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Piala Eropa atau euro 2020 merupakan sebuah event yang sepakbola bergengsi yang juga merupakan bagian dari kualifikasi piala dunia FIFA. Jadi tim bola yang nantinya akan dinyatakan lolos untuk masuk Piala Dunia harus telah melewati serangkaian pertandingan kualifikasi terlebih dahulu dan ini biasanya melalui Europa League atau Liga Eropa. Rencananya UEFA EURO 2020 tersebut akan digelar di 12 kota 12 negara Eropa mulai dari tanggal 12 Juni sampai 12 Juli 2020. Adapun beberapa negara yang dipilih untuk pertandingan tersebut diantaranya adalah Amsterdam, Baku, Minsk, Brusell, Sofia, Budafest, Kopenhagen, London, Bukares, Yerusalem, Roma, cardiff, glsgow, dan lainnya. Ini adalah Liga atau piala yang paling bergengsi yang bisa dijadikan sebagai salah satu media pertaruhan.
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Arsenal vs FC Koln
Competition: Europa League
Kick-off: 8:05pm, Thursday, September 14th.
Location: Emirates Stadium
Team news:
Arsene Wenger will rest a host of first-team players when Arsenal begin their Europa League campaign at home to FC Koln, but Alexis Sanchez and Jack Wilshere may feature.
Petr Cech, Laurent Koscielny, Aaron Ramsey, Mesut Ozil, Granit Xhaka, Danny Welbeck and Alexandre Lacazette have all been left out of the squad
Wenger says the best way of returning to the Champions League next year is via a top-four Premier League finish.
"We did that for 20 years," he said.
"We got 75 points last year and overall, I am humble enough to be happy to win every competition," added the Frenchman.
"I think the best way to do it is through the Premier League."
Wenger has included Chile forward Sanchez in his squad for Thursday's game.
The 28-year-old - Arsenal's top scorer last season with 30 goals in all competitions - was close to joining Manchester City this summer before the Gunners pulled out of a £60m deal.
Opta stats:

• This is the seventh consecutive season Arsenal have faced German opposition in Europe - they've faced Bayern Munich in four of those (2012/13, 2013/14, 2015/16 and 2016/17), Borussia Dortmund in three (2011/12, 2013/14 and 2014/15) and Schalke once (2012/13).
  
• Arsenal and Cologne faced each other in the 1970/71 Fairs Cup, with the Gunners losing on aggregate on away goals. Arsenal won the home leg 2-1 at Highbury with goals from Frank McLintock and Peter Storey.
  
• This is Arsenal's first European match not played in the Champions League since the 2000 UEFA Cup final, which they lost 4-1 on penalties to Galatasaray after a 0-0 draw.
  
• Cologne's last European match against English opposition came in September 1995 - they routed Spurs 8-0 in an Intertoto Cup match.
  
• In European competition proper, Cologne's last win over English opponents was in December 1976, beating a QPR side featuring Frank McLintock in the UEFA Cup.
  
• The Gunners haven't lost a home game on a Thursday since Boxing Day 1974, losing 2-1 to Chelsea at Highbury - they've won eight and drawn three since.
  
• Including qualifiers, Cologne will be the 64th different team Wenger has faced in European competition as Arsenal manager - he has registered at least one win over 56 of the previous 63 (89 per cent).
  
• Lacazette has been involved in 10 goals in his last 10 starts in the Europa League (eight goals, two assists).
  
• Of players to have featured in the Europa League for at least 600 minutes since 2009/10, Mesut Ozil has the best minutes per assist ratio, averaging an assist every 110 minutes. Ozil featured in the 2009/10 Europa League, assisting six goals in eight matches for Werder Bremen.
  
• In three of Arsenal's last four European competition campaigns outside of the Champions League, the Gunners have reached the final - 1994 and 1995 Cup Winners' Cups and 2000 UEFA Cup final.
  

Betting:
Arsenal are just 4/9 with Sky Bet to make a winning start to their Europa League campaign, with Cologne up against odds of 11/2, while the draw is priced at 7/2. The Gunners are joint outright favourites at 7/1 alongside AC Milan, while their German opponents are given a 33/1 chance. Lacazette and Olivier Giroud head the first goalscorer betting at 11/4 apiece, while Artjoms Rudnevs is considered the visitors' main threat at 10/1 to open the scoring.

Arsenal vs. Red Star Belgrade
Competition: Europa League
Kick-off: 8:05pm BST, Thursday, November, 2nd
Location: Emirates Stadium, London
Team news:
Arsenal:

• Shkodran Mustafi (hamstring), Sead Kolasinac (hip), Santi Cazorla (ankle), Danny Welbeck and David Ospina (both groin) will all play no part against Red Star.

Red Star Belgrade:

• For the visitors, left-back Milan Rodic is serving a one-match suspension after picking up a red card when the two clubs met last month.

Opta stats:

• Arsenal's win in Belgrade was their first in three meetings with Crvena Zvezda - they also met in the 1978-79 UEFA Cup last 16 when Arsenal were eliminated after they lost 1-0 on the road and then drew 1-1 Highbury
  
• Arsenal have only ever won their opening four games in the group stages of European competition once - winning their first five in the 2005-06 Champions League en route to the final
  
• The Gunners are unbeaten in all six of their home UEFA Cup/Europa League games under Arsene Wenger, winning the last five in a row after drawing with PAOK Salonika in 1997-98
  
• Arsenal have only failed to score in one of their last 26 games in European competition, with that failure coming at the Emirates against Barcelona in February 2016 (0-2)
  
• Olivier Giroud has been directly involved in eight goals in his last eight starts in Europe for Arsenal (seven goals, one assist)
  

Betting:

• Arsenal are Sky Bet's 1/3 favourites for the victory, with Crvena Zvezda up against odds of 8/1 to win and 9/2 to leave the Emirates with a point. The Gunners are even shorter odds to win Group H and 11/2 outright favourites. Giroud heads the first goalscorer betting at 11/4, despite not being considered Wenger's first-choice option for Premier League action, while Richmond Boakye is rated the visitors' main threat at 8/1 to net first.

World Cup Tips & Predictions
Alright lads, here we go! As I’m writing this we are 7 days away from the start of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia and to say I’m excited is an understatement!! Over the course of this article I will be giving my predictions and tips for the tournament and my reasoning behind them. Some really nice bets lined up and I will be doing daily tips once the tournament starts. Also just want to mention that I am working on a video explaining a strategy where you make 100 6 cent attempts to predict the exact finish of each group where the returns range from anywhere from 14k all the way up to 250k, all for a total investment of €6! (Iea was taken from a post on this subreddit) So it is definitely worth a try. Just before we start, depending on where you are reading this you can follow my progress and my other tips for the tournament on my twitter page @TheProfitBets. So without further ado, let’s get into my World Cup predictions!
Winner: France @ 13/2
The main bet most people will look towards before any major tournament is “Who is going to win it?” so it’s only right that we start things off here. France are 4th favourites for the tournament behind Argentina, Germany and Brazil. So why do I fancy France over others? First of all, let’s look at talent. France are truly blessed at the moment talent-wise and an XI of players France aren’t bringing to Russia would put many other National teams to shame. In each position France have World Class players from Llorris in goals to Kante, Pogba (On his day), Mbappe and star-man Antoine Griezmann (who we will hear more from later). They have many different options off the bench also and can approach games in many different ways with players like Giroud, Matuidi, Fekir and Tolisso all offering something different. This squad is largely similar to the squad that narrowly lost out in Extra-Time to Portugal in the Euro 2016 final so tournament experience is something France have in their favour, even given the youthful look of their squad. France are in Group C with Denmark, Australia and Peru and are expected to progress with ease to the Round of 16. Where they will likely face Uruguay, before a possible gauntlet run to the final where they would possibly have to beat Portugal, Brazil and Germany before lifting the trophy. A tough run no doubt but with the huge depths of talent at their disclosure I think that the French can go all the way. The reason I fancy France over others is because of that depth of squad, which can only be rivalled by Germany, who France beat 2-0 in the Euro 2016 Semi-Final. The likes of Argentina and Brazil are reliant on a couple of players and if Messi/Neymar were to have a bad day or get injured, their teams likely would not be able to pick up the pieces (*see Neymar’s absence vs Germany in 2014 and Messi carrying Argentina through qualification). This leaves me at a toss-up between France and Germany, which I find very hard to call but have leaned towards France. France are currently priced at 13/2 in most bookmakers.
Top Goalscorer: Antoine Griezmann @ 13/1
I’ve gone for Antoine Griezmann to be top goalscorer at this year’s World Cup. His finishing is deadly and his pace and eye for goal is among the best in World football at the moment. Griezmann won the golden boot at Euro 2016 with 6 goals and is coming off a season where he scored 27 goals, including 2 in the Europa League Final. The main reason I’ve picked Griezmann is because of the group France are in. France are likely to put plenty of goals past Australia, Denmark and Peru and we could easily see the Atletico man score a few in the group stage. Griezmann is also France’s penalty taker which will probably see him scoring at least one or two goals from the spot throughout the tournament. Although Griezmann is my pick for top goalscorer other honourable mentions include Neymar @ 12/1, Timo Werner @ 20/1 and Thomas Muller @ 33/1 (World Cup Muller!). Overall though I feel the Frenchman is a good bet for the golden boot.
Group winners/to qualify ACCA @ 11.6/1
Now that we have done the two main outright single bets, let’s look at some multiple selections. This bet I look at who I think will win or qualify from each group to make a nice looking 11.6/1 accumulator. This is nicely priced and will provide entertainment for each game in the group stages.
Group A – Uruguay to win group @ 10/11
Group B – Portugal to qualify @ 4/11
Group C – France to win group @ 1/3
Group D – Argentina to qualify @ 1/7
Group E – Brazil to win group @ 2/7
Group F – Germany to win group @ 2/5
Group G – Belgium & England to qualify @ 2/9
Group H – Columbia to qualify @ 4/9
I think this looks a great bet. Uruguay will play an Egypt side without Mo Salah and should have too much for Saudi Arabia and Russia. Portugal should beat Iran and Morocco to get out of the group. We have already looked at France. Argentina should qualify from their group however it is a tricky group so feel free to leave them out as 1/7 is an awful price I think. Brazil should see off the Swiss, Serbians and Costa Rica to finish top of Group E. Germany should be well able to see off Korea, Sweden and Mexico. Belgium and England will surely breeze past Tunisia and Panama while Columbia should get out of a tricky group with Poland Senegal and Japan. This is one of my favourite bets for the tournament so let’s hope it goes our way!
Last place treble @ 5.6/1
This is a nice little treble where I look at teams who I think will finish bottom of their groups.
Group A – Saudi Arabia to finish last @ 2/5
Group B – Iran to finish last @ 10/11
Group H – Japan to finish last @ 3/2
Saudi Arabia are competing in their 5th World Cup and their first since 2006. They are in Group A alongside Uruguay, Egypt & Russia. On paper they look to be the weakest team in the group and they will open the tournament against hosts Russia. Every other team in their group has far superior players and a last place finish looks likely for the Saudi’s. Iran are in Group B with Spain, Portugal and Morocco. Again, Iran are by far the weakest team on paper and it is hard to see them getting a result from either game with Spain or Portugal and will likely not have enough to challenge a Moroccan side with players such as Benatia and Ziyech. 10/11 looks a great price here. Japan are in Group H with Columbia, Poland and Senegal. They were in Columbia’s group in 2014 where they lost out 4-1. I think Poland and Senegal will also have too much for the Japanese and I see them finishing bottom of the group. Overall, 5.6/1 looks a decent price for this bet and looks to be great value.
Group Games ACCA @ 18/1
More of a fun bet that looks good on paper so I’m not going to go through each selection here as it is an 11 fold! But nonetheless here it is!
France to beat Australia @ 2/9
Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 4/11
Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7
England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4
Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5
France to beat Peru @ 4/11
Belgium to beat Tunisia @ 1/4
England to beat Panama @ 2/9
Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3
Group Game MEGA ACCA @ 127/1!!
This one is a bit of a stretch to say the least but I’ve put a free bet on it for some excitement.
Uruguay to beat Egypt @ 4/7
Portugal vs Spain over 1.5 goals @ 2/5
France to beat Australia @ 2/9
Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6
Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 2/5
Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7
England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Portugal to beat Morocco @ 8/15
Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4
Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5
France to beat Peru @ 4/11
England to beat Panama @ 1/5
Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3
Spain to beat Morocco @ 4/11
Jesus that was a mouthful! Going to be hard to land that one but that is not the focus of my tips for the tournament by any means!
Best Value Bets
Here are some bets that I feel offer great value whether you back them as singles or in multiples.
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Iran to finish bottom of Group B @ 10/11
Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6
Egypt to score vs Russia @ 4/7
Egypt to beat Saudi Arabia @ 8/11
Brazil & Serbia to qualify from Group E @ 6/4
Portugal & Spain to qualify from Group B @ 4/9
My favourite bets are the 11.6/1 bet and the 5.6/1 treble but what I’m most excited about for the World Cup is the 6 cent bets which we will look at in the next article. Thanks for reading and be sure to give me some feedback or have some discussion on my twitter @TheProfitBets. Cheers!

