Covers.com - Sports Betting Odds, Lines, Picks & News 2020

Football Accumulators: Betting Chat for Football Fans

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[[email protected]]~ "Brazil vs Belgium" Live Stream on rEdDiT

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-=$【##[email protected]##】[email protected] vs Jets Live Stream Week-8 Nfl Games 2018 On Reddit.

New York Jets New England Patriots live score (and video online live stream*) starts on 25.11.2018. at 18:00 UTC time in NFL, Regular Season - USA. Here on SofaScore livescore you can find all New York Jets vs New England Patriots previous results sorted by their H2H matches. Links to New York Jets vs. New England Patriots video highlights are collected in the Media tab for the most popular matches as soon as video appear on video hosting sites like Youtube or Dailymotion.
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Tips for beginners in the world of Football betting, including the statistics on the odds of winning

Tips for beginners in the world of Football betting, including the statistics on the odds of winning submitted by casino-games to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

I Lost between 8.000$ - 10.000$ in 4-5 years / Sports betting is very dangerous

Hello everyone !
I am a 24yo guy. I've been lurking reddit for some time, reading subjects of interest , but i never posted here. I just made this account to share my story about sports gambling / betting addiction. It is not nearly as tragic as others, but i still want to point out the dangers of this "world". Ok, here we go:
I started betting on sports when i was 12-13 years old. I couldn't play online, but still placed bets on the local shops, even if I was under-age. Of course, I started with low stakes, 2-4$ every weekend on football matches (soccer).
The real problem started when I turned 18 , and I opened my first online accounts. Also, I just got my first job by that time so I had more money to play. Ok, it may also be worth mentioning that I am from Europe, Romania. Here, the minimum wage was 350$ a month 5 years ago and now it's just up to maybe 450$ a month. A lot of people are working full time for these salaries, so the amount I lost in these 4-5 years is big here, and I was not from a rich family anyway.
In these 4-5 years, I think I've seen everything. From turning 50$ into 1.000 $ or more in a single day, only to lose it back in 1 hour. I lost basketball spread bets by only 1 point more times that I can remember. Also, on football (soccer), I lost in the last minute of the match more times that I can remember. I lost on "guaranteed" low odds (even 1.05-1.10) more times than I can remember. I don't want to make this very, very long so I will say this: THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A SURE BET AND IN THE LONG RUN, MOST PEOPLE WILL LOSE IN THIS GAME. THAT'S THAT.
Now, I will try to point out how sports gambling messed up my mind and the mistakes I've made:
  1. When I won big money, I thought that I can make a living out of this , if I have a strategy and played carefully; THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS MINDSET
  2. I lost sleep on many nights. Sometimes , I used to stay awake just to bet on whatever game was going on. It didn't even matter that I knew nothing about these teams. Sometimes, I just could not sleep after a very big loss. Needless to say, this affected several aspects of my life.
  3. I started chasing my losses. Everyone knows that you shouldn't do this but it's almost impossible. Normally, I wouldn't do it. But, when you lost a big bet in the last seconds, the team you just bet to score missed a chance with an empty goal or when you just need 1 more point in basketball and one player misses 2 free throws before the game finishes, discipline will go out the window, believe me.
  4. More important than the money I lost, I lost time I can't ever get back, I had many nervous breakdowns and my social life has suffered a lot. When your head is locked up in that "world", you don't want to talk to nobody. You can't focus even at work. All you think about is the next bet you wil make and how you will turn things around this time.
Ok, so this got a little longer than I first planned and I still feel that i didn't cover all aspects, but my mind is still a mess, as I just stopped my betting a few days ago. I banned myself from all online bookies and I hope that will be strong enough to prevent a relapse.
In conclusion, sports betting is as dangerous as classical gambling (slots , cards) , maybe even more , because most people believe that they have more chances against the house. This may be true, but in the end , the bookies will beat you, no matter how smart you think you are. I tell you guys: If you just started and maybe you won, the worst thing has happened to you. Just take the money , leave, and never look back. Maybe you think you can do this only as a hobby , but I tell you: most people can't do this and remember that no one starts betting serious stakes from day 1. For most people, it starts as a hobby, but then they find themselves in vicious cycle in no time.
For everyone that had the patience to read all of this, thank you ! If you guys have more questions, I will be glad to answer them , so feel free to ask me anything. I hope you have a great day , and I pray that all gambling addicts find the strenght to stop and stay away from this evil vice.
submitted by Chasing_dark_clouds to GamblingAddiction [link] [comments]

A story of timing, luck and degeneracy

As a long-time contributor to this sub, I know we love nothing more than discussing our degeneracy. If nothing else, hearing such stories makes you realise there are other people out there who have lived similar experiences to you. Stories of epic failure provide a sense of comfort. Stories of unexpected triumphs provide a feeling of hope.
The following bets - and the circumstances surrounding each - were not necessarily story-worthy. However, there were a number of intricate details which I felt were worth highlighting. Aside from the statistical rollercoaster than one experiences throughout a game (i.e. going from "how can this lose?" to "this bet is over"), there are other factors which can have significant ramifications for one's betting endeavours.
This is where the factor of timing comes into play. How often have you bet on something purely due to the fact that the game was starting shortly? It could either be a straight wager on the game. Or, you might have decided to add the short-priced "lock" to boost your odds. How often has this then come back to bite you? Or conversely, this random event - where your betting urge coincided with the scheduled timing of this event taking place - results in a recuperation of losses from previous games that you "studied" prior to placing your losing wagers?
Without further ado, this is my story. It is but a speck in the ocean that is my entire betting career. But it was a Sunday night full of swings, sweats and... well I won't spoil the ending.
As you read this, I want you to keep the headline in mind. Specifically, the words timing, luck and degeneracy.
It's early on a Sunday evening in Melbourne, Australia. Approximately 6PM to be exact. We are currently under the world's strictest COVID lockdown. We have an 8PM curfew, and I was keen to get in a 1 hour walk before returning home to make dinner. Now typically - as I had already walked my dog several hours earlier - I would not go for another on my own. But for some reason, I just had an urge to get some fresh air. Here is the first element in play: timing. At 6:10PM, an AFL (Australian Football) was scheduled to begin. As I begin my walk, I inevitably flick through my preferred bookmaker's iPhone app and this game catches my eye. Part of me says "don't bet it". The other part of me curb-stomps that voice in my head and says "don't be a pussy". Now on another note, I placed a daily deposit limit of $3000 on my account. To some, that is insanely big. I generally bet $1000 or so, and so this stops me from stupidly chasing the day's losses. Here is where another element peaks it's head: luck. I had deposited $1750 that day. Had I reached my limit, the following events would only have existed in a parallel universe. But as luck would have it, I had $1250 to play with. So I said 'fuck it' and made the deposit. It's about 6:05PM now and I don't have much time. I sift through the markets on offer and decide it's best to play a Same Game Multi (parlaying multiple events from the same game). With not much time left to make a decision, I quickly check the weather forecast in Gold Coast (where this game is taking place) and note that there is meant to be rain in the second half. (Spoiler: there was no rain in the second half). As this sport is played outdoors, this would favour the unders. So I come up with a bet that looks like this:
ODDS: 4.10
A bet of $1250 would pay $5125.

I was ready to place the bet. The problem? The match was only seconds from beginning.
The time stamp on when the bet was accepted:
18:09:55
I made it by 5 measly seconds.

Ok, so game begins rather uneventfully. Now it's worth noting for those who aren't familiar with AFL that you can score by 1's and 6's. It's late in the first quarter and the total is sitting at 22 points. Needing over 23.5, I'm in desperate need of a goal. The whole bet is about to come crashing down without it. With only seconds remaining a player marks the ball from a score-able position. The siren sounds. Now in AFL, if a mark is taken before the siren ("buzzer"), the player may take their kick. As luck would have it, this legend kicks it right through the middle of the goal posts, and the first quarter score ends on 28. We live on!
Second quarter ends, and the combined total is 52 points. Again, we survive the over 48.5 by less than a full goal! (But this one cleared with a handful of minutes left to play, so there was no sweat involved).
I'l wrap up the remainder of the game fairly quickly, as it is rather uneventful. The final score is 47-49, so the total under 125.5 hits easily, the +34.5 and margin 1-39 hit comfortably, and both players rack up well over their required disposals. Fantastic. My account hits $5125.
By this stage, some would be satisfied. I wasn't. I was out for blood.
The smart move would have been to withdraw, say, $4000. Play with the remaining $1125 (house money), and lock in a profit. But what's the fun in that?
I scroll through the upcoming events and see that there is a Chinese Super League (soccer) match starting in a few hours. This isn't the first example of degeneracy in this story, but it's probably the biggest.
So what do I do? Another Same Game Multi of course. And how much do I bet on it? $5125 of course.
The bet:
ODDS: 1.95
A bet of $5125 would pay $9993.75

Here's where the rollercoaster of events begins.
5 minutes in, we have our first corner.
13 minutes in, we have our second.
Corners are looking good.
Fast forward to half time and Beijing are leading 2-0.
Remember, they had already accumulated 2 corners 13 minutes into the match. 32 minutes without a single corner!
The live odds for over 7.5 were now over 3.00, and I was losing hope.
The second half begins and approximately 10 minutes passes without a corner. I'm fucked.
The next 15 minutes feels like God (aka Bob from NBA Daily Discussion) had blessed me. A flurry of corners results in an 8th corner before the 70th minute mark!
What looked like a total sweat, turned into the easiest of victories. Or so I thought...
The final leg: Beijing or draw - who by the way, were 1.50 favourites to win the match - were still up 2-0. One book had the opposing team at 81.00 odds to win from here. But you guys can guess what happened next.
Wuhan goal!
I'm still leading 2-1. My brain: "it's all good man, you still have a 1 goal buffer".
Barely a few minutes later...
Wuhan goal!
It's now 2-2. My brain: "it's cool, you just need a draw, you're still likely to win this".
Including the 6 minutes of added time, I have to sit through approximately 20 excruciating minutes of soccer, with just under $10k on the line.
Luckily, Beijing did 75% of the attacking. Wuhan did have a few minor chances, but nothing that made the heart sink.
The referee blew the full-time whistle, and I slowly unclenched my ass cheeks.
I waited to see my account balance, just to make sure all was kosher. (You know, we've all been there, when we thought we bet on a certain team, but because their names are all Chinese, you actually bet on the wrong Beijing or something like that).
My balance appeared at $9,993.75.
It was time to call it a night.
I reflected on the past 6 or so hours that I had just been through, and the 3 things that kept popping up in my mind again were timing, luck and degeneracy.
P.S.
Sorry to all the Djokovic and Heat backers. Brutal. Especially Djokovic. I'd say that's a once-in-a-career circumstance, but I think that would be understating how unlikely it is that the best player in the world get's DQ'd because he inadvertently hit a ball into an official's neck out of frustration.
submitted by youngbuckman to sportsbook [link] [comments]

From 300€ to 17 000€, the importance of cashing out.

Greetings,
I don’t know if this story of mine might be of your interest, but here goes: I’ve made around €17,000 in two weeks (!) betting on the Champions and Europa Leagues, starting from no more, no less than €300.
To prove my words, I invite you to check the Golden Boys Challenge rankings for this week and the one before on Winamax, the French betting platform that I use. (https://www.winamax.fen/sports-betting_golden-boy_rankings) You will find me there by the name ‘Tokijin’. Furthermore, I will link to various screenshots of the bets I made throughout this post.
I would like to start by thanking all of you for your daily prognostics and thoughts about the upcoming games. I am not one to follow others blindly; I prefer to form my own opinion. Still, your input is highly welcome, and it certainly helps me consolidate my feelings regarding certain games.
My journey in football betting started in early 2019, when I made it to the Golden Boys Challenge ranking with about €6,000 in gains. These gains were acquired through betting on the Champions and Europa Leagues. I continued betting through the 2019-2020 season; unfortunately, I lost a large portion of my initial gains. Still, I had gained some more by betting on the Women’s World Cup. I think I am simply better at betting on European and international competitions than at betting on the domestic leagues.
My current streak started about two weeks ago with this bet. (https://i.imgur.com/qOLCj0o.jpg) Everything was going well until the FC Basel – Eintracht Frankfurt game, which made me quite anxious because Basel had 4.00+ odds. I cashed out the bet, believing that I was happy with making more than three times my initial wager.
A few minutes after cashing out, I felt the regret. I was convinced that there was a good reason I bet on Basel or Draw, as Frankfurt had not been remarkably successful away compared to home. It was then I decided to bet €500 out of my €1,033 on Basel DNB at 2.25 odds, which were too high for me to pass. My thought process was that, even if I lost the €500, I had secured my initial wager + some profit. I took the shot and it went through. I was so happy. (https://i.imgur.com/INYztI3.jpg)
At this point, I had just a little above €1,600. I withdrew €300 and decided to bet €1,300. The potential gain was close to €40,000. I had never bet that much – I mean, it is a lot of money – but I was confident about the upcoming matches. Everything went well until the Inter – Leverkusen match, where my anxiety got the better of me and I decided to cash out half of the €1,300 bet for €4,000. (https://i.imgur.com/yhtXsxB.jpg)
So far, I had €4,000 worth of benefits out of an initial bet of €300 with the potential to earn €19,000 out of the remaining bet. “Great,“ I thought. “I’m on a roll!” I decided to go for another bet on the side. Since I was confident in Seville and Shakhtar going through, I decided to bet on their qualification to the next round. It went through, netting me another €2,500. (https://i.imgur.com/0r5vY1t.jpg)
While the other bet was ongoing, I decided to go for another one. This one was risky, stupid and it led to me losing no less than €1,500 out of greed. No penalty for Atalanta – PSG, and Atletico Madrid lost. (https://i.imgur.com/DuzvG1c.jpg)
The RB Leipzig – Atletico Madrid match took place the day after the Atalanta – PSG match. I was anxious for it, as I needed this last win in order to cash out my €19,000. I was ecstatic. “No way Atletico will lose against Leipzig,” I thought. In my wisdom, I decided to cash out after Atletico scored – the score was, at that point, 1 – 1. The cashout was still high since I had bet on their qualification and not their victory. I cashed out half the bet for €4,500. The full cashout was €9,000 - €10,000 but I decided to take the risk. Atletico lost, obviously. (https://i.imgur.com/fZHIkpT.jpg)
Regardless, I had gained a total of €9,500 from my first bet to this moment. I withdrew €2,000 and decided to go all in on Bayern beating Barcelona. I mean, with odds of 2, I saw insane value in it, especially since Bayern is such a strong team. A struggling Barcelona would have no chance.
The first few minutes were stressing and frankly awful. Afterwards, the Bayern goals started rolling. I was sitting on €15,000. (https://i.imgur.com/HccFrJn.jpg) It was a beautiful moment. I was relieved and proud of myself. €17,000 worth of profit in two weeks. I had never done that before.
Since then, I made a few other bets that resulted in earning €5,000 more, but I am not risking as much money as with the €7,500 bet.
How did I do it? A bit of analysis and a bit of luck but most importantly I tried to limit my risk. Some people will say that you should never cash out, but I disagree. If I had not cashed out, I would have literally won nothing.
Thank you guys for everything, and as always, best of luck !
submitted by Randomfrenchguyy to SoccerBetting [link] [comments]

