https://footballtipsil.com/

Types of bets – Why it is important to understand the difference between them?

As a beginner, you must know all the most common types of football bets. The most significant problem for sports betting beginners. They start betting online, without getting familiar with the basics of sports betting. There are a lot of differences between the types of football bets that can confuse at the beginning. Therefore, our first Betting tip for a beginner is to learn a few simple types of bets. (In United States they call bet a “Wager”) And start betting only after knowing exactly what are the odds and what are the rules of the type of football bet that you choose to bet with.
This guide contains all the information needed, to get started. We picked four different types of bets. These types of bets are the easiest to understand and that is the most common in the different bookmakers betting websites. In general, we think that it is important to extend the knowledge of the betting terms glossary all the time. So keep tracking our guide, we are adding new betting material and new tips all the time.
First, read and understand each type of bet. Also, after finish reading, start betting slowly with no rush and not with big stakes. Just learn at the beginning, you will have all the time in the world to expend your stakes in the future.

The types of bets:

Full-time result:

This is the most common football bet that a player will find. This bet is very easy to understand. The player only has to decide which team will win or if the match will end as a draw. 1 – x – 2.
1 – A winning for the Home team
X – The match ended with a draw
2 – A winning of the Away team
The Full-time Result Type of bet is famous for its high odds. Because you have three choices to bet on, the odds are high. Similar types of bets have two choices for the players to bet. Therefore, the odds there are significantly lower than in the Full-time result bet.
It is important to understand that this bet is only for the end of a normal game-time (90 minutes). In case of extra time, this bet closed and the final result calculated only after 90 minutes. No matter what is the result in the extra time.
This type of bet is popular for beginners. However, also professional players like this type of bet. The professional know-how to find a match from Minor league in a small country. Like Israel, the bookmakers do have a lake in the data from these leagues. In these leagues, the professionals find matches with wrong odds that the bookmakers made mistakes. They bet a large stake on these matches. Following the reason that in the Final Result type of bet, the odds are very high compare to other types of bets.

Goals OveUnder:

This type of football bet is giving you the chance to bet on the totals of goals that will be in the match. No matter which team. For example, if the bookmaker put a Goals OveUnder 2.5 – The player has to decide between two options:

• Over Goals: the match will end with a total of 3 goals or more
• Under Goals: The match will end with a total of 2 goals or less

In case the match ended with 4 goals and the player bet on Over – the player Wins the bet
In case the match ended with 1 goal and the player bet on Under – the player Wins the bet
The professional players are searching for leagues that have significant states for OVER goals per match in its matches or significant stats for UNDER goals per match in its matches. With that knowledge, they constantly bet on UNDER or OVER goals per match. They stick for this league and in most of the time will win.
YouTube Video Guide!

Draw No Bet:

This type of football bet is very simple. The player choose which team will win the match, Home win or Away win. In the case of the draw, the stake will be returned and it means the player neither wins nor lose. This type of bet is good when there is a good odd on one side, but the win is not so sure. Therefore, the player prefers to bet with a Draw no bet type of bet. In case the match will end in a draw. His stake will return to his e-wallet. This type of football bet known for beginners that still have to get more involved but don’t want to risk a lot and bet in a calm mood.
Even professionals like this type of bet. Mostly in minor leagues, they locate a match that the bookmakers didn’t calculate the odds correctly. the mostly gives the underdog a higher odds than the probability that the underdog will win. In these matches, the professional will make a Draw No Bet on the underdog.

Double Chance:

As the name of this type of football bet declares – The player has a double chance to win this bet. A player when he plays Double chance bet, can choose between 3 options:

• Home win or Draw (if there is a draw or a home team win. The player wins the bet)
• Away win or Draw (if there is a draw or an away team win. The player wins the bet)
• Home or Away win (if the match ends without a draw (home or away win. The player wins the bet)

The bookmakers give the player an option to choose two possible results in one bet. Moreover, it gives the player a “Double chance” to win.
Most of the time, this football bet has very low odds. That means most of the time the player will earn a small amount. Usually, it is not worth to play this bet unless you use it in a Bet Builder combination. However, it is important to keep an eye on this betting type. Because there are matches that the odds are higher than usual. Most of the time for the underdog and it could be a good chance to win it while you have a safe zone of two different ways to win.
Before start betting – You must understand exactly how to read the Betting Odds types. There are three main odds types. Decimal Odds, Fractional Odds, and American Odds. Each odds type represents your probability to win and your profit differently. So, don’t forget to check out the article about the difference between the Main Betting Odds Types.
Keep tracking our guide with more information about sports betting, new terms, and more complex betting types.

Hi SoccerBetting.
trackbets.io - link 2
I posted on this sub a week ago and got good feedback on the website. Now I've listened to all the comments and added a lot more features.
​
Main features;
- Autocomplete on events (we have almost all fixtures for every team in the entire world)
- Automatically correcting of bets and calculating profits
- Support for decimal / american / fractional odds types
- Detailed statistics (all time, year, month) and leaderboard
And much more.
​
If you have your bets in a spreadsheet, we can import them for you! Just DM us.
I'm appreciating all feedback, if it's anything you miss, tell me and I'll add it.
​
N.B: Right now we're having a giveaway on €300 on our Twitter

(1) Football Index- £50
A great offer that I would say can't get enough promotion on this sub, and there are still folks who don't know about it!
Football Index is a place to buy and sell Footballer Shares ( I don't know a thing about football but I wanted to do this offer)
Basically You invest £25 in Footballer shares and get £50 credited to your account which you can then withdraw along with your original £25.
You must use the Code SCOUT when you sign up (this is a generic code that any new customer can use to get the £50 Bonus)
As I say I don't know much about football, so I just went to the Top 200 and chose a popular footballer that was on the rise. You should deposit slightly more than £25 because it's difficult to buy exactly that amount in shares since they are not round numbers. I put in £26 and bought like £25.50 in Shares.
I got my cashback of £50 a few hours later, sold my £26 odd in shares, and withdrew a total of £76. Super easy
Note: Don't use anyones personal referral codes when you sign up, yes they give you a £10 bonus but then you won't be eligible for the £50 Bonus.
Here is a link to the sign up offer
​
(2) The Paddy Power Offer- £200
Ok so again most people have heard of this offer, but there's been a rise in numbers in this sub in the last week and it's worth throwing it out there for the new members I think.
This is a refer a friend scheme that Paddy Power have running at the moment.
(1) Sign up through a referral link to get a £10 free bet welcome bonus
(2) Make a £10 bet at odds of 1.5 or more ( The odds on the site will probably be in Fractions but you can change that in settings or use a Fraction to Decimal Converter on Google). It's important that the team you bet on is at these odds or more so you get the Free £10 bet.
(3) You will shortly Recieve a Referral link of your own to refer people with. This link can be used 5 times in the month. You will get: £20, £30, £40, £50, £60 in that order for the five people who sign up using your link, totally £200 for 5 sign-ups.
Personally I just shared my link on a random blog about Sports betting and got lucky. Also finding 5 friends or family members would be a good way to do it
I still have my Referral link if anyone wants to use it to sign up and get the Bonus
Non Referral: https://www.paddypower.com/b
If you have any questions, don't hesitate to pm me.
Thanks for reading.

Official Site Football Tips From Israel

Learn how to calculate your probability to win by understanding the types of betting odds

What is the difference between the types of betting odds? If you think to start betting online. this one of the basic things that you have to learn. In that case, it is ridiculous to think that you can start betting without knowing how to calculate your odds to win. Betting odds shows you how much money you will win. In addition, it shows you the odds that it could happen.
Read this article very carefully and find the type of betting odds that suits you best. Because, in every big bookmaker’s website, you will have the ability to see the odds in the appearance that you prefer. If you will stick to your type of betting odds, it will help you understand the probability to win.

The probability

In the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, The probability that Luis Suarez will bite another player during the World Cup was 0.57%. More the 150 people decided that it is a good probability and believed that it could happen. They won!
They calculated the probability that the bookie gave them. As a result, they understood that it was worth the risk. Because of the lower the probability, the higher the winning profit.
There are three types of betting odds.

• Decimal odds that been used by bookmakers from Europe
• Fractional odds have been used by bookmakers from the UK and Ireland
• American odds (Moneyline odds) bookmakers used in the US

In the past bookmakers published the odds by the locale odds type of their localization. However, in the present, most of the biggest bookmakers give you the choice to choose the way you betting odds will appear. Now, Read carefully about the three different odds types and decide what the most comfortable way for you to understand is.

