Craps Bets Find The Best And Worst Bet Types To Use In Craps

Ultimate Craps Strategy for Experienced Players: Overview of Best Bets and Odds

#3: Place 6 and Place 8
Players looking for some inner-table action should look no further than the place 6 and place 8 bets. The object of this bet is simple: the shooter must roll a 6 or 8 (depending on which you have selected) before he or she rolls a 7. Winning players are paid 7:6 on their wager.
How do you make a place 6 or place 8 bet? Simply place your wager under the dotted line of either the 6 or the 8 on the far side of the craps table and hope that Lady Luck is on your side.
Be careful not to fall victim to the “big 6” and “big 8” bets, which are exactly the same, but only pay 1:1. Many players will be suckered into wagering on these big red spaces in the corner and not realize that the place bets offer much better odds. In fact, place 6 and place 8 have a house edge of only 1.52%, whereas big 6 and big 8 have a disgustingly high 9.09% edge. Be smart and make place bets!
#2: The Pass Line
The pass line is the fundamental bet on the craps table. Just like in other casino games, the basic bet is usually the one that carries one of the lowest house edges. The principle of the pass line is simple. After wagering on the pass line, the shooter will roll to establish a point in the come-out roll. If a 7 or 11 is rolled, the pass line bet wins 1:1. If a 2, 3, or 12 (craps) is rolled, the pass line bet loses. If any other number (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10) is rolled, that number becomes the point.
From there, the object is to roll the point before 7 is rolled. It is common knowledge that 7 is the most common sum of two dice, and thus, you are bucking against the odds after the come-out roll. Thankfully, you can add an additional wager to your pass line bet after the come-out roll called the odds, which, if you win, will pay true odds. Consequently, the odds bet has a house edge of 0%.
Overall, the pass line bet is definitely one of the best bets on the craps table with a house edge of 1.41%. In addition, adding odds onto this wager is without a doubt the best way to extend your gambling bankroll. The pass line is simply one of the best ways to try and win big.
#1: The Don’t Pass Bar
While the pass line is a great bet, the don’t pass bar is slightly better. The don’t pass bar is the exact opposite of the pass line. During the come-out roll, a don’t pass wager wins if a 2 or 3 is rolled, and loses if a 7 or 11 is rolled. If a 12 is rolled, the bet pushes rather than wins, which is where a vast majority of the house edge lies in this bet.
After the come-out roll, a don’t pass bettor is rooting for the exact opposite outcome of a pass line bettor: that the shooter will roll a 7 before the point. This bet is, therefore, more likely to win than lose after the come-out roll. Just like the case is with the pass line, players can add fair-odds wagers to their don’t pass bets.
But how much better is the don’t pass bar than the pass line? The don’t pass bar has a house edge of 1.36%, which makes it .05% better than the pass line: not much. While it is mathematically a better wager, it may not be as enjoyable playing craps when you’re hoping for the exact opposite outcome of the other players.

Do you have any other suggestion?
submitted by askgamblers-official to onlinegambling [link] [comments]

What's the better bet Longterm - Craps Passline with 10x odds vS basic blackjack strategy?

bonus question: Don't Pass w/10x odds VS Advanced Blackjack strategy?
submitted by hotshot3321 to gambling [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part II

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part II
Firstly, thanks for the overwhelming comments and feedback. Genuinely really appreciated. I am pleased 500+ of you find it useful.
If you didn't read the first post you can do so here: risk management part I. You'll need to do so in order to make sense of the topic.
As ever please comment/reply below with questions or feedback and I'll do my best to get back to you.
Part II
  • Letting stops breathe
  • When to change a stop
  • Entering and exiting winning positions
  • Risk:reward ratios
  • Risk-adjusted returns

Letting stops breathe

We talked earlier about giving a position enough room to breathe so it is not stopped out in day-to-day noise.
Let’s consider the chart below and imagine you had a trailing stop. It would be super painful to miss out on the wider move just because you left a stop that was too tight.

Imagine being long and stopped out on a meaningless retracement ... ouch!
One simple technique is simply to look at your chosen chart - let’s say daily bars. And then look at previous trends and use the measuring tool. Those generally look something like this and then you just click and drag to measure.
For example if we wanted to bet on a downtrend on the chart above we might look at the biggest retracement on the previous uptrend. That max drawdown was about 100 pips or just under 1%. So you’d want your stop to be able to withstand at least that.
If market conditions have changed - for example if CVIX has risen - and daily ranges are now higher you should incorporate that. If you know a big event is coming up you might think about that, too. The human brain is a remarkable tool and the power of the eye-ball method is not to be dismissed. This is how most discretionary traders do it.
There are also more analytical approaches.
Some look at the Average True Range (ATR). This attempts to capture the volatility of a pair, typically averaged over a number of sessions. It looks at three separate measures and takes the largest reading. Think of this as a moving average of how much a pair moves.
For example, below shows the daily move in EURUSD was around 60 pips before spiking to 140 pips in March. Conditions were clearly far more volatile in March. Accordingly, you would need to leave your stop further away in March and take a correspondingly smaller position size.

ATR is available on pretty much all charting systems
Professional traders tend to use standard deviation as a measure of volatility instead of ATR. There are advantages and disadvantages to both. Averages are useful but can be misleading when regimes switch (see above chart).
Once you have chosen a measure of volatility, stop distance can then be back-tested and optimised. For example does 2x ATR work best or 5x ATR for a given style and time horizon?
Discretionary traders may still eye-ball the ATR or standard deviation to get a feeling for how it has changed over time and what ‘normal’ feels like for a chosen study period - daily, weekly, monthly etc.

Reasons to change a stop

As a general rule you should be disciplined and not change your stops. Remember - losers average losers. This is really hard at first and we’re going to look at that in more detail later.
There are some good reasons to modify stops but they are rare.
One reason is if another risk management process demands you stop trading and close positions. We’ll look at this later. In that case just close out your positions at market and take the loss/gains as they are.
Another is event risk. If you have some big upcoming data like Non Farm Payrolls that you know can move the market +/- 150 pips and you have no edge going into the release then many traders will take off or scale down their positions. They’ll go back into the positions when the data is out and the market has quietened down after fifteen minutes or so. This is a matter of some debate - many traders consider it a coin toss and argue you win some and lose some and it all averages out.
Trailing stops can also be used to ‘lock in’ profits. We looked at those before. As the trade moves in your favour (say up if you are long) the stop loss ratchets with it. This means you may well end up ‘stopping out’ at a profit - as per the below example.

The mighty trailing stop loss order
It is perfectly reasonable to have your stop loss move in the direction of PNL. This is not exposing you to more risk than you originally were comfortable with. It is taking less and less risk as the trade moves in your favour. Trend-followers in particular love trailing stops.
One final question traders ask is what they should do if they get stopped out but still like the trade. Should they try the same trade again a day later for the same reasons? Nope. Look for a different trade rather than getting emotionally wed to the original idea.
Let’s say a particular stock looked cheap based on valuation metrics yesterday, you bought, it went down and you got stopped out. Well, it is going to look even better on those same metrics today. Maybe the market just doesn’t respect value at the moment and is driven by momentum. Wait it out.
Otherwise, why even have a stop in the first place?

Entering and exiting winning positions

Take profits are the opposite of stop losses. They are also resting orders, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price.
Imagine I’m long EURUSD at 1.1250. If it hits a previous high of 1.1400 (150 pips higher) I will leave a sell order to take profit and close the position.
The rookie mistake on take profits is to take profit too early. One should start from the assumption that you will win on no more than half of your trades. Therefore you will need to ensure that you win more on the ones that work than you lose on those that don’t.

Sad to say but incredibly common: retail traders often take profits way too early
This is going to be the exact opposite of what your emotions want you to do. We are going to look at that in the Psychology of Trading chapter.
Remember: let winners run. Just like stops you need to know in advance the level where you will close out at a profit. Then let the trade happen. Don’t override yourself and let emotions force you to take a small profit. A classic mistake to avoid.
The trader puts on a trade and it almost stops out before rebounding. As soon as it is slightly in the money they spook and cut out, instead of letting it run to their original take profit. Do not do this.

Entering positions with limit orders

That covers exiting a position but how about getting into one?
Take profits can also be left speculatively to enter a position. Sometimes referred to as “bids” (buy orders) or “offers” (sell orders). Imagine the price is 1.1250 and the recent low is 1.1205.
You might wish to leave a bid around 1.2010 to enter a long position, if the market reaches that price. This way you don’t need to sit at the computer and wait.
Again, typically traders will use tech analysis to identify attractive levels. Again - other traders will cluster with your orders. Just like the stop loss we need to bake that in.
So this time if we know everyone is going to buy around the recent low of 1.1205 we might leave the take profit bit a little bit above there at 1.1210 to ensure it gets done. Sure it costs 5 more pips but how mad would you be if the low was 1.1207 and then it rallied a hundred points and you didn’t have the trade on?!
There are two more methods that traders often use for entering a position.
Scaling in is one such technique. Let’s imagine that you think we are in a long-term bulltrend for AUDUSD but experiencing a brief retracement. You want to take a total position of 500,000 AUD and don’t have a strong view on the current price action.
You might therefore leave a series of five bids of 100,000. As the price moves lower each one gets hit. The nice thing about scaling in is it reduces pressure on you to pick the perfect level. Of course the risk is that not all your orders get hit before the price moves higher and you have to trade at-market.
Pyramiding is the second technique. Pyramiding is for take profits what a trailing stop loss is to regular stops. It is especially common for momentum traders.

Pyramiding into a position means buying more as it goes in your favour
Again let’s imagine we’re bullish AUDUSD and want to take a position of 500,000 AUD.
Here we add 100,000 when our first signal is reached. Then we add subsequent clips of 100,000 when the trade moves in our favour. We are waiting for confirmation that the move is correct.
Obviously this is quite nice as we humans love trading when it goes in our direction. However, the drawback is obvious: we haven’t had the full amount of risk on from the start of the trend.
You can see the attractions and drawbacks of both approaches. It is best to experiment and choose techniques that work for your own personal psychology as these will be the easiest for you to stick with and build a disciplined process around.

Risk:reward and win ratios

Be extremely skeptical of people who claim to win on 80% of trades. Most traders will win on roughly 50% of trades and lose on 50% of trades. This is why risk management is so important!
Once you start keeping a trading journal you’ll be able to see how the win/loss ratio looks for you. Until then, assume you’re typical and that every other trade will lose money.
If that is the case then you need to be sure you make more on the wins than you lose on the losses. You can see the effect of this below.

A combination of win % and risk:reward ratio determine if you are profitable
A typical rule of thumb is that a ratio of 1:3 works well for most traders.
That is, if you are prepared to risk 100 pips on your stop you should be setting a take profit at a level that would return you 300 pips.
One needn’t be religious about these numbers - 11 pips and 28 pips would be perfectly fine - but they are a guideline.
Again - you should still use technical analysis to find meaningful chart levels for both the stop and take profit. Don’t just blindly take your stop distance and do 3x the pips on the other side as your take profit. Use the ratio to set approximate targets and then look for a relevant resistance or support level in that kind of region.

Risk-adjusted returns

Not all returns are equal. Suppose you are examining the track record of two traders. Now, both have produced a return of 14% over the year. Not bad!
The first trader, however, made hundreds of small bets throughout the year and his cumulative PNL looked like the left image below.
The second trader made just one bet — he sold CADJPY at the start of the year — and his PNL looked like the right image below with lots of large drawdowns and volatility.
Would you rather have the first trading record or the second?
If you were investing money and betting on who would do well next year which would you choose? Of course all sensible people would choose the first trader. Yet if you look only at returns one cannot distinguish between the two. Both are up 14% at that point in time. This is where the Sharpe ratio helps .
A high Sharpe ratio indicates that a portfolio has better risk-adjusted performance. One cannot sensibly compare returns without considering the risk taken to earn that return.
If I can earn 80% of the return of another investor at only 50% of the risk then a rational investor should simply leverage me at 2x and enjoy 160% of the return at the same level of risk.
This is very important in the context of Execution Advisor algorithms (EAs) that are popular in the retail community. You must evaluate historic performance by its risk-adjusted return — not just the nominal return. Incidentally look at the Sharpe ratio of ones that have been live for a year or more ...
Otherwise an EA developer could produce two EAs: the first simply buys at 1000:1 leverage on January 1st ; and the second sells in the same manner. At the end of the year, one of them will be discarded and the other will look incredible. Its risk-adjusted return, however, would be abysmal and the odds of repeated success are similarly poor.

Sharpe ratio

The Sharpe ratio works like this:
  • It takes the average returns of your strategy;
  • It deducts from these the risk-free rate of return i.e. the rate anyone could have got by investing in US government bonds with very little risk;
  • It then divides this total return by its own volatility - the more smooth the return the higher and better the Sharpe, the more volatile the lower and worse the Sharpe.
For example, say the return last year was 15% with a volatility of 10% and US bonds are trading at 2%. That gives (15-2)/10 or a Sharpe ratio of 1.3. As a rule of thumb a Sharpe ratio of above 0.5 would be considered decent for a discretionary retail trader. Above 1 is excellent.
You don’t really need to know how to calculate Sharpe ratios. Good trading software will do this for you. It will either be available in the system by default or you can add a plug-in.

VAR

VAR is another useful measure to help with drawdowns. It stands for Value at Risk. Normally people will use 99% VAR (conservative) or 95% VAR (aggressive). Let’s say you’re long EURUSD and using 95% VAR. The system will look at the historic movement of EURUSD. It might spit out a number of -1.2%.

A 5% VAR of -1.2% tells you you should expect to lose 1.2% on 5% of days, whilst 95% of days should be better than that
This means it is expected that on 5 days out of 100 (hence the 95%) the portfolio will lose 1.2% or more. This can help you manage your capital by taking appropriately sized positions. Typically you would look at VAR across your portfolio of trades rather than trade by trade.
Sharpe ratios and VAR don’t give you the whole picture, though. Legendary fund manager, Howard Marks of Oaktree, notes that, while tools like VAR and Sharpe ratios are helpful and absolutely necessary, the best investors will also overlay their own judgment.
Investors can calculate risk metrics like VaR and Sharpe ratios (we use them at Oaktree; they’re the best tools we have), but they shouldn’t put too much faith in them. The bottom line for me is that risk management should be the responsibility of every participant in the investment process, applying experience, judgment and knowledge of the underlying investments.Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital
What he’s saying is don’t misplace your common sense. Do use these tools as they are helpful. However, you cannot fully rely on them. Both assume a normal distribution of returns. Whereas in real life you get “black swans” - events that should supposedly happen only once every thousand years but which actually seem to happen fairly often.
These outlier events are often referred to as “tail risk”. Don’t make the mistake of saying “well, the model said…” - overlay what the model is telling you with your own common sense and good judgment.

Coming up in part III

Available here
Squeezes and other risks
Market positioning
Bet correlation
Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

***
Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

Gambling INTPs?