Vegas Implied Team Point Totals (Week 2)

I'm back again this week with each team's implied point totals for Week 2 based on Vegas oveunder lines. Some changes I've made: per request I have added each team's opponent, and I have added how each team performed in Week 1 compared to their implied point totals. I included this information because I think it is helpful when determining what teams may be over hyped and what teams are being sold short by Vegas lines. It is important to remember that Vegas lines (and therefore implied point totals) are not set based on how some Vegas experts expect teams to perform, but are instead based on what will get the most bets (and therefore the most money for the casinos). I think there is value to be had in remembering this and exploiting it.
When looking at making start-sit decisions, I often play the player whose team has the higher implied point total because more points = more opportunities for fantasy points. It's also smart to play defenses that are going against teams with lower implied point totals.
My Week 1 post can be found here
Anyways, here are this week's numbers:

Team Implied Point Total Opponent Week 1 Result (OveUnder)
Ravens 29 Texans OVER
Cowboys 28.5 Falcons UNDER
Buccaneers 28.25 Panthers OVER
Chiefs 28.25 Chargers N/A
Packers 28 Lions OVER
Saints 27.5 Raiders OVER
Cardinals 27.25 WFT OVER
Colts 25.75 Vikings UNDER
Titans 25.75 Jaguars UNDER
Browns 24.75 Bengals UNDER
Steelers 24.5 Broncos EVEN
49ers 24.5 Jets UNDER
Seahawks 24.5 Patriots OVER
Falcons 24 Cowboys OVER
Bears 23.75 Giants OVER
Bills 23.5 Dolphins OVER
Rams 23.25 Eagles UNDER
Vikings 22.75 Colts OVER
Eagles 22.25 Rams UNDER
Texans 22 Ravens N/A
Raiders 22 Saints OVER
Lions 21.5 Packers OVER
Patriots 20.5 Seahawks UNDER
WFT 20.25 Cardinals OVER
Panthers 19.25 Buccaneers OVER
Chargers 19.25 Chiefs UNDER
Bengals 18.75 Browns UNDER
Giants 18.25 Bears UNDER
Dolphins 17.5 Bills UNDER
Jets 17.5 49ers OVER
Broncos 17 Steelers UNDER
Jaguars 16.75 Titans OVER

Things I See
I've decided that this week (and potentially going forward) I will include my own observations and analysis from the numbers and how I plan to use this information for fantasy football. I want to emphasize that this is my own personal thinking, and please feel free to use the numbers to come to your own conclusions.
Good luck this week everyone!
submitted by leonardbortles to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]

GUNFIGHTER DAD: Finding Out You're Raising a Terrorist!

I believe I posted this "somewhere" but it was arbitrarily removed without reason. I am pretty certain I deleted it from my "Posts" afterwards also. I have decided to rewrite and post here because I know the mods. One of them is fucking idiot, and an asshole, but I personally know the guy. Pretty certain he will keep it up.
WARNING: There will be cussing in this post. I will likely use unique or different means to describe my children. I sincerely have no intention of offending anyone, yet find myself doing it occasionally. I don't have a gun to your head and you are under no obligation to participate in this shit-show. My sole desire is to provide insight into my life, and maybe a giggle or two. Remember though, "It's all shits and giggles, until someone giggles and shits."
I have previously discussed that I was give a unique opportunity that rarely presents itself in the military; I went home. I got an assignment that was a mere hour from where I claim to be from (Military Brat). I had multiple combat deployments, and my family needed to "take a knee." My wife was a fucking trooper for years, and she deserved a break. It was a time for me to actually parent, and "fuck my tits" I slowly realized I had no fucking clue what I was doing.
My wife was a night shift Intensive Care Unit (ICU) nurse, and I was now a nine-to-five office worker. I fucking hated the job. I'd rather have Hitler cram pineapples into my asshole than ever work an office job again. I, SloppyEyeScream, am not your fucking guy for TPS Reports. It was an odd transition for a "door-kicker." I went from shooting people in the squishy parts, to an office working full-time father overnight. I have been in three Improvised Explosive Device (IED/Roadside Bomb) attacks in my career. Super great times. One of these events can also be referred to an Explosively Formed Penetrator (EFP).
My new lifestyle was an EFP as well, but now it meant Excessive Fatherly Parenting (EFP). Let me tell you; this shit can be dangerous if you don't know what you are doing. These were my typical conversations during my constant train, deploy, rest, train, and fucking deploy again lifestyle.
OP: Babe. Why don't you go do something with your friends?
Wife: Seriously? You'll watch the kids?
OP: Yeah babe, I'll babysit these little fucks!
Wife: (Now mad for some reason.) OP, it's not babysitting. You're their father. It's called parenting.
OP: Even if you don't know what your doing?
Wife: (Laughing) I don't even know If I trust you alone with them.
That was may previous life. The "babysitting" was over though. I was now a Mr. Mom. I was directly responsible for another two humans, Kelly and Cake.
Kelly: Six year old male mini-human. He was like his mother, a book-smart literalist that occasionally lacked commonsense. This mini-human is kind, loving, and wouldn't hurt a fly.
Cake: It's honestly hard to accurately articulate Cake. I really want you to understand this kid. I will do my best. Cake is a two year old crib-midget. My mother said Cake was my "pay back." What a little fucking terrorist he was. When you looked at him you would see a beautiful little boy with long curly locks, loving eyes, and plump cheeks. Most people thought that, and it is the moment you make that assumption in which you just fucked up royally. He was a thumb-sucking-blanket-dragging-TERRORIST.
It was a Saturday. The wife was sleeping in preparation for another 12-hour night shift. Alex, my buddy, and I were watching college football. I had just given Alex the "Cake Brief." Alex was just like everyone else that prejudged Cake; dead fucking wrong.
Alex: No way. He can't be that bad.
OP: Dude. He is a Sour Patch Kid. Mean (Sour) and then sweet, but mostly mean.
The wife and I had purchased an older house. We completely gutted it to open-up the floor plan. Think of a "L" shaped wall. We were seated in the living room which had eyesight to the front door, the dining room, and a considerable amount of the kitchen. The back side of this "L" is the hallway that leads to the front door, and kitchen. Kelly was playing Lego's on the living room floor. Cake was circling the "L". Just pacing, thumb in mouth, with his blanket in tow. Cake was just making laps.
Alex: What's he doing?
OP: I don't know, but he keeps looking at Kelly each time he passes. I bet he is about to do something.
Alex: In front of you?
OP: Yup!
Cake had passed by no less than five times by now. We were no longer watching college football anymore. It was fucking "Shark Week" in the living room. There was a juvenile Bull(y) Shark circling a oblivious manatees (Sea Cow!). Then it happened. Cake stop, looked me dead in the eye, then bit Kelly, on the fucking ear and runs off. Kelly is rolling in pain, and Cake takes off like Usain Bolt in the 100-meter dash; world speed crib-midget dashing!
Alex: (Laughing) HOLY SHIT! He bit'em. On the ear! Then ran!
OP: Please, go ahead and tell me how sweet Cake is.
I am trying to track down the terrorist, and I can hear Alex utter, "THAT WAS FUCKING (PAUSE) AWESOME! Oh. You okay Kelly?" I found the terrorist holed up in this bedroom. He had already placed a toy box in front of the door, and is yelling "sorry." The "sorry" grows increasing louder when he realizes that I am much stronger than his mother. One toy box son? That's all you got?
My wife tells me that I need to, "get down on his level and..." basically reason with a terrorist. I give him the, "I am disappointed in you" speech and successfully reduce him to sympathy terrors. Then this little Sour Patch Kid goes back out, apologizes, and exclaims his undying love for his brother.
Cake: (Two year old cute voice.) I am so, so, sorry Kelly. I didn't mean to hurt you. You are my favorite big brother. Can I play Lego's with you?
Alex: (The "whoa" look.) Dude. That kid is like Drew Barrymore from Firestarter!
OP: Oh Fuck-My-Life. I don't how the fuck WIFE'S NAME hasn't tortured him yet.
THE STORY (Yes. Apologies. You, the Reader, needed the background.)
My weekly routine was rather routine. I drove an hour home, picked up the humanoids from either a grandparents house or daycare, got them situated at the house and then began the mad rush. I had to ensure they had a snack while I prepared dinner, or they would riot. Then I would officially feed them, prepare clothes for the next day, read them a story, and get them to bed. I would then have a whopping hour to myself. I would question my life choices while I showered, and then retired to bed, just to repeat the chaos the next day. Friday was my favorite day of the week.
Friday Night
There was no need to rush on Friday. I would give them their snack while I prepared dinner, feed them dinner, and the I considered myself "off" after that. I would walk may happy-ass to the shower and just soak my aching back until the hot water turned cold. This Friday was no different, until the screaming started.
Kelly: Dad.
OP: I am in the shower buddy.
Kelly: Dad.
OP: I am in THE SHOWER.
Kelly: DAD.
OP: I AM IN THE SHOWER
Kelly: DAD. DAD. DAD
OP: You're a bipedal human. Use your legs and COME TO ME.
Kelly: DAAAAAAAAADDDDDDDDDDD!
This kid fails to use his legs when he needs an adult. His "go-to" is to scream from RANDOM LOCATION in a 3,0000 square foot house. He is paralyzed when he utters, "Dad." It is something that still irks me nearly ten years later. Anyways, I grab my towel, and hastily dry off while he continues to scream. I then make my way down the hall, still wet, and only wearing a towel.
OP: Kelly?
Kelly: Yeah!
OP: Where are you?
Kelly: I am in the kitchen.
It's not long walk. I am standing in front of the fridge, and have a view of the entire kitchen and dining room.
OP: I am in the kitchen. Where are you?
Kelly: Here.
(My god. "Here?" I know a couple Army people who have said that on the radio. "I'm right here, directly below the moon." Fucking really?)
OP: WHERE. IS. HERE?
Kelly: (Head hung low voice.) The...dog kennel.
I walk over to the kennel. My six year old is in the kennel. Locked. In. The. Kennel.
OP: Why are you locked in the kennel?
Kelly: Cake locked me in the kennel.
OP: Cake? How did Cake lock you in the kennel?
Kelly: He asked if I wanted to build a blanket fort. (They make a giant mess of blankets. Live inside them for ten minutes, and leave me with a giant mess to fold. Why the fuck does my wife have a giant wicker basket full of blankets? In case we have 20 people over for movie night and they all require their own blankets that only cover half a regular sized human body?)
I was pissed. I was so pissed I headed straight for the bedroom. They were both watching TV in their bedroom when I told them I would be in the shower. I make it to the bedroom and see Cake sitting on Kelly's bed. I had a very simple game-plan in my head. I ask him if he locked his brother up, he say's "no," and then I ground him from something.
OP: Cake. Hey buddy!
Cake: (Thumb sucking and blanket over shoulder.) Yeah? (Like a, "What do YOU want?" type of "Yeah?")
OP: Did you lock your brother in the dog kennel? (Dear Reader, I draw in air; I was getting ready to yell when this little prick said lied to me.)
Cake: Yes!
Wow! I was not expecting that. What the fuck? I lost my desire to yell. I just wanted to know why the hell he did it. I was now more puzzled than anything.
OP: Why?
Cake: (Removes thumb from mouth. Finally!) Ah. I wanted to watch Diego, and he wanted to watch Transformers. I didn't want to watch Transformers Daddy (THEN LOOKS ME SQUARE IN THE EYES) so I tricked him.
My fucking god! I just sat there on the bed. I didn't even know what to do. I was raising a terrorist.
Kelly: DAAAADDDDD.
OP: Fuck. I forgot to let your brother out.
This is my first Gunfighter Dad Story. I have more. I actually have one that occurred the following Friday. Scared the shit out of me. There was so, so, so much blood. My god, like "combat deployment" blood. Lots! Let me know if you guys like this and I will post more. Totally up to you!
Cheers!
submitted by SloppyEyeScream to FuckeryUniveristy [link] [comments]

APRIL PUTS bag holders.. so ya portfolio looking like the total opposite of what your expecting huh?

