What is the Illinois tax rate on online sports betting?
I know I'd be paying 25% federally on winnings-losses, but what is the rate for Illinois? I can't find this answer on google. I know Illinois doesn't allow you to deduct your losses but I cannot find the rate itself.
The Chicago Cubs Name DraftKings Their First Official and Exclusive Sports Betting And Daily Fantasy Partner Chicago Cubs and DraftKings Also Plan to Pursue Flagship Retail Sportsbook at Wrigley Field
“DraftKings Inc. (Nasdaq: DKNG) and The Chicago Cubs today announced that they have joined forces to make DraftKings, America’s top rated mobile sportsbook app, the Official Sports Betting and Daily Fantasy Partner of the storied MLB franchise. The multi-year deal includes a plan to pursue a first-of-its-kind sportsbook at the iconic Wrigley Field, with online access available in the surrounding Wrigleyville area. The planned DraftKings Sportsbook at Wrigley Field will include a best in class entertainment experience for sports fans in Illinois. Although sports betting is now legal in Illinois, the development of a retail sportsbook would require approval by the City of Chicago. “This is truly a historic moment, as we are thrilled to align with the renowned Chicago Cubs franchise and iconic Wrigley Field to provide sports bettors in Chicago with a revolutionary sports betting experience,” said Matt Kalish, Co-founder and President, DraftKings North America. “As two organizations that share a mutual passion for innovation and a commitment to excellence, we look forward to working in collaboration with the Cubs, an organization steeped in tradition, and making our presence felt in and around Wrigleyville.” “DraftKings has been a great partner for a number of years and we are excited to expand this relationship as sports betting grows rapidly in Illinois,” said Crane Kenney, President of Business Operations, Chicago Cubs. “An increasing number of sports fans want to integrate sports betting into their game experience, and we’re excited to be one of the first to engage in developing a retail sportsbook at a professional sports venue.”’ http://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/09/03/2088382/0/en/The-Chicago-Cubs-Name-DraftKings-Their-First-Official-and-Exclusive-Sports-Betting-And-Daily-Fantasy-Partner.html
Not Financial Advice (NFA) Warning: Wall of Text. If you hate reading just skim through the bolded/italicized Ever since I publicized my findings on DKNG, the stock has underperformed & probably has fucked a lot of people here, especially given the overly bullish stance back in June. Unless you took my advice & got into Puts then, congrats, welcome to tendie town. For the ADHD retards, here’s what the next wall of text is going to summarize: I believe at the current price of ~$30, the stock is oversold. A tech-focused, high-growth Company that has made sports betting easy to understand with an aesthetically pleasing interface similar to how Robinhood has neatly laid out stock market gimmicks so even high-schoolers can make sense of it I believe, is underpriced at these levels. Let’s get into some details as to why the stock has underperformed: First off, the news slate revolving sports with the rumored delay/cancellation of the MLB season & the NFL watching from the sidelines is in my view, just a part of why the stock has underperformed. We’ll revisit this later in this post, but I want to focus on the drivers of the stock’s recent underperformance, & why these factors are now in the rearview mirror. Part I – The Past Has Passed – SPAC-related Equity Dilution History lesson first: DKNG went public via a SPAC merger, which has exploded in popularity recently. Anyone serious about analyzing stocks going forward needs to do their homework on this, Google is your friend. A feature of most SPAC merger to public listings that creates a headwind to near-term share prices are embedded equity dilution events, usually in the form of earn-outs (stock bonuses to execs, the SPAC sponsor) & conversion of Warrants. On 5/24, the earn-outs were triggered, adding 6m shares to the share count. On 6/26, 16.3m warrants converted to DKNG, netting them ~$188m of cash. Stepping back a little, in addition to the above, on 6/18 DKNG launched a follow-on equity offering of 16M shares @ $40/Share [1], receiving $621M in proceeds. The last part is tricky to understand from a dilution perspective. To simplify, historically it’s almost a coin toss whether a Company’s shares outperform on the onset of an equity offering. While issuing shares does dilute the existing shareholder base, it theoretically shouldn’t, if the proceeds from the offering are earmarked for investments/projects that yield outsized returns. This is the reality for the long term, theory for the short-term. For the short-term, the ‘reality’ isn’t that the proceeds will be used for investments/projects that yield outsized returns, it is more about how convincing management is to investors that the investments they intend to pursue with the proceeds will outweigh the dilutive effects of issuing incremental shares. That’s a mouthful, but hopefully you get what I’m trying to convey. All of this stuff put together – the Company has increased its share count by ~39M, but now has a whopping ~$1.4Bn of cash [2]. More on this in the next section. Part II – MLB News Should Not Fucking Matter & DKNG Is Positioned As the Leading Online/Mobile Sports Platform DKNG should not be so tied to MLB news or any of this shit as the ongoing success of the NBA/NHL season + Soccer in Europe has effectively created a blueprint on how to regulate player behavior so that they maintain professionalism amidst the pandemic. I’m going out on a whim here, but I truly think the MLB threatening a cancellation of the season is pure posturing to get these fuckers to behave appropriately. Maybe a ‘bubble’ is what it takes to get these players to focus on their jobs instead of going out & contracting COVID, but I argue that isn’t necessarily required given Soccer in Europe. So there’s already a proven path here without the need for a bubble in Soccer, so MLB/NFL should be fine, and execs need to study how they got it done in Europe. Okay, back to some facts. Anecdotally, I’ve kept in touch with a handful of sports bookies from California to New York & even internationally about what they’re seeing – all of them say that since the NBA season started on 7/30 & since Soccer (especially the Premier League) resumed in June, along with other leagues like La Liga & Serie A, they’ve seen massive increases in betting. These numbers are also showing up in the official data [3]:
Average % increase in sports betting handle from April 2020 to June 2020 (handle is the total $ wagered in sports bets) from the states that reported up to June 2020 (NJ, PA, MS, RI, WV, IA, IN, NH) of +258%!
Note: NV is left out due to the site I sourced showing a weirdly negative number – so I dug into the official filings & show specifically, Sports Mobile betting growth from June since April has growing by at least +73% [4]
REMEMBER: This is for June only! No NBA, No NHL, No MLB, just Soccer, Golf, NASCAR & UFC. The data clearly shows that there was a ton of pent-up sports betting demand, which leads one Wall St. analyst to think that betting on the NBA/NHL could ABSORB the MLB’s sports betting handle (handle = total $ size of sports bet) [5]. Remember, the MLB season is still ongoing, with games being played. The entire focus is on the Miami Marlins & St. Louis Cardinals. Fucking retards. Additionally, I want to remind everyone that DraftKings.com is the #1 Fantasy sports website in the U.S. [6]. Also, since April 2020 site visitations are up +86% [7] & Google Search Trends for “Draft Kings” is up ~3xcompared to PRE-COVID levels [8]. What does this mean? They are piquing more people’s curiosity than prior to COVID/ongoing slate of sports. This is important because remember that ~$1.4Bn chest full of cash I mentioned DKNG had assembled earlier? Well, that money is being put to work & results are already coming in, which is exactly what DKNG intended to do with it. Part III – Legalization of Sports Betting in the U.S. I could write a fucking bible on this topic alone, but for now we’ll stick to some basics. Due to COVID, it’s easy to understand that each State’s financial situation is clearly in shit. Because of this, you better believe that these guys are going to start taking a hard look at how they can extract additional tax revenues, & what’s one of the easiest ways to do this? Legalization & taxation of gambling. The big players: CA, TX, FL & NY. First, CA pushing its legislation out to 2023 was fucked up, but here’s a twist I want to add to this: Anything that has to do with gambling in CA you better believe is lobbied against by not just the Tribal casino owners in CA, but by the deep pockets of Las Vegas money. Similar thing can be said for FL, but let’s take a look at some actions by LV/nationwide gambling companies that are starting to align financial incentives with guys like DKNG.
MGM / GVC Holdings JV in BetMGM - $450m total invested
PENN invests $163m into BS Sports
Caesars has a 20% stake in William Hill plus partnership deals with The Stars Group (TSG) & our winner DKNG for operating its sports books
So it’s safe to say going forward, nationwide legalization of sports betting will reap rewards for everyone involved, & no longer be something LV money is completely focused on safeguarding. Let’s also not forget that DKNG didn’t become the Company they are today because of their fancy app, but because their management team has a HISTORY of navigating the U.S.’s legal framework to get what they want out of it.
The Crown Jewel – The Internet Gambling Prohibition & Enforcement Act: I said it in a previous post, but I want to emphasize that them getting Fantasy Sports to be labeled a ‘game of skill’ by FEDERAL Law as opposed to gambling is just something for the history books. Fucking genius shit. When this happened I bet every casino from LV to every Indian Tribe that has one was against it, yet DKNG & other DFS providers won.
There’s more, but more recently: Getting into IL:
In IL, there’s an 18-month ‘penalty box’ for Companies that offer DFS to offer sports betting. Our guys at DKNG created a workaround to this situation with their partnership with Casino Queen [9]. DKNG being savvy again.
Chicago Cubs Name DraftKings Their First Official and Exclusive SportsBetting And Daily Fantasy Partner.