Any INTP knows the odds are against them all the time and that is enough to deter them. But I've always been a gambler. In middle school I got a multigame mini pool table, table tennis, and Roulette wheel and card table. My friends would come over and gamble money or things. My friend's mom disapproved and made him give me some stuff back (haha). I just didn't know I had to rake games to be "the house." In middle school the black kids taught white kids craps and we'd shoot for dollars. I still love a good dice game. We'd have them on payday after close a couple jobs ago. The shit talking is so much better than poker games.
In HS I gambled poker and chess a lot. My favorite poker game was played where everyone had 2.25g of shrooms in them. No poker faces and it didn't last that long. Not great at poker. I've gambled on Chess pretty successfully. Not great at Spades.
But I'm an INTP and Casinos aren't my thing. Rather gamble at pool at a dive bar.
That said I'm doing a lot of sports betting right now. I once read that a professional sports gambler only wins 55% of the time but they have advanced knowledge in props, parlays, hedging etc. I just figured at college and to a lesser extent pro football, I could pick the winner above 55% maybe even against against--the-spread. My favorite former gf was good at betting on the ponies because she was into horses and leased one, so she had similar inside knowledge as someone who's watched football for 25yrs
I put $150 deposit and got $165 because they passed some BTC savings onto me. First week I bet the full $165. I remember the bets too. $45 on Duke (Lost but beat the spread) Same with the $45 I put on S. Alabama. $45 on Coastal Carolina who won outright against Kansas $45. Because the house rakes the games I'd only win about $40 off each so that's $270. But I put a $30 parlay on all three winning and won $180. Turned $165 into $360 (not exact--change and some numbers were rounded). I qualified for a bonus $165 for betting everything. That's a cool $425.
I thought "Holy Shit I can just go pro" beginners luck. It was also right after I lost my job and I'm moving for a new one mid October. Back to my home city and old neighborhood. Pretty psyched really except moving is a hassle.
Two weeks ago lost $70. I thought that comes with the territory of a pro sports better. I broke even last week. This week I chose a new strategy and bet on 7 games instead of 3. Truth was I don't know a certain percentage. I know games I "know" but I only lost $60. It just feels worse because I went 1-6 instead of two weeks ago when I went 1-2. Plus I lose some change on the low probability parlays.
The problem is that I just dipped into my other $165 to bet on pro football. Put in a couple bets and a parlay. The winnings get transferred into my main account. I'm still up either $80 in my account (I can't cash in the "free money")
My floor is $200 because I wanna make at least $50 off this fun lil exercise but I see how addictive it is for the first time. I even sought out a Bitcoin chess gambling site mainly used by Africans but I don't play because either I'm not better at Chess than Nigerian Royalty or they use chess bots or both. It also was pretty obviously used for money laundering which is what the gambling sites are also used for. Now I'm betting on Sunday football. Not just Saturday.
I guess my cashout ceiling is a grand but I don't see that happening haha.
Point is that wk2 college football this year was like my first joint, the first time I mixed valium-codeine-and a belt of scotch at 14. The first time I painted something halfway decent under a bridge at 16. The first time I fucked a girl at 17. The first time I had an audience in stitches at 22 (standup). All very pleasurable and only relatively routinely done. Except maybe sex and drugs but they have other major downsides.
Hell when I learned to read at 8 I was attached to books my whole life but nobody thinks that's bad. Haha.
Do other people gamble?
I'm extraverted enough that if someone has dice on the street I'll shoot or if they have a chess game at a coffee shop. I'll bet $20.
Best in person bet was with a frenemy in my group who was the epitome of iamverysmart and everyone in my group thought he was a genius. I took $20 off him in front of everyone and he refused to try to win it back. Bad look for him.
I hope I can keep it just for fun. Any other INTP gamblers on here?
Edit: Forgot to mention I won $400+ in a $20 pool for the 2011 March Madness B-Ball tourney. I watched none of the regular season (like usual) but knew UConn was good but nobody picked them as they were a #3 seed. I didn't win most rounds either. Dumb luck. It's funny that I forgot because it was less recent than that grudge match against that guy I played chess against.
submitted by StoopSign to INTP [link] [comments]

JoJo's Bizarre OC Tournament #5 - Round 2 Match 10 - Bert and Emilie "Dread" Delacroix vs John "Jack" Aurel

The results are in for Match 8.
Agnes and Arpeggi, in their shrunken states, continued to fight, surrounded by the rising flames of their lilliputian tower, fists flying and Stand blows being taken one after the other.
“You… Callous mother fucker!” Arpeggi cursed, Agnes feeling the singe of a heat blast both from behind and from launched wood. “We’re not aiming for a massacre!”
“You’re not,” Agnes spat out, then, pulling a tab on the table, a massive geyser erupting and launching his so-called ally away, “I don’t give a fuck about this place, and we’re in a Stand battle… And it’s all worthless, greedy scumbags watching! Let the fire spread! Let this place hit the ground so they see what someone with style can do!”
“You heard it here, folks! Agnes talked you all down… C’mon, where’s your passion! Don’t run out and away, c’mon! And here I thought you cared y’had money ridin’ on this…”
Conqueror Worm’s laughs reverberated as Glitch and William found themselves cooled by Ocean Eyes’ nectar, which found itself dissolving quickly but, for the moment, a functional barrier for the injured fighters, watching and listening to what happened.
“Th… They’re fighting each other up there…” William remarked, physically looking as though he was straining to force Ocean Eyes not to hurry up there and tear them a new one. “Glitch, we don’t have time to keep the flames at bay and call up another KST, and if I let Ocean Eyes up there it’ll eviscerate them, and-”
“What’s this? The kid is holdin’ back, afraid of his own Stand! Hey, kid, don’t hate this part of yourself! Ocean Eyes, it ain’t your enemy, that’s a part of you, what makes you special, so don’t be at odds with it! Embrace what it says, because it’s what YOU’RE sayin’!”
William was speechless, there, but his companion was less inactive in that time. Tiger “Glitch” Ricky simply hissed, then, her and her Stand hopping up out of the flames in an effort to brutally, mercilessly pounce upon the self-styled villain and the ally he had come to blows with. If they moved fast, they could bite through that shitty little twink’s neck right now!
Arpeggi grit his teeth, scrambling to find his footing as he witnessed the pouncing cat-stand, finding it hard to breathe among all the burning rubble, fading fast then.
Is… Is this how it ends..? Crushed and mangled as some lowlife’s burnt-up game piece..?
“And it looks like Glitch is about to take it! Shout-outs to Tigran, the only real one here, watchin’ through the fire and the flames!”
“Heh… This is just a bit of a sweat,” Tigran Sins answered, stifling a cough, “I’ll see all seven of these bastards run through games until they’re all-”
Arpeggi didn’t hear what was said next, only hearing his own defiant heartbeat. If he didn’t act fast, Agnes would die… Good riddance, right? But… Ugh, no, even scum like him, they don’t deserve…
He clutched at NEXT LEVEL until his fingers bled, and Glitch and William, both looking at him past their Stands waiting to attack, made curious sounds as yet more crumbled away.
“Mrr?!”
And then, there was white. An overwhelming cascade of baking soda burst from NEXT LEVEL, smothering the flames rapidly as an obscured form zipped up the tower again, grabbing Agnes and hurrying away from the thrown-off Glitch.
“You… Why did you…” Agnes rubbed baking soda out of his eyes, coughing and looking at the form of Arpeggi in this new Stand. “Motherfucker…”
“I have responsibility over even a scumbag like you… You tailed me here, and I’m not gonna let you die and escape responsibility easy.” He turned, then, to William and Glitch, his new form revealed. “Now, actually help me, follow my lead, and I’ll kick your ass later. We need to survive this-”
All four of the fighters, then, felt themselves grow rapidly, their combined weight so close together crushing the table they were on, much as a nearby tabletop wargame that had been setup found itself buckling under the weight of Metra, Oh No, the Black Angel, and their motorcycle.
“Welp,” Worm said with a bemused laugh, holding up the slumped body of Tigran. “Your fire couldn’t hurt him, but smoke inhalation sure could! I guess that means…”
“The winner is FIRE, with a score of 65!”
Category Winner Point Totals Comments
Popularity Graveyard Shift 12-17
Quality Graveyard Shift 19-20 Reasoning
JoJolity BADD GUYS 24-18 Reasoning
Conduct Tie 10-10
With no more reason to fight, it got really awkward and everyone just sort of ran out of Heartache Casino. William Eyelash, recalling his stand and lost in thoughts, was the last to leave, joining the others in leaping single-file out a window into a nearby alley.
There, though everyone else seemed tensely uninvolved, the Black Angel’s motorcycle revved, and she stared down Worm as he safely stowed Tigran inside his Stand-body, leaning on his golden sword.
“There’s still something I need, Jones… I’ll run you down to get it if it means saving the city.”
Worm laughed, gesturing with his sword. “This thing? You’re huntin’ me down for this… Ah! I see! You’re tryin’ to do that.” Callously, he tossed it, so suddenly they fumbled with it in hand. “Here ya go, then! I don’t much want what Jack Aurel’s cookin’ up either!”
The Angel, worn and exhausted, stammered. “I… You just… But…”
“Lookin’ forward to killin’ me, huh? Get in line, kid… Or waste your time right now! See, nobody here is botherin’, they can all read that it’d be a waste when I’m in such good health! City’s countin’ on you, yeah, and you won’t get many opportunities for bein’ called a hero as an adult. Make it count!”
Then, before anyone could say more, he darted through a nearby wall, waving William and the rest off with a, “Ah, we safely may trust to its gleaming and be sure it will lead us aright!”