Let me guess, after quadruple witching failed, you guys all went to sleep during the weekend thinking this week our lambos and teslas will be printed by the end of this week huh?
Let me guess, you also couldn't wait for this coming monday to huh? thought it was going to be blooody monday huh?
Let me guess, you had one or even two circuit breakers planned for Monday huh?
Let me guess, those so called 'diamond hands' you have are starting to deteriorate into 'paper hands'
Let me guess, your asshole is clinching every time you look at your portfolio?
Do me a favour... GROW A PAIR YOU FUCKING PUSSY. You think we came this far to fold? From getting fucked quadruply from witches left right and centre, getting fucked by the stimulus bill every week, getting fucked by retarded bulls week in and week out. You think we're here to fold? YOU THINK WE CAME THIS FAR TO SELL BEFORE APRIL?
ARE YOU DUMB OR ARE YOU DUMB?
do me a fucking favour, go to the closest mirror thats in your vicinity, loook in the mirror and slap yourself so hard that theres an echo in the room. Slap yourself so hard so you realize that your not drunk, its the markets. We will wait for the markets to sober up, we will wait when the president shuts down the whole country, we will wait when the unemployment numbers come out, we WILL follow suit with italy's economy and europe's economy (unfortunately), we will have more cases and panic.. this fucking list goes on.
BIG RALLY = BIG FALL
Remember, it doesn't matter how much money the feds offer coronavirus, the ronazz will keep on taking. We gave that bitch TRILLIONS and she still wants more? Us fucking bears realize that whatever amount of money we offer the ronazz it wont be enough. the ronazzz wants the WHOLE FUCKING WORLD, not a couple of trillions. SMARTEN UP BEARS. You weak bears are embarrassing us running around this forum crying that your puts are down.
ANY SPORTS BETTORS OUT THERE?
Sports betting (live odds) = options trading, IMO. Except live odds are priced in with time decay, and the greeks priced in with point spreads, better qb, better coach.. etc for sports. lets play football NFL for example:
APRIL PUTS BAG HOLDERS WE ARE IN THE FUCKING SUPERBOWL RIGHT NOW NOT MAY HOLDERS OR JUNE BAG HOLDERS. WE ARE. APRIL FUCKING HOLDERS.
WE ARE ONLY IN THE FIRST QUARTER. FIRST HALF. NOT EVEN IN THE SECOND HALF YET.
The fucking superbowl HALF TIME SHOW(country lockdown, unemployment numbers, aggressive testing, supply chains disruptions, earning and sales) HASN'T EVEN FUCKING STARTED YET
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE.
TL/DR bears panicking right now, do me a ANOTHER favour, go to the fucking washroom, open up this link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ikSfs9LETc and stare at the mirror and follow what hes doing in the song. BEAT YOUR FUCKING CHEST HARDER AS THE SONG PROGRESSES, HUM LOUDER, BELIEVE HARDER AND STOP BEING A FUCKING PUSSY AND ..
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE.
EDIT#1: positions like a true fucking retard IM ALL IN BITCH
https://imgur.com/put52tZ
https://imgur.com/FABUomU
IT DOESNT GET MORE RETARDED THAN THIS BOYS. 2k -> 37k -> 11k. IM NOT FUCKING SELLING
HOLD THE FUCKING LINE. SCARED MONEY DON'T MAKE NO MONEY. DIAMONDS FUCKING HANDS.
EDIT#2 so much vaccine talks/cures. let me tell you something. I was alive when sars got introduced to the world. CV is even worse. they are both from the same family, the same strain. if we had a vaccine or a cure or something to suppress its rapid growth, we would have it by now and we would be working on a vaccine towards CV. reality is, they don't have one. everything is trial and error right now. clinical research trials takes years to produce and test. they are not going to come up with a vaccine before summer. stop being naive. look at the hard core facts with sars. there is no cure.
EDIT#3 AS OF 2:22 PM (LITERALLY 3 MINS AGO) The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S. has surpassed 50,000, or 12.3% of all known cases worldwide
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Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Apr. 4, 1988