Now that the remaining teams are within striking distance of the quarterfinals, the interest for the Europa League has increased. There are a couple of strong contenders for the titles, including the reigning champions, so there are not going to take this remaining game slightly. While half of the games are two lopsided to present any interest to football fans, punters will still pay attention to everything that happens on the pitch. Betsafe gives them a compelling argument, by offering great odds on the outcomes. Shakhtar will play against Anderlecht ends credited with the first chance to advance the next stage, with bookmakers expecting the Ukrainians to win the first leg. Dortmund is also favored by bookies, despite the fact that they play against Tottenham which is in great form. The English side was more concerned about winning the Premier League and that's why their resources will be diverted towards the domestic competition. There also less likely to win on the road but will give their best in front of their fans. Sevilla plays on the road and the reigning champions are known for their inability to defeat other teams are they don't have home pitch advantage. Lazio can definitely relate to their struggles away from home and the Italian side is going to those its efforts in Prague. Both teams are expected to win the second leg, so punters should refrain from betting on their victory outright. A better solution would be to trust them to claim at least one point and these bets would make a great accumulator. By far the most exciting games are the ones played between Spanish teams, with Athletic Bilbao taking on Valencia. They've already defeated them last month by three goals to none and this time they also have home pitch advantage which means a great deal. Villarreal will also play the first leg in front of its fans and takes on Leverkusen, a team that used to play in the Champions League. Unfortunately for them, they are completely out of form and will have a hard time containing the threat posed by the Spaniards. Elsewhere, Fenerbahce was pit against the very difficult opponent as Sporting Lisbon is quite capable of winning games away from home. The Turkish side has the advantage of leading the domestic league by two points, yet Beiktas has a gaming hand. Sporting is in the same situation after failing to defeat Benfica over the weekend and both teams will do their very best to win the domestic championship. This is the kind of game that punters should avoid or at least bet on fewer than 2.5 goals. Last but definitely not least, the English rivalry is reignited when Liverpool takes on Manchester United for a chance to make the quarterfinals. Since both of them are out of the race on the domestic front, they can throw everything they've got in this fight. This is a game that could go either way, but it makes sense to bet Liverpool,…
from
via Casinoreviews

Basically a while back out on a threefold of outrights for the FA cup, Champions League, and Europa League, picked Chelsea, Real Madrid and Atletico respectively, it returns around 1.6k. This is a lot for me, usually only bet 1-2 pounds don’t have much money atm being a student in my overdraft. Anyone got any advice on if/when I should counter bet so I am guaranteed some money? Thanks in advance.

Europa League Betting Tips: Dortmund Remain the Team to Beat despite Tough Draw

One of the best decisions that UEFA have made in recent years is to grant the winner of the Europa League an automatic place in the Champions League the following season. This has turned a competition that was in danger of becoming a non-entity into something worth winning; and fans and punters alike have been rewarded with a last 16 line-up here that contains some of the biggest names in European football.
The likes of Borussia Dortmund, Tottenham, Manchester United, Liverpool and holders Sevilla will battle it out for honours, and while for the former pair a Champions League place in 2016/17 it likely to be secured through their fine domestic form, the latter trio is still sweating on their ability to finish in the upper echelons of their respective league tables.
With most of the sides left in the competition quite fancying their chances of winning, we can bet with more confidence that their motivation levels are suitably high. So here are some betting tips to ponder:

Outright Winner

Straight off the bat we have to fancy Borussia Dortmund to win the tournament, and so they are the best of the football betting tips from Bet Advisor today. Available at 5.00, we have to remember that the German outfit are five points behind the unstoppable Bayern Munich but a full fourteen ahead of third-placed Hertha Berlin. They may be destined to finish in the Champions League places, but don’t expect to see them resting key players when their Europa League fixtures come round; a crucial distinction.
Sevilla will defend their trophy with gusto of course, but their away form in La Liga (no win in 14) suggests they may lack the quality to get the job done over two legs.
Of the English trio it is perhaps Liverpool who stand out at 12.00. They don’t have any pressure on them domestically, so can pour all their resources into lifting the silverware. They have a decent pedigree in Europe in recent years too.

Borussia Dortmund v Tottenham

One of the ties of the last 16 is undoubtedly this clash between the second-placed teams in the Bundesliga and Premier League respectively. Despite their symmetry in terms of league position, the actual nature of their campaigns couldn’t be more different.
Dortmund are on easy street domestically, and quite frankly are scoring goals for fun at the moment – averaging more than two per game.
Spurs, meanwhile, have a particularly stressful situation to deal with; they could, mathematically, still either win the Premier League title or finish below their bitter rivals Arsenal in third. Either way, Tottenham’s focus will be on domestic duties, and that’s good enough reason to back Dortmund to win this tie as part of your football betting tips at 1.63.

Liverpool v Manchester United

Those in the know believe that the team that hosts the first leg of a two-legged fixture boast the power. That’s mainly because they can head into the second leg in complete control of their own situation – whether that’s to defend a lead or find an away goal or two. With away goals being such a commodity in tightly-contested encounters, we would have to say that Liverpool hold the aces here.
This isn’t a vintage Liverpool outfit by any means, but four wins in their last six will have buoyed Jurgen Klopp and his troops. Playing against their most detested rivals – arguably more so than Everton in some circles – will bring the best out of the Anfield crowd, and this Manchester United appears to be lacking the kind of leadership that will help them cope with such a raucous occasion.
As such, we’re happy to back Liverpool to progress to the quarter finals at 2.00.

Basel v Sevilla

The gulf in class between these two sides is clear, but given their respective home/away form we’re happy to give Basel a chance here.
The Swiss league leaders have won 10 of their 11 home matches this term, while Sevilla have failed to win in 14 on the road (nine draws, five defeats). Basel drew with Fiorentina on home soil – and they are no mugs – in the group phase of this competition, while the Spanish side lost all of their three Champions League away matches; conceding eight goals in the process.
Supporting Basel in the Double Chance bracket at 1.73 looks a sensible investment.

