I ignore the man with the weird back triangle next to her butt then it’s even better. But there’s something about the simplicity of McNamara’s photo (and the fiery hair which I like) that makes me swing left on this one
(I don't want the 20 tokens, but this one generated the most discussion - which is the criteria I set - so whilst no tokens for me, don't forget to interact with each other if you can!) Ariana Grande and Camilla Cabello both started this season fairly low down on the WR, so it would have been fair to have assumed that they would have ended low in the rankings. Cabello, with those amazing thighs...has stayed down the bottom, whilst Grande has managed a slow climb. With the match ended at 46-83 it's no surprise that Grande finishes up 5 this week in 353rd whilst Cabello is last but one in 378th place. In response to u/Sharpus89 suggesting that u/willrelf1992 votes for both, Will decided his devotion was enough for him to decide who his winner was:
As much as I would like to do that, I have to stick with Ari and vote for her solely. I love Camila but not as much as I love my bae. 😍
League 5A A young bottle blonde with an inviting expression and her legs on display vs a slightly older bottle blonde with an inviting expression and her boobs on display. That's the battle Chloe Grace Moretz and Alice Eve gave us this week. The majority decided they wanted to learn how to park an 18 Wheeler in that massive gap between Eve's airbags which sees Alice climb 9 places into 49th. Moretz drops 25 into 76th place. u/hbkedge3
They're both giving me the "come hither" look, so I guess I have to vote for both! :)
Neither Melissa Benoist nor Emma Roberts have had much support this season, and perhaps compared to some of the other season competitors they perhaps don't stand out, but I would still happily have them on each arm giving me their unfettered attention. Melissa wins this one by 38 votes and climbs 3 into 359th whilst Emma sits at third from last in 377th. u/hsikrut
I think both are beautiful and adorable, but Melissa is the prettier of the two. Not sure why shes not more appreciate around here, especially with a body like that!
League 5B Here's another pairing I could go wild about: Olivia Wilde vs Cobie Smulders. This is the last time I'll get to say it for a short while, but that outfit of Wilde's just wins my eyes over every time. It seems that a majority of you felt the same way as Wilde beat Smulders by 23 votes. Wilde sits in a very respectable 56th place this week whilst Smulders, although climbing 1 to 363rd, is far too low on the table for my liking. Another for u/hsikrut here, for an interesting take that defies my own thinking:
I think I'm the only one, but I really cant stand this photo of Wilde. Its off-putting for me. She'll garner my vote because I know how much of a smoke show she naturally is, regardless. Apologies to the beautiful Cobie (although that's not her strongest photo either)
Having just re-watched The Amazing Spider-man 2 tonight, I can't help but feel a little biased here. Although I've consistently said that this is one of Rihanna's hottest photos, I would have still voted for the stunning Emma Stone this round, and the majority did with Stone winning by 41 votes. Stone climbs 7 and finishes in 40th. Rihanna climbs 1 to 376th. u/alisonbrie78 joined in discussion about Rihanna's performances and future standings:
Bliss vs Rhianna in particular could be interesting. The WWE girls have really struggled. I don't mind Rhianna but I've noticed that actresses do better than singers around here and Rhianna may also be past her prime.
Transitional League Another pair of celebs who have both separately struggled this season. Eva Green vs Lily James. I'm not sure why both have struggled so badly but can only put it down to them being outclassed in the transitional league. Fighting a close battle, Eva Green won by 9 votes seeing her climb 2 places into 370th, whilst Luly James stays put in 375th. u/alisonbrie78 created discussion with this:
Eva Green is criminally underrated. I have a feeling a lot of people haven't admired her in The Dreamers which is admittedly an odd movie.
Mary Elizabeth Winstead vs Nina Dobrev for the TL's final match of the season. MEW has had quite a following, however Nina has had more wins this season. So, who took the win? By 10 points it was Nina Dobrev who climbs 4 into 51st. Winstead also climbs 21 into 296th. u/RazorbackBuckeye
The only few people I can think of i'd probably vote over Mary Elizabeth Winstead would be :Keira Knightley, Natalie Portman and Lacey Chabert.... So sorry Nina Dobrev.
I don't recall Lacey Chabert appearing on the WR so far. Perhaps another to suggest for season 4? We could end up with a Meg-off: The original voice of Meg Griffin vs the current voice of Meg Griffin. Keep an eye out on how you can get your favourite celebs into the next season as we near the end of the Card Battle Tournament. Conference Premier A Rebel Wilson vs Kristin Kreuk. Vote Rebel! Vote Rebel. Vote Rebel. Vote Reeeebel.😥 Rebel remains in last place whilst Kreuk climbs 11 places into 271st. u/Dojo_Casino
I'm going with Rebel here, and it's not even a sympathy vote. Kristin does have an interesting look to her, but I honestly like the new Rebel.
Whilst I'm sure this can be said about many matches, being a teen in the 2000s, the match up between Elle Fanning and Kelly Brook is like voting between a girl and a real woman. Elle Fanning can stand up to many, but Kelly Brook is an all rounder and I feel that went a long way to her winning by 35 votes. Brook narrowly misses out from a top-10 slot by 1.1 WR points, whereas Fanning drops 9 places into 342nd. For making me laugh, u/COFFEE_BROOM
Elle Fanning’s face says “shit it’s the one who beat Lima” 😂
Conference Premier B In what for me was one of the toughest non-PL votes in the competition, Camila Mendes and Julia Fox battled this last but one CPB match. Both celebs are sex on legs in these photos, one in a stunning dress, and another in a stunning manner of undress. This was another where there were only 10 votes between them, and in this case the win went to Mendes in the red dress. Mendes climbs 2 to 365th, whilst Julia Fox drops 2 to 367th. u/Dugonginae
Had barely heard of Camila at the start of this tournament but that red dress has won more than a couple votes from me, and it does it again here.
And the final match of the season, Alejandra Guilmant vs Doutzen Kroes. Both stunning and both worthy of getting the finger...on the touchscreen (or mouse click) to vote for. It seems that the spread of Guilmant took in the most votes over Kroes's fine rear, but only by 9 votes. Alejandra climbs 4 places into 362nd whilst Kroes drops 4, sitting 2 below her opponent in 364th. u/JustSoGinger
Surprised Doutzen hasn't done better this season, sad to see her relegated, she's super hot imo
Quote of the Day I've noticed a great decline in comment numbers this week, and a lot of the humour is missing. However, it's been great to see that whilst comments are down, the discussion is on the rise. The winner of the 50 tokens for Day 3 goes to u/DojoCasino for the League 2 comment. Mom-boobs are great. All boobs are great! Well, perhaps with few exceptions...but most boobs are great! The winner for Day 4 is u/TheClockwork0 for his comment in the League 3 battle that redeemed itself at the end with positivity for Karen Gillan. World Rankings Chart Emma Watson has taken the championship from Scarlett Johansson and takes the ten bonus points. However, there's still a large gap between Emma and Scarlett which may not be challenged until season 4. Although I think the biggest changes are that Anna Kendrick have been knocked out of the top 10! I wonder how the non-league celebs will fare in the Ajuste de Rango tournament starting next week? Time will tell. What do you think of the season results? How did your favourite celebs do? Anyone dealt a harsher blow than they should have? Adjustments still to be made for La Lega finale
07/07/20 - Premier League - Arsenal vs Leicester City - Match Thread
Referee: Chris Kavanagh Location: Emirates Stadium Time: 2015BST/UTC+1, 07/07/20 Channel (UK): Sky Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League (no crowd noises) Injuries Leicester: Pereira Amartey Maddison Chilwell Arsenal: Leno Mari Martinelli Premier League Form Since Restart: Leicester DDLW Arsenal LLWWW Betting Odds (taken at 13:01 07/07/2020 William Hill) Home 11/8 Draw 12/5 Away 2/1
Leicester are looking to win their third successive game against Arsenal for the first time since 1963.
Vardy has scored nine goals in nine starts against against Arsenal.
Testing different betting strategies on the long run
Hello! We are three friends passionate about statistics and programming and we gathered together betting odds from all the matches in Premier League and Bundesliga from the last 10 years. Our aim was to put to the test different betting methods and see how they perform over a long period of time. For the moment, we tried 4 very basic strategies. Each season, the initial sum was 100*(number of bets). For example, when we bet on each match in a Premier League season, we start with the initial sum 100*380=38000. The odds are from the bookmaker Unibet. From the site we found the data (www.flashscore.com ) this bookmaker were the only ones that had odds on absolutely every match (except one from the 10/11 PL season) · Betting on the minimal odds on every match from a given season. Results for Premier League: https://imgur.com/a/ANzbBVQ Results for Bundesliga: https://imgur.com/a/pRucxFp As you can see, even though in general you win more than half of the total bets, the returns do not cover the losses in the long run. In Premier League 2/10 seasons were profitable but none in Bundesliga. · Betting on the median odds on every match from a given season. Results for Premier League: https://imgur.com/a/mk2Nigz Results for Bundesliga: https://imgur.com/a/CF7r2p1 While still being unprofitable, it is slightly better to bet on the median odds in the long run. 3/10 profitable seasons in Premier League and 2/10 in Bundesliga. · Betting on the maximal odds on every match from a given season. Results for Premier League: https://imgur.com/a/Ypv2TpX Results for Bundesliga: https://imgur.com/a/1TQlzNd Interestingly, it seems it is the most successful out of the three methods so far to bet on the maximal odds. 4/10 profitable seasons in Premier League and 3/10 in Bundesliga. Those charts encouraged us to try out the following strategy: · Betting on the maximal odds on a single random match each round. Results for Premier League: https://imgur.com/a/uNUjBpP Results for Bundesliga: https://imgur.com/a/gcWmAEl Obviously, different iterations of this strategy will yield different results. We tried for two or three times and every iteration the number of profitable seasons was at least 4 (for the Premier League). Even though this strategy might not be reliable, it looks promising. After seeing these charts, we start to believe that bookmakers do a very good job at selecting profitable (for them, obviously) minimal odds, but from time to time, one can make profit out of the maximal odds. This was our very first brief foray into this world and so we are eager to try out different strategies you might suggest. We also welcome feedback, suggestions and questions. Edit: Spelling
Thursday Night Recap: That was nice. We put in 1 singles play and it was cashed by the end of the first half. The BBDLS we put in had many opportunities! Unfortunately, in the end, Darnold was not picked off and that bet was lost. Singles (1-0,+2.5u) Parlays (none) Teasers (none) BBDLS(0-1, -0.37u) All in all a positive night. Lets see what the first Sunday in October has to offer! 