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words, continuing in the footsteps of daprice82. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
• PREVIOUS •
1987
FUTURE YEARS ARCHIVE:
The Complete Observer Rewind Archive by daprice82
1-4-1988 1-11-1988 1-18-1988 1-25-1988
2-1-1988 2-8-1988 2-15-1988 2-22-1988
2-29-1988 3-7-1988 3-14-1988 3-21-1988
3-28-1988 * * *
  • ”This is horrible, Gorilla.” These words open the issue this week, because Wrestlemania IV is in the books and, well, it was not pretty. Dave is flabbergasted by how bad a show it was, wondering if this was a dream or a nightmare that he hasn’t woken up from. Wrestlemania III was the best wrestling production of all time. It may not have had the best card, but it was entertaining all around and the fans loved it. It set Vince up as the king of wrestling, all-powerful over the business. He’s still the king, but he’s definitely not all-powerful, and Crockett absolutely kicked Vince’s ass on March 27. Financials will take time to come in, and of course McMahon will win that measure, but we can flash back to January 24 for an analogue: The Royal Rumble won even though the Bunkhouse Finals made more money.
  • Preliminary info Dave has gotten from phoning cable companies and hearing from fans at closed-circuit site is that Wrestlemania interest was down by nearly half of last year’s. The buyrate for ppv could be as low as 6 percent, half of WWF’s expected 12% and still way down from last year’s 10.3%. Even so, the PPV gross would be $10.8 million, of which WWF can expect no more than $3.5 million, plus an estimated $2.3 million from a minimum 175,000 (last year had 375,000) at closed-circuit and a live gate of about $ million and an undisclosed site fee from Donald Trump for putting on the show. The early (and I mean early, don’t get attached to these numbers) overall estimate is a total gross of $14 million, with WWF netting maybe $6.5 million, a far cry from the $18 million they were predicting their take would be. How much was because Crockett ran the Clash? How much was because WWF just has been less interesting? It’s hard to say, but Crockett hurt McMahon way more than anyone could have anticipated.
  • As for the shows themselves, just absolute night and day between them. Crockett’s Clash was a really solid show. It wasn’t as polished a production and only had 30 minutes of wrestling in the first 90 minutes of the show, though this was to allow Sting/Flair to work without commercial breaks so it was an overall benefit. The matches, minus the barbed wire one, were all good. The crowd was into it. Two excellent matches. Probably best to never let Steve Williams talk again, though. The Jim Cornette and Eddie Haskel bit was great and made Bob Uecker and Gene Okerlund look worse than they were. Meanwhile, Wrestlemania made Starrcade 1987 look like Starrcade 1985, and that’s too nice to say even. WWF’s guys, rather than working harder because it was Wrestlemania, opted to phone it in instead because Wrestlemania itself would carry the day. Even Jesse Ventura had no good lines and coasted while Gorilla was like soundbites of his Wrestling Challenge commentary.
  • Anyway, Dave breaks down the major problems for WWF, as he sees them. 1) Hogan - he’s too over, to the point he overshadows everything else and by booking him as just one of the guys in the field, they completely devalued their star attraction. And instead of putting Randy over at the end, which they need to do if they’re going to try and have him be even close to as over as Hulk has been, they put Liz and Hulk over. “It’s like Randy can’t even order a taxi cab unless Liz tells Hulk to flag down the cab.” 2) Hindsight is always 20/20, but Trump Plaza was a terrible venue for a Wrestlemania, and the crowd just wasn’t a wrestling crowd, so they were not invested at all. 3) Steroids. Dave supposes he’s probably the most hated person in the world among the heavy steroid users in the business because of all the nicknames he gives them, but in all seriousness it was embarrassing to watch so many guys get blown up in a minute or two to where they couldn’t even pace out a five minute match. Like, take out the health issues, take out any sense of blame on the guys, Dave says. The tournament was embarrassing. It wasn’t funny to see the guys fail like this. It was just sad. 4) The tournament as a concept flopped. It gave fans no specific issue to focus on because belts in modern wrestling just don’t mean anything to fans - the real draw is the big personalities, and WWF proved it with this show: the only matches anyone cared about were the ones with Hogan and, to a lesser extent, DiBiase and Savage. 5) Spoilers. Too many people knew the outcome, and giving Savage the title is almost a mistake after you’ve given so many spoilers of your own show. ABC News did a report the morning after, saying “Randy Savage was the winner at Wrestlemania, but of course everyone knew it since the WWF magazine had printed the result three weeks ago. The WWF claims the magazine report was simply a typographical error.” Anyway, Dave is sick of people blaming him for their wrestling promotions not being able to draw fans at live shows when they aren’t interesting enough. Newsletter subscribers are maybe 0.002% of the viewing audience - if all Dave’s subscribers quit watching nobody would notice in the viewing numbers. Meanwhile, the fans who read newsletters are probably the most dedicated and put more money into the business than the “marks” do and will be the ones stubbornly holding on to the end if the business somehow were to die. So don’t blame Dave if your show sucks and your creative is bad and you give away your finish weeks ahead of time and don’t even bother changing it.
  • Anyway, Wrestlemania preliminary numbers time. About 540,000 homes on PPV, plus 195,000 through closed-circuit, as far as the U.S. goes. They did just 95 closed-circuit sites in the U.S., 39 of which had less than 2,000 capacity. No word on Crockett’s ratings, but if they hit a 5 on TBS that’s about 2 million homes.
  • So all that said, time to look at the Wrestlemania card. Good production, particularly the opening graphics, but not as far ahead of Crockett as last year now that they’ve upped their game. Battle royal started hot and quickly became your standard boring battle royal. The Hart/Badnews angle at the end saves the match from a dud and gets it half a star. DiBiase vs. Duggan was real slow for a five minute match, and Duggan no longer resembles the worker he was in UWF/Mid-South just a couple years ago. Very little heat. 1.5 stars. Muraco vs. Bravo gets half a star, and both were blown up by the double clothesline like they’d wrestled a hard 20 minutes, but the whole match was under 5. Valentine vs. Steamboat saw Valentine look tired and old, and just not have his famed longevity anymore. Good finish, solid work even with the timing issues. Steamboat coming out with his son and being able to be lost in the moment of just being a proud father was “a tremendous sight” for Dave. 2.25 stars. Savage vs. Reed got a pop for the finish but nothing else, really. 1 star. One Man Gang vs. Bam Bam Bigelow wasn’t good. It was obvious how bad Bigelow’s knee was, and that takes away his agility, which is the thing that sets him apart. Dave says this is a -1.5 star match in a vacuum, but considering Bam Bam’s condition he’s not going to rate it that low and calls it a dud instead. Rick Rude vs. Jake Roberts was a 15 minute draw and Dave hated it. He hated Rude’s tights, the many long rest holds, the fact that there just weren’t any moves in there to pop the crowd, and the fact that the crowd chanted boring. Worst match of the year candidate. -2 stars. Ultimate Warrior blew up before he entered the ring for his match with Hercules and the match was bad. -1.5 stars, and Dave says it was worse than Rude vs. Roberts, but gets a better rating for knowing when to be done quick and not overstaying its welcome like the other match did.
Watch: Cleanse your palate with Hogan’s weird promo from Wrestlemania about faultlines and Donald Trump caring about his family
  • Wrestlemania continued, because holy shit that was a really long paragraph and we needed an intermission. Round two saw Hogan and Andre go to a double disqualification to start off. Andre could barely stand by two and a half minutes in. Lots of shenanigans, Virgil took a nasty suplex on the floor where Hulk didn’t protect him at all, but there’s a glimmer of a future face push for him at least. Maybe his father’s a plumber, Dave quips. Half a star if you ignore the posing at the end (dud if you count the posing). But really, the crowd came to see Hogan pose. DiBiase vs. Muraco had no heat but decent action for its short stay. 1.5 stars. Savage vs. Valentine was good, well-paced with good action. 2.5 stars. Beefer vs. Honkytonk Man amazed Dave since neither was over at all when both usually are decently over. Sherri Martel made more noise than the entire audience. Loads of shenanigans, Beefer’s new haircut makes him look like a Davey Boy Smith with less wrestling ability, dud. Islanders and Heenan vs. Koko and the Bulldogs had some decent comedy and started okay, but got boring quick. 1.25 stars. Savage vs. One Man Gang was watchable but the finish sucked. Half a star. Demolition vs. Santana and Martel was solid throughout, although the crowd seemed on Demolition’s side. If the crowd had been responsive this would have been a really good match rather than just pretty good at 2.5 stars. DiBiase vs. Savage saw the crowd missing “two top-flight guys trying to work a good match” because they were watching the entrance waiting for Hogan. Savage sends Liz to get Hogan, Hogan evens the odds, Savage wins, Hogan must pose. 2.25 stars. Once round two started, the show was pretty decent, Dave thinks, just the first half of the show wasn’t RestholdMania, but Rigor Mortis Mania.
  • Over in Crockett Country, it’s a whole different story. They drew 6,000 fans to the Greensboro Coliseum, and all six thousand were champing at the bit for the show, which created a great energy that the wrestlers fed on for their matches. Rotunda retained the TV Title against Jimmy Garvin in the amateur rules match with a one-count pin, pinning Garvin a minute into the second round. 2.5 stars. The Midnight Express beat the Fantastics by DQ to retain the U.S. Tag Titles in a classic Memphis style brawl that was so action packed the cameras missed a lot of it. Dave gives them 4.25 stars, saying the action earned it 4.5, but the overused finish with the over the top rope throw and the referee reversing the decision lost it half a star, but then the post-match action with Corette lashing Bobby Fulton’s back with a belt got it back a quarter star. Dusty and the Road Warriors (the Rhode Warriors, I almost typed) beat Warlord and Barbarian and Ivan Koloff in a real short barbed wire match, and Dave notes the resemblance between Dudty wearing facepaint and a black t-shirt and Dump Matsumoto (with the notable difference that Dump is prettier). Ivan was bleeding after 20 seconds and Dusty after 90. Dave hates these matches - everyone gets all cautious and careful and stays in the center of the ring, so nothing really happens. 1 star. Luger and Barry Windham beat Arn and Tully for the NWA Tag Titles. Good match all around, 3.5 stars. Flair and Sting had a 45 minute draw for the NWA Title in a match of the year candidate. Slow pace to start, but the heat kept up and they weren’t dull and Flair sold the hell out of every rest hold. Jim Ross and Tony Schiavone did fantastic work on this, particularly Ross who sold the intensity and importance of the match, which was critical for the first half (if only he were still able to do that today). There were supposed to be three judges, but there were five people at the table, only two of them didn’t vote, so no idea what the point there was. Anyway, Patty Mullen (Penthouse Pet of the year and who had been on Ric’s arm the night before on tv) picked Flair. Gary Juster, former NWA promoter, voted for Sting. Sandy Scott then ruled it a draw, and nothing came of the judging gimmick which made it utterly pointless. 4.75 stars
Watch: Clash of the Champions. I’ve set it to start with the Steve Williams promo because it needs to be heard to be believed
  • During Clash of the Champions, after the first match, there was an ad on TBS for the WWF 900 number advertising play-by-play for Wrestlemania. WWF managed to get an ad on TBS during Crockett’s big special, and that’s hilarious. They also ran the first ad for the new Four Horsemen vitamins, which was hilarious but unintentionally so, and Dave thinks they aren’t going to sell a lot of those vitamins.
  • Last week Dave teased a big story, and it’s that Crockett has been negotiating with Ken Mantell of World Class Dave didn’t give any details beyond the tease last week because he was hoping to get more before press time. He promises to never note a major story the way he did again without giving more details up front, because he expected more details to break before he had to print copy but it didn’t. Anyway, negotiations have been ongoing for ten days and there are conflicting reports. Crockett’s goal is taking over World Class the way they did Florida, getting the valuable channel 11 time slot on Saturday nights in Dallas. They’re going to need Fritz on board to complete the deal, though. If it does go through, Kerry and Kevin will have guaranteed work and a push in the NWA, but neither really seems to want the travel, so they’d likely get a deal for local stuff and maybe occasional work in St. Louis. The bottom line everyone needs to consider, though, is that Mantell and Michael Hayes may be the most creative bookers anywhere right now, but they aren’t turning WCCW’s business around and it just may not work out that they can. Dave doesn’t expect a deal done now, but he thinks Mantell and Hayes may give themselves until May to see if their hard work will pay off before considering any offers.
  • An example of that creative booking is the WCCW title change on March 25 in Dallas. Hayes was at ringside with Kerry while Black Bart and Buddy Roberts were for Parsons. Iceman King Parsons is one of the least likely champions in wrestling history, and the match wasn’t particularly good, but the finish saw the lights go out after Terry Gordy came down, at which point Bart and Roberts used flashlights to blind the fans in the front row so nobody could see what happened. When the lights came back on, Kerry was knocked out in the ring, Hayes was bleeding on the floor, nobody knew who hit whom, and Parsons pinned Kerry to win the belt. They even had Kerry carted out on a stretcher. Dave doesn’t think (and actively prays against) Parsons will hold it for long. Hayes looks like the best prospect (nope. It’s going back to Kerry in May at the Von Erich Memorial Parade of Champions). Also, I just learned that King Parsons is his real legal name. I always thought combining Iceman and King was a weird combo of gimmicks, so that solves a mystery for me.
Watch: Iceman King Parsons wins the WCWA World Title
  • Eddie Gilbert is leaving Memphis to book for Continental beginning April 10. Continental’s business is bottoming out and it’ll be interesting to see if Gilbert and Missy can get things going there again like they did in Memphis. This also puts Memphis in some dire straits, since the Gilberts were basically all their storylines and they were drawing triple what they had been by giving the Gilberts such big spotlight, so they’re in trouble.
  • Lanny Poffo, brother of WWF Champion Randy Savage, has a book coming out called Wrestling with Rhyme. It’s a book of poetry coming out in late April and will be available at Walden Books. Man, I remember when Walden went out of business. It was a sad day for me.
  • The only news Dave has from Japan right now is that Bruiser Brody beat Jumbo Tsuruta for the International Title at Budokan Hall on March 27. Tenryu also retained his PWF Title against Hansen.
  • Roddy Piper’s latest project is a new film going into production called They Live.
Watch: They Live trailer
  • A correction on the Bruno Sammartino stuff. WWF isn’t trying to ban Bruno from using his name. They’re trying to ban him from using the trademarked nickname “The Living Legend” in contexts outside WWF. There’s a lot of talk about his radio interview , and some excerpts in the mail section of this issue.
  • There’s a film in the works about former Olympic and pro wrestler Chris Taylor. Taylor was a 450 lb wrestler from Iowa who won bronze in the 1972 Olympics and died in 1979. A book about him called “The Gentle Giant” is being adapted into a film, currently called “Lean On Me.” That does not wind up being the title, and I can’t find a movie based on him so this might have gotten scrapped. In other biopic news, no word from Hollywood on any upcoming Hulk Hogan movie.
  • WWF went up to the number 4 slot in the syndicated ratings for the week ending Feb. 28. They had a 10.6 rating, an increase on the previous week. Crockett’s network fell to number 9 with a 7.6.
  • Paul E. Dangerously firing Joe Pedicino, Gordon Solie, and Boni Blackstone on Pro Wrestling this Week aired this past weekend. It was fantastic stuff, and Paul has cemented himself as one of the top managers in the business. This is all part of a reformatting of the show to a 30 minute format with Pedicino and Patrick Schaeffer (who was the mastermind behind Global doing an IPO to build up a million dollars of operating capital) at the helm, with Schaeffer as the heel commentator.
  • Crockett had a big angle taped on March 21 that they aired this past Saturday, involving Magnum T.A. Magnum was doing an interview when Tully and J.J. came out, then Barry Windham came out and Tully popped Windham with a hit, then hit Magnum. J.J. was behind Magnum and helped Magnum gently go to ground, then Dusty barged in with a baseball bat and swung for the fences on Tully, then knocks out Jim Crockett without realizing who he’s swinging at when Jim and David Crockett and Rob Garner try to restore order. Jim Cornette did a tearful interview about his “good friend Jim Crockett” and Magnum even bladed, though that last didn’t make it to tv. Later on, Magnum came out and hit Tully with a bat in a match to cause a disqualification. Dave loved the concept here at first because you have to imagine Magnum hates being on the sidelines and wants to be involved to some extent and this gives him something to sink his teeth into. At the same time, “the idea of beating up a cripple, which unfortunately is the reality of the situation” is just kind of pathetic. That said, it’ll draw, and it’ll let Dusty (with Magnum in his corner) push himself as top star once again, and it may even be enough to put heat back on Dusty vs. Tully. Dusty will be suspended for 120 days come Saturday’s tv (taking us into July - will we see the Midnight Rider face Flair at the Bash, Dave wonders), Dusty will return as the Midnight Rider with Magnum at his side, and he’ll likely get the U.S. title in the tournament they’re going to hold in May.
Watch: Tully suckerpunches Magnum
  • The Oregon State Athletic Commission held a public hearing on March 18. Topics mostly stuck to safety concerns such as cleaning the mats, barriers at ringside, security, mats on the floor by ringside, etc. A lot of wrestlers were there, along with Billy Jack Haynes and Don and Barry Owen. Most of the wrestlers were negative about the Owens’ promotion, with only Tony Borne and Art Crews saying anything positive. Borne testified against the idea of using mats outside the ring, saying it’s not going to help as much as it hurts the visual effect of a spill to the floor. He also said the commission’s drug testing proposal went too far by including painkillers and marijuana on top of cocaine. The commission indicated they’ll be looking at action like the use of chairs in the future and potentially issuing fines. They also clarified their stance on blood: hardway is good, blading is bad. It’s pretty absurd to say that the more dangerous way of getting color is good but blading is bad, but this whole blood thing has become a thing for commissions around the country because blading sounds absolutely insane to people outside the industry, and even Dave has mixed feelings about it. On the one hand, blading is a minor safety issue at best, especially compared to rampant steroid and drug use and nasty bumps. On the other, Dave’s not sure fans are really drawn by excessive bleeding either, and probably actually turns off a large number of potential casual viewers. It doesn’t hurt if kept rare, but it doesn’t help if half the matches have it. And more dangerous to the wrestlers in a blood match than AIDS (they’re more likely to get that from outside activities) is scabies, which Owen’s wrestlers had an outbreak of not too far back. Rip Oliver said he’s gotten scabies four times since July and wound up giving it to his wife and kids on top of it. The outbreak led the Commission to pass a ruling against wrestlers working while they have communicable diseases and that they must notify promoters.
  • Eddie Gilbert vs. Jerry Lawler on March 21 drew 6,000 fans for Memphis. Gilbert won in what’s being hailed as a great match (and Dave’s heard their match the week before was even better). On tv on March 26 Gilbert acted like he was going to throw fire at Lance Russell, which got Lawler out from backstage in his first tv appearance in a month. They wound up brawling into the parking lot and Gilbert slammed Lawler on the hood of a car, shattering the windshield.
  • Scott Rechsteiner, using the ring name Scott Steiner, debuted as a babyface in Memphis recently. No mention of peaks or freaks yet.
  • Some random trivia about AWA Tag champ Paul Diamond. His real name is Tom Boric, and he was born in Winnipeg, you idiots, on May 11, 1961. He played soccer for the Tampa Bay Rowdies in the old North American Soccer League and was drafted sixth in the 1980 collegiate draft by the Calgary Boomers, before getting traded to Tampa in 1982. He stayed until the NASL folded, which is when he got into wrestling.
  • Anyway, Diamond and Tanaka won the belts because the Midnight Rockers wanted $500 a week guaranteed to stay and Verne doesn’t believe in guaranteed money. They don’t appear to have left yet.
  • [Continental] Looks like Eddie Gilbert is replacing Robert Fuller and going to be sole booker.
  • [USA] The other spinoff from the old Continental promotion ran its first big show in Knoxville, drawing a $10,000 gate. Previous sellouts there hit $27,000, to give an indication of relative value there. Not a lot to report about this. Moondog Spot is there as “The Dog.” He’s not a big dog. He’s not a little dog. He’s The Dog.
  • WCCW drew 1,700 on March 25 for their Dallas show, where Kerry dropped the title to Parsons. The other main event had Michael Hayes vs. Buddy Roberts, and Roberts kept trying to apologize for hitting Hayes, but Hayes wasn’t going to let it slide. Terry Gordy did a run in and broke things up, and told Hayes they sold Angel of Death’s contract so they can all be friends again. Hayes walked out on Gordy, though.
  • [WCCW] Fabulous Lance keeps getting booked for shows but hasn’t returned. His agent still doesn’t want him to be a heel because it’ll cut down his opportunities for tv and modeling work.
  • To illustrate how bad business is for World Class, here’s the biggest gate they drew out of three shows last week in Mississippi: $783.
  • A man named David Peschel of Washington, New Jersey is suing Randy Savage for a million dollars. He alleges that Savage punched and bodyslammed him when he got out of his car at a light to ask Savage for his autograph. He describes Savage as 6’4” and 280 lbs, prompting Dave to ask if this was maybe a different Randy Savage.
  • Rumor has it that Angelo Poffo put a $1 bet on the Wrestlemania tournament. Apparently, his bet was on Ted DiBiase.
  • According to a sumo journal in Japan, Futuhaguro is 99% certain he won’t go into pro wrestling. Koji Kitao will debut near the end of 1989 in the AWA, so I’ll put my dollar bet on the 1% chance.
  • Reader Mike Rodgers attended the Oregon commission hearing on March 18 and writes about his take. The commission is making big improvements to safety that he thinks are great, but thinks they’re overstepping by wanting to legitimately fine wrestlers who use foreign objects or chairs, and says they don’t understand “that promoters do what they can to fill up arenas.” Banning the blade but not blood is just going to increase the chance of legitimate injury, and it’s part of the proof that the commission really isn’t smart to what wrestling really is about.
  • We get a really long letter on Bruno’s radio interview. The writer taped the second hour and is hoping to get tape of the first hour. But before getting to the good stuff, he first wants to note that lying and silly gimmicks didn’t start in 1984 (was Gorilla Monsoon really from Manchuria? Didn’t Bruno employ gimmick wrestlers when he booked Pittsburgh? How about when he’d blade and claim to have spent the night hospitalized receiving transfusions) and that Bruno’s not really got a leg to stand on for “wrestling must be credible and it is an insult to the fans’ intelligence to lie to them.” Fans knew then just as they know now that it’s a work, but that doesn’t matter - you watch the show because it’s entertaining and you want to see the magician do their tricks. Also, the writer weighs in that the real story with the Main Event will be told by the demographic breakdown rather than the overall rating. In other words, is Hulk Hogan the Demo God? Anyway, after all this preamble, we finally get some quotes from the interview:
  • Bruno denies blading happened in his day but says “today, nothing would surprise me.”
  • Says he’ll never work for the NWA. “I wouldn’t touch it with a 50-foot pole.”
  • He breaks kayfabe on George Steele and says he’s been a teacher for years.
  • He thinks Bobby Heenan is a “dud and a disgrace” to wrestling.
  • He compliments Ric Flair as a guy who can give you an exciting 30 or 40 minute match, but the NWA “have an awful lot of bizarre nonsense in there that, to me, is no good.”
  • He says David wanted to be like him and he tried to warn David that these days they aren’t interested in “guys who just want to wrestle” but he’ll be going to Japan where they appreciate that better.
  • He didn’t like doing commentary. He just clocked in, did his job, and left as soon as he was done. He was very uncomfortable and unhappy doing it.
  • Bruno says WWF didn’t really have anything great to generate interest in the tournament for Wrestlemania.
  • A caller asks if his wrestling was all real, and Bruno says “Well, it was in my day, at least I thought it was.
  • We get a letter that feels so much like it could have been a post here on /SquaredCircle when Dave rated Omega/Okada 6 stars that I’m posting it in its entirety. Be warned, it is long, kind of racist, and absolutely bonkers, but that’s not unfamiliar around these parts. It gets the headline “Sick of praise for Japan.”
I get so sick of the way that people talk about Japanese wrestling. There’s no question it should be covered extensively in the Observer because it is a significant part of the wrestling world. However, when you start printing letters that criticize the American society and the jazz scene, then you are going way too far.
Anyone who thinks the Japanese never forsake quality for showmanship is full of it. The rock group KISS has enjoyed phenomenal success there because of their wild appearence [sic] and stage show. In fact, when they stopped wearing their makeup in the United States, they waited almost two years to do the same in Japan because they knew they wouldn’t be accepted there without it. And what about the movie industry? Do you think Godzilla movies are popular because of great acting?
As a student, I find teachers constantly comparing the American intelligence with that of the Japanese. I’m sure that the wrestlers love being compared to Japanese wrestlers as much as I love being compared to Japanese students. The Japanese do well at everything because they become obsessed with it. For them, it’s a matter of pride. If they screw up, it’s not only a mark on themselves but also on their entire family. You may think that’s great, but it puts a lot of pressure on everyone. They spend hours studying and I’m certain spend hours learning wrestling skills and have no time for themselves. Cut the North American wrestlers some slack. They’re just trying to make a living and preserve their bodies in the process. Look at what trying to wrestle like the Japanese did to Tommy Billington. Everyone would love matches filled with nothing but high spots, but working them is a great way to destroy yourself in a hurry. Now there is no excuse for total duds like Hulk Hogan and Andre the Giant either, but there are many non-Japanese who can hold their own without going crazy about it. I wonder how many Observer readers can honestly say that they work as hard at their own jobs as the Japanese in the same profession do. If they do, then I think they would quality [sic] as workaholics.
If there is anything wrong with our society, it’s the lack of national pride, which is so evident in the pages of the Observer. You seem to hate everything that wasn’t imported from the other side of the world. I have absolutely nothing against the country of Japan or Japanese wrestling, but I don’t think it’s up to a bunch of wrestling fans to dictate what’s wrong with our country just because they prefer the Oriental style of wrestling. I think the Observer is great, but I’d like to see you stick to writing about wrestling instead of how rotten our way of life is. I’m sure that’s what a Japanese journalist would do.
  • Anyway, Dave responds to that letter, giving the writer only 4 stars because it’s not in the literally-only-opened-a-couple-weeks-ago Tokyo Dome:
DM: Have I ever written about how rotten our quality of life is or done any cultural comparisons between the U.S. and Japan except to where it pertains to the wrestling business? If I lived in Japan and made a comparison of the quality of the football product and wrote the U.S. product was superior, I hope people wouldn’t take it as an indictment against an entire society.
  • Lastly, it’s about that time of year, I guess, because we have letters arguing about whether Dave should include GLOW coverage or not. Two letters this week on that theme, the first noting what the writer calls a progression in the letters calling for more coverage of women’s wrestling. First were the calls for more coverage of “conventional” women’s wrestling. Then the calls for GLOW coverage. Then POWW. Guess the next will be coverage of the apartment house wrestling scene, the writer supposes. The other writer claims to speak for 90% of subscribers and says Dave would offend that much of his readership if he covers GLOW and POWW and says that if you even consider GLOW to be pro wrestling, you’re incapable of understanding what makes a match good or not. This one asks if Dave’s going to be asked to cover mud wrestling next. There’s no misogyny problem in wrestling fandom. Move along. Nothing to see here.
  • Back to news, the Kentucky Athletic Commission has put up some new rules. There are to be guard rails around the ring now. Throwing an opponent over the top rope will result in a fine or suspension. Ditto for any referee who doesn’t immediately stop the match for it. The top rope rule is now state law, as insane as that sounds.
  • Dave should have national numbers next week, but in Atlanta Clash of the Champions drew an 11.7 rating, with the FlaiSting match hitting 14.5 National numbers will not be nearly that high, but hitting that 5 Dave mentioned earlier that would mean 2 million viewers doesn’t seem so far fetched anymore. Clash beat the NCAA tournament on the networks in Atlanta. TBS is reportedly looking to do another in prime time on a Wednesday early in the summer.
  • Stampede set up an angle where Johnny Smith (kayfabe Davey Boy’s cousin or brother or something) argued with Diana Hart Smith, which got Owen out to defend his sister. Davey Boy was supposed to come in after Wrestlemania to work with Johnny, but Vince put the kibosh on that. There were also considerations for some Stampede guys to participate in the Crockett Cup, but politics (Vince) made that a no-go. So it’s probably no coincidence that when Owen did the job for Hercules it was just outside Greensboro. Anyway, the real takeaway is that Owen is probably coming over to WWF by the end of the year.
NEXT WEEK: Clash vs. Wrestlemania poll results, Clash ratings and Wrestlemania buyrate, an assload of mini headlines because news is apparently thin next week, and more
submitted by SaintRidley to SquaredCircle [link] [comments]

