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Introduction

As fans we know sports are unpredictable, yet we spend countless hours defending, discussing, and arguing our points about how we believe the future will go. On Saturday night all the hours of “Manny will score the knockout” and “Chris Algieri couldn’t punch his way out of a wet paper bag” and “Manny Pacquiao is not Ruslan Provodnikov” will be put to rest. Chris Algieri will get his chance to live out a real life Rocky tale, while Manny Pacquiao will look to add another young and prime feather to his collection. On Sunday, things that seem impossible today could be glaringly obvious. We’ve seen it happen before with both fighters. For Algieri, it was the time he walked out of a lion’s den. For Pacquiao, it was defeating giants. Saturday is that impossible opportunity for Algieri. For Pacquiao, it’s another fight.

The Fight

Algieri entered his fight against Ruslan Provodnikov as a sacrificial lamb. It wasn’t that Algieri had done anything special to earn his shot against the WBO junior welterweight champion, instead it was that he was the only guy who’d been up for the challenge. Provodnikov had just beaten Mike Alvarado to a pulp and few wanted to take the risk that Provodnikov posed. Except Algieri. When Alfieri’s credentials were read, many scoffed. Algieri stood as the underdog whose face was prettier than his boxing record. Surely this former kick boxer who’d never fought outside of his native New York was in way over his head… but he did have an undefeated record and could move some tickets in the area. As the fight approached the criticism of Algieri’s selection as Provodnikov’s next meal died down. Fans accepted Algieri once statements were made by other junior welterweights. The general sentiment seemed to be that Algieri was the best we were going to get before we started bringing Mexican legends out of retirement. Anyone who looked closely into this Algieri would have seen the writing on the wall. Algieri was exactly the kind of fighter that you’d choose to beat Provodnikov. A guy that would never resort to fighting Provodnikov’s fire with fire of his own. Rather, Algieri was a disciplined tactician that would punish Provodnikov each time he made a mistake. On the night of the fight, Algieri did exactly what was projected. He beat Ruslan Provodnikov and with the shrinking pool of Top Rank opponents he was selected as Manny Pacquiao’s November opponent.

The Catchweight

Part of the official fight details includes a 144 lb. catchweight. Pacquiao is no stranger to catchweights. He last fought at a catchweight in 2011. It was also for 144 lbs. against archenemy Juan Manuel Marquez. Other catchweight opponents for the Filipino star include his encounters with Antonio Margarito and Miguel Cotto. All signs indicate that Pacquiao has had no trouble dropping down to the contracted weight. Algieri will be coming up from 140, though he’s officially weighed as high as 143 1/2 pounds as recently as July of 2013.

The Tale of the Tape

Manny Pacquiao	vs.	Chris Algieri
56(38)-5-2	RECORD	20(8)-0
35	AGE	30
145.4 lbs.	LAST 5 AVG WEIGHT	142.1 lbs.
5’6 1/2”	HEIGHT	5’10”
23”	REACH	22”
Filipino	ETHNICITY	American
General Santos City, Philippines	HOMETOWN	Huntington, NY
3(0)-2	LAST 5	5(1)-0
22	# OF TITLE FIGHTS	1
17(8)-3-2	RECORD IN TITLE FIGHTS	1(0)-0

The Fighters

Chris Algieri

Born and raised in Huntington, New York, Chris Algieri is 30 years old. If you’ve seen the 24/7 episode, you likely know that Algieri lives in his parents basement. Algieri began his professional combat career as a kickboxer. He amassed a 20-0 record that included a couple of world titles before moving onto boxing. Algieri also has a Bachelors and Masters degree to add to his accolades, which also include wrestling and martial arts.

Manny Pacquiao

Chris Algieri isn’t the only one who can multi-task. Manny Pacquiao is the 35-year-old boxepolitician/basketball head coach/point guard/snooker expert/fatheweight loss motivator and family man who remains one of the premier fighters in all of boxing. His story is now legend. He began as a minimumweight who kept rocks in his pocket to make weight and now sits atop the boxing world as one of the biggest stars in the sport.

