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I wrote this up four years ago, but made some modifications in view of additional evidence that came to light (see timelines beginning at https://www.reddit.com/serialpodcastorigins/comments/8cslu3/timeline_vii/), which only reinforces the original conclusions. I've had to edit this a few times as I became aware of additional facts and although I believe the conclusions are still valid regarding CG's legal strategy and Adnan's guilt, the invalidity of Asia's alibi, criminal stupidity of Adnan, his friends and family and the debt these ingrates owe CG as they piss on her grave are fleshed out more clearly here.
The purpose of this post is to use the facts to explain Christina Gutierrez's strategy--particularly why she did not rely on the letters or witness testimony of Asia McClain. Her instincts were spot on and the claim that Adnan Syed received ineffective assistance of counsel is a travesty. Apologies for the length, but if you followed this case, I promise that you will find this worthwhile.
Was Adnan Syed involved in the murder of Hae Min Lee (HML)? YES, but not based solely on the evidence presented by the prosecution. The facts and analysis below show how the most compelling evidence proving Adnan Syed's guilt was not provided by the State. It was provided by his strongest advocate, Rabia Chaudry, who doggedly pursued the Asia alibi.
The March 1, 1999 letter from Asia McClain--incorrectly regarded by many as exculpatory--actually implicates Adnan and proves that he played a role in HML's murder.
The greatest injustice (aside from Hae’s murder) exposed through the Serial Podcast was not what happened to Adnan Syed, but how Christina Gutierrez was portrayed. Based solely on her grossly misinterpreted handling of the Asia McClain letters, every move that Gutierrez made makes perfect sense and her strategy was sound. To best understand the case, we should start with a timeline. The details of whether there was a meeting at Best Buy, who made the Nisha call, etc. are not included because they are not necessary to prove Adnan’s guilt or the effectiveness of Gutierrez as his counsel.
1998
Early December: Adnan and Hae break up.
Mid-December: Adnan and Don look at Hae's car at her job at Lenscrafters. Adnan has no problem with Don and gets along fine, but Don is only Hae's coworker at this time (relevance: motive).
1999
January 1: Don and Hae start dating.
January 11: Adnan purchases his cell phone (first time he owned one) and starts using it the next day.
January 12: Hae spends evening on phone with Don.
January 12: Adnan calls Hae three times between 11:27 PM and 12:35 AM.
January 13: Hae is killed and buried between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM (the one consistent thread in Jay's multiple statements and testimony, also Adnan's cell was pinging Leakin Park burial site between 7 PM and 8 PM).
January 13: Adnan called by police at 6:24 PM asking if he knows Hae's whereabouts and speaks with them until about 6:30 PM at Kristi’s house.
January 13: Between 7:09 PM and 8:05 PM all four calls to/from Adnan's cell ping Leakin Park towers near Hae's burial site.
Jan 13 to Feb 9: Police question Adnan and Don multiple times pursuant to investigation of Hae's disappearance. Police do not assume anything about if/when Hae could have been killed (relevance: timeline not yet established by police).
February 9: Hae's body found by Mr. S. Medical examiner determines that Hae was strangled, but cannot determine when she was killed (relevance: timeline not yet established by police).
February 12: Anonymous call to cops telling them to look at Hae's ex. Anonymous tipster calls again telling cops to talk to Yasser Ali who might know more.
February 15: Police speak with Yasser who says he knows nothing (relevance: Goes without saying that Yasser tells his friend Adnan that the cops are investigating him (Adnan's cell records show that he spoke with Yasser the next day) and Adnan likely starts establishing his Asia alibi).
February 16: Grand jury convened to determine whether to indict Adnan for murdering HML (Adnan didn't know he was under Grand Jury investigation...more on that here).
February 16-25: Police subpoena Adnan's cell records, identify the numbers called and see that the most frequently called number was Jen (Jay's friend)
February 26: Police try to contact Jen and she says it's not a good time.
February 26: Jen goes to Jay and tells him that the police tried to question her about Hae. According to Jen's story, Jay tells her what to say to police about the murder and tells her send the police to him (relevance: Jay knows its a question of time before police connect him with the calls and knows that he needs to get ahead of the story).
February 26: Jen talks to the police (goes alone), but says that she knows nothing (relevance: Contrary to Jen's story, Jay likely told Jenn to stall while he figures out what she should tell the cops and gives her full account the next day after Jay puts together his version of events).
February 26: Police speak with Adnan (relevance: Adnan by now certainly knows he needs an alibi, but police do not have a time line yet).
February 27: Jen speaks with police again (with her mom and attorney present). This time she tells the police that Jay told her that Adnan strangled Hae. It had not yet been publicly disclosed that HML was strangled, so cops know there is truth behind this story. No timeline established although she says that Jay was at her house between 3:45 PM and 4:15 PM on Jan 13.
February 27: Police speak with Adnan (more aggressively in view of Jen's statement)
February 27: Jay sweating bullets all day at his job at the adult video store waiting for police to contact him and wondering if Adnan got his version of the story to the police first. Police have Jay come in for questioning for the first time (relevance: Jay is not fearful of Adnan physically doing something to him. He is scared that Adnan will throw him under the bus. Jay is definitely not scared--as Rabia Chaudry and the Innocence Project allege--that some random rapist/murderer who was released from prison less than two weeks earlier to whom Jay has no connection is making Jay help cover his tracks).
February 28: Later the same night he was brought in by the cops, Jay gives up Adnan and provides the general timeline that establishes that Hae was killed and buried between 2:15 and 8 PM (consistent with his subsequent statements to the police and testimony). This is the first time the police have a timeline for Hae's murder and burial. This timeline is not yet publicly available, so as far as the public knows, Hae was killed and buried some time between January 13 and February 9. The police question Jay several more times over the next month and a half trying to nail down his story. Relevance: they do not trust Jay's initial timeline and would not question Adnan against it unless it was rock solid, which at this point it was not.
February 28: Arrest warrant is issued against Adnan for murder that took place "ON OR ABOUT 1/13/1999 - 1/31/1999." The police investigation was in its early stages and while the cops knew Adnan and Jay were involved, they were not yet willing to take Jay's word regarding timeline especially given the fact that he had a criminal record.
February 28: Adnan arrested for Hae's murder (this is a Sunday). Police question Adnan, but based on Adnan's attorney's notes taken the next day, there is no indication that the police questioned Adnan about any timeline or asked him to account for his time. They mainly tried to push Adnan to flip on Jay and provide a version where Adnan would throw Jay under the bus, but Adnan lawyered up. Jay, on the other hand, declined an attorney so the cops decided to work with the suspect with whom they were still allowed to speak and spent the next several weeks meeting with Jay and establishing a timeline of events.
March 1: A day after Adnan is arrested, the first Asia letter sent, She states that she can account for some of Adnan's "unwitnessed, unaccountable time" between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM on January 13. The ink is not yet dry on Jay's non-public statement. The letter was written before the police start to even check whether Adnan has an alibi.
March 2: Second Asia letter reiterating that she can account for Adnan's time, but does not provide a time range like the first letter. Typed this time and includes Adnan's prisoner number on top with the jail address. Asks why he has not yet told police about this. Curiously, despite thousands of people combing through the evidence following the popularity of the Serial podcast, Asia's March 2 letter is the earliest document of which I am aware that identifies Adnan by his prisoner number.
March 6: According to Adnan's lawyer's notes, Adnan inquired about the jail's address and how his mail is scrutinized and requested a self-addressed, stamped envelope and paper. Relevance: Asia supposedly knew Adnan's jail address four days before he did. See also April 20 police interview notes of Ja'uan below.
Early March - March 18 - Adnan's lawyers actively solicit over 600 letters of support from his high school classmates and Muslim community. No indication that Asia wrote one. Given the trouble Asia went through to figure out Adnan's prisoner number (probably before Adnan even knew it himself) and plead with him to direct the police to her in two unsolicited letters, you would think she would take advantage when Adnan's attorneys solicited letters of support as many of her classmates did when she had something so much more substantive to say.
March 31: Adnan's bail hearing where he is represented by two attorneys (Gutierrez not yet involved). Nothing in the record indicates that Adnan showed the Asia letters to these two attorneys.
After March 31: Christina Gutierrez hired to defend Adnan.
April 14: Grand Jury formally indicts Adnan for murder. Adnan really feeling the heat now.
April 16: First face-to-face meeting between Gutierrez and Adnan.
April 20: Police interview Adnan's friend Ja'uan. Ja'uan tells cops that he recently received a letter from Adnan and that he also wrote letters to his friend Justin and Justin's ex, Asia. Ja'uan said that Adnan gave Asia a letter to "type up with his address on it." Asia's "March 2" letter was typed up and and had his address (and prisoner number) across the top. Other than the letters Asia sent to Adnan, this is the first reference to Asia by either prosecution or defense in the record.
July 7: Gutierrez files a demand letter with the court complaining that the prosecution had not provided info on when HML was killed and that “Defendant can’t possibly mount a defense or determine if an alibi disclosure is needed without being on notice of the alleged time of death.” (relevance: THIS IS KEY TO UNDERSTANDING WHY GUTIERREZ DID NOT USE ASIA--More than four months after the Asia letters, Adnan was still not told of the State's timeline, but Asia somehow used her fortune teller skills to identify the precise time for which Adnan needed an alibi).
July 8: State responds to demand letter stating HML was killed shortly after she left school for the day on Jan 13, 1999.
July 10: Gutierrez visits Adnan. She had been visiting him regularly (5/28, 6/5, 6/8, 6/26), but something happened at this meeting and she sent her underlings after this meeting and visited Adnan one more time in September before the trial and once after the verdict. Given what Adnan discussed three days later with CG's legal team, this is the likely date that Adnan first told CG about Asia (when CG made her undated notes about Asia). CG's notes about Asia are consistent with the State's newly revealed time of HML's death, which is likely what they discussed.
July 13: Gutierrez sends her associate and paralegal to meet with Adnan. The paralegal took notes similar to CG's about Asia noting Adnan's story about Asia and her boyfriend seeing him at the library after school at 3 PM on Jan. 13. This is the first dated reference to Asia in the defense record, but CG's undated notes about Asia likely preceded them.
September 7: Jay enters plea deal that is contingent upon Jay telling truth. If his testimony is proven to be false, State could bring any charge against Jay including murder.
2000
February 18: Gutierrez learns for the first time almost six weeks into the second trial and after the State rests that the prosecutor arranged for Jay's free private defense attorney.
February 25: Adnan found guilty
June 6: Adnan sentenced to life plus 30
July 6: Jay sentenced to probation (under deal was facing max 5 years)
​
The way alibis typically work: a suspect is questioned by the police based on when they believe the crime was committed. The suspect is asked to account for his time and if anyone could confirm the suspect's story that he was somewhere else at the time the crime was committed. If the suspect has an alibi, the police investigate whether the alibi checks out. Adnan was arrested on Feb 28. Before the cops or prosecution even questioned Adnan about his whereabouts on January 13, Asia went ahead and provided him with an alibi within 24 hours of his arrest.
The most important feature of the above timeline is that before Jay's statements, neither the police nor the public were operating under the assumption that Hae was killed and buried between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM on January 13. Some thought she was with Don. Some thought she went to California to see her father. Gutierrez herself argued at trial that Hae could have been killed Jan 13 or Jan 14 or Jan 15, etc. At the time Adnan was arrested, all that was known was that HML was last seen on January 13th and that she was killed and buried some time between January 13th and February 9th. HML could have been stuffed in the trunk of her car alive by Jay on January 13 and killed the next day or the day after that. The only evidence establishing the January 13 timeline of Hae's murder and burial is Jay's testimony, which was unknown to the public as of March 1, 1999.
Nothing in the record indicates that Adnan told the police about Asia after he was arrested. Keep in mind that Adnan had not yet hired Gutierrez until several weeks after receiving the first Asia letter. Why would he keep this alibi from the police? It obviously had nothing to do with the fact that he could not remember that he saw her on Jan 13 because she clearly states in her letter that she could vouch for him. Adnan also did not raise the Asia letters to his attorneys that handled the bail hearing. He kept his mouth shut about the Asia letters because he realized that he screwed up. Asia's first letter came ONE DAY after Jay told the police the first and only account of when Hae was killed and buried (between 2:15 PM to 8 PM on Jan 13). Asia did not write her letter in response to questions for the police who by her own account had never spoken with her. Yet, she provides a detail in her letter offering to help Adnan account for his time, specifically between 2:15 to 8:00 PM (see page 2 of her March 1 letter). If Asia simply offered to help Adnan account for some his time on January 13, it would have been suspicious because it would imply knowledge of Jen and Jay's private statements to the police given on Feb 27 and 28, respectively. Asia specifically identifying the relevant time frame precludes the possibility that she was just innocently trying to help Adnan and that he had nothing to do with prearranging the alibi letters. Only after the prosecution committed to the 21 minute time frame when they argued that Hae was killed did Asia with Rabia's help narrow her 5.75 hour range to a 20 minute stretch in her affidavit that overlaps with the State's story. Keep in mind also that the affidavit was prepared one year after Asia wrote her two letters. By including that detail in her first letter, Asia unwittingly revealed that Adnan planned his alibi before being arrested and knew when Hae was killed and buried independent of Jay's statements. Thus, Asia's letter does the exact opposite of providing Adnan with an alibi. It proves that Adnan had knowledge of Hae's murder and burial which he failed to report at any time before his arrest. Adnan probably figured out that he screwed up by having Asia provide the alibi before he was ever questioned against Jay's timeline. When the cops arrested Adnan, they wanted to leave room for Adnan to flip on Jay. Jay provided details about how HML was strangled that were not known to the public so they knew that he was somehow involved. They were not ready to believe Jay's half-baked story after his first interview and would definitely not question Adnan against an unreliable timeline before it was rock solid. Adnan did not count on that. He was hoping and expecting to be asked like he probably learned from movies: "Where were you after school on Jan 13, 1999?" Instead, he was hit with, "We know you and Jay were involved in HML's murder, tell us what Jay did and we will go easy on you..." to which the correct answer IS NOT "I couldn't have done it because I was in the library on January 13, 1999 between 2 and 3 PM!!!" To which the cops would reply, "why would we give a flying f*ck where you were at that time? We didn't ask you that. We're just beginning our investigation. Should we care about where you were at that time? Because it certainly appears that you do!" There was no way for Adnan to show the cops Asia's March 1 letter in the days following his arrest. He thought he was playing it safe by having Asia cover him for the entire time that Hae was killed and buried. The arresting officers' interview notes of Adnan do not ever mention it. Adnan's description to his lawyer the next day of what the cops asked him makes no mention of it. The arrest warrant lists HML's murder as happening between Jan 13 and Jan 31. In fact, Gutierrez complained to the judge FOUR MONTHS AFTER Asia wrote her letter that the prosecution had not yet provided a time of death against which her client could provide an alibi! This compounds how ridiculous Asia's letter is. Coincidentally, however, only after the State responds to CG's demand letter and they disclose that HML was killed shortly after school on Jan 13 does Adnan finally tell his lawyers about Asia.
Gutierrez's Strategy
Asia Letter