Aren't some bets just free money?

So I've recently stumbled upon political betting, especially involving the upcoming election, and I'm wondering if some of these bets are just free money (hear me out). I've placed some small bets mostly on football games for fun, but haven't really dived deep into the world of betting.
Right now on several betting sites I've checked, the odds on a bet for a Democrat party win in California in the November election are -1500, meaning for every $1 you put in, you receive $0.07, or 7 cents, if your bet is correct. To most people including me, it seems almost improbable that California isn't a Democrat win, so wouldn't this be free money? Also, if this is free money, why does the bet even exist; who can make money betting the other side? I know there's "aLwAyS a ChAnCe" for the other scenario to happen (Republican win) but it's simply not likely. BTW, I'm aware of betting sites' rollover bonus "scams" or whatever, but no way they would run wildly unprofitable bets like this just to try to trick a few people out of some rollover money... right?
TLDR Version: Why shouldn't I just bet my entire 401k on Democrat win in California? Also, who is footing the bill if I win this extremely obvious bet? There's no way there's enough liquidity provided from people who bet Republican win instead... right??
submitted by harrisonrt to NoStupidQuestions [link] [comments]

DWT20 (October 9th 2020)

DWT20 (October 9th 2020)
Testing testing; check one two – DWT is live once again on Reddit!
Terrific, terrific stuff
Alas – promotion has remained minimal; the week has been chocka-bloc with terrific activities. Had almost forgotten simple pleasures owing to the knee-deepedness type consistency of the path that had been trodden for so long. A wee arm reaching down from above - a clasp of forearms; and up out of the sludge for a wee wander about in the open. Very freeing I must say - and if not for the knee-deepedness, then maybe one would not know of the purity one feels currently. There's always been a wee pinch of reservedness when it comes to progress I'll freely admit - when brought up learning the lessons I've learnt and their implications on my own existence - its tough to be anything but humble.
No doubt the output in the wider sense has been limited compared to days of old; the wild sporadic nature of a few years back was the energy of a man who had a back and a pair of kneecaps. Still there they are aye - but the spirit has dissipated by golly (hoo mama haha - ah no);. No the end of the world - but needs must when time and budget are of a tentative nature. As each new product to alleviate pain is purchased, the need for ritual becomes even more of a necessity. Without the apparence of getting up each Satday morn, sitting at the desk, sitting the laptop atop the wee stand thing, switching on the wee bluetooth keyboard - attaching the wee mousey and usb mini-bendy light. On with the Sonos - a wee browse through the options; something infinite tapped on - a couple of tabs of www.reddit.com/DadsWeeklyTreble opening in the browser (one for etching the new manuscript, the other for templating purposes). Then another couple of staples: the gambling page for cash out hovering (even right now haha - ah no), Twitter for linking / supporting banter. Sports news for checking the bollocks journos are saying, The Hat (obviously - an oft dark yet necessary place of virtue where many terrific observations can be made and mused over). Giphy for the gif. The Reddit ERA DWT Pictures folder open to upload the Good Ship. On the phone - Flashscore bookmarks/updates confirmed (also implemented below - each DWT selection is hyperlinked to the corresponding match preview page on Flashscore 😎. Back on the laptop a wee notepad doc prepped containing the table framework that becomes the 'current situ' comment you've all come to love and know.
So whilst worn into the carpet - this path is one I love as much as any routine activity I do. Its not the ultimate experience obviously (as yet) haha - but in much the same way as a person of religion/devotion of some nature; regardless of commentary or opinion, the desire to pursue should always be nurtured if the energy behind it proves irresistable. Sure - in terms of being an actual presence of force in the wider context - there is work to do (hoo mama - ah no); but there has been evidence this energy can exist in association with DWT. A period back in the formative year of DWT where the crest of a wave was surfed upon for a prolonged spell of months (no many - but sure it was; lets say weeks to be safe). In my mind, that sense of achievement was suffice. I like many, enjoy thoroughly gazing through the family photo albums, exploring the pleasant memories they conjure. So much so, even the memories of gazing upon the photos at a younger age are fond; the epitome of an actual happy place.
Continuing the essence of terrific memory collecting is one I have forever and always will be dedicated to creating. Forming terrific memories is a craft; sometimes the groundwork involves openly exploring the dark to reveal sections of map that would otherwise be unknown. The sacrifices of a joybringer are well documented; being the creator of something that is in its essence promoting positivity is raw for the mockery - often the message being promoted is lost amidst all the negativity people create, owing to their disdain. But as a word of advice - I will say this: a naysayer is searching for anything to infect with their own brand of poison. A born fan of your message often doesnae realise that that's what they are. Such is the dilution of material available, amazing art is lost in the translation, owing to the loss of appetite for creation. Whilst there may be periods of disenchantment, I will always pursue what rekindles joy in my soul. It may not become president, it may not land on mars - but DWT will always be welcome in my bosom for a warm embrace.
For those keeping track - last week saw a glimpse of what is possible; two last minute goals for DWT selections (albeit just to equalise)....imagine that'd had happened in accompaniment with DWT backing with last minute winners in place of equaliser. That party would likely still be happing now had that happened. Instead - a dry empty retun for much too many times now. Early season is a proper pain in the balls what with the unexpected nature of certain arseholes deciding they now with have suddenly remembered or suddenly forgotten even, how to play football. So to wrap up - when we head to memory lane, to revisit the joy and pain - we don't complain, as there's warmth in the main. Reddit Running Total (RRT) currently sits at -£122.69. Ah no.

I’m not promoting it in the slightest to be put on; it's purely to be completely transparent about where the beans I'm spilling are being pushed towards – this is after all, a Life Experiment: Can a useless old arsehole prosper under strict weekly gambling conditions? Word of warning; prior to this – not really.
The sticky clarifies - but just to reiterate - here's the format...DRS20 is Dads Recommended Spend: £20. This is a lot of money granted - and I would encourage absolute apprehension if this sort of money represents life altering for you personally if zero is returned. I’m lucky enough to be able to afford to lose £20 in a week; but confess that if I got no return for say, 20 weeks in a row - I would likely be without something I value (a streaming service or summat). I don’t take it lightly. Four bets are placed with this outlay; a £5 Treble (DWT) and three £5 Doubles. Generally if two come up, the bet is covered (up or down £2 or so). My gambling prowess is pretty much a joke; so whilst I advertise, I in no way qualify them as a given. I’m a prick with plenty bollocks to spout is all. This is how I frame it.

So here it is - the one the brings maturity into its inner circle with an extra smear of sexy spread over the buttered toast of dependibility:
Its DWT20

https://i.redd.it/g0f5d3wu48s51.gif

DWT REPRESENTATIVE Opponent Odds
BRISTOL ROVERS lincoln city 14/5
MANSFIELD TOWN stevenage 19/20
SALFORD CITY tranmere 1/1

13.82/1 we get for this selection – terrific.

Over 33's last week; over 13's this week - aye, time shes up on the thirties for now - a wee return to the fold that gained us a shotty or two at predicting the improbable. A solid keystone in the form of Bristol Rovers; theres' a swodge of dependable grease dawbed on the gears working tirelessly to guide the ship into sexier waters. A wee service conducted, the cooling effect lends itself nicely to the mantra whereby a slap is received to the face. A shake of the head, wits regained - its back to beeswax and no fucking mistake - hoo mama 😎

BRISTOL ROVERS are the catalyst to real success this week; away to in form lincoln - you'd perhaps be leaning towards the thought of 'stupid old arsehole'. But here - as mused above; early season is an odd time for many as they settle into the groove of where they fit in the grand scheme. Atop the table they sit, ripe for a snatch and grab given the onus is on them to win most the time - especially at home. Bristol have had a bit of a tough one to get going with; Ipswich and Sunderland both providing opposition to them already thus far. There's an obvious gameplan to execute here. All being well - terrific 😎
MANSFIELD TOWN are doing a bit shite to be fair; no wins in 5 - starting to feel a bitty hot under the collar when nodding to the fact I selected them as league winners amongst my annual 'league winners predictions' wager. Ah no. But here - early days; a wee win the day to kick start the motorbike of hope into life. Step forward an opponent themselves with three defeats in a row - stevenage are longterm pish in the main, straggling down there in the muck. Back with a vengeace then - yippee kayak ay
SALFORD CITY are really starting to settle into being comfortable being rich bloated bastards - wins aplenty piling up over the last several. Time then to turn Salford Stadium into a fortress of Terror; regardless of name - whoever takes the field against them are deemed fodder. Todays fodder is tranmere, who've stuttered along in the main since seasons start - nothing to suggest they're coming to town in a big trojan horse ready to spring a surprise attack on a glossy healthy bunch of pricks like Salford.