😎 https://preview.redd.it/9v6becefj3r51.jpg?width=790&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=06d2feab30c82b1f6a3d7f8f69ec1bbed31ffebe 1PM Games IND at CHI: Both teams seem severely untested, beating opponents with a combined record of 1-8. Indy lost to the Jags in the home opener as a rather sizeable favorite and their only two wins have come against teams who's season is basically over. Conversely CHI is 3-0, but all three of their games had to be won in the 4th quarter, two come from behind and one holding off the garbage time Giants. Also, Chicago switched QBs mid game? I mean, it worked but Mitch was 2-0 to start the season and although he had thrown a pick in the first half, wasn't playing horrible... Honestly, I think this will be one of the first tests for both of these teams. I think both QBs are above average, when they have a run game, at picking off zone defenses. But if their run game is tested, it leads to some shaky QB play. *** Extra note: Colts coach, Frank Reich, was with the Philadelphia Eagles as quarterback coach when Foles replaced Carson Wentz and won Super Bowl MVP. "He was the one who really figured me out as a player," Foles said of Reich's tutelage in 2017. *** Does this mean Reich knows Foals strength's and weaknesses? Will River's even need to do anything in this game besides hand the ball off and watch his defense? Side note to that, Foals has a QBR of 105 when he's a backup. When he is a starter it is 88. It's only a lean as there is very little data on Foal's as a Bears QB, but my algo is leaning Colts/Under. NO at DET: A battle of two 1-2 teams here. One will stabilize at .500 and one will have a big hill to climb. NO lost their last two games, but both were without star Michael Thomas playing. He looks to return this game. Detroit struggled in their first two but got their star WR back in Galloday and were able to pull off an upset in AZ last week. The Lions big hole seems to be run defense, so Kamara may be in for another big day. However, if the Lions take an early lead their run D might not come into play as much. To me, this game is going to come down to Saints injuries. Is Thomas back and healthy? Will Marshon Lattimore and Janoris Jenkins, who were both listed on the Thursday injury report, play? Also tight end Jared Cook, defensive end Marcus Davenport, and guard Andrus Peat all missed practice on Friday. With this many holes, and Brees having trouble finding anyone other than Kamara... I could see another Lions upset here. If everyone comes back healthy and its both teams at full strength, my algo has NO as -8. But with the amounting injuries, this could be another, any given Sunday. ARZ at CAR: Another interesting match up for ARZ here. The algo predicted to be weary of them last week vs. DET and not only did DET cover, they outright won. Give AZ some credit though. Three turnovers and they still had a chance to win at the end of the game. Going from a team that was a TD favorite and lost to a team that was a TD underdog last week and won...Carolina got their first win last week over the LA Chargers. Honestly Bridgewater looked good. Their defense still isn't great and had a tough time against the run giving up over 5 ypc to 3 different RBs and 80 yards to Eckler in the air. The loss of CMC is clearly showing when the Panthers get in the red zone. If they just finished half the times they were in the red zone with a TD instead of a FG, that game would have been over by halftime. JAX at CIN: Jax coming off a disappointing loss to MIA last Thursday. CIN coming off the first tie of the season vs. the Eagles. I am rather high on Burrows this year. I think he and Matt Ryan and Gardner Minshew will have similar betting years. Lose a lot of games, cover a lot of spreads. Burrows was sacked 8 times last week yet he put up some very decent numbers and gave his team a chance to get their first win. This week he goes against a Jax secondary that is one of the worst in the league. This is one of my keys to the game for both teams, and why I have this as a virtual coin flip. Burrow has been sacked 14 times in 3 games and Jax has 3 TOTAL sacks in 3 games. If Jax continues the Burrow pressure, I favor Minshew and Robinson. If Jax continues to let opposing Qbs have time in the pocket, I believe Burrows will pick them apart just like Fitzmagic did. This looks like a great game to play both sides. I do like Burrows and he is giving his team every opportunity this year. However, +2.5 in a "coin flip" game is my FAVORITE number to tease. A standard 6 point teaser takes you through FOUR KEY NUMBERS in 3, 4, 6, and 7, up to +8.5. Cle at DAL: There are two games this week that were really hard for me to get a vibe on. This is the first. Dallas is like the baby brother to Seattle in my opinion. If Dallas was at full strength and had that defense we saw them producing last year, I would almost say they would be the big brother, but right now they are the little Seattle. Bad offense, but a good QB that can make plays and extend drives (Russ is obviously better) Cleveland however looks like they might find an identity like Tennessee had last year. Very Run first/play action later and eventually crack one or two deep balls to take the momentum and ultimately games. It's because of this style of matchup I am truly unsure which is the most +EV side here. Dallas should be the favorite. Their offense has more weapons than...probably anyone in the league right now and they are at home. But 4.5/5 points? Why isn't this closer to 2.5/3. If Cleveland doesn't fall behind, their style of play vs this weakened Dallas defense should EAT. Pounding the rock and setting up Baker to launch 40 yard bombs to Odell on the sideline and 25 yard crosses to Landry in enough space to rack up YAC? What's confusing about the line is Vegas should know that Cleveland has a chance to win, and also that Cleveland is 2-1 to the Dallas 1-2. Yet they still jack up the points from what I think it should be (2.5/3) all the way to 5.5 opens? Although Last week my algo and my gut favored GB and Vegas had moved the line in NO favor so i switched my lean to the Vegas side and it was wrong. It's weird because both teams can win by two TDs and lose by two TDs. Seems more prudent to skip the sides play (unless you lean heavy cle ml) and look at props. Both teams should have plenty of offense in this game. Even if CLE gets a lead and leans on the run game to crush the TOP battle, expect Dallas and Dak to launch it up there and give plenty of fantasy value. MIN at HOU: Battle of two winless teams here. MIN had a real shot to win last week vs the Titans. Correctly, they utilized Dalvin Cooks speed and agility to attack the Titans weakness on defense which is stopping the run. Unfortunately, as predicted, their defense is hot trash and gave up 6 field goals to Ten and lost the game in the final 2 mins to one of them. Houston was leading vs. PIT last week and had the momentum up until a questionable PI call on a PIT 4 and inches that swung the momentum to the PIT side with the Hou offense only gaining 41 yards and 2 first downs in the second half. After that it was all PIT. In this game, I don't see the same. EVEN if MIN can get an early lead and play HOU just like they did TEN, pressing the run game with Cook... Watson is too good not to be able to make some plays vs. this struggling MIN defense. My algo is favoring HOU here and flags Watson Rush yards 22.5 Over as a VERY favorable prop SEA at MIA: This is the other game that is a little confusing to me. As usual when capping a MIA game these days, you have to decide if you're going to see Fitzmagic, or Fitzception. Last week, we predicted poorly and Fitzmagic taught the Jags a little lesson. This week is even harder because he's coming off a stock building performance and about to face ANOTHER HORRIBLE DEFENSE. The Seattle D is worst in the league right now. Which is saying something when you see that the Seattle offense is one of the SLOWEST in the league! Taking the play clock down every chance they can and giving their defense every opportunity to rest. Yet the defense is still blowing coverages and getting burnt in the secondary. The one bright spot in the Seattle defense has been their ability to stop the run. They rank second in opponent's run yards per game at only 67! That's pretty good since they have already faced Gurley, Michel, and Elliot. However, this week Seattle is missing even more pieces on the defensive side of the ball. Jamal Adams on the pass rush and CB Quinton Dunbar are both out for this one. I can see this leaning Fitz more to the magic side than the ception side. I mean if there is a game this week that shouts take the underdog and the points. It feels like this one. It has all the factors of Seattle missing players, traveling 5500 miles east for a 1pm game (which russ is 9-0 in soooo... maybe that stat is worthless here), Mia riding high off a win and extra rest, and most importantly, one of the only games in the first few weeks we have seen some blatant RLM on. Currently I am seeing 71% spread and 90% ML on Seattle, but the line has dropped from a -7 open to -5.5. All this tells me that sharps are seeing some value on the MIA side. And who's to blame them, the team has some chemistry right now and SEA will be traveling across the country to play in 90 degree heat. Maybe I sprinkle some on the MIA ml here? 🤪 Bleh, that was hard to type. My algo has Sea -9 and they are also my preseason favorite to win theNFC...so I hate that I reached the conclusion that Fitz is likely to have one of his better games on the year.🤪 LAC at TB: Hmmm, Chargers coming off a disappointing loss to the struggling panthers. Now traveling east for a 1pm game short a few key players, namely two offensively linemen, to take on one of the better pass rushes in the league. I still am not convinced Brady and this Bucs offense is good yet. Their defense has the last half of last year to back up its start, but the offense struggled in game one and while it has done well in game 2 and 3, it was vs clearly inferior opponents. Herbert is still an unknown. He, like burrow, look very promising, but facing this pass rush in an early heavy travel game? The addition of Bosa back into the lineup is definitely going to help. Both teams seem to be stronger on the defensive side of the ball so I would expect this game to be lower scoring affair. BAL at WAS: What can I really say about these next two games. Bal did NOT live up to the expectations in week 3. After watch KC struggle against a Chargers team with a first start QB, Bal let KC look like the team that won the Superbowl. Washington played a close game for the first half-3quarters, but then just unraveled as the game closed. I am expecting Baltimore to come out with a rage from their previous loss and a focus on reestablishing themselves as one of the AFC's premier superbowl contenders. 4PM GAMES NYG at LAR: This game is basically the same for me. The Rams took their first loss of the season last week vs the undefeated Bills. They struggled early (west coast team traveling east for a 1pm game) going down 28-3. But mounted a comeback to take the lead late in the 4th, only to see a bogus PI and their prevent defense let the game slip away in the final minutes. I am veryyy high on this Rams team and I think they will only get better as a unit as the season continues. The NYG, on the other hand, are clearly the worst team in the NFC East. Which is saying a lot considering that is probably the worst division in football. They just lost a home blowout to the C team 49ers who had like 20 people on IR. And just to show how bad the Giants were last game, they didn't make SF put ONE time in that game. They also NEVER made a trip to the red zone... While they may not start off the first quarter as hot as the Ravens, I expect the Rams to win convincingly. Ne at KC: Well it looks like this game is a no go. I was very heavy on the NE side as my algo has this as NE +4. I put it in my early week pre research parlay and just this morning Draftkings voided it due to the Covid concerns. As I type this I am not sure if they game is even going to be played. If it somehow does, and all first team starters play, I love the NE side. I expect KC to do their thing, but giving Bellicheck and Cam a whole TD to cover?! Too much for me to pass on. BUF at LVR: Josh Allen and the Bills offense looked great in the first half vs zone defense. But once the Rams started blitzing it was over for Allen. The Raiders have looked good in all 3. They did get outplayed by NE in that one but as expected, Bellichek knows how to shut most people down. My algo has this one as Bills -1 so I may have to jump on the home dog catching points. SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL Philly at SF: I have no stats to back this up. Philly is crap, we know this. But we also know that no team is ever as bad as they looked at their worst. They are in the WORST division in football, so 0-2-1 is not a death sentence for them. I expect them to give it everything in this particular game. Especially with half the 49ers team still on IR. It's possible that Philly lays a fat egg like the Giants last week, but I think Philly is more stout up front and will slow down SF's running game and make Mullens beat them. Singles (10-14, -6u)
Johnathon Taylor 79.5 Rush Yards Over (2.3u to win 2u)
Johnathon Taylor Anytime TD (2.5u to win 2u)
T.J. Hockenson 46.5 Rec Yards Over (1.5u to win 1u)
Ryan Fitzpatrick & Russell Wilson 300+ Passing Yards Each @ +300 (1u to win 3u)
James Robinson 16.5 Rec Yards Over (2.3u to win 2u)
Watson 22.5 Rush Yards Over (4.5u to win 4u)
HOU -2.5 (3u to win 1.95u)
BAL 1Q -3.5 (2u to win 2u)
CLE 1Q +0.5 (2.2u to win 2u)
LAC/TB 44.5 Under (2.86u to win 2u)
Myles Gaskin 4 Reception Over (3.5u to win 3u)
PHL +7.5 (2.2u to win 2u)Sadly put this in before the recent injury update and points movement :( Still like the Philly side, just missed some free points.
Nelson Agholor 35.5 Rec Yards Over (2u to win 2u)
Darren Waller 5.5 Receptions Over (2.1u to win 2u)
Parlays (0-6, -22.15u)
BAL -7.5, TB 48.5u, CLE +10, AZ 45o, CIN +4, PHL +14.5 (3.24u to win 26.19u)
HOU ml, TB ml, DET ml, BAL -9.5, LAR -9.5,NE +10.5(2.5u to win 25.28u)Put this in early when I liked some DET ml sprinkle. It was before the NE game was called off so the odds reduced from 16-1 to 10-1
CLE +8.5, HOU ml, BAL -8.5, LAR -8.5 (2.5u to win 10.55u)
26/07/20 - Premier League - Leicester City vs Manchester United - Pre-Match Thread
Key Facts
Round: 38 of 38 Referee: TBC
Average Reds: TBD
Average Yellows: TBD
Location: Filbert Way, King Power Stadium Time: 1600BST/UTC+1, 19/07/20 Channels (UK): Sky Sports Main Event (Out / Unlikely / Suspended ) Leicester:
Soyuncu
Ricardo
Amarety
Maddison
Chilwell
Fuchs
Albrighton
Man United:
Bailey
Tuanzebe
Jones
Shaw
Betting Odds
Accurate as of 0921BST 26/07/20 (Decimal, lower is more likely): Leicester Win: 3.30 Draw: 3.50 Man United Win: 2.15
Fun Facts
Leicester has lost only thrice at home and been unbeaten at home since the Southampton visited us. The other losses at home were to Man City and Liverpool. (P18 W11 D4 L3)
In the previous twenty meetings between the sides, the Foxes have failed to keep a clean sheet yet in the Foxes last four league matches at home have all been clean sheets. The last time we failed to keep one at home was the defeat to Man City in February.