Chicago Cubs and DraftKings Also Plan to Pursue Flagship Retail Sportsbook at Wrigley Field “DraftKings Inc. (Nasdaq: DKNG) and The Chicago Cubs today announced that they have joined forces to make DraftKings, America’s top rated mobile sportsbook app, the Official Sports Betting and Daily Fantasy Partner of the storied MLB franchise. The multi-year deal includes a plan to pursue a first-of-its-kind sportsbook at the iconic Wrigley Field, with online access available in the surrounding Wrigleyville area. The planned DraftKings Sportsbook at Wrigley Field will include a best in class entertainment experience for sports fans in Illinois. Although sports betting is now legal in Illinois, the development of a retail sportsbook would require approval by the City of Chicago. “This is truly a historic moment, as we are thrilled to align with the renowned Chicago Cubs franchise and iconic Wrigley Field to provide sports bettors in Chicago with a revolutionary sports betting experience,” said Matt Kalish, Co-founder and President, DraftKings North America. “As two organizations that share a mutual passion for innovation and a commitment to excellence, we look forward to working in collaboration with the Cubs, an organization steeped in tradition, and making our presence felt in and around Wrigleyville.” “DraftKings has been a great partner for a number of years and we are excited to expand this relationship as sports betting grows rapidly in Illinois,” said Crane Kenney, President of Business Operations, Chicago Cubs. “An increasing number of sports fans want to integrate sports betting into their game experience, and we’re excited to be one of the first to engage in developing a retail sportsbook at a professional sports venue.”’ http://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/09/03/2088382/0/en/The-Chicago-Cubs-Name-DraftKings-Their-First-Official-and-Exclusive-Sports-Betting-And-Daily-Fantasy-Partner.html
A not-so-brief rundown of the letters N-Q in Jeffrey Epstein's 'Little Black Book'
Below is a rundown of the letters N-Q under Epstein's contacts. Last year, I wrote about letters A-C. You can check that out here (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/cpis3n/a_brief_rundown_of_the_first_ten_pages_of_jeffrey/). I also wrote about letters D-F on July 5, 2020. You can check that out here (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/hlrba8/a_notsobrief_rundown_of_letters_df_in_jeffrey/). I posted letters G-I on July 13, 2020. You can check that out here (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/hqko0y/a_notsobrief_rundown_of_letters_gi_in_jeffrey/). I posted letters J-L on July 15, 2020. You can check that out here (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/hrq9bg/a_notsobrief_rundown_of_letters_jl_of_jeffrey/). I posted letter M on July 20, 2020. You can check that out here (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/huw0yt/a_notsobrief_rundown_of_the_letter_m_in_jeffrey/). There are some misspelled names. Epstein entered their names like this. I have bolded some of the more interesting connections and information, but there could be much more that I overlooked. I hope something here strikes an interest in someone and maybe we can get more investigations out of this. Please, if you know anything more about any of these people than what is presented here, post below. I am working off of the unredacted black book found here: https://www.coreysdigs.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Jeffrey-Epsteins-Little-Black-Book-unredacted.pdf N Nadler, Emanuel: Businessman involved in mortgage companies. Nagel, Adam: Works at W Nagel, broker and advisor to premier diamond manufacturers, such as De Beers. Nagel, William: Chairman of W Nagel. Diamond merchant. Nardi, Dott M Jacope: No info found. Nastasse, Ilie & Alex: Ilie was one of the best professional tennis players in the ‘70s. He has been accused of inappropriate behavior by Maria Shriver and others, although this refers to classless comments not physical abuse. Ilie is also well-known for his sexual exploits, as it claimed that he has slept with anywhere between 800-900 women. Alexandra is Ilie’s 2nd wife. They were married for 17 years. Negrete, Jelitza: A Countess and descendant of European nobility (http://www.almanachdegotha.org/id197.html). Her family name is Karolyi. I couldn’t find any more info. Neil, Andrew: British journalist and broadcaster. Founding Chairman of Sky TV (owned by Murdoch). Also served as Editor for Rupert Murdoch’s The Sunday Times from ‘83-’94. Later became a contributor to The Daily Mail and just recently had his political program cancelled by the BBC. Neil, Andrew: Same as above. Newman, Hetty: Second wife of the 7th Earl of Caledon. Now divorced. Newman, Mr & Mrs John: John is Hetty’s father. He achieved the rank of Lieutenant in the Royal Horse Guards. He later became a businessman and was director of several companies. Ng, Clive: A media financier and executive. Niarchos, Constantine: Billionaire son of shipping magnate Stavros Niarchos. Was once married to Alessandra Borghese of Italian papal lineage (and black nobility). He was also romantically linked to Koo Stark, Trinny Woodhall, and Kerry Kennedy (daughter of Bobby Kennedy), all of whom are in Epstein’s ‘black book’. Constantine died of an overdose with enough cocaine in his system to kill 25 men (https://www.theguardian.com/theobserve1999/oct/17/life1.lifemagazine7). Nickerson, William & Jayne: William seems to be an architect and interior designer. Jayne is a fashion editostylist who is friends with Naomi Campbell (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-7645409/Jayne-Pickering-asks-expert-designer-wardrobe-actually-nest-egg.html). Her and William are now divorced. Nishio, Yoshi: Former Goldman Sachs trader. Noel, Alix: Socialite married to a wealthy banker. Friend of Allegra Hicks, who has constantly popped up among Epstein’s contacts. Noel, Hon Thomas: Son of Anthony Noel, 5th Earl of Gainsborough. Noel, Vanessa: Luxury shoe designer, hotelier, and gallery owner. Many celebrities are clients of hers. Noha, Cecilia: Possibly meant to be Cecilia Noah, former Miss Sweden (1978). Noonan, Tim: Tax lawyer. Nuttall, Harry: Former Formula One driver turned sports marketing entrepreneur. O’Donnell, Mr Carletto: Financier. Friend of Princess Michael of Kent (King George V’s grandson). O’Neill, Louis: An American diplomat and attorney. Has worked for the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), the Obama administration, the State Department, and as Special Assistant of Russian Affairs for Colin Powell. Oates, Simon: British actor who died in 2009. Oates, Tom: Former investment director at BlackRock, an investment management company. Ojora, Yinka: CEO and/or Director of a number of investing groups in Nigeria. Olsen, Camille: Friend of Ghislaine Maxwell (https://www.gettyimages.co.uk/detail/news-photo/leilani-johnson-donna-dcruz-patricia-vel%C3%A1squez-ghislaine-news-photo/1169681661?adppopup=true). Don’t know much else, but she has been photographed at these high society parties fairly frequently. Omar, Ralph: No info found. Ong BS & Chritina: Christina is a Singaporean hoteliebusinesswoman who is heavily involved with Club 21 (a luxury fashion brand) and COMO Hotels and Resorts. She runs all of the Armani outlets in Britain, as well as the franchises for Donna Karan, Prada, and Bvlgari. Christina and her husband, Beng Seng, are worth $1.9 billion. Ong, Melissa: Christina and BS’s daughter. Oppenheim, Mr Laurie: Oppenheim worked as an executive at Marks and Spencer, a British retail chain, for nearly 30 years. Oppenheim has also served as a Trustee for a children’s charity called… The Honeypot Children’s Charity (https://www.honeypot.org.uk/what-we-do/meet-the-team/#our-trustees) since 1998 (https://uk.linkedin.com/in/laurie-oppenheim-22ab7512?challengeId=AQGP2jc2VAYQXwAAAXN6h0UrQXFHXyzrAP28ks5TK1rXMSHM5kNgtLMIfKERVP65UG0_eg9Az_1EjABS1pQqIpz9a69ZXhKpVw&submissionId=2923537f-6250-2416-4d31-f9585e45dc7b). I wish I was kidding. That’s the actual name. Oppenheim was also one of the attendees of an auction for the children’s charity, KIDS (https://www.tatler.com/gallery/wallace-collection-fundraiser), which is populated with Epstein contacts Rosa Monckton and Liz Hurley, and other high profile people such as David Cameron, Elton John, David Furnish, Cherie Booth, and Cathy Newman. The auction was led by Jacob Rothschild. Other attendees that also appear in Epstein’s contacts include Lady Forte (Allai Forte) and Arpad Busson, one of the potential pedophile ringleaders who I wrote about last year (https://www.reddit.com/conspiracy/comments/cl34ju/arpad_busson_billionaire_businessman_or_possible/). Oppenheim, Ms Marella: This likely refers to the documentary photographer and former journalist of The Guardian. Orchard (Vaughn-Edward), Katie: Catherine is a very close friend of Ghislaine Maxwell’s. She allowed Ghislaine to use her address as the business address for the TerraMar Project, a charity that Maxwell created. Catherine also served as Trustee and co-director of the charity (https://www.tatler.com/article/where-on-earth-is-ghislaine-maxwell). Orlando, Fabrice: CEO of Cocoon Events Management Group, a luxury event planning company based out of Morocco. Osbourne Rachel: British businesswoman who has served as director for several companies. Oswald, William & Arabella: William co-founded Twins (https://twins.org.uk/governance/), a children’s charity that “links UK schools with schools in areas hit by natural disasters and/or need, both for practical support and for cultural understanding” (https://twins.org.uk/). William works as a director at several companies, including Keyspace Self Storage, Bluepod Media, and SG Capital Partners. William’s father is the National Hunt racing adviser to the Queen, and before that, the Queen Mother. Arabella is his wife and the daughter of the 6th Marquess of Exeter. Otto, Beo & Edvige: Not positive. Seems that Edwige works in stock trading in France (if I have the correct person). No info on Beo. Owen Edmunds, Tom & Kate: Kate is a novelist. Her ex-husband, Tom, is a photographer. Oxenberg Christina marc Yaggi: Christina is a writer and fashion designer. Her mother is Princess Elizabeth of Yugoslavia. Her grandparents were Prince Paul of Yugoslavia and Princess Olga of Greece and Denmark. Due to all of the inbreeding between European royals, Christine is a cousin of the Royal Family. Oxenberg used to attend dinner parties at Epstein’s and was also friends with Ghislaine (https://www.townandcountrymag.com/society/tradition/a30222833/christina-oxenberg-instagram-patreon-memoi). Oxenberg intends to talk to the FBI about Epstein and Maxwell (https://www.tatler.com/article/christina-oxenberg-speaks-to-fbi-about-ghislaine-maxwell-and-jeffrey-epstein). Marc Yaggi is Executive Director of Waterkeeper Alliance, where Oxenberg was once a writer. Paini, Nicole: Nicola is a Managing