In this subreddit people seemingly prefer DNB, for the slightly higher odds, but double chance will return a profit if it comes in, where as a draw would see you only return your initial stake. Why do people prefer DNB?
Daily Double for Today Not great, still fun though! Double Record Overall: 14W-17L : -10.59 Units Profit July: 2W-9L : -21-5 Units Profit 3 Unit Stake 🕧11:00 Daegu vs Ulsan Hyuandi Over 1.5,2.0 Goal Line @1.375 -Daegu average 3.2 goals a game, 3.4 at home -Daegu 90% games over 1.5 (last 9/9), 100% at home (last 3 games Over 2.5) -Ulsan Hyuandi Avg 3 goals a game, 3.2 away -Ulsan Hyuandi 90% Over 1.5 (last 4/4), 100% away. Last 5/10 Over 2.5 -Last 10/11 Over 1.5, 5/11 Over 2.5. -Daegu Home vs Ulsan Hyuandi away last 7 Over 1.5 Goals, last 4 Over 2.5 Goals. 🕧20:05 Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split @1.36 Dinamo Zagreb Double Chance, to score over 0.5 goals and over 2 corners in the SH -Zagreb are top of the league -Zagreb scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 games -Zagreb seen 3 or more corners in the second half in 9 out of their last 10 games -Split seen 3 or more corners in the second half in their last 10 games -Zagreb goal and Zagreb win or draw has landed in 4/5 H2H -Corner side of the bet has landed in 3/5 H2H @1.87 Daily Tips on Twitter alongside builders and accas! Also our full record sheet for full transparency: https://twitter.com/MilkChocTips PayPal link, any donations very much appreciated!: https://www.paypal.me/arjybarji Google Drive Results BOL!
yesterdays acca 6 out of 29 failed.https://imgur.com/W1ckaJ7 but I made several variations of the acca and two hit!!! a 30 fold https://imgur.com/hc5GEV5 and a 28 fold https://imgur.com/WW3LiIf .The other losses were https://imgur.com/xecFggZ, https://imgur.com/2YjwFyZ, https://imgur.com/Q6zMfti,https://imgur.com/3BvtRFH, https://imgur.com/drJbTvq. I always wager a maximum of 1$ or less per acca so that I dont suffer huge losses. previous wins https://imgur.com/5SxKx4Q, https://imgur.com/OfqouVC My strategy for succesfull accas Goals Market According to my own observation the tops european Leagues, England,Germany,Spain,France average about 2.6 goals per game. In second tier european leagues like Swiss,Norway,Sweden,Denmark is even higher. so over 1.5 goals per game almost always hit.Another source of goals galore are the amateur european leagues like in Austria,Germany,England,Denmark,Sweden,Finland,Estonia. Cup games also always tend to bring goals allover.This doesn’t necessarily mean that most games will see a hatful of goals, but rather that high-scoring fixtures happen a little more frequently. Its also important to investigate the teams own history and form before making conclusions. Hme wins or Double Chance A higher percentage of wins always happens at home. so a bet on a home team to win or draw will hit most of the time. Home wins on average can account for around 45% of results during a season, while draws average around 20% and away wins just over 30%. Try to avoid betting on away wins consentrate on home or draw or better home or draw only and betting on home money line if youre very sure... This also depends on the strengths of the teams and form. Switching Markets Switching different betting markets can help you cover different eventualities like say team A to win and both teams to score can also be good in the over 2.5 market,btts and ov2.5market.This can be helpful especial when two good teams meet and you cant easily pick a clear winner.You can also bet on a completely different market like in acca1 for team a you bet on 1X2 market, and in another acca you bet on the goals market. Alternative Markets Most punters are unaware of just how diverse the betting markets are. You can back which team will score the first, a likely player to score,how many cards or corners there will be,if a penalty will be given,time of first sub etc. In past European Football league seasons, there has been an average of a little over 0.15 red cards per game and around 3.5 yellow cards, with fluctuations being minor, a bet of over 2.5 cards happens more often than not.
I intend to write a far more detailed guide to match betting without using an odds matching tool like P.A. over the next couple of weeks, this guide will be better suited to those who have zero knowledge of match betting
What is Match Betting?
Match betting is a LEGAL, RISK FREE & TAX FREE way of earning Money. You earn by taking advantage of the various sign up and "reload" offers that bookies provide new and existing customers. For example, when you sign up to William Hill they have an offer of "Deposit £10, get a £20 free bet" You can use this bet and then lay against it at a betting exchange For example: Bookie: Bet Chelsea to WIN Exchange: Bet Chelsea to NOT WIN (It should be noted than when you make a lay at a betting exchange you're covering all other options, so by saying you think Chelsea will NOT win you're saying they will either lose or draw, anything except win) So now that you've placed them, these two bets will cancel each other out, resulting in you breaking even (or losing a little bit of cash) after this initial bet you will be credited with your free bet. Now, repeat this process again - except this time it's not your own money being used to place the bet! So you get to keep the profits.