Decimal Odds

The decimal odds came from Europe, Australia, and Canada. It is the easiest way to understand your odds and your winning probabilities. It represents you what will be the amount that you will win for every 1 Euro that you bet on.
Very important to understand that it does not represent profit. It represents the return of the money. To calculate the profit, you should subtract stake (the amount of the bet) that you already paid to place your bet.

This is the calculation for the profit:

The winning profit = (Odds * Stake) – Stake

Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake.

• 2.00 will be calculated: ( 2.00 * 10 ) – 10 = 10 Euros profit ( 20 Euros payout )
• 3.50 will be calculated: ( 3.50 * 10 ) – 10 = profit of 25 Euros ( 35 Euros payout )
• 5.00 will be calculated: ( 5.00 * 10 ) – 10 = profit of 40 Euros ( 50 Euros payout )

Off course. While, the higher the probability, the lower the profit. Now, let’s calculate the probability of the same odds.

This is the calculation for the probability:

Probability = (1/Odds) * 100

Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen

• 2.00 will be calculated: ( 1/2 ) * 100 = there is a 50% chance that it will happen
• 3.50 will be calculated: ( 1/3.5 ) * 100 = there is a 28.57% chance that will it happen
• 5.00 will be calculated: ( 1/5 ) * 100 = there is a 20% chance that it will happen

Watch the Full Video Guide on YouTube!
IN THE CLIP: Demoles explains and gives tips about how to calculate the Profit and the Probability from all three main types of betting odds

Fractional odds

The Fractional odds came from bookmakers that worked in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Including, several names like UK odds, Traditional odds and even, Aka British odds. However, in most bookmaker’s websites, you will see these odds called Fractional odds. You will find it presented with two numbers that have a Slash between them. (8/1 for example).
If you see for an event with 8/1 odds to happen. It means, for every 1 Euro stake you will have 8 Euros in profit. in other words, you will receive 9 euros for the win. Therefore, the Stake was 10 Euros, you will win 90 Euros (10 stakes + 80 profit)

We will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate the Profit:

The winning profit = (A/B) * Stake

Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put a 10 Euro stake.

• 5/1 will be calculated: (5/1) * 10 = 50 Euros profit (60 Euros Payout)
• 7/4 will be calculated: (7/4) * 10 = 17.5 Euros profit (27.5 Euros Payout)
• 1/3 will be calculated: (1/3) * 10 = 3.33 Euros profit (13.33 Euros Payout)

Off course. While, the higher the probability, the lower the profit. Now, let’s calculate the probability of the same odds.

We will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate the Probability:

Probability = B / (A+B) * 100

Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen

• 5/1 will be calculated: 1 / ( 5 + 1 ) * 100 = there is a 16.67% chance that it will happen
• 7/4 will be calculated: 4 / ( 7 + 4 ) * 100 = there is a 36.36% chance that it will happen
• 1/3 will be calculated: 3 / ( 1 + 3 ) * 100 = there is a 75% chance that it will happen

However, as we saw in the Decimal odds. The same rule is in the Fractional odds too. The higher the probability, the profit is lower. Again, we will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate the profit:

American odds

The American odds, it’s easy to guess, came from bookmakers in America. It is also known as US odds or Aka Moneyline odds. The underdog in the match will have (+) sign before its odds and the favorite team will have (-) sign before its odds.
The favorite team’s odds represent (-): How big should be your stake to win 100 Euros. While the Underdog team’s odds represent (+): How big will be your profit if your stake will be 100 Euros.
+440 means that if you will risk 100 euros your profit will be 440 euros in addition to your 100 euros stake. So, Your payout will be 540 euros.
-320 means that you need to risk 320 euros to make a 100 euros profit. In addition to your 320 Euros Stake. As a result, your payout will be 420 euros.

This is the calculation for the profit in Negative Odds:

The Profit in Negative Odds = (100/Odds) * stake

Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake in Negative Odds

• -440 will be calculated: (100/440) * 10 = profit 2.27 Euros profit (12.27 Euros payout)
• -320 will be calculated: : (100/320) * 10= profit of 3.12 Euros (13.12 Euros payout)
• -250 will be calculated: : (100/250) * 10= profit of 4 Euros (14 Euros payout)

This is the calculation for the profit in Positive Odds:

The Probability in Positive Odds = Odds * (Stakes / 100)

Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake in Positive Odds

• +440 will be calculated: 440 * (10/100)= profit 44 Euros profit (54 Euros payout)
• +320 will be calculated:: 320 * (10/100)= profit of 32 Euros (42 Euros payout)
• +250 will be calculated:: 250 * (10/100)= profit of 25 Euros (35 Euros payout)

This is the calculation for the probability in Negative Odds:

The Probability in Negative Odds = Odds / (Odds + 100) * 100

Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen in Negative Odds

• -440 will be calculated: 440 / (440 + 100) *100 = there is a 81.48% chance that it will happen
• -320 will be calculated: 320 / (320 + 100) *100 = there is a 76.19% chance that it will happen
• -250 will be calculated: 250 / (250 + 100) *100 = there is a 71.42% chance that it will happen

This is the calculation for the probability in PositiveOdds:

The Probability in Positive Odds = 100 / (Odds + 100) * 100

Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen in Positive Odds

• +440 will be calculated: 100 / (440 +100) * 100= there is a 18.51% chance that it will happen
• +320 will be calculated: 100 / (320 +100) * 100= there is a 23.80% chance that it will happen
• +250 will be calculated: 100 / (250 +100) * 100= there is a 28.57% chance that it will happen

Our conclusion

At the end of the day, all three different types of betting odds: Decimal odds, Fractional odds, and American odds. Show the same probability and the same payout. They just present them in 3 different ways. We recommend you try them all, and see which Odds type suits you the best and work with it. But, no matter which odds type you choose. You always have to consider the probability and see if it worth the risk.
In our podcast, Demoles always pick his betting predictions, only after he calculated the probability to win and when it worth the risk. In view of, maximizing the winnings by the information that he collects and shares about the Football in Israel.
Does this article help you? if so, learn more about the most common types of football bets. It will help you improve your betting skills.
https://footballtipsil.com/

Official Site Football Tips From Israel
Learn how to calculate your probability to win by understanding the types of betting odds
What is the difference between the types of betting odds? If you think to start betting online. this one of the basic things that you have to learn. In that case, it is ridiculous to think that you can start betting without knowing how to calculate your odds to win. Betting odds shows you how much money you will win. In addition, it shows you the odds that it could happen.
Read this article very carefully and find the type of betting odds that suits you best. Because, in every big bookmaker’s website, you will have the ability to see the odds in the appearance that you prefer. If you will stick to your type of betting odds, it will help you understand the probability to win.
The probability
In the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, The probability that Luis Suarez will bite another player during the World Cup was 0.57%. More the 150 people decided that it is a good probability and believed that it could happen. They won!
They calculated the probability that the bookie gave them. As a result, they understood that it was worth the risk. Because of the lower the probability, the higher the winning profit.
There are three types of betting odds.

• Decimal odds that been used by bookmakers from Europe
• Fractional odds have been used by bookmakers from the UK and Ireland
• American odds (Moneyline odds) bookmakers used in the US

In the past bookmakers
published the odds by the locale odds type of their localization. However, in the present, most of the biggest bookmakers give you a choice to choose the way you are betting odds will appear. Now, Read carefully about the three different odds types and decide what the most comfortable way for you to understand is.
Decimal Odds
The decimal odds
came from Europe, Australia, and Canada. It is the easiest way to understand your odds and your winning probabilities. It represents you what will be the amount that you will win for every 1 Euro that you bet on.
Very important to understand that it does not represent profit. It represents the return of the money. To calculate the profit, you should subtract stake (the amount of the bet) that you already paid to place your bet.
This is the calculation for the profit:
The winning profit = (Odds * Stake) – Stake
Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake.

