Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance.
Several polls are in the field, so we won't have a full picture of the field until next week when more are expected to be released. Until then, here are the polls since August 16th.

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
USC Dornsife	8-30	National	54	39
YouGov	8-29	National	47	41
Morning Consult	8-29	National	50	44
Morning Consult	8-29	National	52	42
USC Dornsife	8-29	National	52	40
Emerson College	8-28	Massachusetts	69	30
Trafalgar Group	8-28	Michigan	45	46
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-28	National	48	38
Franklin & Marshall College	8-27	Pennsylvania	49	42
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-26	National	47	38
Ipsos	8-26	National	44	37
Benenson Strategy Group	8-26	National	50	39
Rasmussen Reports	8-26	National	46	45
YouGov	8-26	National	50	41
Roanoke College	8-26	Virginia	53	39
Ipsos	8-26	National	47	40
Change Research	8-26	Wisconsin	49	44
Change Research	8-26	Arizona	49	47
Change Research	8-26	Michigan	50	44
Change Research	8-26	Florida	49	46
Change Research	8-26	National	51	43
Change Research	8-26	North Carolina	48	47
Change Research	8-26	Pennsylvania	49	46
Trafalgar Group	8-25	Wisconsin	45	46
Public Policy Polling	8-25	Delaware	58	37
Public Policy Polling	8-25	New York	63	32
Public Policy Polling	8-25	Florida	48	44
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Léger	8-24	National	49	40
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-24	North Carolina	49	46
Public Policy Polling	8-24	Texas	48	47
Trafalgar Group	8-24	Louisiana	37	54
YouGov	8-24	National	50	39
TargetSmart	8-24	Ohio	47	46
YouGov	8-23	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-22	National	52	43
Morning Consult	8-22	National	51	43
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-22	National	49	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Pennsylvania	48	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Florida	49	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	North Carolina	44	46
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Michigan	50	38
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Wisconsin	49	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Arizona	47	38
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-21	National	46	38
Civiqs	8-21	Wisconsin	51	45
Civiqs	8-21	Pennsylvania	51	44
Civiqs	8-21	Michigan	49	46
Civiqs	8-21	Ohio	47	47
DKC Analytics	8-21	New Jersey	52	33
Saint Anselm College	8-20	New Hampshire	51	43
Muhlenberg College	8-20	Pennsylvania	49	45
Global Strategy Group	8-20	Texas	47	45
Echelon Insights	8-20	National	51	38
Echelon Insights	8-20	National	53	39
Data for Progress	8-20	National	50	41
Morning Consult	8-20	National	47	36
Morning Consult	8-20	National	49	39
Trafalgar Group	8-19	Minnesota	46	46
Ipsos	8-19	National	48	40
Ipsos	8-19	National	45	36
ALG Research	8-19	Louisiana	43	50
Rasmussen Reports	8-19	National	48	44
YouGov	8-19	National	50	40
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-18	National	45	39
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Wisconsin	47	47
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Florida	49	49
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Pennsylvania	50	46
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Arizona	48	51
GQR Research (GQRR)	8-18	Michigan	52	43
Léger	8-17	National	51	35
Morning Consult	8-17	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-17	Wisconsin	49	43
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-17	National	48	40
Landmark Communications	8-17	Georgia	44	47
YouGov	8-17	National	49	38
YouGov	8-17	National	50	41
YouGov	8-17	Texas	40	47
ABC News	8-17	National	54	44
ABC News	8-17	National	53	41
ABC News	8-17	National	53	41
SSRS	8-16	National	50	46
YouGov	8-16	National	52	42
East Carolina University	8-16	North Carolina	46	46
NBC News	8-16	National	50	41

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:

• Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
• Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
• Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
• Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO

Polling Models

Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:

• FiveThirtyEight - after months of work, the model is live! 538's team of analysts have put together a beast of a forecast for 2020. It runs 40,000 simulations of the election and uses that data to come up with a projected winner out of 100 sampled outcomes. It also breaks down the projection to show potential electoral college results, popular vote share, tipping point state likelihood, and it can even be broken down into state-level analytics.
• Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
• JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
• The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
• Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
• Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
• Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.

Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance.
With the conclusion of both major parties’ nominating conventions, pollsters scrambled into the field to conduct polls of swing states and the national race. The result has been a slew of high quality pollsters releasing their numbers on Wednesday as well as today, which paint a picture of the electorate right after the candidates are expected to have received a temporary convention bounce.