Later, when Gutierrez took over Adnan's defense, her notes indicate that Adnan told her about the Asia alibi. As mentioned in the timeline, her undated notes were likely taken on July 10, 1999 when CG met with Adnan immediately after the State finally disclosed when HML was killed. He figured Asia's letters were finally relevant and he would see if she could find a way to use them. She likely determined immediately that Asia's first letter is poison to the defense and proves only that Adnan had to be involved. Her first line of questions to Adnan: How did Asia know the relevant time frame (2:15 PM to 8:00 PM) the day after Jay made his non-public statement to the cops? Why does she provide such a wide range of 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM when she can only account for "some of your time?" How could she know within 24 hours of your arrest that you had any “unwitnessed, unaccountable lost time” let alone the relevant 5.75 hour stretch on January 13, 1999 when the public did not yet know when HML was killed and buried? Her second line of questions: Did you talk to Asia before you were arrested? Did you tell her what to say in her letter? How will she explain how she knew what time Jay would say you murdered and buried Hae? Do you know how much trouble she will be in if she perjures herself to help you establish an alibi? How confident are you that she will stick to her story if the prosecutors lean on her by hammering away that the penalty for perjury in Maryland is up to 10 years in prison? Her third line which likely remained in her mind: If you weren't involved in Hae's murder, how could you have known that you needed an alibi between 2:15 PM and 8 PM BEFORE Jay gave his first statement to the cops and BEFORE the cops even asked you anything about that time? Then she really got pissed off: WHY IN THE NAME OF GRANDMA'S MOLASSES DID YOU WAIT UNTIL JULY TO SHOW ME LETTERS DATED MORE THAN FOUR MONTHS AGO??? AND HOW IN THE NAME OF NOSTRA-FUCKING-DAMUS DID ASIA KNOW YOUR PRISONER NUMBER ON MARCH 2???? AND IF YOU'RE GOING TO MAKE UP AN ALIBI, WHY IN THE NAME OF H.G.-FUCKING-WELLS WOULD YOU DATE IT FOUR MONTHS BEFORE YOU NEEDED IT??? CG immediately recognized that Adnan was trying to stage manage her and his case and it pissed her off so much that she could not stand the sight of him, which is likely why she sent her associate and paralegal to meet with him a few days later. Adnan fed them the same load of crap and they likely confirmed to CG that they didn't buy it either. In view of Adnan's inept attempt to fabricate an alibi, CG knew that she had to keep Asia out of the case for Adnan to have a shot. She likely shamed him by saying something like, "If you know what's good for you, you will never bring this up to me again and I have to pretend that you never showed me these letters." If she gave the prosecution wind of Asia's anti-alibi by interviewing her, she knew they could use Asia as a witness to crucify Adnan. She kept Asia out to protect him. So Gutierrez knew that her client was involved in the murder for which he was accused. Hardly unusual for a criminal defense attorney, but unfortunately, the case doesn't end when you realize your client is not innocent. She still had to defend him and make the prosecution prove their case.
Not atacking the State's Timeline
The prosecutors made a deal with Jay. He agreed to plead to accessory after the fact in exchange for being the State's witness against Adnan. This is also key to Gutierrez's strategy: Jay's deal was contingent upon telling the truth. It specifically states that if it becomes evident that Jay is lying, his deal is voided and the state can bring any charges against him including murder. The terms of the deal were laid out during the State's direct examination of Jay.
Jay's deal poses a strategic problem for Gutierrez. Because of the Asia letter, she knows that Adnan was involved in Hae's murder. If she destroys Jay's testimony and proves that he lied by exposing the holes in his story, Jay's deal gets voided and he becomes fair game for the prosecution. That's fine if Jay acted alone, but she knew that wasn't the case. Jay is still weak on motive, but he would likely be forced to admit that he played a more active role in Hae's murder. While the prosecution's initial story is full of holes, if Jay comes clean, the holes would likely disappear and make the State's case against Adnan much stronger. Of course, Jay would be exposed as a liar, but his second story would fit the cell tower records and the testimony of other witnesses much better. This would put Gutierrez in a position of having to defend Adnan against what she knows to be true, the prosecution’s case would no longer hinge on Jay’s testimony alone resulting in even more of an uphill battle for the defense. I'm not saying that she made the right call, but her strategy of not attacking the time line is not obviously wrong.
What does that leave Gutierrez in terms of tactics? Attacking Jay's credibility and bolstering Adnan's character through favorable witness testimony. She reminds the jury at every opportunity that Jay works in a porn video store. She reminds them that he admitted lying to the cops in his earlier statements about what he knew. But she does not expose him as a liar for any statements he made during the trial lest it destroy his deal and expose Adnan to yet another version of the story--the REAL story--against which she would likely have a more difficult time defending her client. Add to that having to defend Adnan from the State's thinly veiled assertions that he comes from an "honor killing" culture and you can see how she really had her work cut out for her.
Then the State gives Gutierrez a HUGE gift by not disclosing the terms of how the district attorney arranged for Jay's pro bono attorney. Gutierrez pounced on this fact and did what she could by focusing on the impropriety of the State failing to disclose that it provided a private attorney for Jay. If the trial court judge agreed and ordered the jury to disregard Jay's testimony, the state's case would crumble. Anyway, the trial judge denied Gutierrez's attempt to have Jay's testimony tossed, but she preserved her objections for appeal the focus of which would be that the court erred in allowing Jay's testimony. Gutierrez’s plan was to have the testimony of the prosecution's key witness thrown out without having to prove that he lied. This means that Adnan goes free and Jay keeps his deal and is immune from the prosecution going after him to get the real story because his testimony getting dumped was the prosecution's fault not Jay's. Kind of brilliant, if you ask me.
Gutierrez's Treatment of Adnan's Parents and Rabia
As to Gutierrez's disposition towards Adnan's parents that Rabia blogs about, if I was Gutierrez and knew that my client tried to get me to argue an obviously fraudulent alibi and had to deal with her murdering sociopath client's clueless parents and their wet-behind-the-ears law student friend each convinced of his innocence, I would probably not have any patience for them either. She CAN'T tell them her strategy because it is largely based on the fact that Adnan was involved in the murder ("I CAN'T poke holes in the timeline because then Jay will be forced to tell the truth and your son won't have a snowball's chance in hell."). More importantly, the strategy is protected by attorney client privilege and her disbarment would have come a few years earlier if she laid it out for them. Rabia bashes Gutierrez for focusing exclusively on the appeal and accuses her of squeezing as much money as she could out of the case. What Rabia doesn't realize is that if they stuck with Gutierrez or at least kept her on to assist with the appeal if her health became a factor, Adnan would have had a better shot at getting off by focusing exclusively on having Jay's testimony thrown out. After finding out about Asia, did Rabia ask Gutierrez why she didn't use her? Was it possible that this seasoned attorney might have a strategy that she could not disclose to this law student family friend operating on 100% emotion and 0% experience? DID SHE FIND IT WEIRD THAT ADNAN WAS IN POSSESSION OF THE ASIA LETTERS AND THAT SHE GOT THEM DIRECTLY FROM HIM INSTEAD OF FROM HIS ATTORNEY??? Did she ask herself or Adnan why his attorney would not want to touch those Asia letters with a 10 foot pole? Nah. Rabia already made up her mind that Gutierrez was a mean and incompetent attorney who needed to be fired. By meddling in the case, convincing Adnan's parents to fire Gutierrez before the appeal and spending time pursuing Asia's anti-alibi, Rabia actually hurt Adnan's chances for a reversal of the verdict. Sure, the prosecution's providing Jay with an attorney eventually ended up being the lead argument in the appeal, but how much time was wasted pursuing the Asia alibi? Rabia and Adnan's new attorneys spent valuable time spinning their wheels focusing their efforts on Asia only to have her recant her ridiculous story (which she is spinning again now years later because it's fun being famous). That time could have been used to gather additional facts surrounding the prosecution's failure to disclose the arrangement of the pro bono attorney. It could have been used to investigate Jay's prior arrests for drug dealing (1997) and disorderly conduct (January 1999) to establish that he clearly knew that there is a difference between a private criminal defense attorney and a public defender. It could have been used to sharpen their legal research and arguments to disqualify Jay's testimony instead of being forced to throw together a shoddy appeal brief when their main argument based on Asia's bogus affidavit blew up in their face. What makes matters worse, Rabia goes blogging to the world about how this lawyer who cannot defend herself because she is dead sucked at her job and was nothing but a money-grubbing bitch. The irony of the well-intentioned Rabia receiving and taking credit for bringing attention to Adnan’s case, writing books and going on speaking tours is that her meddling in the appeal guaranteed that Adnan would rot in prison. The sad part is that neither she nor her fans will ever understand that.
Adnan's Motive
Hae's letter to Adnan asking him to stop harassing her is pretty damning. They did not discuss it much on the podcast, but read it and you'll see that it's enough to establish motive even without the "i'm going to kill" note that was allegedly written in Adnan's handwriting on the back of the letter. The letter was found in Adnan's room after he was arrested. Rabia and her brother go out of their way to portray Adnan as a player. This "player's" first and only girlfriend dumped HIM. Hae broke up with Adnan in December 1998 and had been with Don for less than two weeks before she was killed (started dating Jan 1, 1999). A player does the dumping and Adnan was apparently not handling his dumpee status well. They broke up a couple of times before, but ended up getting back together. The narrative on Serial makes it sound like Adnan was taking the last break up in stride and got along ok with Don when they met to look at Hae's car. What Koenig fails to make clear is that at the time Adnan met Don, Hae and Don were CO-WORKERS at Lenscrafters and were not yet BF/GF, so Don was not a threat. Don went out to look at his CO-WORKER's car at a time described as before Christmas 1998 and BEFORE Don and Hae started dating. After learning that he had been replaced in early January 1999, the "player" became an ignited powder keg. Adnan's phone shows three calls to Hae the night before she was murdered. No calls on his phone the day she was killed. You would think he would at least try after getting a call from the cops that she's missing. On the flip side, we learn that Don didn't call Hae either, but they were together for less than 2 weeks. Adnan and Hae had a much longer history and when Adnan was calling Hae the night before her murder, she was on the other line with Don. If Hae told Adnan she had to get back to Don on the other line...boom goes the dynamite.
The above analysis made the entire case finally make sense to me. Why Asia's alibi was not used in the trial. Why Adnan kept his trap shut about the alibi and said nothing of it to his family or Rabia until after his conviction. Why Adnan did not lose his mind and curse Gutierrez for supposedly dropping the ball and not pursuing the Asia alibi. Why Adnan raised it to Rabia in desperation after he was convicted because he figured he had nothing to lose. Why Asia's fiancee stonewalled her participation in the appeal and made her recant her bogus affidavit because she likely told him the circumstances where Adnan asked her in advance to provide him with an alibi. Why Adnan was less than enthusiastic when Koenig told him that she found Asia--because he was scared that Koenig learned the truth about the bogus alibi, not at all because it was too late for his appeal as stated in the podcast. Asia continuing to stick with her story when speaking with Koenig is strange, but I'll bet she is no longer with that sensible fiancee who saved her from being charged with perjury. Also, how bad would she look if she admitted now that her letters and affidavit were bs? Finally, speaking with a reporter is different than giving sworn testimony in a court proceeding, but assuming Asia knows the difference would be giving her too much credit. In our celebrity-crazed society, Asia went from being a nobody to a household name. Given the choice of being elevated to the hero of a story everyone was taking about or universally reviled as a lying moron, she unsurprisingly embraced the former. You don’t need a sensitive bs meter to know Asia is full of it. Read Asia's letters to Adnan and her Affidavit. In these documents she is keenly aware of how important her testimony could be. Her words clearly state that she knows that Adnan needs to account for his time down to the specific range used later by the prosecution at the trial. Her words beg for someone to speak to her about the case so she can help. Now listen to her Serial interview with Koenig. She is as clueless as Donald Trump trying to answer questions about the ideas in Art of the Deal that he is capable of neither explaining nor understanding because it was ghost written for him. During Koenig's interview, Asia couldn't comprehend how she could have helped get Adnan off. This is even after Koenig spoon-feeds her as to how her testimony could have been exculpatory. So we are to believe that she somehow made the connection of the relevance of her testimony BEFORE the prosecution made its case (actually, before the police even finished their investigation), BEFORE anyone even knew the relevant time frame for which Adnan needed to account for himself, but afterward all she does is shrug and say she wishes there was "some technicality to prove his innocence." This is like hitting the trifecta at the track and failing to make the connection between your picks and the winning ticket--this might happen if you know nothing about horse racing and someone fixed the race and made the picks for you.
The anonymous caller was likely a guy from Adnan's mosque community--he clearly knew both Adnan and Yasser Ali who did not go to the same school as Adnan. I doubt the caller had specific knowledge about the murder or was involved, but more likely felt uncomfortable because of something an overconfident Adnan may have said (i.e. "I know what happened..." or "she got what she deserved" or the like...). One of the few things Adnan uttered in court during his trial was, "pathetic" directed to Jay. Is that what an innocent man says to the person who framed him for murder or is that what a mastermind co-conspirator says to the guy who sold him out? Does an innocent person claim that he doesn't know that Leakin Park (Hae's burial site) exists? Keep in mind that this park is 1000+ acres, one of the largest in the Baltimore area and about two miles from where Adnan went to high school.
The theory that Adnan was framed and the real killer used Jay as a puppet is ridiculous. Does it make any sense that a convicted murderer with rape being part of his MO who was released less than two weeks before Hae's murder colluded with Jay to kill (but not rape) and bury her? So Jay was really afraid of this now dead criminal who demanded Jay's help to bury the body of the woman who coincidentally happened to be the ex-girlfriend of the guy with whom Jay spent a good chunk of January 13, 1999 not to mention the fact that Jay spent several hours that same day driving the guy's car and talking on the guy's cell phone--Adnan's first cell phone that he bought the day before that he generously let his drug dealing friend use? Please...
Why did Jay go along with it?
Adnan: "Help me or I'll turn you in to the cops for dealing drugs."
Jay: "Well I'll turn you in to the cops for murder!"
Adnan: "Who do you think the cops will believe? A Southeast Asian American honors student on his way to college or a black dropout with a criminal record?"
I imagine the conversation went something like that and Jay said something to this effect in an interview from a few years ago. As to why Adnan reached out to Jay in the first place, as I'm sure others have postulated, his plan was always to pin it on Jay. Jay was the perfect patsy. Adnan's attempt to stage manage Jay's conviction fell apart with the botched Asia alibi, Jay getting his story to the cops first and Jay getting a plea deal.
Conclusion
The inconsistencies in Jay's story are irrelevant to the extent that the one common thread in his different versions is the time when HML was killed and buried. Jay likely lied to decrease his own involvement and increase Adnan's. The Asia letter shows that Adnan knew when the murder and burial took place. Serial should have ended after the first episode. Koenig could have nipped this entire story in the bud by asking Asia, who is now more than happy to discuss the matter, how she came to know by March 1, 1999 that Adnan needed to account for his time between 2:15 and 8 PM on January 13, 1999. I may be wrong, but I don't think Koenig was trying to deliberately deceive her audience. Her wanting to believe the story likely got in the way of her objectivity. As to the timing of the letters, it seems clear that although the first letter may have been written on March 1st, it was planned before Adnan was arrested. The second letter makes no sense. Why would Asia get so antsy and feel compelled to send another letter one day later, but not bother sending any letter one week later when solicited by Adnan's attorney? Adnan was just assigned a bunk. Give a brother a minute to get his bearings. Keep in mind he was just given a prisoner number that she miraculously was able to identify on March 2 as well as his address that he didn't know himself on March 6. Based on Ja'uan's April 20, 1999 interview, it seems pretty obvious that Adnan felt compelled to further "fix" his alibi following his indictment one week earlier by sending another request to his alibi accomplice and the March 2 letter was created after the fact.
Whether or not he deserves it, Adnan Syed will likely get a new trial. He has spent more than half his life in jail. The most just outcome would be if he were to sincerely apologize to HML's family, take a deal and plead guilty to manslaughter with release for time served. It would be more honest and less risky than continuing this innocence charade. I just wish the path to his new trial didn't plow through his dead lawyer's reputation.