• 2.00 will be calculated: ( 2.00 * 10 ) – 10 = 10 Euros profit ( 20 Euros payout )
• 3.50 will be calculated: ( 3.50 * 10 ) – 10 = profit of 25 Euros ( 35 Euros payout )
• 5.00 will be calculated: ( 5.00 * 10 ) – 10 = profit of 40 Euros ( 50 Euros payout )

Off course. While, the higher the probability, the lower the profit. Now, let’s calculate the probability of the same odds.
This is the calculation for the probability:
Probability = (1/Odds) * 100
Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen

• 2.00 will be calculated: ( 1/2 ) * 100 = there is a 50% chance that it will happen
• 3.50 will be calculated: ( 1/3.5 ) * 100 = there is a 28.57% chance that will it happen
• 5.00 will be calculated: ( 1/5 ) * 100 = there is a 20% chance that it will happen

Watch the Full Video Guide on YouTube!
IN THE CLIP: Demoles explains and gives tips about how to calculate the Profit and the Probability from all three main types of betting odds
Fractional odds
The Fractional odds came from bookmakers that worked in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Including, several names like UK odds, Traditional odds and even, Aka British odds. However, in most bookmaker’s websites, you will see these odds called Fractional odds
. You will find it presented with two numbers that have a Slash between them. (8/1 for example).
If you see for an event with 8/1 odds to happen. It means, for every 1 Euro stake you will have 8 Euros in profit. in other words, you will receive 9 euros for the win. Therefore, the Stake was 10 Euros, you will win 90 Euros (10 stakes + 80 profit)
We will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate the Profit:
The winning profit = (A/B) * Stake
Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put a 10 Euro stake.

• 5/1 will be calculated: (5/1) * 10 = 50 Euros profit (60 Euros Payout)
• 7/4 will be calculated: (7/4) * 10 = 17.5 Euros profit (27.5 Euros Payout)
• 1/3 will be calculated: (1/3) * 10 = 3.33 Euros profit (13.33 Euros Payout)

Off course. While, the higher the probability, the lower the profit. Now, let’s calculate the probability of the same odds.
We will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate the Probability:
Probability = B / (A+B) * 100
Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen

• 5/1 will be calculated: 1 / ( 5 + 1 ) * 100 = there is a 16.67% chance that it will happen
• 7/4 will be calculated: 4 / ( 7 + 4 ) * 100 = there is a 36.36% chance that it will happen
• 1/3 will be calculated: 3 / ( 1 + 3 ) * 100 = there is a 75% chance that it will happen

However, as we saw in the Decimal odds. The same rule is in the Fractional odds too. The higher the probability, the profit is lower. Again, we will replace numbers to letters – A/B to understand to calculate
the profit:
American odds
The American odds, it’s easy to guess, came from bookmakers in America. It is also known as US odds or Aka Moneyline odds. The underdog in the match will have (+) sign before its odds and the favorite team will have (-) sign before its odds.
The favorite team’s odds represent (-): How big should be your stake to win 100 Euros. While the Underdog team’s odds represent (+): How big will be your profit if your stake will be 100 Euros.
+440 means that if you will risk 100 euros your profit will be 440 euros in addition to your 100 euros stake. So, Your payout will be 540 euros.
-320 means that you need to risk 320 euros to make a 100 euros profit. In addition to your 320 Euros Stake. As a result, your payout will be 420 euros.
This is the calculation for the profit in Negative Odds:
The Profit in Negative Odds = (100/Odds) * stake
Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake in Negative Odds

• -440 will be calculated: (100/440) * 10 = profit 2.27 Euros profit (12.27 Euros payout)
• -320 will be calculated: : (100/320) * 10= profit of 3.12 Euros (13.12 Euros payout)
• -250 will be calculated: : (100/250) * 10= profit of 4 Euros (14 Euros payout)

This is the calculation for the profit in Positive Odds:
The Probability in Positive Odds = Odds * (Stakes / 100)
Here are some examples of how to calculate the profit when you put 10 a Euro stake in Positive Odds

• +440 will be calculated: 440 * (10/100)= profit 44 Euros profit (54 Euros payout)
• +320 will be calculated:: 320 * (10/100)= profit of 32 Euros (42 Euros payout)
• +250 will be calculated:: 250 * (10/100)= profit of 25 Euros (35 Euros payout)

This is the calculation for the probability in Negative Odds:
The Probability in Negative Odds = Odds / (Odds + 100) * 100
Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen in Negative Odds

• -440 will be calculated: 440 / (440 + 100) *100 = there is a 81.48% chance that it will happen
• -320 will be calculated: 320 / (320 + 100) *100 = there is a 76.19% chance that it will happen
• -250 will be calculated: 250 / (250 + 100) *100 = there is a 71.42% chance that it will happen

This is the calculation for the probability in PositiveOdds:
The Probability in Positive Odds = 100 / (Odds + 100) * 100
Here are some examples of how to calculate the probability that the Bookmaker thinks the result can happen in Positive Odds

• +440 will be calculated: 100 / (440 +100) * 100= there is a 18.51% chance that it will happen
• +320 will be calculated: 100 / (320 +100) * 100= there is a 23.80% chance that it will happen
• +250 will be calculated: 100 / (250 +100) * 100= there is a 28.57% chance that it will happen

Our conclusion
At the end of the day, all three different types of betting odds
: Decimal odds, Fractional odds, and American odds. Show the same probability and the same payout. They just present them in 3 different ways. We recommend you try them all, and see which Odds type suits you the best and work with it. But, no matter which odds type you choose. You always have to consider the probability and see if it worth the risk.
In our podcast, Demoles always pick his betting predictions, only after he calculated the probability to win and when it worth the risk. In view of, maximizing the winnings by the information that he collects and shares about the Football in Israel.
Does this article help you? if so, learn more about the most common types of football bets
. It will help you improve your betting skills.
https://footballtipsil.com/

We're slowly getting back on track on sports betting. Learn more about Fractional Odds and Decimal Odds and see how they work! Log in to VOdds now!

Hi Dota2Betting
trackbets.io
I posted on this sub a week ago and got good feedback on the website. Now I've listened to all the comments and added a lot more features.
Main features;
- Autocomplete on events (we have almost all fixtures for every team in the entire world)
- Automatically correcting of bets and calculating profits
- Support for decimal / american / fractional odds types
- Detailed statistics (all time, year, month) and leaderboard
And much more.
If you have your bets in a spreadsheet, we can import them for you! Just DM us.
I'm appreciating all feedback, if it's anything you miss, tell me and I'll add it.
​
N.B: Right now we're having a giveaway on €300 on our Twitter

So this post is a bit of a rant. But I see waaaaayyyy too many "so close" parlays losing on here.
It seems for most of /sportsbetting, the allure of parlays / multis / accy's is too much. They are bad. Change my mind.
Most people will say the only argument is because it increases the chance of losing, that's not totally true. It is less likely a parlay will win, but also the payout is larger. These cancel each other out mathematically and is not the basis of my argument.
The real reasons are:

1. It's forcing you to be all-in / have the wrong bet amount It's common sense that you don't bet all your bank.... right? If you do this, even on 99% chances of winning, 1 in 100 times, you'll lose everything. Betting everything is not what you should be doing. Then why do this in miniature? That is what an accy / parlay is. Its getting a few wins, but betting ALL those gains again. You should be betting fractional amounts of your bank, based on the combination of odds and likelihood of each bet winning. Simply put, the accy forces incorrect bet sizing. Shameless Self Plug for the right bet amounts based on odds (decimal atm only, sorry), chances of win and your bank value see here.
   
2. Most of the time, you can manually re-bet Half the parlays here have no real reason to parlay. The bets over multiple legs are also over multiple days. You could just take all the winnings from previously bet and re-bet them if you really wanted. The parlay is only serving to limit the chance to re-evaluate the bet.
   
3. Your bank will act as the multiplier anyway Assuming you're building your bank up with each bet... you'll be betting larger amounts on subsequent bets anyway. If you'r successful, your bank will act as the multiplier effect that Accy's give you. Lets take a simple case of a $100 bet on a 2-leg accy, both legs are double your money (-100 or decimal odds of 2). You win the first leg. In the normal scenario, you now have an extra hundred bucks. Your bank is bigger. You can now afford to bet bigger on the same odds next time. Rinse and repeat then you get the same multiplier effect over time
   
4. Psychology of building up that bet How many times have you built up a 2 or 3 leg multi / parlay and then put in another leg... a short odds favourite? The psychology here is working against you... you see the multiplying effect on the payout... however think about it. IF you won all that money... would you really bet it ALL again on that "sure thing" game (odds -800 or 1.1 or something) ?. Those last legs added most of the time haven't been researched as well as the initial ones and whilst they may win most of the time, I'd suggest they are not beating the bookie margin over time most of the time and therefore costing you big time in the long run.... especially when combined with the above.
   
5. not the best odds If you have multiple accounts then your likely not getting the best price per game by putting all the bets on one book.
   