“Asshole.” The Angel turned away, strapping the sword to their back and driving away. “Thank you, all of you. I’ll take this from here… Get yourselves help.”
There was silence as they drove into the sky, scarf billowing before them, and then Agnes started cackling. “You’re all fucking morons… If I didn’t burn that place down, we wouldn’t have gotten away, and some wannabe with no style would be going down as Los Fortuna’s worst villain! Fucking bow and grovel, Jack Aurel’s grave is gonna say ‘spat on by Agnes!’”
Nobody had the energy to dignify that with a response.
An anticlimax is leading into a super-climax, and meanwhile, an ant-loving little boy and an aid worker are racing through their dreamscapes, with a day left to vote there.
Narration:
What is, as of the 1990s, ‘Capital Island,’ was the epicenter of Los Fortuna’s founding several hundred years ago, in the midst of a bloody Stand User conflict, many militias clashing for superiority, in the 1680s, starting with the death of the era’s own Andrew Tiffany, the missionary William Mandolin, and towards its end, knocking people into their senses through the awakening of exactly what he had tried to warn them of.
A grand T-Rex by the name of Megalomania had survived, dormant, underneath the land through the might of its Stand, coated in a goldlike substance, and awoken in a deep rage by the conflict of the locals. Megalomania was met in battle by a man out of place named Aaron Bruno, ‘Sir Aurel’ to most, and Memory Management, and when slain, crumbled where it stood into a pile of bones, feet firm in the ground.
Los Fortuna’s natural history museum was built around this monster’s remains, and Sir Aurel would turn its golden coat into a ceremonial weapon. The power these symbols were imbued with, even with their old purposes lost, were of great importance to the city’s stability.
Scenario:
Outside Los Fortuna’s Natural History Museum, Early Evening
In the blink of an eye, the attention of everyone within Los Fortuna had been turned to the natural history museum. That made sense, of course - considering the looming dark clouds containing the ghosts of the dead within them, the scuffles of the stand users outside of the building, and the vague knowledge that a ritual with the purpose of destroying fate itself was currently being performed within it, it would be out of the ordinary for people to not be paying it any attention. Even those who weren’t stand users that were up to date with the situation were drawn to it by the unusual level of activity surrounding it, from emergency services and VALKYRIE forces alike.
And then there was Bert. They were invested in the whole situation, of course - keeping up with the latest reality-breaking ancient rituals was the least that a wannabe god like them could do. Their status as an observer did raise a few eyebrows - they’d had to shake off both emergency service workers and VALKYRIE forces, who’d both taken the time to try and encourage Bert to leave the area for their own safety, clearly underestimating Bert’s own prowess.
Within the chaos, one could be excused for not failing to notice the drones Bert had been sending around to overhear and oversee it all. First, they paid attention to the chief of security at VALKYRIE, Ugo McBasie, who seemed to be getting interviewed by someone from the Fortuna Hermod, an ODIN-owned news publication (not their usual guy at scenes like this… Wonder what happened to him). Bert had heard that the man was a violent and irresponsible meathead who’d caused plenty of trouble in the past, but he seemed to be keeping a thin veil of professionalism for now. However, Bert couldn’t help but notice a young man in a blue aviator cap standing a few meters behind the reporter and staring daggers at him, perhaps keeping him in check somehow, occasionally piping in for comment about how it was all they could do to surround the place and wait for an opening if they didn’t want a meat grinder on their hands.
Meanwhile, Los Fortuna’s own city council chairman, Raymond Delwin Shimizu was discussing something of note with someone else, who seemed to have just finished an interview of his own. Bert didn’t recognize him, but the interviewer had called him “Chief Prosecutor Cavallo”, and she seemed as if she knew what she was talking about, so Bert opted to believe her. The interviewer, Jillian Something-or-other, had been running all over the scene, trying to get interviews alongside her oversized cameraman Bert recognized as having been that really huge cop who used to hang around Aurelio a lot of the time not successfully doing his job. Not worth Bert’s time.
Cavallo scratched his head in frustration. “Chairman, please tell me that you’ve made progress of some kind here...”
Ray shook his head. “Not much. That stand user that’s working alongside Jack Aurel, Akiko Mizushima, is making it impossible to get in - anyone we do send in is as good as gone. We haven’t even been able to get Admiral Pineapples out. Judging by your demeanor, I assume that the board hasn’t made much progress either.”
“No, doesn’t seem like it.” Cavallo let out a long sigh. “Every day, it’s just more and more work… Now we’re stuck having to deal with this. If nothing’s done, the board’s thinking it might very well cause a disaster unmatched by… Well, anything but the earthquake from thirty years ago. Something like this, bending the rules of the city, and breaking free from it… Los Fortuna’s probably not going to let that slide easily.” He shook his head. “Where the hell is the mayor through all this? Watching anime at home or something, probably.”
Ray remained silent for a bit, thinking to himself. “Well, we’ve got emergency services ready to act for now, and we’re working on evacuating any susceptible areas, but it only works so much.” Before Cavallo could respond, another reporter came up to Raymond, ready with a batch of questions for him. “Well, Cavallo, our work isn’t done yet, so let’s get to it. Saving as many people as possible here should be our utmost priority.” And with that, the two men parted ways for the time being.
Having listened enough, Bert began thinking to themselves. This was a tricky situation - they clearly couldn’t get in as is, but they certainly wanted to. Learning more about the situation at hand would improve their knowledge of the mechanisms holding Los Fortuna together, and gaining control over the ritual somehow would certainly be a feat befitting of a god such as them.
Bert stood in front of the museum entrance, taking another look at the chaos in front of them and continuing to think about the next step they’d take. So many different possibilities, so little time. They thought, and thought, and then one of their drones’ eyes glanced upon someone familiar - a blue haired, red eyed woman wearing a mask, trying to blend in and clearly resenting it, skulking around the perimeter of the area as though she, too, wished to enter.
Yet despite her efforts, Bert recognized her.
“Emilie ‘Dread’ Delacroix!” They declared it loudly, thoughtlessly so, approaching her with a hand raised. “Are you perhaps looking to find a crevasse through which to enter that place as well? It’s quite fortified, isn’t it?”
“Hm?” She wasn’t bothered by the way Bert drew attention to her, still wearing her same very extra outfit under the also quite extra hooded dark robe she was using to blend in. “Ah, pardon me dearly for having failed to notice you… You are Bert, from that incident where we fought on equal terms, yes?”
“I am that same Bert, Emilie ‘Dread’ Delacroix, yes. Though I doubt I could be much mistaken for others…”
“We are both quite conspicuous individuals, yes,” Dread said, taking the conversation into a nearby alley before VALKYRIE goons on the scene could prove it was her, “but no, I’m not terribly nonplussed about my abilities to infiltrate that place… Simply, I am attempting to assess the probability by which my approach itself, through the barricades erected, might occur. If your intentions happen to be helping me sneak through, then it is simply not necessary on any fronts… I have formulated a plan now.”
Dread, now appearing alone, walked through that alley curiously, looking around her and beginning to see her opportunity of approach - there appeared to be a side door there, at which a certain fish-themed hero was sitting outside, looking, Dread knew from their DMs, at funny images of her wife atop the T-Rex skull in the museum.
Yes, certainly, this would be-
“Whoa, hey, it’s you!”
Damnable. Had she been spotted, or..?
No, no, wait. The one speaking, a man also in this alleyway who smelled of cannabis, holding what looked like a GAP bag, was speaking to someone on the opposite side of it, disembarking from a sportbike and handing it to the rider, who was wearing a very ornate-looking golden sword which Dread had sworn she’d seen somewhere before.
“Thanks,” the Black Angel told this young man, accepting the bag and producing its contents - a Roman helmet and black bird-looking tokusatsu cosplay? “Green couldn’t make it himself, huh?”
“I made it,” the guy said, pointing proudly to himself, before blinking. “Oh, you mean like… Showing up. Yeah, no, there was a thing with a mammoth coming down from the mountains, he’s helping East deal with that. Feel like lighting up before you go in? It’ll take the edge off..!”
The rider removed their helmet, coincidentally perfectly timed for the strawberry-blonde with pale blue eyes to stare him down incredulously. “About a million people live on this island, Weedboy. Now is not the time…” The Angel ducked into the nearby building to change, finishing, “shit, yeah, it looks just like the Flying Men do… uh. you should get out of here now.”
“You kidding?” He asked. “I don’t wanna bow out right before it gets good! That’s, like, saying I think you can’t do it!”
Well, these two appeared distracted, so Dread would continue along her way, walking right past them and towards the blockade, towards where Jo was sitting casually, only to be interrupted by-
“Holy shit, it really is her! Stop right there, Dread!”
Oh boy, here we go. This had been happening more lately, since a somewhat frustrating individual went and opened his big mouth about her dangers on Bifrost. Turned out that the head of VALKYRIE was literally in the server, so now she had a bounty on her head after a modicum of investigation into her after that public statement, and her casual admittance thereof!
Two armored guards were pointing guns at her as she stood there, unfazed.
“Don’t come any closer!” One of them, an older woman, said, turning to her younger partner and quickly telling him, “if she approaches, open fire. She’ll eat you alive if not!”
“This again, are you being serious?” Dread was less than pleased. “I am evil, and a murderer, unrepentantly so, yes, but I do not eat people. This rumor is being so blown out of proportion that I find it quite tiresome.”
“F-fuck off and die!” The younger moved to fire his weapon, only to realize there was a knife through him, catching the gun by the trigger after running from his shoulderblade to his fingertip.
Dread didn’t need the help, but like a true friend, Kimijo Kaneko offered it anyway
“Wh-what the-” The older woman cursed as her partner was cut open and dropped. “Fucking useless moron! HEY, EVERYONE, KANEKO BROKE RANK AND DREAD IS HERE TO! NOW’S OUR CHANCE TO-”
The distraction, then, was all it took for Dread to take her first kill of the day. Of course it was fine. She read the news, she knew how these VALKYRIE people were literally at war with poor people.
“Sh-shit, those people just died! More VALKYRIE corpses, and Jo again..!” The stoner declared in the background, and the Black Angel, now dressed exactly like the birdmen many had seen before, paused in her efforts to run past the opening created by Jo breaking formation.
Nobody could hear it or see her lips move, but she apologized under her breath, clenching her fist, but the disguise had worked. 32 Footsteps, the primary guard which would warp away anyone who tried to enter, apparently had instructions to allow in anybody dressed like this, yet none of the intended recipients of this deliberate loophole made their way in.
“Dread, hello, friend!” Jo exclaimed in high spirits, sheathing her knife, but still speaking quietly as she hurried back into place, “good to see you!”
“Yes, it is most certainly fortuitous for us to encounter one another…” Dread agreed, walking and talking with her as the pair were watched in horror. “By any chance, may I come into this museum? I am absolutely curiously intrigued by what is going on within here…”
“Sure!”
A VALKYRIE sniper was taking aim at Dread, then, as she entered, muttering under her breath, “got a shot lined up… I can take her out, and Jo a second later! Two bastards out of the way, at least, and-”
“Wait,” the youth in a blue aviator hat and goggles, speaking as VALKYRIE’s tactician, instructed, “hold your fire.”
“Sir, she just made one of our senior officers fall into rotten pieces! She’s chatting it up with this fish-bitch like it’s nothing!”
“I know, and I’m appalled too, but I think…” The Blue Kid paused, contemplatively. “No, I know it. Dread is here to defeat John Aurel, just like the Black Angel.”
Spinning and pivoting through the air, “Lou” Reed, dressed like a dark, sixth Flying Man, landed atop the skull of the t-rex, which had apparently been adorned in a cute little pirate hat. It made for a fine vantage point, then, to look all over the halls of the Natural History museum, noting one, two, three, four spots, grotesque and morbid statues Remix had apparently erected of ghostly abominations.
She was exhausted, injured from the three-way skirmish she, Metra, and Oh No had been forced to undergo and riding like hell to get here, but she had made it this far, and others had managed to get in too. She couldn’t choke now.
Seven minutes… I’ll just have to destroy those, and be back here in seven minutes. Easy enough… I don’t think I’ve been-
“Green, Orange, and Purple… I don’t believe a ‘Flying Man Black’ was ever mentioned, nor that any of the brothers were into swords.”
Shit. That voice, too… Lou turned around, then, seeing someone standing behind her, a man with long dark hair, brandishing a hammer and looking up at her.
John “Jack” Aurel.
“Even if you are what you appear to be and not in disguise, you should realize that you aren’t welcome here. There’s nothing to be done in this museum worth dying for, and no way to accomplish any more foolish goal if I were to raise attention now. Care to waste some of the time you have left and explain?”
Of course this would happen. Lou removed her faux-beak, helmet, and goggles, staring down at him as her hair billowed in the ceiling fans’ wind. “Jack… I’ve come here to put a stop to this.”
“You’re that kid who’s always running around, huh?” Jack frowned, twirling his hammer. “I hear what you talk about through the grapevine… About how we’re all victims of fate, forced against each other by Gravity. That Stand Users are always going to be molded by this… You understand it too. You understand that people like us prey upon the weak, that it’s in our natures and our place in the world. I want to remove myself from that… Remove these people from that, and atone for what I’ve done.”
“By killing even more people! There’s no way they’ll get everyone away from your blast radius, and you haven’t even given them the chance to!” Lou protested. “It doesn’t have to be this way… Don’t say this is how it has to be! We can save this place, free everyone from gravity, without barreling towards its destruction! I don’t want to kill you, Jack. I want you to stop this crazy, self-indulgent crap and help me do something real!”
“You think everyone deserves this? That Stand Users will simply reform without this? The cycle has started, and it will push to the end even if the wave guiding it fades away completely… Bastards, the lot of us, and I don’t intend to run from what I’ve done. I’ll give you one chance to run away, kid… the worst I can call you is naive.”
Lou drew the golden blade, seeing Jack wince as he clearly recognized its significance, all as her Stand appeared behind her. “We both know I can’t do that, even if I can barely keep my balance up here. And hey, maybe I will die here… Maybe I am fated not to see this through. But then, someone is gonna finish this for me! Your security is already compromised!”
“Fascinating… And you are utterly convinced that, should it work, those he’s slain to commence this ritual to begin with will return outside the city?”
“Remix is full of himself,” Jo said, nodding quietly, “but he and Jack, they researched a lot… Akiko and I, for helping this finish, we can finally go home! Be done with the bad city…”
“She has made this place remarkably impregnable,” Dread agreed, thinking aloud, “anyone who waltzes in waltzes into her backrooms…”
“Unless they have a ‘pass!’” A voice from within Dread’s cloak spoke, and as Jo raised her knife at it in defense, the pure-white, terribly contorted form of Bert tumbled onto the ground, stretching and reshaping into their typical humanlike shape.
“Don’t worry, don’t worry, they are fine, with me!” Dread assured Jo, frankly thankful to have that weight literally off her back. Bert was very light, but even then it was hard to walk carrying someone, let alone not give it away. “We have… Some history, and so I thought I might as well indulge Bert’s request to see this place as well. I apologize for not mentioning earlier, but it was quite dire getting in here past guards attacking us.”
Jo didn’t seem to mind, continuing to lead the pair around, even passing Akiko who was casually, distractedly reading some manga while in a bit of a pirate mood.
They also passed by another scene, slightly more concerning, of an injured old man in a Hawaiian Shirt, close by the frontmost entrance of the place and clutching himself as his fleet of four Stand-starships remaining fired at Remix, who guarded against it with ghost-objects while a Flying Man Red tried to find an opening to strike.
“You’ve been at this for hours, old man, die already! You have no place in the world I mean to birth from your bloodied, pulped remains!”
Pineapples stood, then, leaning against the wall, trying not to show weakness.
“I think that guy is going to lose, at this rate… It’s a shame, too,” Bert, the loudmouth again, remarked. “He might have been a worthwhile pawn in wrestling control away from this operation.”
Dread, Jo, Remix, and Red all gave Bert simultaneous incredulous looks, all in completely unique ways.
Jo drew her knife again, about to transform, only to dodge out of the way of the injured ‘Lou’ Reed, blacked out, helmetless, being knocked away and into the floor, the shock of which made her rise quickly, feeling around. “Where’s the- Shit!” As she sat up, then, feeling around for the saber no longer in her possession, she noticed that she was smack in the middle of something else here.
Hurriedly, she rolled away, standing herself up and looking to the injured Admiral. “You… You’re one of those MFAs, right? How did you-?”
Weakly, he gestured to Remix. “He brought me here in a damned urn! I’ve been fending them off to buy others in the museum time to escape… Everyone in this hall here and Jack, those are the only ones left in the building, minus masses and masses of ghosts. They’re harmless, though… Don’t worry about them attacking unless that guy takes them.”
“I see…” Lou, then, smiled sadly, clutching her bloodied suit. She looked to Bert and Dread, then, moving to get between them and Jack’s incredulous accomplices. “You said you wanted to take him out, right? I overheard…”
“Well, Bert has let yet another cat out of the bag,” Dread admitted, “indeed, I came here with the intent of dethroning Jack Aurel before he had a chance to complete his little ritual. Few others would even be able to get in here.”
“So that’s my role, then…” Lou smiled, then, sighing, ducking out of the way of the Flying Man sending a kick her way, a gauntlet-clad arm emerging from her body, grabbing his ankle hard, and swinging him into the Jo who was shocked to hear Dread say that. “I can’t do anything about Jack… Too fucked up from that ED match…” She grinned, then, mouth bleeding as she stared Remix down. “But this old man and I can at least keep these assholes from interfering!”
Dread, then, watched passively as the five erupted into battle, she and Bert curious about what was to come as, from each hand, the Stand which emerged seemed to fire odd projectiles at their foes. “The ‘I’ll hold them off…’ You’re styling yourself as some sort of exceptional hero, aren’t you?” She seemed amused by that, the irony of their cooperation. “I’m evil, you know… And Bert, at least, is morally ambiguous. But if you’ve settled on putting the city in our hands, have you any advice?”
Over the sounds of laser fire, Lou quickly found time to answer, “yeah, there’s… I brought this golden ‘saber’ with me, and it must’ve fallen somewhere by the T-Rex… In, in a bit over six minutes from now, this ritual of theirs is gonna go through and rip this island open. Before that… They have these ‘failsafe’ statue things, and…” She took a breath, retracting and wincing from a blow her Stand had taken. “Look, I don’t have time to explain it, but you need to smash those up first! They’re there, made up of spirits fused together, to keep these guys safe from the consequences of their own actions… To ensure their safety, and at the same time act as a ‘failsafe’ for the ritual. Gives you the ‘power’ over it, too, in the way that right now Jack himself does… That’s important to stopping it. So you need to smash them first, and then, right as the time passes for the ritual, when the skull of the T-Rex in the center starts to split open and glow and its mouth starts gushing water… Embed the sword into the opening in its forehead, right as it starts to shape. That’s the only way to prevent this at this stage!”
“The forehead particularly, hmm?” Bert asked, pacing curiously and avoiding a cross split attack from Red, who barreled into Lou and was barely blocked. “Why there, per se? Why nowhere else on the thing?”
“Ngh..!” Lou grunted, saved from a follow-up by Pineapples. “I dunno, that’s just where you have to do it!”
“Black Angel… That’s what you’re called, yes?” Dread smiled, turning away. “You will be thanked for this victory… Try to live long enough to witness it firsthand, won’t you?”
“I’d… I’d love to,” Lou answered, smiling sadly, “for five years now, when I first learned there was anything worth a damn in this world, I’ve wanted to protect that… The dark pit of despair that was the first thirteen years of my life, and even so much since, I’d love nothing more than a world where no person is fated beyond impossible odds to suffer that.” She grew serious, then, raising her voice. “Go, now! Leave this to us!”
Bert and Dread approached the T-Rex, impressed at the amazing height and Akiko’s snazzy pirate duds upon the thing, the lab-grown being whistling with impression. “A T-Rex lived ‘til three-hundred years ago… Preserved whole, in this city. It’s astonishing, isn’t it, Emilie ‘Dread’ Delacroix?”
“A curious anomaly,” Dread agreed, examining it from afar, even noticing that alleged sword in the distance. “I wonder why it survived that long, so far after its brethren…”
“It’s because it was a ‘Stand User.’”
Jack approached from the same room in which Dread spotted glints of the golden saber, announcing his presence with that. “That was its ‘fate…’ A savage, cunning animal, ripped from where it belonged. to be a problem to solve and squabble over, to found this city on its literal bones.”
“John ‘Jack’ Aurel… You’d best stand down.” Bert, helpfully, started. “You cannot beat us… Even if we only had seconds to overcome you, I would be too much for you to handle!”
“No, he’s going to fight, I know it.” Dread, meanwhile, prepared Joywave, staring him down with a pointed, grinning lethality. “I suppose introductions are not necessary, with how Bert here loves to say my full name… I am not one to make things curt or brief, John, but consider yourself toppled, usurped, bloodied and dead.”
“The lab accident with a God complex and by far the worst, most grisly of Jo’s friends…” With no real amusement, no happiness in his eyes, Jack chuckled, looking them over. “Of course, right at the end, my final test isn’t some hero… It’s exactly the worst kind of Stand User! The apex predators that I’ve preyed upon, that stand in the way of saving everyone who’s died to reach this point! Of course it would be someone like me to gain entry, wouldn’t it?”
“You speak with such confidence you’ll raise the dead…” Bert was curious. “Even if it costs more lives, such a thing is… That is the realm of gods, John ‘Jack’ Aurel.”
“Not today it’s not,” Jack answered, twirling his hammer in his hand. “Both of you… You’ve been driven here, standing in my way, as agents of ‘fate’ itself. Isn’t that the reason you were ‘lucky’ enough to pass through our defenses… Because you were meant to stand here, and you were meant to watch as every horrible, cruel thing you’ve done amounts to nothing in the face of these circumstances.”
He looks the two intruders over with sympathy for a moment, before steeling himself and clenching his weapon, Stand appearing behind him just as stone-faced. “You may be the puppet of something beyond your control, but you must understand that I can’t let you ruin the plan I’ve bet my life on. I bear you no anger as people, but your role here is something I can’t ignore. I’ll waste our time no longer in arguing ethics, let there be no apologies or restraint until this is settled.”
The other conspirators had been instructed not to intervene if it came to this point, even if it risked the collapse of everything they had worked for. Not if it threatened lives. An enemy to make it this far was deserving of being dealt with reasonably. As the critical moment drew near, Jack readied all the fury that months of waiting had stored within him, and accepted that this may very well be his final true fight.
“Five minutes on the dot now, until ‘that time…’ If what the Black Angel said is true.” Dread looked to Bert. “What do you say we demonstrate incontrovertibly to John exactly how confused he truly is?”
OPEN THE GAME!
(Image credit to CaptainSpooky27!)
Location: A part of the Los Fortuna’s Natural History Museum. The area here is 75 by 75 meters with each tile being 5 by 5 meters. The ceilings here are 8 meters tall. The yellow tiles are the hallways and the green and purple tiles form the different rooms.
The white tiles have ritual shrines built on those areas. There are 7 shrines total and will be explained in further detail in the additional information.
The players start at the south of the map and Jack starts at the top of the map as represented by their tokens. The walls are represented by thicker borders and the dotted lines are the doorways.
At the top of the map, in the pink tile and yellow symbols, is the Golden Sword. It is currently pinned under 2 meters of rubble.
Each wing of the museum houses an exhibit, in the center is the main attraction a large T-Rex in display as denoted by the large grey circle.
The other exhibits are denoted by the letter on them:
  • G: The geologic exhibit, displaying and teaching about different rock formations and types
  • O: The two Oceanic exhibits, displaying the marine life and seabed of Los Fortuna.
  • C: The climatography exhibit, displaying the different temperature maps and features across Los Fortuna.
  • A: The Agricultural exhibit, displaying the various fruits and crops grown around Los Fortuna.
  • T: The two Taxidermy exhibits, displaying a wide range of animals in roped off and glass displays.
  • E:The Entomology exhibit, displaying photos and models of various bugs.
Goal: For the players, desecrate all the shrines and, when time runs out, have at least one of you, living and conscious, at the T-Rex with the golden sword in hand! For Jack, make sure the players don’t stop your ritual before it goes off!
The match will last exactly five minutes, unless of course players are dead before then. It doesn’t end just because players reach the goal.
Additional Information:
The shrines are 2 meter tall marked wood and metal structures, each having an strange carve effigy sitting in the center of them. In order to properly desecrate a shrine the players can do one of a few things, destroy the shrine outright, deface all the carvings made into the shrine, or destroy the effigy hidden within the shrine.
After destroying or defacing a shrine, the ghosts of the dead will begin harassing the players - three ghosts will move towards the player responsible for destroying the shrine (even in a situation where the stands are responsible: the ghosts will target Bert if a Perfect Hair minion destroys a shrine, and same for if anything affected by Joywave does so). These aren't strong, having flat 222 physicals and being partially see-through, but will increase in numbers as more and more shrines are destroyed. Strong enough hits can phase them out of existence, but they'll respawn ten seconds after at the spot that they previously were. They will go directly towards the players and can phase through any walls or objects that may be in their paths (but not out of any attacks), grabbing onto the players and trying to gang up on them once they're close enough to do so, dealing minor damage.
Team Combatant JoJolity
Red Carpet Rennaisance Emilie "Dread" Delacroix "Wow! It's a hand drawn original color illustration!" You’re a cultured woman, and this museum might very well end up being wiped off of the face of the earth quite soon, so you need to make the most of it while you still can! Make sure to visit and appreciate the various exhibits on display here! (Character Specific)
Suburban Regalia Bert "What a terrible person. If I wrote about someone like you, none of my readers would like it." So this man is playing at god, trying to control life, death, and fate themselves? What foolishness! Clearly, only you can do such things, and you do them best! Over the course of the strategy, prove your superiority to this “Jack Aurel“ and take him down a notch! (Character Specific)
??? Jack Aurel "Where the hell did you go?! Come out, you fucker!" It's now or never. This is the culmination of all of your plans, and failing is absolutely not an option here. During the fight, hold nothing back, and make sure to thoroughly defeat your opponents so that no one and nothing will ever stand in your way again!
(Jack sheet plain text version)
Link to the Official Player Spreadsheet
Link to Match Schedule
As always, if you would like to interact with the tournament community and be among the first to get updates for the tournament, please feel free to PM a member of our Judge staff for an invite to our Official Discord Server!
submitted by boredCommentator to StardustCrusaders [link] [comments]