I wrote this up four years ago, but hearing the case referenced earlier today prompted me to post this and hopefully put the matter to bed.
The purpose of this post is to use the facts to explain Christina Gutierrez's strategy--particularly why she did not rely on the letters or witness testimony of Asia McClain. Her instincts were spot on and the claim that Adnan Syed received ineffective assistance of counsel is a travesty. Apologies for the length, but if you followed this case, I promise that you will find this worthwhile.

• Was the prosecution's case full of holes? Yes.
• Did the State prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Adnan Syed murdered Hae Min Lee? Well, the jury believed that they did.
• Should Adnan have been found guilty based on the case made by the State? Probably, but if Jay’s testimony was tossed out on appeal, no.
• Did religious/cultural discrimination play a factor in Adnan's conviction? Probably.
• Did Adnan's attorney, Christina Gutierrez screw up? On the surface it may appear so, but no, she did not.
• Was Adnan Syed involved in the murder of Hae Min Lee (HML)? YES, but not because of any evidence presented by the prosecution. The facts and analysis below show how the most compelling evidence proving Adnan Syed's guilt was not provided by the State. It was provided by his strongest advocate, Rabia Chaudry, who doggedly pursued the Asia alibi.

The March 1, 1999 letter from Asia McClain--incorrectly regarded by many as exculpatory--actually implicates Adnan and proves that he played a role in HML's murder.
The greatest injustice exposed through the Serial Podcast was not what happened to Adnan Syed, but how Christina Gutierrez was portrayed. Based solely on her grossly misinterpreted handling of the Asia McClain letters, every move that Gutierrez made makes perfect sense and her strategy was sound. To best understand the case, we should start with a timeline. There are a lot of timelines out there, but they contain partial or extraneous information. The details of whether there was a meeting at Best Buy, who made the Nisha call, etc. are not included because they are not necessary to prove Adnan’s guilt or the effectiveness of Gutierrez as his counsel.
1998
Early December: Adnan and Hae break up.
Mid-December: Adnan and Don look at Hae's car at her job at Lenscrafters. Adnan has no problem with Don and gets along fine, but Don is only Hae's coworker at this time (relevance: motive).
1999
January 1: Don and Hae start dating.
January 12: Adnan purchases his cell phone (first time he owned one) and starts using it that evening.
January 12: Hae spends evening with Don.
January 12: Adnan calls Hae three times between 11:27 PM and 12:35 AM.
January 13: Hae is killed and buried between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM (the one consistent thread in Jay's multiple statements and testimony, also Adnan's cell was pinging Leakin Park burial site between 7 PM and 8 PM).
January 13: Adnan called by police at 6:24 PM asking if he knows Hae's whereabouts and speaks with them until about 6:30 PM (cell pings tower near Cathy's house).
January 13: Between 7:09 PM and 8:05 PM all four calls to/from Adnan's cell ping Leakin Park towers near Hae's burial site.
Jan 13 to Feb 9: Police question Adnan and Don multiple times pursuant to investigation of Hae's disappearance. Police do not assume anything about if/when Hae could have been killed (relevance: timeline not yet established by police).
February 9: Hae's body found by Mr. S. Medical examiner determines that Hae was strangled, but cannot determine when she was killed (relevance: timeline not yet established by police).
February 12: Anonymous call to cops telling them to look at Hae's ex. Anonymous tipster calls again telling cops to talk to Yasser Ali who might know more.
February 15: Police speak with Yasser who says he knows nothing (relevance: Goes without saying that Yasser tells his friend Adnan that the cops are investigating him and Adnan likely starts establishing his Asia alibi).
February 16-25: Police subpoena Adnan's cell records, identify the numbers called and see that the most frequently called number was Jenn (Jay's friend)
February 26: Police try to contact Jenn and she says it's not a good time.
February 26: Jenn goes to Jay and tells him that the police tried to question her about Hae. According to Jenn's story, Jay tells her what to say to police about the murder and tells her send the police to him (relevance: Jay knows its a question of time before police connect him with the calls and knows that he needs to get ahead of the story).
February 26: Jenn talks to the police (goes alone), but says that she knows nothing (relevance: Contrary to Jenn's story, Jay likely told Jenn to stall while he figures out what she should tell the cops and gives her full account the next day after Jay puts together his version of events).
February 26: Police speak with Adnan (relevance: Adnan by now certainly knows he needs an alibi, but police do not have a time line yet).
February 27: Jenn speaks with police again (with her mom and attorney present). This time she tells the police that Jay told her that Adnan strangled Hae. No timeline established although she says that Jay was at her house between 3:45 PM and 4:15 PM on Jan 13.
February 27: Police speak with Adnan (probably more aggressively in view of Jenn's statement)
February 27: Jay sweating bullets all day at his job at the adult video store waiting for police to contact him and wondering if Adnan got his version of the story to the police first. Police have Jay come in for questioning for the first time (relevance: Jay is not fearful of Adnan physically doing something to him. He is scared that Adnan will throw him under the bus. Jay is definitely not scared--as Rabia Chaudry and the Innocence Project allege--that some random rapist/murderer who was released from prison less than two weeks earlier to whom Jay has no connection is making Jay help cover his tracks).
February 28: Later the same night he was brought in by the cops, Jay gives up Adnan and provides the general timeline that establishes that Hae was killed and buried between 2:15 and 8 PM (consistent with his subsequent statements and testimony). This is the first time the police have a timeline for Hae's murder and burial. This timeline is not yet publicly available, so as far as the public knows, Hae was killed and buried some time between January 13 and February 9.
February 28: Adnan arrested for Hae's murder (this is a Sunday)
March 1: A day after Adnan is arrested, the first Asia letter sent, She states that she can account for some of Adnan's "unwitnessed, unaccountable time" between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM on January 13. The ink is not yet dry on Jay's non-public statement. The letter was written before the police start to even check whether Adnan has an alibi.
March 2: Second Asia letter reiterating that she can account for Adnan's time (does not provide a time range in second letter). Asks why he has not yet told police about this.
March 31: Adnan's bail hearing where he is represented by two attorneys (Gutierrez not yet involved. Nothing in the record indicates that Adnan showed the Asia letters to these two attorneys.
After March 31: Christina Gutierrez hired to defend Adnan and at some point before the first trial is told by Adnan about the Asia letters.
July 7: Gutierrez files a demand letter with the court complaining that the prosecution had not provided info on when HML was killed and that “Defendant can’t possibly mount a defense or determine if an alibi disclosure is needed without being on notice of the alleged time of death.” (relevance: THIS IS KEY TO UNDERSTANDING WHY GUTIERREZ DID NOT USE ASIA--More than four months after the Asia letters, Adnan was still not told of the State's timeline, but Asia somehow used her fortune teller skills to identify the precise time for which Adnan needed an alibi).
September 7: Jay enters plea deal that is contingent upon Jay telling truth. If his testimony is proven to be false, State could bring any charge against Jay including murder.
2000
February 18: Gutierrez learns for the first time almost six weeks into the second trial and after the State rests that the prosecutor arranged for Jay's free private defense attorney.
February 25: Adnan found guilty
June 6: Adnan sentenced to life plus 30
July 6: Jay sentenced to probation (under deal was facing max 5 years)
​
The way alibis typically work: a suspect is questioned by the police based on when they believe the crime was committed. The suspect is asked to account for his time and if anyone could confirm the suspect's story that he was somewhere else at the time the crime was committed. If the suspect has an alibi, the police investigate whether the alibi checks out. Adnan was arrested on Feb 28. Before the cops or prosecution even questioned Adnan about his whereabouts on January 13, Asia went ahead and provided him with an alibi within 24 hours of his arrest.
The most important feature of the above timeline is that before Jay's statements, neither the police nor the public were operating under the assumption that Hae was killed and buried between 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM on January 13. Some thought she was with Don. Some thought she went to California to see her father. Gutierrez herself argued at trial that Hae could have been killed Jan 13 or Jan 14 or Jan 15, etc. At the time Adnan was arrested, all that was known was that HML was last seen on January 13th and that she was killed and buried some time between January 13th and February 9th. HML could have been stuffed in the trunk of her car alive by Jay on January 13 and killed the next day or the day after that. If Adnan was charged with HML's kidnapping, an alibi for January 13 would have relevance, but he was not. He was charged with murder, the timing of which was not known to the public or an innocent man until AFTER March 1, 1999. The only evidence establishing the January 13 timeline of Hae's murder and burial is Jay's testimony, which was unknown to the public as of March 1, 1999.
Nothing in the record indicates that Adnan told the police about Asia after he was arrested. Keep in mind that Adnan had not yet hired Gutierrez until several weeks after receiving the first Asia letter. Why would he keep this alibi from the police? It obviously had nothing to do with the fact that he could not remember that he saw her on Jan 13 because she clearly states in her letter that she could vouch for him. Adnan also did not raise the Asia letters to his attorneys that handled the bail hearing. He kept his mouth shut about the Asia letters because he realized that he screwed up. Asia's first letter came ONE DAY after Jay told the police the first and only account of when Hae was killed and buried (between 2:15 PM to 8 PM on Jan 13). Asia did not write her letter in response to questions for the police who by her own account had never spoken with her. Yet, she provides a detail in her letter offering to help Adnan account for his time, specifically between 2:15 to 8:00 PM (see page 2 of her March 31 letter). If Asia simply offered to help Adnan account for some his time on January 13, it would have been suspicious because it would imply knowledge of Jenn and Jay's private statements to the police given on Feb 27 and 28, respectively. Asia specifically identifying the relevant time frame precludes the possibility that she was just innocently trying to help Adnan and that he had nothing to do with prearranging the alibi letters. Only after the prosecution committed to the 21 minute time frame when they argued that Hae was killed did Asia with Rabia's help narrow her 5.75 hour range to a 20 minute stretch in her affidavit that overlaps with the State's story. Keep in mind also that the affidavit was prepared one year after Asia wrote her two letters. By including that detail in her first letter, Asia unwittingly revealed that Adnan planned his alibi before being arrested and knew when Hae was killed and buried independent of Jay's statements. Thus, Asia's letter does the exact opposite of providing Adnan with an alibi. It proves that Adnan had knowledge of Hae's murder and burial which he failed to report at any time before his arrest. Adnan probably figured out that he screwed up by having Asia provide the alibi before he was ever questioned against Jay's timeline. How could he show the cops the letters without implicating himself? "Officers, I know you have not yet revealed your theory of when Hae was killed and buried, but I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess that at some point you will ask me about my whereabouts between 2:15 PM and 8 PM on January 13, 1999. Well, I happened to receive this letter a day after you arrested me that by remarkable coincidence covers me for that exact same time frame to which I imagine you will refer some time in the future as my 'unwitnessed, unaccountable lost time.' Hell, Asia even knew you would refer to it using that exact language! Obviously, this letter proves that I had nothing to do with the incident that allegedly took place at a time I could have not known about unless I was involved in Hae's murder." Oops. He thought he was playing it safe by having Asia cover him for the entire time that Hae was killed and buried. The crazy thing is, it appears that during his Feb 28, 1999 arrest that the cops NEVER questioned him against Jay's timline. The arresting officers' interview notes do not ever mention it. In fact, Gutierrez complained to the judge FOUR MONTHS AFTER Asia wrote her letter that the prosecution had not yet provided a time of death against which her client could provide an alibi! This compounds how ridiculous Asia's letter is.
Gutierrez's Strategy
Asia Letter
Later, when Gutierrez took over Adnan's defense, her notes indicate that Adnan told her about the Asia alibi. He figured he would see if she could find a way to use the Asia letters. She likely determined immediately that Asia's first letter is poison to the defense and proves only that Adnan had to be involved. Her first line of questions to Adnan: How did Asia know the relevant time frame (2:15 PM to 8:00 PM) the day after Jay made his non-public statement to the cops? Why does she provide such a wide range of 2:15 PM and 8:00 PM when she can only account for "some of your time?" How could she know within 24 hours of your arrest that you had any “unwitnessed, unaccountable lost time” let alone the relevant 5.75 hour stretch on January 13, 1999 when the public did not yet know when HML was killed and buried? Her second line of questions: Did you talk to Asia before you were arrested? Did you tell her what to say in her letter? How will she explain how she knew what time Jay would say you murdered and buried Hae? Do you know how much trouble she will be in if she perjures herself to help you establish an alibi? How confident are you that she will stick to her story if the prosecutors lean on her by hammering away that the penalty for perjury in Maryland is up to 10 years in prison? Her third line which likely remained in her mind: If you weren't involved in Hae's murder, how could you have known that you needed an alibi between 2:15 PM and 8 PM BEFORE Jay gave his first statement to the cops and BEFORE the cops even asked you anything about that time? She probably only needed to ask a couple of the preceding questions before realizing that she had to keep Asia out of the case for Adnan to have a shot. She likely shamed him by warning that if he knows what's good for him he will never bring Asia up to her again. If she gave the prosecution wind of Asia's anti-alibi by interviewing her, she knew they could use Asia as a witness to crucify Adnan. She kept Asia out to protect him. So Gutierrez knew that her client was involved in the murder for which he was accused. Hardly unusual for a criminal defense attorney, but unfortunately, the case doesn't end when you realize your client is not innocent. She still had to defend him and make the prosecution prove their case.
Not atacking the State's Timeline
The prosecutors made a deal with Jay. He agreed to plead to accessory after the fact in exchange for being the State's witness against Adnan. This is also key to Gutierrez's strategy: Jay's deal was contingent upon telling the truth. It specifically states that if it becomes evident that Jay is lying, his deal is voided and the state can bring any charges against him including murder. The terms of the deal were laid out during the State's direct examination of Jay.