Man United have consistently won when winning in the first half since late 2014. The last time they lost after getting the first goal was against us in the home fixture that resulted in 5-3 including Vardy's first goal in the PL. Coincidentally, this was the last time the Foxes beat the Devils in the PL
In ten appearances against the Devils, Vardy has score 5 times and assist 4 times
United's unbeaten record was broken in the FA Cup when Chelsea beat them 3-1 at Wembley for the FA Cup final yet remains to be undone in the Premier League.
Match betting doesn't finish with the Welcome offers. Here is exactly how I make £1000 a month.
I often see people commenting saying they have made a lot more money since finishing the welcome offers, £1000-£1500 a month and such, but never saying exactly how... Personally I have made a lot more profit every month since I finished the welcome offers, Usually around the £1000 per month mark. People say that Match betting drys up once you finish the welcome offers but this is simply not true, it's a matter of being more organised and checking your email for new offers, while also checking the Reload Offers section on the site you use for match betting. Last week for Example I made £300 from reload offers, This is exactly how: Coral: Money back as a free bet up to £50 if your team is ahead in the first half but doesn't win the match in the end: Matched 5 Premier League games, 3 were successful. I received three £50 free bets which I matched and turned into £130 profit risk free. £130 in 30 minutes William Hill: Money Back as Cash if your horse comes 2nd- 2 of the 6 horses I matched came 2nd, I was also able to make a profit by just matching the bets because my odds were higher on the bookies side by using the Happy Hour odds (between 12pm-1pm, 3 horses with enhanced odds) and also the 3 daily bet boosts on Horse raising( to boost my odds on another 3 horses). £20 in 5 minutes Paddy Power: Money Back up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10 free bet. £8 in 3 minutes Skybet: Money Back as cash up to £10 if Horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th, Matched the horse with the lowest odds and sure enough it came 3rd, got my £10. £9.50 in 3 minutes Skybet: Wednesday Super odds: Matched the three super odds on the exchange and due to the difference in odds (If the odds on the bookies are greater than those for same bet on the exchange you are automatically profiting). £10 in 3 minutes Boylesports: £10 Free bet if your bet loses(Premier League Match): £8 in 3 minutes Paddy Power 2up: An offer where you get paid out early if your time goes up by 2 goals, the profit varies depending on what the odds on the exchange are when you back the team you orignally lay against, but this offer can make you a lot of profit (You will need to download the team profit calculator app and use the early payout calculator). Last week it Made me £35. £35 in 5 minutes Novibet: Deposit £100 and get a £50 free bet. Very easy because you just have to deposit the money, get your free bet, withdraw your £100 straight away, then match the free bet on the exchange. £40 in 5 minutes Coral: Bet 3x £5 in play and get a £5 free bet-Availble everyday. Just match these at half time so the odds are stable, Make sure you also place mug bets every couple of days if you do this one a lot, I would reccomend doing it 5 times a week tops. £20 in 30 minutes Paddy Powe Skybet Bet clubs: Bet 5x £10 bets in a week to get a £10 free bet with Paddy Power. Bet £25 in a week to get a £5 free bet with Skybet. £10 in 30 minutes So it's 5 things: (1) Check your email daily (takes litertally 2 minutes) (2) Check the Reload Offers on the site you use, I use Team profit (because it's free and just as good as any paid membership site) Here is a link to their reload offers which they update every morning: https://www.teamprofit.com/reload-offers-dashboard (3) Offers change all the time- Don't let this put you off. There are always new offers to replace the previous ones. There are also Weekly/Daily offers ( Coral £50 free bet, Paddy power refund if 2nd 3rd 4th, William hill money back if second, Paddy Power 2up etc) which are constantly available. (4) If you are using the same offer a lot on one site ,make mug bets. For example the Coral £50 free bet offer is availble on literally every premier league match, if you do just that offer 10 times in a week, you will be gubbed unless you have other bets on your account. (5) It all adds up. Don't think "It's only a £5 free bet, not worth matching". I get around 15 £5 free bets every week, If I ignored them all I would be down £200 at the end of the month. If you have any questions don't hesisate to ask, Thanks for reading. EDIT: I Have received quite a few pms asking how match betting works, so if you are wondering the same Here is a guide I made last month explaining exactly how to do it. Hope this helps
A Comprehensive PvP Analysis on the September/October Community Day Candidates
Hello again, fellow travelers! It's me again, that PvP article guy, back with a look at the next round of candidates for the next Community Day, and a look at what they may offer us from a PvP perspective. A disclaimer: I am examining these strictly from a PvP usability standpoint. I have my own separate opinions on these Pokémon as raid pieces, and which shinies I think are the most gorgeous, but I'm leaving most of that out of this. I am a PvP analyst, so that's what I'll be focusing on here. You can certainly ASK me about PvE and such, but there are other good articles out there already about all that. So without further ado, let's dive in!
A predictable joke, perhaps, but sometimes you just gotta walk boldly through that wide open door. 😂 Anyway, this one is going to be rather short and brutal beyond that. You might think that with Confusion and a mix of Bug and Psychic charge moves, BUTTERFREE could operate as kind of a budget Venomoth, which has at least had some success in Silph Arena Cups. But... you'd be wrong. Venomoth has the spammy Poison Fang to help nab shields and set up closing damage, while Butterfree is left with the extremely mediocre Signal Beam--it of the only 75 damage for 55 energy--and largely redundant Psychic (the move) at 55 energy for a much better 90 damage, but with a typing that is largely unnecessary with Confusion already dealing so much Psychic (the typing) damage already. Those are its two cheapest moves, which goes to explain why Butterfree hasn't made a name for itself really anywhere in PvP yet. And HURRICANE as a Community Day move would do nothing to change that. Like, literally nothing. That win/loss list is the same as it was without Hurricane, and consists entirely of Fighters and Haunter (that all hate Confusion) and some Grasses that don't appreciate Bugs in general. For reference, by the way, here's Venomoth. And I really don't think there's much more to say here, is there? So what's the verdict? Butterfree is a fan favorite in some circles, but it has no real use in PvE and hasn't in PvP, and won't even with Hurricane. A vote for Butterfree is a vote for the shiny and that's really it. At least it's a decent looking shiny? Keep your vote sheet... Butter-free this weekend. 😏
So Niantic is doubling down on the lack of logic in Muk, a blob without true arms, much less fists, having Thunder Punch, and now they want to give it--and its Alolan cousin--FIREPUNCH too. That's a weird looking Hitmonchan you got there.... 😄 Normal, KANTO MUK typically uses its current Thunder Punch as one of its main moves, along with Dark Pulse or a big Poison move, either Sludge Wave or the popular trash can of death Gunk Shot. These combinations give it maximum flexability, allowing it to take out (in Great League) Fighters, Fairies, and Grasses with ease, and even several prominent Waters, though it needs a Poison charge move to reliably take out Azumarill (and Shiftry) and gives up Psychics Cresselia and Hypno (and somewhat surprisingly, perhaps, big Grass type threat Meganium) to get there. And that mostly continues in Ultra League as well, where Thunder Punch is again preferred and gets several wins on its own, and combines with Dark Pulse to pick up Dragonite, a Poison charge move to get Machamp and Obstagoon, or either move to beat Shadow Abomasnow and Typhlosion. You even have the option of running DP and Poison together for a little bit of the best of both worlds. So that's where Muk stands NOW. What does it stand to gain from the potential addition of Fire Punch? After looking everything over, at least in Great League, the answer is "not much". The most natural place to try and slot it in is as a Thunder Punch replacement, which shows a new win over Ferrothorn, but losses now to Lapras and Mantine (as well as far less pressure on Waters and Flyers in general, of course). If you want your Muk to bring pressure to Steels, then sure, Fire Punch can do that. But it seems to me that Thunder Punch is more impactful. You can kinda-sorta even get away with both Punches and beat your Ferrothorns AND Waters of the world, but then you give up any realistic shot at Azumarill, Cresselia, DDeoxys, Hypno, or Scrafty. That seems too big a pill to swallow, but perhaps some teams will make that work for them? Are things any better in Ultra League? We MIGHT have something here. Fire is a more useful typing in Ultra than it generally is in Great League... or perhaps more accurately, Thunder Punch is generally a little less useful with fewer juicy targets for it. Thus Fire Punch paired with Dark Pulse is slightly better than Thunder Punch, losing Charizard and Poliwrath that Thunder hated on to instead pick up Steel types Melmetal, Escavalier, and Ferrothorn, and holding steady on all other wins that Thunder Punch/Dark Pulse netted in 1v1 shielding. Nice! Fire Punch looks even better with a Poison move like Sludge Wave, for example, gaining that same trio of Steel wins plus Shadow Abomasnow (and beating regular Aboma with about 60 more remaining HP than did Thunder Punch Muk) and holding ALL the same wins as TP/SW. Impressive. One more thing I know will come up: is Shadow Muk any better? Meh, not really. Comparing that (FP/SW) to non-Shadow Muk with the same set, Shadow Muk uniquely wins Scizor, Sceptile, and Lickilicky... but loses Typhlosion, Dragonite, and that big upset against Melmetal. Doesn't seem worth the tradeoff to me, especially considering the cost of building up a Shadow Muk, but hey... you do you! Of course, Kanto Muk isn't the only Muk in town, and in fact, often takes a back seat to ALOLAN MUK, especially in Ultra League play. But starting with Great League as our intro, this is about what you expect of A-Muk, running with Snarl and then the Dark Pulse/Sludge Wave combo. And that works well for A-Muk wherever it appears in whatever league. Is there really even ROOM for Fire Punch? Where does it fit? Replace Dark Pulse? I mean, you gain Melmetal, potentially Lapras, and big prize Registeel, but look at what you give up: A-Wak and Drifblim and Cresselia and Mantine and even Froslass... they all flip from wins with Pulse to losses with Punch. No bueno. Do you replace the killing power of Sludge Wave? I mean, you can, and you again get Lapras, Mel, Regi, and now Alolan Raichu for it, but you also drop Mantine, Pelipper, Meganium, Tropius and others, including potential Wigglytuff AND Clefable, which for a Poison type is NOT good. Again, doesn't seem a tradeoff that's worth it except the occasional morale victory over Registeels and such. Maybe Ultra League is again the place to let Fire Punch do its thing? Or maybe not. I mean, you can't really remove Dark Pulse from the equation... you need it to beat Blastoise, Drifblim, and most importantly, both Giratinas... with Fire Punch instead, you don't get any of those. Similarly, you cannot easily replace the big Poison move and run with the Pulse/Punch combo or you again lose important things, namely Obstagoon and all the major Charmers (Togekiss, Clefable, and even Granbull). The ONLY gain you get with Fire Punch in those two scenarios is... well, opposing Alolan Muks. That's it. And you can help ensure that without dipping into Fire Punch at all if you run Gunk Shot. Actually... hmmm. Let's pull on that thread for a moment. Because something interesting DOES happen when we combine Gunk Shot with Fire Punch... an eye-catching result, and one that doesn't make sense on the surface. Okay, a new win against Shadow Abomasnow makes sense, but how does Fire Punch gain you new wins against things like Feraligatr and Charizard, as that shows? The answer is actually pretty simple: Fire Punch costs 40 energy and Dark Pulse costs 50, so Fire Punch is much easier to bait with. Of course, there's a decent amount of folly in that argument, since as soon as the opponent realizes what you're up to, they're very unlikely to get baited into shielding their Zard or Gatr or the like. But in the realm of GBL, you're usually only facing each opponent once anyway, so there IS a higher chance of "getting away with it" in each individual match. One more way you can throw the opponent for a loop... bring Poison Jab into the mix for an Alolan Muk that is sure to baffle the opposition. One of the biggest downsides to dropping Dark Pulse in Ultra League is losing significant ground against the Giratinas, just barely overcoming them and putting both well within the margin for error. This fixes that issue, while still providing enough combined Poison and Fire damage to take out the Charmers and most major Grasses, and being stronger than Snarl/FP/Poison against things you expect to beat with A-Muk, like Cresselia and Gengar, and even Drifblim enters the win column. It's an intriguing move package to be sure, one worth consideration if you REALLY want to mix things up. I think I still prefer the smooth and familiar Snarl/Dark Pulse/Poison-move-of-choice combo overall, but there is at least something to be said for Fire Punch's speed and higher bait potential and a couple different options for how to work it in if you're just determined to do so. So what's the verdict? I kind of baked my thoughts on Fire Punch into what I already wrote, so to quickly summarize:
Fire Punch seems more like a gimmick than anything in Great League for both Muks. K-Muk prefers the Thunder Punch it already has for pressuring Flyers and especially Waters, while A-Muk gains a couple Steels and one or two other close wins but gives up a ton of big names to get there. Not worth it, IMO, except as a spicy pick. Maybe in certain Silph Arena formats though? Grab one just in case if you're able, but no more than that... and perhaps not even that if you're short on dust/candy to build multiple for different leagues.