AITA for “cheating” my family out of hundreds of dollars?

I have a giant family. My mom and my dad both have a lot of siblings and they’re also both the youngest in their families. This means I’m nearly the youngest of over 20 cousins. We all live close so we throw gigantic family get togethers. All the time.
My grandparents own a pretty big ranch just outside of town. They’re not rich by any means, but land is cheap out here and they’ve owned the property for a long time. Because these gatherings sometimes attract upwards of 40 people, their ranch has been the venue of choice for as long as I can remember.
My uncles are all stereotypically masculine dudes, as are a lot of my older cousins, so our rendezvous generally revolve around sports, grilling, and gambling. Gambling isn’t exactly my cup of tea, but I participate for the sake of being social. I usually lose a fair bit of money because I don’t play cards or know sports teams as well as everybody else. It’s gotten to the point where it’s become a reoccurring joke amongst family members.
Well this time around we have an especially large gathering. So large that It’s determined there’s too many people to coordinate our typical gambling games. To make things simpler, my aunt comes up with an idea. She fills a jar full of beans and places it high up on the mantle. She tells us it’s $20 a guess and whoever guesses closest to the number of beans inside gets to take home all the money.
For whatever reason this new form of betting got everyone in an especially adversarial spirit. Almost all of the adults participated and many even made multiple guesses to increase their odds.
Remember how I’m typically ignorant when it comes to gambling? Well this time I was in my element. I could tell the jar was a typical 64oz mason jar, which a quick Google search told me was 116 cubic inches in volume. I also found that a bean was about 0.15 cubic inches. Divide the jar by the beans and I got 773. Then I assumed 20% of it was air, which left me with ~619 beans. To be safe, I made two bets: one for 610 and the other for 630.
As I’m making my bet, people are giving me crap like “it’d be easier if you just gave it directly to me” and all the other usual ball busting, but I just smile and say nothing. Some can tell something’s up and continue to give me grief for the rest of the night.
After probably 40 minutes of interrupted counting, my aunt informed everyone that not only had I won, but both of my guesses were closer than anybody else’s.
At first everybody was super happy for me, laughing about how lucky I am. One of the suspicious cousins from earlier asked how I did it, so I told everyone my strategy. Immediately I could see people’s faces start to sour. One of my uncles said “that’s bullshit” and left the room.
It ended up being nearly $1100. My parents tell me that I should offer to return it because I didn’t earn it fairly. I argue that I had all the same information as everybody else.
AITA for keeping the money?
submitted by acalculatedgambler to AmItheAsshole [link] [comments]

Watching The Challenge for the first time and documenting it as I go. (Part 8: Good god these keep getting longer)

