What is a Unit in Sports Betting? BettingPros

Unpopular Opinion: The Sharks are going to compete this season

I know, I know, this is going to be super unpopular, but fuck it. I think the Sharks are going to compete this season.
Last year was a shit show. When Pavs left, things fell apart more than the top brass realized it would. And then Jones didn't have his bounce back, and EK65 and several other guys were playing injured, and things just spiraled until the season was cut off early. But a lot of time has passed. Not playing in the COVID season probably helped the Sharks more than any team, because now our top guys are completely healthy. I don't think we fully appreciate this yet. I think EK65 is STILL an Elite player, I know I myself have doubted him a lot, but I bet he is going to bring it this year.
My biggest hope is that the Sharks are going to change up their system, which is drastically needed. I am going to be open, I was a PBD basher. I loved his system in our Finals loss, but after that dumping pucks, playing the boards, and letting Burns take shots from way too far out looking for a tip just didn't work anymore. Our old system needed Pavs, but he is gone. Plus it was getting pretty boring to watch.
I think EK65 is an exciting player to watch (that is part of why DW got him), and we are going to have a new system more centered around him. I think having BB has our coach obviously means we will still be defensively oriented, but I am guessing we are going to turn into more of a neutral zone dominating transition team, instead of dump and chase. I think trading for Donato and signing Labanc at the price he did implies Wilson wants Sharks hockey to be more exciting. And honestly, I know the Sharks can be this team, because when they are winning, they are dominating the neutral zone.
I know people are going to really hate this opinion, but I think Labanc is going to bring it this year. He was one of the players to suffer under PBD's system the most, and I don't think we have seen his potential yet. I also think he will benefit the most from a new team identity, which the Sharks will find this season. Labanc has a stronger work ethic than we all realize, and having Pavs and Burns as role models has rubbed off on him a lot.
Oh god, even more unpopular, I think once the Sharks find their new identity, goaltending is going to have a sharp bounce back. I know, just burn me at the stake now. I think Jones is finally going to come back. Do I personally believe in him? No. But I truly feel like the team does, and the new tandem will somehow work (although only for 1 season). I think having another Vet in there will really help Jones a lot.
Ok, here is what I think they are going to try in our top 6:
Kane - Couture - Donato
Meier - Hertl - Labanc
I know, it doesn't look like a dominating top 6, but I bet it finds a way to work. I really do think Wilson got Donato and plans to put him in the top 6. It is a big risk to have your two top RW as Donato and Labanc, but if we shift from dump and chase to a transitional/odd man rush team, something EK65 is better at, these two guys could end up working. I could also see BB switching Meier and Donato in this scenario and having a hard hitting top line, with a filthy goal scoring 2nd line.
I think the bottom 6 is still way up in the air. I figure Marleau is back, which I agree with, we need his leadership. I am not sure if Big Joe is back. I feel like he might think he has better chances somewhere else. I will admit, I have no idea what our third line will look like. If I am trying to be extra positive, I am hoping that giving so many rookies a taste of the big time last year will mean one or two will really have stepped it up during all this off time, and will be a surprise add. I also feel like many of our younger guys have more middle 6 potential, so having openings on the 3rd line instead of the 4th could end up working out better than we think.
Here is a maybe guess:
Gregor - Big Joe/True - Gambrell
Marleau - Kellman - Noesen
I figure they are going to give Gambrell one more look, maybe he makes it work? Maybe someone else from the depth comes up instead? Gregor has the speed that we are going to be wanting, so I bet he is in at LW or maybe Center if Thornton doesn't come back. I guess they could slot Kellman in on the 3rd line too, but I liked his chemistry with Noesen a lot. The 4th line I have listed looks super good to me.
If DW manages to trade Burns or Vlasic somehow, I could see Donato on the 3rd line if we got another top 6 RW, but I don't see that happening. Trading Burns could mean we can split up Karlsson and Vlasic, but that would also mean we would have to find a shut down D for Vlasic to pair with (and probably move Ferraro with Karlsson?). I am just not sure how a Burns trade can benefit us enough without managing to pick up a partner for Vlasic and a top 6 RW, which I don't think we can get. Trading Vlasic would be far more beneficial for the team, but I don't think we will be able to move him. Our best case scenario is that the healthy EK65 + Vlasic unit actually ends up being the dominating top D pair we want it to be. I bet after all this time off, Vlasic will lose whatever attitude he had, and the desire to win will come back.
Assuming we don't trade someone, I bet D pairs will look like this:
Vlasic - Karlsson
Simek - Burns
Ferraro - ?
I know I sound crazy, but I really think this team is going to bounce back. I think the Sharks have completely lost their identity, but they are going to create a new team this year. Do I think we will dominate the Pacific? No, but I bet we will pull 2nd or 3rd, and be a dark in the playoffs. I truly do think this team has insane levels of talent on it, we just haven't seen everything yet from some injuries and bad attitudes. I truly feel like we are going to see the team gel this year.
Feel free to argue with me, please don't be too mean though. Yes, I am aware I am an idiot, I just love being hopeful with sports, and I think we really do have the talent to surprise.
submitted by isthisit35 to SanJoseSharks [link] [comments]

A Breakdown of Sedans and Hatchbacks from Different Classes for 2020/2021 in the United States

Hi everybody! I hope you all are doing well and staying safe!
I joined this subreddit a few months ago because I recently got my learner's permit, and I like to learn about different car models in general out of curiosity. I noticed during my time here that there seems to be a lot of people looking for certain cars from each different type of class. Due to this, I wanted to try to make a post that looks at each class and highlights some cars to consider.
Some caveats I want to mention before writing this post is that this post will be focused on new cars releasing in the United States. In addition, because I'm on a learner's permit, I have only driven a limited amount of cars, so I unfortunately do not have experience driving many cars and a lot of it comes from stuff I read on other sites, saw in reviews, or anecdotes from friends/family. I hope this post helps gather some information, though, during your car search!
Legend
+ means a pro of the car.
- means a con of the car.
Bolded cars mean they are available with a manual transmission.
Italicized cars mean they are available with a CVT.
​
Subcompact Sedans/Hatchbacks
Cars to consider:
Honda Fit
Hyundai Accent
Kia Rio
Toyota Yaris
MINI Cooper
Neutral:
Mitsubishi Mirage
Not recommended:
Nissan Versa
Q: What should I get?
A: If you are looking for the sportiest and most powerful small car you can find, then the Mini Cooper may be your best bet. It has the most power and is known for having the best handling. Otherwise, if you are looking for overall good value and well roundness, the Honda Fit, Toyota Yaris, and the Kia Rio are probably your best options.
Q: Why would I not recommend the Versa?
A: The Versa is one I do not recommend mainly because of Nissan's CVT issues. In addition, the Versa has typically been known for having a lot of reliability and quality issues in general.
Compact Sedans/Hatchbacks
Cars to consider:
Mazda3
Honda Civic
Toyota Corolla
Kia Forte
Hyundai Elantra
Hyundai Veloster
Volkswagen GTI
Volkswagen Golf
​
Not recommended:
Nissan Sentra
​
​
Midsize Sedans
Cars to consider:
Kia Optima
Toyota Camry
Ford Fusion
Mazda6
Honda Accord
Hyundai Sonata
Kia K5 (Soon to be replacing the Kia Optima in the United States)
​
Not recommended:
Chevrolet Malibu
Nissan Altima
​
​
Large Sedans
Cars to consider:
Toyota Avalon
Kia Cadenza
Chevrolet Impala
Not recommended:
Nissan Maxima
Although this car has some great benefits associated with it, such as a pretty powerful V6 engine loaded, great safety score and safety features, and a lot of available features, the CVT definitely limits it from being a solid recommendation. Nissan's CVT is known for historically having a lot of problems, which doesn't make it the best choice reliability wise. However, the Maxima is definitely far better made than the Sentra or the Versa, and if you are into Nissan's exterior design, it might be worth a consideration. However, I would definitely recommend cars like the Cadenza, Avalon, and Impala to anyone over the Maxima, particularly because those three cars generally accomplish the goals of Maxima better.
Chrysler 300
I am saddened to put this on the list of cars to avoid because this is actually all around a decent car. In my opinion, it has a super good looking exterior design, and Chrysler has made a lot of leaps in terms of making the engine and car a lot more reliable. It's also decently powered and is known for having a fantastic interior. However, it doesn't have the best rear visibility, which can make it a challenge to drive sometimes, and its safety crash test ratings are pretty poor in comparison to other sedans being released in 2020 and 2021. If you can find one for cheap, though, and are okay with the cons that come with, though, it may be worth test driving and seeing if you find it to be a good fit.
​
​
I hope this helped! I don't know if it would be in popular demand, but if people want to see something like this for trucks/SUVs/minivans, I'd be happy to try to give it a go.
Have a nice day!
submitted by eccentricgalaxy to whatcarshouldIbuy [link] [comments]