Ultra League is a little more interesting. K-Muk picks up a big trio of Steels (Mel, Escav, and Ferro) and loses little to no ground bringing Fire Punch into the fold. It's probably worth trying to get a good one for Ultra League level with Fire Punch, even if you don't fully build it up just yet.
A-Muk in Ultra is pretty comfortable with its current moves, and folks that already use it are unlikely to want to meddle with something that ain't broke. Fire Punch DOES throw in some potential for additional baiting hijinks with its cheaper cost, but again, would disrupt the flow of what A-Muk already has going on and turn it into something else. There is enough potential that I'd try to get one if you can (assuming the Muks even get enough votes, of course!), but K-Muk in Ultra is, I think, a much higher priority.
CHARIZARD may finally find a way to put out the fire in its mouth and get minty cool with DRAGON BREATH. But is that a good thing? Let's see! Starting in Great League, Charizard is arguably a little underrated already, handling a lot of things... Grasses and Steels and Fighters and Charmers, of course, but also stuff people don't immediately think about like Cresselia, Drifblim, Hypno, and Munchlax too. You can kind of see what moving away from Fire Spin does already if you roll with Legacy Wing Attack instead, losing things that really hate Fire damage like Ferrothorn and Froslass, but potentially outracing things like Defense Deoxys and its Rock Slides now with the extra energy that comes from WA. Overall though, the good old Fire Spin/Dragon Claw/Blast Burn (or Overheat) set is the most steady. So let's see what Dragon Breath does. First note that I ran the sim with Overheat rather than Blast Burn, because Overheat shows wins over Haunter and Abomasnow that Blast Burn sims don't, but note that Zard can win those with JUST Dragon Breath and Dragon Claw, so the second charge move actually may not matter. And it's well worth the reminder that Blast Burn costs 5 less energy than Overheat, and especially in Great League where Charizard is particularly squishy, that little bit of energy can mean the difference between a pretty comfortable victory and a truly shocking defeat. If I were to run Dragon Breath in GL, I would probably try to get Blast Burn on it as well... the overall numbers do not properly reflect things like Haunter and Abomasnow, remember. (But of course, that means burning an Elite TM or waiting around to see if we can get Dragon Breath AND Boat Burn during the December Community Day rehash, so.... 😕) What IS accurate there are the same losses to Drifblim, Ferrothorn, and Froslass that Zard suffers with Wing Attack instead of Fire Spin, and Dragon Breath also loses the DDeoxys win that it gets with Wing Attack, plus can lose to Hypno (with Thunder Punch) and Shadow Machamp with its annoying Rock Slide. Sounds all negative... is there any good news? Well, yes: that Haunter win is not normally achievable with Fire Spin OR Wing Attack, and there are also first-time wins against Umbreon, Zweilous, and even big bad Altaria. Remember that Charizard with Dragon Breath/Claw has a potent full Dragon moveset and high Attack that can help it overcome the lack of STAB, and without the downside of taking super effective damage in return from opposing Dragons. It can wail on them HARD and stand up to the neutral punishment it receives in return, at least long enough to close out the win. As for Umbreon, the cumulative damage of those Dragon Breaths plus a final, killing Blast Burn or Overheat is just too much for even tanky Umbry, and it dies before it can fire off its own match-ending third charge move, which it DOES reach against Fire Spin or Wing Attack Zard. Even without STAB, Dragon Breath drops the opponent's health alarmingly quickly. Overall, I'd say that in Great League, you will usually want an old-fashioned fast move instead, but Dragon Breath gives Zard a nice little niche that it could surely exploit in future Silph Arena formats, if nothing else. It gives it a big leg up over most other Fire types, for instance.... 🔥 Moving on to Ultra League, where Zard has already started making a name for itself, especially in GBL Premier Cup this season. Arguably, in open Ultra League, Charizard as it exists today is already a bit underrated. It torches Steel and Grass and Fairy as it does in Great League, as well as other popular picks like Articuno, Obstagoon, Gengar, Snorlax, Cresselia, and our pal Alolan Muk. Wing Attack is arguably even better, hating hard on Fighters (adding wins over Poliwrath and Shadow Machamp) and winning the mirror against FS Zard straight up, though Gengar and A-Muk become a tougher fight in exchange. And of course, in Premier Cup, Charizard is already a potent and popular pick, as I already discussed in quite some detail in my big meta/budget review for the format a couple weeks back. Zard is already legit in Ultra... does it need (or even want) Dragon Breath at all? I'm gonna say: yes. DB Zard notably cannot reliably beat Drifblim as Fire Spin can, or Shadow Machamp as Wing Attack can, or Abomasnow as both of those can. But what it DOES do is take out Poliwrath and Typhlosion (which WA can and FS cannot) and provide new wins against Cresselia, Dragonite, Feraligatr, Armored Mewtwo, and yes, Giratina (Origin Forme, at least). In Premier Cup it is not a straight upward trajectory like that, losong Aboma and Shadow Champ Drifblim as mentioned, as well as Toxicroak and Snorlax as both FS and WA can, but it does at least bring in Dragonite and Poliwrath and also the oddly-popular-right-now Slowbro. Admittedly, the new losses seem to outweigh the new wins in Premier, but in open UL? This seems like a clear upgrade overall. And before I move out of UL, yes, I DID look at Shadow DB Zard, and it just doesn't work as well, though it's noteworthy that you CAN potentially get Altered Giratina now. That alone may make it a nice fit on some teams. And finally, in Master League, if we're being honest, Charizard struggles, and neither Wing Attack NOR the possible addition of Dragon Breath really help with that. DB doesn't get the Giratinas OR Dragonite, as some glaring examples... Charizard maxing out below 3000 (even below 2900) CP just really hampers it. It DOES have more play in Master League Premier Cup, but Dragon Breath is NOT a big help there. Quite the opposite, in fact. You may want a maxed out Dragon Breath Charizard for raiding--and keep in mind that Mega Charizard X is a Dragon type and on the horizon!--but I don't think you want a Dragon Breath Charizard as it is now in PvP Master League. So what's the verdict? I poured my thoughts into the above paragraphs, so to sum up:
Dragon Breath in Great League? A little bit of a niche role, slaying opposing Dragons, but gives up the hard Fire or Flying damage it has now, so a mixed bag. Worth building one for Silph Cups or potential changes in GBL meta down the line.
Dragon Breath Charizard is actually pretty scary in open Ultra League and well worth building a good UL-sized one. Not as good in Premier Cup overall though.
In Master League, Dragon Breath does not really give Charizard any more play, and is a step backwards in Premier Cup. Build one for PvE, but not for PvP purposes. Not at that size.
PORYGON-Z--and really the entire Porygon family line--is kind of a bookend to the disappointment that was Butterfree. I mean, even in basically the best possible circumstances--maxed out in Master League Premier Cup--it's bad. Like, horrifically bad, far worse than anything with Lock-On should be. The reason is two-fold: 1.) Currently, three of Porygon-Z's four charge moves cost 80 energy, and the fourth costs 75. It CAN leverage Return (with STAB!) at "only" 70 energy, but that's as low as it can go. Registeel can at least match that with Flash Cannon and its 70 energy, Regice can throw out an Earthquake for only 65, and Regirock can fire off a Stone Edge after only 55 energy. They have some options. 2.) Perhaps an even bigger thing holding P-Z back: a complete lack of bulk. Again looking at fellow Lock-On users the Regis, Regirock and Regice have about the same HP as Porygon-Z but more than double its Defense, and that holds true in all three leagues. Registeel is even tankier than that, again doubling Z's Defense and also outpacing it by about a dozen HP. In Great League, it has exactly the same low Defense as glass cannon personified Haunter, and actually lags behind Gengar in Ultra League and just barely matches it in Master despite being about 400 CP higher when they're both maxed out. It has passable HP, but that Defense is very worrisome and makes it feel much, much glassier than most other Pokémon. So put all that together and you have a very poor PvP Pokémon that you really can't use at any level right now. What Porygon-Z needs is the Cherrim/Abomasnow treatment. Remember how bad those 'mons were not long ago when they were stuck with moves like Solar Beam and Dazzling Gleam, or Blizzard and Outrage? They both got Weather Ball and have absolutely taken off since. They just needed a spammy/bait move, and now they're thriving. Porygon-Z desperately needs the same. Unfortunately, despite waiting all week to see if we'd get some hints, we still don't know anything even close to definitive about Tri-Attack's stats. So even though I despise being forced to speculate--I am a cold hard numbers and facts guy, something tangible that I can actually analyze--I really don't have any choice if you're going to get this in time to help inform your voting decision. So we're going to pick some existing moves and sim with those to give us a rough guesstimate of what we may get with Tri-Attack, depending on what Niantic does with it. Here we go.... If Niantic makes new move TRI-ATTACK a clone of other moves--good, viable moves--like (again, just examples for stat guesstimating purposes) Hyper Fang or Last Resort, that won't do. Porygon-Z needs--WE need--something very close to what Aboma and Cherrim got to make Z have any chance at viability. And that means something like Weather Ball/Body Slam, or at least something like Stomp. Even those don't blow your socks off, but you pick up potential wins like Dragonite, Togekiss, and Swampert that you had ZERO shot at before. At least with that, Porygon-Z becomes a halfway decent generalist. It even works alright in open Master League, having paths to victory over stuff like Groudon, Raikou, Zekrom, and others instead of the one single win it gets over Origin Giratina with current moves. And again, I do NOT want to go too far down this road, since this is pure speculation (and best-case-scenario, hopeful speculation at that), but IF Niantic is about as kind as they could be and gave Tri-Attack Body Slam-esque stats, it makes Porygon-Z at least interesting enough in Ultra League and Great League to not get just laughed out of the room. (Well, honestly it's still pretty poor in GL even with all that. Dang... poor Z!) Perhaps the last question on your minds (that I can attempt to answer, at least!): what about second breakfast? No wait, that's not right. Uh... what about Shadow Porygon-Z? Yeah, it's no better--and actually worse--in Ultra League. There MAY be a case to be made for it in Master League, where it can pick up big Waters Kyogre, Palkia, and Gyarados and still hold all the wins it got as a non-Shadow, but man, that's awfully expensive for such a flimsy generalist. There are crazier ideas, I suppose. The win/loss line IS suddenly looking pretty juicy if you play your cards right, but it's also fraught with peril as glassy as Z is. Tread lightly if you're considering it and be ready with a quick hook as needed. So what's the verdict? There is really, truly no way of knowing at this point. I presented what is probably the absolute best case scenario, and while that COULD make Porygon-Z viable in Ultra and especially Master League, we have no clue if Niantic is going to go that route or make Tri-Attack a move that's, like, 45 energy for 80 damage, which would be a good enough move (and very close to what it is in the MLG) but is just simply NOT what Z needs, and not enough to drag it from its current PvP purgatory. End of the day, though, almost ANY iteration of Tri-Attack would be an improvement, and between that and having a super sweet-looking shiny, I think a vote for Porygon is still a good vote. So here's your TL;DR:
In terms of usefulness in PvP, I think Chariard with Dragon Breath takes the cake, and Charmander is well worth votes.