Jay's deal poses a strategic problem for Gutierrez. Because of the Asia letter, she knows that Adnan was involved in Hae's murder. If she destroys Jay's testimony and proves that he lied by exposing the holes in his story, Jay's deal gets voided and he becomes fair game for the prosecution. That's fine if Jay acted alone, but she knew that wasn't the case. Jay is still weak on motive, but he would likely be forced to admit that he played a more active role in Hae's murder. While the prosecution's initial story is full of holes, if Jay comes clean, the holes would likely disappear and make the State's case against Adnan much stronger. Of course, Jay would be exposed as a liar, but his second story would fit the cell tower records and the testimony of other witnesses much better. This would put Gutierrez in a position of having to defend Adnan against what she knows to be true, the prosecution’s case would no longer hinge on Jay’s testimony alone resulting in even more of an uphill battle for the defense. I'm not saying that she made the right call, but her strategy of not attacking the time line is not obviously wrong.
What does that leave Gutierrez in terms of tactics? Attacking Jay's credibility and bolstering Adnan's character through favorable witness testimony. She reminds the jury at every opportunity that Jay works in a porn video store. She reminds them that he admitted lying to the cops in his earlier statements about what he knew. But she does not expose him as a liar for any statements he made during the trial lest it destroy his deal and expose Adnan to yet another version of the story--the REAL story--against which she would likely have a more difficult time defending her client. Add to that having to defend Adnan from the State's thinly veiled assertions that he comes from an "honor killing" culture and you can see how she really had her work cut out for her.
Then the State gives Gutierrez a HUGE gift by not disclosing the terms of how the district attorney arranged for Jay's pro bono attorney. Gutierrez pounced on this fact and did what she could by focusing on the impropriety of the State failing to disclose that it provided a private attorney for Jay. If the trial court judge agreed and ordered the jury to disregard Jay's testimony, the state's case would crumble. Anyway, the trial judge denied Gutierrez's attempt to have Jay's testimony tossed, but she preserved her objections for appeal the focus of which would be that the court erred in allowing Jay's testimony. Gutierrez’s plan was to have the testimony of the prosecution's key witness thrown out without having to prove that he lied. This means that Adnan goes free and Jay keeps his deal and is immune from the prosecution going after him to get the real story because his testimony getting dumped was the prosecution's fault not Jay's. Kind of brilliant, if you ask me.
Gutierrez's Courtroom Style and Treatment of Adnan's Parents.
Based on what I heard from the audio recordings, yes, Gutierrez's elocution left something to be desired. Having seen litigators of varying skill in action, I can see how her style might be effective if she is underscoring the sloppiness of the State's case and trying to make them sound ridiculous. The long, drawn out histrionics can leave a good impression on a jury if you have the right material like when she hammered away at how the prosecutor arranged for Jay's pro bono attorney. As to the rest of the case though, she was handcuffed and did not have much she could sink her teeth into to make the prosecution look stupid. Her questioning ended up being meandering and her style was grating and likely ended up doing more harm. But having an attorney with an annoying voice and style is not grounds for seeking a new trial.
As to Gutierrez's disposition towards Adnan's parents that Rabia blogs about, if I was Gutierrez and knew what she knew and had to deal with her murdering sociopath client's clueless parents and their wet-behind-the-ears law student friend each convinced of his innocence, I would probably not have any patience for them either. She CAN'T tell them her strategy because it is largely based on the fact that Adnan was involved in the murder ("I CAN'T poke holes in the timeline because then Jay will be forced to tell the truth and your son won't have a snowball's chance in hell."). More importantly, the strategy is protected by attorney client privilege and her disbarment would have come a few years earlier if she laid it out for them. Rabia bashes Gutierrez for focusing exclusively on the appeal and accuses her of squeezing as much money as she could out of the case. What Rabia doesn't realize is that if they stuck with Gutierrez or at least kept her on to assist with the appeal if her health became a factor, Adnan would have had a better shot at getting off by focusing exclusively on having Jay's testimony thrown out. After finding out about Asia, did Rabia ask Gutierrez why she didn't use her? Was it possible that this seasoned attorney might have a strategy that she could not disclose to this law student family friend operating on 100% emotion and 0% experience? Nah. Rabia already made up her mind that Gutierrez was a mean and incompetent attorney who needed to be fired. By meddling in the case, convincing Adnan's parents to fire Gutierrez before the appeal and spending time pursuing Asia's anti-alibi, Rabia actually hurt Adnan's chances for a reversal of the verdict. Sure, the prosecution's providing Jay with an attorney eventually ended up being the lead argument in the appeal, but how much time was wasted pursuing the Asia alibi? Rabia and Adnan's new attorneys spent valuable time spinning their wheels focusing their efforts on Asia only to have her recant her ridiculous story (which she is spinning again now years later because it's fun being famous). That time could have been used to gather additional facts surrounding the prosecution's failure to disclose the arrangement of the pro bono attorney. It could have been used to investigate Jay's prior arrests for drug dealing (1997) and disorderly conduct (January 1999) to establish that he clearly knew that there is a difference between a private criminal defense attorney and a public defender. It could have been used to sharpen their legal research and arguments to disqualify Jay's testimony instead of being forced to throw together a shoddy appeal brief when their main argument based on Asia's bogus affidavit blew up in their face. What makes matters worse, Rabia goes blogging to the world about how this lawyer who cannot defend herself because she is dead sucked at her job and was nothing but a money-grubbing bitch. The irony of the well-intentioned Rabia receiving and taking credit for bringing attention to Adnan’s case, writing books and going on speaking tours is that her meddling in the appeal guaranteed that Adnan would rot in prison. The sad part is that neither she nor her fans will ever understand that.
Adnan's Motive
Hae's letter to Adnan asking him to stop harassing her is pretty damning. They did not discuss it much on the podcast, but read it and you'll see that it's enough to establish motive even without the "i'm going to kill" note that was allegedly written in Adnan's handwriting on the back of the letter. The letter was found in Adnan's room after he was arrested. Rabia and her brother go out of their way to portray Adnan as a player. This "player's" first and only girlfriend dumped HIM. Hae broke up with Adnan in December 1998 and had been with Don for less than two weeks before she was killed (started dating Jan 1, 1999). A player does the dumping and Adnan was apparently not handling his dumpee status well. They broke up a couple of times before, but ended up getting back together. The narrative on Serial makes it sound like Adnan was taking the last break up in stride and got along ok with Don when they met to look at Hae's car. What Koenig fails to make clear is that at the time Adnan met Don, Hae and Don were CO-WORKERS at Lenscrafters and were not yet BF/GF, so Don was not a threat. Don went out to look at his CO-WORKER's car at a time described as before Christmas 1998 and BEFORE Don and Hae started dating. After learning that he had been replaced in early January 1999, the "player" became an ignited powder keg. Adnan's phone shows three calls to Hae the night before she was murdered. No calls on his phone the day she was killed. You would think he would at least try after getting a call from the cops that she's missing. On the flip side, we learn that Don didn't call Hae either, but they were together for less than 2 weeks. Adnan and Hae had a much longer history and when Adnan was calling Hae the night before her murder, she was with Don. If Hae told Adnan she was with Don...boom goes the dynamite.
The above analysis made the entire case finally make sense to me. Why Asia's alibi was not used in the trial. Why Adnan kept his trap shut about the alibi and said nothing of it to his family or Rabia until after his conviction. Why Adnan did not lose his mind and curse Gutierrez for supposedly dropping the ball and not pursuing the Asia alibi. Why Adnan raised it to Rabia in desperation after he was convicted because he figured he had nothing to lose. Why Asia's fiancee stonewalled her participation in the appeal and made her recant her bogus affidavit because she likely told him the circumstances where Adnan asked her in advance to provide him with an alibi. Why Adnan was less than enthusiastic when Koenig told him that she found Asia--because he was scared that Koenig learned the truth about the bogus alibi, not at all because it was too late for his appeal as stated in the podcast. Asia continuing to stick with her story when speaking with Koenig is strange, but I'll bet she is no longer with that sensible fiancee who saved her from being charged with perjury. Also, how bad would she look if she admitted now that her letters and affidavit were bs? Finally, speaking with a reporter is different than giving sworn testimony in a court proceeding, but assuming Asia knows the difference would be giving her too much credit. In our celebrity-crazed society, Asia went from being a nobody to a household name. Given the choice of being elevated to the hero of a story everyone was taking about or universally reviled as a lying moron, she unsurprisingly embraced the former. You don’t need a sensitive bs meter to know Asia is full of it. Read Asia's letters to Adnan and her Affidavit. In these documents she is keenly aware of how important her testimony could be. Her words clearly state that she knows that Adnan needs to account for his time down to the specific range used later by the prosecution at the trial. Her words beg for someone to speak to her about the case so she can help. Now listen to her Serial interview with Koenig. She is as clueless as Donald Trump trying to answer questions about the ideas in Art of the Deal that he is capable of neither explaining nor understanding because it was ghost written for him. During Koenig's interview, Asia couldn't comprehend how she could have helped get Adnan off. This is even after Koenig spoon-feeds her as to how her testimony could have been exculpatory. So we are to believe that she somehow made the connection of the relevance of her testimony BEFORE the prosecution made its case (actually, before the police even finished their investigation), BEFORE anyone even knew the relevant time frame for which Adnan needed to account for himself, but afterward all she does is shrug and say she wishes there was "some technicality to prove his innocence." This is like hitting the trifecta at the track and failing to make the connection between your picks and the winning ticket--this might happen if you know nothing about horse racing and someone fixed the race and made the picks for you.
The anonymous caller was likely a guy from Adnan's mosque community--he clearly knew both Adnan and Yasser Ali who did not go to the same school as Adnan. I doubt the caller had specific knowledge about the murder or was involved, but more likely felt uncomfortable because of something an overconfident Adnan may have said (i.e. "I know what happened..." or "she got what she deserved" or the like...). One of the few things Adnan uttered in court during his trial was, "you're pathetic" directed to Jay. Is that what an innocent man says to the person who framed him for murder or is that what a mastermind co-conspirator says to the guy who sold him out? Does an innocent person claim that he doesn't know that Leakin Park (Hae's burial site) exists? Keep in mind that this park is 1000+ acres, one of the largest in the Baltimore area and about two miles from where Adnan went to high school.
The theory that Adnan was framed and the real killer used Jay as a puppet is ridiculous. Does it make any sense that a convicted murderer with rape being part of his MO who was released less than two weeks before Hae's murder colluded with Jay to kill (but not rape) and bury her? So Jay was really afraid of this now dead criminal who demanded Jay's help to bury the body of the woman who coincidentally happened to be the ex-girlfriend of the guy with whom Jay spent a good chunk of January 13, 1999 not to mention the fact that Jay spent several hours that same day driving the guy's car and talking on the guy's cell phone--Adnan's first cell phone that he bought the day before that he generously let his drug dealing friend use? Please...
Why did Jay go along with it?
Adnan: "Help me or I'll turn you in to the cops for dealing drugs."
Jay: "Well I'll turn you in to the cops for murder!"
Adnan: "Who do you think the cops will believe? A Southeast Asian American honors student on his way to college or a black dropout with a criminal record?"
I imagine the conversation went something like that and Jay said something to this effect in an interview from a few years ago. As to why Adnan reached out to Jay in the first place, as I'm sure others have postulated, his plan was always to pin it on Jay. Jay was the perfect patsy. Adnan's attempt to stage manage Jay's conviction fell apart with the botched Asia alibi, Jay getting his story to the cops first and Jay getting a plea deal.
Conclusion
The inconsistencies in the details of the timeline are irrelevant. Jay likely lied to decrease his own involvement and increase Adnan's. As to Jay's recent interview 15 years after the fact, it is an irrevocable fact that Adnan's cell was pinging the towers near Hae's burial site between 7 and 8 PM on January 13, 1999. The Asia letter shows that Adnan knew when the murder and burial took place. Serial should have ended after the first episode. Koenig could have nipped this entire story in the bud by asking Asia, who is now more than happy to discuss the matter, how she came to know by March 1, 1999 that Adnan needed to account for his time between 2:15 and 8 PM on January 13, 1999. I may be wrong, but I don't think Koenig was trying to deliberately deceive her audience. Her wanting to believe the story likely got in the way of her objectivity. *Update* Adnan Syed has spent more than half his life in jail. There are individuals walking free among us who have committed worse crimes and served less time. Although I am certain of his guilt, I also think he was just a stupid kid who committed a terrible crime, thought he could outsmart the system and paid a price. He may have been a budding sociopath when he went in, but he did not get away with his crime and I'm not sure he is the same conniving, duplicitous piece of crap anymore. He should get a new trial. The most just outcome would be if he were to sincerely apologize to HML's family, take a deal and plead guilty to manslaughter with release for time served. It would be more honest and less risky than continuing this innocence charade. I just wish the path to his new trial didn't plow through his dead lawyer's reputation. Ineffective assistance of counsel...that's like convincing the Vatican that Michelangelo was an ineffective artist but ignoring the fact that after he finished the ceiling, the true incompetents went into the Sistine Chapel and had a paintball fight.