How to get started
The best way (I believe) to get started is to sign up for the free trial on Profit Accumulator | Non and follow their step by step instructions. Using their site you can claim two of the offers and earn £45. During the trial you will have the basics of match betting explained to you and once you have earned from your free trial you can use the profit to upgrade to a Platinum account(£22.99/month or £150/year). If you become a platinum member you will have access to hundreds of offers and dozens of extra guides to help you on your journey. When I started doing this a few years back I only used £50 (That I earned doing surveys) as my starting float, however a bigger pot of £100 is advised to help you work through offers quicker. If you're going to get started with match betting, I recommend you take a photo of the following: Passport or Driving License, bank card used to deposit money, and a recent utility bill - As the bookies fraud prevention teams occasionally ask for these (I've only had it happen once, but it does happen)
Review of the best Match Betting Sites
Profit Accumulator | Non Profit Accumulator is the oldest and largest match betting community out there, with over 20,000 members on its private forum. Their guides are very simple to follow, with text guides, video guides and a list of offers for first time match betters to sign up to. The Profit Accumulator team are also the only match betting site which has a dedicated customer support line. Profit Accumulator have also developed a lot of tools over the past year or so, including Oddsmatching, which find you the right games to maximise your profit, the match catcher which is used betting on the horses, The Acca catcher which is for people who’ve been doing this for years and now use accumulators to make most of their profit, a profit tracker. More recently they’ve created the Early Pay out calculator the Offers Calendar and the Match Betting Diary Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £17.99 after that
Odds Monkey | Non OddsMonkey used to be my favourite sites until Profit Accumulator pulled slightly ahead of them. They’re very user friendly & focus more on newbies to the game. They’re the original creator of the oddsmatcher, which finds the perfect bets for you to make maximum profit. Once again they offer written & video tutorials for people of all abilities and experience. As well as a huge community to offer you support. Odds Monkey is the only site where you can get 1 on 1 training by one of their seasoned professionals, simply pick your time slow and you can talk to someone who’s been match betting for years. OddsMonkey probably offer more tools than any other sites, including: OddsMatcher, Racing Matcher, Each way matcher, Acca matcher, Acca finder, dutch search, tennis matcher and more.
Heads&Heads | Non Head&Heads is relative new comer to the game, founded in 2016 it is run by one man, however that one man is some type of match betting machine sent from the future to help us get back at the bookies, it seems to update with reloads and new offers quicker than the two sites above who have large teams. Their dashboard is clean, cut and simple making it very clear how much you’ve earned and where. They also have the oddchecker, a tracking table of every bet you’ve made, which is directly linked to their bet form. In my opinion heads&heads is the best site for more experienced match betting users. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £17.99 after that HeadandHeads has kindly provided the following code BMUK01 which will give you 30 days of premium membership for £1
Being gubbed & mug bets
Mug bets - Ok, so match betting is completely legal, however, Most bookies aren't too keen on you only using them for offers. So it's highly recommended to place occasional "mug bets" - What's a mug bet? It's basically a normal (small) bet which is nothing to do with your match betting. A mug bet is simply a small bet to make you look like a regular customer, once again Profit Accumulator | Non has got you covered on the best ways to place mug bets. They advise following a cycle: Qualifying bet, free bet, mug bet, withdraw profits. Being gubbed - This is when a bookie has figured out that you're only match betting and using their offers, the bookie can limit your account to only making small bets, or not getting any offers. You can get back in good stead with them by placing non-offer bets but this could take time and still never amount to anything.
Slot Offers
These offers aren't required to make a healthy profit, but they can be a good earner for you. Slot offers come in many different flavours, and you have to take each one for its merits, some are simply a few free spins and sometimes you have large wagers involved for your free spins. People are often put off by slots because a lot of the time they’re not completely risk-free. It is up to you to weigh up the value of doing them as you have the chance to win big from doing these, you have the potential to make upwards of £100 from a single offer, but like I said... not for everyone. Profit Accumulator | Non will advise you about the risk factor for each slot offer. It will either be no risk (so for examples and offers where the bookies will give you your money back – wager £5 and be credited £5 if you lose it all) or a low risk offer (which is what most slot offers are) where you have to wager a larger amount but the potential earnings are a lot higher. They will also tell you which slots you are best using, unless the offer is for a selected slot only
Jargon Buster
When you start your Match betting journey you'll notice lots of terms thrown around, if you're unsure of them ask me and I’ll try to explain. Here are some of the common terms: Lay Bet: This is the bet you lay in the exchange against your bookie bet. This bet covers you for all options that are not what the bet is backing – e.g. Bet is to WIN; the lay bet will cover LOSS and DRAW. Qualifying Bet: This is when you place a bet to qualify for an offer, for example if the offer was "bet £10 get a £20 free bet" then £10 is your qualifying bet. Mug Bet: This is a small bet placed to convince the bookie you're a regular punter Gubbed: When a bookie bans or limits your account, this usually happens due to a lack of mug bets.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is Matched Betting a scam? A: NO! Everything is tried & tested, supported by various forums all over the internet and has been features on the BBC, The Guardian and various other news outlets... it's legit!
Q: Is Matched Betting Gambling A: NO! With Gambling you have a risk, Match betting has no risks because you cover every outcome - the only risk is human error.
Q: Is Matched Betting really risk free? A: Yes and No, If you just follow the instructions for the offers then you will face no risk. However if you decide to use slot offers then there is a slight risk associated with it, but that's your choice you aren't required to do the slot offers.
Q: How is Matched Betting tax-free? A: As it's considered gambling you don't pay any tax on your winnings.
Q: Will Matched Betting affect my credit rating? A: NO! But bookies will leave an imprint on your credit file. This is just an identity check to make sure that you are genuine.
Q: Do I need a separate bank account for Matched Betting? A: NO, But it is recommended, simply because seeing lots of deposits and withdrawals to casinos can look unappealing on your bank account. Most mortgage companies want to see 3 months worth of bank statements - but if you have 10 bookmakers on them every week it might look like you have a problem. TLDR: Use the free trial from Profit Accumulator | Non to make your first £45 from the bookies (Risk Free).