England Premier League + Championship

POTD Event: Manchester City - Arsenal Prediction: Arsenal +1.50 Odds: 1.86 Stake: 1U
Man City have no new injury problems and are very close to full strength, with just Kompany and Mendy out, neither of whom are being missed given the current form of the team, even if they would be first choice if available. Minor changes are likely from midweek, Walker, David Silva and Gabriel Jesus all being in line for recalls, leaving the team a little stronger and more balanced overall. They're in superb form coming into the game, having won their last 14 in all competitions, which makes the -1.25 handicap justifiable, even if Arsenal will pose a very tough task. Only a win will please and with current momentum they'd be disappointed with less, taking the game to their visitors with an attacking approach. If they go behind, crossing the line could be a little harder. With a full strength attack at their disposal, they'll feel they have what it takes to break down the Arsenal defence on a couple of occasions, and even if ahead they'll not ease up or play cautiously. The 3.5 total goals line reflects this as it could be an open game for long stretches. If Man City trail, a lot of risks would be taken, leading to chances at either end as a defeat isn't acceptable.
Arsenal are expected to be at full strength for the trip to Man City, but will need to take a late decision on Kolasinac, who has been struggling with a slight groin issue. He's trained and is expected to be fine though. They rotated heavily as normal in midweek, but are likely to revert back to the line-up from the previous league game, which is their best available, with no key players out. Away form has been fairly poor by Arsenal's standards this season, and though they need to get a result to keep touch with the top teams, a +1.25 handicap is about right considering the form of their hosts. A draw would please but they'll turn up and look to assert themselves on the game with intent to win. Confidence could drain if they go behind though, so scoring first will be important. With their attacking threat they'll feel they can cause enough problems to work chances against Man City, with the 3.5 total goals line suggesting an open game. Their natural approach makes them vulnerable in transition, and though they'd become a little more conservative if leading, it's not their true strength to be defensive and play on the back foot for long spells.
Arsenal have been going along quite nicely of late, winning eight of their last ten in all competitions, though this does include some mediocre Europa League opponents. Regardless, it has built momentum and belief in the squad, and they'll travel to Man City with plenty of confidence. Given the form of their hosts and the relatively poor away league form shown by Arsenal up until now, they'd be more than happy to come away with a draw, which would be a considerable feat at this stage. They won't fear Man City, and there won't be any lack of motivation.
Event: Everton - Watford Prediction: Everton -0.25 Odds: 1.86 Stake: 1U
Everton continue to have a number of injury problems coming into the match, but only Martina is a new absence and doesn't weaken. Keane is the main concern but is expected to return and could replace Williams in defence, which is a slight positive. Senior players rested in the Europa League midweek will also be recalled, with Unsworth sending out his best team in search of turning form around. Despite their desperately poor form, Everton come into the game as slight favourites with a -0.25 handicap, but with belief in the group so low, it won't be easy at all to overcome this and take a win against an away strong Watford. Only a win pleases and the players should be plenty motivated, Unsworth describing the game as a cup final, but if they trail they could crumble. Goals haven't been easy to come by for Everton this season, and with their need to get a win more than impress with a performance, the 2.5 total goals line is just about fair. If they go behind they'd have no choice but to open up and really attack, as anything but a win is a massive failure and deepens the crisis at the club. If they lead, they'd be very likely to drop in and become very cautious.
Watford have some concerning team news as five players who would be seen as first team regulars will miss out. However, just one change is likely from the previous game as Gray replaces the suspended Deeney in a neutral change in attack. Further rotation with a weakened squad would leave the team worse off, making changes in personnel unlikely. Despite their team news, Watford will be feeling fairly confident of their chances coming into the game, having been very strong on their travels so far. They're fresher and in better spirits than Everton, and will feel they can get at least a draw to overcome the +0.25 handicap. They'll be content to play on the break and won't open up unless trailing by one in the final few minutes. With a strong threat on the counter attack, Watford will feel they can trouble the Everton defence with regularity. They'll aim to start quickly and try to unsettle a confidence hit and nervy opponent. If they got in front they'd dig in and defend, making it harder for the 2.5 goals line to be crossed, though they'd keep playing forward on the counter whenever they get the opportunity.
With their need to win, Everton may look to be a little more expansive in their approach for this game, but a 4-3-3 system looks most likely, as above all they can't afford to lose or be left trailing early on. They lack confidence, so starting the game solidly at the back should be the first step. If they go behind they'll likely struggle to even take a point from the game, having lacked cutting edge and firepower in front of goal. Real risks would be taken as they need a win, but to get anything from this clash in all likelihood they would need to score first and consolidate. It is also important to mention that they left all the best player at home for the midweek match in Lyon and something like this could be proven crucial to secure a win.
Event: Middlesbrough - Sunderland Prediction: Middlesbrough -0.75 Odds: 1.88 Stake: 1U
Middlesbrough are slightly sweating on the fitness of left back Fabio, who has been struggling with illness. He was due to train on Friday, so he should be fine. Friend waits on standby, and is an excellent alternative to have. Considering Middlesbrough are in good recent form, no changes are anticipated unless any late issues materialise. Gestede remains the only injured player in the squad. Quite a high -0.75 handicap has been afforded to Middlesbrough ahead of this clash. The doubts are that this is a big local derby and it could easily turn into a tight and scrappy affair. Middlesbrough haven't lost to Sunderland since 2008, so the fans will contribute to a big atmosphere. That'll help and recent form is much stronger. Middlesbrough are rightly favourites and should win. Most of Middlesbrough's matches have been low-scoring affairs, so beating a 2.25 total goals line could be tough. Sunderland are lacking goals and whilst they concede many, they will be motivated and harder to break down. Middlesbrough aren't known for scoring many themselves, plus defensively they remain well-organised and hard to penetrate on a regular basis.
Sunderland begin life post-Simon Grayson with Browning, Vaughan and Maja the only injured players. Changes are expected to be made by McKinlay and Stockdale, just to offer a lift and some freshness. Steele, Jones, Cattermole and Watmore could all be recalled into the starting eleven as they are characters where this local derby will mean a lot to them on a personal level. Sometimes a change of manager brings an improvement in the squad as the players know they now have a new man to impress to stay at the club with the January window not far away. Recent form is simply terrible but Sunderland do prefer playing away from home. They've drawn four of their last five, so they haven't been used to losing in recent weeks at least. A win looks unlikely at a +0.75 handicap. A very bad defensive record has contributed towards mostly matches involving at least three goals. A repeat could see Middlesbrough have a great day and beat the 2.25 goal line outright themselves. The tight nature of local derbies though may mean more of a tactical game whereby fewer chances are created. Middlesbrough can be frustrated at home, so Sunderland aren't without hope.
Middlesbrough enter this local derby in high spirits on the back of two fine away victories. The pressure will be on them in this game as they are viewed as the better team at this moment. Depending on results on Saturday, a victory could take Middlesbrough into a play-off position.
So in short, 3 bets:
Arsenal +1.50
Everton -0.25
Middlesbrough -0.75
I would also like to mention, that Arsenal are undervalued at anything over 7.00(my model shows "real" odds at around 5.00 - 5.30), so if you want a bet at bigger odds, go for it.
Good luck! Previous results(a couple of leagues and sports missing, taking quite a bit of time to get everything in excel).

Auto-Refreshing Transfer News Thread from Sky Sports
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18:04

HYNDMAN JOINS HIBS

Hibernian have announced the signing of midfielder Emerson Hyndman on loan from Bournemouth until January.
https://twitter.com/HibsOfficial/status/1027253201790230528
17:55

BREAKING NEWS

Sky sources understand Rangers have rejected West Brom's £3m bid for James Tavernier and will not consider selling until their valuation of the full-back has been met.
17:54

GILLINGHAM EXIT

https://twitter.com/TheGillsFC/status/1027250707324391424
17:50

ONE IN AT MORECAMBE

Morecambe survived relegation to the National League by the skin of their teeth last season and have beefed up their forward line in a bid to avoid a repeat performance this season.
https://twitter.com/ShrimpsOfficial/status/1027235878429773824
17:41

SCHOLES: UNITED NOT CONTENDERS

Manchester United legend Paul Scholes does not believe his former club have the quality to challenge Manchester City or Liverpool in the Premier League this season.
"When you look at Manchester City, possibly Liverpool, I don't think they [United] have the quality of those two teams at the minute. Liverpool have made some really good signings. United finished above them last season," said Scholes, speaking in Hong Kong.
"I just don't see United getting closer to City. City are a really good side, great manager, some great players, a way of playing that they all know about and Manchester United seem to be not too sure what's going on.
"You don't really know the team, you don't really know the players, you don't know how they're going to perform from one week to the next. So I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see them challenging for the league this year."
17:23

WATCH: TRANSFER CENTRE

The Transfer Centre rounds up of all the latest summer transfer stories from Sky Sports News.
17:13

LOAN DEAL

Hartlepool goalkeeper Ryan Catterick has joined Guisborough Town on a short-term loan deal.
17:13

LOAN DEAL

https://twitter.com/CAFCofficial/status/1027239679253471233
17:11

WATCH: 'PEP TREATS KEEPERS LIKE PLAYERS'

New Southampton goalkeeper Angus Gunn says working with Pep Guardiola at Manchester City played a big part in his development.
17:07

NEWCASTLE UPDATE…

Here’s the latest from Sky Sports News’ Richard Graves…
“It’s certainly never dull is it around Newcastle United, especially in the transfer window. You feel they are probably still in the market for another striker, despite bringing in Salomon Rondon on a season-long loan. They also need to strengthen in defence. Federico Fernandez, the Swansea City defender is certainly one name that has been linked with Newcastle. In terms of attacking options Liverpool striker Danny Ings is another name.”
17:03

GERRARD THE TRANSLATOR

Rangers boss Steven Gerrard entertained journalists in his news conference by acting as translator for new signing Nikola Katic.
16:57

SPURS LATEST

SSN reporter Roger Clarke gives us an update from Tottenham's training ground in Enfield:
"It will be interesting to see what Spurs do next, with Villa seemingly digging their heels in. They are saying Jack Grealish is not for sale.
"So do Spurs go back in with an improved offer and hope they can force Villa's hand going into TDD? Or do they look elsewhere?
"But Grealish seems to be the one they really seem focussed on and have been all summer..."
16:50

'THIS SEASON IS ABOUT WINNING'

Alexis Sanchez says he has put last season behind him and it is all about winning things with Manchester United this term.
16:48

HIBS WON'T BE DISTRACTED BY MCGINN TRANSFER TALK

Efe Ambrose is confident Hibernian can brush off the loss of Scotland midfielder John McGinn and produce another memorable European performance against Molde.
McGinn was absent from training on Tuesday and Wednesday after going down to Birmingham for talks as Aston Villa battle Celtic for his signature.
"I don't think it's going to affect us," the former Celtic defender said. "We are a team, not an individual. We know it's been coming so we will just focus on the game, that's the most important thing for Hibs.
"We know if John is here he is a plus for the team, he is a good player. So we are without John but we are still here and we still have the quality of player to do well.
"So we focus on the game and leave John to deal with everything that is going on around him.
"We wish him well but in football players come and go so we are not going to be distracted by his transfer."
16:40

HIBS IN HYNDMAN LOAN TALKS

Hibernian are in talks with Bournemouth over the loan move for Emerson Hyndman, according to Sky sources.
The American has previously played in Scotland while on loan at Rangers in 2017.
Hibs want to get the deal done before the UEFA Deadline tonight so he can play in the Europa League qualifier against Molde at Easter Road tomorrow.
16:35

EVERTON LATEST…

Here’s an update from Sky Sports News reporter Vinny O’Connor at Everton's Finch Farm training ground:
“It’s good news for Evertonians at the moment. This deal is close, very close. Bernard flew into Manchester airport earlier this afternoon.
"Not only was he met there by our camera, but he was also met by Everton’s player liaison officer as well. He made the short trip to Everton’s Finch Farm training ground. He arrived at around 4.15pm and he’s been in there ever since.
"He’s going through the formalities of a medical and they also have to go through the process of sorting out a work permit as well. No real problems are anticipated, certainly from the information we are getting at least. The way this is going to pan out it seems is that once this deal is signed and sealed the likelihood is that Everton will announce Bernard tomorrow, well into time of the 5pm deadline."
16:32