So there we have it – nostalgia, hope and determination all apparent in equal measure. This time we do it right; wind in the sails – and off across the ocean in search of new worlds. A powerful pirate ship hunting high and low for treasures. Raise the fucking flag - the good ship DWT is back and ready to provide for its crew. If you play; play safe. DRS20 as always people.
Frustration at the amount won, is better than the heartache at the amount lost.
https://preview.redd.it/dlj2950x48s51.jpg?width=630&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d6b2bc1d80a1345417068781b4a8bb6d34792404
submitted by Dad1903 to DadsWeeklyTreble [link] [comments]

SPORTS BETTING IN INDIA WITH SPORTBET22.COM

Every sport has its fan base all over the globe; India is more famous for its sports spirit as it is followed on a larger scale there. If you talk about cricket, it is followed as a second religion, not only in India but in whole South Asia while other sports are less famous,IPL Betting in India but they are famous enough that betting organizations like Betway India have found their markets in India.
Sports has got fame in India and so betting which has become easier, and popular. Those days are past when one had to find a bookmaker or a punter to do some betting, or betting was restricted to a specific community. Now, anyone can bet from home as some online betting platforms like Betway India have found their market in the country, and they are providing some huge benefits like by providing great betting bonuses and an opportunity to make free bets. Let’s have a look at some sports where it is more beneficial to bet.

  1. Cricket Betting:
Cricket is one of the best sports in the world has a huge number of fans around the globe, but in India, it is more than a sport, so, bet markets have found their markets in the country. Some famous bookmakers like Betway India and Betting 365 provide a huge range to bet on where you can bet on every aspect of the game.
You can start from the toss and make bets till the post-match presentations where the Man of the Match is announced. Some wonderful benefits from these online platforms (Free bets and bet bonus) have pulled a lot of betters to their websites.
  1. IPL Betting:
Indian Premier League is one of the best online cricket leagues and millions of people watch it live, so betting in IPL is also great. You can bet on the following: -

  1. Toss winning team
  2. Strike rate in the power play
  3. Man of the Match
  4. Number of sixes in the match
  5. Best Bowler
  6. A batsman with most boundaries
  7. Match winning team
  8. Target
  9. Number of runs of a particular batsman
  10. Number of Sixes by one team
There are a lot more things to bet on but there are a few things where a person with a small knowledge can bet and win.
Football Betting:
We all know football is the largest sport on the planet with billions of fans. In India, it may not famous as cricket, but it has an immense fan following in the country. Since the football under-19 world-cup has played in India, the fans have become double in number, and so the betting market.
Online bet markets like Betway and Betting 365 have started providing odds on football as well; you can bet on international matches as well as football leagues that are more famous than the international matches. You can bet on the following:
  1. Number of goals by a particular player

  1. Number of assists by a player
  2. Total number of goals in a match
  3. Total number of goals in first/ second half
  4. Top goal scorer of the season
  5. Betting on Horse Racing:
Betting on Horse racing is also famous in the country. There was a time when it was known for the game of a particular class in the country, but since online betting platforms have found their market in the sport, it has come down to every person in the country.
Betway India, and Betting 365 have to provide odds for Horse Racing as well so there is also a healthy list of the aspects that you can on:

  1. Straight Bet (To bet on a horse which you think is going to win)
  2. Bet on a horse to come second
  3. Bet on a horse to come third
  4. Bet on 2 horses to finish in exact order (Horse A to finish first, and horse B to finish second)
There are a lot more to bet in the horse racing, but if you are a person with less knowledge of Horse racing, you can bet on simple things, or follow the odds; and don’t forget, bet bonus, and some free bets opportunity is also there in these online marketplaces.
submitted by jackyseo15 to u/jackyseo15 [link] [comments]

Predicting Lions Games || 2020-21 Season || Week 04

Week 04 - Sunday, 04OCT2020, 1:00pm

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

Lions fan, coming in peace! I'm writing an article series where I predict the outcomes of Lions games using several methods, some of them logical, and some kinda bonkers. It was well-received last year, so this year I thought I would share the fun with our opponents as well! I hope you enjoy.
What the heck? I was surprised. Were you surprised? I was surprised.
How in high heaven did Detroit manage to win that? I mean, it took a last-second-miracle legging by Prater (who is my Lion, as a reminder for those playing at home), but they pulled it off. This week is a matchup that could be even harsher, but maybe this means we’re turning a corner in this young season. Could the Lions overcome the odds two weeks in a row and topple an NFC team that is consistently near the top of the conference? Could they go into their early bye at (2-2) and shock everyone who thought they had them figured out when they were (0-2)? Maybe!
For details about the methodology for these prediction approaches or an explanation of any rivalries, please see here.

Rivalry A: 'Cause I Ain't No Quartaback Girl

Prediction Method 1: Higher QB Rating Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
If there’s one team you don’t want to be up against in a quarterback category, it’s...well, it’s the Green Bay Packers, for which I am eternally bitter. But if there was a second, it would be the New Orleans Saints. Drew Brees is not a man that you want to have to square up against. On his best days, Matthew Stafford is capable, but this season does not appear to be leading up to that. Stafford’s QBR of 60.7 is only good for 19th in the league this season, so “latest” Stafford isn’t necessarily up to snuff with “greatest” Stafford. Brees, on the other hand, is sitting at 80.3, ranking 6th in the league.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 2: Higher Passer Rating Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Passer Rating disagreed with QBR last week, and that was to its benefit as it trusted Stafford over Kyler Murray (both of whom are on my fantasy team, go figure). This time around, however, the gravity of Drew Brees is too much to overcome, and the two ratings are back to agreeing. Stafford has a 93.7, ranking 19th, compared to Drew Brees’s 106.2 in 9th.
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Rivalry B: As, Of Course, Is Tradition

Prediction Method 3: Better Turnover Differential Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Detroit was a surprise last week, managing 3 interceptions after 0 through the first pair of games. They weren’t able to capitalize on them very well, but WHO CARES that’s not what this prediction is about! It kind of assumes that you can make use of those turnovers, and if that’s to its detriment then it’s to its detriment. Point is, Detroit is at a +1 when you weigh those 3 INTs against 2 that they’ve thrown themselves.
The Saints, on the other hand, have taken 2 INTs and 2 fumbles, while giving up 1 of each. That works out to a +2, so they win this round regardless of whether or not Detroit can make a takeaway work.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 4: Average Points Per Game Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
New Orleans isn’t setting the world on fire this year, but they’re in the top third of the league in 10th with 29.3 points per game. Detroit, on the other hand, is in the bottom third, in 23rd with 23.3 points per game. It’s doesn’t sound like much at only one touchdown per game, but, really, “only” one touchdown per game is quite a lot if you could take it for granted. If it’s a shootout, this team is dangerous for Detroit.
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Rivalry C: Every Now and Then

Prediction Method 5: Best 2019 Record Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Detroit’s (3-12-1) is a real albatross around their neck for this category. It’s going to be rare that they get this pick. This week is no exception, as the Saints led their division with an impressive (13-3) record.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 6: Best Team History Record Record: (3-0) / 100.0%
I was shocked by how far down the list the Saints were. I think of them as being a consistent force in the conference, and yet...
Detroit Lions: (563-672-33) / 45.7%
New Orleans Saints: (376-440-5) / 46.1%
...they only beat Detroit by one single position on the all-time “leaderboard”. So for total team histories, the precedent favors Detroit.
Pick: Detroit Lions

Rivalry D: Upper Management vs The Union

Prediction Method 7: More Experienced Coaching Staff Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Lions:
Matt Patricia: 2 years as a head coach Darrell Bevell: 14 years as an offensive coordinator Cory Undlin: 0 years as an defensive coordinator Brayden Coombs: 0 years as a special teams coordinator Total: 16 years
Bevell got years.
Saints:
Sean Payton: 14 years as a head coach Peter Carmichael Jr.: 11 years as an offensive coordinator* Dennis Allen: 6 years as an defensive coordinator Darren Rizzi: 8 years as a special teams coordinator* Total: 39 years
Sean Payton alone has as much experience as the entire Cardinals coaching staff did last week, and the lot of his crew crushes Detroit this week. This is by far the heaviest hitter for years on the job that we’ve seen this season.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 8: More NFL Top 100 Players Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Lions
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Saints
5) Michael Thomas, WR 12) Drew Brees, QB 23) Cameron Jordan, DE 42) Alvin Kamara, RB 67) Demario Davis, OLB 76) Marshon Lattimore, CB 82) Ryan Ramczyk, OT
I could have simply skipped this by quoting the article’s header, “The New Orleans Saints had the most selections with 7”. Quite frankly, though, I wanted to see all of those names written out. No sass, this is impressive. Especially so because, remember, this is voted on by players.
Of course, I must note that two of these players will be injured this week. No less impressive, but perhaps maybe (SLIGHTLY) less impactful for this prediction.
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Rivalry E: It's Just A Game

Prediction Method 9: Madden 21 Simulation Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
The virtual Lions went into this week at (0-3), and they looked weak enough to continue that trend. At halftime, they were losing 7-0. They managed to pull to an even 14-14, but with 0:03 left in the game, they were back to losing at 21-17.
Did my phrasing leave it open to a miracle comeback? Yeah, no. Didn’t happen. These Lions are doing even worse than the real ones.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 10: Tecmo Super Bowl Simulation Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
Detroit started this one strong by...throwing an interception on the very first play of the game. Whoops. Things could have been worse, though, as New Orleans was only able to fire back with a field goal. Detroit gets back on track from their previous interception by marching downfield and...throwing an interception on the 5-yard line. What is going on, 8-bit Stafford?? Next, a pair of downright insane runs from Alvin Kamara get New Orleans into the redzone. Passes are ineffective, but one more run play gets the Saints into the endzone for the first time. Detroit is forced to punt on their next possession, and this time around Drew Brees is on his game. A few impressive passes put Alvin Kamara in position to score again. Getting the ball back, the Lions offense finally finds its legs...but with time running out in the first half, they're forced to give up on a touchdown and rely on a single leg as Prater splits the uprights.
17-3 Saints at the half.
New Orleans starts the 3rd with the ball, but the turnovers begin to balance as a long reception ends in a fumble that Detroit seizes. Then the turnovers begin to laugh in our faces as a Detroit fumble very nearly becomes a New Orleans touchdown. Like, VERY VERY NEARLY. Look at that. Two broken tackles, and that's where we finally stop the guy. Unfortunately, against this offense, that merely delays the inevitable. One play later, the score ticks upward once more. The teams continue to play hot potato instead of football, with turnovers bringing the ball back to the Saints and back back to the Lions. Unfortunately, the opportunity that this presents to Detroit is wasted, as an incomplete pass is followed by three sacks in a row, giving New Orleans the ball with a short field. Surprising absolutely none of you, this turns into even more points with a single long pass that's caught in the endzone. At this point I'm beyond ready for this game to be over, but we still have most of the 4th quarter left. Detroit finally finally finally manages to put up 6, but it merely feels insulting to me as a viewer. This one is long gone, boys. My only proper solace is that Marvin Jones got "vgeta" to start his image URL.
Detroit's onside kick doesn't work, and is returned all the way to the 5-yard line, at which point Alvin Kamara spits in our drink with 0:00 left on the clock, just for good measure.
Final score, 38-10 Saints.
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Rivalry F: Going To The Dogs

Prediction Method 11: Fen's Pick Record: (0-3) / 0.0%
Fen is really struggling this year, and she’s the competitive sort, so you can bet that she’s making her absolute best choices by now, in order to finally get on the board. This week, that choice is Detroit, so she has true faith.
Best of luck, puppy girl.
Pick: Detroit Lions
Prediction Method 12: Elena's Pick Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
Unlike Fen (and probably to Fen’s great irritation), Elena isn’t taking this very seriously yet is happily cruising along with a solid record. She’s just excited to be participating. We’ll see if that excitement allows her to continue dominating this rivalry, as she chose against her big sister. I will say that, for some reason, she picked up both treats and put them in the middle before eating them. Maybe she expects another close game like Detroit had last week?
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Rivalry G: This Was A Terrible Idea

Prediction Method 13: My Wife's Pick Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
“So who do you think is going to win this week?”
“Who are we playing?”
“This week is the Saints. In Detroit.”
“I am not convinced that our win last week wasn’t a complete fluke, and also the Saints are wayyy better than us. So...I’m going to say the Saints. I refuse to get my hopes up.”
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 14: My Mother’s Pick Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
“Lions! Saints! Who wins?”
“Lions and...who?”
“The Saints.”
“The Saints. Where are the Saints from?”
“They are from New Orleans.”
“Umm...well...I don’t know their record, and Detroit lost...zero...one...I’m gonna go with Detroit. I’m thinking that maybe since they won last week, that’ll give them the drive to go two in a row.”
Pick: Detroit Lions

Rivalry H: Money, Meet Mouth

Prediction Method 15: OddsShark Forecast Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
While the average points per game are exactly one touchdown apart, OddsShark is willing to go out a tiny bit farther than that on this limb. Their predicted score is 28.2 - 21.9 Saints. It’s only 0.3 points more than that one touchdown, but it’s always deliberate with oddsmakers.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 16: My Pick Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
Detroit is in pretty good shape this week. We’re coming off of a win that nobody expected, a win that came on the back of some players returning from injury and some honest-to-real adaptability and growth in the playcalling. Pile that onto some very, very key Saints injuries, and seldom before has an upset looked less upsetting. Or not upsetting at all. Whatever. It’s wordplay, shut up.
And yet, I find myself unconvinced. Even after last week, I am still a Quinntricia 2020 skeptic. I am skeptical of the moment-to-moment decision-making during games. I am skeptical of gameday personnel decisions. I am skeptical of the playcalling, and dammit, despite the willingness to use more zone coverage last week, I am skeptical as hell about this defense.
So in the end, I’m torn. I think Detroit is in a good position to pull this off, and I won’t be stunned if they do (though no small amount of that falls on the Saints being in an unusually weak position this week). I don’t expect them to, though, and I just can’t be comfortable making that call. I hope I’m wrong.
Pick: New Orleans Saints