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
Quinnipiac University	9-3	Florida	48	45
Quinnipiac University	9-3	Pennsylvania	52	44
Monmouth University	9-3	North Carolina	48	46
Monmouth University	9-3	North Carolina	47	45
Monmouth University	9-3	North Carolina	48	46
Rasmussen Reports	9-3	Pennsylvania	47	48
Harper Polling	9-3	Minnesota	48	45
USC Dornsife	9-3	National	50	42
USC Dornsife	9-3	National	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	52	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	52	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	52	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	53	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	52	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	40
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	40
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	46
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	51	41
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	40
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	46
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	42
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	49	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	43
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	48	44
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	45
Morning Consult	9-2	Wisconsin	47	45
Fox News	9-2	Wisconsin	49	41
Fox News	9-2	North Carolina	49	45
Fox News	9-2	Wisconsin	50	42
Fox News	9-2	North Carolina	50	46
Fox News	9-2	Arizona	49	40
Fox News	9-2	Arizona	49	39
Ipsos	9-2	National	43	38
SSRS	9-2	National	51	43
Harris Insights & Analytics	9-2	National	46	40
Morning Consult	9-2	National	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	National	51	43
Morning Consult	9-2	National	50	43
Morning Consult	9-2	National	51	44
Morning Consult	9-2	National	52	42
Morning Consult	9-2	National	51	43
Quinnipiac University	9-2	National	52	42
Qriously	9-2	National	46	41
Opinium	9-2	Florida	50	43
Opinium	9-2	Wisconsin	53	39
IBD	9-2	National	49	41
YouGov	9-2	National	51	40
Rasmussen Reports	9-2	National	48	45
Monmouth University	9-2	Pennsylvania	49	46
Monmouth University	9-2	Pennsylvania	49	45
Monmouth University	9-2	Pennsylvania	48	47
Suffolk University	9-2	National	46	41
Ipsos	9-2	National	47	40
USC Dornsife	9-2	National	51	42
USC Dornsife	9-2	National	51	41
Opinium	9-2	National	53	39
Suffolk University	9-2	National	49	43
Selzer & Co.	9-2	National	49	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9-1	National	49	40
Landmark Communications	9-1	Georgia	40	47
East Carolina University	9-1	North Carolina	46	48
Public Policy Polling	9-1	Michigan	48	44
Expedition Strategies	9-1	Montana	44	48
University of Nevada, Las Vegas	9-1	Nevada	44	38
Morning Consult	9-1	National	52	43
Morning Consult	9-1	National	51	43
Morning Consult	9-1	Texas	47	48
Morning Consult	9-1	Florida	49	47
Morning Consult	9-1	Pennsylvania	49	45
Morning Consult	9-1	National	51	43
Morning Consult	9-1	North Carolina	49	47
Morning Consult	9-1	Ohio	45	50
Morning Consult	9-1	Minnesota	50	43
Morning Consult	9-1	Florida	50	45
Morning Consult	9-1	Georgia	49	46
Morning Consult	9-1	Michigan	50	44
Morning Consult	9-1	Georgia	46	47
Morning Consult	9-1	Colorado	51	41
Morning Consult	9-1	Wisconsin	52	43
Morning Consult	9-1	Michigan	52	42
Morning Consult	9-1	Arizona	52	42
Morning Consult	9-1	Colorado	51	41
Morning Consult	9-1	Texas	46	47
Morning Consult	9-1	Minnesota	50	42
Morning Consult	9-1	Ohio	45	49
Morning Consult	9-1	North Carolina	49	46
Morning Consult	9-1	Pennsylvania	50	44
Morning Consult	9-1	Arizona	45	47
USC Dornsife	9-1	National	51	41
USC Dornsife	9-1	National	51	41
Léger	9-1	National	49	42
AtlasIntel	9-1	National	49	46
Emerson College	8-31	National	51	48
RMG Research	8-31	National	48	44
Global Strategy Group	8-31	Pennsylvania	53	43
Global Strategy Group	8-31	Pennsylvania	50	42
Public Policy Polling	8-31	Georgia	47	46
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-31	National	47	38
GQR Research (GQRR)	8-31	Pennsylvania	52	43
Trafalgar Group	8-31	Missouri	41	51
USC Dornsife	8-31	National	53	40
USC Dornsife	8-31	National	52	40
John Zogby Strategies	8-30	National	45	42
John Zogby Strategies	8-30	National	48	42
USC Dornsife	8-30	National	54	39
USC Dornsife	8-30	National	53	39

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:

• Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
• Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
• Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
• Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO

Polling Models

Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:

• FiveThirtyEight - 538's runs 40,000 simulations of the election and uses that data to come up with a projected winner out of 100 sampled outcomes. It also breaks down the projection to show potential electoral college results, popular vote share, tipping point state likelihood, and it can even be broken down into state-level analytics.
• Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
• JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
• The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
• Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
• Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
• Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.

Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance.
This is likely to be one of the last clear snapshots of polling until at least mid-September. Historically speaking, the party conventions impart a statistically significant 'bump' in candidates' poll numbers. This convention bounce averages around 5 points for candidates (though some candidates have far surpassed this number), but the trend of high bounces has seen a decline in recent elections. With increased coverage of each party during their respective conventions (DNC: August 17-20, RNC: August 24-27), and this year's conventions taking place in a mostly-remote setting, it is hard to predict how large or any impact on the polls will be.

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
NBC News	8-16	National	50	41
SurveyUSA	8-15	Connecticut	52	32
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-14	California	61	25
Data for Progress	8-14	National	51	41
Data for Progress	8-14	National	52	39
YouGov	8-14	Massachusetts	61	28
Global Strategy Group	8-14	National	52	42
Marist College	8-14	National	53	42
Fox News	8-13	National	49	42
Léger	8-13	National	46	--
Léger	8-13	National	47	39
Pew Research Center	8-13	National	53	45
Morning Consult	8-13	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-13	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-13	National	50	43
Harper Polling	8-13	North Carolina	45	44
Morning Consult	8-13	National	51	43
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	8-13	Mississippi	43	53
SurveyUSA	8-13	California	56	28
Rasmussen Reports	8-13	Wisconsin	55	42
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-12	National	44	40
Ipsos	8-12	National	47	38
Ipsos	8-12	National	43	37
Ipsos	8-12	National	56	43
Ipsos	8-12	National	58	42
SurveyUSA	8-12	Kansas	41	48
YouGov Blue	8-12	National	51	45
Rasmussen Reports	8-12	National	49	43
Critical Insights	8-12	Maine	45	38
YouGov	8-12	National	49	39
Morning Consult	8-12	National	49	40
Change Research	8-12	National	50	44
Change Research	8-12	Wisconsin	47	43
Change Research	8-12	North Carolina	47	48
Change Research	8-12	Arizona	45	44
Change Research	8-12	Florida	50	44
Change Research	8-12	Michigan	48	43
Change Research	8-12	Pennsylvania	48	44
MassINC Polling Group	8-12	Massachusetts	63	27
Emerson College	8-11	Pennsylvania	53	46
Emerson College	8-11	North Carolina	49	50
Emerson College	8-11	Arizona	53	46
Critical Insights	8-11	Maine	44	36
Critical Insights	8-11	Maine CD-2	39	38
Critical Insights	8-11	Maine CD-1	49	33
Marquette University Law School	8-11	Wisconsin	50	45
Marquette University Law School	8-11	Wisconsin	50	46
Monmouth University	8-11	National	52	39
Monmouth University	8-11	National	51	41
Emerson College	8-11	Minnesota	51	49
SurveyUSA	8-11	Georgia	46	44
Public Policy Polling	8-10	North Carolina	49	46
Rasmussen Reports	8-10	North Carolina	47	48
HIT Strategies	8-10	North Carolina	47	37
HIT Strategies	8-10	Georgia	44	40
Trafalgar Group	8-10	Arizona	44	46
RMG Research	8-10	National	45	37
RMG Research	8-10	Maine	50	39
Georgetown University (Battleground)	8-10	National	53	39
OH Predictive Insights	8-10	Arizona	49	45
Strategies 360	8-10	Nebraska CD-1	46	48
YouGov	8-10	Wisconsin	49	43
YouGov	8-10	Michigan	47	43
YouGov	8-10	Pennsylvania	50	41