World Cup Tips & Predictions Alright lads, here we go! As I’m writing this we are 7 days away from the start of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia and to say I’m excited is an understatement!! Over the course of this article I will be giving my predictions and tips for the tournament and my reasoning behind them. Some really nice bets lined up and I will be doing daily tips once the tournament starts. Also just want to mention that I am working on a video explaining a strategy where you make 100 6 cent attempts to predict the exact finish of each group where the returns range from anywhere from 14k all the way up to 250k, all for a total investment of €6! (Iea was taken from a post on this subreddit) So it is definitely worth a try. Just before we start, depending on where you are reading this you can follow my progress and my other tips for the tournament on my twitter page @TheProfitBets. So without further ado, let’s get into my World Cup predictions! Winner: France @ 13/2 The main bet most people will look towards before any major tournament is “Who is going to win it?” so it’s only right that we start things off here. France are 4th favourites for the tournament behind Argentina, Germany and Brazil. So why do I fancy France over others? First of all, let’s look at talent. France are truly blessed at the moment talent-wise and an XI of players France aren’t bringing to Russia would put many other National teams to shame. In each position France have World Class players from Llorris in goals to Kante, Pogba (On his day), Mbappe and star-man Antoine Griezmann (who we will hear more from later). They have many different options off the bench also and can approach games in many different ways with players like Giroud, Matuidi, Fekir and Tolisso all offering something different. This squad is largely similar to the squad that narrowly lost out in Extra-Time to Portugal in the Euro 2016 final so tournament experience is something France have in their favour, even given the youthful look of their squad. France are in Group C with Denmark, Australia and Peru and are expected to progress with ease to the Round of 16. Where they will likely face Uruguay, before a possible gauntlet run to the final where they would possibly have to beat Portugal, Brazil and Germany before lifting the trophy. A tough run no doubt but with the huge depths of talent at their disclosure I think that the French can go all the way. The reason I fancy France over others is because of that depth of squad, which can only be rivalled by Germany, who France beat 2-0 in the Euro 2016 Semi-Final. The likes of Argentina and Brazil are reliant on a couple of players and if Messi/Neymar were to have a bad day or get injured, their teams likely would not be able to pick up the pieces (*see Neymar’s absence vs Germany in 2014 and Messi carrying Argentina through qualification). This leaves me at a toss-up between France and Germany, which I find very hard to call but have leaned towards France. France are currently priced at 13/2 in most bookmakers. Top Goalscorer: Antoine Griezmann @ 13/1 I’ve gone for Antoine Griezmann to be top goalscorer at this year’s World Cup. His finishing is deadly and his pace and eye for goal is among the best in World football at the moment. Griezmann won the golden boot at Euro 2016 with 6 goals and is coming off a season where he scored 27 goals, including 2 in the Europa League Final. The main reason I’ve picked Griezmann is because of the group France are in. France are likely to put plenty of goals past Australia, Denmark and Peru and we could easily see the Atletico man score a few in the group stage. Griezmann is also France’s penalty taker which will probably see him scoring at least one or two goals from the spot throughout the tournament. Although Griezmann is my pick for top goalscorer other honourable mentions include Neymar @ 12/1, Timo Werner @ 20/1 and Thomas Muller @ 33/1 (World Cup Muller!). Overall though I feel the Frenchman is a good bet for the golden boot. Group winners/to qualify ACCA @ 11.6/1 Now that we have done the two main outright single bets, let’s look at some multiple selections. This bet I look at who I think will win or qualify from each group to make a nice looking 11.6/1 accumulator. This is nicely priced and will provide entertainment for each game in the group stages. Group A – Uruguay to win group @ 10/11 Group B – Portugal to qualify @ 4/11 Group C – France to win group @ 1/3 Group D – Argentina to qualify @ 1/7 Group E – Brazil to win group @ 2/7 Group F – Germany to win group @ 2/5 Group G – Belgium & England to qualify @ 2/9 Group H – Columbia to qualify @ 4/9 I think this looks a great bet. Uruguay will play an Egypt side without Mo Salah and should have too much for Saudi Arabia and Russia. Portugal should beat Iran and Morocco to get out of the group. We have already looked at France. Argentina should qualify from their group however it is a tricky group so feel free to leave them out as 1/7 is an awful price I think. Brazil should see off the Swiss, Serbians and Costa Rica to finish top of Group E. Germany should be well able to see off Korea, Sweden and Mexico. Belgium and England will surely breeze past Tunisia and Panama while Columbia should get out of a tricky group with Poland Senegal and Japan. This is one of my favourite bets for the tournament so let’s hope it goes our way! Last place treble @ 5.6/1 This is a nice little treble where I look at teams who I think will finish bottom of their groups. Group A – Saudi Arabia to finish last @ 2/5 Group B – Iran to finish last @ 10/11 Group H – Japan to finish last @ 3/2 Saudi Arabia are competing in their 5th World Cup and their first since 2006. They are in Group A alongside Uruguay, Egypt & Russia. On paper they look to be the weakest team in the group and they will open the tournament against hosts Russia. Every other team in their group has far superior players and a last place finish looks likely for the Saudi’s. Iran are in Group B with Spain, Portugal and Morocco. Again, Iran are by far the weakest team on paper and it is hard to see them getting a result from either game with Spain or Portugal and will likely not have enough to challenge a Moroccan side with players such as Benatia and Ziyech. 10/11 looks a great price here. Japan are in Group H with Columbia, Poland and Senegal. They were in Columbia’s group in 2014 where they lost out 4-1. I think Poland and Senegal will also have too much for the Japanese and I see them finishing bottom of the group. Overall, 5.6/1 looks a decent price for this bet and looks to be great value. Group Games ACCA @ 18/1 More of a fun bet that looks good on paper so I’m not going to go through each selection here as it is an 11 fold! But nonetheless here it is! France to beat Australia @ 2/9 Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 4/11 Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7 England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11 Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4 Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5 France to beat Peru @ 4/11 Belgium to beat Tunisia @ 1/4 England to beat Panama @ 2/9 Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3 Group Game MEGA ACCA @ 127/1!! This one is a bit of a stretch to say the least but I’ve put a free bet on it for some excitement. Uruguay to beat Egypt @ 4/7 Portugal vs Spain over 1.5 goals @ 2/5 France to beat Australia @ 2/9 Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6 Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 2/5 Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7 England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11 Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Portugal to beat Morocco @ 8/15 Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4 Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5 France to beat Peru @ 4/11 England to beat Panama @ 1/5 Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3 Spain to beat Morocco @ 4/11 Jesus that was a mouthful! Going to be hard to land that one but that is not the focus of my tips for the tournament by any means! Best Value Bets Here are some bets that I feel offer great value whether you back them as singles or in multiples. Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Iran to finish bottom of Group B @ 10/11 Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6 Egypt to score vs Russia @ 4/7 Egypt to beat Saudi Arabia @ 8/11 Brazil & Serbia to qualify from Group E @ 6/4 Portugal & Spain to qualify from Group B @ 4/9 My favourite bets are the 11.6/1 bet and the 5.6/1 treble but what I’m most excited about for the World Cup is the 6 cent bets which we will look at in the next article. Thanks for reading and be sure to give me some feedback or have some discussion on my twitter @TheProfitBets. Cheers!
