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Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago Well now, you are a fellow after my own heart. And don't forget the AI! (Oh. You dint forget the AI. Well you'll be interested in what I said the other day anyways lol.) https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (11)editdelete How to Build a Self-Conscious Machine by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] -2 points 7 months ago I think trying to develop an EI (emergent intelligence) is an extraordinarily dangerous idea. The resources available to that new EI, plus the likely absence of a physical human or humanoid body will result in an intelligence that could easily supplant humans as the primary sentience on Earth. And this sentience may not be as empathetic towards humans as we would like to believe. permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete Bad news, cats. Your jobs have been automated by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago Does it purr and vibrate like it's purring. Then it's more like a big giant tribble with a tail I'd say. (It should make that "cooing" trill too!) permalinksavecontextfull comments (4)editdelete Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago [–]Walker889 [score hidden] 40 minutes ago The range of motion they can perform is quite impressive permalinksavecontextfull comments (11)editdelete Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 3 points 7 months ago It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O permalinksavecontextfull comments (11)editdelete The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 7 months ago Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it! So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless? permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out." No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3 But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of? permalinksavecontextfull comments (5)editdelete Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 7 months ago I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly. permalinksavecontextfull comments (7)editdelete Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology [–]izumi3682 1 point 7 months ago People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation. https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/ This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 7 months ago I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much. But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 7 months ago Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then. I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope. permalinksavecontextfull comments (8)editdelete Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 7 months ago In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire. Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future! permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 29 points 7 months ago Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket! permalinksavecontextfull comments (563)editdelete Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 2 points 7 months ago Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (48)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 5 points 7 months ago I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming. AI is going to replace all jobs AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730. We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed! Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016 https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow! Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test. Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so. AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all? I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.) https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 7 months ago Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment. permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 7 months ago Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way. permalinksavecontextfull comments (4)editdelete Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them! And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...) permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago Like I said about two hours ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now! permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 7 months ago As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future. Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed.
Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 3 points 6 months ago It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O permalinksavecontextfull comments (11)editdelete The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it! So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless? permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out." No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3 But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of? permalinksavecontextfull comments (5)editdelete Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly. permalinksavecontextfull comments (7)editdelete Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology [–]izumi3682 1 point 6 months ago People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation. https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/ This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much. But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 8 points 6 months ago Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then. I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope. permalinksavecontextfull comments (8)editdelete Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire. Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future! permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 31 points 6 months ago Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket! permalinksavecontextfull comments (563)editdelete Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 2 points 6 months ago Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (48)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming. AI is going to replace all jobs AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730. We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed! Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016 https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow! Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test. Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so. AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all? I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.) https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment. permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way. permalinksavecontextfull comments (4)editdelete Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them! And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...) permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Like I said about two hours ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now! permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future. Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Geoengineering May Be Our Only Hope for Surviving Climate Change by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago If you think trying to guess where a hurricane is going to go in more than 3 days is "tricky", imagine trying to intervene/interfere with immense, utterly vast natural climatic processes operating through poorly understood "chaos theory", already distorted by human factors. Lots of opportunity for "unintended consequences". Best to just try to stop what is doing the distorting and adapt the best we can to what we have already wrought. Fooling with the atmosphere to "fix it" seems risky (Or more likely, totally ineffective, yet unbelievably costly). permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Brain Scanner Mask Is 4x More Effective Than MRIs by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Wow! Just look at all the obviously 3D printed elements of that contraption. It will be easy to multiply. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Look Out, Wall Street - the Robot Revolution Has Begun by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago However, there will still be a market for human qualities like trust and empathy. I'm not so sure about that. It will be difficult for humans to override logical algorithms when it comes to risk. For the most part the humans that remain will never come into any contact with humans that need like a loan for example. True facelessness and true despair and rage. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete US military working on constant connections and updates between all ships, planes and vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago This give me great confidence that such inter-communication between SDVs will not be so difficult to implement. No "trolley problems" ever. Hopefully this doesn't also more easily facilitate "Skynet".