Predicting Soccer Outcomes

I have a keen interest in sports predictions and betting.
I have used a downloaded and updated dataset of club teams and their outcome attributes.
I have a train dataset with team names and their betting numbers. Based on these, Random tree classifier (This part is ML) will predict goal outcomes. Home and Away goals.They are then interpreted in Excel and it helps me place betting strategies. It's 60% reliable(Even predicted correct scores for 4 matches. That's insane!)
Example Output:
Round Number Date Location HomeTeam AwayTeam FTHG\P FTAG_P FTHG_Int_P FTAG_Int_P FTHG_Actual FTAG_Actual)
1 14/09/2020 20:00 Amex Stadium Brighton Chelsea 0.93 2.7 1 3 1 3
3 26/09/2020 15:00 Selhurst Park Crystal Palace Everton 1.35 2.1 1 2 1 2
3 28/09/2020 20:00 Anfield Liverpool Arsenal 2.93 1.05 3 1 3 1
4 3/10/2020 15:00 Emirates Stadium Arsenal Sheffield United 2.26 0.725 2 1 2 1
​
Predicted values are denoted "_P"
That's what this code does. It can go do so much more but it's on the drawing board for now.
I am all open for collaboration. If you find somebody interested/open a do-able project on GitHub, I am up for it!
Please find code and sample dataset at:
https://github.com/cardchase/Soccer-Betting
Is there a better classifiemethod out there?
I took this way as it was the most explained on Kaggle and the most simple for me to build and test.
Let me know how it goes: https://github.com/cardchase/
p.s. I have yet to place actual bets as I have just completed the code and I back tested. I dunno how much money it'll make. A coffee would be nice :)
If you are looking at datasets which are used, they can be found here:
Test: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1IpktJXpzkr_jQn43XpHZeCDzhdeVpi9o/view?usp=sharing
and
Train: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Xi3CJcXiwQS_3ggRAgK5dFyjtOO2oYyS/view?usp=sharing
Edit: Updated training data from xlsm to xlsx
Edit: Thank you for your words of encouragement. Its warming to know there are people who want to do this as well!
Edit: Verbose mumbling: I actually built this with a business problem at hand. I like to bet and I like to win. To win, you dont need to beat the bookie. You have to get your selections right. The more right you get, the more money you have.
The purpose is to enter as many competitions as our training data has and get out with a 70% win. So the data/information any gambler has before he/she gets into a bet is the teams playing/the involved parties. Now, the boundary condition would be the betting odds offerred but to know the rest of the features, you would need to have a knowledge bank of players, teams, stadiums, time of the year, etc. But, what if I wont have/am not interested to know? Hence, the boundary condition is just the team names and betting odds. Now, the training dataset has all the above required information. It has the team names (Cleaning this dataset was super hard but I got there, the scores (We also have other minute details like throws, half time scores, yellow cards, etc. but for now, we are concentrating on full time scores and the odds. I would expect the random tree (even if its averages, its not a bad place to start; I mean, if the classifier would predict 4 actual scores (Winning 1:17, 1:9.5, 1:21, 1:7.5 then, thats break-even for that class of bets for the season already!) to work pretty fine in this scenario. The way I would actually go about is to have h2h score and last 3 matches winning momentum but, I dont know how))
The bets we/I usually place are winningteam/draw and over 1.5 goals or under 3.5 goals. Within this boundary, the predictions fall nicely. Lets see how much I get right this week's EPL. I have placed a few I should know soon.
Though, I admit I suck at coding and at 35 years, I am just rolling with it. If i get stuck at a place, I take a long time to get out lol.
​
Peace
HB
submitted by card_chase to datascience [link] [comments]

Painted Human

The human sat at the restaurant’s bar, a glass of amber liquid in his hand. A simple fare of meat on baked grain meal was half eaten. He reached casually for the smoldering stick next to him, and put it to his mouth, taking a slow drag off of it. When he exhaled smoke came from his nose.
Across the restaurant, a young kro’vak sat with his family unit. He studied the human carefully, not sure what to make of him. In the tenth year of Emperor Nor’dok’s reign, it was becoming common to see humans in the Empire, so the traveler was no surprise. What was a surprise to the youth was the colors that seemed part of the human’s skin. Human skin tended toward the brown part of the color pallet, but this one had red and green and blue on his skin.
The human could feel the kro’vak youth’s eyes on him. He smiled to himself a little as he saw the leader of the kro’vak family instruct the youth not to stare, but he knew the youth couldn’t help himself. The human called over the waiter, passing him a credit chit. “See that family over there? There is a youth that seems interested in me. Tell him and his mother that he can come over and ask me anything he wants.
The waiter nodded and relayed the message. At first, the kro’vak matron looked mortified, but when she looked at the human he was smiling back, motioning them over. The youth practically sprang to his feet and rushed to the bar.
“You seem to find me interesting, young one.” The human said in imperial common. He took a sip from his glass.
The youth nodded. “You have strange colors!”
The human laughed and smiled. “I suppose I do. Here let me show you…” The human removed his shirt, letting the youth see all of his upper body. There were patterns and shapes. Some of the human’s markings looked like lettering, while others resembled pictures the youth had seen of human artifacts. There was even a very artful (though scandalously drawn) image of a human female. “Would you like to know about them?”
“Yes! Please tell me.”
The human nodded. “They’re called tattoos. They are images that I have had placed on my skin to remind me of things that are important.”
“Do they hurt?”
“The act of getting one does, but that pain is long gone. Go ahead, you can touch them even.” The youth did, running his hand over the human’s arm. The skin was even more smooth than most humans. “Would you like to know what they mean? Pick one, and I’ll tell you about it.”
The youth pointed to a warship on a field of stars. “Ah, good choice. That’s the Vallhund, a hound class cruiser. I served on her many years ago. She was a good ship, strong and fast. Tell me, how old are you?”
“Seven standard years!” the youth said proudly.
“Well, young one, before you were born there was a great war. My people and yours were locked in a struggle the galaxy had never seen. There were glorious battles, and terrible suffering. Your kind hunted us, and we hunted you. They were simple times, but bloody.”
The youth nodded. His class was just starting to cover the war between the Alliance and the Empire. To know he was talking to a survivor of that conflict left him a little in awe. Carefully, he reached out an pointed at another of the images, one of an old but strong looking human. Under the image were the human words “Honor thy father”.
“That is the first man I met, my father. He taught me everything I know. He was a good man, and I wear his image to remind me that I should always try to be better than I am. I don’t always succeed, but when I do I like to think he’s smiling at me, just like he is here.”
“And this one?” The youth pointed to a black “B” in a wheel on a white flag.
“Ha, that one is for a sport team. I loved watching them when I was younger. Do you watch any?” The youth nodded. “Any favorites?”
“Yes, I love the arena!”
“I bet you play games with your friends just like you were there.”
“I do! I’m not the strongest, but I am very fast.”
“Good. Maybe you will get to compete in the arena yourself one day”
The youth beamed. “I would like that.” He looked closer at the Human’s chest and scrolled in very stylized letters. “What is this?”
“Ah, that’s my family name. Can you read it?”
“Murphy?”
“Very good! Now let me tell you, the Murphys are an old family. They go back countless generations all the way back to an island on old Earth. I wear the name proudly, and this always reminds me to honor it. Family is important, so make sure you remember that.”
The youth finally got up the nerve to point to the piece that drew his attention in the first place. The human female without clothes. She was laying against a green stem and red flower. A human name was scrolled under it, with the words “in loving memory.”
The human smiled, but the youth saw that he suddenly looked a little sad. “That one…” He paused and took a deep breath. “That is the most precious marking I have. She was very important to me, but I lost her too soon. If I could only get her back, I would tell her how much I miss her, how much I love her. She would laugh and tell me I was being foolish, but it wouldn’t matter.” The human took another drink. “I know she’s waiting for me, somewhere. I’ll meet her again when the time is right, I guess.”
The youth looked at the human. He had so many more questions, but his mother was coming over. It was time for him to leave.
“I hope he wasn’t a bother to you, human.” His mother said politely.
“Not at all ma’am. He’s just curious the way all young lads are. He keeps it up and he’ll grow up to be a fine person.” The human ruffled the fur on the youth’s head. “You be good now and run along.”
As they left the restaurant, the youth saw the human order another drink for himself. He raised the glass filled with amber liquid again and downed it all in one gulp.
submitted by mechakid to HFY [link] [comments]

Flatten the Curve. Part 44. Bill Gates Rumored Doomsday Bunkers. Bill Gates Hoarding. Rockefeller Institute & Unethical Human Experiments. Toxic Dust Storms and Covid-19. It's Hidden in Plain Sight. Wake up.