TEA-TIME WHISPERS

The latest from our friends at Football Whispers as we approach tea time...
https://storify.com/services/proxy/2/XB0hRUBaFHJzlTF_dTyFuQ/https/storify.com/services/proxy/2/3zW0Xcwdm6wwUWbFmPP-_g/https/d2kmm3vx031a1h.cloudfront.net/cmr6c202RtuD9acinTnm_2018-08-08-17-13-58-sky-top-10-graphic.png
16:31

WEST BROM MAKE £3M TAVERNIER BID

West Brom have made a £3m bid for Rangers captain James Tavernier, according to Sky sources.
The 26-year-old full-back has made more than 140 appearances for the Ibrox club since joining from Wigan Athletic in 2015 and scored a penalty for Rangers in their opening day draw against Aberdeen on Sunday.
16:18

'MAN UTD WORKING ON FOUR TARGETS'

Sky Sports News reporter Kaveh Solhekol gives us an update on Manchester United's pursuit of Jerome Boateng and Harry Maguire, among others...
16:08

ALEXIS WANTS 'BIG SIGNINGS' AT UNITED

Alexis Sanchez says Man Utd must sign players of Arturo Vidal's calibre if the club are to compete for trophies this season.
"At United we have to sign big players, with experience," Sanchez told Sky Sports. "Barcelona just signed Arturo Vidal, who is a great player and my team-mate from Chile.
"He is an example of the type of players we need to sign in order to win trophies and compete at the highest level.
"From what I've seen in training, Fred is a player who always wants to get forward, he is always trying to get forward and from a personal point of view I think we'll be able to combine well and it will be good for my game."
15:53

BRYAN SET FOR VILLA MOVE

Joe Bryan has undergone a medical and looks set to join Aston Villa in the next few hours, SSN understands.
Villa manager Steve Bruce has reportedly fought off interest from a number of Championship clubs for the Bristol City defender.
The fee for the 24-year-old is thought to be in the region of £5m.
Bryan made 48 appearances in all competitions last season and was involved in Bristol City's season-opening 1-1 draw at home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday.
15:50

LOPETEGUI WANTS KOVACIC TO STAY

Real Madrid boss Julen Lopetegui says he wants Croatia midfielder Mateo Kovacic to stay at the Bernabeu.
15:45

BIRMINGHAM SIGN CAMP

Birmingham have completed the signing of goalkeeper Lee Camp on a free transfer from Cardiff.
The 33-year-old, who spent the second half of last season on loan at Sunderland, has penned a two-year contract with the Sky Bet Championship club.
Camp is set to become Birmingham's first-choice goalkeeper, casting doubts on the future of both David Stockdale and Tomasz Kuszczak.
https://twitter.com/BCFC/status/1027215401942429697
15:43

SMITH JOINS SEATTLE

Bournemouth defender Brad Smith has joined MLS club Seattle Sounders on a season-long loan.
The Australia international made 11 first-team appearances for Bournemouth after moving from Liverpool in 2016, and missed the majority of last season with a hip injury.
Bournemouth retain the option in January to recall Smith from Seattle, who are currently eighth in the Western Conference.
https://twitter.com/afcbournemouth/status/1027215975203188736
15:35

MAN UTD WANT BOATENG ON LOAN

Man Utd are keen to bring Jerome Boateng to Old Trafford – but only on loan, rather than on a permanent basis, SSN understands.
Jose Mourinho still has the German international as his No 1 choice recruit – but privately behind the scenes at United there are fears over a permanent contract for a player with a chequered history of injuries.
Boateng, 29, suffered muscle and tendon injuries over the past three Bundesliga campaigns, missing 27 games in total since December 2016.
With one day left of the summer window, Mourinho is running out of time to find a new central defender. Privately, United believe Harry Maguire is not for sale at Leicester and as things stand, Yerry Mina’s chances coming to Old Trafford looks increasingly slim.
Executive Vice-Chairman Ed Woodward has made funds available to Jose, but is determined not to pay over the odds in the current market.
15:32

WOLVES CLOSE IN ON DENDONCKER

Wolves are closing in on a deal to sign Belgium international Leander Dendoncker, according to Sky sources.
SSN understands the Anderlecht midfielder travelled to England on Wednesday to discuss personal terms and undergo a medical with the Premier League club.
Dendoncker has made more than 170 appearances for Anderlecht since his debut for the club in 2013.
The 23-year-old has represented Belgium on six occasions and was included in Roberto Martinez's final 23-man squad for the World Cup in Russia, in which the Red Devils finished third.
15:22

BERNARD ARRIVES AT FINCH FARM

Brazil midfielder Bernard has arrived at Finch Farm to undergo his medical at Everton.
15:19

BORO TAKE HUGILL ON LOAN

Middlesbrough have completed the signing of West Ham striker Jordan Hugill on a season-long loan.
https://twitter.com/Boro/status/1027211693028466689
15:16

MCGINN TO MISS HIBS' EL CLASH

Hibernian will be without John McGinn for the Europa League encounter with Molde after Neil Lennon resigned himself to losing the midfielder following bids from Celtic and Aston Villa.
15:03

WATFORD KEEN ON WARD-PROWSE LOAN

Watford are interested in a loan deal for Southampton’s James Ward-Prowse, according to Sky sources.
However, SSN understands the young English midfielder is not available on loan and the Saints will rebuff any such advances for the player.
14:46

TRIO IN TALKS FOR SLIMANI

Sporting Lisbon, Fenerbahce and Besiktas are all in talks to sign Leicester striker Islam Slimani, according to Sky sources.
Slimani was Leicester’s record signing when they paid Sporting £28m for him two years ago.
The Algerian spent the second half of last season on loan at Newcastle.
14:42

'WITSEL TURNED DOWN MAN UTD'

Axel Witsel rejected a move to Man Utd this summer, the player's agent has claimed.
Bundesliga side Borussia Dortmund completed a deal to sign Witsel from Chinese side Tianjin Quanjianearlier this week.
"There were other candidates. Manchester United wanted him, Napoli too," Paul Stefani told Belgian outlet HLN.
"But I told Axel: 'At Dortmund you are the number one, at Manchester you are one of the many... and at Napoli too'."
14:32

GREALISH DISAPPOINTED AT VILLA STANCE

Jack Grealish is very disappointed and disillusioned that Aston Villa are refusing to sell him to Spurs, according to Sky sources.
We understand the midfield player was promised he could leave before Villa’s new owners arrived at the club last month.
Grealish has not given up on moving to Spurs and he is still hoping that Villa will let him move.
14:23

ALL QUIET AT HUDDERSFIELD

As we wait for new signings at Huddersfield, the locals enjoy a game of crown green bowls...
14:20

GIROUD TO HOLD CHELSEA TALKS

Olivier Giroud says he is set to hold talks with Chelsea over a new contract.
The France World Cup winner joined the Blues from Arsenal in January, but his current deal expires at the end of this season.
Giroud attracted interest from Atletico Madrid earlier this summer.
"No, I am happy here at Chelsea. I just arrived a few months ago and am just starting to settle well,” Giroud told the Standard.
"I still have one year (of my contract) to go with Chelsea, plus maybe another one. I'm going to discuss that with the club at the right time. There is no rush."
14:15

BERNARD ARRIVES!

Good news for Everton fans as Brazil international Bernard has arrived at Manchester airport ahead of his expected medical at Finch Farm, which the midfielder is expected to have in the next 48 hours.
14:09

BACHMANN JOINS KILMARNOCK ON LOAN

Watford goalkeeper Daniel Bachmann has moved to Kilmarnock on a season-long loan.
The 24-year-old former Austria U21 international, who joined the Hornets in July 2017, will spend the entire 2018/19 campaign with the Scottish Premiership side who are managed by Steve Clarke.
https://twitter.com/OfficialKillie/status/1027195190191247360
13:56

LYON CAN'T RULE OUT FEKIR

Lyon manager Bruno Genesio admits Nabil Fekir could still leave the club as the summer transfer window comes to a close.
13:45

WHY GREALISH IS IN DEMAND

Why is Tottenham transfer target Jack Grealish worth £25m? We have compared his stats against the average Premier League midfielder to find out..
Read the feature HERE
13:39

DOCHERTY JOINS SHREWS

Rangers confirm midfielder Greg Docherty has joined Shrewsbury Town on a season-long loan deal.
Docherty, who joined the Light Blues from Hamilton Accies in January, has made 14 appearances so far in his time at Ibrox.
13:25

CRUYFF NAMED CHONGQING LIFA BOSS

Jordi Cruyff has been named manager of Chinese Super League side Chongqing Lifan.
The former Manchester United player ended a successful six-year spell at Maccabi Tel-Aviv earlier this year, which included stints as sporting director and head coach.
The 44-year-old succeeds Paulo Bento, who lost his job with Chongqing Lifan last month.
13:11

BOATENG STILL KEEN?

Sky in Germany are reporting that defender Jerome Boateng turned down a move to Manchester United for football reasons but, we are told he wants to move to United and Jose Mourinho wants to sign him.
13:05

MAGUIRE HOPING FOR MAN UTD MOVE

One source has told us United have already had two bids turned down by Leicester for Harry Maguire. The second bid was worth about £60m.
Leicester are in advanced talks to sign two centre backs – Filip Benkovic from Dinamo Zagreb and Caglar Soyuncu from Freiburg – at a combined cost of about £35m.
As far as Leicester are concerned, Maguire is not for sale; they signed him for £17m from Hull City last summer and he has four years left on his contract.
Leicester are expected to offer him a new deal after his impressive performances for England in the World Cup this summer.
12:59

BREAKING NEWS

Sky sources: Leicester defender Harry Maguire is still hoping Manchester United will sign him with just one day to go before the window closes
12:56

AGENT WORLD LIKE 'WILD WEST'

Football agent Jon Smith says FIFA's deregulation of agents has created a 'watery' situation when it comes to player representation.
12:48

CONNOLLY TO JOIN WIGAN

Sky sources: Defender Callum Connolly will join Wigan Athletic on a season-long loan from Everton
12:35

VILLA LEAD RACE FOR McGINN

Aston Villa are in pole position to sign John McGinn despite renewed interest from Celtic, according to Hibernian head coach Neil Lennon.
Hibs midfielder McGinn spent Tuesday in talks with Aston Villa but Celtic are believed to have matched the Sky Bet Championship club's offer after having several previous bids rejected.
Lennon said: "He went down to Birmingham, I think he is having a medical there. A fee has been agreed. I don't know if personal terms have been agreed yet.
"I think Celtic have matched the offer but I think Villa are in the driving position at the minute."
12:24