If your ok with the entertainment value of gambling and want to make it more exciting by having large parlays - all the best to you. However, if you want to make money in the long run - parlays are bad. Change my mind!
EDIT: Typo - and yep - i get it - entertainment factor.

The metric vs imperial debate has been done to death. This isn't really about why inches or centimeters are a better unit. This is rather - speaking as an engineer in the US - why are imperial engineering standards so obsessed with number gauges and other layers of abstractions that virtually always require one to look up a table to get useful dimensions, where as metric just delivers it straight as a useful dimension? For instance:
Metric: Sheet metal thicknesses are described in millimeters.
Imperial: Sheet metal thicknesses are described in number gauges, which are different for different materials (#10 gauge steel is 0.1345" thick, #10 gauge aluminum is 0.1019" thick). Requires table lookup to get thickness (interestingly, the gauge table for steel is written into US federal law, at 15 USC §206 these are approximate sizes, do not use for design)
Metric: Wire sizes are described in mm^2. You can calculate stuff directly from this, though I suppose realistically, you are probably going to look up a table for the most important stuff (diameter, ampacity, etc.). Though you can directly get useful data for things related to area, e.g. you can compare 10mm² and 25mm² wire and conclude that the 25mm² wire will have 2.5x less resistance or that it will be 2.5X heavier for a given length.
Imperial: Wire sizes are described in American Wire Gauge (AWG), and for larger wires, kilo circular mils (because 250π mil² is clearly a sensible unit). Requires a table lookup to get any sort of useful dimensions.
Metric: Drill bits are described in millimeters, and you can buy them in 0.1mm increments. You can just go out and buy a 3.5mm drill bit.
Imperial: Drill bits come in fractional, numbered, and lettered sizes. The latter two require looking up a table to get decimal inches to then use. Also the Letter E drill is the same as the 1/4" drill, because why not.
Metric: Tap Drill Diameter = Nominal Diameter - Thread Pitch, for standard 60° screw threads. E.g. for M4x0.7, the tap drill is 4mm - 0.7mm = 3.3mm.
Imperial: Tap drills always requires looking up a table because drill bits are not described in decimal inches, and because thread pitch is given as TPI rather than inches/thread.
There is a possible world that still uses imperial units, but sheet metal sizes are given in inches or mils, and where wire gauge is given in inches² or something, and where drill bits are always given as decimals. Is this some pre-internet conspiracy by bookmakers and printers to sell more tables, or like everything else imperial, vestiges of an older way to do things because that's how it's always been done? The only advantages I see with the reliance on gauges and tables is that it makes it more clear what the standard available sizes are - e.g. 10 gauge steel is probably a commonly available size that I can design to, whereas it's unclear if 6.5mm is a standard sheet metal size (though sticking to whole and half millimeter sizes are generally a safe bet). Though there are exceptions to this - you tend to not see many odd AWG wire gauges for instance, e.g. 13 AWG wire is very uncommon.
Also, not directly related to having to look up a table, but:
Metric: Countersinks are 90 degrees. This makes relating head diameter to head depth easy, since depth = 1/2 diameter (since head diameters are usually published, but not head heights). This also lets you use chamfering tools for countersinking. Also it's a freaking right angle.
Imperial: Countersinks are 82 degrees. I don't really see any advantages here. Why?

This week, I thought that I would take a look at a story called the Apocalypse Solution. Published in 2011, it was written by Rick Remender, with the art duties being handled by Jerome Opena. It was a dynamic story that launched the new Uncanny X-Force monthly, a series that had a lot to live up to, coming on the heels of Kyle and Yost's popular run, but for many fans, Remender's run became an instant classic, and this story set up much of the run that would follow. let's take a look at issues 1-4 of the first volume of Uncanny X-Force.

• Remender's style of covert-ops is well-suited to an X-Force book. In a way, it reminds me of the type of story that the Image Guys liked to tell in their heyday. I don't know how many people followed the early Image stuff that they got into, but they delved deeply into super-powered characters not as heroes, but rather as black ops warriors. Remender delves deep into that same style, and the book has this layer of menace all over it. Even when there are some lighter moments and banter taking place, you still feel like it's just a short reprieve before you get hit with something heavy. It's also a very cinematic style. After that opening scene with Deadpool, I could almost see an opening credit roll in my head.
  
• It's a pretty sensible team here. Obviously Wolverine has been a killing machine, and he actually makes more sense here than he does on any of the myriad other teams that he's on. Angel and Psylocke might seem like an odd choices at first, but they explain early in issue #1 why being part of an assassination squad makes sense for them, and why they shouldn't be separated. Rounding out the team are Fantomex and Deadpool, two characters for whom taking life is a pretty casual thing. The two of them actually bond over their mercenary ways, although apart from that they have little in common, as Deadpool grates on everyone. Actually, he's not that bad here, as he doesn't have to have the spotlight on him all the time and the writer doesn't have to spend the whole book finding funny references for him to make. Deadpool works in small doses, and the dose here is just right. While Logan, Wade and Fantomex have some good moments, I feel that Warren and Betsy are the heart of the book, as they're the ones that we expect to have a conscience and act like decent people. Even so, one of them was modified to be a living embodiment of death, while the other was put into the body of a ruthless assassin and has been interfered with by a bloodthirsty mystical force, so it's not like Warren and Betsy don't have their own dark sides to grapple with.
  
• The banter between Wolverine and Fantomex is pretty fun, by which I mean Logan periodically shutting down the superior and smarmy thief is fun. The whole bit about how since Logan is a Molson man, he's going to use the fantastically rare cognac that Fantomex lost to him in a bet to clean his claws and disinfect a toilet, just to hurt the Frenchman made me chuckle at the sheer wastefulness of it, and the line about how nothing about Fantomex is all that unique cuts pretty close to home. Don't get me wrong, I don't hate Fantomex or anything, I just think that he's a less appealing version of Gambit with a mental power rather than an explosion power and an attitude closer to Doctor Nemesis. He's what Gambit would be if he had been created today rather than in the Eighties. Jean-Philippe has his comebacks, but they're mostly internal, as we're occasionally a spectator to his internal monologue. I have to admit though, his misdirection power saves the team repeatedly, and it's a lot more thematically appropriate for a character who is all about sneak-thieving than Gambit's kinetic charge. At least four times the mission would have resulted in X-Force getting wiped out without Fantomex using his power to trick the enemy: When they fought War earlier on, when he saved Wolverine from Death by substituting Pestilence, when he disposed of the three remaining Horsemen on the ship and when he tricked the ship into thinking that it had already teleported away.
  
• So, it's pretty clear what Warren is afraid of from the beginning. The Celestial ship that looks like a smaller-scale (although still large) version of X-Factor's Ship. The sacrifice to a sarcophagus that Deadpool witnesses. Apocalypse had been in the process of dying as a prisoner of the Celestials since just after Decimation at this point, and really that was just a single storyline, so Apocalypse hadn't been all that active since Cable had killed him at the end of Search for Cyclops. The twist here is that rather than having him return as a full-grown mutant demigod, this time Apocalypse has come back as a child, a bit of a blank slate that is being formed into the image of En Sabah Nur. A bit of extra ambiguity over X-Force's mission, the old 'would you kill a child that you knew would grew up to be Hitler?' Honestly, I kind of side with Warren in his desire to kill the kid. He's an innocent right now, but Warren has intimate exposure to the corruption and violence inherent in what Apocalypse has touched. Just a small fraction of that power, that which created the Archangel, has rendered Warren nigh-uncontrollable, even with serious emotional and telepathic support in Betsy. So we're going to just hope that the kid can just handle it?
  
• During the simulation at the beginning of issue #2, we get a quick appearance of Wolverine having killed Holocaust, and it makes me realize that we haven't seen Holocaust in a while. He was kind of a big deal in the Nineties, and I always found his life absorption power to be very scary, but I can't remember what happened to him. For all that Apocalypse stuff we've seen over the last few years, especially with Genesis running around, you'd think that there would be some comparison somewhere along the line.
  
• I noticed an error in Warren's time capsule room. John Proudstar would never have posed for a photograph with Phoenix. He died before Jean Grey ever encountered the cosmic being.
  
• One thing that I find interesting about the art is that Opena gives us a version of Betsy that isn't titillating at all. She's still wearing her black swimsuit and thigh-highs with straps everywhere, but rather than thinking sexy thoughts, she just looks dangerous. It's the same costume, but with a very different result. That said, they couldn't resist going for the old 'ugly villain falls in love with pretty heroine' trope yet again, although at least this is justified because of Fantomex having used his mental misdirection power on War in their first skirmish with War.
  