Partner at Rothschild & Co (https://app.mergerlinks.com/people/nicola-paini). Palau, Marcia: No info found, although her address indicates that she is wealthy. Cheyne Walk is a street that politicians, musicians, and celebrities have all called home. Palmer Tomkinson Tara: Socialite and TV personality with tons of A-list contacts. Her family is very close with the Royal Family. Tara was a cocaine addict who eventually died of an ulcer in 2017. Prince Charles was her godfather. Palumbo, Mr James: Baron Palumbo of Southwark is an entrepreneur and a member of the House of Lords. Co-founder of Ministry of Sound nightclub. Major donor to the Liberal Democrats political party. Palumbo, Peter: Father of James (above). Baron Palumbo is a property developer who sat on the House of Lords from 1991-2019. Former polo teammate and close friend of Prince Charles until they had a falling out. Confidant of Princess Diana. Godfather of Princess Beatrice of York, the elder daughter of Prince Andrew. Peter denies ever having met Epstein. Panah-Izadi, Nader & Brigitte: Nader is an investment manager. Brigitte is his wife. Couldn’t find anything else. Pank, Ms Victoria & Alby Carto: No info found. Parker, Jackie: Management consultant who sits on the board of several companies. Also the head of global philanthropy for General Motors. Parsons, Carolina: A Chilean model and model scout who has worked for big name designers. Here she is with her friend, Naomi Campbell (https://twitter.com/caroparsons/status/605883012492886016/photo/1). She can also be seen in a picture with Harvey Weinstein at the bottom of this article (https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/espectaculos-y-tv/notas-espectaculos-tv/2020/06/01/carolina-parsons-niega-tajantemente-conocer-a-epstein-tras-aparecer-en-supuesta-lista-de-contactos.shtml), which posts her claims that she never knew Epstein. Paschan, Elise: Famous poet. Pashcow, Joel: Real estate magnate. He is a past trustee of the Children’s Medical Center at Long Island Jewish Hospital and trustee at ACLD, a charity for developmentally disabled children and adults. He is also on the Board of Directors of the Palm Beach police and fire foundation (https://www.palmbeachpoliceandfirefoundation.org/joel-m-pashcow-bio). Pashcow has flown on Epstein’s jets (https://i.redd.it/hcfoxsb8feb51.png) and has been to pedo island. In fact, Pashcow appears 8 times(!!) on one this released flight log, including once with his wife (https://archive.org/stream/EpsteinFlightLogsLolitaExpress/Jeffrey-Epstein-Flight-Logs-in-PDF-format_djvu.txt). Epstein has 19 entries for Pashcow in his ‘black book’. Here is Pashcow at the Policeman’s Ball, which Trump frequently hosts at Mar-A-Lago (https://westpalmbeach.floridaweekly.com/articles/10th-annual-policemans-ball-mar-a-lago-club-palm-beach/). Pashcow is a ‘Crystal Sponsor’ of the Palm Beach Police Foundation alongside Donald Trump (https://trustedpartner.azureedge.net/docs/pbpolicefoundation2017/news/PBPF_Newsletter_Winter_Spring_2015_TGOFPNMX.pdf). Pashcow, Stacey: Joel Pashcow’s daughter. A luxury real estate agent for The Corcoran Group. Here’s Stacey at a Valentino-hosted luncheon. Ghislaine Maxwell was also in attendance (https://guestofaguest.com/new-york/fashion/valentino-whets-appetite-for-food-and-fashion-at-fallwinter-2009-capsule-collection-preview-luncheon). Pastrana, Andres: Former president of Colombia (1998-2002). His father was president of Colombia from 1970-1974). Pastrana was forced to admit flying on Epstein’s ‘Lolita Express’ after the flight logs were released (https://colombiareports.com/colombias-former-president-on-jeffrey-epsteins-lolita-jet-flight-logbook/). According to this article, Ghislaine Maxwell claims to have flown a Blackhawk helicopter in Colombia and fired a rocket into a terrorist camp (https://observer.com/2002/11/vikram-chatwal-turban-cowboy/). There is no time period for when this supposedly occurred, but it could have happened while Pastrana was president. Patricof, Alan & Susan: Alan is an investor, venture capitalist, and private equity magnate. Patricof served as the national finance chairman for Hillary Clinton’s 2008 campaign (https://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/20/us/politics/20donor.html?scp=19&sq=alan%20patricof&st=cse). From 1990-2016, the Patricofs donated $1,152,637 to Hillary’s campaigns (https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/bundlers). Alan is also a trusted friend of Jared Kushner, Donald Trump’s son-in-law (https://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/29/jared-kushner-inner-circle-confidants-240116), proving once again that PARTISANSHIP IS BULLSHIT. THEY ARE ALL CONNECTED. Susan is his 2nd wife. Her brother, Craig Hatkoff, appears in Epstein’s contacts under ‘H’. Alan and Susan’s son, Jonathan, is President of Tribeca Enterprises, the company that owns and operates the Tribeca Film Festival. Their other son, Jamie, is a TV and movie producer. His wife, Kelly Sawyer Patricof, is the co-founder of Baby2Baby (https://baby2baby.org/who-we-are/#team), a children’s charity that helps children (0-12) living in poverty. Paulson, John: Billionaire hedge fund manager. Pavoncelli, Cosima & Riccardo: Cosima is a socialite and the daughter of Claus and Sunny von Bulow. Her husband, Riccardo, is an Italian banker. Pearson Hon Charles: Son of the Third Viscount Cowdray and owner of the 53,000 acre Dunecht estate. Pease, Simon & Clem: Simon was a successful custodian of the family’s Underley Estate. He was also a High Sheriff of Cumbria. Passed away in 2007. Clementine was his wife. Pedrini Lorenzo: President and co-partner of Fashion Model Management. Pedrini is former Co-President at Next Management, where he was a partner along with Faith Kates and (alleged) pedophile/accomplice/supplier, Jean-Luc Brunel (https://www.thedailybeast.com/jeffrey-epsteins-ties-to-the-modeling-industry-go-much-deeper-than-victorias-secret). Pedrini Tito: Jeweller. Pekeler, Marcus: Communications consultant in Switzerland. Peltz, Harlan: Co-founder of iBorrow, a private commercial real estate lender. Literally lives around the block from Epstein’s NYC mansion. Pennell, Mark: Australian movie produceactor. Perelman, Ronald: Billionaire investor. Perelman hosted a dinner party with Epstein, Bill Clinton, Don Fowler, Don Johnson, and Jimmy Buffett all the way back in 1995, when Clinton was still president (https://www.ntd.com/bill-clinton-dined-with-jeffrey-epstein-in-1995-predating-public-timeline-report_355103.html). Perelman is also a good friend of Donald Trump and has given hundreds of thousands of dollars to his campaign. Lives about a half mile away from Epstein’s NYC mansion. Petangi, Helsius: Son of Ivo Pitanguy, plastic surgeon to the stars. Peters, John: Movie producer and former hairdresser. He produced Superman Returns (2006), which was directed by (alleged) sexual abuser Bryan Singer. In 2011, Peters had to pay a former assistant $3.3 million after finding that she was sexually harassed during production of Superman Returns. Peters married Pamela Anderson earlier this year, but they separated after 12 days. Peterson, Holly: Journalist, novelist, and producer for ABC News. Friends with CNN host (and brother of Governor Andrew Cuomo) Chris Cuomo’s wife (https://pagesix.com/2014/08/22/more-than-1m-in-jewels-on-display-at-hamptons-tea-party/). This is the 2nd connection to the Cuomos in Epstein’s contacts. He has Andrew Cuomo and ex-wife Kerry Kennedy listed as well. Ghislaine attended a party to celebrate one of Holly’s books (https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/ghislaine-maxwell-caryn-zucker-peter-brown-and-barbara-news-photo/1169681635?adppopup=true). Peterson, Riki: Not enough info. Best guess is an investment banker of the same name. Pham Linh-Dan + Andrew: Linh-Dan is a Vietnamese actress. Her husband, Andrew, is an investment banker. Picasso, Olivier & Alice: Olivier is the grandson of Pablo Picasso. Alice is an actress and Olivier’s former fiance. Picciotto, Michael: Vice-Chairman at Engels & Volkers AG, a real estate firm. Former head of global financial activities for UBP, a Swiss private bank owned by Picciotto’s family. Pickering, Jane & William: Jayne is a very famous fashion editor. William is her ex-husband. Pignatelli, Frederico: An Italian prince whose family has “aristocratic ties to Pope Innocenzo XII” (https://federicopignatelli.com/). President, owner, and founder of Pier 59 Studios, the world’s largest photo studio complex. Federico was once accused of sexual harassment by his former assistant, but he was acquitted (https://nymag.com/intelligence2010/08/photography_studio_head_federi.html). Pignatelli also has his own modeling agency which is headed by Brunella Casella, the woman responsible for launching the career of scumbag Naomi Campbell, Cindy Crawford, and others (https://wwd.com/fashion-news/fashion-scoops/industry-model-management-new-york-office-10505934/). Pigozzi, Jean: Heir to the CEO of Simca, a French automaker. Pigozzi is also a photographer and fashion designer. Pigozzi regularly attends The Billionaires’ Dinner (https://www.edge.org/the-billionaires-dinner), where he has been pictured with Paul Allen and Princess Olga of Greece. Other regular attendees include Jeffrey Epstein, Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Sergey Brin, John Brockman, Matt Groening (creator of The Simpsons and pervert who received a foot massage from 16 year old Virginia Giuffre), and Rupert Murdoch. Pigozzi lived about a mile away from Epstein in NYC. Pigozzi is also a good friend of Ghislaine Maxwell’s (https://www.patrickmcmullan.com/photo/1539229). Pittman, Bob & Veronique: Robert is a co-founder of MTV and CEO of MTV Networks. He has also been CEO and/or COO of other big companies such as AOL Time Warner, Clear Channel, iHeartMedia, Six Flags Theme Parks, Quantum Media, and Century 21 Real Estate. Pittman has partied with Ghislaine Maxwell, Katie Ford (read my D-F thread for more on her), and Andre Balazs (https://pagesix.com/2007/04/28/arboreal-fashion/). Pittman has also been the Director of the One to One Foundation, a charity that works with underprivileged children (https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/business/1998/02/15/aols-man-with-a-mission/2e4d88f1-288e-4aa5-86b4-acf68b353954/). His home address and work address are both about a mile from Epstein’s NYC mansion. Veronique is his wife. Pittman, Sandy: Former wife of Robert Pittman (above). Sandy is an avid mountain climber. She is allegedly responsible for the death of eight people while climbing Mount Everest, as depicted in the Jake Gyllenhaal movie, Everest (https://nypost.com/2015/09/17/socialite-everest-climber-speaks-out-im-no-villain/). Sandy supposedly refused to stop climbing until they reached a top. A blizzard blasted the mountain, killing eight members of the party. Plepler, Richard: Former Chairman and CEO of HBO. Good friend of Peggy Siegal, the well-known