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:

• Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
• Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
• Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
• RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
• Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO

Polling Models

Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:

• FiveThirtyEight - after months of work, the model is live! 538's team of analysts have put together a beast of a forecast for 2020. It runs 40,000 simulations of the election and uses that data to come up with a projected winner out of 100 sampled outcomes. It also breaks down the projection to show potential electoral college results, popular vote share, tipping point state likelihood, and it can even be broken down into state-level analytics.
• Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
• JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
• The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
• Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
• Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
• Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.

Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race.
Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance.

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
YouGov	8-9	Pennsylvania	49	43
YouGov	8-9	Wisconsin	48	42
Global Strategy Group	8-7	National	49	45
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	46
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	46
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	45
Trafalgar Group	8-7	Texas	43	49
Public Policy Polling	8-7	Kansas	43	50
Research Co.	8-7	National	48	38
EPIC-MRA	8-7	Michigan	51	40
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-5	National	43	40
RMG Research	8-6	Iowa	40	41
Quinnipiac University	8-6	South Carolina	42	47
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine CD-1	61	30
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine CD-2	44	45
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Kentucky	41	50
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine	52	37
David Binder Research	8-6	Michigan	51	41
David Binder Research	8-6	Wisconsin	53	42
David Binder Research	8-6	Minnesota	54	36
David Binder Research	8-6	Iowa	49	43
DFM Research	8-6	Oklahoma	36	56
Data for Progress	8-6	Maine	53	43
Data for Progress	8-6	Iowa	45	46
Data for Progress	8-6	Maine	49	42
Data for Progress	8-6	North Carolina	49	45
Data for Progress	8-6	North Carolina	46	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Iowa	42	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Arizona	47	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Arizona	45	43
Bluegrass Voters Coalition	8-5	Kentucky	34	55
Morning Consult	8-5	Indiana	38	55
Bluegrass Voters Coalition	8-5	Kentucky	45	52
Ipsos	8-5	National	54	45
Ipsos	8-5	National	56	44
Marquette University Law School	8-5	Wisconsin	52	44
Marquette University Law School	8-5	Wisconsin	49	45
Rasmussen Reports	8-5	National	48	45
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	46	48
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	45	48
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	47	47
YouGov	8-5	National	49	40
Zogby Interactive	8-5	North Carolina	44	40
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Florida	43	43
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Ohio	43	41
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Pennsylvania	44	43
MRG Research	8-5	Hawaii	56	29
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Wisconsin	52	37
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Michigan	52	40
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Pennsylvania	50	44
University of California, Berkeley	8-4	California	67	28
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	Texas	47	46
Morning Consult	8-4	South Carolina	44	49
Morning Consult	8-4	Kentucky	35	59
Morning Consult	8-4	Alabama	36	58
Fox News	8-3	National	48	41
Public Policy Polling	8-3	Michigan	49	43
Global Strategy Group	8-3	Wisconsin	51	42
Emerson College	8-3	Montana	45	54
Center for Marketing and Opinion Research	8-3	Ohio	45	41
YouGov	8-2	Georgia	46	45
YouGov	8-2	North Carolina	48	44
Emerson College	7-31	National	53	46
YouGov	7-31	National	49	40
Data for Progress	7-31	National	51	42
Data for Progress	7-31	National	50	43
Public Policy Polling	7-31	Minnesota	52	42
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	52	39
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	44	46
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	53	40
IBD	7-30	National	48	41
Virginia Commonwealth University	7-30	Virginia	50	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Wisconsin	45	35
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Michigan	49	37
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Arizona	46	38
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Pennsylvania	48	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	North Carolina	43	42
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Florida	48	41
Franklin & Marshall College	7-30	Pennsylvania	50	41
Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)	7-30	North Carolina	46	48
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	7-30	Florida	50	46
Harris Insights & Analytics	7-29	National	55	45
Optimus	7-29	National	47	40
Optimus	7-29	National	38	31
TargetPoint	7-29	Michigan	49	33
Rasmussen Reports	7-29	National	48	42
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	47	47
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	47	48
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	46	49
YouGov	7-29	National	49	40
Zogby Interactive	7-29	National	44	40
Ipsos	7-29	National	57	43
Ipsos	7-29	National	57	43
Change Research	7-29	Pennsylvania	48	46
Change Research	7-29	Florida	48	45
Change Research	7-29	National	51	42
Change Research	7-29	Arizona	47	45
Change Research	7-29	Michigan	46	42
Change Research	7-29	Wisconsin	48	43
Change Research	7-29	North Carolina	49	46
SurveyUSA	7-28	Washington	62	28
Morning Consult	7-28	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	7-28	North Carolina	46	49
Morning Consult	7-28	Michigan	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Minnesota	49	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Florida	47	48
Morning Consult	7-28	Ohio	42	50
Morning Consult	7-28	Virginia	52	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Pennsylvania	48	44
Morning Consult	7-28	Texas	43	50
Morning Consult	7-28	Georgia	47	49
Morning Consult	7-28	Colorado	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Arizona	45	47
Colby College	7-28	Maine	50	38
Colby College	7-28	Maine CD-1	55	35
Colby College	7-28	Maine CD-2	45	42
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Montana	45	50
Public Policy Polling	7-28	North Carolina	49	46
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Alaska	44	50
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Maine	53	42
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Georgia	46	45
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Colorado	54	41
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Iowa	47	48
DKC Analytics	7-28	New Jersey	51	33
MassINC Polling Group	7-28	Massachusetts	55	23
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	48	44
Morning Consult	7-28	National	49	44
Morning Consult	7-28	National	49	43
Morning Consult	7-28	Minnesota	47	44
Morning Consult	7-28	Texas	47	45
Morning Consult	7-28	Michigan	52	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Georgia	47	46
Morning Consult	7-28	North Carolina	47	47
Morning Consult	7-28	Ohio	45	48
Morning Consult	7-28	Pennsylvania	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Virginia	52	41
Morning Consult	7-28	Florida	49	46
Morning Consult	7-28	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	Colorado	52	39
Morning Consult	7-28	Arizona	49	42
ALG Research	7-27	South Carolina	45	50
Trafalgar Group	7-27	Minnesota	49	44
brilliant corners Research & Strategies	7-27	South Carolina	43	50
Harris Insights & Analytics	7-27	National	55	45
Kaiser Family Foundation	7-27	National	47	38
Marist College	7-27	North Carolina	51	44
AP-NORC	7-27	National	46	34
YouGov	7-26	National	51	41
YouGov	7-26	Michigan	48	42
YouGov	7-26	Ohio	45	46
Marist College	7-26	Arizona	50	45
SSRS	7-26	Michigan	52	40
SSRS	7-26	Arizona	49	45
SSRS	7-26	Florida	51	46
Gravis Marketing	7-25	Pennsylvania	48	45
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	52	43
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	51	41
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	49	40
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	53	38
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	50	37
Gravis Marketing	7-24	Michigan	51	42
Gravis Marketing	7-24	Wisconsin	50	42
Data for Progress	7-24	National	49	43
Data for Progress	7-24	National	49	43
Fox News	7-23	Michigan	49	40
Fox News	7-23	Minnesota	51	38
Fox News	7-23	Pennsylvania	50	39
Global Strategy Group	7-23	National	50	39
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	7-23	National	51	43
GQR Research (GQRR)	7-23	National	55	44