Part 43 is here
Listen up. Do you have a gnawing feeling that something isn't right? A gut instinct? Is your intuition leaving you in a state of vigilance? Is your spidey sense tingling? Do you feel like the truth is hidden in plain sight, but you can't quite see it?
You're not alone.
So what is the truth and why won't they just tell us? They aren't going to tell us the truth because most of us can't handle the truth. They experiment on live subjects in the past, but suddenly they've seen the light? Suddenly they've found morality and embraced truth and ethical behavior?
The Stateville Penitentiary Malaria Study was a controlled study of the effects of malaria on the prisoners of Stateville Penitentiary near Joliet, Illinois, beginning in the 1940s. The study was conducted by the Department of Medicine at the University of Chicago in conjunction with the United States Army and the State Department. At the Nuremberg trials, Nazi doctors cited the precedent of the malaria experiments as part of their defense. Link Here
Any day that Nazi Doctors use your experiment as a defense for Nazi medical experiments is not a good day.
Let me show you one other part of the puzzle that you need to read. Let me show you that at some point the money, power, or even the scientific research can detach some individuals from reality.
"A number of years ago, we talked about, 'What if there wasn't clean water? What if there wasn't enough food?" she said on the radio show. "Where might we go? What might we do as a family?' So, I think we should leave those preparations to ourselves." The only thing they did not prepare, however, was the vaccine or a treatment for the virus that would cause a pandemic, though she acknowledged how "lucky" she and her family are to be in a position of privilege when it comes to dealing with COVID-19. "What we mostly talk about now in our home every night is how lucky we are," she continued. "We understand our privilege. When we say our grace at night, what we're thankful for around the table, is that we aren't struggling to put a meal on the table as so many families around the world are." Link Here
Yep. Sure thing Melinda. You guys just sit around the dinner table (like us normal plebs) and talk about how lucky you are to have food. Then you went out and stocked up your basement. Maybe they hoarded all the toilet paper because they're so full of crap they can use TP to wipe their mouths with after they speak. And what a minute, isn’t hoarding food bad? And aren't billionaires just hoarding cash? Different rules for different people, and it makes no difference what they say publicly when it's still just the same crap.
August 7, 2019 | Many of the world's elite, including hedge fund managers, sports stars and tech executives (Bill Gates is rumored to have bunkers at all his properties) have chosen to design their own secret shelters to house their families and staff. Gary Lynch, general manager of Texas-based Rising S Company, says 2016 sales for their custom high-end underground bunkers grew 700% compared to 2015, while overall sales have grown 300% since the November US presidential election alone. Link Here
So which basements were you stocking Bill? I'm betting you stocked all of them. But that article really made it sound like you personally went grocery shopping, didn't it?
And there's that year again, 2015. The same year as the Bird Man plauge doctor video, coronavirus and bats possible pandemic discovered, CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing went mainstream, and the Billy Boy pandemic warnings started with a Ted Talk, then the Doomsday Bunkers elite MKultra wealthy segment jumped by 700%.
That's not a good sign.
It's all connected. All of it. We might not know how. Or who's doing what. Or how bad our current ELE events will become, but we need to at least get an outline of the big picture, before the big picture turns into the Main Event.
As far as I'm concerned, there is no possible way our present unexplained mysteries aren't prognosticators of upcoming calamities.
No. Way. At. All.
Let's throw the spotlight back onto our pandemic. It's all plain and simple when you accept the government's and the medical community's word at Face(book) value. Our leaders tell us to Keep Calm and Carry On. Just take two official narrative pills and wait for the vaccine. It's all good. Honestly. Listen. Trust. Obey.
1913 to 1951: Dr. Leo Stanley, chief surgeon at the San Quentin Prison, performed a wide variety of experiments on hundreds of prisoners at San Quentin. Many of the experiments involved testicular implants, where Stanley would take the testicles out of executed prisoners and surgically implant them into living prisoners. In other experiments, he attempted to implant the testicles of rams, goats, and boars into living prisoners. Stanley also performed various eugenics experiments, and forced sterilizations on San Quentin prisoners.[13] Stanley believed that his experiments would rejuvenate old men, control crime (which he believed had biological causes), and prevent the "unfit" from reproducing.
Whelp, at least you could say that Dr. Stanley had the balls to carry out his experiments.
Tuberculosis. Syphilis. Herpes. Influenza. Malaria. The medical society treated us to a rolodex of experiments.
In 1941, at the University of Michigan, virologists Thomas Francis, Jonas Salk and other researchers deliberately infected patients at several Michigan mental institutions with the influenza virus by spraying the virus into their nasal passages.[24] Francis Peyton Rous, based at the Rockefeller Institute and editor of the Journal of Experimental Medicine, wrote the following to Francis regarding the experiments:
It may save you much trouble if you publish your paper... elsewhere than in the Journal of Experimental Medicine. The Journal is under constant scrutiny by the anti-vivisectionists who would not hesitate to play up the fact that you used for your tests human beings of a state institution. That the tests were wholly justified goes without saying.
Wholy justified. Goes without saying. But we would never be so reckless with experiments today, no matter how justified, would we?
NY MAG. March 20
On January 13, less than a week after COVID-19 was identified as the virus behind the outbreak in Wuhan, researchers at Cambridge-based biotech company Moderna proposed a vaccine to fight it. A little over two months later, on Monday morning, a pharmacist in Seattle injected Rebecca Sirull with that vaccine, making her the third person to be injected in a 45-person clinical trial, the first human trial in the country. To rush the vaccine to clinical trial, Moderna skipped animal testing, a somewhat extraordinary measure. Sirull, a healthy 25-year-old editorial coordinator at a research institute, will receive a second injection in a month and have her blood drawn regularly for more than a year. Should the test be successful, the more optimistic estimates suggest that a vaccine could be available in 12 to 18 months. Intelligencer spoke with Sirull about her decision to take part.
Oh. Uhm. OK.
Jill Horowitz stood outside the Quaker Ridge Shopping Center in New Rochelle, N.Y.—an early COVID-19 hotspot—in March, stopping shoppers as they walked into the grocery store. She handed them blue pamphlets soliciting volunteers for a Rockefeller University antibody research study. “I would say, ‘Would you like to help us find a cure?’” says Horowitz, executive director of strategic operations at Rockefeller’s Laboratory of Molecular Immunology. “I didn’t even have to mention coronavirus. This neighborhood was completely subsumed.”
Yessiree ladies and gentlemen, step right up, roll up that sleeve, and get a poke to save all the good folks out there from the pandemic. The one that contaminates surfaces, but now doesn't spread through surfaces. The virus that you don’t need a mask for because a mask will make it worse. The virus you might need a mask for because it wouldn't hurt, but it's not airborne. Put on a darn mask because the virus is airborne. Maybe. But air-conditioning makes COVID-19 worse. So only wear a mask inside. The virus that worsens with pollution, but don't worry about putting on the mask outside. Because if you wear a mask you'll stop the second wave. But there might not be a second wave, it might just be one long continuous wave.
Is anyone else getting the impression that they don't have enough information about the virus to be issuing guidelines yet?
But I'm just being paranoid. I'm sure of it. That was then, and this is now.
Then: In a 1946 to 1948 study in Guatemala, U.S. researchers used prostitutes to infect prison inmates, insane asylum patients, and Guatemalan soldiers with syphilis and other sexually transmitted diseases in order to test the effectiveness of penicillin in treating the STDs. They later tried infecting people with "direct inoculations made from syphilis bacteria poured into the men's penises and on forearms and faces that were slightly abraded . . . or in a few cases through spinal punctures". Approximately 700 people were infected as part of the study (including orphan children). The study was sponsored by the Public Health Service, the National Institutes of Health, the Pan American Health Sanitary Bureau (now the World Health Organization's Pan American Health Organization) and the Guatemalan government. The team was led by John Charles Cutler, who later participated in the Tuskegee syphilis experiments. Cutler chose to do the study in Guatemala because he would not have been permitted to do it in the United States. In 2010 when the research was revealed, the U.S. officially apologized to Guatemala for the studies. A lawsuit has been launched against Johns Hopkins University, Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation for alleged involvement in the study.
That is so reassuring as we move forward, isn’t it? And don't give me any that was back then we've changed arguments. We haven't changed at all. Proof? Ok. Let's go.
This is a link to an LA Times article that talks about Bill Gates and his AIDS fight in Africa. You go Bill. Get them vaccines out to the people. You're such a good guy! That's what a New Normal article would say. This isn’t a New Normal article. It's scathing in it's judgment. They may not be dying of AIDS, or just living longer with AIDS, but they are dying due to other factors, which should be easily acquirable with the wealth at Bill's disposal to prevent.
But there was one item that caught my eye. It talked about a Paper Mill that was in a country in Africa, that Bill owned a substantial amount of stock in. This company owned paper mills in North America. Those paper mills were environmentally friendly with little emissions. But not the one in the African Country. Nope. Not at all. That one didn't bother with environmentally friendly processes.
The story goes on to discuss how one of Bill's AIDS treatment recipients lived downwind from this plant and how the fumes we're probably killing him. And what were the fumes?
Hydrogen Sulfide. (Read more at Flatten the Curve) - Part 13
Yes seriously. Treating them for AIDS while downwind from Hydrogen Sulfide. I'm not sure about you, but that sounds like a medical experiment to me. Seriously, the guy that wants to stop climate-change by geo-engineering the planet doesn't use his clout to stop the pollution from a paper plant that he owns stock in. OK. Makes perfect sense, doesn't it?
Yet actually it might. No, seriously, it really might. I've already stated that the virus seems to be activated with environmental toxins. And here we have an ultimate real life laboratory. And what does this real life laboratory research?
Why maybe it researchers Miasma theory? Huh? Yep. Here we go.
The miasma theory is an obsolete medical theory that held that diseases—such as cholera, chlamydia, or the Black Death—were caused by a miasma, a noxious form of "bad air", also known as night air. The theory held that epidemics were caused by miasma, emanating from rotting organic matter.
Rotting organic matter, like at meat plants?
May 7, 2020: www.wired.com | Why Meatpacking Plants Have Become Covid-19 Hot Spots.
June 23, 2020: https://www.bbc.com | Coronavirus: Why have there been so many outbreaks in meat processing plants?
And do you know what else was associated with Miasma Theory? The Bird Man plauge doctor, just like the 2015 "you're all dead" video.
The word miasma comes from ancient Greek and means "pollution". And then we have Covid-19 and pollution.
The idea also gave rise to the name malaria (literally "bad air") through medieval Italian.
Malaria? What? Crazy? Aren't there debunked studies about Malaria drugs working on COVID-19? Nah. Must be fake news. Right? Or fake facts. Or is it fake news reporting fake facts? I'm just so confused.
Does the strangeness end there? Sadly, it doesn't folks. Not at all. Not in this New Normal.
Because Mr. Bill Gates is trying to eradicate tuberculosis.
And, Hydrogen sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium tuberculosis respiration, growth
Back when I looked for information about the pandemic, I noticed something odd, the mortality rate for Covid-19 fluctuated depending on the region. Now I'm not a doctor, but you don’t have to be to read, do you? So I kept looking at the data for similarities. And they were there. Hypoxic or polluted water like lakes or coastlines. Cities with factory polluting emissions. They all led to outbrakes and higher mortality rates.