Does anyone on here ever take part in the football jackpot syndicates on betfair? I’m a regular betfair user but I’ve only recently noticed the syndicate section which is quite separate from the sportsbook or exchange app. It normally presents a few markets each day for you to create a syndicate on. For example, one of TonIghts markets is a correct score predictor for tonight’s 4 Premier League games. You select your predictions but unlike a normal accumulator, you can make multiple selections on the same game. For example, I might be torn between the Newcastle Burnley game being 1-1 or 2-1 so I select both. I can choose as many different scores as I like but this obviously increases the number of lines/bets required to cover every eventuality in an acca. This is where the syndicate part comes in. Let’s say I choose 3 scores for each of tonight’s PL games it actually requires 81 bets to cover all of those eventualities. If we assume £2 a line (the default), then this would cost me £162. Rather than take on all that risk myself though I can create the bet by contributing between 10% and 50% of the required stake and then asking others to contribute the rest. If someone contributes 10% (£16.20) then they will win 10% of the winnings and so on. The bet only gets placed once the contributions reaches 100%. If it falls short then the money is auto refunded to your betting account. The winnings are Pool based rather than odds based. Similar to things like Sky Bets super 6. Tonight’s correct score game I mentioned above has a jackpot of £188k. Hopefully some of this made sense and sorry for boring those that are already familiar with it. Anyway, I thought it would be a good idea if we occasionally group together on this sub for a syndicate. Maybe discuss what the bet should be in the sub and then once we’re in general agreement someone can place it and if others fancy it they can join the bet. Alternatively, if people are creating syndicates they could make a post on this sub so that others can join if they want in. Anyone interested or any other thoughts?
I bet on two teams to win the same league in one accumulator - can someone explain this to me?
Today I was putting an accumulator together on Paddy Power with a bunch of teams who are already in first place to win their respective leagues, and somehow I accidentally added Hannover to win the Bundesliga at odds of 500/1 to my betslip. However, in the same accumulator, I have Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga at odds of 1/500. So I'm not sure what exactly needs to happen for me to win money on this accumulator? Here's the betslip. Would I be right in saying that I get some sort of winnings if any 12 of the 14 teams win their leagues? Date Details Stake Result 24/03/2015 Accumulator (12) To Win Troyes @ 1/4 Outright Betting French Ligue 2 Outright Betting 2014-15 £5.00 Pending Midtiylland @ 1/100 Outright Betting Danish Superliga Outright Pending Juventus @ 1/100 Outright Betting Serie A 2014-2015 Pending Bayern Munich @ 1/500 Outright Betting Bundesliga 2014-2015 Pending Hannover 96 @ 500/1 Outright Betting Bundesliga 2014-2015 Pending Bournemouth @ 6/4 Outright Betting English Championship Outright Betting 2014-2015 Pending Benfica @ 4/9 Outright Betting Portuguese Super Liga Outright 2014-2015 Pending Galatasaray @ 7/5 Outright Betting Turkish Super League 2014-15 Pending Carpi FC @ 1/4 Outright Betting Italian Serie B Outright Betting 2014-15 Pending PSG @ 3/10 Outright Betting French Ligue 1 Outright Betting 2014-15 Pending Burton Albion @ 4/7 Outright Betting English League 2 2014-2015 Pending Bristol City @ 1/14 Outright Betting League 1 2014-2015 Pending Barcelona @ 3/10 Outright Betting La Liga 2014-2015 Pending Chelsea @ 1/16 Outright Betting Premier League Outright Betting 2014-2015
So Round 2 ends after a week of surprisingly little betting. The Top 5 competitors are to go through to the final round so a look back at how the round ended:
It was a bit disheartening that there wasn't as much participation as there had been in the previous round, including two that didn't even participate. In Round 2 there was a total of 75 bets made altogether, to put this in a wider perspective, three of the bettors made 50 bets. The average odds per bet were 12.80 (this average comes down to 3.32 when you remove the absurd 714.70 9-fold acca u/da4street had). Whilst there was an overall Win% of 36% (almost identical to last round), if you have tailed every single bet that everyone made you would be down -55.68u, or an ROI of -27.43%. A much worse effort than last round. The best bets of the round came from u/Il_Gigante_Buono's bet of Liverpool to Win the second leg at Man City in the Champions League @6.00, and u/smithmustscore's great bet of Metz to beat Rennes away from home @7.50. Both quite widely unexpected results and both teams came back from 1-0 down to win 2-1! The worst bet of the round was quite obvious, u/da4street's 9-fold Win Acca @714.70 wins that title. In the end only 2 of the 9 games won whilst u/da4street also placed a 5u max bet on this. It's hard to say what the best bet type was as none were profitable but Trebles were closest to that title, 3/9 trebles won at an average odds of 3.20. Generally speaking the Win% for each bet type has been near the average, Singles winning ~40%, Doubles ~30%, Trebles ~25%, Accas ~15%. To see more stats, check out the SPREADSHEET. As we enter the last round, this last week will be the deciding week to determine the BEST BETTOR OF APRIL. I'm hoping there's more participation in this round, the minimum bets needed is still either to place at least three bets again or just bet on two different days within the week. As has been the case in the last tournament, the winner can only be crowned the best bettor if they are in profit by the end of the week. If no one ends the week in profit then it will enter an extra week and all of the bettors from this round will also be included into that extra round. As for any future tournaments, I know there is a lot of interest but with there being a low turnout this round it as made me rethink of how I can change things. Most likely this will be to reduce it to two rounds or to have no rounds at all and just have it cover a couple of weeks. A side note, I will be on holiday at the start of May so I won't be starting another tournament straight after this, it will likely start on 12th May if at all as it will be so late in the season at that point. I'll decide later down the line, if someone wants to take over the reins then by all means message me and they can manage it all for the next month. Whatever happens I'm definitely looking to do a World Cup special one!