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:

• Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
  
• Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
  
• Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
  
• Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
  
• RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
  
• Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO
  

Polling Models

Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:

• FiveThirtyEight - this model isn't active yet (though Nate's been sharing some results from it, so it may be coming out soon^TM ), but it's the original model from Nate Silver that debuted in 2008 and really kicked off this genre of race prognostication. For now, here's the polling aggregates that they've set up in lieu of a now-cast (which is likely not returning to the model this year). Will likely also include Senate and House projections like in past years.
  
• Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
  
• JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
  
• The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
  
• Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
  
• Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
  
• Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.
  

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.

I don't know if this will be useful to anyone. So I write a line or two about every game I play, and decided to find all the incremental in my game journal and post them here. It starts with the latest games I've played and I think goes back to several years back. One thing I've realized is I have such a love-hate-hate relationship with this genre since I think I've hated 90% of the games and 100% of myself after each incremental phase. I usually angrily stop playing them for a while and restart them again, so this is more or less a journal of addiction, I suppose.
THE BEST GAMES I'VE PLAYED ARE THESE (no order):

1. Kittens Game
2. Antimatter Dimensions
3. Oil Tycoon

Honorable Mention: Eggs, Inc
The rest: more or less hated it
Additional comment if you decide to scan through it, I complain a lot, so it is perfectly reasonable and normal to think, "why the fuck are you even playing these games, idiot??".
​
------
Time Idle RPG
This game was confusing. It tells me the game's resources is time, where you get 1 of it every second, but that's not really something as unique as I assumed. It would have been cool if time as resources meant you used it to deal with something related to time. Maybe time travel? Maybe slowing and speeding time?
Instead time as resource buys you stuff like a library. And then you buy a camp or something. Honestly, I wasn't really feeling it.
2
Path of Idling
The biggest cardinal sin for me when it comes to incremental is when a game has a lot of features and it just completely throws them all at you instantly. The joy of a great incremental is how things slowly open up and each new achievement feels progress.
The game is a RPG game and these are the things that opened up for me in the first few hours.
Combat which includes normal fighting, dungeon, raid, boss, PVP (locked, but it just needs an ascend, which I haven't done)
Skills
Hero upgrades which include Passive (strength, defence, stamina, intelligence), Train, and a huge Tree
Town which you can buy workers who get you various things like gold, orbs, knowledge, etc. You can upgrade stuff here.
Quest that also includes Perks and Skill quests.
Gear which 5 equipment slots, plus craft plus trade plus smelt
Also gear for your Pet, which is also another tab!
Now, here is the thing. Because I have all of this pretty much instantly, I don't really know which ones are helping me go past a well. How is adding 10 points in strength helping me? Should I have added five in strength instead and five in defence? I have already bought 20 or so upgrades in the Tree, but I have no idea if I am made the optimal choice. There is no real excitement with getting new gear. And so on.
The dev has added a lot of features, now it's time to rework the game, and have the features take their time.
2
Idle Slayer
The game is like a super simple platformer. Your character is running and any enemy it hits, it automatically slays it. There is no HP, and all enemies die in one shot. Your only active play is jumping occasionally to grab coins or hit the flying enemies. Also, you have a run skill that has a cool down.
With the coins, we get new weapons that give us more coins. Enemies give us souls which is used for the prestige system that provides us with an interesting skill tree which provides a lot of choices on the path you want to do in terms of upgrades.
So far excellent, however, the game has an extremely serious issue of pacing. The game initially progresses so fast that in the first hour or so, you get almost all the weapons aside from the last two, which then grinds down to a snail pace. You can upgrade your past weapons, but they never really get into play again. Reaching high levels of past weapons sometimes gave me upgrades of that weapon of 10,000% but they still did nothing to my overall coin per second. I think the pacing needs to be fully reworked. It would have been nice to get new weapons after certain prestige cycles, so that every new weapon feels like we have passed a significant wall. The best part of an incremental game for me is to face a wall, and when I finally break it, I feel powerful again for a while. This game feels like this though, powerful powerful powerful powerful WALL........break it....WALL. And so on. I'm still playing it as I want to get some of the skills, but I feel like it could have been so much better.
4
Exponential Idle
A very back to the foundation kind of incremental. The premise is that you are a student and working on a formula. There is a neat story where as you progress in the game, your character progresses through university. Each upgrade gives you more and more automation until I reached a stage where I would check back once every 2 or 3 days, click a 2nd layer prestige reset, and close it. Meaning the game was something like 5 seconds of game player every 2 days. I just opened it for this review and realized I had reached the end game. The story wraps up and it tells me "You can take a rest. Travel a bit. Go outside!" NO, DON'T TELL ME WHAT TO DO GAME.
3
Factoid