The Interesting Bits

• Algieri held titles at 147 and 154 pounds as a kick boxer. Can you guess which other former world champion held a kickboxing title before becoming a professional prizefighter?
• This will be the 19th pay-per-view that Manny Pacquiao has headlined.
• Despite being 30 years old, Algieri isn’t a fighter with a lot of miles on him. He didn’t turn pro until he was 24 years old.
• After losing to Floyd Mayweather, Oscar De La Hoya was tasked with choosing his next opponent for a mega fight. His first choice was Ricky Hatton. Hatton was offered the fight and rejected because he would not have enough time to get in shape for the fight. The other two options were Miguel Cotto (if he got past Antonio Margarito) and Manny Pacquiao. De La Hoya vs. Pacquiao was signed with an undercard that featured Juan Manuel Lopez, Victor Ortiz, Danny Jacobs, Danny Garcia, and the can man himself Adrien Broner.
• Prior to Algieri facing Ruslan Provodnikov, Robert Garcia had picked Chris Algieri to pull off the upset. While some laughed at the pick, Garcia had seen Algieri live and in person when Algieri spent a couple of weeks in two separate camps training with Garcia. Algieri was able to spar both Brandon Rios and Marcos Maidana during his time there giving Garcia a good sense for how he would do against Provodnikov.
• When Pacquiao moved up to super featherweight to face Mexican legend Erik Morales we first learned of Manny’s love of his Cleto Reyes gloves. In this fight Manny’s then promoter negotiated quickly with Morales’ camp in order to secure the fight (and payday.) In the negotiation, he accepted whatever gloves Morales wanted. Morales’ preference was Winning Gloves. Winning Gloves are sometimes nicknamed as pillows because of the extra protection they offer to fighters with less durable hands. That would be the last time Pacquiao would taste defeat for a long time. Morales would consistently beat the one-dimensional Pacquiao to the punch, while taking everything the southpaw could throw at him. Pacquiao was very upset. He claimed he didn’t want to use the Winning gloves and if he fought Morales again with his gloves, he’d surely knock him out. Morales, perhaps laughing, said okay let’s do it again. We’ll use your type of gloves and I’ll beat you again. Morales would regret that. In the 2nd round of their 2nd fight, Pacquiao sent Morales flying across the ring with only the ropes keeping him from landing in the 3rd row. Again, in the 6th the referee would hold him up from being knocked down officially. The end would come in the 10th when the fight was stopped. Pacquiao was right. The rubber match would ultimately be a bring-your-own-gloves match with Pacquiao in his beloved Reyes’ and Morales in his pillows. Pacquiao would put him away much quicker in the finale.
• Algieri got his start as a boxer due to the lack of quality kickboxing sparring partners. Most guys he found to spar with were boxers. As Algieri held his own against them, trainers began to compliment Algieri on his skill. As he improved as a boxer it became a logical step for him to transition from kickboxing to boxing.
• It's unlikely that Algieri is looking past Manny Pacquiao, but he once stated that his dream fight would be Amir Khan.
• Algieri’s ultimate goal is two-fold. One is to win a world title—which he’s accomplished—and the other is to become a doctor. Should Algieri beat Pacquiao, it might be time to consider giving him a doctorate in boxing.
• Algieri’s preferred emphasis when he becomes a doctor is cardiology. He’s said he’d like to be a ringside physician in the future. It’s one way to get easy access to all the best fights.
• Algieri, being 50% Argentine, is fluent in Spanish. (The other 50% is Italian.)

The Trainers

Manny Pacquiao - Freddie Roach

The tale of Manny Pacquiao and Freddie Roach’s legendary collaboration is as much a story of fate as any great love story. Pacquiao was a twice beaten, wild, and a gifted offensive fighter without any defense to show for it when his manager brought him to America. He brought Pacquiao specifically to the Wild Card Boxing Club in West Hollywood, California on a mission to find Pacquiao a proper trainer. Freddie Roach agreed to work out Pacquiao and after 1 round of mitt work, Roach said, “this kid can fight.” That’s where it all began. They officially began in the ring as a late fill in against IBF super featherweight Lehlo Ledwaba. Pacquiao, unknown to the American public, would devastate Ledwaba. Ledwaba would taste the canvas, suffer a broken nose, and ultimately finish the fight on his back. Roach is 54 and a former prizefighter himself. He was an all-action, blood and guts featherweight who became known for his ability to absorb punishment. Roach trained under Eddie Futch, a legend in his own regard, and cites Futch as the source of much of his own success as a trainer. As a trainer, Roach has amassed one of the deepest talent pools in all of boxing. He currently trains WBO welterweight champion Manny Pacquiao, lineal and WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto, former WBO junior welterweight champion Ruslan Provodnikov, Zou Shiming, Antonio DeMarco, Lucian Bute, Ik Yang, rising prospect Frankie Gomez as well as a slew of other young fighters. If you follow the NBA, the best comparison for a Roach fighter would be the 2007 Phoenix Suns. Roach, like Mike D’Antoni, is an offensive mastermind. His fighters are often dazzling and destructive in the ring. To cover up defensive flaws, Roach creates more offense and attacking to hide his fighter’s flaws. Most notably you can see this with Amir Khan. Until Khan faced Danny Garcia, Khan looked unstoppable and like the defensive lapses that led to his first knockout loss were erased. Post-Roach, Khan looks vulnerable and always on the verge of something terrible happening if he isn’t allowed to smother his opponent.