So you are looking for betting tips that will make you a good amount of money A friend of mine introduced me to this platform a few days ago and asked me if it would be something for me to share some useful knowledge about sports betting with you guys. It all started as a simple side issue for me a few years ago. Now, I turned sports betting into a profitable investment. In addition to my studies at the university, I earn some decent money with sports betting. The bets I place are generated by a very extensive research of data and statistics and knowledge / information through different channels. By placing these 'value bets' I manage to beat the closing line of Pinnacle significantly. When it comes to pre-match bets, the theory about 'value betting' also explains why I can realize long-term profits. Finding value in sports betting is the key to become a profitable bettor in the long term. Now, the idea of value betting is to find exactly those odds where the implied probability of the odd is actually incorrect. This explains a positive return (yield) in the long term, as long as your sample of matches is large enough. Therefore, I'll refer to 'the law of large numbers'. These value bets can be statistically proven on the basis of the closing line of the Asian bookmaker Pinnacle. Just before the match, these are the most efficient odds in the market. Over a sample of 397,395 football matches, Pinnacle’s odds accurately predicted the real world outcome 99.7% of the time. Now, if you are able to beat this closing line, a profit can be expected. This requires patience and discipline, but ultimately delivers a guaranteed profit. In addition, I only place single bets. Although betting accumulators is a method of betting which is quite popular among the more recreational players, it isn't profitable at all! As much as this may look attractive at first sight, the fact of the matter is that parlay bets are actually far from profitable in reality. Bookmakers do everything they can to make these accumulator bets look attractive to bettors. They offer things like acca insurance and this is not without good reason. With each added game, accumulator bets give a much smaller chance of winning your bets. And for each game added to your betslip there is also an extra margin for the bookmaker. Moreover, they also remove the chance to benefit from the games that you did predict correctly. Only one wrong prediction is enough to lose the whole bet. If you had played all the games as single bets, you might have even ended up in profit despite losing one or even two prediction(s). For questions or advice you can always send me a message, betting is after all my passion!
With the football back, and the big fight at the weekend there’s never been a better time to start Match Betting
I decided to write this when I noticed almost every one of my friends was signing up to book makers in order to have a punt on the McGregor Mayweather fight this weekend. If you’re thinking about doing this, you should know there’s another way to get money off of the bookie. If you’ve never heard of Match Betting at all, then check the guide I wrote earlier which covers the basics & terminology used but the TLDR is that Match betting works by playing bookies against each other and claiming their sign up offers for yourself. It’s legal, tax free, risk free & quite fun. So if you’re interested, can read & follow instructions then check out these sites: Profit Accumulator | Non Profit Accumulator is the oldest and largest match betting community out there, with over 20,000 members on its private forum. Their guides are very simple to follow, with text guides, video guides and a list of offers for first time match betters to sign up to. The Profit Accumulator team are also the only match betting site which has a dedicated customer support line. Profit Accumulator have also developed a lot of tools over the past year or so, including Oddsmatching, which find you the right games to maximise your profit, the match catcher which is used betting on the horses, The Acca catcher which is for people who’ve been doing this for years and now use accumulators to make most of their profit, a profit tracker. More recently they’ve created the Early Pay out calculator the Offers Calendar and the Match Betting Diary Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £17.99 after that
Odds Monkey | Non OddsMonkey used to be my favourite sites until Profit Accumulator pulled slightly ahead of them. They’re very user friendly & focus more on newbies to the game. They’re the original creator of the oddsmatcher, which finds the perfect bets for you to make maximum profit. Once again they offer written & video tutorials for people of all abilities and experience. As well as a huge community to offer you support. Odds Monkey is the only site where you can get 1 on 1 training by one of their seasoned professionals, simply pick your time slow and you can talk to someone who’s been match betting for years. OddsMonkey proably offer more tools than any other sites, including: OddsMatcher, Racing Matcher, Each way matcher, Acca matcher, Acca finder, dutch search, tennis matcher and more. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £15.00 after that
Heads&Heads | Non Head&Heads is relative new comer to the game, founded in 2016 it is run by one man, however that one man is some type of match betting machine sent from the future to help us get back at the bookies, it seems to update with reloads and new offers quicker than the two sites above who have large teams. Although the most expensive subscription, at £3 more than Profit Accumulator their free trial is the best, letting you earn up to £200 and their weekly reload emails are simply the best there is. Their dashboard is clean, cut and simple making it very clear how much you’ve earned and where. They also have the oddchecker, a tracking table of every bet you’ve made, which is directly linked to their bet form. In my opinion heads&heads is the best site for more experienced match betting users. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you up to £200 and then £20.00 after that
Odds Watchdog | Non Odds watchdog is the newest and least established of all of the sites I’ve listed, their main focus is on live training & support for their members. As such they offer individual and group coaching via live chat They offer most of the tools listed above and like to focus on quality of offers rather than quantity, so you might find they don’t have as many as the other sites. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you up to £25 and then £25.00 after that