Factoid & Spark should have the same review as they are almost the same game with only small differences. The games are the most basic kind of incremental, where you buy something with resources, until you get the next thing which gives you more of the resources. Both give you upgrades to speed things up, and finally prestige and it's own prestige upgrades. That's it. It's nice little change of pace from all the recent incremental that sometimes do too much, but obviously due to the very simple nature of it, it does eventually feel pointless, specially after you more or less open up everything and the prestige upgrades just keep repeating.
3
Spark
Factoid & Spark should have the same review as they are almost the same game with only small differences. The games are the most basic kind of incremental, where you buy something with resources, until you get the next thing which gives you more of the resources. Both give you upgrades to speed things up, and finally prestige and it's own prestige upgrades. That's it. It's nice little change of pace from all the recent incremental that sometimes do too much, but obviously due to the very simple nature of it, it does eventually feel pointless, specially after you more or less open up everything and the prestige upgrades just keep repeating. 3
Antimatter Dimensions
Easily top 5 incremental on mobile. Does everything perfectly. You progress nicely, and when new features open it, not only is it rewarding but more importantly, it keeps adding new dimensions (lol) to the game. I'd at the end game as I write this, and I realize that there was no point in the game where it felt stale. Each new prestige layer made the game feel fresh and almost like a new incremental game.
5
Melvor Idle
It seems this game was mainly aimed at Runescape players, which is probably why it didn't click for me. It also run extremely slow on my phone which also played a part in me not really getting into.
2
A Girl Adrift
The animation is really pretty and is a nice change of pace for incrementals, but I didn't really like the too much active play. Really had to keep going back and forth to different areas to do the fishing which got too repetitive for me.
You travel to different areas of the map to catch fish, which you get points and then you upgrade stuff, but I didn't really find any real excitement about the upgrades because I kept having to go back to previous areas to fish similar creatures.
3
Archer: Danger Phone
I'm really annoyed how terrible of a game this was. Two things I like, the TV show "Archer" and incremental games, and it's done in the most lazy manner. The game is the worst aspect of idle games where it's just a straight path of clicking the next upgrade with absolutely zero decision making. Every once in a while there is a mini game where Archer gets to shoot others but it's done in the most basic form of early 2000s flash games, where the animation budget is probably 3 dollars. Same static background and both enemies and Archer have just two animation frames. The absolute laziness of it is almost insulting to the player, because it feels like we aren't even worth the effort.
There is an Archer story in the game which develops really fast, which is the only positive part, but no voice acting is again another evidence that the creators of the game weren't given any budget for this.
1
Home Quest
This game is way too slow. You have to collect materials to build your settlement but everything takes time, so you click for a few seconds, and then you have to leave the game. Which I'm fine with, but the problem isn't the idle part of it, it's how the idle part of it combines with constant checking of the game which annoys me. I like an idle game where you forget to start the game for a day, you come up to a lot of resources, but this is a game which needs you to check back in every 30 minutes or an hour to really get anywhere. I felt that the micromanagement was getting worse as I progressed (without any actual thing to do when I am active in the game) that made me give up.
2
Idle Industry
This is probably an interesting game, but I gave up because the one thing I really disliked was the amount of resources and manufacturing that very quickly opens to you. You can buy raw materials, and you can either sell these raw materials or turn them into finished goods and sell them either. And each of these has several upgrade options (increase selling price, increase production, etc). Without even really getting too deep into the game, I have around 20 raw materials and around 30 finished products. A satisfying part of this genre is to have things slow open up for you, which gives me a decent feeling of satisfaction. But the money I got would quickly open up new products, so I would just jump ahead and purchase more expensive ones, and after a while I had a lot of materials and products at zero, and was instead focusing on latter ones.
2
Masters of Madness
Somewhat neat atmosphere and visuals, but too much active clicking. Click, upgrade to get more per clicks, get minions to get you some points without clicking, typical clicker, but with the added benefit of almost no idling. I like idling incrementals but clickers is a hard no from me.
1
Soda Dungeon 2
Basically similar to the first one, as far as I could tell. I did "finish" it but maybe I shouldn't have, since it really is the same thing from early on, specially once you get all the heroes and you kind of sort out which characters work best, then it's just the same. But because it was somewhat short and no real wall, it was at least easy to stick to it to the end.
2
Bacterial Takeover
Played for a decent amount and was actually more interesting that I thought, given the buttload of ad incentives. You create and upgrade bacteria, attack planets, and eventually go into a blackhole to prestige. Most of the game was good, but the part that killed it for me was the prestige system. Once you prestige, planets get super easy to attack, which becomes a lot of active play. I realized that each prestige was taking me at least 30 minutes to get to where I was, and it was just meaningless clicking. It got to a point where I was putting off prestige because it seemed like it would be a hassle so I stopped.
2
LogRogue
Cute graphics. The hero sort of hopping to hit the tiny monsters is cute to look at, but how long can you look at it and do nothing before you realize that it's boring? I suppose this is a game where it's just not for me. I don't like to have my phone open on a game and just watch it like a crazy person and do nothing. My rule is simple for incrementals. While the app is open, be active, if there isn't any choices to make, close the app while resources build up or whatever. I don't like it being open while I do nothing.
3
A Kittens Game