publicist who acted as Epstein’s plug. More on her at a later time. Plouvier, Diane & Denis: Denis is the owner of Trousseau linen company (https://www.denisplouvier.fblank). No info found on Diane. Podolsky, Jeffrey: Writeeditor of such publications as Tatler (again!), People Magazine, Wall Street Journal’s WSJ Magazine, and George. Lives about a ½ kilometer away from Epstein’s NYC mansion. Has been photographed with several Epstein associates (Peggy Siegal, Carol Mack, India Hicks, and others. Polk, George: Financial analyst who served on the Council of Foreign Relations with Epstein. Polk is also a member of the World Economic Forum. Polii, Edoardo: Powerboat champion and textile entrepreneur. Polu, Emmanuelle: Financier at La Nef. Ghislaine Maxwell’s cousin. Polu: Isabelle: Former head of marketing at Microsoft. Became a translator specializing in psychology. Sister of Emmanuelle and cousin of Ghislaine. Polu, Clary: “Marketing director of Lycos and Meetic, wife of the "startup" Christophe Schaming, co-shareholder of Winamax, the online betting company co-founded by the mysterious passenger of theLolita ExpressNicole Junkermann” (http://faitsetdocuments.com/articles.html). Porrin Ivanisevic: No info found, but the work phone number listed traces back to Globana Media Group, a printing, publishing, and multimedia group. Porter, Pliny: Movie producer. Close friend of Julia Roberts. Porthault, Emmanuele: No info found. Porthault, Mr & Mrs: Marc Porthault runs the family linen business, D Porthault. Marc’s parents founded the company. Clients include Bill Gates, Woody Allen, the Mellons, and the Kennedys. Marc’s wife, Isabelle, is the head of human resources of Chanel in Europe. Porthault, Pascal: No info found. Porthault, Remi & Isabel: Remi is the marketing director and president of the U.S. subsidiary of D Porthault linens. Poster, Meryl: Former President of Television at The Weinstein Company. Before that, she was Co-President of Production for Miramax Films. A phone number connected to Meryl Poster was found in Epstein co-conspirator Sarah Kellen’s phone records on October 3, 2005. The call lasted one minute (https://www.thedailybeast.com/jeffrey-epsteins-hollywood-pipeline-ran-straight-to-harvey-weinstein). Meryl is pictured here with Ghislaine Maxwell (https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-photo/ghislaine-maxwell-meryl-poster-and-caryn-zucker-attend-news-photo/1169681625). Potter, Muffie: Socialite and former executive at Van Cleef & Arpels, a watch company. Married to famed plastic surgeon, Sherrell Aston. She has been photographed with Ghislaine and Peggy Siegal at various events. Prestin, Electra: Former vice president of merchandising for Ralph Lauren and co-founder of Adam & Eve clothing company. Her father, Lewis T. Preston, was chairman of J.P. Morgan and president of the World Bank (appointed by George H.W. Bush). Her great-grandfather was newspaper publisher Joseph Pulitzer, whom the Pulitzer Prize is named after. Another great-grandfather of hers was a partner in the Standard Oil Company of John D. Rockefeller. Prevost, Catherine: Fashion designer. Price, Charles H. II: Banking CEO who served as U.S. Ambassador to Belgium (1981-1983) and U.S. Ambassador to the U.K. (1983-1989) during the Reagan administration. Price was also on the boards of The New York Times (1989-2002), Texaco (1989-2001), Sprint (1989-1995), British Airways (1989-1996), and other companies. Price, Judy: Founder of Avenue, a magazine about New York City. Princess Firyal: Jerusalem-born Jordanian princess who was once married to Prince Muhammad bin Talal. Firyal was named an UNESCO Goodwill Ambassador in 1992. Princess Firyal launched the International Hope Foundation in 1994 for the benefit of homeless and street children. Firyal holds positions with several museums (The Louvre, The Tate, MOMA, and Guggenheim), as well as positions with Columbia University, New York Public Library, United Nation Association, and International Rescue Committee. Pritzker, Nick: Real estate and venture entrepreneur. Comes from a massively wealthy family who made their money in chewing tobacco. Former president of Hyatt Hotels. Major investor in SpaceX, Tesla, and Uber. Cousin of Thomas (below). Pritzker, Thomas: Billionaire heir and executive chairman of Hyatt Hotels. Cousin of Governor J.B. Pritzker of Illinois. Epstein victim Virginia Giuffre named Pritzker as one of the men she had to have sex with (https://www.tampabay.com/breaking-news/jeffrey-epstein-is-gone-but-allegations-against-powerful-associates-linger-20190810/). Pritzker’s name appears twice on Epstein’s flight logs (https://archive.org/stream/EpsteinFlightLogsLolitaExpress/Jeffrey-Epstein-Flight-Logs-in-PDF-format_djvu.txt). Pritzker is listed as one of the people who has knowledge of Maxwell and Epstein’s sexual trafficking conduct and interaction with underage minors (https://www.the-sun.com/news/778758/jeffrey-epstein-enablers-named-sex-trafficking-underage-victims/). Epstein has 12 phone numbers - including an emergency contact number - and two home addresses listed under Pritzker’s name. What’s even creepier is that there is a subtitle under his name that reads “Numero Uno”. Usually when Epstein adds a subtitle under someone’s name, it indicates what company they work for or a relationship of some kind (ex: X’s husband or Y’s friend). The fact that ‘Numero Uno’ is the subtitle under Pritzker’s name is unsettling, to say the least. Propp, Rodney: Real estate tycoon known for holding onto properties until neighborhoods gentrify. Prunier Christy & David Doss: Doss, David & Christy Prunier: David Doss has worked as producer and/or executive producer on NBC Nightly News with Tom Brokaw, NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt, Oprah in Africa, Primetime (with Diane Sawyer), Anderson Cooper 360, and Live PD. Doss now serves as senior VP of news programming for Al Jazeera America. Christy Prunier is a former Hollywood exec and founder of the Willa brand of beauty products. Pucci, Laudomia: Daughter of fashion icon, Emilio Pucci. Works as Image Director for the eponymous company. Puig Marc: Chief executive and president of Puig, a fragrance and fashion company. Puig Taria: No info found. Puopolo, Sonia: Author and inspirational speaker. Former communications director ofHaute Living, a luxury lifestyle magazine. Her mother died on 9/11 when the airplane she was on crashed into the World Trade Center. Her mother’s close friend, Hillary Clinton, read the eulogy at her funeral (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2497916/Wedding-ring-9-11-victim-Clinton-family-friend-1-6-million-tons-Ground-Zero-rubble-provide-hope-daughter-died-hit-run-decade-later.html). Puttnam, David: British film producer, educator, and member of the House of Lords. Puttnam was friends with Princess Diana before her passing. Pymont, Chris: One of the top lawyers in Britain. Quartucci, Alan: Founder of North Shore Bloodstock and North Shore Insurance, thoroughbred bloodstock companies that provide equine insurance, consulting services, racehorse management, and more. Quinn, Topper: Investment banker who founded a couple of consulting firms.
Recap Previous Research: https://www.reddit.com/options/comments/hrbexa/bullish_options_plays_24_month_horizon/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x https://www.reddit.com/options/comments/huwfat/short_long_option_plays_07202020/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x This post covers Option Plays for $SQ, $DKNG, $BA The time frame of these options are 3-6 months out, to avoid Theta burn and maximize ITM potential. The beauty of long plays is that the stock only needs to move a few % to be profitable, with a long time horizon as a hedge. Close the position within 2-4 months to minimize theta and maximize delta opportunity. I have also included a shorter time frame with higher risk/reward and lower premiums. Short plays are laid out, but not recommended. 1) Square, Inc $SQ [Information Technology Services] - BULLISH Square, Inc. engages in the provision of credit card payment processing solutions. It is a cohesive commerce ecosystem that helps sellers start, run, and grow their businesses. The firms sellers downloads the Square Point of Sale mobile app, they can quickly and easily take their first payment, typically within minutes. Bullish Square Case: The ongoing shift toward electronic payments has created, and will continue to create, room for acquirers to see strong growth without stealing share from each other. Ancillary services are becoming a more critical engine for growth and will help Square fully monetize its merchant client base and improve margins. Electronic payment growth is shifting overseas, and Square’s business model looks portable into international markets, as the company does not rely on a large local salesforce to attract merchants. $SQ profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform In both previous research posts, I discussed the bullish case of Twitter hinging on a successful subscription platform. Source: https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/8/21317266/twitter-subscription-platform-codename-gryphon-job-listing Subscription platforms require a reliable payment processor. Guess who Dorsey is going to choose to process payments for Twitter's subscription platform? $SQ overlaid with $SHOP, following the same trajectory $SHOP is trading at a 69x Price to Revenue multiple, with -$1.16 EPS. $SQ is trading at a 11x Price to Revenue multiple, with $0.72 EPS. Not only is $SQ profitable, it is in a similar niche to $SHOP and has a huge growth opportunity with Twitter's subscription platform. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: $2 Million in $97.5 calls, expiring Aug 21. Earnings Aug 5 $190 Jan 15 Calls $100 Jan 15 Calls Big bullish bets on $SQ, notably dated around Jan 15. Coincidentally, that is the timeframe I pegged for $TWTR $40 Calls, and for the Subscription platform to be announced. Personal Experience: I set up a Shopify site for a girl I know who started a brick-and-mortar clothing store. She is... technologically challenged, to say the least. Guess what she used for payments in retail? Square. Even with Shopify's poor integration with Square, she stuck with it (Against my advice for inventory & tracking purposes). As states reopen, and smaller brick and mortars are back, farmers markets, carnivals, etc, expect growth from $SQ. I am eyeing a $118-$122 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: SQ $130c Aug 7 2020, trading at $6.57 at time of writing. 41% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 05 2020. Long Term Play: SQ $160c Jan 15 2021, trading $11.03 at time of writing. 23% Probability ITM 2) DraftKings, Inc $DKNG [Internet Software/Services] - BULLISH DraftKings, Inc. operates as a digital sports entertainment and gaming company. It provides online and retail sports wagering offerings, online daily fantasy contests and online casino games. $DKNG profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform Currently, only 5 states have legal online gambling [Delaware, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia]. 23 states have Sports Betting legal and or in legislation. From https://investmentu.com/sports-betting-stocks/ Focus on casino gambling! You can gamble at a casino whether there are sports on or not, and the following states are most likely to legalize online casino gambling in the next 12 months [based on legislation]:
California [40 Million Population]
Connecticut [3.6 Million Population]
Illinois [13 Million Population]
Indiana [6.6 Million Population]
Massachusetts [6.8 Million Population]
Nevada [2.8 Million Population]
New York [20 Million Population]
These states represent 92.8 Million people, or 30% of the US population. Source: https://www.bettingusa.com/states/ $DKNG overlaid with $PENN, following the same trajectory 52 Week high for $DKNG is $44. With Americans sitting at home, legalizing online gambling makes sense financially for governments and to satiate the appetite of the restless, short-attention span population. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: A stream of bullish plays, ranging from $30 to $40, expiring July 24 and Aug 21. $DKNG is both a stock and option play. I am eyeing a $28-$30 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. Personal Experience: A buddy of mine ran an (illegal) sports book in college, and netted 6 figures over the course of four years. Tons of potential tax dollars on the line. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: DKNG $40 Aug 21 2020, trading at $3.50 at time of writing. 36.5% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 13 2020.\*21,690 open interest in this position, which would control 2.2 MILLION Shares*\** Long Term Play: DKNG $45c Jan 15 2021, trading $6.70 at time of writing. 28% Probability ITM 3) Boeing, Co $BA [Aerospace & Defense] - BULLISH Boeing is the cornerstone of millions of stock portfolios. I remember hawking the stock price while on vacation in Paris, when the plane crashed in March '19. My ex was pissed. I was more pissed for not picking up some stock and options when it bottomed around $100 a few months ago. Bullish Boeing case: Boeing has a large backlog that covers several years of production for the most popular aircraft, which gives us confidence in aggregate demand for aerospace products. Boeing is well-positioned to benefit from emerging market growth in revenue passenger kilometers and a robust developed market replacement cycle over the next two decades. We expect that commercial airframe manufacturing will remain a duopoly over the foreseeable future. We think customers will not have many options other than continuing to rely on incumbent aircraft suppliers. $BA profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform COVID-19 has been a blessing in disguise for $BA. COVID-19 gifted $BA time, the most important thing they needed to fix their issues. Airlines are not flying, so it is excusable for $BA to have cancelled orders. Finally, as long as the oil-based dollar is the global currency, $BA will be in business selling weapons. $BA overlaid with $RTX, another major defense contractor. Despite the airline issues, $BA is tracking $RTX, because defense is where the big money is. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: $1.3 Million in $195 Sept 18 Calls $800K in $180 Aug 21 Calls Earnings is July 29th, but this is not an earnings play. The stock is consolidating in the $170-$180 range, a huge support and resistance in 2020. I am eyeing a $165-$170 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: BA $200c Oct 16 2020, trading at $14.01 at time of writing. 31% Probability ITM. Long Term Play: BA $240c Jun 18 2021, trading $18.75 at time of writing. 20% Probability ITM Conclusion Based on my research, $SQ stands to gain from $TWTR news, $DKNG is poised to dominate online gambling, $BA is slowly recovering, and will not fail. TL,DR: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: SQ $130c Aug 7 2020, trading at $6.57 at time of writing. 41% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 05 2020. DKNG $40 Aug 21 2020, trading at $3.50 at time of writing. 36.5% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 13 2020.\*21,690 open interest in this position, which would control 2.2 MILLION Shares*\** BA $200c Oct 16 2020, trading at $14.01 at time of writing. 31% Probability ITM. Long Term Play: SQ $160c Jan 15 2021, trading $11.03 at time of writing. 23% Probability ITM DKNG $45c Jan 15 2021, trading $6.70 at time of writing. 28% Probability ITM BA $240c Jun 18 2021, trading $18.75 at time of writing. 20% Probability ITM Final Note: I will include the stock with the most mentions on this thread in my next analysis post. Will try to get to all your questions this time. This reddit post is not investment advice - do thorough research before ever investing. Platform used is FindMarketPlays. Check my profile for a Demo. Enter your email here to know when it launches: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeUTcj420FlNTpk4Ynozlbi3CuxhaIu6HJkyHLxAfZpFfG37w/viewform?usp=pp_url
Recap Previous Research: https://www.reddit.com/options/comments/hrbexa/bullish_options_plays_24_month_horizon/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x https://www.reddit.com/options/comments/huwfat/short_long_option_plays_07202020/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x This post covers Option Plays for $SQ, $DKNG, $BA The time frame of these options are 3-6 months out, to avoid Theta burn and maximize ITM potential. The beauty of long plays is that the stock only needs to move a few % to be profitable, with a long time horizon as a hedge. Close the position within 2-4 months to minimize theta and maximize delta opportunity. I have also included a shorter time frame with higher risk/reward and lower premiums. Short plays are laid out, but not recommended. 1) Square, Inc $SQ [Information Technology Services] - BULLISH Square, Inc. engages in the provision of credit card payment processing solutions. It is a cohesive commerce ecosystem that helps sellers start, run, and grow their businesses. The firms sellers downloads the Square Point of Sale mobile app, they can quickly and easily take their first payment, typically within minutes. Bullish Square Case: The ongoing shift toward electronic payments has created, and will continue to create, room for acquirers to see strong growth without stealing share from each other. Ancillary services are becoming a more critical engine for growth and will help Square fully monetize its merchant client base and improve margins. Electronic payment growth is shifting overseas, and Square’s business model looks portable into international markets, as the company does not rely on a large local salesforce to attract merchants. $SQ profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform In both previous research posts, I discussed the bullish case of Twitter hinging on a successful subscription platform. Source: https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/8/21317266/twitter-subscription-platform-codename-gryphon-job-listing Subscription platforms require a reliable payment processor. Guess who Dorsey is going to choose to process payments for Twitter's subscription platform? $SQ overlaid with $SHOP, following the same trajectory $SHOP is trading at a 69x Price to Revenue multiple, with -$1.16 EPS. $SQ is trading at a 11x Price to Revenue multiple, with $0.72 EPS. Not only is $SQ profitable, it is in a similar niche to $SHOP and has a huge growth opportunity with Twitter's subscription platform. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: $2 Million in $97.5 calls, expiring Aug 21. Earnings Aug 5 $190 Jan 15 Calls $100 Jan 15 Calls Big bullish bets on $SQ, notably dated around Jan 15. Coincidentally, that is the timeframe I pegged for $TWTR $40 Calls, and for the Subscription platform to be announced. Personal Experience: I set up a Shopify site for a girl I know who started a brick-and-mortar clothing store. She is... technologically challenged, to say the least. Guess what she used for payments in retail? Square. Even with Shopify's poor integration with Square, she stuck with it (Against my advice for inventory & tracking purposes). As states reopen, and smaller brick and mortars are back, farmers markets, carnivals, etc, expect growth from $SQ. I am eyeing a $118-$122 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: SQ $130c Aug 7 2020, trading at $6.57 at time of writing. 41% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 05 2020. Long Term Play: SQ $160c Jan 15 2021, trading $11.03 at time of writing. 23% Probability ITM 2) DraftKings, Inc $DKNG [Internet Software/Services] - BULLISH DraftKings, Inc. operates as a digital sports entertainment and gaming company. It provides online and retail sports wagering offerings, online daily fantasy contests and online casino games. $DKNG profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform Currently, only 5 states have legal online gambling [Delaware, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia]. 23 states have Sports Betting legal and or in legislation. From https://investmentu.com/sports-betting-stocks/ Focus on casino gambling! You can gamble at a casino whether there are sports on or not, and the following states are most likely to legalize online casino gambling in the next 12 months [based on legislation]:
California [40 Million Population]
Connecticut [3.6 Million Population]
Illinois [13 Million Population]
Indiana [6.6 Million Population]
Massachusetts [6.8 Million Population]
Nevada [2.8 Million Population]
New York [20 Million Population]