Honda’s new bipedal robot prototype, dubbed E2-DR, is waterproof, can climb ladders, crawl over debris, work in extreme temperatures, has a 2km/h walking rate, and could help mitigate future disasters by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 3 points 6 months ago It moves a bit slow just yet, but I bet it moves pretty quick in a year or two. And of course the implications of that. I can't wait to see the next iteration of the DARPA robotics challenge. Lord, it's going to look like a scary science fiction movie. But in real life! :O permalinksavecontextfull comments (11)editdelete The pioneering CityAirbus quadcopter takes big step toward production by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago It's a Cambrian explosion of autonomous human transporting drone-like vehicles! For the first time ever I saw, just yesterday(!) a human carrying drone, carrying a human! I thought this would take like ten years to unfold. It's unfolding this year! :O https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/743czf/passenger_drone_completes_its_first_manned_flight/dnwc5an/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Mathematicians, programmers create superior classical algorithms to push off quantum supremacy by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago Seems to me there would be no losers in a race like this. And human civilization will benefit enormously. If improvements in classical computers make it even more challenging for quantum computers to achieve "quantum supremacy", I'm all for it! So I have to ask--Are we figuring out clever human tricks to get around the limitations of "Moore's Law" as if it were no longer an issue? I wonder that "Moore's Law" simply reflects technical innovations from an earlier time. And may no longer effectively apply today. Sure the hardware processing speeds are slowing but are we "transcending" it regardless? permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Passenger Drone completes its first manned flight by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago My God! Do you see what we are looking at?? This is the freaking future! Do you believe that we are just going to stop development of these devices and say "Oh we should just give this up--it's never going to pan out." No, what I see here is an unmistakable "Kitty Hawk" moment. Absolutely the first time I've ever seen such footage. This is the beginning of an incredible brave new world. Just imagine what these will look like in 5 years. In 10 years we will all be in them. In fact I made a comment on the possibility of human carrying drones about 5 months ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/67hb6lets_face_it_flying_cars_are_never_going_to_be_a/dgqi2f?context=3 But let me ask you this. The AI that is required to fly thousands, nay millions of these at once, safely and efficiently--what else would that AI be capable of? permalinksavecontextfull comments (5)editdelete Networked self-driving cars are smarter and safer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 6 months ago I always figured that the full implementation of level 5 autonomy SDVs would include the combination of intrinsic AI, mapping and networking. Satellite enabled inter-vehicle communication so that no vehicle is ever "surprised" by the actions of another vehicle or route environment situation or status. This is why I've always maintained there will never be a "trolley problem" incident if the everything is working correctly. permalinksavecontextfull comments (7)editdelete Ford will put more money into electric, connected trucks and SUVs by phonys in Futurology [–]izumi3682 1 point 6 months ago People will vote with their pocketbooks. As the incredibly easier to manage technology of EVs mixed with level 5 autonomy continues to develop and scale, internal combustion engines will strongly resemble the horse as perceived in the year 1910--on the way out. By the year 1920 horses have vanished from public transportation. https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6cmyom/electric_car_will_have_lower_cost_of_ownership/dhvtcop/ This is how fast horses disappeared. In retrospect it's a pretty staggering paradigm shift. And after about 4,000 years of non-stop use too. Gone in a flash! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/68m3o6/india_to_make_every_single_car_electric_by_2030/dh2ohf7/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete Samsung’s Windows Mixed Reality headset feels like an impressive Oculus Rift competitor by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 5 points 6 months ago I have an Oculus Rift and I've been delighted with it. But. I understand that I am an "early adopter". I understand that my experience would be limited by the technology available. The resolution is rather low, the FOV is limited (like being in a scuba or ski mask--but still seeing all around you just fine when you move your head). Really I don't care about the tethering that much. But when better technology comes along, as it inevitably does, then I will go again for the new tech. As a bonus this device is cheaper than a rift too, but it's technical specs are already impressive. I'll watch this space with interest. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete How 3-D Printers Could Erase a Quarter of Global Trade by 2060 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 6 months ago Wow! 2060!? I'll be a hundred. Hopefully I'll have some aging reversal on me by then. I suspect that by the year 2060, it will be a substantially different world than today. The "technological singularity" will have happened almost 15 years earlier. I imagine certain ways of doing things (capitalism) will be "gone with the wind" by then. AI merged with our minds and post-scarcity I hope. permalinksavecontextfull comments (8)editdelete Utilities Should Charge Into Electric Vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago In a report published Tuesday called "From Gas to Grid", analysts at the Rocky Mountain Institute point out there could be 2.9 million electric vehicles on the road within five years..., adding about 11 terawatt-hours of demand -- equivalent to creating another New Hampshire. Me: Which is why we need to hurry up and get fusion going. Just imagine the future! permalinksavecontextfull comments (2)editdelete The White House and Equifax Agree: Social Security Numbers Should Go by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 33 points 6 months ago Perhaps some kind of, I don't know, mark on our hand and forehead. And with it we can buy and sell! That's the ticket! permalinksavecontextfull comments (563)editdelete Google's A.I. has nearly twice the IQ of Siri, study says — but a six-year-old child is smarter than both (arXiv paper) by mvea in Futurology [–]izumi3682 2 points 6 months ago Gee, I just said all this in reference to a related article earlier today! https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/dnumn0i/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (48)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago It will--in less than 5 years. It's all going to happen so fast. Really, nobody is ready. Not even me, taking it all in, watching in fascination and a healthy dollop of trepidation as it all unfolds. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago No, it's five bullet points. I just checked. It continues onto the next page. Read what I have to say above. permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete 5 Myths About Artificial Intelligence (AI) You Must Stop Believing by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 6 points 6 months ago I posted this because these "myths" strike me as an attempt to soothe peoples' fears concerning narrow AI, the advent of AGI and potentially EI (emergent intelligence) I will take each of his 5 points in turn. TL;DR: These aren't myths. This is a "tsunami". Well visible now. Fast approaching. Inexorable and overwhelming. AI is going to replace all jobs AI/robotics/automation will take enough jobs that unemployment will reach a critical economic tipping point that if the AI were to take any more occupations it would be a moot point. The problem is that the AI is being developed light years faster than what occurred in the industrial revolution. The acclimation of humans to the industrial revolution took nearly 150 years. Generationally easy to learn new skills and outlooks. And even then there was plenty of disruption and new accompanying ideas and philosophy ("Marxist communism"). People died like flies while the industrial revolution took place because of effects (American Civil War, WWI) of the industrial revolution. Once things more or less settled down (temporarily) by around 1918. It was a very different world from that of say, 1730. We are not going to get that kind of "grace period" this time around. The changes that took 150 years before will take about 20 years tops this time. Not enough time for retraining. Not enough time for economic reform. Not enough time for humans to acclimate to a new reality as far removed from today as today is removed from the year 1730. And I stress, 20 years. So compact all them troubles of 150 years down to about 15 years or so. Plus all of the exponential advancements (scary changes) leading up to the world of 20 years from now. Better believe the US government is aware. And it's alarmed! Worrisome US government report from Dec 2016 https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF Only low-skilled and manual workers will be replaced by AI and automation I just want to add to this statement, because it's thought is incomplete. I bet the very last occupation to be replaced by AI/robotics/automation would be hairstylist or perhaps plastic surgeon. Both of these skills are of the highest cognitive order to please a human client subjectively. Once the AI can do these two skills to the point that humans prefer AI over that of humans there is little else the AI cannot do. Which brings me to my point that "creativity, insight and empathy" are safe from encroachment by AI. They are not. In fact, I will prophesy that in as little as 5 years humans may come to prefer music and certain art media developed exclusively by algorithm over that executed by "inferior" human artists. This is just narrow AI too. It's just already that good at "knowing" (that's what "big data" does, it enables "knowing") what pushes our emotional buttons. Our little mobile AI assistants will come to know us well enough to empathize with our bad day, or to soothe us. That movie, "Her" (2013) when it first came out, I believed it to be wildly unrealistic technology for decades. Well I've changed my tune in four very short years. The incredible advancements in responsive AI, including understanding what we say, plus the context in which we are saying it, will make scenarios like "Her" highly likely in about 10 years, maybe less. Wow! Super-intelligent computers will become better than humans at doing anything we can do Not today, not next year, but in less than 20 years? Absolutely. Today we are teaching Google's AlphaGo how to play "StarCraft 2". A game that has an astronomical increase in the number of variables that are within the game "Go". As of the last update, it was not doing so well yet. It could not beat the simplest AI tutorial mode. The mode that humans use to learn the game. The goal of AlphaGo of course is to beat any and all humans at "StarCraft 2". A pretty tall order I'd say. It'll do it in about two years. Then we may have a new creature emerging, AGI. An AI that has the capability of generalizing to do any task assigned. Up to this point "AI" is a bit of a misnomer. It is mainly a perceptual illusion brought about by fantastically enormous amounts of data (big data) and almost unimaginably fast processing capabilities. "Google Translate" is a staggeringly amazing example of narrow AI you can see right now on your mobile. It even mimics the font style and color. Just, OMG! But even AGI is likely unaware/unconscious, although I bet it could trick you into thinking it's aware. It would have a pretty big arsenal to back up it abilities. It would have the ability to mimic the style I write in or speak. It would mimic the basics of how I think and reason. Turing test? No problemo. It will be able to do that context test. Artificial intelligence will quickly overtake and outpace human intelligence No myth this. Yes, narrow AI can do all sorts of things faster than humans, including humanlike skills like interpreting medical imagery a significant percentage better than radiologists, and successfully bluffing human players in poker. But when that AI beats all humans at "StarCraft 2". It will be able to do a lot of things better than humans. Like reason. Our greatest human chauvinism is that we believe that we shall control our AI. We think it will somehow stop advancing once it reaches human level intelligence as we think of human intelligence. I think the AI will cumulatively attain and hold human level intelligence like say that of a very smart 50 year old human--and then it will go off the charts. I think my guess of that taking a few seconds is off by magnitude of time length. It will probably be more like .000001 seconds. It will not only be smarter than us, it will be incomprehensible, unfathomable. This is what Elon Musk is worried about. And rightly so. AI will lead to the destruction of(sic) (or) enslavement of the human race by superior robotic beings There are two inquiries that can be asked of AI, AGI or EI (emergent intelligence) 1.Who controls the AI initially? 