Cricket has always been and forever be a consistent most loved for games bettors. Added to the overall ubiquity of the amusement and it’s smooth intrigue cricket directions mass of bettors with its changed wagering choices. The wagering market here does not simply begin and finish with the essential match win, lose or draw. Or maybe you will likewise have the capacity to put wagers on top batsman, coordinate champ, session runs, absolute runs and numerous different parameters. It is safe to say that you are too intending to experiment with cricket wagering on the web? That is astounding and here is a brief on the best tips from tipsters to guarantee a compensating knowledge with cricket betting.
Execution remainder of players
It’s to note here all players don’t play similarly in all organizations of cricket. For instance, Kieran Pollard is phenomenal in T20 designs yet not all that good in Test matches. Then again, Michael Clarke has dependably been a match victor in Test and ODI coordinates yet not all that exemplary in T20 cricket. In this way, before you put down wagers on players, be cautious about their normal execution remainder in the distinctive match positions.
Home or away match
The greater part of the groups will in general admission better in “home” matches contrasted with “away” ones, particularly because of higher solace level in home ground. An exemplary model is the Indian national cricket group. Along these lines, before picking your most loved for match win wager, remember the home-away match factor.
Commercial
Search for a dependable site
Your cricket wagering innings begins with discovering top wagering locales for cricket. There is no lack of trick destinations around and in this manner here are the focuses to remember while joining with a wagering site.
It’s smarter to search for a main games wagering on the web direct here like Betting Top 10. The site is one of the chief assets on games wagering and incorporates an extraordinary segment on cricket. The best part, the site offers subtleties on the most confided in wagering locales, including their reward, promotion code, rating and expound surveys. You will likewise discover wagering tips and match expectations here.
Comprehend pitch conditions
The state of a cricket contribute assumes an immense job deciding the aftereffect of a match. You need to accumulate a reasonable comprehension on whether the contribute will be support of bowlers or batsmen, conceivable run-rate to be caused, its pace of crumbling, etc. Endeavor to pursue observers and news reports to understand pitch conditions before putting down the wager.
Mind the climate
Much the same as pitch, climate conditions also have an embrace task to carry out in coordinating the result of a cricket coordinate. Along these lines, remember to pursue the climate conjectures ahead of time. Be that as it may, do whatever it takes not to put down the wager (if conceivable) till the day of the match arrives. We have regularly observed a splendid radiant day in spite of a propelled conjecture of an overwhelming shower.
Pursue details of cricket grounds
Another imperative tip from tipsters is to pursue the details of cricket grounds heretofore. These details are incredibly helpful as they can pass on important bits of knowledge on a substantial host of stuff-like conceivable match victor, most elevated scorer on the ground, most elevated match winning group on the pitch, explicit attributes of pitch, conceivable run-rate, and normal innings absolute, etc.
Last however not the least, if it’s your first time, begin little. Benefit as much as possible from free wagers to conceal for the underlying misfortunes that are normal for amateurs.
#cricketbetting #todaymatchprediction #todaycrickettips #todaymatchtips #matchtips

