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 | Fundamental U.S. dollar forecast for todayUSD shorts are now the most popular Forex trading strategyThe market is driven by emotions. If the EUUSD bulls are taken by the euphoria, no negative economic data will hold them back! The U.S. industrial production data have exceeded the forecasts, the U.S. retail sales are back at the pre-crisis levels. In the euro-area, however, the euro-area employment has dropped the most on record since the series begun in 1995. But the euro buyers are going ahead. Investors are confident that the euro-area economy will recover, and the U.S. growth will face a recession amid the coronavirus pandemic.BofA Merrill Lynch notes that 36% of asset managers surveyed by the bank said the U.S. dollar sell positions are their favourite trading strategy, the highest in the history of research. This strategy is much ahead of all the others, its proportion increased by 6% from 30% in July, and, most likely, it will continue to gain popularity. BofA Merrill Lynch names, among other reasons, the loss of the greenback's position as a reserve currency. In fact, the countries that are under pressure from the USA are active participants in the process of de-dollarization. The proportion of the US currency in the trade settlements between Russia and China has been for the first time below 50%. In 2015, for example, the dollar’s share in the Russia-China trade settlements was more than 90%. Dynamics of USD share in China-Russia trade settlementsSource: Wall Street Journal Washington tries to affect Moscow using sanctions, but it uses much more sophisticated measures concerning Beijing. President Donald Trump ordered ByteDance to divest the U.S. operations of its app TikTok as the social media will cease to work in the USA in 90 days. A U.S. reprieve that had allowed some US companies to work with Huawei without a license now expires. The USA warns that the sanctions will target other China’s corporations, including Alibaba. The US-China relations are getting tense, the parties even delayed the meeting planned for August 15 to assess the fulfilment of obligations under the trade agreement signed in January. The EUUSD bulls, however, are not concerned about the trade conflict escalation. They expect that amid such a scenario the euro’s share in the global FX reserves will increase. According to 40% of asset managers polled by BofA Merrill Lynch, this process will start already in 2021. Forex seems to be taken away by euphoria. Hedge funds’ dollar longs versus the world eight major currencies have been in the red for the first time since May 2018. The main reason is said to be speculators’ growing interest in the euro. Dynamics of speculative dollar positions and Treasury real yieldsSource: Bloomberg Of course, bulls’ enthusiasm used to quickly result in the capitulation in the past. However, under the current conditions, I mean the difficult epidemiological situation in the USA, Fed’s grim projections, and the upcoming presidential election in November, the US stock indexes are growing, and the EUUSD can well grow as well. Amid the current situation, it is important to check buyers’ willingness to continue the rally anyway. If the resistance at 1.188 is broken out, the pair can well continue rising. For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-dollar-is-out-of-fashion/?uid=285861726&cid=79634 |
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Forex is one of the most liquid financial markets that attract more investors year by year. By 2019, the total daily turnover is equivalent to $5 trillion, having grown from $1 trillion twenty years ago. This knowledge makes it one of the most liquid and attractive financial markets with 24/7 availability. Most Popular Forex News TOPICS: Most Popular Forex News. How Justin Mueller’s Forex Simulator Can Save (and Make) You Thousands of Dollars – The Ritz Herald Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:32:30 . Forex Trading in a Post-COVID World – FinSMEs Tue, 08 Sep 2020 09:18:00 . The Most Popular Forex Trading Methods, Which is… The Most Essential Forex Trading Skills and How to… Popular Price Pattern Study and Their Success Rates; What is Forex Trading and How Does It Work Trading… The 4 Most Common Forex Trading Personalities; Quasimodo Forex Trading Strategy - The Most Reliable… The 3 Most Essential Forex ... Metatrader 4 is by far the most popular forex trading platform in the world today. It was released back in 2005 by Metaquotes Software and quickly became the traders’ favorite piece of software because of its user-friendly interface, variety of tech indicators, and auto-trading capabilities. Most Popular Forex Pairs. Some currency pairs are more liquid than others, which in theory makes them easier to trade. Below you will find information on the most popular currency pairs with the highest trading volumes. There is also plenty of information available online on each of them, should you wish to do further research. ...
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