• I know that Warren and Betsy are having trouble. Remender makes sure that we appreciate that from the beginning. They're struggling with hiding the ugly sides of themselves from each other, and Wolverine is unwittingly feeding that distrust by having Psylocke practice killing Archangel in the Danger Room, just in case he needs to be put down. So there's that tension pulling them apart, but I also really don't like the attempt to create a love triangle here with Angel, Psylocke and Fantomex.
  
• I wasn't a big fan of the new batch of Horsemen. Famine's power was dependent upon a drum, which seems strange to me. War is alright, but let's face it, a big gargoyle that fights everyone isn't hard to screw up, although his axe of anger is kind of an interesting effect. Death's power is to give people diseases based on what kind of metal he's touching, which tells me that he probably should be Pestilance, and Pestilance's power to spew a horde of flesh-eating beetles from her mouth is kind of terrifying. She's probably my favorite of the batch. So two hits, two misses with these Horsemen, but they definitely are a visually-striking band of characters when you array them across the Blue Area of the Moon. Still, although they do pretty well with the element of surprise on their side, once Fantomex's intelligent spaceship/auxilliary nervous system is able to recover from War's madness, they get tricked pretty easily and end up having to fight for their lives on an alien planet.
  
• So, at the end of issue #3, Psylocke has infiltrated the inner sanctum of child Apocalypse, sword in hand and ready to do murder. Off camera however, she determines that they shouldn't just kill the child. I wonder what passed between them, or what she saw in his mind? At any rate, by the time the rest of the team is able to fight their way through Apocalypse's protectors, she's decided that she's not going to let them kill him. Naturally, Warren (who is being torn between his implanted desire to kill Apocalypse and his desire to kill all his friends and serve Apocalypse) doesn't deal with that well. The earlier danger room session where Betsy was fighting Warren ends up coming true.
  
• The ending here is a bit of a swerve. With the exception of Deadpool (who Wolverine paralyzes with one of Archangel's feather blades), everybody gets their chance to kill the young Apocalypse. I find it interesting that everyone went in there with the mentality that they were going to kill Apocalypse no matter what, even if they had to lay down their lives in the process. They were willing to take all this evil onto themselves in order to protect Utopia (and specifically Scott) from having to make these kinds of sacrifices. However, the longtime X-Men get a chance to show their humanity here. First Betsy can't square the child being irredeemable with her work in trying to heal and support Warren. Then Logan himself can't bring himself to slaughter the weeping, frightened kid in a school uniform, which kind of fits in with how he's always been pretty soft on kids, and is getting softer as the years go by. Then Warren gets his shot, although he has to fight his way through his two friends to get there. Given that Warren is probably the most dangerous member of the whole team, you have to respect their bravery there. Even under the influence of the Archangel, Warren is able to retain enough of the humanity that made him a great hero, the empathy that had him using his skills and his resources to improve lives around the world. Warren isn't able to kill the kid. However, there's one character there who doesn't have the same kind of morality that the long-term X-Men do, and ultimately while the others are fighting and agonizing over what to do, Fantomex just shoots the kid in the head.
  
• I wonder how the argument that Apocalypse is inherently tainted, and the kid Apocalypse had to die stands up in the face of Genesis, or even Apocalypse's turn to being a good guy with a name that is something like [:A:]?
  
• So, at the end of the day, everybody seems pretty divided and grim. This books is starting from an unusually dark place, which makes sense. Remender was using this to set up his whole run, and you have to remember that this guy came up writing Punisher. He's ready for us to see some dark stuff, and for our heroes to be very unhappy about what's going on. That's one lonely-looking spaceship ride back from the Moon. They were tense on the way there, but on the way back Logan is angry, Betsy betrayed, Warren is a weeping, emotional mess and Jean-Philippe is totally isolated. And Deadpool is Deadpool.
  

So, what do you think about the Apocalypse Solution? I think it's alright as an entry piece, as the bigger events in this run would come as a consequence of what we're seeing here. On its own, it's decent, but I kind of feel bad about what I'm seeing here. They definitely continued the trend from the previous edition of X-Force of having a lot of their targets be matters of great personal significance here, and indeed it's probably to an even greater degree. Four issues and the team is already in shambles, emotionally-speaking.
Archived Discussion Threads

Hi everyone, I wonder if someone could help me here.
I'm trying to understand the mathematical side of betting.
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I've provided a spreadsheet to outline what I'm talking about:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QU6dURVL12BrEYXXjznKhpuvIAmmZx-141Ka17nK5zI/edit?usp=sharing
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I've taken this sample of bets from Betfair.
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On the left hand side in column E, I've got Betfair's current decimal odds for who will be the next US president.
In column F, I show what multiple of your stage you'd get back as profit, if the candidate won.
In column G, I show what the equivalent "fractional odds" are for this bet
In column H, I've just divided 1 by the number in column G, to just give a decimal version of the fraction in column G.
At the bottom of column I, I've outlined what the book percentage is.
In column J, I've calculated what the relative probabilities of success for each of these candidates are, assuming an idealised mathematical situation.
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As you can see, the Book Percentage is 120% for Betfair, and the sum of all probabilities is 98.91%.
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I wanted to see what bet table would look like if the book percentage were 100% instead of 120%, so I copied the same formulas across to columns L to R except for the fact that in column L, I've multiplied all the original decimal odds by Betfair's book percentage.
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As you'd expect, the book percentage in Q26 becomes 100% (instead of 120%).
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What I want to know is:

• Why is the sum of the probabilities in column R only 84%?
• Have I made an error in this book-percentage adjustment, or is does this signal something deeper and significant about the "fairness" of this overall betting contest?

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Thanks very much for your help
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Yannie
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This subject has been discussed before and I wanted to add my findings into the mix. As of now I have an excel file which I use to track my profits in horse racing and to see if my strategy is worthwhile.
Let start with the strategy. My strategy is based on if the race has a house edge or a player edge. I calculate this using the odds and a formula. First I convert the odds from fractional to decimal. The odds are then filled into this formula:
Total chance = ((1/odds horse 1)+(1/odds horse 2)+(1/odds horse 3)+(1/odds horse 4)+(1/odds horse 5)+(1/odds horse 6))*100
I use this number to determine which amount to bet. I bet $10,000.- if the number is below 100. If the number is 100 or above I will bet 100 to "skip" the race. And I will always bet on horse number one. As of now my sample size is 50 races but I will continue to add data as I gather it.
So now on to the data. I calculated the potential profits using above strategy for each of the horses using the odds I got during all of the races. I also calculated profit using no strategy and always betting the maximum amount.
Below are the results using my strategy:
Horse 1: $ 99,900 after winning 22 races, with a profit of $1998 per race. Horse 2: $ 189,300 after winning 14 races, with a profit of $3786 per race. Horse 3: $ 140,100 after winning 7 races, with a profit of $2802 per race. Horse 4: $ -70,600 after winning 3 races, with a loss of $1412 per race. Horse 5: $ -149,800 after winning 2 races, with a loss of $2996 per race. Horse 6: $ -58,400 after winning 2 races, with a loss of $1168 per race.
So over the 50 observed races the profit is the highest for horse 2. This is most likely due to more favourable odds when the horse wins. And this method only seems to work when betting on the horses 1 through 3.
Below are the results using no strategy:
Horse 1: $ 90,000 after winning 22 races, with a profit of $1800 per race. Horse 2: $ 110,000 after winning 14 races, with a profit of $2200 per race. Horse 3: $ 160,000 after winning 7 races, with a profit of $3200 per race. Horse 4: $ -130,000 after winning 3 races, with a loss of $2600 per race. Horse 5: $ -130,000 after winning 2 races, with a loss of $2600 per race. Horse 6: $ 100,000 after winning 2 races, with a profit of $2000 per race.
This shows that the for the horses with lower odds no strategy seems to be a better option. You will lose less money on horse 5 and you even make a profit for horse 6. Horse 3 also has a slightly higher profit. A race takes about 30 seconds to complete and let’s assume it takes about 15 seconds to place a bet. This makes the total time per race 45 seconds. Meaning that theoretically you can place roughly 80 bets in one hour. So in the best case using a profit of $3786 per race you can make $302880 per hour with the inside track.
TL;DR Strategic betting can make you around 300k per hour playing inside track. Bet $10,000 when you have an edge and bet $100 when the house has an edge. My data suggests betting on horse 2 is the best option. As the odds seem to make the profit higher.