BREAKING NEWS

West Brom have rejected an offer from Watford for Craig Dawson, according to Sky sources.
It is understood the offer was an initial loan year-long loan for a fee of £750,000.
The offer also included an option to buy Dawson for £2.5m instalments over four years adding up to a potential total of £10m.
12:18

LATEST TRANSFER BULLETIN

Here's your latest Transfer Centre bulletin from Sky Sports News at lunchtime
12:16

SARRI ON KEPA

Chelsea are in advanced talks to sign Athletic Bilbao's Kepa Arrizabalaga and Maurizio Sarri has been impressed by what he's seen of the goalkeeper.
12:08

NO POGBA WAGE DEMANDS

Paul Pogba has not made any wage demands to keep him at Manchester United, according to Sky sources.
On Tuesday, a newspaper report claimed he had demanded a £200k-a-week wage rise to stay at Old Trafford following interest from Barcelona.
However, we have been told that Pogba has made no wage demands.
12:05

HUGILL'S BORO MEDICAL

Sky sources: Jordan Hugill has arrived on Teesside to undergo a medical with Middlesbrough.
This will be a season-long loan deal for the striker, who signed for West Ham for £9.5m in January.
12:04

GREALISH 'KEEN TO LEAVE'

This one is slaloming a tad, isn't it?
SSN understands that Grealish is disillusioned that his dream move to north London now looks doomed and remains desperate to play for Mauricio Pochettino and to test himself at the highest level for a top four Premier League club.
11:57

BREAKING NEWS

Sky sources: Jack Grealish remains keen to move to Spurs and is desperate to test his skills in the Champions League.
Grealish, who trained with the Villa squad this morning, was due to complete a £25m move to Spurs until Villa's new owner, Nassef Sawiris intervened.
11:47

BREAKING NEWS

Leicester City are closing in on the signings of Caglar Soyuncu and Filip Benkovic, SSN understands.
Soyuncu, 22, could cost up to £20m. The Freiburg defender has won 15 international caps for Turkey and Leicester are confident a work permit won’t be a problem.
His agent, Mustafa Dogru, has confirmed on Twitter that they are in negotiations with Leicester over a deal, but he’s stressed there is no agreement yet.
Croatia U21 international defender Benkovic is in Leicester today discussing personal terms. He is expected to undergo a medical later today.
11:29

BREAKING NEWS

Sky sources: Real Madrid midfielder Mateo Kovacic to have medical at Chelsea today ahead of a loan move.
11:18

CHELSEA DUO TALK TO FEKIR

Olivier Giroud says he and Eden Hazard have spoken to Nabil Fekir about the possibility of joining Chelsea and would “welcome him” at the club.
The 25-year-old Lyon man looked set to join Liverpool from Lyon earlier this summer before negotiations between the clubs ended.
"I spoke to him when we were together in the French national team, when his move to Liverpool fell through," Giroud told Foot Mercato. "Then we discussed Chelsea, and I even think that Eden said a couple of words to him.
"We would obviously welcome him, he is a super player, but I don't know if this is something that could happen as the window closes on Thursday."
11:11

WHO IS KEPA?

We profile Kepa Arrizabalaga as the Spanish goalkeeper edges closer to a big-money transfer to Chelsea...
Read the feature HERE
10:55

GREALISH 'GOING NOWHERE'

Big news coming out of Villa Park.
Sky sources: Jack Grealish will not be sold to anyone in this transfer window, despite interest from Tottenham and 'other clubs' this window.
Sources are telling us Aston Villa's new executive chairman Nassef Sawiris has told Tottenham and any other potential suitors he is not interested in their money.
10:52

BREAKING NEWS

Aston Villa's new owners says Tottenham's £25m bid for Jack Grealish has been rejected outright.
10:44

BORO IN TALKS WITH BOLASIE

Sky sources: Middlesbrough remain in discussions with Yannick Bolasie as they attempt to persuade him to move to The Championship.
Everton winger Bolasie has been told he’s surplus to requirements at Goodison Park; Crystal Palace are interested but Boro is a more likely destination.
Middlesbrough are discussing both a permanent transfer and/or a loan with a view to a permanent deal. Bolasie is valued around £15m.
10:39

LATEST WHISPERS

The latest from our friends at Football Whispers as we approach midday.
https://storify.com/services/proxy/2/SbmQfujv3atpIEi1oJBIIQ/https/d2kmm3vx031a1h.cloudfront.net/juYkfzeJQfXfLeIr0L0U_whisssss.png
10:34

WILLIAMS IN BARNSLEY MEDICAL

Sky sources: Huddersfield Town defender Jordan Williams undergoing a medical at Barnsley ahead of a permanent move
10:31

BORO WANT HUGILL

Sky sources: Middlesbrough are in talks with West Ham over a loan move for Jordan Hugill. The Middlesbrough-born striker only signed for the Hammers for £9.5m in January.
10:30

KEPA SITUATION

Quite a complicated one, this, but let me explain...
Athletic Bilbao have announced that Kepa Arrizabalaga has bought himself out of his contract.
This is the done thing at Athletic Bilbao; the same happened with Ander Herrera, Javi Martinez and Aymeric Laporte.
It essentially means Kepa is now a free agent and will join Chelsea. The Blues will have paid the money to Kepa, his agent or the company who owns him in order to buy himself out of the contract.
Make sense? Good.
10:23

BREAKING NEWS

Athletic Bilbao have confirmed goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga's release clause has been activated.
Sky Sports News reported yesterday Chelsea were advanced talks to sign Kepa.
10:16

LOPETEGUI TIGHT-LIPPED ON COURTOIS

Real Madrid head coach Julen Lopetegui refused to comment on the strong rumours linking Chelsea goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois with a move to the Bernabeu.
"I always say that I'm not talking about players who are not at Real Madrid. Keylor (Navas) is our goalkeeper and there are no other goalkeepers I can talk about except Keylor, Kiko (Casilla), (Andriy) Lunin and Luca (Zidane).
"Keylor is phenomenal, he has our full confidence and is an extraordinary goalkeeper. He's delighted to belong to Real Madrid and we're delighted with him."
10:04

DOUBLE IPSWICH SIGNING

Ipswich have signed centre-back Toto Nsiala and midflieder Jon Nolan from Shrewsbury Town for a combined fee of £1.75m.
Both players have signed three-year deals with the club having the option of a further 12 months.
09:48

BREAKING NEWS

Celtic look set to complete a long-term loan deal for Australia World Cup youngster Daniel Arzani later today.
The 19-year-old midfielder, who made three sub appearances in Russia, has passed a medical and joins Celtic on a two-year loan, having completed his transfer from Melbourne City to Manchester City, SSN understands.
09:47

BAYER STRIKER SIGNS DEAL

Bayer Leverkusen striker Joel Pohjanpalo has signed a contract extension until 2022, the Bundesliga club have announced.
The 23-year-old Finland international, who is currently recovering from an ankle injury, has made 18 Bungesliga appearances for the side and scored seven goals.
09:32

HUDDERSFIELD IN TALKS WITH MBENZA

Huddersfield are now in talks with Montpellier winger Isaac Mbenza, according to Sky sources.
Sky Sports News understands Terriers boss David Wagner is keen to add another wide player to his squad after selling Tom Ince to Stoke.
Mbenza scored 10 goals in 43 appearances last season as Montpellier finished comfortably mid-table in Ligue 1.
09:30

WAGHORN SIGNS FOR DERBY

Derby have completed the signing of Martyn Waghorn from Ipswich.
The 28-year-old striker signs for £5m on a three-year contract.
09:15

WHERE NEXT FOR BOATENG?

It now looks likely Jerome Boateng will stay at Bayern Munich or move to PSG.
If PSG are able to present an interesting total package for him, he is likely join them. A decision is expected within the next two weeks.
Boateng has a great relationship with Bayern’s new coach Niko Kovac; they are both from the same district in Berlin and Boateng feels Kovac appreciates him as a player.
09:11

BOATENG TO MAN UTD OFF

And here's why...
Jerome Boateng’s decision not to join Jose Mourinho at Old Trafford was because he doesn’t believe Manchester United can win the Champions League this season.
Sky in Germany understand that Boateng spoke to Jose Mourinho earlier this week to explain that he was honoured by United’s interest in him.
However his aim remains to win one more Champions League title – and he feels United are not strong enough to do so in the forthcoming campaign.
09:05

BREAKING NEWS

Defender Ben Mee has signed a new three-year contract at Burnley.
The 28-year-old is now committed to at least 2021, with the option of a further 12 months.
09:01

BREAKING NEWS

Winger Adama Traore has completed his move from Middlesbrough to Wolves on a five-year deal.
08:48

BRIGHTON SIGN SIMPKINS

Brighton and Hove Albion have completed the signing of midfielder Emily Simpkins.
The 28-year-old joins the club on a free transfer after leaving Doncaster Rovers Belles this summer, and has signed a one-year contract.
08:43

BREAKING NEWS

Sky sources: Bernard is currently travelling from Brazil and is expected to arrive on Merseyside this afternoon ahead of a medical at Everton.
Sky Sports News understands that Everton manager Marco Silva has played a key role in the last 24 hours, in persuading Bernard to join the club
08:32

WOLVES SWOOP FOR CLUCAS

Midfielder Clucas saw his move to Burnley collapse over the weekend, and Wolves have moved quickly to try to bring him to Molineux.
A formal approach is expected later today.
08:30

BREAKING NEWS

Wolves are keen to sign midfielder Sam Clucas from Swansea before tomorrow’s deadline, SSN has been told.
08:28

COURTOIS > REAL DETAILS

It is understood Thibaut Courtois is currently in Belgium awaiting permission from Chelsea to fly to Madrid to undergo a medical.
Real have offered to loan midfielder Mateo Kovacic and pay £35m for the Belgium goalkeeper, but Chelsea are yet to accept the deal.
Courtois is keen to move back to Madrid, where he spent three years with Atletico, due to family reasons.
The 26-year-old, who has less than year remaining on his current contract at Stamford Bridge, did not report back for training on Monday after being given extra time off following the World Cup.
08:26

BREAKING NEWS

Real Madrid are expecting Thibaut Courtois to arrive in Madrid on Thursday ahead of completing a move to the Bernabeu, according to Sky sources in Belgium.
08:11