Follow the best football prediction site and do not lose the chance to grow your income every day. With Betting Insider’s paid accurate soccer predictions you become a winner every day; no stress to choose a match, no stress to ask around. We do the whole job for you.
The idea behind the paid accurate soccer predictions is to focus on quality football tips every single day. We post single football bets because that is the best chance of making long-term profit from football betting. To follow the paid accurate soccer predictions you will need a lot of patience and discipline. But you will be rewarded with making a constant profit from football betting tips on a monthly basis.

What are paid accurate soccer predictions?

Paid accurate soccer predictions are very simple bet, we simply pick football tips we think are going to win the match, analyzing every detail of the match. To win the bet, team selected (or teams if the bet is double) must win their matches.
For our accurate soccer predictions, you should set yourself a betting bankroll – money that you will only use for daily betting tips. It’s very important to use funds you can afford to lose. Please don’t use your rent money for this accurate soccer predictions.

How accurate are our sport bet predictions and tips?

You have to understand that there is no such thing as a 100% guarantee in sports betting. However, our games are carefully analyzed by our professional team of expert tipsters and our various plans are designed to minimize your sport bet risks by picking selections from safe sport bet markets.
Our accurate soccer predictions have a winning percentage of around 85-90% per month.
Our betting experts have searched the internet and spoke with people in the know, to gather as much information as possible, and offer you the best accurate soccer predictions. We do this to ensure the bet of the day is the best bet possible.
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For soccer enthusiasts, a draw is never an expected result of a football match. They want to see one team winning by a huge margin. They expect action, thrill and suspense. But for those who bet on soccer games, a draw is also a result and it is as beneficial as other results are. These are called fixed draw football matches.
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If you enjoy soccer with betting, you shouldn’t overlook any result while enjoying the action. The result of a match depends on the performance of the contesting teams and you can predict an outcome on the basis of your findings and information received from different sources. Or you should buy a fixed draw match prediction from a reliable tipster. Tipsters can easily predict the correct outcome of football matches

• Information plays a crucial role in soccer betting. You get the latest info about a match you are betting on from sports journos that chase teams from dressing rooms to ground in search of breaking news. Also, you can look forward to managers, coaches and players for info
• When you see a player running with the ball, you can predict whether he will be able to clear obstructions or will be intercepted midway by contesting team. Similarly, you can predict how a team would perform against others. It is called experience that average punters lack. But tipsters have this edge.
• Inside information about teams and their strategies are coupled with the statistics about contesting teams for making predictions. You can get data about team performance but you can’t get inside information. And it is very difficult to predict the outcome of a match without secret info. Tipsters have their sources in betting syndicates.
• The biggest difference between a gambler and a tipster is that the latter does a full-time job. A tipper is always chasing teams and predicting outcomes of football matches. But a gambler thinks of a match only during football season. A tipper is a professional but a punter is an amateur.

Beware from the tippers that

• Make tall claims regarding their sources. It is true that the tippers have informers in betting syndicates but it is also true that not all insiders can give the authentic information needed. Also, the inside info has to be verified before using for making fixed draw soccer prediction.
• Practice unethical ways to take undue advantage of today soccer fixed draw They claim to have a say in the match and promise favorable results with 100% guarantee of winning.

Are you looking for verified tipsters? If yes then this blog would really be a big help in your search. Here we’ll discuss the process of verifying tippers.
The first thing to understand is that it is only an experienced footballer like a player, former bookie or tipper that can verify tips and suggest verified tipsters. Now your job is to find that person. The World Wide Web is full of websites that give tips and it is surprising to find that every site promises winning tips. What is more amazing is that the sites give guarantee of success with their predictions. It is very difficult to find a reliable tipper without any professional help by an expert that can verify tippers and give reasons to relying on them.
You want the expert to do the following things:

• Give you addresses of reliable tips websites
• Give reasons for relying on those sites

One more important thing the tipper should do is to keep updating his list of trustworthy tippers. The existing professionals could fail to provide winning tips and new professionals could get an edge over others. If the expert isn’t updating his list, the list would be outdated soon.
An expert should consider following factors to determine the reliability of tippers
Experience: It is very difficult to rely on a person that has just started giving tips. A person has to work for at least a couple of years in order to prove his reliability.
Tips: It is mandatory to track past and present predictions of tippers to make an opinion on them. The job of an expert is to study predictions of every person claiming to provide winning tips and list reliable persons.
Free predictions: Some websites offer free tips but it seems too good to be true. An expert has to investigate the reason behind free service and bring out the truth for bettors.
Guarantee of success: It is common to find professionals giving guaranteed predictions but sometimes these tips don’t materialize and the tippers have to fulfill the guarantee. It is only an expert that can find reliable guaranteed tips.
Q: Why free tips?
A: Some websites offer free predictions for marketing. They offer free help for a limited time and expect the customers to buy tips afterward. But the free tips sites must mention this clause in their terms and conditions.
Q: What is the guarantee offered?
A:Punters are offered replacement tips in guarantee but some tippers offera money-back guarantee. It is difficult to believe but it is true. But you must not believe on such a guarantee without justified reasons.
An expert should give soccer tipsters comparison.He should list all the sites he finds reliable in one column and give reasons to believe on those tippers in another column. There should be clarity in language and the person should look confident in his findings.
An expert can help find safe soccer tips and enjoy betting in a safe way. The tips would increase your chances of winning to manifold. The dollars spent on predictions won’t go waste.

About Me
I'd like to introduce myself first. I've been playing competetive games all my life. I've been betting on sports since I turned 18 and spent the last year building multiple websites with the help of a few professionals. We're currently in the process of building an eSports Platform (Website is almost done) which writes about League of Legends, DotA 2, CS:GO and Starcraft 2 with Hearthstone and probably Heroes of the Storm to be added soon.
The Website
The difference to any other generic eSports News website is that almost all news will focus on the betting aspect of the news. Our aim isn't to be the very first to report that Team X has swapped out Player Y for Player Z. We want to be the ones who are reporting whether this makes the team better or not and whether it would be a good idea to bet on Team X now with their new lineup or not. Will bettors over- or undervalue Team X now? This is an example of what kind of questions we want to solve with our articles while also providing previews of big games or tournaments.
There is also a "Tips" section where writers will talk about certain games and which team they think people should bet on.
The website is almost finished and we're now looking for writers, both for the news and for the tips section. We encourage even inexperienced writers to apply as some of our best writers for other websites have started their career with us. We will answer every application within a month.
Job requirements:

• Strong written english
• Strong experience and understanding of at least one eSports title
• Basic knowledge of how sports betting in general works
• Being dependable and pleasant to work with

Job benefits:

• Flat hierarchy, your ideas matter to us
• A first-hand experience on how to cover eSports in a low-pressure environment. You gain exposure on a new website that is just starting out and might be the next big thing.
• You're ahead of everyone else when it comes to knowing about the scene and understand exactly how different kind of changes can impact a sport.
• Write what you're passionate about. Help your favorite game grow by providing coverage.
• Work with likeminded writers, communicate and build relationships in a forum that is only accessible by our writers.
• No contract. If you decide to work for someone else at some point we'll write you a great letter of recommendation and you'll be on your way.
• It is only necessary to write 4 articles per month for writers or 10 tips per month for tipsters. It is entirely possible to work for us while working at another job or going to school and you'll still have plenty of time to play and watch eSports titles everyday.