đến với một nhà cái to như bet365, bạn sẽ tiếp cận một lượng kèo khổng lồ. Do vậy Việc ban đầu bạn có thể thấy hơi rối. Đừng lo, với bài hướng dẫn cá độ bóng đá tại bet365 này, các bạn sẽ nhanh chóng quen và thành thạo việc sử dụng trang web cá độ này. Thực tế một trong những ưu điểm đặc sắc của bet365 là giao diện quý khách rất công nghệ và dễ dùng.

Dưới đây SieuBet sẽ hướng dẫn bạn cách đặt cược ở các nhà cái uy tín ở việt nam tại bet365, cả trước cuộc đấu và trong trận đấu.
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Chọn cách hiển thị kèo cá cược
bet365 có 3 cách hiển thị tỷ lệ kèo:

1. Fractional: tỷ lệ kèo dạng phân số.
2. Decimal: tỷ lệ kèo dạng thập phân.
3. American: tỷ lệ kèo kiểu Mỹ.

Bet365 sẽ hiển thị tỷ lệ kèo theo cách bạn đã chọn lúc tạo account. Tuy thế, các bạn có thể điều chỉnh bất cứ khi nào bằng cách ấn vào mục Odds và chọn kiểu hiển thị bạn muốn.
Tỷ lệ kèo dạng thập phân, Decimal, chắc hẳn là kiểu thân thiện và dễ hiểu nhất với chúng ta.
Cách đặt cược bóng đá trước trận đấu tại bet365
Đặt cược trong cuộc chiến (In-Play)
Đặt cược trong cuộc đấu (In-Play) chính là cá độ bóng đá trực tiếp. Hay còn gọi là đánh rung, đánh running theo cách của anh em cá độ Việt Nam. Bet365 là web cá độ tốt nhất trong mảng này.
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như vậy như đặt cược trước trận chiến. Muốn bắt kèo nào thì bạn ấn vào kéo đấy để hiện khung Bet Slip. Sau đấy nhập vào số tiền cược và ấn Place Bet để đặt cược.
Lời kết
Với hướng dẫn cá độ bóng đá ngắn gọn trên, tin rằng bạn đơn thuần đã biết cách đặt cược tại nhà cái lô đề bet365. Chúc bạn cá độ may mắn và kiếm được nhiều $$$! Giả dụ có nghi vấn hay cần tương trợ gì, bạn cứ để lại bình luận phía dưới nhé.

Here's the link. I'd highly recommend downloading it and opening it in Excel, as Google Sheets won't bring all of the features. Speaking of features, here's a list:
Enter bet value in Bitcoin, odds in decimal, and whether or not you won the bet. It will tell you your gains/losses and convert the Bitcoin to USD. Enter betting notes to stay organized.
Very basic NCAAM, NBA, MLB, and NHL score predictors. For example, if there are 20 minutes left in an NCAAM game and 100 points have been scored, it tells you roughly 200 will be scored. Same with the other sports. Note: read the comments attached to the cells! They tell you what format to enter the time left in the game.
Number of wins in fraction form (ex. 35/60), total bet in USD, total bet in Bitcoin, and total profit in USD.
Also, you can enter the amount of money in USD you've deposited into your betting site. It will be subtracted from the total won from betting to give you your profit.
The value of Bitcoin updates every 60 minutes and automatically updates the USD values. If Bitcoin surges, your USD will also surge.
Note that the first few rows are examples to show you what the spreadsheet does.
 
Try it out and let me know what I should improve!

What is Sports Betting Odds?
Sports betting odds are the amount of money you can possibly win for a given outcome.
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Different Kinds of Sports Betting Odds
There are different kinds of odds, but the most common ones are American, Decimal, and Fraction.
American odds (or Moneyline odds) are displayed as either a positive or a negative number. A positive number tells you how much a bet of $100 would win, while a negative number tells you how much you need to bet in order to win $100.
For example, a $100 bet on a team with odds of +180 could have a possible payout of $280 while a bet of $100 on a team with odds of -250 could have a possible payout of $140.
Decimal odds are the easiest to understand. Simply multiply your bet by the odds of a team to know your possible payout. A bet of $35 on odds of 2.4 could possibly win $84.
Fraction odds are the most commonly used format in the UK. There are two things you need to remember:

1. the possible return is larger than the original bet if the number on the left is larger than the number on the right; and
2. the possible return is smaller than the original bet if the number on the right is larger than the number on the left

A bet of $100 on a team with odds of 7/4 could possibly payout $275 while a bet of $100 on a team with odds of 4/7 could possibly payout $157.
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Different Sports Betting Terms
Bettors hedge their wagers. This is a strategy where a bettor bet on different outcomes to maximize profits.
Sportsbooks also make use of point spreading. This is a number set to provide an advantage or disadvantage based on the number of points a team wins by or losses by. If you win the point spread bet, you get your original bet back plus the odds of the winning team. Losing means simply losing your bet.
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Often, games result in a tie (if applicable). This is referred to as a ‘push’. In this, your bet is simply refunded.
With sports betting odds explained, why not give it a try? There are plenty of sportsbooks to choose from.

