* UPDATE *
After their investigation, Pinnacle voided the bet for suspicious activity.
[E Sports] [Dota 2 - Rainbow Cup] [Match] Team Admiral vs Detonator has been cancelled due to the following reason: [Abnormal and suspicious betting activity has been detected for this event. All wagers from all customers have been cancelled. This action is taken very rarely and is for the protection of all our customers.]
Link
Background:
This year, a couple of matches with Detonator were flagged and voided by Pinnacle for suspicious betting behavior.
(Detonator vs Lotac was voided by Pinnacle not that long ago :
[E Sports] [Dota 2 - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Qualifier] [Match] DeToNator has been cancelled due to the following reason: [Abnormal and suspicious betting activity has been detected for this event. All wagers from all customers have been cancelled. This action is taken very rarely and is for the protection of all our customers.] )
I was giving them benefit of the doubt, hoping the Pinnacle system was false-flagging them. But todays match seals it -
Detonator are fixing their matches.
Todays action:
Detonator played vs Admiral in
Rainbow Cup bo3. Anyone who bets or watches dota knows, that they are supposed to be small to medium favorites to win the match. And the bookmaker agreed - the opening odds were about :
Detonator -
1.6 Admiral -
2.4
Odds before the match (
site link )
Heavy odds movement. Detonator are now big "underdogs" for some reason.
Reasonable odds. Teams played against each other a decent amount in 2019, with
Detonator winning last three bo3 with 2:0 2:0 2:1 score. Reasonable and justifiable odds.
However.
About 40 minutes before the match, tons of money are flawing into Admiral. Someone is betting on them, and betting big. Not only someone is extremely sure that they would win, someone KNOWS that Admiral would win 2-0.
The odds are stating to look like :
Detonator - 3.2
Detonator +1.5 - 2.4.
3.2 odds on Detonator to win the match and
2.4 odds on them to take
ONE MAP. Given the skill level and history of the teams, this is INSANE. This was not just a single weird bet that moved the line, money kept coming in. No one was interested to grab a favorite for the match for these insane odds. Very clear indicator of a match fix going on.
Keep in mind, in a legit match, when the odds on the underdog is ~3.2, the +1.5 line (odds to take at least 1 map) is hanging around 1.6-1.7.
This was not the case here. Odds for Detonator to take at least 1 map went as high as 2.4. Someone was VERY sure that it would end 0-2 for the them.
The betting lines says it all. Espessially given the fact that Detonators matches were voided for this exact reason before. It should be clear that they are fixing their matches, and should be banned from all future tournaments for the integrity of the scene.
GAMES:
If the betting was not weird enough, games themselfs should make it clear. Detonat start with a massive 8.5k gold lead in game1,
only to throw it away after a very long pause ("connection issues"), in a very weird Roshan pit fight. They are trying to make impression that the game is legit, but its very obvious that they are making just enough micro mistakes and weird item choices for their draft to fail.
GAME 1 LOSS
If the Game 1 looked SOMEWHAT LEGIT, they stopped even hiding their matchfix intentions in Game 2 - by picking
FARMING PUDGE, and overall playing like they "dont care". Game 2 ends with 6-36 score in 23 minutes. Enough said.
GAME 2 LOSS Ending thoughts:
Its not quite clear if the Admiral were involved in the matchfix, but i think they were. Given the classic long pause (long enough time to make very profitable live-bets), its certanly not out of the question that the both teams agreed to fix the game. The fact that Detonator players are heavily involved in matchfixing should be obvious by now.
Players involved in the matchfix that should be banned from entering tournaments :
Benhur "Benhur" Lawis Samson Solomon Enojosa "Sam_H" Hidalgo Kenneth "Flysolo" Coloma Ralph Richard "RR" Peñano Rolen Andrei Gabriel "Skemberlu" Ong
Links:
Twitch streams:
#1 #2 Dotabuff games:
game1 game2 Odds before the match (
site link )
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