With the football back, and the big fight at the weekend there’s never been a better time to start Match Betting
I decided to write this when I noticed almost every one of my friends was signing up to book makers in order to have a punt on the McGregor Mayweather fight this weekend. If you’re thinking about doing this, you should know there’s another way to get money off of the bookie. If you’ve never heard of Match Betting at all, then check the guide I wrote earlier which covers the basics & terminology used but the TLDR is that Match betting works by playing bookies against each other and claiming their sign up offers for yourself. It’s legal, tax free, risk free & quite fun. So if you’re interested, can read & follow instructions then check out these sites: Profit Accumulator | Non Profit Accumulator is the oldest and largest match betting community out there, with over 20,000 members on its private forum. Their guides are very simple to follow, with text guides, video guides and a list of offers for first time match betters to sign up to. The Profit Accumulator team are also the only match betting site which has a dedicated customer support line. Profit Accumulator have also developed a lot of tools over the past year or so, including Oddsmatching, which find you the right games to maximise your profit, the match catcher which is used betting on the horses, The Acca catcher which is for people who’ve been doing this for years and now use accumulators to make most of their profit, a profit tracker. More recently they’ve created the Early Pay out calculator the Offers Calendar and the Match Betting Diary Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £17.99 after that
Odds Monkey | Non OddsMonkey used to be my favourite sites until Profit Accumulator pulled slightly ahead of them. They’re very user friendly & focus more on newbies to the game. They’re the original creator of the oddsmatcher, which finds the perfect bets for you to make maximum profit. Once again they offer written & video tutorials for people of all abilities and experience. As well as a huge community to offer you support. Odds Monkey is the only site where you can get 1 on 1 training by one of their seasoned professionals, simply pick your time slow and you can talk to someone who’s been match betting for years. OddsMonkey proably offer more tools than any other sites, including: OddsMatcher, Racing Matcher, Each way matcher, Acca matcher, Acca finder, dutch search, tennis matcher and more. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you £45 and then £15.00 after that
Heads&Heads | Non Head&Heads is relative new comer to the game, founded in 2016 it is run by one man, however that one man is some type of match betting machine sent from the future to help us get back at the bookies, it seems to update with reloads and new offers quicker than the two sites above who have large teams. Although the most expensive subscription, at £3 more than Profit Accumulator their free trial is the best, letting you earn up to £200 and their weekly reload emails are simply the best there is. Their dashboard is clean, cut and simple making it very clear how much you’ve earned and where. They also have the oddchecker, a tracking table of every bet you’ve made, which is directly linked to their bet form. In my opinion heads&heads is the best site for more experienced match betting users. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you up to £200 and then £20.00 after that
Odds Watchdog | Non Odds watchdog is the newest and least established of all of the sites I’ve listed, their main focus is on live training & support for their members. As such they offer individual and group coaching via live chat They offer most of the tools listed above and like to focus on quality of offers rather than quantity, so you might find they don’t have as many as the other sites. Cost:FREE TRIAL! which will earn you up to £25 and then £25.00 after that
Hello guys! FootyStats here again with different type of competition involving accas! Be sure to read the rules. We hope you like this competition, and hopefully more competitions will come into the near future. And a thank you to the mods for letting us run this competition.
$10 Cash Competition - FootyStats
Use the odds on the site to make your own triple bet!
Pick 3 bets on the site
Write your pick and the odds in your post
Multiply the 3 odds and get your Accumulator Odds
Pick games from Saturday/Sunday only!
Results will be checked on Monday
Winner announced on Twitter @footystats_org
Friday midnight GMT +2, competition ends! No more entries.
The person with the highest accumulator odds and gets all 3 correct will win. If nobody wins all 3, then we’ll move down to who got 2 right… and so on and so forth. One participation per person only, and PayPal is required as it's the safest way to transfer money. Any questions? Feel free to PM me. Alright the competition ended, as said. Monday the winner will be announced. And the winner is clear, milansakic! Congrats! /Devroxian Edit: End time. Edit: No more entries! Edit: Winner posted.
Hey /SoccerBetting !!! So this is the last week I'll be using last seasons data, as from week 7 I will be switching to this season's data only!!! So this week I have updated the spreadsheet in the hope of trying to make it a little more user friendly!!! How to read the new layout is as follows:
For Moneyline/European Handicaps (EH)/ Highest Scoring Half (HSH) the line reads as 1/X/2 for the HSH that is 1st/X/2nd
EH -1HT = -1 Home Team (this will be the same as Away Team +1 for the draw and Away Team result...bookie dependant)
EH -1AT = -1 Away Team (this will be the same as Home Team +1 for the Draw and Home Team result...bookie dependant)
For the Ove Under Markets....it is exactly as that first will be the Over odds second will be the Under odds (same for BTTS yes first no second)
So here is this weeks predicitons As for the Heinz last week was not the best but least it wasn't a total loss! My Heinz picks this week are:
Crystal Palace vs Leicester O2.5 goals @2.05
Southampton vs QPR O10 Corners @2
Hull vs Man City HSH 2nd @2.05
Liverpool vs Everton Goal line O3 @2.025
Chelsea vs Aston Villa HSH 2nd @ 2
Sunderland vs Swansea HSH Draw @ 3.4
£57 returns £1099.82 As for the £5-500 rolling acca I am putting the £184.32 on Liverpool vs Everton O10 Corners @1.61 this returns £296.76 Have fun everyone P.S. Please give me some feedback on the new layout! Edit: well Fuck -.- 10 corners only one more needed .... I'll start a new acca next week I reckon.