HIBS CONFIRM AGYEPONG

Thomas Agyepong has joined Hibernian on a loan move from Manchester City.
The 21-year-old is now awaiting the completion of the necessary visa process before joining up with Neil Lennon’s squad.
The winger signed for Manchester City in 2015 from the Right to Dream Academy, spending his time since then on loan at Twente and then two seasons at NAC Breda.
08:03

PAPER TALK

• Watford have made a £10m offer for Southampton midfielder James Ward-Prowse (Daily Mail)
  
• Everton are confident they can sign Chelsea defender Kurt Zouma on loan if they are unable to complete a move for Yerry Mina (Daily Mirror)
  
• Burnley have offered £10m for Abdoulaye Touré, the Nantes midfielder (The Times)
  
• Fulham have offered £8m for Hugo Mallo, the Celta Vigo right-back (The Times)
  

07:52

THE BEST OF GREALISH

Spurs fans: here's what you'd be getting. The best of Jack Grealish from the Championship in the 2017/18 season.
07:44

ATLETI SIGN KALINIC

Atletico Madrid have completed the signing of former Blackburn striker Nikola Kalinic from AC Milan.
The 30-year-old, who made 42 appearances for AC Milan last season - scoring six goals - completed his medical in Italy on Tuesday.
Sky Italy report the deal is in the region of €15m (£13.5m) including bonuses.
07:30

'SPURS A GOOD FIT FOR GREALISH'

Moving to Tottenham is perfect for Jack Grealish, says the panel on The Debate show.
07:27

FEKIR LATEST

Nabil Fekir was left out of the Lyon's squad to face Chelsea last night admid reports of a move to Stamford Bridge.
He did come close to signing for Liverpool this window and Lyon Manager Bruno Genesio can't rule out a late move.
"It's too early to say. He wanted to leave at the end of last season, but came back to training yesterday and was happy.
"Who knows? There may be opportunities that come up before the end of the window. For now, he is a Lyon player."
07:18

MORNING WHISPERS

The latest from our friends at Football Whispers this Wednesday morning...
https://storify.com/services/proxy/2/gjUGxw5AgiQml_GoPLufAw/https/d2kmm3vx031a1h.cloudfront.net/7XtxQarrTVuthiCoXKad_2018-08-08-08-12-10-sky-top-10-graphic.png
07:13

SARRI: NO HAZARD ISSUE

Maurizio Sarri has hinted Eden Hazard will stay at Chelsea after he held positive talks with the Belgian.
Hazard had been the subject of interest from Real Madrid this summer but Sarri confirmed he has had talks with Belgium star the attacker more than once, suggesting the 'problem' surrounding his future has been resolved.
Sarri said: "I don't see a problem in this moment. I have spoken with Eden two or three times in the last two days.
"He has spoken of everything. I think this problem - the Hazard problem - is not present now."
06:59

POGBA: THE REPORTS

There are plenty of newspaper reports surrounding Manchester United the day before the window shuts, and the majority of them concern Paul Pogba.
It would be the biggest shock of the window if he was to leave... but the clock is ticking.

• Pogba wants a £200,000-a-week pay rise to stay at the club, according to The Sun.
  
• Meanwhile, the Daily Mail report that Pogba has told United team-mates he wants to leave and has already agreed a £350,000-a-week contract with Barcelona.
  
• The Daily Star say United are furious with Pogba's agent Mino Raiola for trying to engineer a move to Barcelona for the France star.
  
• Sky in Italy say United have rejected an offer for Pogba from Barcelona of £45m plus Yerry Mina and Andre Gomes.
  
• But United apparently have no desire to part with Pogba, who has just returned to training after winning the World Cup with France.
  

06:47

ROONEY: UTD NEED TWO SIGNINGS

Wayne Rooney hopes Manchester United can mount a Premier League challenge against Manchester City but admitted they need two more signings to do so.
"I hope someone can catch them - it would be nice, so hopefully Manchester United can. I think maybe another signing or two.
"I am sure Jose [Mourinho] has been getting the team right. I know there has been a lot of talk about pre-season in the press but I am sure behind the scenes, Jose has been giving them the right amount of work."
06:35

'BOLT WON'T GET SPECIAL TREATMENT'

Central Coast Mariners coach Mick Mulvey says Usain Bolt will be treated as any other player when he joins the Australian A-League club this month on an "indefinite" trial.
Mulvey will make the final decision over whether Bolt is offered a contract as the Jamaican sprinting great pursues his long-held dream of playing professional football.
"If it was up to him he'd be coming in without any hoopla but that's impossible for a person of his stature. I'm really happy and really looking forward to having him train with the club.
"I'm sure when he arrives he'll give a good account for himself and we'll see what happens from there. If it works, he will be offered a contract."
06:22

TRANSFER CENTRE

The latest transfer bulletin from Sky Sports News this Wednesday morning...
06:15

GET INVOLVED!

https://twitter.com/SkySportsNews/status/1027034124106821632
06:09

KLOPP: NO IDEA ON TRANSFERS

Jurgen Klopp says he's excited about the transfer window but has 'no idea' if there will be any further signings at Liverpool.
06:03

TRANSFER HEADLINES

• Man Utd want Boateng on loan
  
• Alexis wants 'big signings' at Utd
  
• Watford keen on Ward-Prowse
  
• Three clubs in talks for Slimani
  
• 'Witsel turned down Man Utd'
  
• Regionals: Arsenal eye Vida
  
• Maguire hoping for Utd move
  
• Owner: Grealish staying at Villa
  
• But Grealish is 'keen on move'
  
• No Pogba wage demands
  
• Kepa release clause activated
  
• Kovacic in Chelsea medical
  
• Why Boateng turned down Utd
  
• Courtois to Real on Thursday
  
• Deadline Day on Sky Sports
  
• Transfer Talk podcast: Download
  
• Premier League ins and outs
  
• New football season offer
  
• Fantasy Football: Win £50k
  

06:00

GOOD MORNING

And welcome to Sky Sports live Transfer Centre, bringing you all of the latest news and rumours from the window.
It's Wednesday, August 8, and we're in the bizarre position of having just a day-and-a-half of the window left. It's sure to be a frantic day, and we'll bring you absolutely everything until close of play this evening.
Join the discussion on Discord. I am a bot. Found any errors? Contact /Football Mods