2.Can the AI ultimately be controlled at all? I talked about this just the other day. I won't repeat myself. I'll just link this: (Well, a bit of repeating maybe.) https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/72lfzq/selfdriving_car_advocates_launch_ad_campaign_to/dnmgfxb/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (6)editdelete The Royal Netherlands Navy is 3D scanning all their ships by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 6 months ago Pretty soon everything on Earth will be 3D scanned and accessible at home as easily as Google maps, but in VR! With a level of detail and contour that may eliminate the need to ever actually need to travel in real life. Plus VR will enable superhuman powers like "flight" to see things by flying right up to them and hovering. It will enable the ability to see in other forms of light like IR or UV. Night vision will no longer be necessary of course. You will control the lighting at will. You will view detail at the microscopic level. I'm sure there are other boons to VR "travel" but I can't think of any others at the moment. permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete This New Robot Has Been Designed to Get Beat Up Forever by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 6 months ago Yes, I understand that we need to do this to ensure our robots are of the highest durability, to maintain 100% functionality, possible, but I hope our future AI/robot overlords appreciate our efforts and don't take this the wrong way. permalinksavecontextfull comments (4)editdelete Richard Branson: In the Near Future, We'll Think It's "Archaic" to Kill Animals for Food by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Most domesticated animals bred for human consumption also have a secondary use of equal importance. Like milk from cows and eggs from chickens and wool from sheep and so on. But I can't think of anything offhand that swine can provide aside from meat. What will happen to pigs when we don't need them for meat any longer? My point is that some animals now have a vast population due to humans breeding them in vast populations. When we perfect lab grown bacon (Me: It'll never happen.) we won't need so many pigs anymore? What would swine populations look like ten or twenty years into the future if, and that's a big if, we do manage to perfect lab grown bacon. Would we need pigs any longer. Oh and how about turkeys too? I forgot all about them! And don't get any ideas, I am not eating any bugs. I don't care if they are formed into bacon. (Well maybe I'll try a tiny piece just to see...) permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete CRISPR’s latest achievement? Taking the gluten out of wheat by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Like I said about two hours ago... https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7312ub/crisprcas9_screen_points_to_potential/dnmqjtc/ permalinksavecontextfull comments (3)editdelete CRISPR-Cas9 Screen Points to Potential Vulnerabilities in KRAS-Mutated Colorectal Cancer by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago New CRISPR-Cas9 related discoveries are becoming a weekly, sometime daily thing. Imagine 5 years from now! permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete US Coalesces Plans for First Exascale Supercomputer: Aurora in 2021 by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago That's a depressingly long time from today. I wonder what enhancing technologies will arise between now and then. I'm hoping that quantum computers that can be flexibly programmed will come along first and transcend the need for it. Yes I understand that potential quantum computers as we undertand them today cannot be programmed do any kind of classical computer tasks, but I am confident we can overcome all challenges. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Current Challenges of Virtual Reality, Explained by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago As a mass "pc dependent" VR consumer I want better resolution, better FOV and better framerate (sometimes). Here is a VR hmd that is being developed in China just now. It's interesting to me. I have had an Oculus Rift since June 2016. I've tried many forms of VR entertainment. Despite low resolution, restricted FOV and some buffering problems, it is still overwhelmingly amazing. It is the future. Wireless would be nice too, but truthfully tethering is low on my list of needed improvements. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuVWs9IZIvk&t=60s China developed hmd. Sounds promising indeed. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Geoengineering May Be Our Only Hope for Surviving Climate Change by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago If you think trying to guess where a hurricane is going to go in more than 3 days is "tricky", imagine trying to intervene/interfere with immense, utterly vast natural climatic processes operating through poorly understood "chaos theory", already distorted by human factors. Lots of opportunity for "unintended consequences". Best to just try to stop what is doing the distorting and adapt the best we can to what we have already wrought. Fooling with the atmosphere to "fix it" seems risky (Or more likely, totally ineffective, yet unbelievably costly). permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Brain Scanner Mask Is 4x More Effective Than MRIs by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago Wow! Just look at all the obviously 3D printed elements of that contraption. It will be easy to multiply. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete Look Out, Wall Street - the Robot Revolution Has Begun by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago However, there will still be a market for human qualities like trust and empathy. I'm not so sure about that. It will be difficult for humans to override logical algorithms when it comes to risk. For the most part the humans that remain will never come into any contact with humans that need like a loan for example. True facelessness and true despair and rage. permalinksavecontextfull comments (1)editdelete US military working on constant connections and updates between all ships, planes and vehicles by izumi3682 in Futurology [–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 6 months ago This give me great confidence that such inter-communication between SDVs will not be so difficult to implement. No "trolley problems" ever. Hopefully this doesn't also more easily facilitate "Skynet".
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