Chris Algieri - Tim Lane & Keith Trimble

Algieri’s association with Tim Lane began 13 years ago. Algieri started as a sparring partner for Lane, who fought his way off the streets and into a more stable life. Keith Trimble was Lane’s trainer who began working with Algieri in his final fights as a professional kick boxer. Trimble and Lane are the two-headed monster behind Algieri, but because Algieri is still relatively unknown, they're a monster we still haven't seen in full light. Saturday the lights will go on and we’ll see if they are a terrifying duo of martial arts wisdom and discipline or a monster with a visible zipper. What do know from watching Algieri in the ring is that they have an intelligent fighter who uses his natural advantages to be successful. Algieri still has flaws, like his tendency to square up and fight when he should box behind his jab, but thus far the duo have guided Algieri to success. Saturday should reveal a lot about them. If they were an NBA coach, we’d compare them to Steve Kerr. Kerr is off to a hot start with his first gig as a coach. He’s got his team playing tremendous defense with a very potent brand of offense, but it’s still far too early to tell just how good of a coach he is.

Purses

Official purses have yet to be released, though Bob Arum has stated that Manny Pacquiao is earning a minimum of $20 million dollars for Saturday’s fight. For Algieri, the rumored amount is $1.5 million with upside for pay-per-view. In the same interview that Arum stated that Pacquiao would be earning $20 million, he stated that Algieri’s camp in general would earn $2.75 million.

Compubox

• The 474 total landed punches by Manny Pacquiao on Antonio Margarito ranks 11th as the most punches landed all-time in a fight tracked by Compubox.
• Pacquiao lands 34% of his total punches. His opponents land 25%. Landing one in four punches may seem like a lot, but it’s good enough to be rated the 11th most elusive fighter in all of boxing.
• Pacquiao ranks 4th as the most accurate power puncher in the sport.
• Sorry for the lack of Compubox info, but they've put up a paywall for their stats.

The Odds

Fighter	Bovada	Bet365	GamblersPalace	SkyBet
Manny Pacquiao	-750	-1000	-800	-1200
Chris Algieri	+475	+600	+575	+650

For a comparison of where Algieri ranks amongst previous opponents, here are Pacquiao's last 4 opponents:

• Marquez III +500
• Rios +300
• Marquez IV +225
• Bradley II +182

If you're unfamiliar with a Vegas money line, what this means is that if you were betting $100, you'd win the amount above. So if you bet Marquez to win outright in their fourth encounter, Vegas would have paid you $225.
On the reverse, if you are betting a favorite, or if you were betting on Pacquiao beating Algieri outright, you'd have to bet 700 dollars on Bovada to win 100 dollars.
Another note is that Algieri was anywhere from +375 to +575 heading into his match with Ruslan Provodnikov.
Your Best Bet
There’s very little value in any bet other than Algieri by decision. Its unlikely Algieri can stop Manny Pacquiao, let alone score some miraculous one-punch knockout. It's a safe bet and should yield a solid payout for very little risk.
More in the comments.

BIO

Floyd Mayweather Jr., 36-years-old, out of Grand Rapids, Michigan comes from a fighting family. His father and uncle were professional boxers with the former losing to Sugar Ray Leonard and the latter holding 2 titles in 2 different weight classes. The duo also make up the tandem that has trained Mayweather for his entire professional fighting career. Mayweather, the richest athlete in the world, is also no stranger to trouble. He served time in prison last year for an alleged domestic abuse incident. The time in jail only seemed to refresh him as he came out and delivered a virtuoso performance against Robert Guerrero. For more, read here.
Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is 23-years-old and hails from Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico. He, like Mayweather, is also from a family of fighters as his brothers all fight professionally. Canelo turned pro when he was 15 years old after a brief amateur career. Canelo loves shoes and enjoys horseback riding. He began calling Floyd Mayweather out a few years ago and on September 14th he’ll get what he wished for. For more, read here.