And then it changed. I saw ourbreak regions with low mortality rates. It didn't make sense, but there had to be a reason. There's always a reason. And as I kept looking at the similarities of low mortality rates something jumped out, a lot of them were still vaccinated for Mycobacterium Tuberculosis.
Yep.
But this is crazy talk Greek! You're just looking for dots and finding a way to connect them. It's just a coincidence that Bill Gates is funding AIDS prevention, an article exists that points out a therapy participant is close to a source of hydrogen sulfide emissions from a company that Billy has stock investments in, and that Billy also has a program to eradicate tuberculosis. Stop seeing patterns where they don't exist. You're freaking people out.
Crap. Perhaps you're right. Maybe I am freaking people out. But let me show you something else. It's something that I noticed about a month after this pandemic was shutting us down. And it didn't make any sense to me at the time. Ready?
www.pnas.org | BCG vaccine protection from severe coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19.
BCG? What's that?
www.sciencedaily.com | Preliminary study suggests tuberculosis vaccine may be limiting COVID-19 deaths.
And then the studies started backing it up. Even betteworse, they linked it to Hydrogen Sulfide, endogenous not exogenous, but Hydrogen Sulfide is the same no matter if you breathe it in or produce it biologically.
So, yeah. Let's dig.
Endogenous Hydrogen Sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium Tuberculosis respiration, growth, and pathogenesis.
In mammals, H2S elicits a biphasic, concentration-dependent mitochondrial response14, which can be cytotoxic or cytoprotective. For example, at high concentrations H2S reversibly inhibits cytochrome c oxidase (Complex IV)15–17. In contrast, at low concentrations H2S can serve as bioenergetic fuel to stimulate mitochondrial respiration without uncoupling of respiration. Link here
At high concentrations Hydrogen Sulfide can be cytotoxic and reversibly inhibit cytochrome c oxidase. We've followed the White Rabbit and now we're digging. Can't stop now. Won't stop now.
Defects involving genetic mutations altering cytochrome c oxidase (COX) functionality or structure can result in severe, often fatal metabolic disorders.
Disorders involving dysfunctional COX assembly via gene mutations include Leigh syndrome, cardiomyopathy, leukodystrophy, anemia, and sensorineural deafness**.Link here.
Anemia? Like, the Momento movie? Do I have amnesia now and I have to live my life backwards?
Hold on, don't freak out. You don't have amnesia. Self inflicted amnesia induced systemically via behaviorally manipulated echo chambers introduced systemically through social media electronic pathways? Possibly. But this is anemia, and that's another story.
Current management of COVID-19 is based on the premise that respiratory failure is the leading cause of fatalities (Zhou et al., 2020). Nevertheless, mounting evidence points to drastic systemic events taking place that contribute to accelerated COVID-19 pathogenesis. The “cytokine storm” is a notion that is reportedly hailed as the hallmark of the COVID-19 hyper-inflammatory state (Mehta et al., 2020). Consecutive studies linked COVID-19 related hyper-inflammation to systemic events including hypercoagulability, oxidative stress and altered iron metabolism. Mehta et al., 2020, Phua et al., 2020
Hyperinflammatory and altered iron metabolism. Following? Good.
Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) has been regarded as an infective-inflammatory disease, which affects mainly lungs. More recently, a multi-organ involvement has been highlighted, with different pathways of injury. A hemoglobinopathy, hypoxia and cell iron overload might have a possible additional role. Scientific literature has pointed out two potential pathophysiological mechanisms: i) severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV- 2) interaction with hemoglobin molecule, through CD147, CD26 and other receptors located on erythrocyte and/or blood cell precursors; ii) hepcidin-mimetic action of a viral spike protein, inducing ferroportin blockage. Link Here.
Hypoxia? Where have I heard that before?
A dangerous symptom of the coronavirus that can cause a patient to fall unconscious or even die is known as hypoxia — when the body’s tissues do not receive enough oxygen. Dr. Richard Levitan, an emergency doctor working in New York City, wrote for the New York Times at the end of April that he has seen COVID-19 patients with “alarmingly low” oxygen levels, but no shortness of breath. He describes this as “silent hypoxia”. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained. These patients had oxygen saturation levels as low as 50 per cent when normal levels are usually at 94 to 100 per cent at sea level, Levitan explained.
Low oxygen levels. Dysregulates immune system. Are your They Live sunglasses on? Are plugged into the Matrix or hacking the Matrix?
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov | Hydrogen sulfide stimulates Mycobacterium tuberculosis respiration + growth.
Tuberculosis (TB) is responsible for millions of deaths each year and several billion people are latently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). Mtb modulates host factors, such as endogenous gaseous signalling molecules, to persist in humans for decades. H2S has diverse biological functions, including modulation of immunity and cellular respiration. However, the role of H2S in TB is unclear. We found that mice deficient in H2S production are more resistant to Mtb infection than WT mice. Upon infection, Mtb increases host H2S, which suppresses central carbon metabolism and increases inflammation. Distribution of H2S-producing enzymes in human TB lungs showed that H2S is produced at the site of infection. These findings identify glycolysis and H2S-producing enzymes as targets for TB host-directed therapies.
Don't Freak Out like LeChic, but I don't think we're in Kansas anymore Dorothy.
Speaking of Kansas, do you remember the dust storm as the tornado blew in and swept Dorthy to Oz?
The “Godzilla” Saharan dust cloud over the US, explained:
Dust clouds originate in the Sahara, the largest desert in the world outside the poles, and the Sahel, just south of the Sahara. Much of the dust originates in the Bodélé Depression in Chad, an ancient dry lake bed at the threshold of the Sahara and the Sahel. There, convective storms in the early summer whip the dry ground and loft particles of silica, iron, and phosphorous as high as 20,000 feet into the sky. Link Here
And then we have this:
Residents wear face masks to protect themselves from the Saharan dust clouds covering Dakar, Senegal. N95 masks and even surgical masks can help protect people from getting sick from the dust. Breathing dust can trigger problems like asthma attacks and worsen conditions like heart disease. But particles from natural sources can pose some unique threats. “Desert soil can also be contaminated with bacteria and fungal spores or with toxic heavy metal,” Achakulwisut said. “For example, in the US Southwest, dust episodes there have been linked to outbreaks of Valley Fever and arsenic poisoning.” Link Here
Contaminated with bacteria. Guaranteed Anaerobic bacteria. And it carries along metallic compounds. Like this:
**A 2001 study in Limnology and Oceanography suggested that the seasonal windfalls of iron-rich Saharan dust become a banquet for red tides, blooms of algae that spill into the ocean like dye, deplete it of oxygen, and release toxins. Dust clouds can also host unwelcome stowaways. Jun 24, 2020 Link Here.
Red tides. Blooms of algae. Or rather perhaps, Cyanobacteria blooms? All in a dust storm. Maybe we should start wearing masks, right? Don't want to breathe in toxic dust, do we?
But Snake Park is no paradise. For decades the residents have lived with the mine, which they say blows clouds of dust into their homes. Now Snake Park, formally known as Doornkop, is in the sub-district with the highest number of Covid-19 infections in Gauteng. Last week, Gauteng Premier David Makhura linked “cluster outbreaks” on mines, and people moving between them and where they live, to the Covid-19 infections in the western part of Soweto. In 2017, the Bench Marks Foundation, a nonprofit that monitors multinational corporations, released the results of a survey of household health in four mine-affected areas in Soweto. Mine tailings contain heavy metals and chemicals and cause various illnesses, including mental health issues and Down’s Syndrome. The report found that more than two thirds of the respondents in Snake Park complained about respiratory problems, including persistent coughs, sinus issues, asthma and tuberculosis. This year, the August dust storms in Snake Park will coincide with the expected peak of Covid-19 infections in Gauteng.
“We can’t breathe well. This mine is very dangerous. It’s toxic,” Phongoma says, adjusting his bright blue mask. Looking at the mine dump, now glistening in the afternoon sun, he adds: “It’s a bomb. It’s a nuclear weapon — and with this Covid-19 thing, it’s going to explode.” Link Here
Stranger and stranger, isn’t it? So strange that I would venture to say, Stranger Things haven't happened. You might want to read Flatten the Curve Part 39, and what I wrote about Turkmenistan and wearing masks for toxic dust. Link Here
So where are we now? Knowwhere or nowhere? Are you a nobody or a knowbody? Is this picture that I'm painting connecting enough dots for everyone? Does anticipating mass riots in protest of the upcoming environmental collapse, and the wars for natural resources along with it, make the centralization of the economy plus the mass surveillance system make more sense? The masks and facial detection AI improvements? Does ID2020, another Billy Boy project make more sense? The upcoming robotic automation of the workforce? The curtailing of civil rights? Heck, what about the Bill Gates endorsement of impossible meats and the sudden push to vegetarianism? Remember the meat plant shutdowns? Rotting organic matter and Hydrogen Sulfide?
Please remember, Hydrogen Sulfide outgassing is pretty consistent across past Extinction Level Events. Does this mean that all hope is lost? Puhlease. Hope flows abundant. We shut Pandora's Box before hope could escape, remember?
Let me leave you with one final thought. Words matter. Look them up. They know what's happening. They know all of this. The words they use hide it in plain sight.
I've written about Bill's fortuitous investment strategy. How he seemed to hit all the right stocks as the pandemic and environmental collapse strikes. It's mostly hidden in shell companies after shell companies, but it has to start somewhere. And it does. He owns Cascade Investment L.L.C. Link Here
Which: Oct. 22, 2014 · A subsidiary of Cascade Investments LLC, which oversees the Gates fortune, is buying thousands of acres of land in north Florida. Link Here
And what does Cascade mean? Let's look?
cascade (n.)
"a fall or flow of water over a cliff, a waterfall," 1640s, from French cascade (17c.), from Italian cascata "waterfall," from cascare "to fall," from Vulgar Latin casicare, frequentative of Latin casum, casus, past participle of cadere "to fall" (from PIE root kad- "to fall"). cascade (n.) a succession of stages or operations or processes or units;
To prepare. To fall. Interesting choice for a name.
Meteor showers occur when the earth bowls through a dense stream of debris left in the wake of a comet, asteroid, or other space-borne object. Depending on where you look, you may encounter fewer meteors, however. Viewers in the Northern Hemisphere will see shooting stars emanate from the shower’s “radiant” point in the southern sky, meaning the best meteors with the longest tails will be most readily visible in the east and west. A much more spectacular meteor shower — among the year’s most prolific — will pepper the skies with a spattering of bright shooting stars and “fireballs” come mid-August. The Perseid meteor shower peaks the night of Tuesday, Aug. 11. Dozens of shooting stars could be visible beneath a clear sky every hour. Perseid meteors zip across the sky at 37 miles per second. Their diaphanous tails can appear white, orange, yellow, pink, turquoise and even violet, lingering in the sky for a few seconds. The rainbow spectrum of colors come from the combustion of magnesium, sodium and iron. Link Here
Pepper the skies with fireballs. Fall from the skies.
Comet 67P's rotten-egg smell comes from hydrogen sulfide, and the horse-stable odor comes from ammonia. These scents are blended with the fainter almond smell of hydrogen cyanide, the vinegarlike odor of sulphur dioxide and the sweet-smelling scent of carbon disulphide, researchers said. Link Here
Hnmm. It definitely sounds like Bill was getting ahead of the curve before we started to Flatten the Curve, by being a good student and getting prepared before the hoarders bought up all the toilet paper for the upcoming SHTF event.
Wouldn't you agree? Are these all coincidence, or should we pay more attention?
They want us to Keep Calm and Carry On. When do people tell you to remain calm? When you start to panic. So do you really think they would tell us the truth and deal with panicking masses? Or do you think they would hide it?
Hide it in plain sight?
Keep your head up and eyes open. Talk soon.
submitted by biggreekgeek to conspiracy [link] [comments]