Based on what we know right now, the Muks come in second for me, since they DO stand to benefit from Fire Punch if you're willing to experiment and break their current mold. Fire Punch Kanto Muk has some real promise in Ultra League, and if you find room for it--PJ/DP/FP or S/FP/GS seem like your best bets--even Alolan Muk could do some good work with it.
Butterfree is still useless. Sorry, Caterpie fans.
Porygon-Z is still a complete unknown since we don't know Tri-Attack's stats, but almost ANYTHING would be an improvement on what it has now, and I'd rank Porygon between Charmander (at the top) and Grimer. Pray for stats akin to Body Slam! Z really, REALLY needs something like that.
As always, all of this is just my opinion, based on the numbers and analytics in front of me. It's YOUR vote, so make it count! Alright, I'll bow out now and let you get back to your day. Thanks for sticking with me through this and other long articles I have written. I appreciate your time and attention, and hope this helps you decide where to cast your vote in a few hours. For more PvP tidbits, you can find me on Twitter for near-daily PvP analysis nuggets, or Patreon with a tie-in Discord server and a direct line to me. And please, feel free to comment here with your own thoughts or questions and I'll try to get back to you! Stay safe out there, Pokéfriends. Thanks again for reading, and catch you next time!
Krasnodar secured the 3rd spot in the Russian Premier League last season, which brought them the chance to fight for the place in the Champions League. The hosts have been playing very well at the Krasnodar Stadium as they suffered just two defeats at their ground last season. Murad Musaev’s side has been the second most efficient side in the competition, however, their defense should have been a bit tighter as the home side conceded 30 times. After a slow start of the new campaign, Krasnodar improved the form, and they haven’t lost in the last four occasions. Although Marcus Berg and the lads are currently sitting on the 5th place of the domestic championship, they are just three points away from the top spot. The home side scored 17 times in eight rounds of the Russian Premier League so far, and they have been remarkably efficient in their latest game when they celebrated a 7:2 victory against Khimki. The ultimate Krasnodar’s goal is to reach the group stage of the Champions League, and they are full of confidence. PAOK has already skipped two qualifying rounds so far as they have been better from Besiktas and Benfica, respectively. Although the Eagles from Portugal have been considered favorites in that match, the Greek side managed to celebrate a 2:1 home victory. However, they are playing for the first time away from home, but luckily for the away side, the playoffs include a two-leg tie. The visitors haven’t been very competitive in the title race last season, as they finished 18 points behind Olympiakos. Abel Ferreira’s side doesn’t enjoy a very confident start in the Greek Super League as they have already lost two points in a 1:1 home draw against Atromitos. Andrija Zivkovic has made an immediate impact, as he scored in his first two appearances for PAOK, and the Serbian international should be a significant signing.
Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
Although PAOK has been very successful in the previous two rounds, they struggle to convert their chances into goals lately. We believe Krasnodar is going to secure the advantage in the first leg of this tie.
Goals Market Prediction
It is pretty tough to predict the total number of goals in this match, but the hosts have been very productive lately. They could easily score twice in this clash, and we are going to back that pick. Krasnodar to win @ 1.95 Krasnodar Over 1.5 FT @ 2.20 Correct score 2:0 @ 9.00 Read the analysishereand share your opinion with us!
A disclaimer before I do a quick write up. First, I am actually 2 battles shy of Rank 9 at the time of writing—barring outlandishly poor luck, I will achieve it tomorrow. For the curious, I will be happy to edit this post with my MMR score at that time. With that, let’s jump in. Also, this team is built for the Ultra Premier Cup, although I have seen success with a similar team in vanilla Ultra League. Edit: I hit rank 9 and my MMR was 2357, if that means anything to you. Heracross: CounteCC/EQ Dragonite (Shadow): DB/Dragon Claw/Hurricane Cloyster: Ice Shard/Icy Wind/Avalanche I have been running a Heracross/Cloyster core in Ultra League for four seasons! This is not so much a testament to the core being good as it is my pointing out that I have accumulated a lot of experience using them. These two generally have carried me to high Rank 8 or low Rank 9 in the past, but sort of fall off in the bloodshed of the Rank 10 grind (or maybe I just suck). A similar team can be read about here (https://www.reddit.com/TheSilphArena/comments/gxsnlj/a_team_no_one_asked_fo). I include this because readers may be able to glean extra tips from it that are not necessarily gone over here. Threats I feel going over threats to this team to be the most beneficial place to start. This may seem counter-intuitive, but two of these picks pose such immense issues for the team that there is not much strategizing aroung them, unfortunately. 1.) Charmer's whose name are not "Togekiss," especially in the lead. A lead Charmer, even if it is a Togekiss in the lead, will generally destroy the entire team. A Charmer in the back can definitely be played around. Having said that Clefable is a tricky opponent. Togekiss in the back, however, is often easy to lure to the front and Cloyster will maul it to death. A Charmer in the lead is, much to my chagrin, basically and instant loss. 2.) Gallade is the most common pick that will decimate dreams of winning. It is not unbeatable, but comes pretty close. Dragonite is generally the one who will have to deal with it, but it often forces you to put Dragonite into play prematurely and expose it to heavy Confusion damage. The times I have defeated a Gallade team usually involve that Gallade being revealed in the late game when I have a fairly overwhelming energy/shield advantage. The earlier you see the Gallade, though, the less likely you can recover. 3.) Ampharos does not seem like it should be on the list of threats, really, but here it is. It manages to have just enough bulk and just enough damage and just enough energy generation to pose a fairly real threat. Heracross will be the one who has to deal with it. Your best bet is to let one Thunder Punch go through, build up to two Close Combats, and hope one meets its mark. One shield will probably have to be invested. A double shield on the Ampharos' side probably will spell a loss. Strategy The short version of the strategy is to set up the other team for a late-game Dragonite feeding frezny. How do you do this? It all starts with your Heracross lead. He has three Pokemon that he would prefer to remove from the match immediately if met with: the aforementioned Ampharos, Escavalier, Empoleon, and Machamp. Escavalier and Empoleon will both likely require one shield to be invested as they seriously threaten Heracross with Aerial Ace and Drill Peck, respectively. More times that not, however, the opponent with withdraw this Pokemon recocgnizing the poor matchup. I would say switch Heracross out of a Charmer or Confusion user immediately, but, frankly, at that point that match is probably already lost. Otherwise, Heracross (with one notable exception) will always stay in, commit no shields, and build up to one Close Combat before swapping to Cloyster--never throw your CC on Heracross unless you are trying to remove the Pokemon I listed before; bank it. The notable exception is Swampert, in which case Heracross will count out 4 Counters and then switch to Cloyster in hopes of catching a Hydro Cannon. Be sure to follow this rule for even unfavorable matchups. I am going to use Dragonite and Venasaur leads as the examples. In both cases (including Shadow variants!) Heracross can take any move they throw once--except Dragonite's Hurricane, but realistically no one is going to throw that as it would put them at a severe energy disadvanatge. Swapping to Cloyster on Dragonite will usually allow 1-3 Ice Shards to get through depending on the reaction time of the opponents. This, combined with residual Counter damage, is enough to get it to about half or lower. Venasaur, likewise, tends to get too comfortable against Cloyster and assumes it has a great matchup. The issue is that in prolonged encounters, Cloyster will take a pound of flesh off of it. In the CloysteVenasaur matchup, Icy Wind twice and commit one shield then allow Cloyster to go down. The pattern of Icy Wind x2, commit one shield is the cookie cutter response to almost all neutral matchups. If things are going south, you can try to toss in an Avalanche for a clutch reversal of fortunes. Even so, Cloyster is one this team to soften up the opponent, debuff the enemy for the incoming Shadow Dragonite, and then faint. I hope you are seeing the trend here. Notice how we have not really fainted any opposing Pokemon barring the aforementioned group that you want to remove quickly. If you have made it this far, you are probably in the endgame. You are up one shield or are matching your opponent's one shield. There is a x2 attack debuffed, weakened Pokemon on the field and you maybe even did some damage to a lead. Now come in with Shadow Dragonite and let loose. Farm down the first Pokemon and release a hail of Dragon Claws until you win. It sounds a bit simple, but it really is just that simple. If things turn out to not be that simple, do not worry. Remember, you have a low health Heracross with a powerful Close Combat banked from the beginning of the match for support. The core philosophy here is to accrue lots of very little advantages across the first portion of the mathc, then pull back the curtain and allow Dragonite--with a little Heracross support--to decimate a weakened team. Miscellaneous Items and FAQ Here I just want to discuss a few quirks of the team that I have noticed and answer some common questions I have gotten in the past about similar teams. 1.) The Cloyster versus Lapras matchup is long, annoying, and uneventful. You are better off, unfortunately, playing it out. It may be tempting to play the switch timer and try to throw a CC on the Lapras, but generally it is not something I would advise. Lapras poses too much of a threat to Dragonite to risk any kind of misalignment or letting it escape into the late game. Let Cloyster toss x3 Icy Winds on it and then spam Avalache. Lapras will win if it has Skull Bash, but still let Cloyster go down and then bring in Heracross--preserving switch is just that vital. Cloyster sometimes wins, sometimes loses, and sometimes ties against Lapras. Beating it, though, really does not matter. As in accordance with the rest of the strategy, really a greatly weakend Lapras is enough. 2.) Steels are pesky, tricky things. You want to remove them ASAP, but they are not quite as threatening as Fairies. Dragonite can technically handle them late game, but remember it will likely have to rely on Hurricane, which it can only get to once a game reliably. 3.) Heracross has more bulk than you think it does. As long as it stays away from fire (Charizard) and flying moves, it generally can take a hit well. It also resists Counter and ground moves. Close Combat is also incredibly potent. Even against something that resists it like Gyrados or Charizard, they often find themselves chunked by a significant amount. Also, remember, Charizard always uses Blast Burn first--I am joking, but also not... anecdotally, people rarely bait with Charizard. 4.) Heracross is a regional and, therefore, people often what to subsitutte it for something else. Its is possible and I would choose Machamp and Lucario as the best options, both running Close Combat. For the aforementioned reasons, I see CC as just too good to not run, especially on this team. Just realize that I have not played as many games with those two Pokemon and am not as familiar with their strengths, weaknesses, and idiosyncracies. Shadow Dragonite probably optional, too, but I find her dominating pressure in the late game essential. 5.) I am not a huge stickler for IVs under normal circumstances and you can get away with suboptimal ones on Heracross and Dragonite (mine are fairly dismal). My Cloyster, however, is rank 2. While it may just be the sheer volume of games I have played, I do think this has mattered. Cloyster plays the crucial role of being the safe switch and softening the team. If it does not stay alive long enough to achieve this role, it is basically dead weight. While I am not saying you need and top 10 Cloyster for this team, this is the one Pokemon I would advice you have decent IVs on. Sometimes that sliver of health does actually matter. 6.) Finally, I found this team was (predictably) much better at lower Rank 8. As I grew close to Rank 9, it started to behave oddly. My worst sets were 2 wins and 3 losses (which happened twice) and 0 wins and 5 losses (which happened once). At close to Rank 9 and, indeed, against Rank 9s, it seems to either win hard or lose hare without a whole lot of middle ground. More testing is required. Wrap Up I hope this was a useful or, at the very least, entertaining read. I would be writing forever if I went into ever small detail or matchup. If people have further questions about the team, IVs, matchups, etc. I will do my best to answer them faithfull in the comments, however. I also want to note that while I use PvPoke for theorycrafting, I have long preferred live testing. Some of my statements, therefore, may not always be 100% consistent with PvPoke's simulations. That is not a jab against the tool or people who rely on it more than myself, it is just my personal preference for things. I cannot necessarily answer any questions with PvPoke as supporting evidence for that reason. Much of this team relies on splitting damage among all three Pokemon so while I could sim exact sceanrios, it would be a pretty grulling and tedious process. Thank you for reading and I wish you all the best in your battles to come!