"News" section:
Job description:

• You'll write at least 4 articles per month about your favorite eSports title
• Articles need to be a minimum of 500 words
• Articles should mainly be previews and give insight about upcoming matches without necessarily stating your opinion on who will win but can also be about new patches or roster changes and how they might make a team/player stronger or weaker

Necessary information:
Please send us an email to [email protected] with the following content to apply:

• Your name
• The name of the eSports title you would like to write about
• Any previous experience you might have that relates to this job
• A sample 500 word article
• Your monthly salary expectation
• Your earliest starting date

"Tips" section:
Job description:

• You'll write at least about 10 games per month and give your opinion about which team/player readers should bet on.
• Every "Tip" or opinion about a match should be a minimum of 100 words long.
• Consider the odds and voice your opinion about which team is undervalued and why.

Necessary information:
Please send us an email to [email protected] with the following content to apply:

• Your name
• The name of the eSports title you would like to write about
• Any proof that you might have that you already are a successful bettor or at least have a lot of experience in sports betting
• Explain to us who we should bet on in 3 upcoming games and why with at least 100 words per game
• Your monthly salary expectation
• Your earliest starting date

There are a lot of people who rely on football predictions to be able to gain an edge in football gambling. But how exactly are these predictions formulated?
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Ahead of you does something else (ahead of you place any money at bet) formulate sure that you recognize what you're doing and what you're reaching into. If you really desire to get keen on football betting, it would be most excellent if you would read about the topic matter first further on of you begin betting on numerous teams.
• The internet is teeming with information on the subject. You can search for articles and websites that would be able to help you learn more about the subject.
• This would also let you in on some tricks of the trade. The more knowledge that you have the more chances you get of making a good bet.
• Moreover, you will be steered left from fake information or wealth scalpers online. And of course, that would be a superior thing for you and your cash.
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• For most people who are just starting out in the business, football predictions are real charms for them. These predictions would tell them about what exactly could happen in the next game. Based on these predictions, they can then place a wager on the team that they think would win.
• Of course, no one can actually forecast the result of a game. Tipsters, or people who provide game predictions, tell their clients that there is no assurance that their predictions are actually going to occur.
So it will be up to you if you're going to bet according to their predictions.
These tipsters are taking a great deal of effort and putting in a lot of time to study each and every player's move. They also take a look at the teams' performances. The handicapper bases his predictions about the outcome of the game on these factors. They would do a match up of the team's strengths and weaknesses and also take into consideration their performance in the previous games. It really is a tough job, and the tipsters are doing it for you.
The tipsters would also save you a lot of time and effort when it comes to studying the players on the team and the team itself. You probably don't have the lavishness of point to watch every single game directly and to learn every play in the rule book accurate? So you could leave the job to the pros. Tipsters are the gurus of the business. The years that they have spent studying the game makes them certain concerning the forecast that they're bountiful you.
Of course, there would be a cost for these predictions. It would really depend on the tipster and how much and how you would disburse them. Some tipsters ask for a fee out-and-out. Other tipsters would ask for a score from your winnings. It would the entire depends on you.
Of course, it would still depend on you whether or not you are departing to require this accurate football prediction website. It is not a requirement for placing bets, but it sure is going to help.
Website:
http://www.footballs.bet/
https://footballsbettipsters.blogspot.com/2018/10/accurate-football-prediction-website.html

It won’t be an exaggeration to call soccer betting as football tips betting because punters bet with the help of Macau soccer tips. It is very difficult to think of betting without picks and there is a little hassle in buying picks. You find a reliable tipster on the web and buy a service plan. You get tips as per plan and win bets.
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Let’s see the reasons for bettors relying on tipsters

• It is easier to predict the outcome of football matches with the help of Macau soccer insider tips. Inside info is something thatonly tipsters can get. They have business connections with bookies and they stay connected with betting syndicates.
• Tipsters know how to simplify Macau soccer betting odds and find the best odd from the given options. Their predictions are made with a combined study of secret information sourced from bookies, the track record of contesting teams and other factors that can affect outcomes in an indirect way.
• Tippers are always working on football odds. They take it as a full-time job and this is what keeps them ahead that bettors and bookies. They keep an eye on upcoming tournaments, teams, individual performance of players and choosing contestants in matches.
• They are so confident of their tips that they have no hesitation in taking full responsibilityof accuracy of their predictions. They give a guarantee of success and offer replacement tips for failed predictions. In other words, they offer the maximum return to the bettors.
• They give hope to bettors that lose confidence before bookies. Betting syndicates can easily beat punters and make quick money. Punters that try defeating bookies without any help lose bets and their money that goes to bookies. But things change with the bettors take help of tipsters.
• Tipsters provide Macau insider picks at no added cost. They charge a minimum fee for tips and give accurate predictions before matches start. They can even give tips on short notice. They are always ready for speed betting for today matches.
• Macau football betting becomes a profitable venture with the help of tippers. The punters that want to earn money from soccer betting always bet with the help of tips. And they are ready to spend any amount on buying accurate tips.
• Tipsters have picks for Macau soccer league and every tournament and championship. They make tips for every match and try making accurate tips that win bets. Their involvement turns the bets in the favor of bettors.

Technology is the driving force behind online soccer betting. Bookies and betting syndicates run online betting platforms. Information regarding odds and matches is provided online. Gamblers can place their bets on websites and dollars can be transferred using online payment gateways. Also, punters can get sports betting bankroll tips online.
Technology brings speed to betting and speed makes betting thrilling. You get information about football tournaments in advance and advance info provides you sufficient time to plan betting. You can arrange funds for betting and also find a partner to get bankroll builder betting tips.
Let’s see how Internet technology is making betting more interesting

• Speed thrills and in betting, it thrills the most. You can bet online on your mobile while watching your favorite tournament. For online betting, you will need an online gambling account that you can easily open with an online casino. The betting amount will be debited from your account and similarly the winnings will be credited to your account.
• There is little need to worry about winning bets as you already have a betting partner. The tipster will give you winning tips for every match. Your job would be to bet as advised to get maximum return on your investment. And there are 100% chances of your winning bets.
• An experienced tipper can easily predict the outcome of a match using his knowledge of the game and statistics related to the contesting teams. Also, he will take responsibility for providing winning tips. In case a tip fails, you will get a tip in replacement.

Success of your betting career depends on the knowledge and experience of your betting partner

• It is easy to find a reliable tipster using digital technology. Tipsters work online. They have websites that they use to communicate with their targeted audience. You can find bankroll builder football tips online and visit those websites to find a reliable tipper.
• Winnings from betting will increase your bankroll and you can easily win bets, if your betting partner is a reliable person. Digital technology will help in finding leading tipsters and choosing the best person that can give authentic bankroll builder soccer tips.
• You will find websites that give free super tips bankroll builder but you should be careful while relying on free predictions. Free tips can be misleading. You won’t want to miss an opportunity to save money while buying winning tips. You would be asked to use paid tips after winning with free predictions.

Prediction the future has always been a fascinating subject for human beings. There were a lot of prophets since the opening of age. Because of their prediction, they managed to become eternal and be forever present in our minds.
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In the last decade, people concentrated more on betting in the future based on what they know: looking at the past to appreciate the present and expect the future. But not everybody is a psychic, and even if one was to have spiritual powers, we all saw in movies, you can't use your powers for personal profit. We've personally always loved this reason.

• Correct score predictions sites guess it's the same with bettors or tipsters. There are a lot of factors to be taken into consideration before placing your bets, some more important than others, but if you want to be a constant winner you'll have to take all of them into consideration: form, team news, motivation, tactics, expectations, fans opinions, referee, and weather.
• Every single one of these factors plays its role in the final outcome of the game. The problem is that nobody managed to put together an algorithm for everybody to see the percentage that each factor have, that's why all factors have to be studied with patience and meticulously.
• What's known for sure is that after a bet is lost most of us tend to place the following bet thinking at the one we lost before. That's a mistake from the start as it will influence our judgment and we will select our bets mostly based on odds, thinking what odd we need in order to get back what we lost and still have some profit. It's a mistake that all correct score predictions do sooner or later, without exception, kind of like; you are not a driver until you've bumped your car.

As it characterizes a source of income, it should be seen as a speculation, but always when investing you have to take out money straight, that's why a lot of responsibility is needed. Glitziness will forever be your enemy in this field, and the soccer team believes in life is universal. One should extravagance their bets exactly how he/she treats her job.
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Having a tough psychic is an indispensable quality in this field or else gambling will become betting. Leave the past bets behind and deliberate fully on the prospect ones, as if you're in the loss, only this way you will be capable to be in turnover again with correct score predictions sites.
Source: http://footballsbettipsters.blogspot.com/2018/09/what-are-strategies-of-correct-score.html

It is their job; you will find bettors saying about tippers. But some tipsters have made tips a commodity. They make and sell predictions like a product. They attract soccer betting enthusiasts to their sites and convince them to buy tips. But a genuine German Bundesliga Prediction site never pursues the punters.

He’s called a soccer betting tips expert and his job is to rate and rank tippers according to his findings. He keeps an eye on tipsters and prepares a list of leading and upcoming tippers. Tippers rely on the expert.

About Me
I'd like to introduce myself first. I've been playing competitive games all my life. I've been betting on sports since I turned 18 and spent the last year building multiple websites with the help of a few professionals. We're currently in the process of building an eSports Platform (Website is almost done) which writes about League of Legends, DotA 2, CS:GO and Starcraft 2 with Hearthstone and probably Heroes of the Storm to be added soon.
The Website
The difference to any other generic eSports News website is that almost all news will focus on the betting aspect of the news. Our aim isn't to be the very first to report that Team X has swapped out Player Y for Player Z. We want to be the ones who are reporting whether this makes the team better or not and whether it would be a good idea to bet on Team X now with their new lineup or not. Will bettors over- or undervalue Team X now? This is an example of what kind of questions we want to solve with our articles while also providing previews of big games or tournaments.
There is also a "Tips" section where writers will talk about certain games and which team they think people should bet on.
The website is almost finished and we're now looking for writers, both for the news and for the tips section. We encourage even inexperienced writers to apply as some of our best writers for other websites have started their career with us. We will answer every application within a month.
Job requirements:

• Strong written english
• Strong experience and understanding of at least one eSports title
• Basic knowledge of how sports betting in general works
• Being dependable and pleasant to work with

Job benefits:

• Flat hierarchy, your ideas matter to us.
• A first-hand experience on how to cover eSports in a low-pressure environment. You gain exposure on a new website that is just starting out and might be the next big thing.
• You're ahead of everyone else when it comes to knowing about the scene and understand exactly how different kind of changes can impact a sport.
• Write what you're passionate about. Help your favorite game grow by providing coverage.
• Work with likeminded writers, communicate and build relationships in a forum that is only accessible by our writers.
• No contract. If you decide to work for someone else at some point we'll write you a great letter of recommendation and you'll be on your way.
• It is only necessary to write 4 articles per month for writers or 10 tips per month for tipsters. It is entirely possible to work for us while working at another job or going to school and you'll still have plenty of time to play and watch eSports titles everyday.

"News" section:
Job description:

• You'll write at least 4 articles per month about your favorite eSports title
• Articles need to be a minimum of 500 words
• Articles should mainly be previews and give insight about upcoming matches without necessarily stating your opinion on who will win but can also be about new patches or roster changes and how they might make a team/player stronger or weaker

Necessary information:
Please send us an email to [email protected] with the following content to apply: * Your name * The name of the eSports title you would like to write about * Any previous experience you might have that relates to this job * A sample 500 word article * Your monthly salary expectation * Your earliest starting date
"Tips" section:
Job description:

• You'll write at least about 10 games per month and give your opinion about which team/player readers should bet on.
• Every "Tip" or opinion about a match should be a minimum of 100 words long.
• Consider the odds and voice your opinion about which team is undervalued and why.