Incremental games are so strange. I get in and out of the phases. I loved this for so long and so obsessively that I wanted to only play incremental games. And then, just like that, I was wondering why the fuck I was wasting my time with this. Has happened countless times before.
But still probably the best incremental ever.
5
A Dark Room
An incremental cult classic of sorts but I don't find it really matches the genre. There is a bit of incremental at the beginning with people huts and stuff but then its just a ascii exploring game, which wasn't interesting to me.
2
Little Healer
Saw it mentioned in the Reddit incremental forum in one of the posts and thought it was a healer themed incremental which sounded neat. But it's like being a healer in a raid in World of Warcraft without any if the extras. Just a couple of bars representing your team mates and you healing them while they fight the boss. I didn't even like playing the healer in WoW so no way would I play this game.
1
Clickie Zoo
Started playing for a few days until I realized there a beta released with the dev reworking the game completely from scratch and releasing it as "Idle Zoo Tycoon". So, played that instead but this seemed like a game I would enjoy anyway.
4
Idling to Rule the Gods
The UI and one drawing if your character is really ugly enough to be distracting to me. The game, seemed interesting and I eventually was into it, but seems like a game that has been constantly being updated, which is not always a good thing, because features are obviously updated regularly to it, making the whole thing a bit bloaty.
I guess, this is the problem with this game for me, it's too fat. Also, one main part of the game is that your character creates Shadow Clones up to a maximum limit. Which is fine except the clones can't be made in offline mode. This might not be a big deal in its original web browser game but that doesn't work as well in a mobile format.
2
Realm Grinder
This is one of the really popular incremental and it's fanbase seems to love it for it's depth, but to be honest, I don't play these games for the depth, I play it for the simple dopamine rush of doing the same thing over and over again. It relaxes.
Although, I didn't even get to the depth part because I dislike games where it rushes in the beginning. I constantly bought buildings, got spells, and got upgrades without even looking at the description. Apparently, later on, we can get complicated race upgades, which seems not what I'm looking for in such a genre.
2
Spaceplan
A short (!!) incremental with an actual story (!!!). That's two cool points for it but unfortunately, the game mechanics of increment genre isn't so good. It's a space game with nice visuals and a great ending (cool music set to cool graphics) but the game itself wasn't really that fun. This same exact game would have been better in a different genre (maybe something like "Out There"?)
3
Zombidle
Felt like idle games again and this is the kind of examples that kept me away. Too much clicking and seems like advancement will start to get irritating since it relies on IAPs
2
Eggs, Inc
While I was playing it, Eggs, Inc was probably my favorite Android game I had ever played. But like most incremental games, there comes a moment when I suddenly stop and think, what am I doing?
Because there is something fascinating about Incrementals. Their addictiveness is in a way the whole point. An incremental is less of a game and more an act of electronic addictiveness. What's the point?
Eggs, Inc is a very well made and fun incremental but even the best in its genre is still pointless.
4
Castle Clicker
Supposedly a mix of incremental and city building but didn't really find out since the clickings were way to much. I know this is supposed to be the genre but I like the incremental part more than the tapping part. This seemed to be a good way to hurt your fingers.
2
Endless Era
This RPG clicker game is like other such games but with horrible GUI and animations. Tap tap tap. It's my fault for downloading such games. Why would I ever think this would be fun???
1
Idle Quote
An incremental game with a unique twist. This time we get to make up quotes! The first negative about the game and this irritates me a lot is most of the quotes are fake. A quick search on Google and this proves it. Quotes are generally attributed to Buddha or Ghandi or shit like that and it's usually fake like most quotes on the internet. This kills the major possible advantage of the game because I thought coming up with arbitrary words would at least give me some quotes to learn. Aside from the this, the game isn't fun either because it slows down very quickly meaning you combine words very slowly at a certain stage of the game and then it becomes a boring grind.
2
Monster Miser
An incremental game with almost no graphics. We just see character portraits of monsters which we buy and then upgrade until we buy the next monster. Eventually we prestige which gives us multipliers. The only game choice is choosing between two monsters with each new monster with unique benefits. Annoyingly there is a max limit which I wish didn't exist because I wanted to prestige so much that I would be over powerful in upgrading like that "Idle Oil Tycoon". Still, pointless but reasonably fun.
3
Pocket Politics
An incremental take on politics sounds fun but it's so generic that it could have been about anything. A Capitalist idle game or a cooking idle game, it wouldn't matter. IAP was also the usual shitty kind.
1
Time Clickers
A shooter incremental sounds like a cool twist but it's not a FPS like I imagined it would be. I'm just stuck in a room and I was shooting blocks. Upgrades didn't give me any enjoyment since I was shooting fucking blocks.
1
Tap Tap Fish - Abyssrium
I thought this was going to be relaxing incremental but the ridiculous and generic IAPs and all the social integeration spoil it. Too much time is spent in them asking you to buy or share or tweet or post or give them a blowjob. And there is nothing relaxing about that.
2
Cartoon 999
Incremental game about comic book writers, but not the marvel DC kind, it seemed to be the webcomic one and I think it's a Korean developer so all the characters and injokes made no sense to me. The whole thing was just targeted to a very specific audience.
2
Dungeon Manager
Incremental games need to be simple but this is beyond simple, it's just upgrade a fighter to level 5, go to next dungeon character, do the same, and just continue without any of the delicious balancing of upgrades like other idle games.
2
Final Fortress
Incremental games are already pointless but when it's super heavy on IAP than its also annoying, but when it always has bugs that doesn't register my offline earnings, then it just needs a uninstall in its face.