Free Agents
Just when I think these write-ups and live reactions couldn't get any longer, I go and watch possibly my new favorite season. Can definitely see why I've been told so much about this being a great run of seasons, this one was a blast to watch and had a great cast from the jump. Jump to the end for an overall thoughts and tl/dr version of my thoughts on the season as a whole. Also have a bit at the end about the Jordan vs Bananas feud that might be controversial so check that out as well.
Other parts if you feel like checking the previous ones out:
Part 1: Fresh Meat - Duel 2
Part 2: The Ruins
Part 3: Fresh Meat 2
Part 4: Cutthroat and Rivals
Part 5: Battle of the Exes
Part 6: Battle of the Seasons
Part 7: Rivals 2
EP 1:
Individual competitors?
Johnny and Frank again...yay...
Jonna/Jasmine fourth season in a row?
Johnny just being called Bananas now?
If Sarah isn't on this season of individual competitors I'll be pissed.
"Whether you like how I play the game oor not, I play it well." Frank off to a great and humble start.
Laurel!, but the wrong Emily :/ I wanna see these two compete.
Fuck that's a lot of people.
God dammit, Pennsetucky again?!
Nice to see David again.
I see no Sarah...
CT showing up with a beard and looking not interested at all?
This Challenge house looks more like a silicon valley office.
Big dude with mohawk seems like he could come in and make an impact.
God damn Jasmine. Coming in strong. "I want dick and balls, all day every day."
"Not Johnny bananas, ewww" Nany speaking truth.
I don't have a girlfriend, but I made a pact with Heather. What in the fuck?!
I swear Johnny is wearing the shirt he wore from the Rivals 2 reunion on this first episode of Free Agents.
This house seems like they'll have a lot more to actually do with free time.
I forgot Laurel and Cara made kind of a bond over Rivals 1. Laurel comes off as a bitch a lot, but I like her.
This Jessica chick is kind of annoying instantly.
Heights being the first challenge makes me instantly remember Casey. Does Casey ever come back? lol
I still have to feel out how this challenge exactly works. I'm a tiny bit confused on the structure.
Nia seems like she's definitely getting the better of the teams.
Johnny and Laurel instantly taking the lead on assigning roles.
"There are no genders in this stairwell. Just bodies and elbows being thrown."
Ok, these challenges are starting off rough!
How the hell is Frank so ahead when they're chained together?
Latoya looks like she regrets her life choices.
When did CT become the guy you put on puzzles?!!?
Damn, Brandon almost clutched it out!
"Speed is an issue." Proceeds to babystep.
Good on Jessica. Went faster across the rolling platform than you did the stationary one.
It's all up to Pennsetucky! And she fails miserably.
I'm liking that the politics is hard on this season instantly. Johnny wants the strong people out, but is afraid to throw the names out. The rest are thinking they want the weak people out. Johnny definitely has the better idea of things.
Ok, now that I see how this season's concept works I really like it. Basically the only safety is the winning team or the winning people. So politicks still matter, but there is a randon draw aspect that puts everyone up for grabs.
The only thing I'm not sure I like, is how is the order of you picking your board determined?
Jimmye going in! Wooo! Next up, please be Frank!
YESSSSSSSSSSSSS Frank is going in! Is this his first ever elimination in 3 Challenges? I feel like he hasn't been in any before? He wussed out on the one he was supposed to go in on Seasons?
Damn Chet. That chin!
Fucking dammit Chet. Why couldn't you just take Frank out! Damn you Chet, you disappointment.
These girls just suck. They're all talking up their strength and speed but neither of them seem to have stopping power or grip.
Goodbyeeeee Pennsetucky! At least one of her or Frank was able to leave.
2:
Weird to start the episode with an establishing montage, but with a whole ton of blurred faces.
I really like Cohutta.
"I think Jasmine just wore her regular clothes." Is Jasmine the new Tonya? They said this same exact thing about Tonya on Fresh Meat lol
Some weird no-hands kissing. Followed immediately by Emilee just throwing herself at Dustin. Damn Dustin, having to beat these women off with a stick.
Guy-Girl pairs? The race for Laurel commences.
Why the sudden name change to "Bananas"? Lol it's dumb.
Swift picking Theresa? Nia goes next?! Laurel goes all the way to Cohutta? Damn
I anticipate Camilla yelling the shit out of Preston.
Leaving this comp up to knowing how to drive stick shift is shitty, but also hilarious.
Dustin, give the chick directions. You're literally just screaming "Nany" over and over again.
Emilee seems awful. Why couldn't we get the other Emily(I forgot Laurel and Emily were on Cutthroat lol) on the same season as Laurel?
Did they call Johnny Bananas simply because there is another Johnny on this season? This challenge is literally all Johnny screaming.
Did the guys have to be the ones driving? I saw a couple girls nod at knowing how to drive stick but haven't seen any driving yet?
There was just a quick cut through scene that didn't get near enough attention. Jasmine is on the bar shaking her ass and Dustin's face is close to her ass with his tongue out. What's not getting attention is Jessica like 2 feet behind them just standing there awkwardly waiting for Dustin to direct his attention back to her lmao
Nany calling Emilee a slut seems like the pot calling the kettle black. How many guys did she get with in Rivals 2? I ain't slut shaming, girl do what you want. But don't sling shit.
Laurel seems way more layed back and chill this season.
How the hell does CT end up getting stuck with all of the bar tab but also ends up catching shit from Camila and Nany?!
The Camila tornado lol
God damn these people get so god damn angry over nothing. Screaming and yelling at each other 3 hours later lmao
Neither even understand what is going on. These people get drunk and become psychotic.
Oh wait...is its pairs only the winning pair picks the two competing? Not all the top half? Oh shit! I really like this game mode. I wish there was just some extra layer to the randomness aspect.
Frank in again! Wooo! Hopefully Dustin doesn't quit out like Chet.
Eh, I actually think Frank has the advantage in this Elim. Damn.
Goodbye the lesser Emilee
Damn, I still gotta deal with Frank.
Dustin constantly saying "Little" Jessica weirds me out.
3:
That dude has a jiggly butt...
Leave Frank, LEAVE!!!! Please, dammit, please!
Dammit, he's sticking it out.
I swear I feel like I've seen this Isaac dude before.
Oh shit, someone about to get kicked? Frank?????
HAHA Johnny scooting away from Frank when TJ says he's contagious.
"They just saw the winner of this challenge walking away." Ugh, Frank shut up. You're not undefeated, you didn't win Rivals 2.
Nia goes around the house in her underwear and sucks her thumb? Damn, Isaac doesn't even look at her lmao
Preston and Latoya are literally kissing the wall at one point.
I know CT and Cara and all them went first, but how in the hell did they barely make it half way to everyone completing it with plenty of time?
Why the hell is Johnny talking shit on Jordan? lol He tried to readjust with one hand and dropped it. How is that show and bravado? Just holdover from Rivals with him and Marlon being on a run?
I hate the way Johnny and Camilla talk about their choices constantly. "You need to go in and prove yourself." or "I hate being around and seeing people avoiding going in when they should be going in." and all this shit. Just get rid of who you want and save who you want. Quit trying to color all this bullshit on it.
Why does he keep saying "That symbol" why can't he just say the skull and crossbones? Or the death symbol, or literally anything?
"Shut the fuck up Johnny!" I don't care how much shit people talk about Cara, or how whiny she is, I like her.
Johnny being the only one rooting for a rookie while his main strategy at all times is Rookies go in first. Johnny, the class act.
Everyone cheering Cara and Johnny comes in with "You're alright Nia, you didn't move!"
Don't go up and immediately hug Johnny! Damn you Cara!
I love the unabashed love that Laurel has for Cara now. These chicks hated each other and after Rivals you'd think they were siblings.
4:
I kept thinking the CBS all access image for the challenge was Johnny staring down Natalie Negrotti, but now looking at it, I'm wondering if it's Cara... I don't actually know if Natalie is ever even on The Challenge.
When did MTV get so sensitive with blurring out ass cheeks?
How can you come in to the challenge house and be mad about people hooking up in a different bed in the same room? That seems like standard operating procedure. So much so that people even hang up blankets and towels on the bunk beds? Aneesa just seems to more dislike Laurel lol
Bananas being great in this challenge
Isaac mentions a gameplan, but seems to do the exact opposite of what he was saying? lol "I'm going to sit back until I can get a few one on ones." Immediately runs ahead of everyone.
I need to mention again how much I love the Free Agents challenge style. Different teams and design every episode is great.
Jordan randomly talking shit... It's Bananas against like 5, who cares if it's girls, he can't do shit. Is this the start of the Jordan heel turn?
Isaac not even being able to stand up is hilarious.
Swift falling off his chair lmao
Aneesa and Laurel clearly have some beef. Jessica being a SNITCH! lol
Why are we arguing about the very first challenge? lol Jessica did one good thing and she's relying on that to talk shit? lol
Aneesa is definitely hoping to get by more by being a vet.
Jordan voting for Latoya twice? That goes against what Aneesa was trying to bitch about.
Latoya going off lol They seriously must not be showing something about Jordan. Everyone is getting annoyed as hell with him. Either that, or Johnny is just poisoning the house on him. Which I could also see.
Latoya saying it's because Jordan didn't tell her, but did everyone else? lol what?
Why are they acting like Jordan flipped out on them? What in the hell are they talking about? Latoya went off on Jordan. lol What am I missing? Why is it all hanging on only Jordan for his vote?
Fuck, Brandon had to get Zach. God dammit. Brandon seriously can't catch a break.
Least it's a speed challenge. Think Brandon may have an upper hand.
Cara kicking ass.
Damn, bummer to see Brandon go so quick again. I swear we have not been able to see the actual potential of Brandon.
How can you hate how Laurel plays the game? She literally learned from Kenny and Johnny?
5:
Johnny just seems to like calling people cocky. He said the same shit about Wes, CT, and all kinds of players in the past.
Theresa has been the first or second girl picked every time. When did Theresa become the expected comp beast?
Preston keeps getting picked last, but keeps ending up on the winning team.
CT covering Laurel's mouth lmao Don't give the apposing team tips!
Well the commercial tease just gave away who won. Devyn seems to be going in and Theresa had something to do with it?
"The thing I like about going second..." Yes we hear it every episode, we get itttttt
I feel like editing has it out for Jordan. I hear people talk more about Jordan's attitude than we have really seen at all. Johnny talking about him being "Mr Tryhard, and I can do anything you can do but better." really hasn't come across at all.
The gloves really seemed like a disadvantage. Multiple people seemed to slip because of their gloves and Preston takes his off to get better grip.
Hahahah Cohutta telling Johnny to just worry about drying off! I love it.
Guess the commercial teaser didn't give away the winners.
Cara instantly wanting to call for Johnny! Do it!
Wait, when did it suddenly become Preston and Laurel? It was Johnny! Who the hell said Preston!?!
All the guys on the losing team are strong except Preston, you'd be stupid to vote Preston in.
Theresa you pussy bitch! lol
Ok, Laurel you're acting way too much like hot shit walking up there. Someone's gotta catch votes, suck it up.
Why didn't they do the blind votes like in Cutthroat for this season. No diliberations or team meetings, just make it a true individual game and hidden votes?
See, Bananas at least openly accepting catching votes. He says "Finally" when Cara votes for him. He doesn't get all pissy, doesn't stare people down, just accepts it. That is a Johnny Bananas I want to see!
Though he does instantly talk up all kinds of shit about Jordan, again nothing of which we have really seen. He more just seems like he has a problem with Johnny.
Devyn, don't say "hashtag", this isn't 2014. Oh wait...
I would literally be flabbergasted at Johnny or Laurel going home right now. Laurel most of all. Johnny could get a bad draw with CT or something.
How does order of picking your card go? CT has picked first with guys every time?
TJ: "CT's card is blank, congratulations Bananas." TJ is great.
I love CT but he doesn't seem to have his normal killer mentality this season. Is this the beginning of the end for CT? He got his win so his heart isn't in it anymore? Mind you these challenges haven't really been his strong suit, but still. He seems way more laid back than usual.
Gooooodbye Jasmine. Your luck sucks. She's already crying.
Isaac vs Bananas could be a good match. My bets on Johnny though.
Wonder if they determined the face masks they were using was the cause of Chet's cut. They suddenly aren't using face masks this time around.
Laurel looking like she's tossing around a toddler lmao This shit's just unfair, someone call child protective services!
Cara: "This is sad." hahahaha this is so damn embarrassing.
Johnny standing Isaac up on his drive?! Damn Johnny, that alone is impressive. I think Isaac just assumed he'd burst through him.
Johnny being impressive honestly.
Jordan about to be a lot of people's target.
Isaac suuuucks, Johnny was impressive.
I'm at least on Jordan's side when he says "Johnny hasn't seen an elimination since 98" lol that shit truuuuuuue.
Jordan at least owns up that he hasn't accomplished anything yet lol If something like that was ever said toward Johnny, he'd instantly bring up how many challenges he's won or that he's earned his stripes. Ignore the fact that most seasons he completely skates by without going to elimination and he's been paired with strong people.
This is all I ever want from the challenge. Give me people going back and forth. People fighting tooth and nail all the way through. Getting all the vets or all the strongest people on one side and just eliminating all the weak people until the final is boring as hell.
6:
Theresa fucking scared now. She realizes she fucked up gunning for Laurel but also backing out on the people who had your bad. Dumb as hell.
Even angry and firey CT is more laid back and casual than usual.
Laurel, you're a little wrong here. "CT is out of control. You have the ability to control yourself." Umm....it looks like Jordan was the one losing his cool in the bus?
Finally an individual challenge?
They seem to keep having the comps at this same exact watering hole.
Bananas: "Dutch?" TJ: "Jesus christ"
"At least you didn't say fucking 'Dutch' bro."
I would have never thought for a second Zach would winner on the quiz challenge.
Camilla, why are you crying? lol
"What is a continent" god damn Cara...
People, stop calling your girls "little girl". Cohutta what the hell.
Ok, I feel like the girls questions were easier? Am I crazy? "Spell Nickel" vs "Spell Exacerbate" lol seriously?
Jesus christ Cara. Mohamid Ali's real name is Mahatma Ghandi?!
Laurel literally making a hit list and calling the kid she likes and telling her not to go to school tomorrow lmao
I could see why people both hate and like working with Laurel. She's pretty damn direct and doesn't really pussy fooot around. I think Devyn is kind of dumb to take this hit list to heart though because who gets voted in, in what order doesn't really matter if only like Devyn and Cara are up for being thrown in. You can have 4 people targeted before you but if they're all safe you're still fucked.
Shocked Devyn actually went for Theresa. I get that Theresa threw everyone under the bus with changing her vote, but she likely still wasn't going to target you.
Just quietly add a rope to the tug of war elimination so they don't last an hour plus lol
I've always contended that on these tug of war style elim's you should run and then jump at the end. If you jump first the other person is likely not planted and loses a lot of ground. It honestly seems like Jordan does that and wins handedly.
Camila...what are you doing? What even is this? Did Camila have a mental breakdown before this? Stunned seeing Camila go out like that.
7:
I don't hate Jordan, but Laurel and Jordan kind of grosses me out lol
"I'm like Great Gatsby" hahaha
Dang, quick in to the challenge. This looks so dumb lol
"Not to sound cocky, I'm just used to winning." Oh Laurel...
I'm a bit confused by the "Rather be in the draw" mentality coming through right now. Is there just some out and about alliance that Leroy just knows he's going in if he's up for the pick?
Jordan wanting to possibly go in when he knows one of the winners is his buddies? What? You are definitely playing this game wrong buddy.
Jordan wants to go against Johnny...you idiot.
These guys acting like they're talking Jordan in to flipping over all the cards, but unless theres some editing foolery, that seems like it was the plan the whole time? Maybe not flipping the cards, but it seemed like he was fully intending to put himself against Johnny in the Elim? Absolutely stupid, but it seems like it was already his intention?
Aneesa is such a paranoid and terrible political player lol
Again Laurel just being absolutely direct. "You're a shitty salesman." lmao "Gotta let go of those expectations." daaaaaaaamnnnnnnn
I love Cohutta. He's just creepy with calling Nany his "Little girl"
Jordan scared now! haha He talked off and now people actually expect him to do it! lmao "Please tell me to not do it Laurel, please!"
Jordan, as soon as you see that wall you should wisen the fuck up and back out. You are dumb my dude.
Bye Jonna :( Aneesa beasted that comp so much her head was about to touch the bell.
Jordan you're an idiot. "Pride is worth $125k" ummmm, you're pride was never called out. You put it up for examination and then forced yourself to follow it. All of this is in your own damn head dude lmao you have some kind of complex going on my guy.
Laurel, why are you being so fucking weird and awkward? Why are you insisting on a weird ass handshake?!
"I don't think Jordan's intentions are 100% kosher. He went for the girl that would keep him safe." Bananas literally says this about every single guy and girl in the house every season. Last season it was CT, now it's Jordan. We just going to ignore The Island and The Ruins? Where that was literally the JEK strategy? So much so that the girls on the island literally thought they were going to be handed a key at the end?
Laurel, you kind of lose points in my book for being this head over heels for Jordan this quickly. I don't even hate Jordan, you just seem crazy infatuated which is just creepy.
"Jordan's most impressive performance in this game was flipping those cards over." Ok, that was hilarious.
They're still talking like they convinced Jordan to go in, but it really seems like that was always the intention.
8:
I would love to find out that Johnny doesn't even like bananas. He's just associated and named for this fruit he doesn't like.
This fucking funeral lmao
Either they had a deal with this bar to be able to film. Or it's literally the only bar close to the house lol
Uh oh, Leroy having an introductory segment of how he's handling the game. I don't like your chances to make it through the episode Leroy.
I like Cohutta, but he does and says some creepy shit. His "little girl" Nany, now he's grabbing her chin to talk to her...
Goooood Damn Nany.... Ya'll remember earlier this season when she called Emilee a slut?
Eeeewwwwwwwww Cohutta just laying in the damn spot where she tells him lmao
"Stretch your mind. It's gonna be a race." What the fuck?!
"I'm concerned because we have 2 girls I don't think can hold their bodyweight, which is pathetic." Well don't sugar coat it Laurel.
I feel like they didn't think very well about Theresa being the highest person, while being the shortest.
Cohutta been hanging for like an hour lmao
Devyn's team made that look easy.
I don't know what the hell the other team was doing. They were trying to get one person up at a time and just leave them there.
"Made out" with Johnny lol
There's people like Aneesa who I think whole goal is just making it to the final to get that minimum payout. Like she never has a chance to actually win the final. She just fights to stick around basically.
"I finally got picked first" Good on you Preston for taking it lightly.
"I just come clean and tell Cohutta everything." "You kissed a boy, so what?" Ummmmmm thinking there was stuff left out lol
I really need to hear the reasoning behind how the order is picked for drawing the cards. I just find it real suspect that the vets seem to always be first to pick, giving the slightly better odds.
"That was so stupid." I love TJ
Oh, Cohutta one hundred percent has this lol
"Waiting on ole dad on the couch." what in the hell Cohutta. You have some weird ass kink my dude.
Preston completely pushing Cohutta back, damn. Preston fell! Damn, he would have had that one.
"I feel like this is my first real elimination." True, you basically threw Jasmine around like a doll.
I actually think Aneesa got there first, but missed the bell?
Aneesa looks like she got fucking whiplash with that second hit lmao
Damn, another close one. Aneesa just wasn't jumping at all. I think she would have had that bell again if she went for the bell and not the chain.
"It shows she's beatable." She just handedly beat the next strongest girl in the house except for Cara. You planning on trying yourself Theresa? Or just talking shit?
9:
"I'm going to have to move to a blue state now." "What's a blue state?" I don't know who I'm dissapointed more by this interactions lol
Laurel going back to mean Laurel?
Laurel is bitchy in interactions, that is 100% undeniable, but it's shown so many times throughout the season how insanely loyal and supportive of Cara Laurel is all season. She's just also a bitch lol
So apparently 14 down to 12 is the number where the Challenge goes from looking like a lot of people left to "Damn there is no one left" because this episode definitely hit that mark.
I'm thinking Laurel has some kind of weird thing about counting stuff. She's been shown coming into multiple of these challenges counting pretty much anything involved with the challenge every episode.
For a second, I really thought the guys and girls were about to be going at the same time.
CT gets his first captain?
"I'll take Zach" "Ahhh it's like Christmas" Damn, that's unfair lmao
"Oh fuck" Damn Cara, could you be any more bitchy about being stuck with Jessica? Like that wasn't an immediate known fact?
Nany got fucking ROCKED right off the bat! Damn!
I talked all that talk about Laurel being loyal then it shows her saying she's not best friends lol oops.
Nany dazed after that hit, now it seems like all the girls are delaying their runs haha Laurel afraid!
Now Jessica gets knocked! I love this challenge.
Laurel would rather go in to Elim than get ran in to.
CT and Zach have them going slow lmao
"Kill all, ask questions later!" I love CT. Here's the CT I've been missing all season.
Well that was a lackluster hit to add suspense for.
Zach is fast as hell.
Has the other Johnny been in an elimination? Why isn't it between Johnny and Leroy?
At least Cara isn't being completely shit on all season.
"I don't want to be friends with a kid." Geez Laurel, you can be such a bitch.
Daaaaaamn CT, being direct as hell. "Jess is the one I least want on my team."
Hey, the order was a bit different this time for card draw.
Cara's luck is back in full force. At least she's going against Jessica.
Cohutta might be fast enough to pull this out vs Leroy. Leroy just has the reach and size to plow Cohutta over though.
"Cara's a good competitor, if I win, then I'm a good competitor." Good logic Jessica...
Damn Laurel, just rooting on Jessica openly?
Cara looks like she's trying to rip Jessica's head off.
Laurel you are so childish. "Cara doesn't need extra motivation, and we're not speaking so of course I'm not rooting for her."
That last round Jessica looked like she just gave up. She was bent over on her side when Cara ran in to her.
Laurel doesn't even congratulate Cara on staying. Laurel, you childish bitch lol
Yeah COhutta, I don't see you having much of a chance in this.
TJ talking up Cohutta. Sweet TJ.
"What am I going to do, who am I going to fuck.....ing hang out with." Hmmm I hear Johnny is still in the house...
"It makes me think Laurel would eat her own child if it got her further."
These doctors are looking at Cara like they're about to harvest organs lmao they're not hear for this crying bullshit.
10:
"I don't really care if she stays or not." "Oh, we know." Straight calling her out on being a bitch.
Good on Johnny to straight up say it's Laurel's fault and saying she's talking shit.
Saying that it's bad to accept who someone is and then suddenly not be ok with it is CERTAINLY a take. "I'm always a bitch. When I'm bitchy to you it shouldn't bother you."
Laurel runs away. What a baby. She can not accept that she's in the wrong.
The things you did after I was a bitch, makes me not sorry for being a bitch. Good start Laruel lmao
"If you know I'm a bitch, you should just fully accept me being a bitch at all times."
Why does Cara get a choice?! I'm all fine for Cara to be there, but I feel like other people have not been given the choice with injuries?
CT with the wholesomeness. "Shut up! Pick me right now!"
When did CT become the confident puzzle guy?
How the hell did Bananas solve that shit? lol "I broke my puzzle curse!" seems like it.
Laurel basically saying "I need to be more of a bitch. Fuck this friendship shit!"
A different location!
Saying someone is kissing ass when there's only like 10 people left and you're going out for drinks just because they're interacting with the person seems crazy. Is she supposed to sit there pissed worried about the draw?
"You wanna poke a stick at a bear, go ahead. I'm not going to squirm or talk bad about him." I love CT, don't let Johnny get what he wants. He's wanting to hear "I'm not coming for you." and that literally it.
Zach actually being reasonable? I feel like Zach gets way more acceptable when he isn't just around Frank the whoole time.
Johnny just saying "No" when Nany says she's voting for Theresa lol
"Don't give me this BS. I'm your biggest competition at the final and you want me out of here."
Good on you Nany, probably not the brightest decision, but commendable.
Johnny not changing his vote. What a bitch.
If they can't decide Johnny gets put in elimination. That shit about to change real fast lmao
Nany better not change her vote, if she has any brain cells she should know that Johnny will not volunteer himself for elimination this close to the final. Don't be dumb.
Fucking coward Nany. You know damn well Johnny would not have gone in to Elimination.
Lol, TJ's like "I ain't here for this shit. Shut up until I'm gone."
I actually agree with Theresa, I don't think hanging out with one of only 3 other girls in the house when you all go out is kissing ass and politicking.
It's gonna be the wall climb isn't it? lol
Yup haha Cara is so fucked, or maybe has an upper hand? Those casts are pretty hard...
Oh god, it's going to be Laurel isn't it?
Yup. Damn this shit was destined.
Well, Cara, you had a good run.
11:
I wish we coulld see this without Cara being injured. I feel like Cara has become somewhat of a challenge beast this season.
I really can't think of many eliminations where I wouldn't expect CT to come out ahead.
Location change isn't all that much of a twist CT, it's happened like the last 4 seasons?
I'm sad we couldn't get that Tokyo final. That would have been amazing.
CT noping out of jumping in the cold pool lol
A final draw, I'm assuming with two skull cards? I like it.
Zach safe, One of CT or Johnny are in the Elim. Dang
Oh my god. Johnny vs CT. Holy shit. Wow.
I'm shocked. Literally stunned. I never thought both of them wouldn't be in the final.
"Yes I'm safe!" "Oh crap, I'm in the final, I'm going to die!" lol Devyn
Theresa choking huge. Damn.
If Theresa won this I feel like Theresa/Devyn/Nany would be the most lackluster final for the girls yet.
Theresa catching up, oh she might have it? Say it ain't so. Having any two of Laurel/Johnny/CT not in the final qould be a kick in the balls to this season.
Ok, hoo, that was close. I couldn't have imagined the final without Laurel at this point.
CT noooooooo!
Damn, Johnny blew that out of the water. That's such a bummer that it came down to those two.
The other Johnny came in to this season with the best luck in the world on his side.
CT and Johnny not being in the final is a damn let down.
Does Zach win this? I'm favoring Zach/Laurel at this point. Johnny has the history and all, but Zach seemed fast as hell, and he had insane indurance in Seasons.
Three second places in a row? I for some reason forgot her and Kenny didn't win Fresh Meat 2.
"They said you have to finish, so Devyn I hope you cancelled your Christmas plans."
Final placement guesses: Laurel - Nany - Devyn, Zach - Bananas - Johnny
Zach has speed and endurance, but Bananas has experience. I think they're pretty interchangeable, but my money is on Zach right now.
Nany already looks cold.
"Some of you worked your butts off, some of you were just good at the draw." Cuts to Johnny lol
Was initially mad at pairs, but seeing guys/girls switch off each round is nice to hear.
Not a fan of hearing the determination comes down to times and not just a race to the finish. Must mean there will be some breaks.
Ok, I immediately want to go back on my Zach prediction lmao
12:
I feel like the escelation of the finals over the last few years and how many people in Cutthroat got heat exhaustion scared them and caused them to change up. Cause I feel like it's around right after that that the finals started being broken down in to parts and different days.
I want the grueling all out races that last all day.
This final basically became 'control how much Nany screws you over' and there is basically never a chance that Laurel will ever not be first place with whatever guy she goes with.
Devyn how did you do the damn desert but you can't do a hike?
Hahaha Nany freaking out because of a Tarantula lol I'm deathly afraid of spiders, but you just walk the other way... Randomly seeing a tarantula would scare the shit out of me.
Zach is fucking dissapointing. Jesus. If only there was someone there to scream verbally abuse him and push him the whole time. Maybe then he'd start performing better... I hope Sam is somewhere watching this loving every second of it.
"You don't understand Laurel, I'M GOING TO DIE!!" hahahaha Zach you bitch.
My god he is literally like crying through this.
"I'm having a heart attack." Cries
lmao Karma is a bitch Zach
Laurel actually name dropping Sam HOLY SHIT!!!!!!! Fucking LOVE you Laurel!!!!! FUCK YES!!!! I just jumped up and cheered.
I like to think Laurel was thinking about Sam that entire time and was just holding off not screaming her head off at him.
"She's just a dumb bitch. She's stupid." That's more of the Zach I know and remember!
25 mile bike ride to rest and food. Nice.
Oh, it's on a stationary bike. Well this is pointless and anticlimactic.
Nany quitting 80 minutes in? What are you fucking doing? You've already done it for 80 minutes you idiot.
Zach has been a complete dissapointment in this final.
Good on Dev for not quitting.
Devyn already well behind everyone else.
"Frankly I just deserve" how bold of you Johnny. I'm not usually for bagging on Rookies, but this dude hasn't even seen an elimination and is only in the final because of luck! lol
Wonder if they will show the final times or if they'll just announce the placements. I feel like these times aren't all that close. Like there was only like 10 minutes or so seperating Johnny/Nany and Laurel/Zach when it was acting like Zach was going to die. So even the one Laurel was behind the most she wasn't behind that much. And she completed the bike well in advance as well.
Wait, they had to then walk back DOWN the volcano? to even find out? lol the hell?
Actually announcing the girls times were 9 minutes apart. Nice. Didn't announce the guys.
I'm actually happy with a Johnny Bananas win? wow At least the game wasn't just broken with him walking to the final.
Laurel and Johnny definitely worked their asses off getting to the end.
Reunion:
God dammit, not Moseley again... This guy is a terrible damn host
Glad to see CT dropping that beard. He seemed like a different guy with it.
What is this weird ass set?! Let's just put a bunch of steel beams and rafters all over the set and make people sit on them in weird angles.
How are you staring up at Laurel's bossom?
Nany literally looked like she was about to fall off her seat trying to get away from that spider.
Laurel wanting to go to blows with Theresa.
"You're sweating cause you're scared."
Laurel is a bitch, but I agree with her when she says "But you'll say it?" Saying you want to punch her and then acting like its so below you. Then don't fucking say it.
Laurel looks stupid standing up and saying she's scared.
"Why isn't zach taking all the flack for it?" "Because he owns up to it!" I wish I could say it for someone else other than Zach but so much damn truth to this. If you own your shit and don't shy away from it it become a far lesser deal than people who try to hide away from it and act like it isn't a thing.
I was swinging a little away from Jordan this latter half of the season, but this reunion is making me go back toward Jordan. Johnny just keeps moving the goalpost this entire conversation. First it's that he doesn't shut his mouth, then it's his actions, then it's him feeling insecure and overcompensating. Johnny doesn't know what the hell to say he's just regurgitating the same complaints he makes over and over again.
I agree with Johnny though. Fuck pride, fuck all this, your object is to not get in to eliminations. It was stupid.
CT: "How much did he get fined? Was it like per minute, per hour?" lol I continue to love CT
Ooooooof, sitting there having to watch yourself jump from one guy to the other in the same room with both guys has to be awkward as fuck.
"The black one said 'yes'"
"She told me everything." It really didn't seem like that on the show...
Are we going to not address that Cohutta was laying in the same exact spot WHEN she told him they hooked up? I mean...
Awwww Cohutta comes off so damn cute saying "It's okay." to Nany.
"If she hurts me, i'mma shave her head." Hahah this whole Cohutta/Nany section is hilarious and adorable. I predict they will be completely apart within weeks.
Oh my god if Moseley says "W-T-F" one more god damn time...
Laurel definitely has only-child syndrome.
"Cara, that hurts." "...and CT." "NO, NO! We're best friends!" Need I remind you how much I love CT?
"Holy shit, her ass looks like a butterfly!"
THere is a lot of butthole content in this unseen footage.
What in the fuck is Isaac?! He crapped in a damn zip lock baggy to deliver to Cohutta later?! WHAT??? Between that and Isaac sitting int he pool in a full suit makes me think Isaac wasn't given enough screen time. Guess he never comes back though.
"I'm not a harbering anger person." Theresa says as she quite stand-offishly says "It can be whatever you want. If you want to be cool, we can be cool."
TL/DR or Overall season thoughts:
Honestly this may be my new favorite season to this point. I love the structure. I love the randomness of teams and dynamics. I'm not crazy on the randomness of the draw, I wish there was a little more of an element to factor in there, but overall I love the structure of the season. The final was great, I just wish it could have been entirely solo and not timed sections. Make that all one go and it'd be an amazing final.
Bummed to see CT go right before the final. Sucks it had to be CT vs Johnny with the other Johnny freely skating by on luck to the final his rookie season.
I saw a lot of people talking about the Jordan/Johnny beef coming in to this season and I still come out of it not really feeling Johnny at all. I didn't really like Jordan coming out of Rivals other than it was two rookies giving the vets a run for their money. But over the course of this season between him and Laurel hooking up, and everyone talking so much shit on Jordan I kind of swung a little to Johnny's side of the argument. But I think the reunion brought me back to perspective and back to still disliking Johnny. If you just take this season and take what we see of Jordan he doesn't come off as consantly being cocky and showboating. What we get is every time he does anything even remotely over the top we cut to Johnny talking about how much he's showboating and being cocky. I think the edit and Johnny colors the perception of Jordan more than anything we actually see of Jordan. At the reunion Johnny had literally nothing to say when they brought up the disagreement other than saying Jordan was dumb for going in the Elimination, which I agree with. Other than that his arguments kept moving and changing, from him being cocky, to him showboating, to him just working out constantly. It's like Johnny personally didn't like him and just skewed every single thing with a negative slant. I don't perceive the dude doing a flip in the water as showboating just because Johnny takes it that way. I don't take him wanting to work out more to make up for only having one hand in a physical competition as being cocky and wanting to be better than everyone else just because that's how Johnny wants to paint it.
I feel like the perception and the edit was heavily influenced by Johnny and how he viewed Jordan specifically, where we could have just been shown him actually doing that? Instead all we see is him making some dumb pick up line from a season ago? lol
Also this season probably had the best reunion? Shocking with it being Moseley and last seasons being so damn horrible with him hosting.
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Casino Tips And Tricks For Various Games