These states represent 92.8 Million people, or 30% of the US population. Source: https://www.bettingusa.com/states/ $DKNG overlaid with $PENN, following the same trajectory 52 Week high for $DKNG is $44. With Americans sitting at home, legalizing online gambling makes sense financially for governments and to satiate the appetite of the restless, short-attention span population. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: A stream of bullish plays, ranging from $30 to $40, expiring July 24 and Aug 21. $DKNG is both a stock and option play. I am eyeing a $28-$30 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. Personal Experience: A buddy of mine ran an (illegal) sports book in college, and netted 6 figures over the course of four years. Tons of potential tax dollars on the line. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: DKNG $40 Aug 21 2020, trading at $3.50 at time of writing. 36.5% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 13 2020.\*21,690 open interest in this position, which would control 2.2 MILLION Shares*\** Long Term Play: DKNG $45c Jan 15 2021, trading $6.70 at time of writing. 28% Probability ITM 3) Boeing, Co $BA [Aerospace & Defense] - BULLISH Boeing is the cornerstone of millions of stock portfolios. I remember hawking the stock price while on vacation in Paris, when the plane crashed in March '19. My ex was pissed. I was more pissed for not picking up some stock and options when it bottomed around $100 a few months ago. Bullish Boeing case: Boeing has a large backlog that covers several years of production for the most popular aircraft, which gives us confidence in aggregate demand for aerospace products. Boeing is well-positioned to benefit from emerging market growth in revenue passenger kilometers and a robust developed market replacement cycle over the next two decades. We expect that commercial airframe manufacturing will remain a duopoly over the foreseeable future. We think customers will not have many options other than continuing to rely on incumbent aircraft suppliers. $BA profile, from FindMarketPlays early access platform COVID-19 has been a blessing in disguise for $BA. COVID-19 gifted $BA time, the most important thing they needed to fix their issues. Airlines are not flying, so it is excusable for $BA to have cancelled orders. Finally, as long as the oil-based dollar is the global currency, $BA will be in business selling weapons. $BA overlaid with $RTX, another major defense contractor. Despite the airline issues, $BA is tracking $RTX, because defense is where the big money is. Let's take a look at the unusual options activity scanner: $1.3 Million in $195 Sept 18 Calls $800K in $180 Aug 21 Calls Earnings is July 29th, but this is not an earnings play. The stock is consolidating in the $170-$180 range, a huge support and resistance in 2020. I am eyeing a $165-$170 entry to incorporate the stock into my portfolio, and purchase options. With this information, I propose: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: BA $200c Oct 16 2020, trading at $14.01 at time of writing. 31% Probability ITM. Long Term Play: BA $240c Jun 18 2021, trading $18.75 at time of writing. 20% Probability ITM Conclusion Based on my research, $SQ stands to gain from $TWTR news, $DKNG is poised to dominate online gambling, $BA is slowly recovering, and will not fail. TL,DR: Short Term Play [HIGH RISK]: SQ $130c Aug 7 2020, trading at $6.57 at time of writing. 41% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 05 2020. DKNG $40 Aug 21 2020, trading at $3.50 at time of writing. 36.5% Probability ITM. Earnings Aug 13 2020.\*21,690 open interest in this position, which would control 2.2 MILLION Shares*\** BA $200c Oct 16 2020, trading at $14.01 at time of writing. 31% Probability ITM. Long Term Play: SQ $160c Jan 15 2021, trading $11.03 at time of writing. 23% Probability ITM DKNG $45c Jan 15 2021, trading $6.70 at time of writing. 28% Probability ITM BA $240c Jun 18 2021, trading $18.75 at time of writing. 20% Probability ITM Final Note: I will include the stock with the most mentions on this thread in my next analysis post. Will try to get to all your questions this time. This reddit post is not investment advice - do thorough research before ever investing. Platform used is FindMarketPlays. Check my profile for a Demo. Enter your email here to know when it launches: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeUTcj420FlNTpk4Ynozlbi3CuxhaIu6HJkyHLxAfZpFfG37w/viewform?usp=pp_url
DraftKings at Casino Queen Launches Sports Betting in Illinois
“DraftKings Inc. (Nasdaq: DKNG) today announced the launch of the DraftKings at Casino Queen Sportsbook app and retail location in Illinois. Customers can download the sportsbook app and visit DraftKings at Casino Queen in East St. Louis to finish creating their account onsite, providing them with statewide mobile sports betting access. “Illinois is home to some of the most passionate sports fans and most iconic sports teams in the entire country,” said Jason Robins, DraftKings Co-founder, Chairman and CEO. “DraftKings’ dedication to innovation and providing customers with a premier sports betting experience has made our app the top-rated option and we can’t wait for fans in Illinois to discover why.” Once their account is created, customers can place a wide variety of bets, including pre-match, live and proposition wagers on several major professional and collegiate athletic events and teams. The top-rated app also features a number of promotional offers available only to Illinois customers. In addition to mobile and online sportsbook access, DraftKings at Casino Queen offers a retail sportsbook at the newly rebranded physical location in East St. Louis.” http://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/08/05/2073207/0/en/DraftKings-at-Casino-Queen-Launches-Sports-Betting-in-Illinois.html
DraftKings Seeking Early Entry Into Illinois Sports Betting Market
“It appears that DraftKings is following competitor FanDuel’s lead in Illinois. According to the latest update on the Illinois Gaming Board website, DraftKings (Crown IL Gaming LLC) applied for a management services license for sports betting on April 28, which may indicate that the company is seeking a quicker way into the Illinois market rather than enduring the waiting period for online-only sports betting platforms. A DraftKings representative told Sports Handle via email this week that the company doesn’t “have any comment to provide regarding the MSP application/license in the state.” FanDuel is pursuing a similar strategy via a partnership or purchase of Fairmount Racetrack. For DraftKings, it’s currently unclear who the partner would be, but Harrah’s Joliet, Jumer’s Rock Island, and the Casino Queen have not publicly disclosed who their online partners will be and could be possibilities.” https://sportshandle.com/draftkings-illinois-entry/
Thanks to everyone who filled out the survey! I was hoping to get some insight into what's bringing people here and how we can improve, and I think we mostly met that goal! You can go on a deep dive into the results below. In general, people come here because of the sense of community and how nice everyone is. Ways we can improve: more engagement with each other and with the band (I lost count of how many people asked for Rian's AMA lol). The mods will work on what we want to do with some of these ideas and go from there. 81 people filled out the survey. Last year, we had 65 responses. I linked the results to the last survey, but I have not yet gone through to see what's similar and what's different. Disclaimer #1: Some comments were lightly edited for clarify or spelling. Disclaimer #2: Next time I think I want to do a survey, someone please remind me how much freaking work it is to put all the data together. Disclaimer #3: My comments are in bold, as are the top selections for each category. I was a little sassy. Reminder: There are controversial opinions about the band and normal song opinions. You're welcome to respond to anything but remember to be nice and respectful. Everyone is entitled to their opinions and mostly everyone is here because of how welcoming the community is.
Demographics
Gender
Male: 27 people / 33%
Female: 4 people / 58%
Non-Binary: 7 people / 9%
Location
US: 47 people / 58%
Europe: 2 people / 3%
UK: 12 people / 15%
Asia: 5 people / 6%
South America: 2 people / 3%
Australia: 5 people / 6%
Canada: 5 people / 6%
Northern Ireland: 2 people / 3%(1 person was born in Ireland and now resides in Northern Ireland)
New Zealand: 1 person / 1%
State (if in US)
Alabama: 2 people
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California: 4 people
Colorado: 1 person
Connecticut: 1 person
Delaware
Florida: 1 person
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois 1 person
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky: 1 person
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland: 2 people
Massachusetts: 2 people
Michigan
Minnesota: 1 person
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska: 1 person
Nevada
New Hampshire: 3 people
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York: 5 people
North Carolina: 3 people
North Dakota
Ohio: 6 people
Oklahoma
Oregon: 1 person
Pennsylvania: 4 people
Rhode Island
South Carolina: 1 person
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas: 3 people
Utah
Vermont
Virginia: 1 person
Washington
West Virginia: 1 person
Wisconsin: 1 person
Wyoming
Age
Under 15: 9 people / 11%
16-18: 13 people / 16
19-24: 30 people / 37%
25-29: 19 people / 34%
30-34: 9 people / 11% the best age group, am I right?
35+: 1 person / 1%
All-Time Stats
How Long Have You Been Listening to ATL?
Less than a year: 11 people / 14%
1-2 years: 6 people / 7%
3-5 years: 19 people / 24%
6-10 years: 16 people / 20%
10+ years: 29 people / 36%
First Album/EP You Listened To?
The Party Scene: 3 people / 4%
Put Up or Shut Up: 9 people / 11%
So Wrong, It's Right: 19 people / 24%
Nothing Personal: 27 people / 33%
Dirty Work: 4 people / 5%
Don't Panic: 6 people / 7%
Future Hearts: 9 people / 9%
Last Young Renegade: 3 people / 4%
Wake Up, Sunshine: 1 person / 1%
Where Does ATL Fit Into Your Favorite Bands?
They are my favorite: 38 people / 48%
Tied for favorite: 18 people / 23%
Top 3: 10 people / 13% is it weird that I mod this sub and my answer is down here?
Top 5: 6 people / 8%
Top 10: 7 people / 9%
Not a favorite but still like them: 1 person / 1%
How Many Times Have You Seen ATL Live?
0 :(: 33 people/ 41% This is sad and we must fix it
1: 8 people / 10%
2: 8 people / 10%
3: 6 people / 9%
4-5: 7 people / 9%
6-10: 11 people / 14%
10+: 8 people / 10%
Do you watch/listen to Crash Test Live/Full Frontal?
Yes: 22 people / 27%
No: 32 people / 40%
Sometimes: 23 people / 29%
Other:
Used to watch FF, but don't watch CTL (2 people)
Planning to
I was a guest on Crash Test Live
Opinions
Favorite Album/EP?
The Party Scene: 1 / 1%
Put Up or Shut Up: 1 / 1%
So Wrong, It's Right: 11 / 14%
Nothing Personal: 15 / 19%
Dirty Work: 2 / 3%
Don't Panic: 12 / 15%
Future Hearts: 11 / 14%
Last Young Renegade: 7 / 9%
Wake Up, Sunshine: 20 / 25% this makes my heart so happy, even though I think WUS stole most of the Don't Panic votes.
Least Favorite Album/EP
The Party Scene 25 / 33%
Put Up or Shut Up 9 / 12%
So Wrong, It's Right 7 / 9%
Nothing Personal 0 / 0%
Dirty Work 9 / 12%
Don't Panic 2 / 3%
Future Hearts 7 / 9%
Last Young Renegade 16 / 21%
Wake Up, Sunshine 0 / 0% I would like to point out that last year, a handful of people voted "the new album we haven't heard yet" as their least favorite album. I hope you are feeling shame now.
Favorite Song
A Love Like War
Afterglow
Backseat Serenade (2)
Bottle and a Beat
break your little heart
Canals
Cinderblock Garden (5) this is really too varied to be significant but Cinderblock Garden is kinda the winner
Chemistry
Clumsy
Coffee shop soundtrack
Dark Side of Your Room
Drugs & Candy
For Baltimore (3)
Getaway Green
Glitter & Crimson (5)
Hello, Brooklyn (2)
Heroes (2)
Irony of Choking on a Lifesaver
Jasey Rae (4)
Last Young Renegade
Let It Roll
Lost in Stereo
Lullabies
Melancholy Kaleidoscope (2)
Missing You
Monsters (ft. Blackbear) (3)
Noel
Oh, Calamity!