A comprehensive guide to (most) transfers in the Bundesliga

A new Bundesliga season starts today! What a glorious day full of wonder and excitement. Bayern München won the treble last season after only drawing and losing four times each across all competitions. To phrase that differently: they’ve won every single match in the Champions League and never went to a penalty shootout in the DFB-Pokal. Here’s to another exciting Bundesliga season.
But what happened over the short summer break, you wonder? A lot for some clubs, astonishingly few for others. The transfer window may still be open until October, but I still decided to take a look at new arrivals and departures in the German top flight. And by “take a look”, I mean, “hurriedly cobbled together a brief overview today”. Can you spot where I started to lose interest?
Anyway, I hope some of you find this interesting or helpful in some way.

FC Bayern München

New first kit

Transfers out

Most of their outgoing players are loanees returning to their clubs, namely Ivan Perišić, Philippe Coutinho, and Álvaro Odriozola. Perišić came in to bolster the squad and be an experienced option for rotation. He did exactly that, playing quite regularly, accumulating eight goals and ten assists. Coutinho too rarely showed his class and most likely won’t be missed much. Odriozola played a grand total of 179 minutes across all competitions, so you can probably guess how sad everyone at the club is to see him go. One loss is much more important than all of these combined, however. Thiago, the midfield maestro, leaves for a rumoured fee of about €30 million to Liverpool. This departure weighs heavy. It’s tough to ascertain how much this will impact Bayern, but given they don’t want to sign a replacement, it will certainly be interesting to watch how well they’ll cope without him. Corentin Tolisso and Michaël Cuisance could step up and fill that Spanish gap, yet I remain doubtful that Tolisso has that quality or that Cuisance is ready for that.