Leicester City has started the new Premier League campaign very well, and they have booked two victories in two opening matches. They were pretty confident against WBA at away ground and celebrated a 3:0 win, while last weekend, they were better than Burnley. Brendan Rodgers’ side is the most efficient side in the Premier League so far, with seven goals scored. Jamie Vardy picked up where he left off, and he already scored twice since the beginning of the campaign. The Foxes signed some quality players during this transfer window, and the latest one in a row is Cengiz Under from Roma. This match is going to be the biggest challenge for the hosts so far in the season, and they want to continue with good displays and keep building up their confidence. Arsenal also enjoys an excellent start in the Premier League, and they booked six points from the two opening rounds as well. The Gunners have been pretty convincing against Fulham at Craven Cottage and celebrated a 3:0 victory, while they also managed to beat West Ham 2:1 at home. Willian showed that he should be an excellent signing as he booked three assists in his premier match in Arsenal’s jersey. The Brazilian international should bring another dimension in the offensive line of the team and create a lot of chances; however, the visitors need to show significant improvements in the backline in comparison to the previous season. They allowed too many goals to their opponents, and if Mikel Arteta’s side wants to challenge the top four spots, they always need to keep their focus in defense.
Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
It is going to be a very tight match in which both sides have their chance to progress to the next round. It wouldn’t be surprising the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes.
Goals Market Prediction
This is the clash between two very efficient sides, and both teams should stick to their playing style. Therefore, we expect to see at least one goal in each net, and football fans should enjoy another exciting game. Draw @ 3.40 BTTS Yes @ 1.65 Correct score 2:2 @ 13.00 Read the analysishereand share your opinion with us!
16/07/20 - Premier League - Leicester City vs Sheffield United - Pre-Match Thread
Key Facts
Round: 36 of 38 Referee: Michael Oliver
Average Reds: TBD
Average Yellows: TBD
Location: Filbert Way/King Power Time: 1800BST/UTC+1, 16/07/20 Channels (UK): Sky Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League (no crowd noises), Pick TV (Freeview)
Injuries
(Out / Unlikely / Suspended ) Leicester:
Soyuncu
Ricardo
Amarety
Maddison
Chilwell
Albrighton
Sheffield:
None
Betting Odds
Accurate as of 0906BST 16/07/20 (Decimal, lower is more likely): Leicester Win: 1.90 Draw: 3.40 Sheffield Win: 4.33
Fun Facts
In the league, we've had a good home record as we've only been beaten thrice (P17 W10 D4 L3) by the likes of Liverpool, Man City, and Southampton
Since 2009, we have meet the Blades seven times and not been defeated. (P7 W5 D2)
Since the restart, both teams have lost twice having showed mixed form since the restart.
Sheffield have not performed well on the road only winning four of their 17 away games with the majorities ending in draws (P17 W4 D9 L4). They are yet to win on the road since the restart with only point being taken from relegation facing Villa and Burnley. They last won on the road against Brighton in December 2019.
On Saturday night I made a complete impulsive 1.2k bet on Sean O'Malley to win in the UFC. I knew when he fell down suddenly in the first round something was wrong, then Rogan confirmed it. I tried my best to cash out as fast as I could but 365 suspended the line. Then he got knocked out a minute later and I was almost physically sick. Today I would've chased that loss by betting on the Rangers game in the Scottish Premier League to go over 2.5 goals. I was going to put down 5k to win 3.5k at 1.7 odds and walk away from gambling from good. I couldn't deposit because there was a 1k daily limit on my card and it was Sunday (bank closed) The game finished 0-0. I was also thinking about betting Man U to qualify at 1.7. They lost 2-1. Thank the lord I wasn't able to deposit. Because I would've put 10k on them knowing the Rangers game had lost earlier. I could have lost all my money (17k) in 24 hours and would have without a doubt had a mental breakdown. Please guys, do not chase your losses. Save yourself. Even if it's $10 or $100, go buy yourself a pizza or something off amazon. Don't give the sick people who own these casinos and sportsbooks your money.
Every sport has its fan base all over the globe; India is more famous for its sports spirit as it is followed on a larger scale there. If you talk about cricket, it is followed as a second religion, not only in India but in whole South Asia while other sports are less famous,IPL Betting in India but they are famous enough that betting organizations like Betway India have found their markets in India. Sports has got fame in India and so betting which has become easier, and popular. Those days are past when one had to find a bookmaker or a punter to do some betting, or betting was restricted to a specific community. Now, anyone can bet from home as some online betting platforms like Betway India have found their market in the country, and they are providing some huge benefits like by providing great betting bonuses and an opportunity to make free bets. Let’s have a look at some sports where it is more beneficial to bet.
Cricket is one of the best sports in the world has a huge number of fans around the globe, but in India, it is more than a sport, so, bet markets have found their markets in the country. Some famous bookmakers like Betway India and Betting 365 provide a huge range to bet on where you can bet on every aspect of the game. You can start from the toss and make bets till the post-match presentations where the Man of the Match is announced. Some wonderful benefits from these online platforms (Free bets and bet bonus) have pulled a lot of betters to their websites.
Indian Premier League is one of the best online cricket leagues and millions of people watch it live, so betting in IPL is also great. You can bet on the following: -
Toss winning team
Strike rate in the power play
Man of the Match
Number of sixes in the match
Best Bowler
A batsman with most boundaries
Match winning team
Target
Number of runs of a particular batsman
Number of Sixes by one team
There are a lot more things to bet on but there are a few things where a person with a small knowledge can bet and win. Football Betting: We all know football is the largest sport on the planet with billions of fans. In India, it may not famous as cricket, but it has an immense fan following in the country. Since the football under-19 world-cup has played in India, the fans have become double in number, and so the betting market. Online bet markets like Betway and Betting 365 have started providing odds on football as well; you can bet on international matches as well as football leagues that are more famous than the international matches. You can bet on the following:
Number of goals by a particular player
Number of assists by a player
Total number of goals in a match
Total number of goals in first/ second half
Top goal scorer of the season
Betting on Horse Racing:
Betting on Horse racing is also famous in the country. There was a time when it was known for the game of a particular class in the country, but since online betting platforms have found their market in the sport, it has come down to every person in the country. Betway India, and Betting 365 have to provide odds for Horse Racing as well so there is also a healthy list of the aspects that you can on:
Straight Bet (To bet on a horse which you think is going to win)
Bet on a horse to come second
Bet on a horse to come third
Bet on 2 horses to finish in exact order (Horse A to finish first, and horse B to finish second)
There are a lot more to bet in the horse racing, but if you are a person with less knowledge of Horse racing, you can bet on simple things, or follow the odds; and don’t forget, bet bonus, and some free bets opportunity is also there in these online marketplaces.
Nifty Or Thrifty: Ultra League Premier Cup (PvP Meta/Budget Review)
Hello again, fellow travelers! The "Nifty Or Thrifty" article series takes a comprehensive look at the meta for the current Cup format--Ultra League Premier Cup, in this case--particularly focused on Pokémon where you can save yourself some stardust. Normally I write this for Great League (Silph Arena Cup formats), but for my first NoT here on The Road, I took a look at Master League Premier Cup, spending extra time on those with cheaper costs for adding a second charge move, as that was really the ONLY place where we could hope to get "thrifty". While not everything must be maxed here, I will still be placing extra emphasis on those mons with cheaper second move unlock costs. Because for those on a stardust budget--and/or folks trying to save up some dust for the future--it can be daunting trying to figure out where to spend or not spend it. We all want to field competitive teams, but where can we get the best bang for our buck and where should we perhaps instead channel our inner scrooge? We've got a lot to cover, so let's not waste any more time. Here we go, organized by Pokémon with the cheapest cost for adding a second move and moving on through from there.
10,000 Dust/25 Candy
SWAMPERT Mud Shot | Hydro Cannonᴸ & Earthquake/Sludge Wave Just as in Master League Premier Cup, Swampert stands mostly alone as THE Mud Boy to consider outside of Great League. And while there are many more Grasses to worry about in Ultra than there are in Master, it's not a great shock to see that (at the time of this writing) Swampert sits as THE top Pokémon in the UL Premier meta. Just look at what it can handle: almost its entire loss column is filled with Grasses, with only things that resist its moves (Honchkrow, Dragonite, Togekiss, Poliwrath, Feraligatr) or just put out their own ridiculous amounts of damage (Obstagoon, Shadow Machamp, Heracross) scratching out wins over Swampy. But Swampert takes out anything Electric, Fire, Ground (aside from Flygon and Torterra), Rock, Steel (besdies Ferrothorn and Escav), Fairy (aside from the aforementioned Flying Togekiss), Poison (as long as it isn't also Grass), and the list goes on and on, including even things like Drifblim, Toxicroak and Machamp, Snorlax, Lapras, Blastoise, Milotic, and much more. And yes, all of that is with the standard Mud Shot/Hydro Cannon/Earthquake set... Sludge Wave adds Shadow Abomasnow, but can't get even Togekiss and loses out on things like Empoleon, Lapras, and Blastoise. At least, that's all true of regular Swampert. Now Shadow Swampert has some interesting quirks. First off, with Sludge Wave, it can beat Togekiss... and Obstagoon, and Tangrowth and Abomasnow and Lapras, and fellow Shadow mon Machamp. Other than Lapras, regular Swampert cannot do any of that. However, to get there, Shadow SW Swampert fails against Drifblim, Granbull, and regular Machamp, which non-Shadow SW Swampy wins. Shadow Swampert with Earthquake instead performs very close to regular EQ Swampert... on the surface. They have the same number of core meta wins, but what's IN those wins is a bit different. Regular EQ Swampert uniquely beats Drifblim, Granbull, Machamp, Milotic, and Blastoise, while Shadow EQ Swampy instead overpowers Obstagoon, Escavalier, Feraligatr, and Shadow Champ. My recommendation? Well, use Swampert. But my OTHER recommendation is to check and double check those sims I linked above. Any version of Swampert listed above is more than viable, but there are enough nuanced differences between WHAT is in their wide swath of destruction that it's worth making sure whatever Swampert you go with is the best fit for your individual team. Good luck! VENUSAUR Vine Whip | Frenzy Plantᴸ & Sludge Bomb For every yin, there is a yang. And ranked immediately behind Swampert is Swampert's primary yang: Venusaur. That's not to say that Venu is the #1 counter Swampert, because it isn't. (It's not even Top 25 in the overalls.) But what Venusaur represents, as it often does, is the most complete package you can hope for among true Grass types. It does everything you want your Grass to do--beating Waters (all but Mantine and sometimes Kingdra), Grounds (all but Gliscor and Mamoswine), and Rocks (all but Archeops and Fury Cutter Crustle)--while also taking out nearly every other Grass (only oddballs like Aboma, Ferrothorn, and Poison Jab Roselia can