Old Scars / Future Hearts (4)
Paint You Wings (2)
Poppin' Champagne
Pretty Venom
Return The Favor
Runaways
Safe (2)
Six Feet Under the Stars (3)
Something's Gotta Give
Somewhere in Neverland
Stay Awake
The Reckless and the Brave
The Girls a Straight Up Hustler (2)
Therapy (2)
To Live and Let Go
Toxic Valentine
Trouble Is (2)
Under a Paper Moon (2)
Vegas
Wake Up Sunshine
Walls
Weightless (4)
Least Favorite Song
A Love Like War
Bad Enough For You
Bail Me Out
Birthday
Cinderblock Garden (2)
Coffee Shop Soundtrack
Come One, Come All (2)
Damned If I Do Ya (10 Year Tribute Version)
Dirty Laundry
Drugs and Candy (2)
Good Times (2)
Ground Control (3)
I Feel Like Dancin' (4)
Idk something from PUOSU
Lullabies
Monsters
Most of the party scene and put up or shut up (sorry)
My Only One (2)
No Idea (3)
Poison
Remembering Sunday
Runaways
Satellite (2)
Something from LYR
So Long Soldier
Somethings Gotta Give
Stick, Stones, and Techno (5)
That Girl (3)
The Irony of Choking on a Lifesaver
Therapy
Too Much (10) RIP sweet summer child
Toxic Valentine (2)
Favorite Opener - this band has some great openers. I went with Reckless but it was hard to choose!
The Party Scene 0 / 0%
Coffee Shop Soundtrack 8 / 10%
This Is How We Do 0 / 0 % isn't someone here obsessed with this song? where were you on this one?
Weightless 25 / 31%
Do You Want Me (Dead?) 11 / 14%
The Reckless And The Brave 12 / 15%
Satelite 2 / 3%
Last Young Renegade 10 / 13%
Some Kind of Disaster 12 / 15%
Favorite Closer
Sticks, Stones, and Techno 2 / 3%
Lullabies 2 / 3%
Poppin Champagne 7 / 9%
Therapy 5 / 6%
Heroes 10 / 13%
So Long and Thanks For All The Booze 2 / 3%
Old Scars/Future Hearts 28 / 35% yes, correct.
Afterglow 11 / 14%
Basement Noise 13 /16%
Favorite Part of ATL
Lyrics 5 6%
Music 16 / 20%
Live Show 5 / 6%
Everything 53 / 65%
Other
lyrics and music and how well they fit together and create the perfect mood foreach song
Depends on the song, I like some for the lyrics and some for the sound more
Least Favorite Part of ATL - this is why we're all reading this post, right?
Dick jokes and general immaturity. I get it's how they are, but I don't find it super entertaining.
Dick jokes between songs live, but only because I like to watch the shows out loud at home with my parents nearby 😅
Does the bougie farm count? In my esteemed opinion: yes, yes it does
Don’t tour in my country.
How they toy with my heart
I hate how messed up the m&g system used to be. I was in the hustler club for a year in 2013-2014 and found it impossible to get m&g and have heard from friends that it’s only gotten worse
I worry they're still friends with men in bands that have been accused of sexual misconduct They need a stronger stance on this issue for sure!
It's not about them, bit sometimes Stan twitter can get really intense about topics So intense.
Jack acting like a 12 yr old
Jack's attitude is pretty annoying Quarantine Jack is giving me life, though! He seems like he's doing great!
Jack's jokes
Sophomoric humor
Standing on shoulders for SGG lmao
That I haven't seen them live
That we aren’t neighbors I personally would not want to live near that much manure. Maybe the other guys aren't so bad.
The bra-throwing, especially in their earlier days. It's super uncomfortable knowing that heaps of those bras come from underaged girls and whatnot. But I'm glad to see that the boys have matured heaps since they started out!
The dick jokes can get kinda old at times now
The fact that I'm 15 and they're o l d I take offense to this o l d comment
The fact that they always seem to skip over Ireland when they go on tour...
The fact that they never come here!
the farm
the ugly merch and the ignoring of The Party Scene and ttwtridwte ep Stop putting your faces on all your merch, guys.
The younger fandom
They've stopped touring certain cities
Too Much lmao this is so specific and I love it
When I’m not at a concert
the immature Blink a la 1998 thing they still sometimes do
They don't come to Canada enough!
Throwing bras on stage
Most of the merch isn’t very good tbh NO. MORE. FACES. ON. SHIRTS.
Bonus tracks that don't get released where I am :(
Jack’s 13-year-old jokes. Get some new material please.
"Stan" culture in general.
Favorite B-Side
A Love Like War (2)
Actors
Bad Enough For You
Basement Noise
Bottle and a Beat (15) We're on the right side of history here
Canals
Caroline (6)
Chemistry (2)
Future Hearts B-Sides (2)
Get Down on Your Knees and Tell Me You Love Me
How The Story Ends (5)
I Hate That For You
Painting Flowers (2)
Poison (4)
Take Cover (5)
Toxic Valentine
Vampire Shift (6)
Your Bed (3)
Favorite Song to Hear Live
Afterglow (3)
Backseat Serenade (2)
Cinderblock Garden (2)
Coffee Shop
Damned If I Do Ya (Damned If I Don’t) (2)
Dancing with a Wolf
Dark Side of Your Room (2)
Dear Maria (4)
Do You Want Me (Dead)?
Everything is Fine
Guts
Heroes (2)
Jasey Rae (4)
Kids in the Dark
Lost In Stereo (4)
Outlines
Remembering Sunday
Runaways
Six Feet Under The Stars
Some Kind of Disaster
Something's Gotta Give
Somewhere in Neverland (4)
Therapy (2)
Vegas (5)
Weightless (6) but like the old way, right?
Least Favorite Song to Hear Live
A Love Like War
Afterglow
Backseat Serenade
Birthday
Canals
Dark Side of Your Room (2)
Dear Maria (4)
Dirty Laundry (3)
Drugs and Candy
Good Times (2)
Lost in Stereo
Missing You (2)
Remembering Sunday
Something's Gotta Give (5) this is on brand for this sub
Therapy (2)
Time Bomb (2)
Too Much (6)
Dream song to hear live that they WILL NOT PLAY?
...I Feel Like Dancin’
A Daydream Away (5) - seriously!
Actors
All of the future hearts b-sides
Bottle and a Beat (4) yes
Circles (3)
Coffee Shop Soundtrack
Fool’s Holiday
Get Down on Your Knees and Tell Me You Love Me
Ground control
Guts
Holly
Hometown Heroes
Is it too early to say Pretty Venom? (2)
Lullabies (2)
Nightmares (2)
Oh, Calamity
Outlines
Paint You Wing (6) please bring her justice by letting her win DP survivor
Return the Favor (2)
Running from Lions
Safe (I think most of my favs they have actually played live at some point. Haven't heard Safe yet, would love that!) IF THEY DON'T PLAY SAFE I WILL RIOT
Six feet under the stars
STICKS STONES AND TECHNO (2)
Take Cover
Time Bomb
The Girl’s a Straight Up Hustler (3)
Therapy
To Live and Let Go
Too Much (I know they used to play it but I doubt they will again)
Toxic Valentine (3)
Umbrella
Under A Paper Moon (3)
Vampire Shift
Walls (3)
No idea, I guess Konstantine by Something Corporate ohhhhhh-kayyyyy
Do you have a favorite member?
Jack 11 / 14%
Zack 7 / 9%
Alex 20 / 26%
Rian 14 / 18% kind of a disappointing showing for this sub lol
Love 'Em All Equally 25 / 32%
I hate them all, why am I here 1 / 1%
Wow us with your controversial opinions/hot takes: or is it THIS section we're all here for?
ATL should post more on their tiktok. Jack is really good at TikTok
Dirty Work isn’t that bad. It's quite good, with a few exceptions
Favorite Place is easily the best song on WUS.
Getaway Green sucks, SGG doesn't :D
I actually enjoy Bail Me Out lol
I actually like SGG Sometimes I forgot that I actually do like SGG and BS because I lean so hard into the jokes here lol
I can’t stand the new version of Lost In Stereo, the screamed part is just so irritating to me and I skip it every time (I love the original version though)
Dirty Work isn’t their best album, but it’s also not nearly as bad as a lot of people make it out to be, it’s a really fun and catchy album even though the lyrics are kind of dated and cringy sometimes
Pretty Venom is extremely underrated
I do not like So Wrong It's Right at all
I do not think Monsters is the best song from WUS and I believe it is not as good as some fans make it out to be
I don’t like Don’t Panic a lot (it’s not bad but it’s not even close to my favorite), and I really like Last Young Renegade (it’s my second favorite). I also don’t like Clumsy that much (again it’s not bad but it’s not one of my favorites at all) your opinions make me sad but that's okay
I don’t mind the fan club name change hustlers was weird. i said it.
I feel like dancing is a great song and people just hate on it cause its fun and doesnt have a deeper meaning
I hate the farm I don't think this was me.
I hate Weightless, I don't like the singles from Don't Panic that much and Dirty Work has the best deepcuts.
I love Backseat and SGG and love when they play them live SUCK IT lmaooooooo are you Alex?
i really like the song bail me out
Jack is a man child who needs AA wellllll let's not speculate on someone's mental health okay?
Jack is easily the worst member of ATL
Last Young Renegade is great and if you don’t like the album now you’ll go back to it in a few years and love it.
Most of the acoustic tracks on albums aren't good
OS/FH and Hello, Brooklyn are not good songs.
People are way too critical of Alex online. Every other day, people are coming after him for something when he’s only one person. Dude has a million followers and puts his foot in his mouth sometimes. At least he usually owns up to it.
Put Up or Shit Up is way better than So Wrong It’s Right
red streak jack was better than current blonde jack, change my mind
Something's Gotta Give gets WAY too much slander SGG gets way too much shoulder. SEE WHAT I DID THERE?
Sticks, Stones, and Techno doesn't deserve the hate it gets
Super underrated (not really controversial)
the alcohol jokes were funny the first fifty times but i’m honestly tired of them and the constant promotion of their millions of wines etc. i’m not saying i hate drinking or something,,, i just wanna hear some new banter rather than the same three jokes repeated with a wine promo somewhere in the middle.
The fanbase hasn't something against Too Much, but it's one of my favourite songs. Nothing Personal
The farm is awful. I don’t like most of SWIR or LYR I don't think this was me. I like most of LYR and SWIR.
They don't have a single 'bad' song
Three Words/The Party Scene deserve to be recognized by the band while talking about their discography. Also, Dear Maria is and will always be a bop.
"Tidal Waves is a super weak song. obligatory Mark Hoppus features don't need anything besides The Hoppus lol
Dirty Work is a super solid album, though I admit a few songs are hit or miss.
That Girl is a banger of just a funny/ridiculous song.