Learning a few casino tips and tricks would perhaps come in handy for maintaining a winning streak at the casino. The unpredictable nature of casino games is no secret. Whereas you can win handsome amounts, losing a bet would be just as common. Therefore, some effective tips and strategies with respect to various games could come in handy. Although they do not guarantee success, they can always assure a better position in the game.
Keno
Some Of The Casino Tips And Tricks For The Game Of Keno Would Include The Following:
* You need to group the numbers provided to you and play way tickets.
* Always remember to claim the prize money on completion of each game.
* Odds wise, Keno may not be one of the preferable choices for a player. The house would retain as much as 28 percent of your earnings.
Craps
For craps, some of these tricks could perhaps come in handy.
* The COME bets should be made with double odds.
* Double odds should bet with PASS line.
* For the COME bets, you need to out roll bets E and C.
* Remember to refrain from betting BIG 6, HARDWAYS, FIELD, BIG 8, or any of the single roll bets.
Video Poker
Casino tips and tricks for video poker would include the following:
* Always remember to retain a winning hand. Never throw it away.
* 9/6 machines should be preferred over others.
* For a bonus poker or a progressive poker game, you could prefer playing on 8/5 machines.
* Avoid playing on 6/5 machines.
* Playing maximum coins is the way to go.
Slot Machines
* Before you start off, find out which machine exactly has the best return pay off. A return of 97.4 percent or more should be ideally adhered to.
* Unless you are playing a progressive game, steer clear from free coin machines when indulging in slot games.
* Playing nickel slots is a bad idea.
* Playing with maximum coins is a great option.
* You should always play on machines with double up symbols.
* It is always better to play on one payline, three reel, and two coin slot machines.
Baccarat
For the Baccarat, the best strategy would be to plan your bets properly. For example, for a single bet of the player hand, you would have to bet the banker hand a couple of times.
Roulette
Roulette is one of the most highly favored games indulged in at the casino.
The following casino tips and tricks can prove suitable in ensuring a good game.
* Believe in swift bets. Enter the game, make money, and exit.
* Time may not be on your side in a game of roulette. Play for about five minutes on red or black or odd or even.
* Instead of betting on straight up numbers, you should bet on splits.
* You need to bet the first, second, and third 12 in columns or square groups.
Adhering to some of these practical strategies would help master the game better.
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Casino Gambling Strategies - How To Beat The Casinos And Win Repeatedly?

Casino gambling strategies can be crucial to your success. Whether you are playing craps, roulette or blackjack, a strategy can help you make money. I am not talking just about a scam system, but a correct betting strategy. In roulette, bankroll management and placement of bets is required to try and reduce the massive house edge. In craps knowing your bets and betting methods is again vital. Most importantly in blackjack the correct strategy can give you a huge advantage over the house.
Casinos make a fortune from people who do not have a betting strategy and quite often don't even know the odds they are gambling on. Before gambling you should be well aware of the odds involved and the potential bets that you can make. This is particularly relevant to the three main casino table games.
Craps for example has obvious bets you should never make and also there are craps bets that you should always make. In roulette, systems such as the martingale system should be avoided. Blackjack strategy correctly implemented can make you a massive favourite and a big consistent winner.
I am often asked how to win at the casinos. Teaching people to gamble and win, particularly at casino table games, is not easy. I operate a system at roulette which I gave to 10 people with instructions where to bet, what to bet and when to leave. The experiment was to follow me exactly and double your bank in three weeks. In three weeks at an online casino I doubled my bank. Not one of the 10 people did. They all either did not understand the roulette system or got too greedy and gambled away their losses.
If you want to win at craps, roulette or blackjack, ( and I am sure the this advice applies to poker, pai gow, caribbean stud and all the other games) you must at first have a strategy in mind, you must have a knowledge off the odds and then you must have the clear head and discipline to apply the methods. If you want a winning strategy that will make you a casino winner at craps, roulette or blackjack, visit one or all of the sites in my author resource box.
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1 roll bet with 83% chance of winning

I have a question/theory/strategy I have conspired with my small group of friends that play craps. The strategy is for a crapless table.
I will state what I know as I explain the strategy. And applies to dice setting shooters more specifically. A player has a 1/6 odds of rolling a 7 = 83.3 percent chance of rolling anything other than 7. Why not bet all your bankroll on your first roll?
Example. $1000 bankroll Your bet $100 on both 2 and 12. $100 pays $550 $100 on both 3 and 11. $100 pays $275 $100 on both 4 and 10. $100 pays $180 $100 on both 5 and 9. $100 pays $140 $96 on both 6 and 8. $96 pays $112
My strategy is to do this for one roll and you have a 83% chance to win $112 at the worst end of odds. Like roulette every roll/toss of the dice is independent of the last ones rolled. But if you’re a high roller and did this once a week with a bankroll of $10,000 and had to not toss a 7 once a week to win an extra $1,112+ why would someone not do it. Other than the obvious “well when you roll a 7 you lose it all.”
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Flatten the Curve. Part 44. Bill Gates Rumored Doomsday Bunkers. Bill Gates Hoarding. Rockefeller Institute & Unethical Human Experiments. Toxic Dust Storms and Covid-19. It's Hidden in Plain Sight. Wake up.