fend it off) and Fairies (even Togekiss!) thanks to Sludge Bomb. As amazing as the Vine Whip/Frenzy Plant combo is, it is because of Sludge Bomb that Venusaur is the threat that it is. Very little, not even hard counters like Fires and Ices, and not even things like Dragonite or Charizard that double resist Grass damage, appreciate taking a Sludge Bomb or two to the face. Venusaur is more capable of turning a bad matchup into a shocking win than most Grasses... it is ALWAYS dangerous and has a shot to at least nab an opponent's shield--or snatch victory from the jaws of defeat--in situations where other Grass types just curl up and die. I don't think I need to write more about it--surely you have faced down your fair share of Venusaurs in PvP to this point--but I just wanted to remind everyone why even in formats with plentiful Grasses to choose from, Venusaur always finds itself at the top of the heap, and this format is no exception. Shadow Venusaur, BTW, shows new wins against Gliscor and Heracross, but I have trouble trusting it, as it also loses Snorlax and Shadow Machamp and not surprisingly limps away from most wins with less HP than regular Venusaur. I personally recommend just sticking with non-Shadow here... it's safer. MEGANIUM Vine Whip | Frenzy Plantᴸ & Earthquake And wherever Venusaur goes, Meganium fans are sure to follow and try to one-up. At surface level, yes, Meg performs on the same level as Venusaur, the differences being that Meg puts its superior bulk and/or Earthquake to good use by uniquely winning Ferrothorn, Magnezone, Gallade (where Venusaur's Poison sub-typing is a liability), Gliscor, and Shadow Snorlax, while Venusaur instead beats Togekiss, Tangrowth, and Meg herself (that's Sludge Bomb for you), Obstagoon (and much more effectively beats Machamp, where that Poison sub-typing is a benefit), and Lapras (where Venusaur's higher Attack power shines). With no Registeel or Melmetal or the like around, Venusaur just seems better to me, with more impactful wins overall. But Meg is certainly very viable, which her fans will be happy to hear. Other Grass starters are somewhat viable, with Fury Cutter SCEPTILE looking the most interesting, but really, it's probably Venusaur or Meganium or bust among cheap Grass options. BLASTOISE Water Gun | Hydro Cannonᴸ & Ice Beam/Skull Bash Azumarill and several Waters famous in Great League just don't work up at this level, so here's one of your better fill-ins. Blastoise threatens with steady Water damage and potentially the same Ice Beam that strikes fear into the heart of Azu opponents, though Skull Bash is probably better, winning all the same core meta matchups plus the mirror match. Either way, Blastie brings it in all the matchups where you'd want Water to douse flames or mud or rocks, and also overpowers things like Steely Bugs Escavalier and Scizor, all the major Fairies, and even many of its fellow Waters like Milotic and Empoleon and Lapras and Feraligatr, and can even squeak by with wins over Snorlax, Machamp, and Honchkrow with good IVs, just outbulking them in neutral-on-neutral slugfests. FERALIGATR is mostly just a worse Blastoise, being less bulky and also slower with Waterfall instead of Water Gun. But it also has Crunch, which allows it to beat things like Drifblim, and the sheer power of Waterfall rolls over things Blastoise cannot like Obstagoon and Alolan Muk. It's a bit shakier as a Water, but does some nice things Blastie cannot and is worth at least considering if you're going the Water attacker route. EMPOLEON Waterfall | Hydro Cannonᴸ & Drill Peck Empie probably wouldn't be worth mentioning if it didn't just gain Drill Peck*, because while its saving grace in Master League Premier was that it got big enough to contend AND its Steel typing gave it rather unique wins over Charmers, here in Ultra League the other big Waters usually beat the Charmers anyway. Here that Steel typing is more of a liability than a blessing, opening it up to Fighters and Grounds and even Fire (it cannot reliably beat Typhlosion, for example). But there IS good that comes with the Steel, as Empoleon blunts Flying and Dragon and Poison damage, allowing it to consistently handle things like Honchkrow, A-Muk, and Gliscor, and the addition of Drill Peck even adds on wins against Dragonite and (Shadow) Abomasnow. Even though it shows less wins overall than Feraligatr, I think the uniqueness of the wins it gets slot it just behind Blastoise and ahead of Gatr, personally. GYARADOS Dragon Breath | Crunch & Aqua Tailᴸ Gonna keep this one short, because I JUST wrote up another long article extolling why Aqua Tail Gary was worth it across the board, including in Ultra League Premier Cup. So I'll just ask you to look at that piece (again?), perhaps check out the overall sim results, and move things along. Yes, Gary is good and a nice budget pick. Neeeeext! CHARIZARD Fire Spin/Wing Attackᴸ | Dragon Claw & Blast Burnᴸ/Overheat Lotta options here (which we'll cover presently), but however you slice it, Charizard is a force in this format. Any of the move combinations listed above will net you all Grasses and Bugs that don't chuck rocks (AKA Cradily and Tangrowth, and Crustle, Armaldo, and Vespiquen), basically all Steels but the Magneboys, Empoleon, and Aggron, all the Fairies, and then things like Toxicroak, Obstagoon, Gallade, Gliscor, Snorlax, A-Muk and others. But what you get on top of that varies depending on moves and Shadow or no Shadow. Everything listed so far comes with the standard Fire Spin/Dragon Claw/Blast Burn set. But for the differences... well, I'll try and keep this brief:
Shadow Zard with FS/DC/BB also wins against Shadow Machamp, Drifblim, Magnezone, Poliwrath, and Tangrowth, losing only Gengar among wins you get with non-Shadow FS/DC/BB.
Shadow Zard with Overheat rather than Blast Burn gets Gengar back, and Honchkrow and regular Zard on top of that, but loses Poliwrath and Toxicroak.
Legacy Wing Attack with Claw and Burn not surprisingly does better against Fighters than Fire Spin, beating Poliwrath and Shadow Machamp, as well as the mirror vs FS Zard, whereas it loses Gengar, Gliscor, and A-Muk, all which FS is able to beat. On paper, Overheat is strictly better, gaining Gliscor and very close wins over A-Muk and Typhlosion, but I do worry about the nerfing that comes with using Overheat.
Shadow Wing Attack/BB Zard adds Gengar and Gliscor back, and beats regular Machamp, Feraligar, and even Dragonite! It's a strict upgrade over non-Shadow WA Zard. Overheat instead of Blast Burn saves you an Elite Charged TM and is very similar, though with the downside of slashing Zard's Attack, which is the whole point of using Shadow Zard in the first place.
TOLD you there were numerous differences! Good luck finding the best fit for your team, because if you're considering a Fire type, Zard looks to be the best of the lot in this format, and one of the more versatile Pokémon overall. TYPHLOSION Shadow Claw | Blast Burnᴸ & Solar Beam/Overheat Typhlosion is a little better in Master League Premier, but here with more Grasses and Bugs around for Zard to double resist, Typh falls back just a hair. It's still just fine, don't get me wrong, and the persistent threat of Solar Beam is very real and demands respect from Waters and Muds. It also manages to get things like Lapras and Empoleon that Zard can only dream of, and typically beats Zard in the head to head. But you don't get Snorlax or A-Muk or Fighters like Zard can. Typh is fine as a Fire type, but just doesn't have the same versatility as Zard does beyond that. BLAZIKEN Counter | Blaze Kick & Blast Burnᴸ/Stone Edgeᴸ/Brave Bird Whereas here, you get some of that versatility back, but less reliable Fire-type usage, with Blaze losing to things Fires should get like Gallade, Sceptile, Magnezone, and of course all the Charmers. But what you gain are wins over both Zard and Typh and of course anything weak to Counter, like Lapras, Snorlax, and BIG win over Obstagoon. You can also really keep the opponent guessing with your KO charge move, as Blast Burn, Stone Egde, and even the resurgent Brave Bird all perform very similarly overall, the only big difference between them (at the 1000 foot level, at least) being that Burn beats A-Muk and Edge and Brave instead can get Blastoise. But there's a LITTLE more to it than that, with Blast Burn being the best neutral damage, Edge scaring away Flyers, and Brave Bird having nice applications against Fighters (and general neutral coverage, while still synergizing with Fire damage against Grasses and Bugs, not to even mention the surprise factor. Who even remembers that Blaze has Brave Bird? I bet you didn't until now! And of course, it has the added benefit of NOT being a Legacy/Exclusive move.... 🤔 OBSTAGOON Counter | Night Slash & Any Speaking of Counter users, Goonie tears things up even with just one charge move! You get all kinds of goodies, from things weak to Fighting (Snorlax, Magnezone, Empoleon, Abomasnow, Lapras, etc.) and weak to Night Slash (Drifblim, Gengar, etc.) and even outrace and outdamage Electivire, Honchkrow, and mighty Dragonite. All three other moves make an argument for being your cheap 10k dust unlock, with Cross Chop getting the mirror and the popular Gunk Shot beating Meganium and threatening many other things. But one wild idea is to shoot for the stars with Hyper Beam, which--with a proper setup from Night Slash--can also take down Meg, plus Milotic, Gliscor, and Alolan Muk too. Pick your pleasure and go to town with this budget warrior. ALOLAN GOLEM Volt Switch | Stone Edge & Rock Blast/Wild Charge Admittedly, Rock types look rather rough at this level. There are still plenty of Waters and Grasses and Fighters around to hold them down. But Alolan Golem is no ordinary Rock, as it totes the awesome Volt Switch to answer back against (most) Waters and carries a couple of rock solid (haha I so funny) Rock charge moves. Put that all together and you get a Pokémon that can beat the Charmers, Bugs, Flyers (Drifblim, Dragonite, Honchkrow, etc.), Ices (Aboma, Lapras, and so on), Fires, many of the most prominent Waters (Blastoise, Empoleon, Milotic, etc.), and Gengar if you play it properly. Not a bad little budget option for the back end of a team. I personally recommend both Rock charges, but going with Wild Charge can gain you Gallade and Toxicroak if you build up two Charges and fire them back to back, but you lose some Charmers and Aboma, which is not a trade I think is worth it without exactly the right team built around A-Golem. CRUSTLE Smack Down | X-Scissor & Rock Slide Quite simply: underrated. Practically unrated. But little Crustle is a potent force here, terrorizing Flyers and Grasses and Ices and Charmers and Poisons and Fires alike. Yes, you need to stay clear of Water and Fighting and Mud and the odd Steel that pops up here or there, but if the rest of your team can handle those, Crustle can surprisingly plug a lot of holes. Don't overlook it! STARAPTOR Wing Attack | Close Combat & Brave Bird The recent tweak to Brave Bird (big damage increase, but a -3 Defense debuff to go along with it) is part curse, but definitely part blessing for fringy options like Raptor. Good thing it already has an impressive body of work with the slightly-easier-to-swallow Close Combat, taking out Steels and Normals and Darks like no Bird should be able to. Brave Bird is cheap to add and brings new wins over things like Milotic and Gliscor, but it's nice that Staraptor doesn't have to rely on it that often. That is the best way to make things with Brave Bird truly work... break that glass only in case of emergency. CLEFABLE Charm | Meteor Mash & Psychic/Moonblast On one hand, the cheapest Charmer you can get, with the second move costing only 10k dust, but on the other, the most expensive, since Clefable has to be maxed. Some of you have done it already though, so if you have, yes, it works pretty well here, beating all the Fighters and Darks and Dragons as you'd expect, and conveniently emerging victorious over the other Charmers as well, and even things like Drifblim, Electivire, and Tangrowth that give other Charmers (Togekiss especially) some real trouble. Clefable is even a good Best Buddy candidate, potentially picking up new wins over Snorlax and Abomasnow in the process (assuming you have top notch IVs, at least). Do as you want with the charge moves... if all goes well, you won't need them until you finish off the first 'mon faced with Charm anyway, so go with whatever coverage you want most after that. The moves themselves are a small dust investment, remember!