Transfers in

Tanguy Kouassi is a young French centre-back signed on a free from PSG, who unfortunately missed the pre-season and will return in October. Rumours persist that Lucas Hernández could leave, and Jérôme Boateng ain’t getting younger either. Considering that, barring any further signings on that position, he’ll get his minutes. Adrian Fein returns from his loan to second league side Hamburg, where the young midfielder impressed in the first half of the season, only to drop off in the second half. Can he be the new Thiago? Probably not. Alexander Nübel comes in as a new goalkeeper to put pressure on Manuel Neuer. His contract supposedly ensures him 15 apps this season. If that’s true, we might see more of his trademark blunders that saw him temporarily lose his starting spot at Schalke last season. Last but not least, Leroy Sané. Bayern’s most important signing. An elite winger added to the roster, combining pace and technical skill, he’s sure to put his mark on his second stint in the Bundesliga, much to the detriment of every other German club.

Potential breakout players

Here I’ll highlight one or two players who I believe might have their breakout season, like Alphonso Davies last year (but probably no one I mention will reach that level, let’s be real). Joshua Zirkzee, the young Dutch striker, scored four times in the few matches he played last season. He won’t bench Lewandowski, but I can see him getting more minutes and developing further into a proper rotational player. Other than that, despite my reservations, Cuisance could very well make a huge step and be a more important player for Bayern this season behind the likes of Joshua Kimmich or Leon Goretzka.

Borussia Dortmund

New first kit

Transfers out

Probably their most famous yet completely unsurprising departure is the prodigal son Mario Götze. An overall disappointing second time at Dortmund comes to an anticlimactic close, his future still in the stars. More noteworthy from a sporting perspective is Achraf Hakimi leaving, who has set up camp at Inter where he’ll sprint up and down the right flank. Most Dortmund fans will agree that while he was incredibly important, he’s far from being irreplaceable. His defensive work left a lot to be desired, a weak spot he couldn’t always compensate for with great runs and goal-scoring instinct. Other than that, a couple youngsters left. Centre-back Leonardo Balerdi plays on loan for Marseille, while midfielder Immanuel Pherai will spend next season at Zwolle. Both could have a future in black and yellow, but it’s somewhat doubtful for both. Oh, André Schürrle also ended his career.

Transfers in

Reinier came in on loan from Real Madrid to strengthen the attack and provide much needed depth. Whether he’ll amount to more remains to be seen, as he was injured/unfit for most of the pre-season. Thomas Meunier was signed from PSG to offset Hakimi’s departure (along with Mateu Morey). The experienced right-back will likely be a starter and should help the youngsters in the team. Speaking of which, Dortmund also signed 17-year-old Jude Bellingham. Some wondered whether he’d be good enough to be an immediate help. His performance against Duisburg in the DFB-Pokal last Monday served as a first glimpse of his massive talent. He might not be an undisputed starter for all of the season, but he’ll be an important player nonetheless.

Potential breakout players

Bellingham, unsurprisingly. Other than that, Dortmund’s got another treat for the American fans: Gio Reyna should play regularly and continue his good showings of last season.

RB Leipzig

New first kit

Transfers out

A giant, Timo Werner-shaped hole yawns in Leipzig’s offense after his transfer to Chelsea. In 45 matches in the 19/20 season, he scored 34 goals and assisted 13 more. Impeccable numbers that are almost impossible to compensate for. Another significant loss is Patrik Schick, who was loaned from Roma. Not quite as proficient as Werner, he nevertheless scored 10 goals in the league. The Austrian midfielder Hannes Wolf missed significant parts of last season due to injury, after his return only playing for 53 minutes in five matches. Shouldn’t be too difficult to compensate for this loss. The same can be said about centre-back Ethan Ampadu, who returns to Chelsea after only having played a combined total of 277 minutes. Second goalkeeper Yvon Mvogo went to PSV on loan.

Transfers in

Filling Werner’s shoes is a daunting task, one that Leipzig hope Hwang Hee-Chan will accomplish. In a rare, unprecedented event no one could have seen coming, he came in from RB Salzburg for the huge sum of €9 million. He’ll score a couple goals and, being just 24 years old, could develop into a very fine player, but overall a downgrade in quality and depth (given he technically replaces both Werner and Schick). Spanish goalkeeper Josep Martínez, who I’ve never heard of before, replaces Mvogo. Benjamin Henrichs comes in from Monaco to provide depth on the right side. He knows the Bundesliga from his time at Leverkusen, thus he shouldn’t have too much trouble acclimating. Arguably the most interesting signing is Lazar Samardžić from Hertha BSC. The 18-year-old offensive midfielder is regarded as a huge talent, many big clubs were said to be interested in him. This move could have come too early for him, although training under Julian Nagelsmann shouldn’t be to his detriment.

Potential breakout players

After his somewhat disappointing debut season for Leipzig, Dani Olmo will be a mainstay for Leipzig and finally prove himself in a big league. The latter holds true for Hwang Hee-chan, who scored plenty of goals in Austria already.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

New first kit

Transfers out

This transfer window was rather uneventful for Gladbach. Both Raffael and Fabian Johnson have run out their contracts and are now free agents. The former will be dearly missed, if mostly just because of sentimental values and less so for his performances last season. 30-year-old midfielder Tobias Strobl, while always reliable, shouldn’t be difficult to replace either after his transfer to Augsburg.

Transfers in

Also very restrained, something we’ll be seeing more of now with the other clubs still to come. Hannes Wolf, mentioned just above, should improve Gladbach’s midfield as a regular starter. Valentino Lazaro joins on loan from Inter. Planned to be a starter as well, he is out injured for at least another month or two. Another one for the Americans: Joseph Scally, a young right-back, could play for a few minutes here and there until Lazaro’s return.

Potential breakout players

Hannes Wolf should finally be able to demonstrate his class.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

New first kit

Transfers out

On the one hand, merely two important players left Leverkusen this summer. However, these two players are none other than Kevin Volland and Kai Havertz. Volland was, is and never will be a world class player, but he could always be relied upon to score and assist a decent amount. I don’t need to tell you about Havertz, just ask a Chelsea fan.

Transfers in

Well, this one’s gonna be quick. Patrik Schick, after his loan at Leipzig ended, decided to come back to Germany and play for Leverkusen. He should comfortably fill in for Volland. That’s it for now, but Peter Bosz already said they’d like to sign more players, especially to compensate for Havertz leaving.

Potential breakout players

Florian Wirtz will be among the hottest young prospects in Germany and potentially Europe this season. The young winger played a decent amount already last season, where he showed his talent, and it’s likely he’ll make the next step now. Exequiel Palacios, an Argentinian midfielder, couldn’t establish himself last season, but I can see him become an important part of the squad.

TSG Hoffenheim

New first kit

Transfers out

Nothing too interesting, to be honest. Leonardo Bittencourt moves permanently to Werder Bremen after his loan, Steven Zuber goes to Eintracht Frankfurt after a disappointing season, and Gregor Kobel stays with VfB Stuttgart after his loan there.

Transfers in

A quick glance at their squad on Transfermarkt reveals that five of their defenders are injured, among them Konstantinos Stafylidis, their only trained left-back after Zuber left. You’d think they’d have signed someone else for that position, but nope, apparently not. Pavel Kaderabek played as left wing-back in the Pokal, but he’s also injured now. The only player they’ve signed thus far for the first team is Mijat Gaćinović from Frankfurt, a decently talented offensive midfielder who can’t score for the life of him, except against Bayern in a DFB-Pokal final.

Potential breakout players

Christoph Baumgartner, same as last season. While he was good, he wasn’t quite at the point of garnering as much (international) attention as he is capable of.

VfL Wolfsburg

New first kit

Transfers out

With Felix Udokhai, Marcel Tisserand, and Felix Knoche, three centre-backs left Wolfsburg.

Transfers in

To compensate for that, they’ve signed 20-year-old French Maxence Lacroix, who already scored a goal in their Europa League qualifier. As a backup for Wout Weghorst and Daniel Ginczek, they’ve also signed the 18-year-old Polish striker Bartosz Białek. For €5 million, they’re obviously certain of his abilities and talent.

Potential breakout players

Well, I don’t really see anyone else besides these two signings to potentially have a breakout season, so yeah, I suppose it’s them.

SC Freiburg

New first kit

Transfers out

Striker Luca Waldschmidt (now at Benfica) and centre-back Robin Koch (now at Leeds) will be difficult to replace for Freiburg. Regular goalkeeper Alexander Schwolow left for Hertha BSC, talented centre-back Nico Schlotterbeck will play for Union Berlin, and the experienced Mike Frantz also left. Quite a bloodletting, but all things considered, it’s to be expected for Freiburg.

Transfers in

A striker by the name of Ermedin Demirović arrived, who scored a respectable 14 goals for St. Gallen last season. As a reaction to designated first keeper Mark Flekken’s injury, Freiburg loaned Florian Müller from Mainz. Offensive midfielder Guus Til comes in from Spartak Moscow. And with defensive midfielder Baptiste Santamaria, Freiburg has a new record signing, with a fee of €10 million.

Potential breakout players

Freiburg produces new top talents practically every season. This year, it could be Woo-yeong Jeong, but if recent history has taught us anything, it’ll probably be someone no one’s heard of before.

Eintracht Frankfurt

New first kit

Transfers out

A lot of experience left Frankfurt in the form of Marco Russ, Jonathan de Guzmán, and Gelson Fernandes. As previously mentioned, Gaćinović was sold to Hoffenheim, who will be remembered as never having fulfilled what many fans hoped he one day would. Gonçalo Paciência was surprisingly loaned to Schalke.

Transfers in

Ragnar Ache, a young striker, could potentially fill Paciência’s gap. Zuber comes in from Hoffenheim and André Silva is bought after his loan. Aside from that, it’s mainly loanees returning, like Jetro Willems or Aymen Barkok. It’s quite likely we’ll see some of them leave again.

Potential breakout players

If Daichi Kamada manages to score and assist more (consistently), he could prove to be very important for Frankfurt.

Hertha BSC

New first kit

Transfers out

Vedad Ibišević left for Schalke, Per Ciljan Skjelbred is back in Norway, Salomon Kalou is also gone, Ondrej Duda now plays for Köln, and the aforementioned Samardžić who is now at Leipzig. The end of Marko Grujic’s loan will prove to be more severe, I reckon.

Transfers in

Alexander Schwolow from Freiburg, who made a poor first impression during Big City Club™ Hertha Berlin’s DFB-Pokal loss to promoted second division side Eintracht Braunschweig. Deyovaisio Zeefuik (you can bet your butt I copy-pasted that) comes in from Groningen. Since Berlin sold Duda to Köln, they thought they might as well get Jhon Córdoba from them. A good striker, if he keeps up his recent form.

Potential breakout players

Javairô Dilrosun, because it’s about time for him.