Part 43 is here
Listen up. Do you have a gnawing feeling that something isn't right? A gut instinct? Is your intuition leaving you in a state of vigilance? Is your spidey sense tingling? Do you feel like the truth is hidden in plain sight, but you can't quite see it?
You're not alone.
So what is the truth and why won't they just tell us? They aren't going to tell us the truth because most of us can't handle the truth. They experiment on live subjects in the past, but suddenly they've seen the light? Suddenly they've found morality and embraced truth and ethical behavior?
The Stateville Penitentiary Malaria Study was a controlled study of the effects of malaria on the prisoners of Stateville Penitentiary near Joliet, Illinois, beginning in the 1940s. The study was conducted by the Department of Medicine at the University of Chicago in conjunction with the United States Army and the State Department. At the Nuremberg trials, Nazi doctors cited the precedent of the malaria experiments as part of their defense. Link Here
Any day that Nazi Doctors use your experiment as a defense for Nazi medical experiments is not a good day.
Let me show you one other part of the puzzle that you need to read. Let me show you that at some point the money, power, or even the scientific research can detach some individuals from reality.
"A number of years ago, we talked about, 'What if there wasn't clean water? What if there wasn't enough food?" she said on the radio show. "Where might we go? What might we do as a family?' So, I think we should leave those preparations to ourselves." The only thing they did not prepare, however, was the vaccine or a treatment for the virus that would cause a pandemic, though she acknowledged how "lucky" she and her family are to be in a position of privilege when it comes to dealing with COVID-19. "What we mostly talk about now in our home every night is how lucky we are," she continued. "We understand our privilege. When we say our grace at night, what we're thankful for around the table, is that we aren't struggling to put a meal on the table as so many families around the world are." Link Here
Yep. Sure thing Melinda. You guys just sit around the dinner table (like us normal plebs) and talk about how lucky you are to have food. Then you went out and stocked up your basement. Maybe they hoarded all the toilet paper because they're so full of crap they can use TP to wipe their mouths with after they speak. And what a minute, isn’t hoarding food bad? And aren't billionaires just hoarding cash? Different rules for different people, and it makes no difference what they say publicly when it's still just the same crap.
August 7, 2019 | Many of the world's elite, including hedge fund managers, sports stars and tech executives (Bill Gates is rumored to have bunkers at all his properties) have chosen to design their own secret shelters to house their families and staff. Gary Lynch, general manager of Texas-based Rising S Company, says 2016 sales for their custom high-end underground bunkers grew 700% compared to 2015, while overall sales have grown 300% since the November US presidential election alone. Link Here
So which basements were you stocking Bill? I'm betting you stocked all of them. But that article really made it sound like you personally went grocery shopping, didn't it?
And there's that year again, 2015. The same year as the Bird Man plauge doctor video, coronavirus and bats possible pandemic discovered, CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing went mainstream, and the Billy Boy pandemic warnings started with a Ted Talk, then the Doomsday Bunkers elite MKultra wealthy segment jumped by 700%.
That's not a good sign.
It's all connected. All of it. We might not know how. Or who's doing what. Or how bad our current ELE events will become, but we need to at least get an outline of the big picture, before the big picture turns into the Main Event.
As far as I'm concerned, there is no possible way our present unexplained mysteries aren't prognosticators of upcoming calamities.
No. Way. At. All.
Let's throw the spotlight back onto our pandemic. It's all plain and simple when you accept the government's and the medical community's word at Face(book) value. Our leaders tell us to Keep Calm and Carry On. Just take two official narrative pills and wait for the vaccine. It's all good. Honestly. Listen. Trust. Obey.
1913 to 1951: Dr. Leo Stanley, chief surgeon at the San Quentin Prison, performed a wide variety of experiments on hundreds of prisoners at San Quentin. Many of the experiments involved testicular implants, where Stanley would take the testicles out of executed prisoners and surgically implant them into living prisoners. In other experiments, he attempted to implant the testicles of rams, goats, and boars into living prisoners. Stanley also performed various eugenics experiments, and forced sterilizations on San Quentin prisoners.[13] Stanley believed that his experiments would rejuvenate old men, control crime (which he believed had biological causes), and prevent the "unfit" from reproducing.
Whelp, at least you could say that Dr. Stanley had the balls to carry out his experiments.
Tuberculosis. Syphilis. Herpes. Influenza. Malaria. The medical society treated us to a rolodex of experiments.
In 1941, at the University of Michigan, virologists Thomas Francis, Jonas Salk and other researchers deliberately infected patients at several Michigan mental institutions with the influenza virus by spraying the virus into their nasal passages.[24] Francis Peyton Rous, based at the Rockefeller Institute and editor of the Journal of Experimental Medicine, wrote the following to Francis regarding the experiments:
It may save you much trouble if you publish your paper... elsewhere than in the Journal of Experimental Medicine. The Journal is under constant scrutiny by the anti-vivisectionists who would not hesitate to play up the fact that you used for your tests human beings of a state institution. That the tests were wholly justified goes without saying.
Wholy justified. Goes without saying. But we would never be so reckless with experiments today, no matter how justified, would we?
NY MAG. March 20
On January 13, less than a week after COVID-19 was identified as the virus behind the outbreak in Wuhan, researchers at Cambridge-based biotech company Moderna proposed a vaccine to fight it. A little over two months later, on Monday morning, a pharmacist in Seattle injected Rebecca Sirull with that vaccine, making her the third person to be injected in a 45-person clinical trial, the first human trial in the country. To rush the vaccine to clinical trial, Moderna skipped animal testing, a somewhat extraordinary measure. Sirull, a healthy 25-year-old editorial coordinator at a research institute, will receive a second injection in a month and have her blood drawn regularly for more than a year. Should the test be successful, the more optimistic estimates suggest that a vaccine could be available in 12 to 18 months. Intelligencer spoke with Sirull about her decision to take part.
Oh. Uhm. OK.
Jill Horowitz stood outside the Quaker Ridge Shopping Center in New Rochelle, N.Y.—an early COVID-19 hotspot—in March, stopping shoppers as they walked into the grocery store. She handed them blue pamphlets soliciting volunteers for a Rockefeller University antibody research study. “I would say, ‘Would you like to help us find a cure?’” says Horowitz, executive director of strategic operations at Rockefeller’s Laboratory of Molecular Immunology. “I didn’t even have to mention coronavirus. This neighborhood was completely subsumed.”
Yessiree ladies and gentlemen, step right up, roll up that sleeve, and get a poke to save all the good folks out there from the pandemic. The one that contaminates surfaces, but now doesn't spread through surfaces. The virus that you don’t need a mask for because a mask will make it worse. The virus you might need a mask for because it wouldn't hurt, but it's not airborne. Put on a darn mask because the virus is airborne. Maybe. But air-conditioning makes COVID-19 worse. So only wear a mask inside. The virus that worsens with pollution, but don't worry about putting on the mask outside. Because if you wear a mask you'll stop the second wave. But there might not be a second wave, it might just be one long continuous wave.
Is anyone else getting the impression that they don't have enough information about the virus to be issuing guidelines yet?
But I'm just being paranoid. I'm sure of it. That was then, and this is now.
Then: In a 1946 to 1948 study in Guatemala, U.S. researchers used prostitutes to infect prison inmates, insane asylum patients, and Guatemalan soldiers with syphilis and other sexually transmitted diseases in order to test the effectiveness of penicillin in treating the STDs. They later tried infecting people with "direct inoculations made from syphilis bacteria poured into the men's penises and on forearms and faces that were slightly abraded . . . or in a few cases through spinal punctures". Approximately 700 people were infected as part of the study (including orphan children). The study was sponsored by the Public Health Service, the National Institutes of Health, the Pan American Health Sanitary Bureau (now the World Health Organization's Pan American Health Organization) and the Guatemalan government. The team was led by John Charles Cutler, who later participated in the Tuskegee syphilis experiments. Cutler chose to do the study in Guatemala because he would not have been permitted to do it in the United States. In 2010 when the research was revealed, the U.S. officially apologized to Guatemala for the studies. A lawsuit has been launched against Johns Hopkins University, Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation for alleged involvement in the study.
That is so reassuring as we move forward, isn’t it? And don't give me any that was back then we've changed arguments. We haven't changed at all. Proof? Ok. Let's go.
This is a link to an LA Times article that talks about Bill Gates and his AIDS fight in Africa. You go Bill. Get them vaccines out to the people. You're such a good guy! That's what a New Normal article would say. This isn’t a New Normal article. It's scathing in it's judgment. They may not be dying of AIDS, or just living longer with AIDS, but they are dying due to other factors, which should be easily acquirable with the wealth at Bill's disposal to prevent.
But there was one item that caught my eye. It talked about a Paper Mill that was in a country in Africa, that Bill owned a substantial amount of stock in. This company owned paper mills in North America. Those paper mills were environmentally friendly with little emissions. But not the one in the African Country. Nope. Not at all. That one didn't bother with environmentally friendly processes.
The story goes on to discuss how one of Bill's AIDS treatment recipients lived downwind from this plant and how the fumes we're probably killing him. And what were the fumes?
Hydrogen Sulfide. (Read more at Flatten the Curve) - Part 13
Yes seriously. Treating them for AIDS while downwind from Hydrogen Sulfide. I'm not sure about you, but that sounds like a medical experiment to me. Seriously, the guy that wants to stop climate-change by geo-engineering the planet doesn't use his clout to stop the pollution from a paper plant that he owns stock in. OK. Makes perfect sense, doesn't it?
Yet actually it might. No, seriously, it really might. I've already stated that the virus seems to be activated with environmental toxins. And here we have an ultimate real life laboratory. And what does this real life laboratory research?
Why maybe it researchers Miasma theory? Huh? Yep. Here we go.
The miasma theory is an obsolete medical theory that held that diseases—such as cholera, chlamydia, or the Black Death—were caused by a miasma, a noxious form of "bad air", also known as night air. The theory held that epidemics were caused by miasma, emanating from rotting organic matter.
Rotting organic matter, like at meat plants?
May 7, 2020: www.wired.com | Why Meatpacking Plants Have Become Covid-19 Hot Spots.
June 23, 2020: https://www.bbc.com | Coronavirus: Why have there been so many outbreaks in meat processing plants?
And do you know what else was associated with Miasma Theory? The Bird Man plauge doctor, just like the 2015 "you're all dead" video.
The word miasma comes from ancient Greek and means "pollution". And then we have Covid-19 and pollution.
The idea also gave rise to the name malaria (literally "bad air") through medieval Italian.
Malaria? What? Crazy? Aren't there debunked studies about Malaria drugs working on COVID-19? Nah. Must be fake news. Right? Or fake facts. Or is it fake news reporting fake facts? I'm just so confused.
Does the strangeness end there? Sadly, it doesn't folks. Not at all. Not in this New Normal.
Because Mr. Bill Gates is trying to eradicate tuberculosis.
And, Hydrogen sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium tuberculosis respiration, growth
Back when I looked for information about the pandemic, I noticed something odd, the mortality rate for Covid-19 fluctuated depending on the region. Now I'm not a doctor, but you don’t have to be to read, do you? So I kept looking at the data for similarities. And they were there. Hypoxic or polluted water like lakes or coastlines. Cities with factory polluting emissions. They all led to outbrakes and higher mortality rates.
And then it changed. I saw ourbreak regions with low mortality rates. It didn't make sense, but there had to be a reason. There's always a reason. And as I kept looking at the similarities of low mortality rates something jumped out, a lot of them were still vaccinated for Mycobacterium Tuberculosis.
Yep.
But this is crazy talk Greek! You're just looking for dots and finding a way to connect them. It's just a coincidence that Bill Gates is funding AIDS prevention, an article exists that points out a therapy participant is close to a source of hydrogen sulfide emissions from a company that Billy has stock investments in, and that Billy also has a program to eradicate tuberculosis. Stop seeing patterns where they don't exist. You're freaking people out.
Crap. Perhaps you're right. Maybe I am freaking people out. But let me show you something else. It's something that I noticed about a month after this pandemic was shutting us down. And it didn't make any sense to me at the time. Ready?
www.pnas.org | BCG vaccine protection from severe coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19.
BCG? What's that?
www.sciencedaily.com | Preliminary study suggests tuberculosis vaccine may be limiting COVID-19 deaths.
And then the studies started backing it up. Even betteworse, they linked it to Hydrogen Sulfide, endogenous not exogenous, but Hydrogen Sulfide is the same no matter if you breathe it in or produce it biologically.
So, yeah. Let's dig.
Endogenous Hydrogen Sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium Tuberculosis respiration, growth, and pathogenesis.
In mammals, H2S elicits a biphasic, concentration-dependent mitochondrial response14, which can be cytotoxic or cytoprotective. For example, at high concentrations H2S reversibly inhibits cytochrome c oxidase (Complex IV)15–17. In contrast, at low concentrations H2S can serve as bioenergetic fuel to stimulate mitochondrial respiration without uncoupling of respiration. Link here
At high concentrations Hydrogen Sulfide can be cytotoxic and reversibly inhibit cytochrome c oxidase. We've followed the White Rabbit and now we're digging. Can't stop now. Won't stop now.
Defects involving genetic mutations altering cytochrome c oxidase (COX) functionality or structure can result in severe, often fatal metabolic disorders.
Disorders involving dysfunctional COX assembly via gene mutations include Leigh syndrome, cardiomyopathy, leukodystrophy, anemia, and sensorineural deafness**.Link here.
Anemia? Like, the Momento movie? Do I have amnesia now and I have to live my life backwards?
Hold on, don't freak out. You don't have amnesia. Self inflicted amnesia induced systemically via behaviorally manipulated echo chambers introduced systemically through social media electronic pathways? Possibly. But this is anemia, and that's another story.
Current management of COVID-19 is based on the premise that respiratory failure is the leading cause of fatalities (Zhou et al., 2020). Nevertheless, mounting evidence points to drastic systemic events taking place that contribute to accelerated COVID-19 pathogenesis. The “cytokine storm” is a notion that is reportedly hailed as the hallmark of the COVID-19 hyper-inflammatory state (Mehta et al., 2020). Consecutive studies linked COVID-19 related hyper-inflammation to systemic events including hypercoagulability, oxidative stress and altered iron metabolism. Mehta et al., 2020, Phua et al., 2020
Hyperinflammatory and altered iron metabolism. Following? Good.
Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) has been regarded as an infective-inflammatory disease, which affects mainly lungs. More recently, a multi-organ involvement has been highlighted, with different pathways of injury. A hemoglobinopathy, hypoxia and cell iron overload might have a possible additional role. Scientific literature has pointed out two potential pathophysiological mechanisms: i) severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV- 2) interaction with hemoglobin molecule, through CD147, CD26 and other receptors located on erythrocyte and/or blood cell precursors; ii) hepcidin-mimetic action of a viral spike protein, inducing ferroportin blockage. Link Here.
Hypoxia? Where have I heard that before?
A dangerous symptom of the coronavirus that can cause a patient to fall unconscious or even die is known as hypoxia — when the body’s tissues do not receive enough oxygen. Dr. Richard Levitan, an emergency doctor working in New York City, wrote for the New York Times at the end of April that he has seen COVID-19 patients with “alarmingly low” oxygen levels, but no shortness of breath. He describes this as “silent hypoxia”. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained.
Low oxygen levels. Dysregulates immune system. Are your They Live sunglasses on? Are plugged into the Matrix or hacking the Matrix?
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov | Hydrogen sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium tuberculosis respiration + growth.
Tuberculosis (TB) is responsible for millions of deaths each year and several billion people are latently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). Mtb modulates host factors, such as endogenous gaseous signalling molecules, to persist in humans for decades. H2S has diverse biological functions, including modulation of immunity and cellular respiration. However, the role of H2S in TB is unclear. We found that mice deficient in H2S production are more resistant to Mtb infection than WT mice. Upon infection, Mtb increases host H2S, which suppresses central carbon metabolism and increases inflammation. Distribution of H2S-producing enzymes in human TB lungs showed that H2S is produced at the site of infection. These findings identify glycolysis and H2S-producing enzymes as targets for TB host-directed therapies.
Don't Freak Out like LeChic, but I don't think we're in Kansas anymore Dorothy.
Speaking of Kansas, do you remember the dust storm as the tornado blew in and swept Dorthy to Oz?
The “Godzilla” Saharan dust cloud over the US, explained:
Dust clouds originate in the Sahara, the largest desert in the world outside the poles, and the Sahel, just south of the Sahara. Much of the dust originates in the Bodélé Depression in Chad, an ancient dry lake bed at the threshold of the Sahara and the Sahel. There, convective storms in the early summer whip the dry ground and loft particles of silica, iron, and phosphorous as high as 20,000 feet into the sky. Link Here
And then we have this:
Residents wear face masks to protect themselves from the Saharan dust clouds covering Dakar, Senegal. N95 masks and even surgical masks can help protect people from getting sick from the dust. Breathing dust can trigger problems like asthma attacks and worsen conditions like heart disease. But particles from natural sources can pose some unique threats. “Desert soil can also be contaminated with bacteria and fungal spores or with toxic heavy metal,” Achakulwisut said. “For example, in the US Southwest, dust episodes there have been linked to outbreaks of Valley Fever and arsenic poisoning.” Link Here
Contaminated with bacteria. Guaranteed Anaerobic bacteria. And it carries along metallic compounds. Like this:
**A 2001 study in Limnology and Oceanography suggested that the seasonal windfalls of iron-rich Saharan dust become a banquet for red tides, blooms of algae that spill into the ocean like dye, deplete it of oxygen, and release toxins. Dust clouds can also host unwelcome stowaways. Jun 24, 2020 Link Here.
Red tides. Blooms of algae. Or rather perhaps, Cyanobacteria blooms? All in a dust storm. Maybe we should start wearing masks, right? Don't want to breathe in toxic dust, do we?
But Snake Park is no paradise. For decades the residents have lived with the mine, which they say blows clouds of dust into their homes. Now Snake Park, formally known as Doornkop, is in the sub-district with the highest number of Covid-19 infections in Gauteng. Last week, Gauteng Premier David Makhura linked “cluster outbreaks” on mines, and people moving between them and where they live, to the Covid-19 infections in the western part of Soweto. In 2017, the Bench Marks Foundation, a nonprofit that monitors multinational corporations, released the results of a survey of household health in four mine-affected areas in Soweto. Mine tailings contain heavy metals and chemicals and cause various illnesses, including mental health issues and Down’s Syndrome. The report found that more than two thirds of the respondents in Snake Park complained about respiratory problems, including persistent coughs, sinus issues, asthma and tuberculosis. This year, the August dust storms in Snake Park will coincide with the expected peak of Covid-19 infections in Gauteng.
“We can’t breathe well. This mine is very dangerous. It’s toxic,” Phongoma says, adjusting his bright blue mask. Looking at the mine dump, now glistening in the afternoon sun, he adds: “It’s a bomb. It’s a nuclear weapon — and with this Covid-19 thing, it’s going to explode.” Link Here
Stranger and stranger, isn’t it? So strange that I would venture to say, Stranger Things haven't happened. You might want to read Flatten the Curve Part 39, and what I wrote about Turkmenistan and wearing masks for toxic dust. Link Here
So where are we now? Knowwhere or nowhere? Are you a nobody or a knowbody? Is this picture that I'm painting connecting enough dots for everyone? Does anticipating mass riots in protest of the upcoming environmental collapse, and the wars for natural resources along with it, make the centralization of the economy plus the mass surveillance system make more sense? The masks and facial detection AI improvements? Does ID2020, another Billy Boy project make more sense? The upcoming robotic automation of the workforce? The curtailing of civil rights? Heck, what about the Bill Gates endorsement of impossible meats and the sudden push to vegetarianism? Remember the meat plant shutdowns? Rotting organic matter and Hydrogen Sulfide?
Please remember, Hydrogen Sulfide outgassing is pretty consistent across past Extinction Level Events. Does this mean that all hope is lost? Puhlease. Hope flows abundant. We shut Pandora's Box before hope could escape, remember?
Let me leave you with one final thought. Words matter. Look them up. They know what's happening. They know all of this. The words they use hide it in plain sight.
I've written about Bill's fortuitous investment strategy. How he seemed to hit all the right stocks as the pandemic and environmental collapse strikes. It's mostly hidden in shell companies after shell companies, but it has to start somewhere. And it does. He owns Cascade Investment L.L.C. Link Here
Which: Oct. 22, 2014 · A subsidiary of Cascade Investments LLC, which oversees the Gates fortune, is buying thousands of acres of land in north Florida. Link Here
And what does Cascade mean? Let's look?
cascade (n.)
"a fall or flow of water over a cliff, a waterfall," 1640s, from French cascade (17c.), from Italian cascata "waterfall," from cascare "to fall," from Vulgar Latin casicare, frequentative of Latin casum, casus, past participle of cadere "to fall" (from PIE root kad- "to fall"). cascade (n.) a succession of stages or operations or processes or units;
To prepare. To fall. Interesting choice for a name.
Meteor showers occur when the earth bowls through a dense stream of debris left in the wake of a comet, asteroid, or other space-borne object. Depending on where you look, you may encounter fewer meteors, however. Viewers in the Northern Hemisphere will see shooting stars emanate from the shower’s “radiant” point in the southern sky, meaning the best meteors with the longest tails will be most readily visible in the east and west. A much more spectacular meteor shower — among the year’s most prolific — will pepper the skies with a spattering of bright shooting stars and “fireballs” come mid-August. The Perseid meteor shower peaks the night of Tuesday, Aug. 11. Dozens of shooting stars could be visible beneath a clear sky every hour. Perseid meteors zip across the sky at 37 miles per second. Their diaphanous tails can appear white, orange, yellow, pink, turquoise and even violet, lingering in the sky for a few seconds. The rainbow spectrum of colors come from the combustion of magnesium, sodium and iron. Link Here
Pepper the skies with fireballs. Fall from the skies.
Comet 67P's rotten-egg smell comes from hydrogen sulfide, and the horse-stable odor comes from ammonia. These scents are blended with the fainter almond smell of hydrogen cyanide, the vinegarlike odor of sulphur dioxide and the sweet-smelling scent of carbon disulphide, researchers said. Link Here
Hnmm. It definitely sounds like Bill was getting ahead of the curve before we started to Flatten the Curve, by being a good student and getting prepared before the hoarders bought up all the toilet paper for the upcoming SHTF event.
Wouldn't you agree? Are these all coincidence, or should we pay more attention?
They want us to Keep Calm and Carry On. When do people tell you to remain calm? When you start to panic. So do you really think they would tell us the truth and deal with panicking masses? Or do you think they would hide it?
Hide it in plain sight?
Keep your head up and eyes open. Talk soon.
submitted by biggreekgeek to conspiracy [link] [comments]