The zombie skin was also crappy.
1
Mana Maker
Here is how I know this clicker isn't very good. It doesn't make me hate all clickers and my life and mobile gaming in general for being so addictive and pointless.
So fail, sorry.
2
Infinity Dungeon
The usual incremental RPG that I should probably never play again. Starts simple enough and then gets more or a chore as you play.
1
Another incremental game which I had promised myself not to play anymore because they are so pointless and repetitive and endless. Well, this wasn't infinite and had a goal at 999 level so I thought it was good but while the humor was cute, the game did become very repetitive. Every 10 levels the slimes changed but after every 100 levels the whole thing restarted and while the monsters got stronger, I seemed to get even stronger. So the game became easier as I progressed and there was no more challenge. By level 800, I gave up.
2
Tap Dungeon RPG
Okay, I'm running out of ways to complain about those incremental RPG games that all have similar problems. It starts off reasonably fast and fun but soon it seems like I am in a data entry job. Doing the same thing over and over again with little changes.
1
Dungeon 999 F: Secret of Slime Dungeon
Another incremental game which I had promised myself not to play anymore because they are so pointless and repetitive and endless. Well, this wasn't infinite and had a goal at 999 level so I thought it was good but while the humor was cute, the game did become very repetitive. Every 10 levels the slimes changed but after every 100 levels the whole thing restarted and while the monsters got stronger, I seemed to get even stronger. So the game became easier as I progressed and there was no more challenge. By level 800, I gave up.
2
Tap Dungeon RPG
Okay, I'm running out of ways to complain about those incremental RPG games that all have similar problems. It starts off reasonably fast and fun but soon it seems like I am in a data entry job. Doing the same thing over and over again with little changes.
1
Tower of Hero
You start on the first floor of the tower and keep fighting your way up by summoning your heroes (by clicking) and recruiting other fighters, get upgrades, level up, and then, ugh, here is the typical incremental RPG part, restart, get items, and do it ALL over again.
There is something fun about restarting and getting slowly stronger each time but it also feels so pointless after a while. Such a pointless genre now that I have played a billion of such titles, heh.
3
Pageboy
Yet another incremental RPG which I have no idea why I downloaded because I'm sick of the genre. I played a pageboy to a knight who does the fighting while I collect the lot. I collect the loot, buy stuff for the knight, and eventually I restart to do the same thing again and get better items but this game I didn't even RESTART! Because fuck it! Fuck it!
2
Idle Warriors
The story is cute. Human population is regressing while monster population is on the rise. So the humans start enslaving monsters to mine for them! The brave warriors beat the crap out of monsters, kidnap the bosses, and enslave them. The animation of monsters slaving away while speech balloons above them talk about their wife and children is funny.
But the game itself is another RPG incremental which I should start staying away from. These games are like a chore for me nowadays because I'm doing the same crap again and again. The blame is probably on me because it seems like a reasonably solid game. But hey, fuck it, I PERSONALLY didn't enjoy it.
2
Tap! Tap! Faraway!
Any game that is remotely like Tap Titan scares me. They are addictive at first and very fast moving but after every restart gets more and more annoying. It soon turns into a time eating activity with the player having to redo the initial levels to get relics to get better items to progress further to restart to get relics to and so on until the player realizes how much time he is putting in the game for a repetitive activity.
2
Auto RPG
Now that is a title the game developers didn't spend too much time on. RPG battles are automatic but I can help out by clicking like a mad man. I started with one hero but would get additional members in my party as the story progressed. Party members receive skills as as they level up and while all the skill usage is automatic, it did give me a sense of progression which is extremely important in a RPG and which I think is usually lacking in incremental games. It usually starts feeling useless but in this game at least there are new maps, new members, and an actual end sight!
There is an infinity stage once the last boss is defeated but I am glad the infinity stage happens AFTER the end and it's not the game itself.
4
Merchant
Hire a hero and send on to battle. The battles is done automatically and takes time, starts with something short like 10 seconds with each battle taking longer. The loot is raw materials which can be used to craft equipment which also takes real life time with better items taking longer. The crafted items can either be sold or equipped to the hero to make him be able to fight stronger monsters.
I was worried I would hate the longer crafting and fighting times because I hate games which I have to watch for a task to finish but even though the durations for longer, I had more to do. However, I don't know what would have happened in the end game because I gave up on it. New maps were exactly like the first map just with different heroes but the progression was similar in each level which felt that I was doing the exact same thing all over again but with longer task times.
2
Idle Oil Tycoon
This is the best idle game I played. It's graphics aren't just minor, they are none existent. It's just numbers, so basic that my sister thought I was on a stock market app.
It's such a simple concept. Invest, get oil, upgrade then like other idlers restart to get a bonus and do the full thing all over again. When I finished the game, I played the unlimited mode which I played until the unlimited mode couldn't handle the numbers anymore.
5
Soda Dungeon
This kind-of Idle Dungeon was great. I started with weak ass fighters who would fight on my behalf while I collected the loot. I then got to use the lot to upgrade the sofa bar to recruit more adventurers. Not sure why it was a sofa bar. Maybe they wanted to make it a family game and not have alcohol? Sounds weird but the sofa element in a RPG game sounds weirder.
The game only hit a brick for me when, like most other incremental games, there is no real closure. Once I thought I bet the big bad guy, it just goes on, harder but similar enough with no end in sight. Eventually, we have to stop playing right, but it always feels a bit like a let down when I don't feel like I have finished the game.