THE FIGHT

Floyd has been neutralizing and disposing of opponents for over 17 years. Once the polite and humble “Pretty Boy Floyd”, he’s since shed that persona and adopted the “Money Mayweather” heel persona. The cocky/villainous/boastful/all about money attitiude he’s transformed into has been talked about as a way to make himself more marketable. It’s worked thus far as fans around the world want to see him knocked out or at the very least beaten. How do we know? He’s the most watched pay-per-view attraction in the world.
Some people think Saul Alvarez is the answer to the Mayweather puzzle. Unlike many of Floyd's recent opponents, Alvarez has very few asterisks next to his name. The two most frequently cited reasons he should lose are his inexperience and his stamina, but at 23 he’s proven that age is just a number because he fights like a man.
The fight was signed on May 29th via Mayweather’s twitter page. His tweet simply said:

I chose my opponent for September 14th and it's Canelo Alvarez. I'm giving the fans what they want. It will be at the MGM Grand.

This on the heels of what many projected were lackluster pay-per-view sales on his fight with Robert Guerrero. No official number was ever released, but many believed the number was far under 900,000 buys.
The fight was agreed at a 152 catchweight, 2 pounds under the Jr. Middleweight limit of 154 at the offer from Canelo’s camp.

COMPUBOX

Canelo is, according to compubox, the leader in highest connect percentage at 42%. Mayweather is not far off with 41% of his punches finding the mark. Mayweather’s opponents land at 17% while Canelo’s opponents land at 24%. This makes them 1 and 2 with the highest plus/minus rating.
Canelo lands on average 20 punches a round. The compubox average is 17.
Floyd Mayweather’s last 10 opponents have landed an average of 7 punches per round.
Canelo and Mayweather are also leaders at power punching connect percentage. Canelo lands 52% of his power punches while Mayweather lands 48%. Mayweather’s opponents land on average 21%.
Mayweather believes in minimal wasted efforts. The compubox average for punches thrown per round is 56. The highest is 97 (Leo Santa Cruz, no surprise) and the fewest is Bernard Hopkins at 40 (he’s older than his punches thrown per round.) Mayweather averages 41 punches thrown per round. Of those 41, 23 are usually power punches.
The numbers prove what we already know when it comes to Floyd. He’s a defensive master who continues to be as efficient as he is rich. What the numbers also prove is that Canelo is deceptively better than most give him credit for. At 23 he’s developed into a mature fighter who has put up numbers that stand with the elite fighters in boxing.
Note: CompuBox numbers are not the be-all end-all, absolutely accurate numbers by which to judge and predict the outcome of fights. A lot of people don't like punch statistics as there is a margin of error associated with them. They are still a decent yardstick with which to compare all boxers.
BoxStats

FIGHTER TRIVIA

Canelo is one of only a few boxers to have a sponsorship deal with a major brand.
Ulises Archie Solis is probably not a fan of Canelo. He claims Canelo broke his jaw.
Floyd Mayweather is only undefeated as a pro. As an amateur his record was 84-6. Certainly someone laid out the plan before Oscar de la Hoya.
Serafim Todorov is the last man to defeat Floyd Mayweather. Albeit, controversially at the 1996 Olympic games.
Canelo's camp claims that Canelo has 10 more wins than he's given credit for. Due to the shoddy record keeping in that area of Mexico, they are unaccounted for. That would make him 52-0.
Some maintain that Mayweather lost to Jose Luis Castillo in their first match. At the end of the fight, Harold Lederman had Castillo winning 115–111. ESPN's Max Kellerman disputed Lederman's scoring, writing in his boxing column: "Harold Lederman, the (HBO) unofficial ringside television judge, gave the third round to Castillo, which I think demonstrates that Mayweather suffers from the same scoring syndrome that afflicted Pernell Whitaker. Mayweather is so seldom hit cleanly in his face, that when a clean shot is landed against him it registers all out of proportion in the observer's mind. Meanwhile, the three clean shots Mayweather just landed against his opponent do not make the same kind of impression".
Canelo fought Carlos Baldomir at a 151 catchweight. Baldomir did not make the 151 limit (Canelo came in at 150.5) and Baldomir was to pay Canelo a penalty fee. Canelo refused to accept the money. What a guy.
Mayweather is no stranger to being the smaller man. On the night of his rematch with Jose Luis Castillo, he was outweighed by 9 lbs.
Canelo has never had a recorded knock-down in a fight. The closest he’s come is in the first round against Jose Miguel Cotto on the Mayweather-Mosley undercard. In his first fight after signing with Golden Boy, Cotto rocked Canelo with a huge sweeping left hook that sent Canelo flying into the ropes. Cotto jumped on him and landed power shots on the hurt Canelo. Canelo would survive the round and go on to beat Cotto keeping his undefeated streak alive.
Carlos Hernandez has the distinction of being the only fighter to have a knockdown against Floyd Mayweather. Mayweather was most notably hurt in the 2nd round against Shane Mosley from a monstrous overhand right. He’s also nearly been dropped by Demarcus Corley in the 4th round of their fight. A huge right hook sent Mayweather backpedaling into the ropes and covering up while Corley threw everything he had at him. In the second round against Zab Judah, Judah landed a check lead hook that sent Mayweather spiraling to the floor. He definitely wasn’t hurt in the way Mosley or Corley hurt him, but the combination of the punch and being off-balance sent him very close to the floor. (to Judah’s credit, Mayweather’s glove did touch the canvas.)
Canelo is only the third undefeated fighter Floyd Mayweather has fought. First undefeated fighter Floyd Mayweather has faced since 2007, Ricky Hatton. Before that, 2001 Diego Corrales.
Floyd debuted at 130. He has ventured all the way to 154. Canelo began his career at 140 lbs.
Canelo holds 2 victories over current lightweight champion Miguel Vazquez.
Floyd and Canelo have 2 past opponents in common. Shane Mosley (both defeated in a wide UD) and Carlos Baldomir (Canelo one-upped Floyd by stopping Baldomir in the 6th, whereas Floyd boxed him to a UD.)