Everything is Fine / Birthday are great, fun songs.
So Wrong It's Right is overrated, largely due to nostalgia, with only a few shining songs on the album.
Pretty Venom is underrated and is one of the best songs on WUS, better than Clumsy, Safe, and the Seasons at least. It's got a vibe to it that you'd listen to it with big headphones at midnight, while lying on your bed in the dark and staring up at the ceiling.
Too Much and Walls are the best songs on Nothing Personal, Weightless and Damned are highly overrated, Last Young Renegade was a mistake, Glitter & Crimson tries too hard, The Irony of Choking on a Lifesaver is bad These takes are super toasty, but I'm with you on G & C
Too Much is a good song, Nightmares is a bad song
Too much is a much better song than people think it's just too much for me
Wouldn't mind hearing more of Alex rapping! i believe your wish has come true
Alex gets a pass for a lot of things because he's the singesongwriter and people want to like him, but he oozes privilege a lot of the time and is sometimes kind of tone deaf (not musically of course) oh yes this one was me I remember it now
Basement noise is a good song
LYR is a top tier album no matter what anyone says. Also hope they release the B-Sides on Spotify soon
Dirty Work has more bops than flops
People need to stop pretending Dirty Work is good! The joke has gone on long enough!
I don't understand why Dear Maria has so many plays, it's not even the best song on that album
Jack has had the best glow up of everyone in the band.
They need to start referencing New Found Glory in their lyrics again. have you not heard Summer Daze?
Taylor Swift, animal crossing, avatar, animals being bros, rare puppers
Starbucks (I work there), wholesome, blackmagic, sims4, and pretty much the generic feel good ones
JimmyEatWorld, AmITheAsshole, lots of dog subs lol has anything been more obviously me?
hockey, thebachelor, relationships
wow, tumblr
niceguys
greenday, emo, mychemicalromance
blink182, dbz, smashbros, nintendo
What other fan spaces do you use? (To interact with other fans, not to follow the band/members)
Twitter: 23 / 52%
Instagram: 24 / 55%
Facebook: 8 / 18%
Discord: 12 / 27%
Other: 5 / 11%
If you use other spaces, how does the sub compare?
Better: 25 / 58%
Worse: 1 / 2%
About the same: 12 / 28%
Hard to say: 2 / 5 %
Other
For interactions with other fans it's the best place, but twitter is better for interaction with the band
I don't do other social media
The sub is the best ever!!!!
They both have their pros and cons and they’re very different sites so it’s kind of comparing apples to oranges
I think the sub is the most active I've seen the fanbase
What do you like about the sub?
Being able to connect with other people who love the band, since I don't know any other ATL fans in real life I feel this
Central to everything and better discussion
Community sense
Constant user engagement
Cool people, no drama, met my friends Jenna and Alex!, golden people! Hey, that's me!
Everybody is so friendly
Everyone is allowed to have their own opinions and talk openinly about them. The mods are active and participate in discussions, the survivors, and the off-topic posts.
Everyone is really nice and respectful (except in Survivors y’all suck lol) Sometimes people have opinions that are wrong lol
Everyone is very chill and it gives me a place to rant about both meaningless and meaningful things
everyone is very nice and it’s not a very hard place to just drop in for a bit. also you guys do surveys and stuff so that’s cool
Fans on here generally seem pretty respectful of each other and I’ve almost never seen any big fights between fans here
The survivors are really fun and a great way to have fans interact with each other and spark conversations!
Friendly and informative even to people like me who don't interact regularly
Friendly, civil discussions
Getting to know people!
Good vibes!
How people are polite
I like how it’s a free space to share opinions and enjoy the band the way it is rather than having people criticize you for your opinion.
I like the song survivor and seeing obscure ATL songs
I like the surveys/survivor stuff
I like the survivors and things that get people involved
I love posting my artwork on this sub. I feel like here is where it really gets love and makes me feel soo happy
Interesting content, the survivor, and we're all awesome!
It’s about a band I like you really said it best
It’s friendlier than a lot of others, and there’s a lot less arguing and harsh words
It’s really friendly and welcoming of new people, there’s no *drama* and it’s a great source of news/updates on the boys.
Keeps me informed about the boys and the band. Plus the polls are fun and I love seeing everyone’s fan art!
Ranking songs and albums, general discussion about the band and news
Really friendly people
Rian reads it gleefully, while withholding his AMA
Song Survivor
That you get a response
The community
The community aspect, I feel life everyone knows each other
The frequency of the post and how everyone (especially the mods) keep everything In order and engaging for everyone who frequents the sub
The mods are the best
the niceness and supportiveness of everybody and the song survivor games
The people :D
The people & community are so great & kind
The people are great. Love the inside jokes.
The people are nice and respectful of others opinions, less intense than twitter as people are generally older or more chill. Also love the interactivity of the survivors and surveys! It's the best.
The regular members and talking to them
The sense of community here is amazing. I’ve been in other subs that can get toxic. People respect each other here and that’s difficult to cultivate!
The survivors. Y'all are all generally wrong tho.
Very nice people
Very non-toxic, which is great because some parts of reddit are very much the opposite
People are really nice! Plus everything is very organized
The slightly older demographic!
The mods are nice
Pretty cool people
The vibe of the place. It’s very welcoming and safe.
The quality of the fans here. we are a high quality people
How could we improve?
Definitely more interaction, but that comes with time
I took a while to understand what the Sub-basement noise was about. The info is in the post? Could it be more clearly explained?
Just building subscribers Hopefully Rian has time to make some more alt accounts soon
Maybe not so much posting in the “basement noise” folder bc at times it can just seem a little chaotic but that’s about all That's kind of what it's for, so all those little threads won't be their own posts
Mods are intimidating I get this in real life, too, honestly
Not having to use a computer to get the emojis for flairs you don't!
RIAN'S AMA out of my hands lol
Some recent posts seem lower quality but I think that is just with an increase of newer members.
We need more dudes we are a low %age of dudes but I bet we have more than other places because Reddit's general demographics is mostly men I think
We’re getting there but better monitoring of low qualify posts. The Basement Noise/daily off topic thread is amazing!
Don’t do too many countdowns! Do you mean Survivors?
I'm not involved enough to have a good answer for this.
What would you like to see on the sub for content/activity?
A continuation of the survivors, whether that be singles survivor or album survivor don't you worry, we've got lots of voting ahead of us
AMAs with the band/band members GOOD LORD WE ARE TRYING LOL
competitions maybe for art/covers/etc.? we've done a couple fan art contests and they were pretty well liked so we plan to do another in a few months.
Discussions on songs we tried this before and it didn't really take off. maybe we can try again
Everything is v great
Fan art and more discussions
I always thought it would fun to do daily or weekly trivia.I LOVE THIS IDEA! I don't know enough ATL trivia so let me take it to the mod team
I think we all would like to see the AMA from Rian but that's beyond our control. Rian has forgotten about it lol RIAN!! GET ON IT!
Interaction from the boys 👀 Maybe I just need to criticize Alex more, that's what got him here last time (lol I kid, I kid)
Lyric discussions We used to have these, they weren't really participated in, and we thought maybe ATL songs were too straight forward to really get into
Maybe having more fan contests (Art, song covers, etc.) and maybe (If possible) more interaction with the band themselves
Nothing specific. I just like honest, good discussion topics.
Polls, rankings, facilitated discussions
Rían ama :)
Rian AMA (or any member tbh) I feel like at this point one of the other members could offer an AMA and I'd be like NOPE WE ONLY WANT RIAN. lol
RIAN'S AMA
Rian/Alex AMA
Rians AMA that he lied about hah
The song survivors are super fun to vote in, and I liked the fan art contest too. Cool to read other people's unpopular opinions, and see others' album rankings. Anything that asks for input/opinions from the community is fun to participate/observe. Sadly I don't have any new ideas for more activities. I just want to express my appreciation for these events!
Maybe polls on their music or anything related? Just for fun like weekly or something
Lyric interpretation threads
I'm not involved enough to have a good answer for this.
Anything You Want To Add?
Alex Gaskarth has great hair I'm so sorry, but you're wrong.
Have a good day :)
Have a nice day!
Hi Jenna give feeney a kiss for me DONE AND DONE!
I love this sub
Keep up the good work
Love surveys, love the sub, love my boys. Why am I still awake?
Love y’all <3
Mods are solid and thank goodness for the people who contribute regularly for us lurkers to have things to read :)
RIAN'S AMA lmao
Stream Wake Up, Sunshine by All Time Low okay
Thank you, mods! You have made this sub a great place to be and I love being part of it!
the sub is very well run and the mods I think are very nice
This sub has done so much for me in the last few months. It makes me feel like I have friends in this community! Thank you guys soo much. Also...I'm chancing my arm at this but when a mod slot opens up where can I apply ? Lol
This sub IS my favorite place (other than concerts)
You guys are doing a great job and I love it here!
As Illinois online sports betting starts to launch, you will find some leading operators entering the industry. Keep in mind, betting sites like FanDuel and DraftKings will not be able to operate for the first 18 months. The only online sports betting sites will be those that own a casino in Illinois. Illinois’ impending sports betting launch coincides with national Problem Gambling Awareness Month. It also happens to fall in the heart of tax season, and yes, Uncle Sam gets a cut of the action. Online sports betting began in Illinois on June 18, 2020, when Rivers Casino went live through BetRivers. The timetable for online sports betting was both accelerated and thrown into disarray when Gov. J.B. Pritzker issued an Executive Order on June 4, waiving the requirement for a person to physically appear at a casino/sportsbook to establish ... On June 28, 2019, Illinois’ Governor J.B. Pritzker signed a bill to expand the existing gambling laws in the State, and consequently, legalize sports betting – However, since former NHL player Eddie Olczyk placed Illinois’ first legal $100 sports bet in March 2020, the release of both land-based and mobile / online sports betting has hit yet another stalemate. Illinois sports betting is now available to customers across the state who are 21 or older. Legislation signed into law by Governor J.B. Pritzker in 2019 authorized the launch of mobile sports betting plus retail sportsbooks at casinos, racetracks and sports stadiums.. The IL sports betting law originally called for in-person registration, requiring users to register an account in-person at a ...
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