Necessary information:
Please send us an email to [email protected] with the following content to apply:

• Your name
• The name of the eSports title you would like to write about
• Any proof that you might have that you already are a successful bettor or at least have a lot of experience in sports betting
• Explain to us who we should bet on in 3 upcoming games and why with at least 100 words per game
• Your monthly salary expectation
• Your earliest starting date

It is impractical to precisely forecast soccer outcome, but you definitely can get better your probability of accomplishment. General soccer betting odds forecast are the entire over the position and you can formulate utilize of these odds forecast to rest your bets.
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Tips for sure home win prediction:

• You should however first understand the different types of soccer betting odds predictions and their underlying principle. The first one is through a rigorous analysis of the team composition, the key players who are playing, the previous history between the sides, with regard to the rivalry, concern for injuries, etc. This presents a logical argument as to why the odds prediction was made in the first place. If the argument convinces you, then you are more likely to believe in the soccer better odds predictions.
• The second major method of soccer betting odds predictions that will help you predict soccer results is using advanced statistical methods. These methods take into consideration all the statistics related to the teams and the players. They involve numbers and statistics to find out the odds that a particular team is going to win a match.
• These are tedious jobs because you need to find out the past years trends, individual players scoring ability, forms and conditions and also the opponent’s records. Besides, you need to understand some statistical and mathematical models for data and this is not something everyone can do. However, you can always try out these methods even without understanding the underlying principles. Also, there is software available today that can do this job effectively.

The above are the basic tips for best and better prediction tips and these are some extent sure shot tips and odds for winning the bet. To predict soccer results isn't an easy task. If you want to significantly improve your chances of success, why don't you follow the professional bettors' odds predictions? The process of soccer betting odds predictions isn't simple and straightforward and cannot be mastered overnight. If it could be, then everyone would be making money off soccer betting, but they don't.
Visit the verified soccer tips and know how the number one rated professional soccer bettor on the internet went from $1000 to over $500k in a little over 3 seasons! Don't follow the predictions of anywho soccer expert, get yourself from soccer odds Singapore, a soccer expert who has more than million followers in the world to verified soccer tips your betting profits starting from now!
Web: http://www.verifiedsoccertips.com/

There are a set of persons those belief on football predictions to be capable to put on an edging in football betting. However how precise are these forecast formulated?
📷
Ahead of you does something else (before you put any currency at bet) make sure that you know what you're doing and what you're getting into? If you actually desire to get into football betting, it would be most excellent if you would read regarding the subject matter first prior to you begin betting on any players.

• The internet is teeming with information on the subject. You can search for articles and websites that would be able to help you learn more about the subject. This would also let you in on some tricks of the trade. The more knowledge that you have the more chances you get of making a good bet. Also, you will be steered away as of fake information or currency scalpers online. Along through, of course, that would be a superior obsession for you and your money.
• For most people who are just starting out in the business, football predictions are real charms for them. These predictions would advise them about what precisely could occur in the subsequently game. Base on these forecasts, which can then put a bet on the players that they believe would win. Of course, no one can actually forecast the result of a game. Football prediction, or people who give game predictions, tell their clients that there are no guarantees that their predictions are really going to happen. So it will be up to you if you're going to bet according to their predictions.
• These Betfair tips football are taking a great deal of effort and putting in a lot of time to study each and every player's move. They also take a look at the teams' performances. The Football prediction bases its predictions about the outcome of the game on these factors. They would do a matchup of the team's strengths and weaknesses and also take into consideration their performance in the previous games. It really is a tough job, and the Football predictions are doing it for you.

The Europe football prediction would also save you a lot of time and effort when it comes to studying the players on the team and the team itself. You probably don't have the luxury of the period to observe every single game intimately and to remember each play in the rulebook right? Therefore you could depart the job to the pros. Football prediction is the gurus of the business. The years that they have exhausted studying the game makes them positive about the predictions that they're offering you.
Of course, there would be a fee for these predictions. It would actually depend on the Japan football prediction and how much and how you would pay them. Some Football prediction asks for a fee outright. Betfair tips football would ask for a score as of your winnings. It would all be based on you.
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Definitely, it would at rest depend on you whether or not you are leaving to require these football predictions. It is not a requirement for insertion bets, but it sure is going to help.
Website: http://www.tipstersguide.com/tipsters/

I get asked a lot for ‘tips’ from people. What do you like TODAY, what do you think about X’s chances? My answer is pretty much always the same but ultimately is “You need to think LONG term and develop a strategy“.
Most shrug and move on (hint: that’s usually the 95% of bettors that lose money over time) when I give the initial answer about developing a strategy but those are the ones who will consistently struggle with their betting as it involves effort that few are willing to put in, and there are few shortcuts. Other people work hard at it and those are the ones who give themselves the best chance of being successful with their betting, winning and showing good profits in the long run.
Personally, I have made £150,000 clear profit since the 2010 flat season so ‘on average’ around £26,000 per year which I am both happy with and proud of because making long-term profits through horse racing is a very hard thing to achieve. There can be losing spells which can be tough to deal with psychologically but is very much about adapting a winning mindset and a belief in your methods.
Now don’t get me wrong, I lost for many years but I learned a tremendous amount from those days which have made me the profitable value investor I am today. I’ve listed some of the key tips to profitable betting below, there are plenty more but if you don’t have a grasp on these 7 I suspect you will always struggle to get any kind of decent return from betting.
1) DON’T BE A LAZY GAMBLER "Laziness travels so slowly that poverty soon overtakes him – Benjamin Franklin"
So many punters I know bet ‘on gut’, follow favourites or tipsters blindly or just try to make decisions based on summaries in the Racing Press or online but there is a reason why some ‘professional gamblers’ resort to punditry on TV and a reason why these ‘experts’ are working for media companies. It’s mainly because they talk a good talk or have had success in the past before the market wised up to them. A lot of punters also just don’t learn or adapt with the times, which you have to do on a regular basis. Many gamblers looked up to the big-betting exploits of Harry Findlay but has anyone heard from him lately? Last I heard he had filed for bankruptcy back in 2012. You need to stop being so lazy and start using your time more effectively to understand your own betting and formulate your own choices.
2) SPECIALISE AND FOCUS "If you chase two rabbits…you will not catch either one – Russian Proverb"
There is a LOT of racing out there, more than there has ever been. My general advice to punters is to specialise and focus. I personally look at Class1/2 handicaps at the big meetings for my main bets but also look at Group races. Occasionally I will look at good Class 3 contests if I believe there is value. I will avoid maidens, novices, sellers, claimers, hunter chases, 2yo contests, fillies’ only contests and a few more that I consider to be ‘volatile’. This means I can focus on just a few races each weekend or at the main festivals and be more selective. So don’t overload yourself, find a race type you are good at or enjoy and learn everything you can about it.
3) DON’T BE AN ACTION JUNKIE "Any kind of novelty or excitement drives up dopamine in the brain, and dopamine is associated with romantic love – Helen Fisher"
There should be no such thing as a ‘fun’ bet – the only fun bet is one that wins you a heap of cash. Don’t bet for an ‘interest’ in a race or a football match just because your team is playing. It’s one of the biggest problems punters get into trying to win every race or over-betting for the dopamine release into your brain. Like being a junkie, it’s a short-term rush and the longer-term results are an emptier betting bank and a feeling of deflation so ignore these Twitter Tipsters that are so prevalent nowadays asking you to ‘post your slip’ or bet for Yankees, Lucky-15’s every day. Ask whether they bet all these ‘tips’ they give out, there is a reason why they don’t record their results and plug affiliate links constantly, they basically want you to lose so they earn 33% commission off your cumulative losses. It’s difficult enough to find one winner let alone 4 and the bookies will always welcome your custom. One way to really tell if you are a losing action junkie is whether you still actually have a betting account that accepts your bets.
4) RECORD YOUR BETS – ALL OF THEM! "We all make mistakes, have struggles, and even regret things in our past. But you are not your mistakes, you are not your struggles, and you are here NOW with the power to shape your day and your future – Steve Maraboli"
It’s vital to your long-term success to record ALL your bets, all of them and every possible detail you can about them, whether the horse was a favourite, the odds, the race type, the trainer, the jockey etc. etc. The reason why is that patterns in your betting reveal themselves over time. You will see the type of bets you are not so good at, whether you bet the same trainer or jockey regardless of the horses chances, whether you are rubbish at 2yo maiden races (like me!) and just really where your focus should be. This allows you to plug the leaks in your betting and develop a much better strategy as mentioned in Step 2 and also falls in with Step 1 of not being lazy. The effort you put into recording your bets is well worth it and one of the main reasons I managed to turn my betting around to maximize my yield. Record your results and analyse them closely.
5) THINK AND PLAN LONG TERM "Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago – Warren Buffett"
Most punters are looking for a quick-fix, have a closed mind, are lazy and want ‘tips’ spoon-fed to them but the main issue is that they have a very short-term mindset. I can pretty much tell which type of bettor someone will be within my first few interactions with them. If they have a run of bad results over a week or even a month then they will look to blame anyone but themselves instead of adapting the long-term mindset and the ability to examine their results which comes back to the previous step. What is long-term? Well some might consider it a few weeks, some a few months, some a season, very few consider a year or 3+ years but that is how it should be viewed. When you go for a job interview, unless you are a contractor, you don’t ask how much the weekly or monthly salary is…you are interested in the annual wage and that is how you should view your betting AT LEAST over a year.
6) SEEK THE VALUE "All intelligent investing is value investing – to acquire more than you are paying for. Investing is where you find a few great companies and then sit on your ass – Charlie Munger"
This should probably go to number 1 to be honest but value means different things to different people. I make my own oddsline so I can see value in EVERY single race thanks to the automatically generated odds-lines for each race. Does that mean you should bet every single one? Well, no…that is where the ‘Specialise and Focus’ step comes in but if you are not backing horses at bigger odds than the market estimates their chances then you will really struggle to make a long-term profit. You could back a horse at 6/4 that should be 5/4, that is value but I would rather back a horse at 20/1 that should be 10/1. There may be longer losing runs but the payoff for me is far better. Of course this depends on how good you are at selecting long-odds shots but on Betfair you can get some crazily overpriced top-rated horses who pay 50/1 instead of the 33/1 SP for example. So don’t look for winners of races, look for overlays within the race.
7) PRACTICE DETACHMENT "Manifest plainness, Embrace simplicity, Reduce selfishness, Have few desires – Lao Tzu"
This one is trickier and I find most struggle with. I find that yoga and meditation help tremendously with this but if that is a bit new-age for you then just lift some weights or go for a run to take your mind of things as you will make poor decisions if you base your betting on emotions. If you reaction to a losing bet is to blame the jockey, the trainer, the tipster first rather than just shake off a losing bet and moving on, then you need to practice detachment. If you are value betting you also need to accept you will back a lot more losers than winners but it’s important to get out of the winning/losing mindset, detach yourself from recent results and accept that losses are part of being a profitable long-term value punter.
Ultimately you need to believe in yourself, work hard and use data that the majority of the market does not have access to.
"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results – Albert Einstein"