Saturday 04/04/2015, 16:00, England Premiership, Round 31 Everton vs Southampton Preview Everton were eliminated from Europa League and they suffered the same fate in the domestic cup, so the only have the domestic championship to focus on. The team sank in the second half of the standings and is not threatened by relegation, so motivation is at its lowest and they are unlikely to play their a-game tonight. By contrast, Southampton is still clinging on its chances to make the Champions League groups. Everton vs Southampton Odds At Winner Sports Everton 2.50, Draw 3.40, Southampton 2.90 Everton vs Southampton Tips Southampton had four players missing throughout March, but even so they managed to avoid defeat in all the games played and won twice. Both victories occurred at home, so they will be hard pressed to claim their first points on the road when they travel to Liverpool. Everton had a hard time keeping clean sheets recently and even though they managed to score in virtually every game, the defensive effort was subpar. With only two players missing but both of them defenders, the hosts will be vulnerable in their own half and Southampton has the strikers capable of finding the wide breaches in their defenses. Everton vs Southampton Prediction Bold punters can bet on the visiting team to prevail outright, but if you want to mitigate the risks, take the safety net of a 0:0 Asian handicap. If the visitors fail to win on the road and the game ends undecided, you are stakes will be returned, so you won't take unnecessary chances. Bet: Southampton Draw no Bet @ 1.85 with Winner Sports
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Thursday 25/02/2016, 20:45, Europa League, Last 32 Molde vs Sevilla Preview Molde is mired in a lengthy losing streak of six consecutive games, but most of them were friendly matches. It goes without saying that the interest in winning these fixtures is dwarfed by the necessity to test players. The Norwegian team already lost the first leg of the Europa League against the reigning champions and is virtually eliminated from the competition. Molde vs Sevilla Odds At Paddy Power Molde 4.80, Draw 3.80, Sevilla 1.60 Molde vs Sevilla Tips After dropping the first match in Spain, Molde can only hope to wash away some of the misery by winning the second leg. It's not going to be easy against the team that won more Europa League trophies than any other squad on the old continent. Having said this, the Norwegians have an ace in their sleeves and will try to make the most of the favorable circumstances. The home side is about to resume the regular season and it has all its players fit to play and will field the best starting formation. The footballers are hoping to prove their quality on the pitch and in doing so, convince the manager that they are worth a place in the first 11. By comparison, Sevilla is a more pragmatic team and the priority is to advance in the European competition, while also securing a Champions League berth. Even though this might prove to be a bridge too far after failing to win any game on the road in La Liga, they are not going to give up. Over the weekend, they scored two early goals on the road against Rayo only to allow the home team to level the score in the second half and split points. Sevilla will travel to Barcelona on Sunday to play against the reigning champions and the most powerful Spanish team right now. They will need their best players in great condition to have a chance and is unlikely for these key footballers to travel to Norway. Key Facts Molde players will give everything in this match, while the visitors are already thinking about the Sunday derby. Sevilla is already qualified for the next stage and they will rest key players, gladly settling for one point. Molde vs Sevilla Prediction Even though it doesn't sound like a good idea to bet against the reigning champions and one of the best teams in Europa League, this is the time to go against Sevilla. They might be the better team, but they are not motivated enough to win in Norway and that's why the right thing to do is to bet on the home side to win or draw. Paddy Power offers excellent odds of 2.20 for this outcome and risk-averse punters should take it at full stakes, while those who are not afraid of a bit of a challenge can even bet on the hosts win outright. Bet: Molde or Draw @ 2.20 with Paddy Power
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Thursday 25/02/2016, 20:45, Europa League, Last 32 Basel vs St Etienne Preview The first leg between St. Etienne and Basel was a roller coaster, with a total of five goals scored and a victory for the French. It was a surprising turn of events, since the home side is known for being pragmatic and scoring few goals while defending brilliantly. It is fortunate for them that they managed to win in front of their fans, because they can now settle for one point on the road. Basel vs St Etienne Odds At Expekt Basel 1.90, Draw 3.80, St Etienne 3.80 Basel vs St Etienne Tips St. Etienne is still trying to finish on the podium in the French first division and was on the verge of overtaking Nice this weekend. By allowing a goal late in the match, they squandered valuable points and also missed out on a rare opportunity to win in southern France. It would've been the first time in history when they defeated Marseille at home, so they need to postpone that objective for 2017. Meanwhile, the team is struggling with injuries and will rest a couple of players when they travel to Switzerland. They return to their basic strategy and hope that they can weather the storm by defending for 90 minutes. The midfield is the most affected by a wave of injuries, but the backline is also accusing fatigue and the goal allowed against Marseille was the result of players performing at less than 100%. By comparison, the hosts can focus exclusively on Europa league, because they have a significant advantage over the pack in the domestic championship. There are almost guaranteed to win the trophy once again, so they will throw everything they've got at visiting team. Basel plays offensive football both at home and on the road, so it was not exactly surprising that they score twice in France. This time, they need to do a better job defensively and the backline will feature for players, while Janko and Embolo will spearhead the offensive. The Austrian striker has scored 13 goals in 16 games, so he will be a major threat for St. Etienne. Key Facts The visitors have bigger fish to fry and will not change outright victory in Switzerland, but try to capitalize on the first leg win. Basel takes the Europa League very seriously and tries to make a deep run in this tournament. Basel vs St Etienne Prediction Punters shouldn't be impressed by the fact that St. Etienne scored three goals in the first leg, because things got out of hand printed only in that match. This is going to be a very different game, with the Swiss side taking the initiative early on, so it is worth trusting them to win at odds of 1.90 offered by Expekt. Bet: Basel @ 1.90 with Expekt
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Sunday 31/01/2016, 12:00, Spain Primera Division, Round 22 Sevilla vs Levante Preview Sevilla is a force to be reckoned with when it has home pitch advantage, winning 11 games in a row, including major victories over Barcelona and Juventus. They would settle for nothing less than a convincing triumph over Levante when the two teams meet on Sunday at noon. The visitors are hard-pressed to pick up points on the road, otherwise they will relegate at the end of the season. Sevilla vs Levante Odds At Pinnacle Sports Sevilla 1.35, Draw 4.60, Levante 10.00 Sevilla vs Levante Tips Levante sits in the last place and it was unable to climb above the relegation area since the beginning of the season. Despite their abysmal performance on the road, they managed to win a handful of extremely useful points when they had home pitch advantage. They defeated both Las Palmas and Rayo Vallecano, teams that are also trying to avoid relegation, which makes them direct counter candidates.Meanwhile, they were disappointing on the road and alternated games with no goals scored, with matches in which they allowed as many as four goals. Interesting enough, in most of these encounters they managed to prevent the opponents from taking the lead early on. At the end of the day, most of the defeats were narrow margin ones, but this only matters for statistics. Sevilla started the season so poorly that nobody gave them a chance to secure a Europa league berth, but they now have even higher expectations. Villarreal is eight points ahead but anything can happen in the remaining rounds if they managed to keep winning home games. In the most recent round, Sevilla denied Atletico Madrid a chance to consolidate his position at the top of the standings by drawing on the road. The two teams splitting points and the only real loss for the visitors is that Vitolo was sent off after seeing a red card. He will be missing in this match against Levante, yet manager Emery will have no problem in replacing him. Key Facts Sevilla has won more consecutive home games than any other team in the Spanish first division, while Levante is the worst traveling team. Sevilla has just one player injured and one suspended and no players will be rested. Sevilla vs Levante Prediction Sevilla is expected to come out firing on all cylinders, because they can't afford to drop points against a mediocre team such as Levante. That's why, punters would be better off trusting the home side to cover the spread of -1.5 goals and enjoy odds of 2.10 from Pinnacle Sports. The alternative would be to bet the hosts to prevail outright, but the odds for a straight victory are simply too low to consider. Bet: Sevilla -1.5 goals @ 2.10 with Pinnacle Sports
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Sunday 14/02/2016, 15:00, Premier League, Round 26 Aston Villa vs Liverpool Preview There is very little that Aston Villa can do to salvage the season after losing so many points both at home and on the road, yet the team from Birmingham won't stop trying. They sit in the last place and only managed to accumulate 16 points after 25 rounds and only a miracle can help them avoid relegation. Liverpool doesn't fare much better and they were recently eliminated from the FA cup as well, with the Europa League looming. Aston Villa vs Liverpool Odds At Betfair Aston Villa 4.70, Draw 3.50, Liverpool 1.80 Aston Villa vs Liverpool Tips Since Klopp took over, Liverpool was unable to return to the top and is on the verge of sleeping in the second half of the standings. Both at home and on the road the team has been mediocre to say the least and they are currently mired in a four-game winless streak. Even when they managed to score, their opponents somehow found the resources and energy to rebound and deprived them of victory. Perhaps the most frustrating result of this month is the 2-2 draw against Sunderland, in a match that Liverpool lead from start to finish. It was a shining example of how a better team can lose points due to the fact that players were not careful enough in the second half. They should learn from those mistakes and exercise constant pressure against Aston Villa regardless of the score. Football fans from Birmingham always flock into the stadium when Aston Villa is playing against one of the most prestigious teams in the English championship. Even though Liverpool is struggling both at home and on the road, their visit is not going to go unnoticed. It's very likely that the home side will throw everything his got at the visitors, knowing that next year they will probably play against mediocre teams. This presents Liverpool with a rare opportunity of scoring more goals, because they have a hard time winning against teams that defend with all lines. They will need to address a couple of pressing matters, such as the injuries sustained by for players including Brazilian star Coutinho. Key Facts Liverpool hasn't won in five games and the fans won't settle for a single point against Aston Villa. The home side has the worst record in the entire Premier League and home pitch advantage means little. Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction Liverpool will be playing offensive football despite the fact that they don't have the support of their fans and will settle for nothing less than outright victory. Odds of 1.80 are not that great given their recent results, but you can't hope for better value than these odds currently offered by Betfair. Bet: Liverpool @ 1.80 with Betfair
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Sunday 20/03/2016, 17:00, Premier League, Round 30 Manchester City vs Manchester United Preview Few football games in the English Premier League generate as much enthusiasm as the Derby of Manchester. Back in the day, Manchester United was favorite to prevail both at home and on the road but things have changed and now their city rivals are credited in the first chance. Both teams have plenty to fight for, in addition to glory and tradition, because the winner will have a better chance at securing a Champions League berth. Manchester City vs Manchester United Odds At 10bet Manchester City 1.85, Draw 3.40, Manchester United 4.20 Manchester City vs Manchester United Tips Manchester City announced its intention to focus on the Champions League this season, a competition that they have never won. So far they are on the right track after causing the Swiss elimination Dynamo Kiev, but the most difficult opponents lie in wait. Until the European competition resumes, they need to focus on the Premier League and defend their position. The stakes are as high as they get, because if Manchester City fails to defend the fourth place, it won playing the most important European tournament next season. Not only Manchester United but also West Ham are trying to unseat them, so there are plenty of threats and tonight the hosts have a great opportunity to address one of them. Manchester United was eliminated from Europa League by Liverpool yet there is a silver lining to the entire story. Many of the players have returned to fitness and the starting formation features some of the veterans for the first time in many weeks. Even so, playing on the road is going to be problematic, as the Red Devils have won very few games when they didn't have home pitch advantage. They've lost back-to-back games against West Bromwich and Liverpool before splitting points with West ham and pushing the FA Cup into an additional round. As key players return to fitness, many of those who had to play plenty of games in 2016 are suffering from fatigue. They will need to play at highest potential if Manchester United is to avoid defeat at Etihad Stadium. Key Facts Overall the two teams are evenly matched with City winning 25 games at home and losing 26. Just two all the last 13 games ended undecided, with Manchester United winning six. Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction This is not the kind of game in which the teams will play pragmatic football and they won't stop at attacking the opposing net regardless of score. It's a great opportunity for punters to bet on Manchester City to win outright, even though the odds offered by 10bet don't exceed 1.85. Bet: Manchester City @ 1.85 with 10bet
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Hi lads, I posted this a few days before the World Cup. Thought it might be interesting to look back at it to see what I thought before the tournament and see how my predictions went. As you can see I predicted a France win but in the original post I was persuaded by people in the comments to go for Germany, which I did lol! Anyway just thought this might be an interesting read, let me know what you think!
World Cup Tips & Predictions
Alright lads, here we go! As I’m writing this we are 7 days away from the start of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia and to say I’m excited is an understatement!! Over the course of this article I will be giving my predictions and tips for the tournament and my reasoning behind them. Some really nice bets lined up and I will be doing daily tips once the tournament starts. Also just want to mention that I am working on a video explaining a strategy where you make 100 6 cent attempts to predict the exact finish of each group where the returns range from anywhere from 14k all the way up to 250k, all for a total investment of €6! (Iea was taken from a post on this subreddit) So it is definitely worth a try. Just before we start, depending on where you are reading this you can follow my progress and my other tips for the tournament on my twitter page @TheProfitBets. So without further ado, let’s get into my World Cup predictions!
Winner: France @ 13/2
The main bet most people will look towards before any major tournament is “Who is going to win it?” so it’s only right that we start things off here. France are 4th favourites for the tournament behind Argentina, Germany and Brazil. So why do I fancy France over others? First of all, let’s look at talent. France are truly blessed at the moment talent-wise and an XI of players France aren’t bringing to Russia would put many other National teams to shame. In each position France have World Class players from Llorris in goals to Kante, Pogba (On his day), Mbappe and star-man Antoine Griezmann (who we will hear more from later). They have many different options off the bench also and can approach games in many different ways with players like Giroud, Matuidi, Fekir and Tolisso all offering something different. This squad is largely similar to the squad that narrowly lost out in Extra-Time to Portugal in the Euro 2016 final so tournament experience is something France have in their favour, even given the youthful look of their squad. France are in Group C with Denmark, Australia and Peru and are expected to progress with ease to the Round of 16. Where they will likely face Croatia, before a possible gauntlet run to the final where they would possibly have to beat Portugal, Brazil and Germany before lifting the trophy. A tough run no doubt but with the huge depths of talent at their disclosure I think that the French can go all the way. The reason I fancy France over others is because of that depth of squad, which can only be rivalled by Germany, who France beat 2-0 in the Euro 2016 Semi-Final. The likes of Argentina and Brazil are reliant on a couple of players and if Messi/Neymar were to have a bad day or get injured, their teams likely would not be able to pick up the pieces (*see Neymar’s absence vs Germany in 2014 and Messi carrying Argentina through qualification). This leaves me at a toss-up between France and Germany, which I find very hard to call but have leaned towards France. France are currently priced at 13/2 in most bookmakers.
Top Goalscorer: Antoine Griezmann @ 13/1
I’ve gone for Antoine Griezmann to be top goalscorer at this year’s World Cup. His finishing is deadly and his pace and eye for goal is among the best in World football at the moment. Griezmann won the golden boot at Euro 2016 with 6 goals and is coming off a season where he scored 27 goals, including 2 in the Europa League Final. The main reason I’ve picked Griezmann is because of the group France are in. France are likely to put plenty of goals past Australia, Denmark and Peru and we could easily see the Atletico man score a few in the group stage. Griezmann is also France’s penalty taker which will probably see him scoring at least one or two goals from the spot throughout the tournament. Although Griezmann is my pick for top goalscorer other honourable mentions include Neymar @ 12/1, Timo Werner @ 20/1 and Thomas Muller @ 33/1 (World Cup Muller!). Overall though I feel the Frenchman is a good bet for the golden boot.
Group winners/to qualify ACCA @ 11.6/1
Now that we have done the two main outright single bets, let’s look at some multiple selections. This bet I look at who I think will win or qualify from each group to make a nice looking 11.6/1 accumulator. This is nicely priced and will provide entertainment for each game in the group stages.
Group A – Uruguay to win group @ 10/11
Group B – Portugal to qualify @ 4/11
Group C – France to win group @ 1/3
Group D – Argentina to qualify @ 1/7
Group E – Brazil to win group @ 2/7
Group F – Germany to win group @ 2/5
Group G – Belgium & England to qualify @ 2/9
Group H – Columbia to qualify @ 4/9
I think this looks a great bet. Uruguay will play an Egypt side without Mo Salah and should have too much for Saudi Arabia and Russia. Portugal should beat Iran and Morocco to get out of the group. We have already looked at France. Argentina should qualify from their group however it is a tricky group so feel free to leave them out as 1/7 is an awful price I think. Brazil should see off the Swiss, Serbians and Costa Rica to finish top of Group E. Germany should be well able to see off Korea, Sweden and Mexico. Belgium and England will surely breeze past Tunisia and Panama while Columbia should get out of a tricky group with Poland Senegal and Japan. This is one of my favourite bets for the tournament so let’s hope it goes our way!
Last place treble @ 5.6/1
This is a nice little treble where I look at teams who I think will finish bottom of their groups.
Group A – Saudi Arabia to finish last @ 2/5
Group B – Iran to finish last @ 10/11
Group H – Japan to finish last @ 3/2
Saudi Arabia are competing in their 5th World Cup and their first since 2006. They are in Group A alongside Uruguay, Egypt & Russia. On paper they look to be the weakest team in the group and they will open the tournament against hosts Russia. Every other team in their group has far superior players and a last place finish looks likely for the Saudi’s. Iran are in Group B with Spain, Portugal and Morocco. Again, Iran are by far the weakest team on paper and it is hard to see them getting a result from either game with Spain or Portugal and will likely not have enough to challenge a Moroccan side with players such as Benatia and Ziyech. 10/11 looks a great price here. Japan are in Group H with Columbia, Poland and Senegal. They were in Columbia’s group in 2014 where they lost out 4-1. I think Poland and Senegal will also have too much for the Japanese and I see them finishing bottom of the group. Overall, 5.6/1 looks a decent price for this bet and looks to be great value.
Group Games ACCA @ 18/1
More of a fun bet that looks good on paper so I’m not going to go through each selection here as it is an 11 fold! But nonetheless here it is!
France to beat Australia @ 2/9
Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 4/11
Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7
England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4
Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5
France to beat Peru @ 4/11
Belgium to beat Tunisia @ 1/4
England to beat Panama @ 2/9
Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3
Group Game MEGA ACCA @ 127/1!!
This one is a bit of a stretch to say the least but I’ve put a free bet on it for some excitement.
Uruguay to beat Egypt @ 4/7
Portugal vs Spain over 1.5 goals @ 2/5
France to beat Australia @ 2/9
Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6
Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 2/5
Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7
England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Portugal to beat Morocco @ 8/15
Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4
Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5
France to beat Peru @ 4/11
England to beat Panama @ 1/5
Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3
Spain to beat Morocco @ 4/11
Jesus that was a mouthful! Going to be hard to land that one but that is not the focus of my tips for the tournament by any means!
Best Value Bets
Here are some bets that I feel offer great value whether you back them as singles or in multiples.
Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4
Iran to finish bottom of Group B @ 10/11
Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6
Egypt to score vs Russia @ 4/7
Egypt to beat Saudi Arabia @ 8/11
Brazil & Serbia to qualify from Group E @ 6/4
Portugal & Spain to qualify from Group B @ 4/9
My favourite bets are the 11.6/1 bet and the 5.6/1 treble but what I’m most excited about for the World Cup is the 6 cent bets which we will look at in the next article. Thanks for reading and be sure to give me some feedback or have some discussion on my twitter @TheProfitBets. Cheers