RECORDS

2.52 million pay-per-view buys is the record set by Mayweather-De La Hoya back in 2007. Experts say there’s no shot that this fight can touch that number. Lennox Lewis-Mike Tyson is in second place with 1.97.
The live gate record of $18,419,200, set in 2007 by Mayweather and Oscar De La Hoya, has been shattered as the gate for September 14 will come in at over $19,500,000.

PURSES

Canelo Alvarez will be earning a career-high payday of 12.5 million dollars guaranteed. Assuming the fight goes all 12 rounds, Canelo is set to make $1,041,666 per round. That’s $347,222.22 a minute. That’s $5,787.04 a second.
Floyd Mayweather will be earning 41.5 million dollars. That is all guaranteed. Assuming the fight goes all 12 rounds, Mayweather is set to make $3,458,333.33 per round. That’s $1,152,777.77 a minute. That’s $19,212 a second.

BETTING ODDS

Mayweather opened at roughly a -225 favorite. In perspective, Mayweather was a -185 favorite when he fought Oscar De La Hoya and -165 for the ill-fated match with Manny Pacquiao. For the Miguel Cotto fight, Vegas had Mayweather as a -800 favorite & for the Guerrero match, Mayweather was a -950 favorite. Compare those odds to some other big fights coming up. Pacquiao is around -600 for his fight with Brandon Rios. You can see Vegas thinks Canelo has a better shot at beating Mayweather than Rios does Pacquiao.

ALL ACCESS

All Access is a behind the scenes documentary/reality style series leading up to the fight. There will be 4 episodes total before the fight. Here are the first 2.
Episode 1
[Episode 2](bit.ly/130W4BF)
[Episode 3](bit.ly/15XEEcS)
[Episode 4](bit.ly/18gIaz1)

WHERE TO WATCH

Country	Broadcaster
Australia	Main Event
Hungary	Sport 1
Mexico	Televisa
Panama	RPC-TV
Romania	GSP TV
United Kingdom	BoxNation
USA	Showtime PPV

The fight can also be seen in select movie theaters.

LINKS TO RECENT FIGHTS, & MORE IN COMMENTS

Thank you to Hungry_Freaks_Daddy who was my partner putting this together.

I have some left over stuff I didn't use in the viewing guides and won't be using for anything else so here's one.
These are the most recent betting lines for Manny Pacquiao's opponents. This is the first time in a long time (since he fought De La Hoya) that Pacquiao will enter as an underdog.
If you don't know how money lines work, essentially it works on the one hundred dollar bill. If it's + (as in +100) that means if you bet 100 dollars, you'd get 100 dollars back. If it is - (as in -500) you would have to bet 500 dollars just to earn 100 bucks.

• Chris Algieri +475
• Tim Bradley II +182
• Brandon Rios +300
• Marquez IV +225
• Bradley I +325
• Marquez III +500
• Mosley +500
• Margarito +300
• Clottey lol
• Cotto +220
• Hatton +190
• De La Hoya -165

The interesting thing is that Pacquiao really built his legacy mostly on three fights. He crossed over and became a worldwide icon (and is therefore most fondly remembered) against De La Hoya, Hatton, and Cotto. Surprise surprise, those fights had the closest odds and truly speaks to something about public perception.
Beat someone you're not supposed to beat or someone where the odds are close enough that you can't be 100% certain of one outcome and you can transcend your career.