50,000 Dust/50 Candy
TOGEKISS Charm | Aerial Ace/FlamethroweAncient Power May as well stick with Charm for a minute more. Togekiss reigns supreme in Master, and while here it is certainly much more affordable than Clefable, it's not quite as good either. You'll still get all the normal Charmer things, sure, but you don't get the same breadth of wins you do with Clefable, and lose harder to many things that handle Fairies (with the exception of Toxicroak... so close!). Use it if you got it, or if you (understandably) just don't have the budget for Clefable, just know you're not getting quite 100% out of it like you do in Master League Premier. But 90% is still quite good! And yes, GRANBULL is just another small step down from there. If you can't do Clefable, but want to, I'd recommend Kiss first and Bull only as a last resort, personally. MAGNEZONE Spark | Wild Charge & MIrror Shot Again, not quite the force it was in Master League Premier Cup, and leans rather heavily on Mirror Shot baits, but if you have a good feel on Zone already, then yes, the potential is certainly there here as well. Fairies and Flyers and Dragons and even most Waters and Grasses and even Fires want nothing to do with it, and it DOES do better when baits fail than it does in Master League. But Zone requires precise timing and logging some practice time to get right, so if you want to use it but haven't yet, then it's time to quick go get some practice in! Go go go! TANGROWTH Vine Whip | Rock Slide & Power Whip/Solar Beam This is one of the lower win totals in this article, but there are two reasons I am including Tangrowth anyway. First, it does all the typical Grass things you would expect AND can beat stuff like Charizard, Drifblim, and Scizor thanks to the wonder of Rock Slide, a scary weapon for any Grass to wield. But it also gets a nicer boost than most from having ideal IVs, getting things like Sceptile, Clefable, and even the likes of Magnezone! Grasses simply shouldn't be able to do some of the things Growth can. ABOMASNOW Powder Snow | Energy Ball & Weather Ball (Ice) The current elephant in the room since the move rebalance to kick off GBL Season 3, and yes, "Obama" should be just as prevalent--and just as scary--in Ultra League as it has been in Great League. It is NOT meta-stomping overpowered or anything, but it CAN dominate if left unchecked. You beat it with Fighters, Fires, Poisons, and kinda with Steels, and have a rough time with just about everything else. Plan accordingly. Oh, and unlike in Great League, I would argue that Shadow Aboma is worse here, gaining Gallade but losing Granbull, Empoleon, and potentially even Swampert, which is ungood. My advice: save your dust and just build a normal one if you plan to scream "YES WE CAN" and follow Obama into battle yourself. TENTACRUEL Poison Jab | Acid Spray & Hydro Pump/Blizzard The only Water that I recommend among the 50ks, Tentacruel, as always, lives and dies by Acid Spray. With good baiting, the potential for success is quite high, with Fairies, Fighters, Waters, Bugs, Fires, and even many Grasses going down. But if baits fail, Tentacthulhu doesn't fall completely off a cliff, but it starts to struggle, especially against those Fighters and Fires. This is another one that requires some finesse and good timing, but if you're comfortable with Tenta already, you can put it to good use here. BTW, Hydro Pump gets the Steely Bugs, while Blizzard can net things like Drifblim, so choose what suits your team best. MUK Poison Jab | Thunder Punch & Dark Pulse/Sludge Wave No, not the Alolan one, the regular one. Electric moves are good in this meta, so having Thunder Punch is a boon to Muk here, helping bring home wins like Milotic, Blastoise, and Poliwrath in addition to the normal Poison role of curbstomping Faires, Grasses, and (most) Fighters. It even beats Dragonite! As for the second move, Dark Pulse uniquely beats Charizard and Shadow Abomasnow and is, in my opinion, a little more reliable and flexible overall, but you can't argue against anybody that prefers Sludge Wave and its knockout blow potential, which can uniquely lead to victory over Machamp, Obstagoon, and Shadow Snorlax. (And no, Shadow Muk is not appreciably better. ALOLANMUK Snarl/Poison Jab | Dark Pulse & Sludge Wave Okay, now the Alolan one. It's very, very solid here as well, continuing the abuse of Grasses and Fairies, but swapping K-Muk's Fighter hate (and much of its success against Waters) for Ghost (Drifblim, Gengar) and Psychic (Gallade) abuse instead. It also better cracks the shells of Steels, beating Ferrothorn and Scizor (K-Muk could not) thanks to Snarl, but if you shed those two and Shadow Abomasnow, you can run with Poison Jab instead and pick up Milotic and the mirror (the latter just by superior fast move damage). Either way, BOTH Muks are solid contributors in this meta and should find their way on to teams. GENGAR Shadow Claw | Shadow Punchᴸ & Shadow Ball Here we go, your first chance to log some serious playing time with new-fangled Gengar. And how does Haunter 2.0 look in Ultra Premier? Pretty darn good! It rips through stuff just as Haunter does in Great League and cares little about typing of the opponent. If it doesn't resist Ghost (Goonie, Honch, Snorlax, Shiftry, A-Muk) or just outrace it with its own spammy damage (Aboma, Zone, Swampert, Zard, Scizor, Lapras, etc.), it's going to have a very hard time dealing with the blitzkreiging Gengar... even prominent Confusion user Gallade falls before it! Expect to see Gengar quite a lot. TOXICROAK Counter | Mud Bomb & Sludge Bomb Speaking of something to expect to see a lot of, I present Exhibit C. Toxicroak maxes at a sweet spot just below 2500 CP, and is an unholy terror in Ultra League, and Premier Cup in particular. I really don't even have anything else to say... just marvel at that list of wins and then ask yourself: while it's obviously worth it to max one out, is it worth it for YOU to max one out? Only you can answer that. MACHAMP Counter | Rock Slide & Cross Chop/Close Combat Much cheaper to build than Toxicroak, and while not quite as versatile, Rock Slide still makes Champ as solid a Fighter as they come. It does all the Fighting stuff you'd want from it, and then goes out and can beat stuff like Charizard and Dragonite too with Cross Chop baiting out Rock Slides. Alternatively, you can go for pure power with Close Combat, dropping Nite, Electivire, Scizor, and Honchkrow to instead beat Blastoise, Milotic, Meganium, and BIG prize Swampert. Just tread lightly... remember that Close Combat is a double edged sword with its built-in nerfing. 😬 Oh, and as for Shadow Champ, it is strictly worse with Close Combat, but with Cross Chop, it's not really better or worse than regular Champ, just different, losing Dragonite and Electivire but gaining Heracross, Blastoise, Milotic, and the big one: SW Swampert. Not a "thrifty" option though, that's for sure! HERACROSS Counter | Close Combat & Megahorn Sort of a different flavor of Machamp, trading in Champ's ability to hurt Flyers (which Heracross wants NOTHING to do with) to instead hate harder on Grasses thanks to Megahorn, beating them all much more easily and taking out Venusaur as well (Machamp cannot). Heracross also beats Champ and most other Fighters head to head thanks to a handy resistance to Fighting damage. Toxicroak and Machamp understandably get all the press, but Heracross is RIGHT there too and is a better fit on the right team. If you have one available in your Pokémon storage, don't overlook it! Fighting types in general make great contributors in this meta, so much so that even HARIYAMA and things like PRIMEAPE, SCRAFTY, and in other second move cost categories, HITMONCHAN and LUCARIO, but they generally take a back seat to the ones discussed above. But there is one more worth specific mention: POLIWRATH Mud Shot/Bubble | Dynamic Punch & Ice Punch Less of a pure Fighter and more of a multi-faceted threat, as always. Handles some typical Fighter tasks very well--Lapras, Empoleon, Obstagoon, Snorlax, A-Muk, Shiftry, etc.--while taking on unusual tasks like beating Dragonite, Gliscor, Drifblim, Charizard, and most of its fellow Waters. Bubble is a very viable option too, giving up close wins versus Shadow Aboma and Ferrothorn to gain wins against normal and Shadow Machamp. ESCAVALIER Counter | Drill Run & Megahorn Not truly a Fighter but certainly sharing many characteristics thanks to Counter, Escav has already established itself as a potent threat in Ultra League, and that's very true in Premier Cup. While it loses to the other true Fighters, Escav shares most of their other wins, and is much harder on Grasses (beating basically all of them) and also Charmers, with the sole exception of Flying Togekiss. It's a different and eclectic spread of wins... give that list a look over and see if that perhaps works better for your team than a more traditional Fighter. HONCHKROW Snarl | Sky Attack & Brave Bird Honch was a tad underrated previously, but with the recent changes to Brave Bird and the crazy fast energy generation of Snarl, Krow now reaches new heights. It crushes Grasses and Bugs and Grounds, beats prominent Fighters like Toxicroak and Heracross and Poliwrath, and even takes out juicy targets like Dragonite, Charizard, Snorlax, Typhlosion, Gengar and others. There are obviously some things it needs to steer clear from (Ices, Electrics, Charmers), but not much else scares it too much.
75,000 Dust/75 Candy
I am going to try to cover these a bit more succinctly, as I have a Reddit character limit to account for AND these are obviously not thrifty picks anymore. So strap in for the final push! DRAGONITE Dragon Breath | Dragon Claw & Hurricane/Draco Meteorᴸ You either plan to use it or you don't, so I won't try to convince you either way. So I'll just mention that you for sure want/need Dragon Claw, and beyond that,Draco Meteor wins the mirror and beats Honchkrow, while Outrage instead gets close wins over Escavalier and Empoleon. Shadow Nite is slightly worse at this level, with Outrage uniquely beating A-Muk and Meteor winning Gallade instead. Choose accordingly, if you have the liberty of having a choice. SNORLAX Lick | Body Slam & Superpower Another carryover from Master Premier, and as is the case there, normal Snorlax is quite a good generalist, but Shadow Lax is almost strictly better, losing Lapras and Granbull but gaining Milotic, Obstagoon, Gallade, Blastoise, Heracross, Sceptile, Shiftry, AND Venusaur. You want to use Snorlax, then I think you know what must be done. Stardust is meant to (eventually) be spent in large chunks anyway, right? You're looking a little over a 200k investment to level up and add the second move. DRIFBLIM Hex | Icy Wind & Shadow Ball Honestly, Blim is a little more hype-worthy in open Ultra League for its ability to beat Cress, Gira-A, Regi, and A-Mewtwo. But it's certainly just fine in Premier, basically filling a rather standard Flyer role but able to also defeat stuff like Zard, Gallade, Gliscor, Nite and more. And it's also quite popular right now, so you can expect to run across it at some point. Study those win/losses and be prepared! LAPRAS Ice Shardᴸ | Surf & Blizzard/Ice Beamᴸ Again, there's not much to say about Lapras at this point that you don't already know. So what you likely don't know… Blizzard looks best here, getting wins over Ferrothorn, S-Swampert, Blastoise, Milotic, and the mirror versus Ice Beam Lapras, which loses all of those and gets only close wins over Meganium and Tangrowth as compensation. Don't TM Ice Beam away, because it IS a Legacy move, but if you want Lapras here, it's likely with the recently buffed Blizzard, over even the Skull Bash that's better in Great League. MILOTIC Waterfall | Surf & Blizzard/Hyper Beam Another that potentially benefits from the buff to Blizzard, a threat that Grasses and Dragons and such have to respect with shields. However, it is actually Hyper Beam that shows more wins on paper by giving Milly an advantage over opposing Waters and wins vs Blastoise and the mirror match. Milotic isn't quite the revelation she was in Master Premier, but she's still perfectly viable here if you like using it. ELECTIVIRE Thunder Shock | Wild Charge & Ice Punch/Thunder Punch Yet another popular carryover from Master League Premier, here are the key points with Vire: while it is usually best to use the self-nerfing Wild Charge sparingly, Vire needs it badly to achieve a passable performance... it is VERY limited without it. And second point: while Ice Punch will surely be popular--and should be!--Vire is arguably a bit steadier overall with Thunder Punch instead (remember that Electric is pretty good here) and the only meta win Ice gets that Thunder does not is Gliscor. So solid are Electrics that you can legit consider AMPHAROS as well. It can't get Dragonite, but it crushes the other Flyers and Waters while Focus Blasting stuff like Ferrothorn, Shiftry, Zone, Goonie, A-Muk, and even Snorlax into oblivion. GLISCOR Wing Attack | Night Slash & Earthquake On paper, the "best" moveset includes super spammy Fury Cutter and Sand Tomb setting up big crushing Earthquakes. But it is SO bait dependant that it cannot be trusted. Instead, use Wing Attack and Night Slash, which gets you the Fighters and Steels and many Grasses you care about anyway, and then Earthquake puts on the finishing touch against stuff like Clefable, Ferrothorn, A-Muk, and Obstagoon. GALLADE Confusion | Leaf Blade & Close Combat You may or may not have noticed that this is the ONLY Confusion user on the list. The reason why is pretty simple: the rest all stink, and Gallade does not. It has an impressive package, with Confusion rolling over opposing Fighters and big Poisons like Gengar and Venusaur, STAB Close Combat ripping through Ices and Darks and many Grasses that don't resist Fighting damage, and Leaf Blade obviously bringing the Water hate. Putting it all together can net things like Snorlax too. Gallade seems perennially underrated... don't make that mistake. You may not use it, and that's fine, but you better be prepared when it comes knocking on an opposing team. It can catch a lot of players--and their Pokémon--completely off-guard. There ARE a few more "quick hit" mons that just didn't fit that I will put in comments (so see below), but otherwise... that’s a wrap! As with all my articles, take all of this with a grain of salt. I am not trying to persuade you on using any one 'mon or any one team, and of course everybody’s dust situations are different. But perhaps this can help you balance the cost of where to save yourself some hard-earned dust (and candy!). Until next time, you can always find me on Twitter for near-daily PvP analysis nuggets, or Patreon with an exclusive tie-in Discord server you can access to get straight through to me. And please, feel free to comment here with your own thoughts or questions and I'll try to get back to you! Thank you for reading! I very much appreciate you taking the time, and sincerely hope this helps you master Premier Cup, and in the most affordable way possible. Best of luck, and catch you next time!
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