Tuesday 23/05: newsletter @ 10.00 UK time featuring AFC Champions League+ games from France, Ireland and Italy.
Wednesday 24/05: newsletter @ 10.00 with the Europa League final and also football from Japan/MLS and AFC Champions League
Thursday 25/05: newsletter @ 10.00 this will include a look at the outright markets at the French Open tennis.
Friday 26/05: newsletter @ 12.00 will feature the weekend J-League games which are split over Saturday/Sunday this week.
Saturday 27/05: newsletter @ 10.00 with cup football from around Europe + MLS.
Sunday 28/05: newsletter #1 @ 09.30 with French Open tennis// newsletter #2 @ 10.00 UK time with the rest of the Sunday sport with main football focus on Brazil.
 
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I will add some NHL plays later in the day. They have not been great lately, but I actually make more money with NHL then I do with soccer, historically.
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UEFA Europa League: Everton FC At Lille
A quick look at the form charts would show that both of these sides are struggling. Having watched them play, I see two teams going in opposite directions. Lille are really struggling of late, despite not having lost yet in the Group Stage. They have just one win in their last seven matches, and none of those teams were of Everton’s caliber. Now, it’s unfair to single out how rarely Lille have won and not acknowledge that Everton have only won once in their last six. What I do like, however, is that their win was in their last match, right after the international break, in a 3-0 victory over Aston Villa. Everton finally seemed to click in that match, so I’m hopeful they will try and win tonight to carry on the momentum. They have taken a strong squad to France and should have plenty of support since it is only a four-hour train ride. They have taken a strong squad to France, and it seems like the return of Barkley has really added an element of creativity to the squad. Lille are in a very fragile state recently and lack the ability to come back if they fall a goal down. They do have Enyeama in goal, and he has been in extremely good form. I’m hoping Lukaku steps up as he has been disappointing this term, but even if he fails, I have a hard time seeing Everton losing this one. They are finally playing well again and really can’t afford to get a negative result tonight. They have been disappointing in the Premier League and need to get some positive momentum going. They are a stronger side, and Martinez is a brilliant manager. Worst case, I think this match ends in a draw. I’m going to take Everton PK (Draw No Bet, AH 0.0) @ 2.04 as my Pick of The Day
UEFA Europa League: Dinamo Zagreb At Salzburg
To me, this is certainly the most interesting game of the day. Salzburg are quite overrated in the sense that I see this match as much more of a coin flip then the odds are indicating. Salzburg has hired a new manager in Adi Hütter, and he is having some problems in implementing the fast paced, pressing, and purely attacking style that Red Bull likes their teams to play. They transferred out Mane, probably their best player, but they still have great attackers in Kampl, Soriano, and Alan. They play an unnaturally high defensive line, which can often lead to breaks for their opponents. Ramalho, in particular, has been prone to some egregious mistakes in defense lately. Salzburg always play an attacking style, but it’s their defense which will prohibit them from doing much in European competition. They are facing a very good Dinamo Zagreb side tonight, with some classy attackers themselves, like Soudani (who impressed at the World Cup) and Herniquez (from Manchester United). Unfortunately, top striker Cop is missing, but Herniquez will be eager to make his mark. Dinamo really impressed me against Celtic, and I believe they were the better side in that match. Even Salzburg manager Hütter is quoted as saying that he believes Dinamo is the favorite in the Group. Dinamo have the players to play on the counter attack and exploit the empty space behind Salzburg’s high defensive line. To me, there are two great bets on this game. I do think Dinamo have the ability to outright win this game and that there will be some goals due to the quality attackers on both sides, Salzburg’s playing style, and their susceptible defense. I’m going to take Over 3 Goals @ 1.83 AND Dinamo Zagreb +1 @ 1.99
UEFA Europa League: Feyenoord At Rijeka
Everyone knows Dinamo Zagreb as the top Croatian side, but in the past seasons, Rijeka has given them a run for their money. They are a very talented side and bring some real attacking prowess. In 12 games in the Croatian top flight they have 30 goals, with 9 wins. Sure, the Croatian top flight is dominated by Dinamo, Rijeka and Hajduk Split, but that’s still pretty impressive. Rijeka’s naivety was exploited by a poor Standard Liege side in the first group match, but they impressively handled a quality Sevilla side in Croatia. They managed to draw that game 2-2, and a similar score line tonight would be no surprise. Importantly for Rijeka, they will have Moises back for this match, and he really makes their side tick. I would really caution anyone from confidently backing Feyenoord in this match. Rijeka are no pushovers, and Feyenoord have their disastrous record of losing 6 of 7 away games in Europe over the past five years to contend with. Both of these sides trade goals domestically, and I don’t see why tonight’s European encounter would be any different. Rijeka are a much better side at home then they are away. I’m going to take Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.04
UEFA Europa League: Dynamo Kiev vs. Aalborg BK
Aalborg were a decent side up until the end of July. Since then, they have managed two wins in twelve matches. Importantly, one of those were against Rio Ave so they still have a good shot at qualifying from this Group. The issue now is that Kusk has left and they are really predictable in attack. They still have that tenacity, but they are struggling to score domestically, so facing a mature side like Dynamo is going to be an issue. They are a very physical side, and they will need that, but again, the opposition they are facing is not up to the standards of a quality Dynamo team. I really did want to take the over in this match due to Aalborg’s necessity to get a result tonight, but Dynamo Kiev can be overly professional in that they don’t necessarily try to put the other side away. A one goal victory is plenty. They have their star player Rebrov back, finally, and he has been the catalyst in raising the standard of play amongst the rest of the team. Everyone knows the quality of Shakthar Donetsk after the 7-0 beating they put on BATE in the Champions League on Tuesday, right? Well, Dynamo Kiev beat them 1-0 two weeks ago. Additionally, Dynamo Kiev only have a routine cup match on the weekend, so they should be fully attentive to this match. I’m going to take Dynamo Kiev to win @ 1.88