Hi lads, I posted this a few days before the World Cup. Thought it might be interesting to look back at it to see what I thought before the tournament and see how my predictions went. As you can see I predicted a France win but in the original post I was persuaded by people in the comments to go for Germany, which I did lol! Anyway just thought this might be an interesting read, let me know what you think! World Cup Tips & Predictions Alright lads, here we go! As I’m writing this we are 7 days away from the start of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia and to say I’m excited is an understatement!! Over the course of this article I will be giving my predictions and tips for the tournament and my reasoning behind them. Some really nice bets lined up and I will be doing daily tips once the tournament starts. Also just want to mention that I am working on a video explaining a strategy where you make 100 6 cent attempts to predict the exact finish of each group where the returns range from anywhere from 14k all the way up to 250k, all for a total investment of €6! (Iea was taken from a post on this subreddit) So it is definitely worth a try. Just before we start, depending on where you are reading this you can follow my progress and my other tips for the tournament on my twitter page @TheProfitBets. So without further ado, let’s get into my World Cup predictions! Winner: France @ 13/2 The main bet most people will look towards before any major tournament is “Who is going to win it?” so it’s only right that we start things off here. France are 4th favourites for the tournament behind Argentina, Germany and Brazil. So why do I fancy France over others? First of all, let’s look at talent. France are truly blessed at the moment talent-wise and an XI of players France aren’t bringing to Russia would put many other National teams to shame. In each position France have World Class players from Llorris in goals to Kante, Pogba (On his day), Mbappe and star-man Antoine Griezmann (who we will hear more from later). They have many different options off the bench also and can approach games in many different ways with players like Giroud, Matuidi, Fekir and Tolisso all offering something different. This squad is largely similar to the squad that narrowly lost out in Extra-Time to Portugal in the Euro 2016 final so tournament experience is something France have in their favour, even given the youthful look of their squad. France are in Group C with Denmark, Australia and Peru and are expected to progress with ease to the Round of 16. Where they will likely face Croatia, before a possible gauntlet run to the final where they would possibly have to beat Portugal, Brazil and Germany before lifting the trophy. A tough run no doubt but with the huge depths of talent at their disclosure I think that the French can go all the way. The reason I fancy France over others is because of that depth of squad, which can only be rivalled by Germany, who France beat 2-0 in the Euro 2016 Semi-Final. The likes of Argentina and Brazil are reliant on a couple of players and if Messi/Neymar were to have a bad day or get injured, their teams likely would not be able to pick up the pieces (*see Neymar’s absence vs Germany in 2014 and Messi carrying Argentina through qualification). This leaves me at a toss-up between France and Germany, which I find very hard to call but have leaned towards France. France are currently priced at 13/2 in most bookmakers. Top Goalscorer: Antoine Griezmann @ 13/1 I’ve gone for Antoine Griezmann to be top goalscorer at this year’s World Cup. His finishing is deadly and his pace and eye for goal is among the best in World football at the moment. Griezmann won the golden boot at Euro 2016 with 6 goals and is coming off a season where he scored 27 goals, including 2 in the Europa League Final. The main reason I’ve picked Griezmann is because of the group France are in. France are likely to put plenty of goals past Australia, Denmark and Peru and we could easily see the Atletico man score a few in the group stage. Griezmann is also France’s penalty taker which will probably see him scoring at least one or two goals from the spot throughout the tournament. Although Griezmann is my pick for top goalscorer other honourable mentions include Neymar @ 12/1, Timo Werner @ 20/1 and Thomas Muller @ 33/1 (World Cup Muller!). Overall though I feel the Frenchman is a good bet for the golden boot. Group winners/to qualify ACCA @ 11.6/1 Now that we have done the two main outright single bets, let’s look at some multiple selections. This bet I look at who I think will win or qualify from each group to make a nice looking 11.6/1 accumulator. This is nicely priced and will provide entertainment for each game in the group stages. Group A – Uruguay to win group @ 10/11 Group B – Portugal to qualify @ 4/11 Group C – France to win group @ 1/3 Group D – Argentina to qualify @ 1/7 Group E – Brazil to win group @ 2/7 Group F – Germany to win group @ 2/5 Group G – Belgium & England to qualify @ 2/9 Group H – Columbia to qualify @ 4/9 I think this looks a great bet. Uruguay will play an Egypt side without Mo Salah and should have too much for Saudi Arabia and Russia. Portugal should beat Iran and Morocco to get out of the group. We have already looked at France. Argentina should qualify from their group however it is a tricky group so feel free to leave them out as 1/7 is an awful price I think. Brazil should see off the Swiss, Serbians and Costa Rica to finish top of Group E. Germany should be well able to see off Korea, Sweden and Mexico. Belgium and England will surely breeze past Tunisia and Panama while Columbia should get out of a tricky group with Poland Senegal and Japan. This is one of my favourite bets for the tournament so let’s hope it goes our way! Last place treble @ 5.6/1 This is a nice little treble where I look at teams who I think will finish bottom of their groups. Group A – Saudi Arabia to finish last @ 2/5 Group B – Iran to finish last @ 10/11 Group H – Japan to finish last @ 3/2 Saudi Arabia are competing in their 5th World Cup and their first since 2006. They are in Group A alongside Uruguay, Egypt & Russia. On paper they look to be the weakest team in the group and they will open the tournament against hosts Russia. Every other team in their group has far superior players and a last place finish looks likely for the Saudi’s. Iran are in Group B with Spain, Portugal and Morocco. Again, Iran are by far the weakest team on paper and it is hard to see them getting a result from either game with Spain or Portugal and will likely not have enough to challenge a Moroccan side with players such as Benatia and Ziyech. 