The big weekends of racing roll on as we draw closer and closer to the Kentucky Derby. This weekend will be looking at five more races highlighted by a split division of the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas.
Oaklawn Park is running a tremendous card on Saturday including Maiden Special Weight races being run for astronomical $100,000 purses, a $50,000 claiming race that carries a $97,000 purse and will feature the strapping, super talented Dessman in the fourth race.
On top of all that, we will also be taking a look at far and away the most competitive race of the weekend in the Azeri Stakes for four year olds and up fillies a mares, which drew two of best females in the country in Elate and Midnight Bisou.
As strongly as the Azeri drew, the Essex Handicap drew equally as weak. Regardless, we will be breaking down the $350,000, mile and sixteenth contest for four year olds and up.
Elsewhere, we will be look at the Inside Information at Gulfstream Park, a seven furlong dash for four year olds and up fillies and mares.
Oaklawn Park
Race: 7 (4:21 PM EST Post)
Azeri Stakes
Elate is a two time Grade: 1 winner and is a neck and a head away (behind Champion Abel Tasman) from being a four time Grade:1 winner. Needless to say, she was clearly the second best older female in the country last year. Although she will be making her first start in over six months, she seems to run well fresh and she has been working steadily at Payson Park for the last several months……………………Although beaten fair and square by Monomoy Girl several times last year, I’m sticking to my guns that Midnight Bisou still has a world of talent and should continue to get better and better as she gets older. She was clearly the second best three year old filly last year. Filly by the gargantuan Midnight Lute sports an impressive 12-6-3-3 career record and is an eye popping 5 for 5 at this distance. I’m not worried that this will be her first start in 48 days as she has run HUGE off of three prior layoffs in her career and that 5 furlong drill (1:00 flat) two weeks ago at the Fair Grounds signals readiness…..figures bang up in this spot…………………….I’m not quite sure what to make of 2018 Female Sprint Champion Shamrock Rose in this spot after finishing a disappointing fourth in her 2019 debut. I mean, did she need the race? Did she not like the sloppy track? Or, after rattling off four straight wins, including the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint, to end the year last year is she now “over the top”? That said, I’m inclined to give this stretch running filly by the hulking First Dude one more shot and put her on a few tickets…………………..Honorable Mentions: Eskimo Kisses probably “bounced over the moon” while showing very little in her last race (Spinster) last year after an enormous effort in winning the Alabama Stakes at Saratoga in her previous race. Filly by To Honor and Serve was put away for the year after that race. She shows up her with so-so works but she does have an affinity for this track as her 3-2-1-0 record over it would indicate………………………..Tapa Tapa Tapa has speed and the rail and comes off a big win at Tampa Bay Downs last time out. Gray mare by Tapit looks overmatched in this spot but that monster five furlong work last week (:59 flat) is a attention getter. Any horse that works that fast on a notoriously deep surfaced racetrack like TBD merits a look. (My Play: .50 Trifecta box using all 5. Cost $30.00)
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Race: 8 (4:57 PM EST Post)
Rebel Stakes (Division: 1)
If you don’t like Improbable, stop reading now because I love him. He’s big, fast and has an amazingly long, beautiful and very efficient stride. Only Instagrand comes close to matching him in that area. This chestnut is 3 for 3 in his career and has won at six furlongs, a mile and a mile and a sixteenth over three different surfaces. He has excellent tactical speed and already is an easy Grade: 1 winner. He’s been running a hole in the wind in the mornings, (so much so I found myself riveted to the computer screen while watching them) so throw out the fact that this will be his first race in over three month as he certainly looks ready. You can also throw out the fact that he is by City Zip, who throws mostly grass horses and sprinters, because this guy is giving me every indication that he is special….down the road here…………………I also like Galilean quite a bit too. This drop dead gorgeous, $600,000 son of Uncle Mo has decimated Cal breds in his last two races and I especially liked his last race. Note how he won by 4 ½ while on “cruise control” but also note it was another 10 lengths back to the third place finisher. Like Improbable, he’s won at six furlongs, seven furlongs, a mile and a mile and a sixteenth and seems to be getting better as the distances get longer. As he swims out into deep waters in this spot, I don’t know he can handle a monster like Improbable but this is a quality horse with a big, big future ahead of him……………………….Although Long Range Toddy is giving me little hints that he is beginning to cycle out of form, I’m not buying that fact yet. This stretch running colt sports a 6-3-1-1 career record and, on back class alone, he looks the best of the rest……………….Honorable Mentions: Easy Shot chased Gunmetal Gray and Mucho Gusto in his last two and wasn’t completely embarrassed by either one of them…………………....Classy John looks overmatched here but, although he’s been facing MUCH softer competition, he is 5-3-2-0 in his career including a couple of Restricted Stakes wins at the Fair Grounds…… One last note about this race, can someone please tell me what a horse (Proud Nation), who was beaten by 40 lengths in a Maiden Special Weight race last time out, is doing in this race???? (My play: $500.00 to win on Improbable)
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Race: 9 (5:29 PM EST Post)
Essex Handicap
Giant Expectations led and yielded late against the recently deceased Battle of Midway and McKinzie in his last at Santa Anita. He clearly will meet noooooo such rivals in this spot. Although he hasn’t won a horse race of any kind in 15 months, he just needs to run close to what he did last time and he’ll cruise in this race……………..After seven consecutive dull efforts, Rated R Superstar turned on the afterburners down the stretch of the Razorback Handicap in his last and finished a close up third at 80-1. He is another who likes this track and you get the third start off the layoff angle as well…………………….Heavy Roller is peaking out in form right now after blowing out Allowance foes in his last. Looks best of a very weak rest…. for a $350,000 Stakes race. (My Play: $5.00 exacta box. Cost $30.00)
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Race: 10 (6:06 PM EST Post)
Rebel Stakes (Division: 2)
Unbeaten three time Grade: 1 winner and 2018 Two Year Old Colt Champion Game Winner really needs no introduction here. He looks to have filled out and put on muscle from the last time we saw him while winning the Breeders’ Cup Male Juvenile in November. He’s been out working his (older) work mate (Stakes runner Dr. Dorr) consistently in the mornings but let’s put all those facts aside for a minute. Over the years I’ve learned that when certain horse people talk…..I listen. Trainer Bob Baffert is one of those people. When he said that this colt was the “Michael Jordan” of his barn a few weeks ago, you know he caught my attention. For a trainer, who has trained not one but two Triple Crown winners, to call a horse Michael Jordan, what can I possibly say to trump that?...............................I know this might sound a bit odd, but I thought Gunmetal Gray ran a better race in finishing second to Mucho Gusto in the Robert B. Lewis last time out than he did in coming from way back to win the Sham Stakes while beating Much Better, the highly touted Coliseum and Sueno his previous time out. How you may ask? Simple….he had a super hot pace (first half mile in :46.4) in front of him in the Sham and as expected, there was a nuclear pace meltdown. This guy came along and blew by everyone down the lane albeit in a very pedestrian :27.1 final quarter mile.….That race setup perfectly for him. It was quite the contrary in the RB Lewis where the track was sloppy and clearly playing towards early speed. There, he was some 11 lengths behind early with virtually no chance of making up that kind of ground on such a speed biased surface. Yet when Mike Smith set him down for the drive, he passed everyone on the far outside but the winner. With no rain in the forecast and a couple of early burners in this race, it could set up well for him once again………………….Omaha Beach is very intriguing to me too. Another gorgeous horse with a beautiful stride, he could not have looked any better while breaking his maiden at Santa Anita in his last. This son of War Front ripped off mind boggling fast fractions in the slop (:21.3, :43.3 and 1:08.1) on his way to annihilating his foes by nine lengths and stopping the clock in 1:21 flat for seven furlongs. He is all of about three lengths away from being unbeaten in five career starts and has methodically improved through all five of those races as well. Moreover, his last six furlong work (1:10.3) was one of the best works I’ve seen in quite some time….no way I leave him off my tickets…………………………Honorable Mentions: After Our Braintrust was purchased privately (for a sum that I’m sure dwarfs the $25,000 originally paid for him) after the Jerome Stakes, this son of Freud just missed winning the Withers Stakes in NY his last time out. He is still another who has improved through each of his first five races and has yet to be off the board….could be a menace again in this spot…………………….If you are hunting long shot, take a look at Laughing Fox. This $375,000 son of Union Rags is yet another who has improved dramatically through his first four career races topped off by beating first level optionals his last time out. Of course, being 2 for 2 on this oval won’t hurt his chances either, nor will the fact that Ricardo Santana gets the leg up. (My Play: $1 triple box using all 5. Cost $60.00)
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Gulfstream Park
Race: 11 (5:37 PM EST Post)
Inside Information Stakes
Jala Jala was an absolute win machine in her native country of Mexico but proved she can handle American racing as well while winning two of three starts in the U.S. on this oval. Although she finished second last time out, this chestnut five year old mare might have run her best race ever while chasing the talented Blamed and only being beaten by 1 ½ lengths. Bullet work at Palm Meadows last week signals to me she is holding form…….looks best……………..Tequilita finished just a neck behind Jala Jala last time out and this mare by Union Rags loves this track as her 4-2-1-1 record over it would indicate…………..America’s Tale has good speed and draws towards this inside. Good looking filly by Gio Ponti won three straight, on the engine, to end last year. Go ahead and throw out her last race (on the turf) as she is 5 for 11 on the dirt and 0 for 5 on the turf. Figures prominent throughout here…………..Honorable Mentions: Pink Sands is a $625,000 filly by Tapit who might be starting to get her act together. This Shug McGaughey trainee has hit the board in eight of 10 career starts and, more importantly, is 2 for 2 over this surface. In fact, in both of those wins her final times and closing quarter miles were very good. Bottom line here is I won’t be at all that shocked if she outruns this rating………………………Although Teresa Z will be making her first start in over four months, and she has a habit of needing a race or two off a layoff, it must be noted this $635,000 mare by Smart Strike quietly had a big year last year. She won a pair of Stakes races, including a Grade: 3 by six lengths in NY, and sandwiching those races by chasing the mega talented Elate and a very good Wow Cat. She will meet no such rivals in this spot. (My Play: .50 Triple box, using all 5. Cost: $30.00)
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By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2019- Record: 16-47 = 34% (My Plays: -$1,007.76)
2018- Record: 107-261= 41%
2017- Record: 92-235 = 39%
2016- Record: 91-229 = 40%
2015- Record: 67-180 = 37%
2014- Record: 29-73 = 40%
2013- Record: 20-59= 34%
2012 -Record: 24-73= 33%
2011 –Record: N/A
2010- Record: 24-74= 33%
Little Bets N’ Pieces
**** Santa Anita Park's main track opened March 11 for jogging and galloping, the first time horses were allowed onto it in nearly a week. Timed workouts also resumed on the training track the same day.
Monday was also the first day that Santa Anita's new safety protocols were implemented. Horsemen had to submit forms the previous day if they wanted to work horses on the training track. Tim Ritvo, chief operating officer of The Stronach Group, said that trainers had applied for 150 horses to work on the training track.
"We flagged about 12 of those horses and asked the trainers not to work those horses this morning," Ritvo said. Criteria used to flag horses included ones that have been away from the races for an extended period of time and hadn't worked in the past 120 days, said Ritvo.
"We got full cooperation with that," he said. "Everybody said they completely understood. I think it's the beginning of hopefully all working together. It just felt good."
Ritvo met with track consultant Dennis Moore the morning of March 11 to see how the analysis of the track was proceeding. "Step one was to look at the base, to make sure there's no erosion," Ritvo said. "The second thing is the soil analysis. The last thing is, 'is it even everywhere?'" Ritvo said Moore was pleased with how the track was progressing and that racing has been “tentatively set to resume March 22”.
Update: a 22nd horse broke down at Santa Anita during Thursday morning workouts. The Santa Anita brass is holding steadfast that the track will remian open. More this as the story unfolds
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**** A couple of attention getters from Ocala Breeders Sales this past week:
Topping the session was a New York-bred colt by Tapit out of Grade: 1 winner Artemis Agrotera, who breezed one furlong in a strong :10 1/5, was purchased by West Point Thoroughbreds, Rob Masiello and Siena Farm, for $2 million.
* Off an impressive :21 1/5 quarter mile breeze, Larry Best of OXO Equine, landed a Pioneerof the Nile colt for $1.2 million.
The colt is out of the Multiple Stakes placed Golden Artemis and who is the dam of Grade: 1 winner My Conquestadory and promising 3 year old colt Bourbon War, who came flying home to get second Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park three weeks ago. Golden Artemis herself brought $1 million at the Fasig-Tipton November Sales in 2013.
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* Phoenix Thoroughbreds bought three horses, topped off by a Bernardini colt out of Canadian champion grass mare Inish Glora for $825,000. The colt ripped one furlong in :09 4/5.
“Obviously, he’s fast–fast and beautiful,” said Tom Ludt, Phoenix’s head of operations. “It’s expensive right now, but he’s a really good colt. He galloped out great. That’s what we’re looking for. Now we just need to get him to do it over a little bit longer distance.”
The colt will be heading to Steve Asmussen’s barn.
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* Katsumi Yoshida’s Northern Farm paid $675,000 to land a Candy Ride half sister to U.S. champion sprinter Drefong.
Drefong, the Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner was retired to stud for the 2018 season to stand at Teruya Yoshida’s Shadai Stallion Station in Hokkaido, Japan.
“She was really good, and when we looked at her black-type page, Drefong’s name was on it. We are very excited to buy her,” Northern Farm Shigaraki Manager Yasuhiro Matsumoto said. “She was really good looking and her walk was very nice. We were here for her work out and her form was very good. We’re going to bring her back to Japan and hope that she will have a good racing career.”
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If you’re new to the world of gambling, you need to make sure that you understand the odds before you ever place a bet.
To put it simply, betting odds are a numerical representation of how likely an event is to occur. Take the example of rolling dice. Because there are six possible outcomes from one roll of the dice, there’s a 16.67% chance that you’ll be correct in your guess of which number will be rolled. That’s 100 divided by six, which equals 16.6666666667, to be exact. This translates to a coefficient 6/1 chance of any specific outcome, or 7.0 if you remove the bookie’s margin.
The same basic principle applies to flipping a coin—a coin has two sides, so you have a 50% chance of winning.
Odds can also tell you how much money you will win. Let’s say you’re betting on a team with 4/1 odds in a sporting event. If you bet £/€1 and your team wins, you’ll receive £/€4, plus your stake back for a total of £/€5.
Although it may be confusing at first, it’s pertinent that you grasp how betting odds work if you want to make a go of online gambling or sports betting.
There are basically three types of betting odds: fractional, decimal and U.S. style.