Union Berlin

New first kit

Transfers out

A lot of players left Union, but most of them aren’t too noteworthy. Striker Sebastian Andersson, now with Köln, is a heavy loss, as could be goalkeeper Rafal Gikiewicz, who was basically swapped with Augsburg’s Andreas Luthe.

Transfers in

Max Kruse comes back from Turkey to play for Union Berlin of all clubs. Not many people would’ve seen that coming a year ago, I assume. Felix Knoche from Wolfsburg and Niko Gießelmann from Düsseldorf should immediately strengthen the squad, and Schalke’s Cedric Teuchert can prove he’s good enough for the Bundesliga.

Potential breakout players

Max Kruse, obviously.

FC Schalke 04

New first kit

Transfers out

Juan Miranda and Jean-Clair Todibo leave Schalke besides Cedric Teuchert, and none of them need a direct replacement due to their negligible importance in the squad. Alexander Nübel leaves for Bayern, Daniel Caligiuri goes to Augsburg, and Weston McKenny will play for Juventus for whatever reason. Jonjoe Kenny also returns to Everton.

Transfers in

Several loanees return, like Steven Skrzybski, Mark Uth, Ralf Fährmann, Sebastian Rudy, and Nabil Bentaleb. Apart from Skrzybski, these are players with ambitions to be regular starters and at least a modicum of quality, even if most of them couldn’t demonstrate it in the royal blue kits. Otherwise, Vedad Ibišević adds… something to the squad, and Gonçalo Paciência could be a decent striker this season.

Potential breakout players

Can Bozdogan was one of the few bright spots of Schalke’s terrible last season. If he builds on that and David Wagner trusts him, he should develop nicely.

FSV Mainz 05

New first kit

Transfers out

Mainz, for once, don’t appear to have lost any vital players. Most important of the outgoing players is probably centre-back Jeffrey Bruma, now back at Wolfsburg after his loan. Goalkeeper Florian Müller left for Freiburg.

Transfers in

No big departures means no significant incoming transfers. Mainz signed centre-back Luca Kilian from relegated SC Paderborn.

Potential breakout players

17-year-old Paul Nebel was subbed in during Mainz’ DFB-Pokal victory, where he assisted a goal. Perhaps it’s a sign of things to come.

FC Köln

New first kit

Transfers out

Jhon Córdoba, the legendary Simon Terodde, and Mark Uth ー three strikers. No one of particular importance apart from that.

Transfers in

Coming in from Union Berlin, Sebastian Andersson is supposed to compensate for those three strikers leaving. Köln also brought in goalkeeper Ron-Robert Zieler as a backup and to put pressure on Timo Horn. Offensive midfielder Ondrej Duda also joins from Hertha BSC.

Potential breakout players

Left-back Noah Katterbach is in a similar position as Hoffenheim’s Baumgartner. Very promising previous season, but will show even more this year,

FC Augsburg

New first kit

Transfers out

Augsburg legend Daniel Baier left after his contract wasn’t renewed, as has Andreas Luthe. Striker Sergio Córdova will gather valuable playing time on loan at Arminia Bielefeld, similar to centre-back Kevin Danso at Düsseldorf. As has correctly been pointed out, I forgot about Philipp Max leaving Augsburg. The left-back joined PSV for €8 million, a steal even in these times. He's been an integral part of Augsburg's squad for the past years, staying longer than most would have thought.

Transfers in

Centre-back Felix Udokhai is signed permanently after his loan, Rafał Gikiewicz is the new regular goalkeeper, and Daniel Caligiuri will show his Schalke magic on the wings. Tobias Strobl will also add experience to the midfield.

Potential breakout players

I think Ruben Vargas could prove that he’s destined for greater things than playing for Augsburg, with all due respect.

Werder Bremen

New first kit

Transfers out

Nuri Sahin, Fin Bartels, Claudio Pizarro, Sebastian Langkamp, Philipp Bargfrede ㅡ a combined age of 168 years, or an average of 33.6 years. Centre-back Kevin Vogt also left, a greenhorn in comparison with his 28 years of age.

Transfers in

Leonardo Bittencourt stays permanently after his loan, as does Ömer Toprak. Left-back Felix Agu arrives from VfL Osnabrück on a free, same with Patrick Erras from Nürnberg. Bremen also loaned Tahith Chong from Manchester United, showing them how to sign a winger.

Potential breakout players

Probably Tahith Chong, who’s left a good first impression after scoring a goal against Carl Zeiss Jena in the DFB-Pokal. 18-year-old striker Nick Woltemade could see a lot of playing time, as well.

Arminia Bielefeld

New first kit

Transfers out

The loss of right-back Jonathan Clauss likely concerns many Bielefeld fans. He was an important player and integral to their promotion. Most of the other departures hurt from a sentimental perspective. Honestly, it’s remarkable how they’ve managed to keep their squad together.

Transfers in

Several interesting players. Ritsu Doan, a Japanese right-winger on loan from PSV, centre-back Mike van der Hoorn from Swansea City, and striker Sergio Córdova from Augsburg ㅡ all of them on loan. Add to that someone like Austrian winger Christian Gebauer, and you’ve got yourself a promising squad.

Potential breakout players

Centre-back Amos Pieper had a great last season in the second league, and hopes in Bielefeld are high that he continues where he left off. And finally, after all this time, Fabian Klos arrives in the Bundesliga to tear it apart. Dread it, run from, the Klos still arrives.

VfB Stuttgart

New first kit

Transfers out

Anastasios Donis and Chadrac Akolo, two attackers, left for French clubs. Just like right-back Pablo Maffeo, who now plays in Spain, they only ever showed glimpses of what they’re capable of. Sadly, we also have to bid farewell to the one and only Mario Gómez. Press the button to pay your respects.

Transfers in

Centre-back Konstantinos Mavropanos arrives on loan from Arsenal, but faces tough competition from the other new centre-back Waldemar Anton. Wataru Endo bolsters the defensive midfield, goalkeeper Gregor Kobel stays after his loan.

Potential breakout players

What I’ve seen of Silas Wamangituka has been quite impressive, and I assume he’ll play at least an alright first season in the top flight.
submitted by Snurdle to soccer [link] [comments]

DKNG - Fundamental DD Inside - DKNG

This is an example of fundamental DD that takes place at ‘smart’ money institutions based on my professional experience in IBD, Private Equity & most recently at a HF (mods can message me for proof). Not thoroughly fleshed out b/c you autists have limited attention spans, but a summary. Figured I’d take the time to give back to this community that has provided many lolz, & should be a good measuring stick when evaluating other forms of fundamental DD posted here.
NFA.
DKNG - DraftKings, Inc.: vertically integrated US mobile betting operator that also provides retail sports betting & back-end betting solutions through SBTech. Think of SBTech as the tech ‘market-maker’ for traditional sports betting, they do all the funny math to set the betting odds & seem to be working on back-end solutions for DKNG Casino
The Big Picture
Only ~2% of the ~$90Bn gambling revenues were placed online which is the lowest in the world where betting online is legal. For example, in other countries online gaming activity represents ~6% - ~52% of total gambling revenues, with ~12% being the average.
Wall Street expects online gaming revenue to be $20Bn-$40Bn within the next 10 years. For this to be achieved, the online gambling market will have to achieve a ~30% penetration rate on total country gaming revenues. There is an expectation that this is could be easily achievable given penetration trends overseas - see page 11 of this: https://s1.rationalcdn.com/vendors/stars-group/documents/presentations/TSG-Investor-Day_March-27-2019.pdf
Other catalysts include increasing adaptation of sports betting in more states. States that have both legal sports betting + online sports betting permitted: NV, NJ, WV, PA, IA. Sports betting permitted but no online: DE, MS, RI, MO, AR. Prior to COVID there was ongoing discussions across many States, especially ones with growing deficits to explore how permitting sports betting could create a fresh avenue of tax dollars. Post COVID there is an expectation that these discussions will be given extra focus as many States will be hungry for incremental tax dollars. Important to note that currently 43/50 States allow DFS, but given the small share DFS has on total Gaming Revenues, it increasingly looks like DKNG is banking on traditional sports betting for a variety of reasons, more later. There are entire articles on Google arguing this catalyst so I’ll end this here.
Digging Deeper
DKNG’s main offerings are Daily Fantasy Sports (“DFS”) products & traditional sports book products to its clients. Long story short, a metric to look for in my opinion (that is curiously not reported by management or remarked on) is the hold % in traditional gaming sector parlance or the ‘rake’ & compare it to the ‘traditional’ gaming products like sports betting & Blackjack.
For DFS: DKNG takes ~15% of the prize pool (note: used to be ~6-11% [2]). Curiously, their main competitor FanDuel also has moved up to a ~15% rake recently. Google searches show the smaller competitors have a rake in the ~13% range.
This ‘rake’ has grown ~2x in 6 years, but it has been a delicate move on behalf of management. Why? B/c the more ‘sophisticated’ DFS players (equal to autistic day traders on Robinhood) have noted this increase & based on some Googling, some have moved down market to the smaller players. As a side note, many live casino games have their rules altered to grow the Hold %. For example, Blackjack games with 6:5 payouts on 21 have materially higher Hold % than the traditional BJ rules that pay out 3:2. Given the findings so far, DKNG may not have much room to materially increase its hold % in DFS games in the near-term from current of 15%. More on this later.
Now why the fuck is this important? This is important b/c the typical sports book (ex-Parlays) have a ~5% hold %/rake. Parlays have up to a ~30% hold (which is why it’s commonly known as the sucker’s bet), & just for reference, the average Blackjack table clocks in 14.5%. What this means: Every dollar put into these games, the “House” or DKNG, will take 15% of your money for DFS games, for sports bets they will be pocketing ~5%, up to ~30% if you’re into parlays, & we’ll just use the standard 14.5% BJ hold for the DraftKings Casino platform.
So why the acquisition of SBTech & a foray into the traditional sports gambling market? As you can see previously, the illegal sports betting market is >30x the size of the current daily fantasy sports market. So it’s clear that the DFS providers including DKNG are foraying into the space to capture this user base & hopefully convert them into games that have a higher hold %, such as DFS/DKNG Casino.
As of May 2020, DKNG has achieved a 30% penetration rate on its ~4mm ‘monetized’ DFS clientele to its Online Sports Book (OSB), from the OSB+DFS clientele, DKNG has converted 50% into its DraftKings Casino platform.
Including non-monetized users, user base totals at 12mm. Based on these unit economics: every 1mm of additional users -> 333k monetized users for DFS -> 100k users for OSB -> 50k users for DraftKings Casino.
Some Numbers – Italicized/Bolded the important
Numbers that represent Risks to Long Thesis
Things to look for when going Long
- Progress of additional States legalizing sports betting – specifically, States with DFS already legalized
- Cost structure evolving to a more fixed mix vs. the mostly variable mix currently as this will be the forward figure that determines profitability
- Increasing User Base (Curr.: 12mm) -> Monetized Base (Curr.: 4mm) -> MUP (1Q’20: 0.7mm)
Share Price Target
Given the cost structure of the company, I’m going to base the price targets around Enterprise Value / Revenues (driven by MUPs & ARPUs).
Bear Case MUP: 5mm -> $20.32 - $45.73
Base Case MUP: 5.5mm -> $22.27 - $50.10
Bull Case MUP: 6mm -> $24.21 - $54.47
These MUPs imply a monetized customer base of 28mm – 33mm. At the high-end, this implies that DKNG monetized customer base will equal MGM’s current total user base.
At yesterday’s close of $43.70, DKNG is trading at 3.5x – 4.5x forward Revenues on an expected >5,000 MUPs.
Share Price drivers / considerations:
- Continued multiple expansion
- MUP Growth exceeding beyond targets
Management Team
Jason Robins, 39 – Co-Founder & CEO. Duke BA, started DraftKings from day 1 in 2011. The 2 other buddies he started the Company with are still at DKNG. Dude navigated the Company through the scandal that rocked them in ’15 & ’16, and was the trailblazer in getting DFS labeled as a non-gambling product that enabled it to open in States without a gaming designation. This shit is the stuff that gets people in history books. His accomplishments make him seem like a very competent guy. Has 3 kids now, and only ~3% economic ownership in DKNG but has 90% of the voting power through his Class B share ownership. Also he actively participates in venture investments, sitting on 10 boards.
His comp plan performance bonus target is pretty murky, but main drivers are EPS growth, revenue growth, then a bunch of margin & return metrics, along with share price returns. Overall, very open-ended & it’s safe to say as long as shit doesn’t hit the fan, he will be eligible for his max payouts year over year. I’m assuming the lawyers tried to encompass everything possible for maximum flexibility to justify him earning his max comp as long as DKNG is still around.
Since he’s got voting control of 90%, I’ll end the specific-person overview here, but want to note that they have a very bloated C-suite. 12 folks at DKNG, 8 folks at SBTech, all with C-suite designations. Whereas their main competitor FanDuel, has 3 guys with a C-suite designations & 1 EVP, but is a sub under a larger ParentCo that has its own management team of ~5 guys.
Looking through glassdoor you can see the biggest complaint among employees giving bad reviews is based on management, all of the specific issues they point out IMO are a result of a top-heavy company. Seems like a good starting point to optimize their cost structure, but given Robins' history of sticking this entire thing through with his co-founders since '11 stuff like this doesn't seem to be a part of his playbook. They’re a public company now though, so it’s going to be interesting to see going forward.
TL;DR:
If I were to initiate a position in DKNG, the stock would have to fall to the $35-$37 range for me to be a buyer of the stock, and based on this rough intro analysis I'll be considering Put options if it breaches $50. I would not touch Calls at this level.
​
[1] Wall Street Research - 6/27/19
[2] https://rotogrinders.com/articles/bang-for-your-buck-a-look-at-dfs-industry-rake-153302
[3] https://draftkings.gcs-web.com/static-files/8f3a5c5a-7228-45bf-aab2-63604111c48d
[4] Wall Street Research - 5/19/20
[5]https://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/223071/Dont_monetize_like_League_of_Legends_consultant_says.php
[6] https://rotogrinders.com/threads/how-many-people-actually-play-dfs-regularly-252044
submitted by IAMB4TMAN to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