10/11 looks a great price here. Japan are in Group H with Columbia, Poland and Senegal. They were in Columbia’s group in 2014 where they lost out 4-1. I think Poland and Senegal will also have too much for the Japanese and I see them finishing bottom of the group. Overall, 5.6/1 looks a decent price for this bet and looks to be great value. Group Games ACCA @ 18/1 More of a fun bet that looks good on paper so I’m not going to go through each selection here as it is an 11 fold! But nonetheless here it is! France to beat Australia @ 2/9 Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 4/11 Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7 England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11 Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4 Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5 France to beat Peru @ 4/11 Belgium to beat Tunisia @ 1/4 England to beat Panama @ 2/9 Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3 Group Game MEGA ACCA @ 127/1!! This one is a bit of a stretch to say the least but I’ve put a free bet on it for some excitement. Uruguay to beat Egypt @ 4/7 Portugal vs Spain over 1.5 goals @ 2/5 France to beat Australia @ 2/9 Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6 Brazil to beat Switzerland @ 2/5 Belgium to beat Panama @ 1/7 England to beat Tunisia @ 4/11 Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Portugal to beat Morocco @ 8/15 Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia @ 1/4 Spain to beat Iran @ 1/5 France to beat Peru @ 4/11 England to beat Panama @ 1/5 Portugal to beat Iran @ 1/3 Spain to beat Morocco @ 4/11 Jesus that was a mouthful! Going to be hard to land that one but that is not the focus of my tips for the tournament by any means! Best Value Bets Here are some bets that I feel offer great value whether you back them as singles or in multiples. Columbia to beat Japan @ 3/4 Iran to finish bottom of Group B @ 10/11 Croatia to beat Nigeria @ 5/6 Egypt to score vs Russia @ 4/7 Egypt to beat Saudi Arabia @ 8/11 Brazil & Serbia to qualify from Group E @ 6/4 Portugal & Spain to qualify from Group B @ 4/9 My favourite bets are the 11.6/1 bet and the 5.6/1 treble but what I’m most excited about for the World Cup is the 6 cent bets which we will look at in the next article. Thanks for reading and be sure to give me some feedback or have some discussion on my twitter @TheProfitBets. Cheers
I had a 4 team acca draw no bets . So done it as a Lucky 15 and got 2 right, one wrong and one draw. Now to me I should have got 7 x £1 stakes back plus profit on the acca for the 2 right results. I done £1 x 15 lines but only got £5.36 back?? To me the return should be at least £7.00 plus....
Sorry I missed last week chaps but I had a rather big exam on the Friday and didn't have time to run the model. Anyhow Here is this week's predictions . So this could be another rather expensive week if it doesn't come through again. As for the Heinz bet here are this week's choices :
City vs Chelsea 2nd half highest scoring @ 2
Newcastle vs Hull 1st half highest scoring @ 3.2
Leicester vs Man United O10 corners @ 2
Aston Villa vs Arsenal O2.5 @ 2
Swansea vs Southampton 1 @ 2.5
Crystal Palace vs Everton 2nd half highest scoring @ 2.05
£57 returns £1195.80 For my £5-500 Rolling acca I'm putting the £32.11 on QPR vs Stoke O9 corners @ 1.4 this returns £44.95. Fun fact the last three games between Stoke and QPR the game has ended on exactly 10 Corners and you can get this @ 8.50. I'll update as the weekend progresses!! P.S. handicaps are on the way. EDIT: BOOM O9 lands and we now have £44.95 I'm placing this on Newcastle vs Hull GOAL LINE OVER 2 @ 1.6 this returns £71.92 Edit: urgh Newcastle Hull heinz out and it's not looking good with Swansea down to ten men... Least Arsenal came in. Edit: So we now have £71.92 I'll update either tonight or tomorrow morning I will be wanting to put bets on both kick off times so just keep checking back for any more updates. Edit: so first bet on the rolling acca is Leicester vs Man United FIRST HALF GOAL LINE O1 @ 1.675 this returns £120.47 EDIT: BOOM BOOM that game in rather quickly!! Just looking at the latter games will update in a few minutes. Edit: ok putting the £120.47 on Everton team goals O1.5 @1.53 this returns £184.32 Final Edit: for the rolling acca we are now currently on £184.32!! 3/4 more bets and we should be at our £500!! The Heinz this week was a let down, but with that said I think the week pretty much was hard to call lots of surprise results but hey that's why we love footy eh!!! Until next weekend everyone! Have fun.
But it’s that fine line between heartbreak, and ecstasy that makes the accumulator one of the nation’s favoured betting methods. And a reason so many people want to know what an accumulator bet is! Let’s say, for example, you create an accumulator with the following selections: ... But did you know that accas are also widely used with ... Horse racing accumulator tips for free from myracing. The best acca tips and bets from experts, from 10/1 to over 100/1! Each-way Accas. Each-way accumulators are also extremely popular strategically with horse racing punters, but they are a little different as they are made up of two bets.The standout of our horse racing each-way acca tips is to keep in mind you have one multiple on your selections to win and a separate one on your selections to place at a percentage of the odds – usually a quarter or a fifth. 18+, New customers only – Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30f - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least €10 (£20 e/w) placed on any sports markets - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit method and withdrawal restrictions apply - full T&C’s apply Accas can include winning teams, players, horses or even diverse football markets such as both teams to score (BTTS) or the Over/Under goals betting. All of these can work together in one multiple selection accumulator. That said, mixing your sports in an acca may effect potential boosts and insurance promotions with some online bookmakers.
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