Unrivaled Methods

Prediction Method 17: A Literal Coin Flip Record: (2-1) / 66.7%
The coin was guaranteed to stray from its 50-50 split last week, but it shocked us by the way in which it did so (that is, successfully picking the Lions to win). This week it opts to pick the Saints. The real question is: Is this a genuine pick, or is the sentient coin deliberately making the wrong choice in order to get back to 50-50?
Pick: New Orleans Saints
Prediction Method 18: Honolulu Blue Kool-Aid Record: (1-2) / 33.3%
IF YOU BELIEVE SAINTS FANS, THE SAINTS MAY BE THE ONLY TEAM THAT THE NFL HATES MORE THAN DETROIT. SO YOU KNOW WHAT? LET’S TAKE THEM AT THEIR WORD. PUT THAT ENERGY OUT INTO THE UNIVERSE AND MAKE IT REALITY.
IT’S OUR REALITY NOW.
IF THERE IS EVER A TIME FOR US TO CASH IN ON THE GOOD FEELINGS OF WATCHING AN OFFICIATING TEAM HAMSTRING YOUR OPPONENT, THAT TIME IS NOW. ONE OF US WILL PROBABLY GET TO ENJOY THAT SENSATION THIS WEEK. I POSIT THAT IT IS DETROIT, BECAUSE FUCK YOU THAT’S WHY.
END OF SEGMENT.
Pick: Detroit Lions

Summary

Raw Prediction: New Orleans Saints (4 for Detroit Lions, 14 for New Orleans Saints) Raw Prediction record: (1-2) / 33.3%
Weighted Prediction: New Orleans Saints (2.0 for Detroit Lions, 7.7 for New Orleans Saints) Weighted Prediction record: (1-2) / 33.3%
So it turns out that the win last week didn’t really move the needle here. Both the Raw and Weighted Predictions are in agreement, again, that Detroit won’t be celebrating Victory Monday. In fact, they feel even stronger about it this week than they did last week. They were indeed wrong last week, though (as was I, and I would wager many of you), so don’t lose all hope if you’re in the Honolulu Blue corner. Just...be wary, eh?
submitted by NFL_Prediction_Bot to Saints [link] [comments]

SPORTS BETTING IN INDIA WITH SPORTBET22.COM

Every sport has its fan base all over the globe; India is more famous for its sports spirit as it is followed on a larger scale there. If you talk about cricket, it is followed as a second religion, not only in India but in whole South Asia while other sports are less famous, but they are famous enough that betting organizations like Betway India have found their markets in India.
Sports has got fame in India and so betting which has become easier, and popular. Those days are past when one had to find a bookmaker or a punter to do some betting, or betting was restricted to a specific community. Now, anyone can bet from home as some online betting platforms like Betway India have found their market in the country, and they are providing some huge benefits like by providing great betting bonuses and an opportunity to make free bets. Let’s have a look at some sports where it is more beneficial to bet.

  1. Cricket Betting:
Cricket betting is one of the best sports in the world has a huge number of fans around the globe, but in India, it is more than a sport, so, bet markets have found their markets in the country. Some famous bookmakers like Betway India and Betting 365 provide a huge range to bet on where you can bet on every aspect of the game.
You can start from the toss and make bets till the post-match presentations where the Man of the Match is announced. Some wonderful benefits from these online platforms (Free bets and bet bonus) have pulled a lot of betters to their websites.
  1. IPL Betting:
Indian Premier League is one of the best online cricket leagues and millions of people watch it live, so betting in IPL is also great. You can bet on the following: -

  1. Toss winning team
  2. Strike rate in the power play
  3. Man of the Match
  4. Number of sixes in the match
  5. Best Bowler
  6. A batsman with most boundaries
  7. Match winning team
  8. Target
  9. Number of runs of a particular batsman
  10. Number of Sixes by one team
There are a lot more things to bet on but there are a few things where a person with a small knowledge can bet and win.
Football Betting:
We all know football is the largest sport on the planet with billions of fans. In India, it may not famous as cricket, but it has an immense fan following in the country. Since the football under-19 world-cup has played in India, the fans have become double in number, and so the betting market.
Online bet markets like Betway and Betting 365 have started providing odds on football as well; you can bet on international matches as well as football leagues that are more famous than the international matches. You can bet on the following:
  1. Number of goals by a particular player

  1. Number of assists by a player
  2. Total number of goals in a match
  3. Total number of goals in first/ second half
  4. Top goal scorer of the season
  5. Betting on Horse Racing:
Betting on Horse racing is also famous in the country. There was a time when it was known for the game of a particular class in the country, but since online betting platforms have found their market in the sport, it has come down to every person in the country.
Betway India, and Betting 365 have to provide odds for Horse Racing as well so there is also a healthy list of the aspects that you can on:

  1. Straight Bet (To bet on a horse which you think is going to win)
  2. Bet on a horse to come second
  3. Bet on a horse to come third
  4. Bet on 2 horses to finish in exact order (Horse A to finish first, and horse B to finish second)
There are a lot more to bet in the horse racing, but if you are a person with less knowledge of Horse racing, you can bet on simple things, or follow the odds; and don’t forget, bet bonus, and some free bets opportunity is also there in these online marketplaces.
submitted by jackyseo15 to u/jackyseo15 [link] [comments]

+60,000+ Legends!

Hello Everyone!

As we enter the most wonderful time of the year, the 20 days of footy, we have much to celebrate!

Firstly, we just ticked over 60,000 footy fans in AFL!

We welcome all our new friends from all over the world as our reach expands across to the US and further with regular broadcast timeslots across a range of networks. As well as all our new friends within Australia who are immersing themselves within footy culture from the comfort of their couch and home while we navigate these crazy times. We have welcomed our new friends with weekly newbie threads on a Friday, where no question is silly and all commentary from the perspective of a newcomer is at home and a new Compendium that you should also check out!
It is absolutely amazing to see so many people from all walks of life interacting and bonding over the fierce rivalry of who will host the 2020 Grand Final. Which will obviously be Blundstone Arena.

We thank you all for being so welcoming to all our newcomers. And we also thank you for being all so resilient in such troublesome times. We all know that everyone is going through some serious stuff right now in the world and you have all been so supportive of each other.

This new traffic and influx of users has prompted us to announce a revamped rules list and a reminder to familiarise yourself with them, to ensure the high calibre of content you all produce is maintained.
AFL is a sport that reaches across all divisions of humanity to bring them together to enjoy the Greatest Sport on Earth. Your subreddit reflects Aussie Rules’ diversity, and as such people from all walks of life are a part of our vibrant community.
We have decided to revamp the rules and make them a bit more user friendly, and we are mentioning this now as there has been a substantial increase in abuse and negativity within the subreddit.
If you intend to join in the discussion around our great game there are some basic guidelines the AFL community expects you to follow;
  1. Be Respectful to One Another; our game and the people around it can charge some spirited debate, but that doesn’t give anyone license be uncivil.
  2. Be Kind to One Another; the world is an unkind place enough as it is, AFL has a proud history of making all people feel welcome, and expect new users to do the same.
  3. Don’t do Illegal Things; streams, scamming people, harassing other users that kind of thing are not in the communities control once they are referred to Reddit admins, or other appropriate authorities. Please take care.
That’s it really! If everyone did these things we wouldn’t need the next bit!

1. AFL Users Prohibited Contact

1.1. Do not be a Dickhead.

Reported as: 1.1. Do not be a dickhead.
1.1. What is a dickhead? Not being civil in discussions and debates, and not being respectful of others. Do not be aggressive, call people names, make overtly offensive comments or flame them. Homophobic, racist, sexist, and other intolerant comments directed at those within the AFL industry, community and fellow redditors will be removed, and may also result in a ban. Do not be a dickhead. Being a dickhead, especially repeatedly, may lead to a ban.

1.2. Charging Opposition Player / No Ad Hominem attacks

Reported as: 1.2. Refrain from ad hominem attacks
1.2. Refrain from ad hominem attacks i.e. derogatory comments regarding a person rather than their actions or comments. Offensive comments will be removed and may result in a ban. This includes calling out and negatively usertagging fellow redditors for gloating/spite. Remember the human and play the ball, not the player.

1.3. Contact Below The Knees / Do not Injury Cheer

Reported as: 1.3. Do not Injury Cheer
1.3. Do not Injury Cheer; Any comments wishing injury or taking joy in one will be removed, and may result in a ban.

1.4 Too Many Men on Field / Alt accounts may be banned

Reported as: 1.4 Alt accounts may be banned
1.4. Users, novelty accounts, alt accounts and downvote magnets which make no reasonable contribution to discussions may be banned.

1.5 Illegal Shepherd / Refrain from Discussion on Politics & Religion

Reported as: 1.5 Refrain from discussion on politics & religion
1.5. Unless in a Free Talk Thread or directly applicable to a thread, please refrain from discussing politics and religion. If directly applicable to a submission, please keep the discussion within the thread, and be tolerant of others' beliefs and points of view.

1.6. You Need to Calm Down / Keep Reddiquette in mind

Reported as: 1.6. Keep Reddiquette in mind
1.6. Keep Reddiquette in mind, including general Reddit rules (no illegal activity, no personal information, etc.) We have no control over the action that Admins take in response to breaking Reddit Rules. https://www.reddit.com/wiki/reddiquette

1.7 Yanio, Yknow? / Rumours must be from known personas or media outlets.

Posts only
Reported as: 2.8. Rumours must be from known personas or media outlets.
2.8. Rumours must be from known personas or media outlets; this is to cut down on the influx of fake and troll social media accounts making up rubbish for cheap views and drama. Links to unverified social media accounts or to purposefully anonymous accounts will be removed and the user may be banned.

2. AFL Content Provisions

2.4. Do Not Spam Our Subreddit.

Reported as: 2.4. Do not spam our subreddit.
2.4. Do not spam our subreddit. If the sole purpose of you being a reddit user is to submit content from or to direct traffic to your own website (or blog, or youtube channel, articles you wrote, tweets and twotes from your fan account etc.), we will remove that content, mark your submissions as spam and likely ban you. However, if you are regular contributor of /AFL we are willing to make reasonable exceptions.

2.2 Low Effort Content May Be Removed.

Reported as: 2.2 Low effort content may be removed.
2.2. Memes, advice animals, single line text posts and other low-content posts that do not contribute or spark healthy discussion may be removed at moderators' discretion. This includes ‘lolspotting’ where debate in singular posts for ‘LOL of the Week’, short hot takes from a match just finished ‘Does anyone reckon… ?” or other such similar posts. There is definitely a thread for it during the week or up currently within the subreddit. Please save your Dankest for the Monday Meme thread and read the submission guide for further explanation.

2.1 Do Not Post Streams/Downloads

Reported as: 2.1 Do not post Streams/Downloads
2.1. Do not post threads about streaming or downloading AFL games. Keep them in the match thread or read the How to Watch AFL Guide if you need more information.

2.3 RTFFAQM!

Reported as: 2.3 RTFFAQM!
2.3. Please check the FAQ and New queue before making a submission and keep titles accurate and free of bias. When posting news articles, please use the suggested title or the title on the webpage at the time of posting. Do not use URL shorteners, as any posts with URL shorteners will be removed automatically. Mark any NSFW posts clearly. Posts in violation may be removed at moderators' discretion.

2.6. No Submissions Related To Gambling.

Reported as: 2.6. No submissions related to Gambling.
Any link or text submission to do with gambling or gambling companies will be removed immediately and may result in a ban. Discussion in specific threads is permitted but is at the discretion of the moderation team. This means posts discussing dollar odds for matches, Brownlow winners, and Coleman etc. Flair bets however, are strongly encouraged.

2.7. Highlight and other AFL videos must be of high quality and from reputable websites.

Reported as: 2.7. Highlight and other AFL videos must be of high quality
2.7. AFL related videos, highlights or media must be of high quality and from a reputable platform, such as v.reddit, Gyfcat, Twitter, YouTube or Facebook. Please do not record your TV on your phone in your shaky hand while balancing a pie in the other. Enjoy that pie.
If you need to have a gander of these rules further down the line, as always, they will be in the side bar, alongside the FAQ, the Wiki and a bunch of other cool information.
There has been a severe increase in umpire abuse in match threads and discussion threads. They are members of the AFL cohort and it is against subreddit rules to attack them, no matter how justified or vindicated you feel. Commentary on rules within the game itself, and their implementation are allowed, you're allowed to be critical of how the game is governed, from on the grass and in AFL House.
Please remember the human. They are doing their jobs, they have family and friends, and are also quarantining for AFL and are missing their loved ones too.
In order to continue making the home of AFL on Reddit the best place to be, it is up to you, the legend that you are, and need to be vigilant of this behaviour. If you see any comments or discussion that break rules. Please. Report. It.
We are not all seeing eyes. If you wish to see change within the subreddit, report the antisocial behaviour.
If you abuse those of the AFL community and your peers within this subreddit, you will be banned.
If you send abuse to anyone in the moderating group you will be banned.
Be a dickhead, you will be banned.
We are all human. We are all here for the same reason, to worship to holy deities of Faganism and Dewdis— uhh..here to enjoy the wonderful sport of AFL. Yes. AFL.
AFL is an inclusive, positive and friendly place to meet and discuss all areas of AFL. For everyone no matter their age, gender, sexual orientation, culture/nationality or football team, no matter how much we all hate Collingwood.
We are all accountable for what happens here.

Keep staying awesome, please stay safe and enjoy the 20 days of footy!

submitted by TheGreatJelBeano to AFL [link] [comments]

[Next-Day Discussion Thread] Atalanta 1-2 PSG (UEFA Champions League - Quarterfinals)

Alright, yesterday I created a quick match thread to calm down the increasing flow of new redditors on the sub, we went up to 3,598 online users on the subreddit at some point...
So today, let's have a serious, interesting and calm discussion about what happened during the game yesterday.

Atalanta 1 — 2 Paris Saint-Germain

Quarterfinals

Venue: Estádio da Luz
Attendance: Unkown
Referee: Anthony Taylor (ENG)
Kick-off: 21:00 local.

Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain lineup 4-4-2: Navas; Bernat, Kimpembe, T. Silva (Captain), Kehrer; Gueye, Marquinhos, Herrera; Neymar Jr., Icardi, Sarabia
Atalanta lineup 3-4-2-1: Sportiello; Toloi, Caldara, Djimsiti; Hateboer, De Roon, Freuler, Gosens; Gomez, Pasalic; Duvan Zapata

L'EQUIPE RATINGS

MATCH REPORT

GOALS:

MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

STATISTICS:
Atalanta PSG
Shots (on target) 9 (4) 16 (6)
Ball Possession 39% 61%
Passes 367 593
Distance Covered 108.2 kms 104.9 kms
Fouls 29 13
Corners 4 3
Offsides 2 0
xG 0.58 3.29
FULL STATISTICS
FULL MATCH REPORTS:

UEFA: "Tuchel's side pull off stunning late comeback."

Paris were so nearly the first to land a blow, Neymar racing clear in the third minute only to slot wide with just Marco Sportiello to beat. Atalanta soon found their feet, with Hans Hateboer’s back-post header – smartly saved by Keylor Navas – serving notice of their growing intent.
La Dea’s ascendancy was rewarded before the half-hour when Duván Zapata played the ball neatly into the path of Mario Pašalić, whose first-time effort from just inside the penalty area arced perfectly past Navas.
Paris carved relatively little out of their superior possession for much of the second half, at least until the 90th minute when Neymar squared for Marquinhos to tap in from close range.
Crestfallen, Gian Piero Gasperini's side had barely caught their breath when substitute Kylian Mbappé raced down the left and crossed for fellow replacement Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting to help himself to an added-time winner.

The Guardian: "PSG's late, late double ends Atalanta's Champions League dream" by Barney Ronay

In the end it took £400m of attacking talent, 93 minutes of increasingly frantic football, and a man who mustered up five goals in a single year at Stoke to wrench a thrilling Champions League quarter-final the way of Paris Saint-Germain.
It had to be Neymar, one way or another. The world’s most expensive footballer had played for much of the game like a man trapped inside another kind of storyline, finding space fluently but shooting at goal like a man wearing wooden clogs.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s Atalanta underdogs had played with familiar verve to lead 1-0 with 90 minutes already up. At which point PSG’s labouring star machine finally found some relief.
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, on as a 79th-minute substitute, swung a fine cross into the box, and the ball was deflected in off a combination of an Atalanta defender and Marquinhos.
Three minutes later, with extra time looming, Neymar played an extraordinary, high-pressure pass, taking the ball in a small space outside the area, freezing the moment, then sliding the ball inside José Palomino to meet the run of Kylian Mbappé. His low cross was equally precise. Choupo-Moting turned the ball into the net to set up a semi-final with either RB Leipzig or Atlético Madrid next Tuesday.
Atalanta will remain the wider story and not just because of another stirring show from this high-intensity team of low-cost parts. A Champions League quarter-final represents an all-time high, albeit one that will be coloured by other emotions. The horrors of March in Bergamo are well-documented. This is a region still processing its grief. Freewheeling success on the football field is not a fix or a balm for this kind of real-life pain. But all things considered, it is not a bad place to start.
The other story is, of course, Neymar, and a step into fresh territory for Thomas Tuchel’s version of that oddly brittle PSG star vehicle. Neymar remains, for all the outstanding moments, an object of some frustration among those baffled by the choice to move at his peak to an environment as lukewarm as Ligue 1.
And yet, Neymar did deliver and did so when his team needed it most. There are stronger opponents in the draw but not many better attacks, with Mbappé likely also to be fit for the next round.
The Estádio da Luz had provided an agreeably haunting stage for the latest instalment of midsummer Covid-bal. The late evening kick-off meant Lisbon was at least mercifully cool, a step down from the predicted mid-August firepit.
Atalanta had Marco Sportiello in goal, with Josip Ilicic absent for domestic reasons. PSG were without Ángel Di María and Marco Verratti, with Mbappé on the bench.
The action was frantic from the start. It took Neymar two minutes to produce an astonishing miss, running in on goal unimpeded from the centre circle, then shanking the ball five yards wide of the right-hand post.
Unconcerned by their own suicidally high defensive line, Atalanta set about besieging the PSG end. With 10 minutes gone Hans Hateboer drew a clawing save from Keylor Navas and the game settled into a series of crisp, direct Atalanta attacks, broken up by the occasional white-shirted counter.
For a while that powerful PSG midfield began to dictate its more stately rhythms but it was Atalanta who took the lead. Duván Zapata found space just outside the box, tumbling over as the ball ran on to Mario Pasalic. His first-time shot zinged into the top corner.
The response was familiarly staccato. Neymar produced a nutmeg on Pasalic then pinged a shot just wide. Otherwise Atalanta held their high line and swarmed around the ball, their combinations zippy and urgent where PSG seemed to be playing through a midsummer haze.
Neymar had time before the break to miss another presentable chance, blasting miles over the bar after seizing on a terrible pass from Hateboer and sending Tuchel into mild frenzy in his dugout.
Tuchel has something agreeably pale and gaunt about him at the best of times, striding about the touchline looking like a sad-eyed victorian wraith. In Lisbon, left leg encased in a surgical boot, he could be seen shielding his brow and flinching in horror at times in that first half.
Mbappé, his remaining ace, was sent out to warm up at the interval. And PSG did start with more purpose after the break. Neymar continued to find space but still lacked any sense of edge. A low free-kick on 50 minutes was his fourth shot at goal, his third off target.
With 31 minutes to play Mbappé was on, replacing Pablo Sarabia. His impact was instant, a series of surges down the left offering a threat where PSG had been reliant on Neymar’s twists and spins.
Atalanta flooded that side, surrounding Mbappé with five defenders at times. It looked like being enough, right up until that extraordinary ending.

La Gazzetta dello Sport: "Atalanta, going out like this hurts! Pasalic deludes, but PSG overturns everything in the recovery minutes" by Francesco Fontana

Nerazzurri ahead 1-0 until the 90', then the mockery: Marquinhos' draw and Choupo-Moting's overtaking goal. The Parisians went to the semi-finals and Mbappé's entry was decisive.
Players in tears over an incredible result, unbelievable stuff. Atalanta lost 2-1 on PSG, killing the minutes from 90 minutes (Marquinhos' goal) to 93 minutes, when Choupo-Moting signed the overtaking after Pasalic's great goal at 27 minutes of the first half. The Champions League quarter-finals speak French, in the semi-finals Tuchel's team will go there and now await the winner of Leipzig-Atletico Madrid, on the pitch tomorrow night. In any case, despite the defeat, the Goddess can return to Bergamo with a very high head.
Compared to the hypothesis of the eve there is no news in Atalanta's house: Gasperini bets on Caldara, Hateboer and Pasalic, preferred to Palomino, Castagne and Malinovskyi. So, in his 3-4-2-1, space to Sportiello in goal. In defence also Toloi and Djimsiti with De Roon-Freuler on the middle and Gosens on the left. In front, of course, Gomez and Zapata. On the other side, without Verratti and Di Maria (out for injury and disqualification respectively), Tuchel chooses the 4-3-3 with Keylor Navas between the posts, behind Kehrer, Thiago Silva, Kimpempe and Bernat. In midfield Herrera, Marquinhos and Gueye with Sarabia, Icardi and Neymar in attack (Mbappé starts on the bench). English referee Taylor.
First ring at 3': left Papu from inside the area, para Navas on the ground. The real danger comes 1' later with Neymar who, incredibly, makes a one-on-one mistake with Sportiello kicking out. Super start in this first quarter final. The Goddess is in the game, PSG concedes something. On the 11th assist top of Gomez, who from a distance fishes Hateboer on the second post: dunked by the Dutchman's head, Navas is ok in answering (ditto a few moments later on Caldara, albeit offside). Until the 27th minute, the French push to corner the opponent, then the result changes: a ball to the limit for Zapata who, in a daring way, serves Pasalic, amazing with a left-footed shot to beat Navas on the second post. Goddess ahead. And he'll stay there until halftime, also because Neymar, in the 41st minute, didn't take advantage of Hateboer's mistake (Sportiello's back pass was too short) and sent him out. And by quite a lot. Thrill. We go into the locker room after 1' of recovery.
Tuchel (on crutches due to a sprained left ankle with a fractured fifth metatarsus) is not happy and sends Mbappé to warm up immediately, on the field at 60'. At the same time Gasperini puts Malinovskyi and Palomino in place of Papu and Djimsiti, who just before (57') makes a mistake on the fly: what a chance for the Goddess. In the central part of the shot Atalanta shortens, PSG struggles to create. And it's no coincidence that, at this stage, Sportiello is still watching: it will seem absurd, considering adversary and level of competition, but that's how it is. The changes continue: Gasp throws in the fray Muriel (out Pasalic), Tuchel risks more with Paredes and Draxler for Gueye and Herrera. We're at 74', when Sportiello puts his big foot on Mbappé's right. Navas doesn't make it because of an injury accused just before, on 79' space for Sergio Rico, the reserve goalkeeper. Eleven minutes to go, Mbappé made another mistake (very good Palomino in closing). Gasp called for Castagne and Da Riva, midfielder of the 2000 class at his debut in the Champions League. PSG tries, tries and tries. And at the end, in the 90th minute, he finds a draw with Marquinhos, who puts it in the fray from a few steps. And in the 93rd minute he even overtakes Choupo-Moting, who receives a "chocolate" from Mbappé. Unbelievable, unbelievable stuff. Although a round of applause for this Atalanta is certainly not to be missed.
POST-MATCH INTERVIEWS & QUOTES
submitted by Rerel to psg [link] [comments]

The NFL is back! Week 1 Analysis and Picks

The NFL is back! Week 1 Analysis and Picks

https://preview.redd.it/knje58j5rxm51.jpg?width=1832&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eac23efb343f15553c291e93b420c726ed30ca30
Hello all!
A new season is upon is. I am so excited! A lot has happened since last year, not only in the league, but in the world! This should be a very interesting year of football and its still unknown how all the changes (due to the impact of the Corona Virus) will affect the game. The biggest early impacts will be no preseason and almost no fans. How will that effect the totals and home field advantage? Will it be easier to score in a quieter environment or will it be harder to stay as pumped without the energy of a full stadium? Either way, I am very curious to see what happens!

As with every year I recommenced you start with a Bankroll of at least 100 units, and if you don't want to risk of dropping your unit size if we have a bad stretch, I would start with 200u. Just a reminder, my algo focuses on the small edges found around the league each Sunday and whether its found in spreads, totals, or props... The primary directive is diversification of +EV bets over a large sample size. I feel like this reduces the variance over the 17 Sundays we get to do this. Since there were no preseason games this year, there is little new data to use. Because of this, I will be betting quite lite in weeks 1 and 2. Every season over every sport I have tried, my algo has consistently done better as the season goes on. It is very heavy data driven so the more data, the more accurate predictions.

I do not have time for a full breakdown of every game on today's slate, nor do I have much analytical info to present. Other than player trades/injuries, coaching changes and using the casinos betting percentages to determine where the Sharp money is, there isn't much I can use as predictive data.


Sooo, I am going to put down two lists. The first one is which way I lean in every game. These are plays I have been looking at, and I am leaning on betting them but haven't put any definetes in unless they are in the "my bets" at the bottom. The second list will be my 5 picks ATS that I have chosen for my Draftkings Betting pool.

Leans:
  • Only MIA +7.5 or better. This game is hard to gauge, so many changes for both. Over a TD in a divisional game though
  • Anything CLE +7.5 or more
  • NYJ spread and ml sprinkle
  • CAR ml sprinkle has some value
  • I am leaning SEA because I love Russ in close spread games, but the sharp money seems to be on ATL
  • WAS spread if you can find 7 (5dimes and a few others have a 7)
  • I am leaning DET because they are my dark horse this year but the sharp money seems to be on CHI to open with a win
  • I love IND to come out with a win but the value has slipped away on the line. At 6.5 I loved it, but as it has hit 7 and climbed to as high as 9.5 in some books, I think its safer to stay away.
  • I am leaning GB but Zimmer is a great coach ATS when he has time to prepare, and the no fans might actually help Cousins...
  • I LOVED the LAC at -2.5 , still liked it at -3, but I am a little unsure now that it has passed 3 to 3.5.
  • I am very high on AZ. I think an AZ ml sprinkle has value here. It's odd though because the majority of bets are on the AZ side and the line has barely moved
  • The TB/NO game is just out there for me. Maybe throw a sprinkle on the underdog ml, but I am not sure how quickly this team will start. On the flip side, part of the Saints advantage(besides being a good team) is the noise in the dome. How will the low/no fans change things in this iconic match up :D
  • DAL/LAR is another toss up for me. I am leaning rams +2.5, but there is a good amount of money on DAL and a lot of the analytics people are high up on america's team this year. If there is a +EV play that really stands out to me in this one, its the Over. Both of these teams should have potent offenses this year and this should be a great prime time game.

DraftKings $2 Million Pickem National Championship
Week 1
  • IND -7.5
  • NYJ +6.5
  • CLE +7.5
  • LAC -3.5
  • AZ +6.5

I have placed a couple units in personal bets but if you're going to follow my algo, I would recommend taking week 1 and maybe week 2 off to collect some data.

If you want to sweat my personal bets (these will be included in the W/L totals for the season) they are below and in the comments up until game time. But again, these are my personal leans with very little input from my algo. Tail with caution.

My Bets:
  • NYJ + 6.5 (1u to win 1u)
  • AZ ml (0.5u to win 1.23u)
  • LAC -2.5 (1.2u to win 1u)
Little Parlay action
  • IND ml, NE ml, LAC ml, NYJ +10.5, AZ/SF O42.5, DAL/LAR 044 (4u to win 27u)

Thanks for reading and good luck to all! :D
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