How to Make $2M in Sales with Dropshipping in Two Years/Success Story Interview-Micheal Mackay X CJ Dropshipping

How to Make $2M in Sales with Dropshipping in Two Years/Success Story Interview-Micheal Mackay X CJ Dropshipping
Hi Redditors,
This interview recording is about a success story with Micheal Mackay.
CJ Dropshipping had a video call with Michael Mackay, who generated $757k in sales in his first year, and made almost $2M in sales in two years with Shopify dropshipping. Watch the video to learn how Michael overcome all the difficulties every dropshippers will meet, and find a way to succeed.
https://preview.redd.it/735xuntisms51.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=7507e2a88ea729c88509c461cbdc56e5631af9b9

Check the video here

Interview Content

D: Demi, Youtuber from CJ DropshippingM: Michael Mackay
D: Hi Michael, thank you so much for coming to our channel, and so nice to have you here with us, and could you please give a short introduction of yourself and your e-com business, please?
M: Of course, my name is Michael Mackay, I've been doing Shopify dropshipping and e-commerce full-time now for two years, and I started probably three years ago with not much luck, it took me about a year to get into it. But after that, I've been doing it full time and for a large part of that, I've been working with CJ Dropshipping exclusively to fulfill all my orders for my customers.
D: Yes, so how many stores you are running now?
M: That's a tough question that answer, currently three are operating. I had one store that I started with CJ Dropshipping back in December of 2018 when I started working with CJ, and since then I've added like six or seven stores I've been fulfilling all the orders through that. And currently, we have three that are working with CJ, and hopefully four to five by the end of Q4, that'd be great.
D: So how was the business run, I mean the revenue, can you share with us about it?
M: Yes, from the time I've been doing it full-time since June 2018, we've hit almost 2 million in sales, it's around like 1.7 million dollars in sales total. And the biggest store I've had so far was over the year of 2019, it was a general dropshipping store named the tidesupply.com, and by 2019 we did around 800k dollars in sales with that one store all fulfilled by CJ Dropshipping and as of this year I kind of transitioned more into one product store dropshipping where you know you pick one product and build the whole website around that and market, just the same product.
D: Okay, well that's impressive. So you really made it very successful in dropshipping. And you mentioned you've transitioned into one product store dropshipping this year, do you mind sharing with us what the product is?
M: Yeah, the first one product store I built, so I still do the general dropshipping, though you do need to have a little more capital in order to be successful in that now just because it's getting more competitive, so in order to kind of pivot of that I think one product stores are the way to go just because you can put a lot more effort into the marketing aspects of that store design which is really important these days. So the first one product store I did this year was on this website tacticaldraw.com where I saw this, it was a gun holster that fits around your waistband. It was a concealed carry gun holster and I did really well and within three months we hit like 600k dollars in revenue.
D: Wow, three months 600k dollars, that's crazy, how did you make this?
M: That's a good question because I think it really kind of went along well with the coronavirus, so I think when coronavirus hit, all of us in e-commerce all the people working between Chinese and US relations kind of got hit hard in the beginning, so I just saw kind of a need for it and I thought you know even the gun stores by me were like all sold out so I thought gun accessories were going to be a big product over the next couple of months it still is. I saw a product on YouTube I thought it would fit really well so I spent one week making the website one week coming up with a couple of different advertisements random on Facebook and yeah it's kind of magical from there.
D: That's cool. Can you talk more about your plan in the near future?
M: Yes, I do really love the once product store method, kind of how I just mentioned. The general dropshipping store is great for beginners, just because it's way easier. You just go to Aliexpress or you're going to CJ Dropshipping, and you just pick out the products that you think look the most interesting. And you know if you'd be like okay my mom would buy or my brother would buy this, then you can run a test for it. And you'll eventually find a winner, but in order to become successful in that now, I think you need to have tens of thousands of dollars testing budget, and test 100 to 200 products before you find that winner. Two years ago you would run maybe 20 products and one would hit and your life would be different after that. So I think now that there are so many people involved in dropshipping and in e-commerce in general, even all these brick-and-mortar stores that were struggling coronavirus, they're all switching to e-commerce. And one product dropshipping, you know picking one product that you know has high demand, is going to work if you watch it and spending as much time and focus and doing customer research on that as possible is going to be the way to go from here.I just built a new general dropshipping store, I don't want to share the name of that just yet, but that's going to be running in the background, and I have my team that's kind of got that automated now and then on the side I will be building one product stores probably once every two to three weeks.
D: Wow, fancy plan. So you're going to establish many one product stores. So once you got a winning product that got crazy sales, you will seize that product and then you set up a one product store for it. So you will have many one product stores, how could you manage it?
M: It's tough and it's still a learning experience for me, I have roadblocks all the time, so even a good example is the tacticaldraw.com. You know that during the virus and with a lot of Chinese manufacturers that product just could not get stocked in time, and I remember the best week I had I think we did around it was like 110k dollars in sales every single week, and like the manufacturer did not anticipate that many sales so those orders got put like on the delayed delivery, and it ran into a bunch of payment processor holds, they're into Facebook Ad account bans just because customer feedback so I ended up having to shut that store down. It's still a learning experience to me, but I always hire people in network as much as possible, I think I have like six customer service reps work for me now and I'm gonna try and hire as many as possible just so I don't run into these problems. It's definitely not easy but if you wanna make a lot of sales, it's you gonna treat it like a real business.
D: Yes, so you're going to make it really big. At the moment you are spending all the time scaling up your business, and before you started your dropshipping business what job did you do, what made you quit your job and start with dropshipping?
M: Yeah, it's an interesting story, I think a lot of people can kind of relate to it. I was pretty young, I was a couple of years out of college, I got a sales job, working for a pretty pretty, a tech startup at the time, they're a pretty big company now. I can't(say the name) because I'll probably get trouble from them, It was in sales. I was one of the early employees there, and they were paying great, it was like an 80k salary with up to 120k dollars per year in commission which was phenomenal I was like 24 at the time. But one of the requirements was I had to move to Manhattan so that I didn't have to spend so much time commuting and I can work longer hours. So I was like 24 and I moved to Manhattan and I was paying so much money in room, it was terrible, I was living in an apartment that was like smaller than this room right here. When I was living in Manhattan it was 300 square feet, it was over 2k a month in rent, and I have no savings, I really need to find a way to make more money. I started YouTubing so I started looking into affiliate marketing, I started looking into Amazon FBA, and something just drew me to Shopify dropshipping. So I started a couple of stores failed miserably and around April of 2018 I started to find some success and that's where I am now. So it was purely out of desperation I just was trying to make more money as a side hustle and now it's business.
D: So you didn't succeed at the first try right?
M: Yeah, I know a lot of people in the space give up so easily. Yeah, I don't know it's crazy, it's a weighted, tough business to succeed, it really is. But once you understand the skills, then it does get easier until you hit some of the problems when you're scaling up. I started probably, I can't even remember how many stores I started but it was 4 or 5 stores and I wouldn't mix that sporadically, but never made a profit. I was actually losing money on all those stores until around for a whole year almost until I started the tidesupply.com, and it's been good ever since.
D: Yes so in most cases you will not succeed at the first try, you keep trying, learning at the same time so finally you find a way to succeed.
M: Exactly, yeah, face a lot of the problems in order to succeed.
D: Did you try any other business model before you decided to focus on dropshipping?
M: Yeah, like I mentioned I looked into affiliate marketing and Amazon FBA, and I initially started with affiliate marketing through Clickbank, it was like, it's such a spammy site, that's the thing is like. I was never confident promoting any products that I tried selling, and I think I made one sale for the amount of. I bought so many courses, I've spent so much money advertising on trying to build email lists and things like that, I think I made one sale total. It was like for sports betting program that I was like, it's just a scammer so I quit that just purely because I didn't have the passion for it, I just didn't like it at all.
D: So why did you decide to focus on dropshipping finally?
M: The thing I like about dropshipping compared to like the other business models that are similar to space, like affiliate marketing and FBA, and you know social media marketing and things like that is, with dropshipping you just have the most control over the business. You have the ability to find a product that you like, and if you don't like the product you have to sell, there are literally millions of products on CJ Dropshipping that you can scroll through and pick out the ones that you think you can sell. If you don't think anything you can sell, you just move on to the next one. From there you even have the option to customize the product, or you can get customized packaging, you can customize the whole site design, run the Facebook Ads like the way you want to and you definitely at the mercy of these companies like Facebook and your Stripe and PayPal and things like that, but it gives you the most flexibility determining and determining how you want to run your business. Which was really appealing to me, also the money too. I think it's the most scalable business there is today. So you can have one good store running, you could start a second store you could start a third store, and the income potential is eliminated from there.
D: Okay great, can you talk about what the difficulty you've met since you started the dropshipping business, what the top difficulty you think that makes newbies give up?
M: Yeah so I mean if we want to go into all the challenges I face, we can probably spend like the next 30 hours here, but I know we're on a time limit. As soon as you start making some sales you know you gotta make sure that your customers are happy off the bat which, to be honest, it's something I did not like have down pat when I first started until I started scaling. So the reason I found CJ Dropshipping was because I was working with Aliexpress suppliers. When I was doing a general dropshipping store, I was running so many different products testing so many different products. Every time I made a sale I had to contact a new supplier new manufacturer to get that product shipped. It was terrible so Aliexpress is, I think is an absolutely terrible place to find reliable suppliers, and that's how I found CJ Dropshipping.Since then I run into a lot of problems that other big dropshippers face. Anytime you started making sales in a quick amount of time your payment process is going to shut you down, they're going to put a lot of your money on hold that you need to fulfill orders, and sometimes you have to rely on credit cards and you know maybe sometimes sucking it up and treating the holds like a savings account. All the times your Facebook Ad accounts are gonna get shut down. I know that's probably the biggest reason why newbies quit. If they're not getting sales, it's because Facebook shuts them down and they think it's the end of the world. But there's always a will and a way, so you can always overcome that and find success. The thing about newbies if I can give them one piece of advice is every face, 1000 and more people have faced the same problem and I've overcome it. So don't let one minor roadblock stop you from running a real business that you enjoy.
D: Yes, dropshipping may be an easy way to succeed than other business models, for everybody can start dropshipping with a limited budget, but it's never easy to achieve success right?
M: Yeah, I mean kind of just similar to what I said you know just don't give up every problem you face, just get better and keep trying.
D: Very valuable suggestion. I know that some of our big clients on CJ tested many products at the same time, and once a product got good performance, they seized the product at once, so this is a way to success, right? Keep on trying, keep testing.
M: Yeah you know competitors are going to pop and they're going to steal your Ads, they're going to steal your product description, store design and that eats into your profit, so the next best thing to do is launch another product and make money, and don't quit on the last one until you know you're absolutely out of all options but you know just keep the punches and keep testing products on Facebook and scaling them.
D: Yes, so next question. Did you ever work with other dropshipping agents and how was your collaboration?
M: Yeah, I had and even like a few products recently where I think I can get a better price, and I get an agent to tell me they had better shipping times and things like that. And literally, it never works out. The thing I like about CJ Dropshipping is you guys are a legit company with multiple warehouses and multiple employees and offices. You have dedicated account managers to respond to every problem, my customer services reps can just message the account manager and figure out what issues there are with some orders. A lot of the other private agents I work with, it's really taking a risk, you don't know who they are, you don't know if they have good recommendations. Yeah, I had a horrible experience with a lot of private agents where some just completely lie about their shipping times, others just flat out or refuse to send the products and they just pocket the money and you got to go through all these disputes, and it takes months to get that money back. So I mean some people have success finding private agents you know maybe you travel to China and start looking for agents but I haven't got the chance to do that, so CJ Dropshipping has been the best option for me, and I don't plan on stopping that.
D: Yes, I'm so glad that CJ helps with your business. Though CJ is a young company, and it is growing, we are trying to make our system easier to use and try the best to offer better services. So do you have any suggestions for CJ so we can serve better to you and other dropshippers? Like what aspects we can improve and what new services you expect us to provide.
M: Yeah I mean it's kind of a tough question to answer just because I think as a beginner CJ Dropshipping is perfect, it really doesn't need any suggestions. Aside from like maybe during the busy times when like let's say Q4, like two weeks before Christmas, you have all these newbies that are fulfilling their works for the first time and it's getting bottlenecked and slower delivery times which obviously hurts. But everybody in the world involved in e-commerce understands that when Q4 busy seasons come around and holidays come around, it can get slowed down so I think you know obviously just like improving processing times occasionally every here and there and then. Also, I'm really excited about the US operations you're gonna have, soon I know you guys are building warehouses and things like that, so I actually haven't taken advantage of shipping inventory to the warehouse because it seems so complicated. I would love it if there's a more streamlined position or streamlined solution into helping higher level dropshippers you know get faster shipping times by shipping thousands of units to the US and helping out with it greatly.
D: Yes, that could be a very important problem because customers need faster delivery time, faster processing time, this is the main work we are doing now because now we are launching more and more warehouses around the world. Now we have 8 warehouses you know, yes around the world. And we are now launching a plan of overseas warehouses. If you have a warehouse or basement that you can join our supplier plan, you can be a supplier, so we can ship from the USA to the USA, from Europe to Europe. So that could be a much faster time if this plan is launched. Yes, more and more suppliers joined, so we can expect it, which makes a much faster delivery time, and much more product listings for you to choose from.
M: Yeah that's phenomenal I mean especially Q4 is right around the corner, you know this year I need to buy inventory in bulk and ship it to different warehouses across the world rather than relying on China to ship. So excited for that.
D: Yes and the US is also the biggest market for dropshipping also for CJ so we really pay much attention to this market. We are working to offer faster time, delivery time, and better service.And do you think dropshipping is still promising in the coming years and why?
M: Absolutely, I was pretty worried when coronavirus came around. Sometimes there are always ways to overcome the challenges, but the dropshippers like made that you know kind of test really quick, scale really quickly. I thought that business model might be coming to an end with coronavirus coming around. But I was proven wrong even by myself. So yeah it's definitely I think going to become more competitive which personally to me is a good thing because there's going to be so many more people running products and as soon as I see a product that's doing well on Facebook Ads, I have more products to test myself. So as long as you put more effort in and you refine your website better and you put better more effort into marketing it better on Facebook, then you're gonna always succeed. There's literally no reason you're not going to do that if you put more time and effort. So I'm excited that I'm always willing to put the work in there. I'm here for the next five years at least doing what I'm doing so I'm excited.
D: Yes, great views Michael. Very appreciate for sharing your success story with us and everyone out there I think it's very helpful to hear from someone who succeeded in dropshipping, and that's really a great lesson. Yes, I really appreciate that. I think many of our audiences could learn a lot from your sharing.
M: Yes, of course, I imagine people watching this video right now were in the same position I was in, so you see all these big YouTubers flexing all these big sales days and I used to look at them and think it was impossible. But I found a way to do it, and I think everyone should, I think everyone should try it at least and you know just don't give up until you succeed.
D: Yes so okay thank you. Any final comments you want to say to our audiences?
M: Yeah, I had said it like 14 times this video but just try it, don't give up when you do, you know that success is right around the corner. I thought about quitting so many times and I'm happy I didn't because like we talked about earlier I just moved into a new apartment. It's 30 minutes outside of Manhattan, a great place, the biggest place I've ever lived in the nicest once I lived in and it's all because dropshipping and having CJ help me scale along.
The End
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Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 28, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 28, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Register for your Absentee Ballot here!
Watch here:
Headlines
Full Notes
(continued in stickied comment)
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What is Reverse Line Movement and Public Betting Percentages? Sports Betting 102 How to Win at Sports Betting Betting Odds Explained Become a Better Sports Bettor and Have a Winning Mindset Sport Meaning of sport Bet On It - Extended Edition - Sharp Money, College Basketball Handicapping and Sports Betting Tips

While this is a good piece of information, it’s just that, a piece. A win/loss record doesn’t tell the entire story of how successful someone is in terms of sports betting, especially when you start getting into betting the money line or any other wager where the odds fluctuate. This is where units come in. What Is A Unit In Sports Betting? A unit is sports betting is a simple way to get on the same page. A unit can be a different amount for everyone but what it does is level the playing field. For example, if a bettor says they won $10, that could mean something to 10 different bettors. To illustrate it in more detail, betting 3 units, for example, means the same for every punter. But your £10 unit will never mean the same for punters that can’t afford to place that much at a single unit, or for those whose units are somewhere around £100 or even much higher. What Does Betting Units Won Mean? ... Betting responsibly is the only way to ensure the rollercoaster ride of sports betting is an enjoyable one and not a nightmare. Bonus Bets Recommended. Bonus Code $500 $500 Deposit Match - 100% extra on 1st Deposit. At its root, a unit in sports betting is a form of organization, a way for a bettor to keep track and approach the betting of the games. A unit is an amount of money. A player’s bankroll is split up into units.

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What is Reverse Line Movement and Public Betting Percentages? Sports Betting 102

What Does Fading the Public and Chasing Steam or Sharp Money Mean? Sports Betting 102 - Duration: 5:37. WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips 2,398 views. 5:37. Become a Better Sports Bettor and Have a Winning Mindset: In the latest episode of our Sports Betting Tips series for the recreational sports bettor from the WagerTalk TV Studios in Las Vegas our ... What Does Fading the Public and Chasing Steam or Sharp Money Mean? Sports Betting 102 - Duration: 5:37. WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips 2,397 views 5:37 What Does Fading the Public and Chasing Steam or Sharp Money Mean? Sports Betting 102 - Duration: 5:37. WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips 2,442 views. 5:37. What Does Fading the Public and Chasing Steam or Sharp Money Mean? Sports Betting 102 - Duration: 5:37. WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips Recommended for you

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