4
10 Billion Wives Kept Man Life
The two games from this company, 10 Billion Wives and Kept Man Life, have similar strengths and weaknesses.
I liked the silly premises from both. In 10BM, I had to get married as much as I could, using the loves I collect to marry more expensive wives! In KML, I'm a boyfriend who doesn't work and I have to please my career gf so she would take care of me.
Both start reasonably fast and I was willing to grind through difficult parts but the end game is like a brick wall. Passing through it to get all the achievements is pretty much impossible unless one puts in way too many hours. And it's a shame because I really wanted to get all the achievements to see all the tiny little extra stuff.
3
Adventure Capitalist
One of the better incremental games, but now that I am out of the short lived incremental fan phase, I realized how dumb the genre is. Tap, tap, tap, upgrade, do this a million times, reset, and do it all over again like a moron. The game does deserve credits for me acting like a moron and playing it for so long but I also cheated and got free cash and then if occupying became even more pointless.
3
The Monolith
A combination of an incremental and a civilization building game seemed like an excellent idea and in some ways, it was, specially how we get to upgrade through the ages from cavemen to futuristic. But no offline feature means that the resets aren't enticing.
2
USSR Simulator
An incremental game that has a great theme (USSR!) but absolutely horrible to enjoy, even though I did stick to it. After a certain upgrades, the game just turned into me popping in the game, clicking an upgrade and then forgetting about the game for a few days.
2
RPG Clicker
They should call these games tappers not clickers. We are not clicking anything on a touchscreen device. Anyway, tap tap tap level up buy weapons tap tap and uninstall.
1
Logging Quest Logging Quest 2
[Review is for the original and its sequel]
There is not much of a difference between the game. I actually played them both at the same time because the actual game is offline. You choose your hero, send them to a dungeon, and then come back to the game after a while to see how well they did. I thought an offline RPG like this might be interesting but then, if you don't really play a game, how much fun can it be?
1
Another pointless incremental. I was in an incremental phase and got so many incremental games that I know realize were absolutely pointless.
Hit a tree, buy upgrades, get a new hero, and continue hitting a tree. Not much offline it seems which is what I like about incrementals.
1
Galaxy Clicker
A space incremental that should have been a lot of fun. You get to upgrade your spaceship and buy new ones and explorer new planets. But first of all, the interface is so ugly that it makes playing the game less enjoyable. And a lot of things I didn't really get no matter how much I would play like the full exploring planets. The spaceships were nice, so it could have been fun.
2
Megatramp
A pretty pointless incremental kind of game. You are a tramp and then you can collect money to buy upgrades to make more money, with no strategy needed, nor any effort needs to be made to hurt your brain cells.
1
Inflation RPG
It supposed to be some kind of incremental RPG, I think, which has you resetting and getting more powerful and then fighting monsters to get insane levels. It is very unique but I couldn't get into it.
2
Widget RPG
Are you fucking with me? This is button bashing rpg in the most extreme manner. You get a widget, so you don't even have to open the game and distract yourself from the button bushing. Just click the button and the game plays behind the scenes and gets you experience, loot, and kills.
It's a ridiculous idea that is fun for a few minutes to see what they come up with but there is only so much button bashing you can do.
2
Capitalist Tycoon
I downloaded this game because I was in an incremental/idle game phase and really enjoyed AdVenture Capitalist. But this game is nothing like that. On the surface, it seems similar, buy small investments, make money, buy bigger investments, and so on.
But with this game, there is no offline mode, and you keep having to wake up managers, AND the goal is to see how much you make in one year. Bah. I prefer the incremental approach which makes you build and build and build, not try to rush it in just a year.
2
Clicking Bad
An incremental clicking game that is themed after Breaking Bad. It is a fun idea it's a very simple game with little to do aside from the obvious of upgrading and upgrading. The only twist might be to balance out making lots of money selling drugs and not attracting the law but even that is only a small challenge at the start. Eventually, you will get enough upgrades to bring the law risk so down that it makes no impact on the game play.
2
Zombie Tapper
A super basic incremental clicker game with a zombie team. Click click click to eat brains, use brains (?) to buy zombies to do the brain eating for you and then buy upgrades for your zombies, and buy new zombies and it all feels very pointless.
1
Bitcoin Billionaire
I started to enjoy incremental games, but it needs to have a good offline mode, because I don’t want to just play a game where I keep tapping. But that doesn’t mean I didn’t play. I played it, and I played a lot of it, because I could reset the game (like most incremental games) and it gives you a small benefit where you could finish the full game a bit faster (it gives you bonus income). So, I kept finishing and resetting, and each time the start to finish would shorten, so I thought I would reach a stage where I could finish each start-to-finish in an instant! It didn’t happen. I got bored first.
3
Tap Titan
An addictive tapping game. Just tap on the creatures, level up, get new skills, hire heroes, and then reset and to it all over again to progress further. It’s an incremental game where it depends on resets to progress, but no real offline bonus, so you have to be playing online. Which got boring, so I installed an app that does the tapping for me, which is actually a stupid way to play the game, but this isn’t an attempt to prove to anyone my intelligence. Anyway, thankfully something went wrong and my progress got deleted, WHICH WAS A GOOD THING, because the game was extremely addictive.
4
God Squad
I’ve realized most incremental games are stupid. Tap on monsters to kill, collect gold, buy Roman Gods, level them up, fight other monsters, and then get bored.
1