FRACTIONAL ODDS

📷
In the past, the most commonly used betting odds globally were fractional. They still remain the most commonly-used and understood in the UK, though Hong Kong and Malay odds are favored in other parts of the world.
When you see 4/1 odds, to use the example above, those are fractional odds. This means you have a one in four chance of winning, or a 20% chance. To put it another way, you also have an 80% chance of losing. That also means the winner will be paid £/€4 for every dollar or pound waged.
The same goes for 9/1 odds. You’ll win £/€9 for every dollar or pound waged, but you also have only a 10% chance of winning and a 90% chance of losing.

DECIMAL ODDS

Decimal odds are becoming increasingly popular among bookmakers, commonly known as bookies. Most often used in Europe and Asia, decimal odds use a number with a decimal point as opposed to the fractional format.
With 4/1 betting odds, the decimal odds are 5.0. To get this number, you take the percentage chance of winning (in this case, 20%) and see how many time it goes into 100. 100 divided by 20 is 5.
To figure out your winnings with decimal odds, you multiply the odds by your stake, and then subtract your stake from that number. For example, when the odds are 5.0 and you bet £/€10, you multiple 5 x 10 and then subtract 10, for total winnings of £/€40.

U.S. ODDS

In the United States, betting odds are expressed using the plus or minus sign. The plus sign indicates the favorite, while the minus is for the underdog. For example, the favorite team might have odds of +250, while the underdog’s odds are -150.
The numbers are calculated according to how much one must wager in order to win $100. Using the example above, you must bet $150 in order to win $100 for the underdog team. If you bet $150 on the underdog team and they win, your winnings will be $250 (your $150 stake + $100 winnings). On the other hand, if you bet $100 on the team with +250 odds, your winnings will total $350 (your $100 stake + $250 winnings). That said, the more you bet, the more you win, obviously. If you bet $150 rather than $100, your winnings with the favorite team would be $400 (your $150 stake + $250 winnings).
Now that you’ve had you know how betting odds work, you should have a better chance of winning, no matter which style of odds your bookie uses.
There are a number of online articles that can help you further understand how betting odds work. A little research can go a long way toward ensuring that you’re as successful as possible.

If you’re new to the world of gambling, you need to make sure that you understand the odds before you ever place a bet.
To put it simply, betting odds are a numerical representation of how likely an event is to occur. Take the example of rolling dice. Because there are six possible outcomes from one roll of the dice, there’s a 16.67% chance that you’ll be correct in your guess of which number will be rolled. That’s 100 divided by six, which equals 16.6666666667, to be exact. This translates to a coefficient 6/1 chance of any specific outcome, or 7.0 if you remove the bookie’s margin.
The same basic principle applies to flipping a coin—a coin has two sides, so you have a 50% chance of winning.
Odds can also tell you how much money you will win. Let’s say you’re betting on a team with 4/1 odds in a sporting event. If you bet £/€1 and your team wins, you’ll receive £/€4, plus your stake back for a total of £/€5.
Although it may be confusing at first, it’s pertinent that you grasp how betting odds work if you want to make a go of online gambling or sports betting.
There are basically three types of betting odds: fractional, decimal and U.S. style.

FRACTIONAL ODDS

📷
In the past, the most commonly used betting odds globally were fractional. They still remain the most commonly-used and understood in the UK, though Hong Kong and Malay odds are favored in other parts of the world.
When you see 4/1 odds, to use the example above, those are fractional odds. This means you have a one in four chance of winning, or a 20% chance. To put it another way, you also have an 80% chance of losing. That also means the winner will be paid £/€4 for every dollar or pound waged.
The same goes for 9/1 odds. You’ll win £/€9 for every dollar or pound waged, but you also have only a 10% chance of winning and a 90% chance of losing.

DECIMAL ODDS

Decimal odds are becoming increasingly popular among bookmakers, commonly known as bookies. Most often used in Europe and Asia, decimal odds use a number with a decimal point as opposed to the fractional format.
With 4/1 betting odds, the decimal odds are 5.0. To get this number, you take the percentage chance of winning (in this case, 20%) and see how many time it goes into 100. 100 divided by 20 is 5.
To figure out your winnings with decimal odds, you multiply the odds by your stake, and then subtract your stake from that number. For example, when the odds are 5.0 and you bet £/€10, you multiple 5 x 10 and then subtract 10, for total winnings of £/€40.

U.S. ODDS

In the United States, betting odds are expressed using the plus or minus sign. The plus sign indicates the favorite, while the minus is for the underdog. For example, the favorite team might have odds of +250, while the underdog’s odds are -150.
The numbers are calculated according to how much one must wager in order to win $100. Using the example above, you must bet $150 in order to win $100 for the underdog team. If you bet $150 on the underdog team and they win, your winnings will be $250 (your $150 stake + $100 winnings). On the other hand, if you bet $100 on the team with +250 odds, your winnings will total $350 (your $100 stake + $250 winnings). That said, the more you bet, the more you win, obviously. If you bet $150 rather than $100, your winnings with the favorite team would be $400 (your $150 stake + $250 winnings).
Now that you’ve had you know how betting odds work, you should have a better chance of winning, no matter which style of odds your bookie uses.
There are a number of online articles that can help you further understand how betting odds work. A little research can go a long way toward ensuring that you’re as successful as possible.