SPY below 205 by 4/17 and VIX to (atleast) 95 by the End of April

SPY below 205 by 4/17 and VIX to (atleast) 95 by the End of April
Good evening,
TL;DR: Spy is going to dip below 205 by EOD 4/17. VIX will touch 95 by the end of April.First off i appreciate all the support I've been getting from some of you. BAN BET: If VIX doesn't touch 95 by the end of April i will take a one day ban from posting for every person who comments saying "BAN”. However fair is fair, if VIX does touch 95 you get banned for an entire month. (Over one million of you and only one of me so i gotta even out the odds.)
First off thank you to all the kind souls leaving me nice messages.
Now for all the haters. Oh i love it. Money is nice. But i enjoy the speculation game cause i get to pin my wit against the sheep. So i read your messages over a hot cup of tea, did a significant amount of research, and felt all riled up. So here i am acting cute and feeling frisky so I'm coming out with another ballsy bet. Spy is going to dip below 205 by EOD 4/17. VIX will touch 95 by the end of April.
Here is the DD.
https://imgur.com/G2eoTSs
Here is a post made that shows the striking resemblance between the recent stock movements and the 1929 crash.
Interestingly, a 27% drop from here would put us right at my support level (i will get to that in a second).
Here we go. My DD.
https://squeezemetrics.com/monitodix
I have been for the most part ignoring DPI on this drop. Historically it has been very accurate but on this drop it has been acting extremely wonky. Big buys and big sells where they shouldn't be and not predicting the market correctly. For this reason i haven't been offering it more than a passing glance.
GEX however is crucial. The lower GEX dips the more room we have to drop (and the faster). I expect some real violence in the market so I am keeping a very close eye on VIX.
/ES weekly: https://www.tradingview.com/x/t0ipbVoY/
You can clearly see how crucial of a zone this area is based on how price continuously hangs around this S/R level. We have been rejecting it consistently and i believe we are on the verge of breaking to a lower level. If we follow the great depression chart a 27% drop would put us at my 1850 (right around my next crucial S/R level). I see support kicking in somewhere around 1900.
/ES Daily:

/ES Daily
You can see the volume compressing as we prepare for the next big spike. Chaikin is up to that critical zone of 0 and is breaking back negative now. Price has been in a bear flag and consistently rejecting that 2630 level. BB and kijun are adding pressure and pushing price down.
/ES 4HR

/ES 4hr
Here you can see the price break out of the 4HR and BB have been squeezing for the big move down. Volume breaking out chaikin breaking down, RSI breaking down, MACD breaking down. Essentially all systems go.
CL is losing its battle with $20 support. I have been saying it will go to 10 for awhile now and that is becoming more of a reality by the day. /ES will follow.....
10 year treasury is on its last leg as well....
VIX is looking pretty and holding support in the area. This will look like a shit show but /VX 08' is the top left, /VX bottom left is now, VIX top right is 08', VIX bottom right is now. You can see the striking similarities and what will lead to the massive put buying that will launch VIX to 95.

VIX and /VX comparison now vs 08'
Now i would like to make this call more interesting. I wanna make a ban bet on this VIX portion of my play. If VIX doesn't touch 95 by the end of April i will take a one day ban from posting for every person who comments “BAN”. However fair is fair, if VIX does touch 95 you get banned for an entire month. Over one million of you and only one of me so i gotta even out the odds.)
This is a win-win scenario for me. I don't have to deal with everyone here who acts like an idiot if i lose and if i win i get a much quieter, much less stupider, subreddit for a week (and hopefully a humbler one). BONUS: Mods have to deal with the shit show that would be required to pull this off and everyone knows. Mods are gay.
Have fun, good luck, AND CHANGE THE DAMN LOGO.
This is simply my opinion. I am not your financial advisor and this is not meant for you to take as advice in order to position yourself in the market.
Also here is some education.
Sorry for the books being temporarily down. Had an issue. Also its under a fake name i used for that email (my spam email).
https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Xksox8mqbi3jAnzMez8_K-a1udOT1-dF
If the above link doesn't work try this.
https://www.dropbox.com/sh/9fjw7k5gel26g59/AABR_NDL6MjZZ1os8ZNTTYkca?dl=0
EDIT: I’m working on another way to post the material. I’ll put it up by EOD. Thanks for the patience. DONE!
Saturday update: I’m holding everything still. No change in thoughts.
Sunday: Final VX support( I can already see the misunderstandings coming so yes I wrote that correctly. It’s the vix futures ticker) is around 35. Looking for futures long there. Expect a final market push to 2655. To everyone declaring victory, it would be wise to wait till the final whistle before thinking the game is over.
Monday update 1pm: in the process of loading up my last load of deeeeeeep OTM TQQQ positions. Every persons positions/situation is different but one common denominator is true... scared money don’t make none. So short the pop....faggot ;)
Monday EOD update: fam we about to eat good.
Monday update P.S: I am getting a lot of panicky comments and messages. This should help clear the air. Today was March 4 2020 on /es. To explain my logic I am referencing squeezemetrics and how we tested the kijun-sen.
Tuesday update 10:45am : more panicky messages, more haters. I’ll summarize. I AINT FUCKING SELLING. Fake pump=big dump.
Wednesday 10:15am: looking for a red day today to confirm the shooting star yesterday. The war is almost won...
Wednesday 4:50pm: this is such a weird position to be in. Remember being early is the same as being wrong. Based on tomorrow’s price action I may be rolling, selling everything and looking for re-entry points, or holding/hedging. Sometimes no position is the best position. Bears lost the crucial 2655 and now we are pushing higher, 2785 is key on weekly and monthly. We could see as high as 3125-2990. The important thing to note is no one is really sure what is happening so you need to be either out of the market or hedging so you don’t get killed. This was a pivotal day. Tomorrow will tell us more since a weekly candle is also closing. You have heard it a lot here but the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. I’ll probably be posting less and less this month (if it is to be the last) since this is getting more cumbersome as ppl get more annoying.
BIG UPDATE: Wednesday late af at night: All you night owls wake the fuck up. Disregard my last update. I made a typical TA mistake by focusing on the smaller TF. Now that I acknowledged my mistake let me introduce you to my friend 2785. He is a nice guy. Top of his class (punny).
Monthly:https://www.tradingview.com/x/nXiC6aAE/ Notice where the Tenken/Kijun converge? 2785. Use Ichimoku on the monthly during both the 08 recession and the 00 recession and you will see how it is ALWAYS respected.
Weekly:https://www.tradingview.com/x/NbijzYBF/ Hello old friend 2785. Same. SPOT. Look how important that level was historically. Look the garbage volume on this fake pump. Here is another fun fact. 2785 is the EXACT 50% retractment from the previous move.
Now lets talk time table. Daily:https://imgur.com/jK6XxtV Ok first of all. Look at the compression on chaikin. Looks like it has about a week before she pops. Look at the obnoxious oval directing you to the chikou span. That has about a week before it touches the price, about the same time before price encounters the cloud (obnoxious rectangle). Bonus point: spot our friend 2785 in the cloud). Also notice the crap volume compression on this rise? It is already starting to rip as big players offloaded the day before yesterday. What does it all mean? I AINT FUCKING SELLING. I am gonna roll all my shit because it is hotter than a fucking fresh tamale. Watch price action around 2785-2825. By the end of next week this shit may start cracking. This obviously means that i am almost certainly wrong about the 205 by 4/17. But i always said the timing is the most difficult thing to set up and i was trying to do it 3 weeks out on the dot. My VIX bet tho is very much in play.... Do what you please and i appreciate all the nice messages i have been getting and ill try to keep ignoring the mean ones. Lets see how this turns out!
Ironically if you actually saw my last posts you would have see that i already basically predicted this top when i was seeing the bounce coming.... Just shows you to stick to the big picture/game plan https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/fmzu51/incoming_bounce_vix_puts/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2xGL
Update Thursday morning: I got out of everything that was short dated that i could on the minor pullback at open. Rolled over what I could. Bloodbath out there. I am looking to beef up my position in mid May-ish depending on price action and where it hits the targets. We are in this critical zone and markets are wild and extremely volatile right now. Push ups can be expected. Waiting patiently to add to my position when I see exhaustion. I am under the impression that it can push up until 4/17 and up to 2900. Perhaps some sideways action and then the drop... if you look at the daily chart again you can see why I think that.
Going live to discuss today at 12 est https://www.twitch.tv/wallstreetbooyah
4/12/2020 12:45AM What can i say i like doing my research late at night.... As i explained numerous times before, now i am providing more detail regarding where the potential top can be but remember we are clear to drop at any moment...
Here is where we are from weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/w23Yph7g/ Notice how we closed below the tenken/kijun 2785 that i listed. Next week max top potential 2898.
Daily for better TF; https://www.tradingview.com/x/GB31CHs4/ By Wednesday max top 3046 By Friday max top 2888
For those who catch on quick are seeing it's not a question of if we drop but from where. We are clear to drop at any moment. I believe it has to happen at the absolute very latest 4/20/2020. The only way my analysis is invalidated is with a daily close above the cloud/weekly close above 2898. Watch volume veryyyyy closely. If you see abnormal volume (extremely low/extremely high on /ES daily) then we are heading over the cliff. Bulls are living on borrowed time IMO...
EDIT: updated some of the numbers for 4/12/20. Thanks to u/ModernAristois for pointing out that i was mistakenly using the wrong settings (was fiddeling with settings late night and forgot to reset when I was posting the pics/giving the targets).
4/15/2020 I bought a batch of TQQQ puts. Still have 2 loads of Ammo left. Will sell all at the latest end of next week if we break through the cloud and the trade goes against me. We will see what happens. No change in logic. Watch for spike in volume on a red day and rejection on cloud.
4/16/2020 New core position taken and maxed out per my strategy restrictions per trade. I will sell everything if I’m wrong at the latest sometime next week. If I’m right, it’s going to happen really soon or not at all. This is probably my last update/post before either gainz porn or a final sell-for-loss update/surrender. As always watch the daily cloud, watch CL, and watch volume. EDIT: the core position was in TQQQ puts
4/17/2020 Truly my final edit for this. Check squeezemetrics today. I have a shot at being right :)
4/27/20202 The day is finally here. Throwing in the towel. Sold everything and took the L. Reflecting back it’s easy to see where I went wrong. Instead of doing what I always do (having a thesis, waiting for it to confirm), I got eager and tried to predict where resistance would be and jump on before confirmation. Been a fun ride either way. From 1.4K -> 42K -> 30k. Sitting in cash until I see what I want to see. Thesis is honestly unchanged. I was just probably early. Still waiting and watching to see the volume spike I want and a break thru the 4hr cloud. Could be awhile since it looks like we are about to break the daily cloud. Market is going to do the ‘ol irrational longer than you can stay solvent. We have completely decoupled from reality so patience is key here to see where the big boi’s wanna let her slide. Could have a serious melt up/chop from here. Wishing you all the best of luck and I hope you don’t blame me for any money you lost. I simply provide my opinion on the market and execute accordingly. I only do this publicly in order to help people understand TA. I never had someone to teach me so I understand the struggle and lost feeling for anyone who is interested and new to TA. Taking the ban with my chin up! Fair is fair :)
GL and stay safe. I am not your financial advisor
submitted by scarvesandsuspenders to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Craps Pass Bet With Odds Strategy Simulation, Setup in ... Craps Maximum Odds Bet - YouTube My Favorite Craps Betting Strategy - YouTube Don't try this Strategy, unless you want to win - Craps ...

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