| | submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/b88yp5srv9z31.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=40ca6e2ece3b36c915e55bf033c2c18ebab3ff4f Thursday Night Recap Singles: 2-2 (-0.02u) Soooo close! Personally I think the OBJ conspiracy was real. He had 10 targets (the most) and almost scored the first TD on their first drive. Not only did his TD get reviewed and overturned but soon after, Juju was taken out of the game. On to the next one! Parlay: 0-0 (0u) None BBDLS: 0-0 (0u) Nothing of note here. We put in a free bet and it is still live, but there are much harder games to clear on this one. Lets ride the wave! SBBDLS: 0-0 (0u) None Teasers: 0-0 (0u) None Sunday Games Dallas @ Detroit (-7): This weeks games opens up with a 1pm slate of games that are dooseys. Almost every one of these games feels like the favorite should win but they all have a reasonable percentage of underdog upsets. With Stafford playing the algo predicts this one 27-24 Dallas. But with no Stafford this game is going to rely on the Lions D and their backup QB. The Lions run d allows 4.6 ypc (22nd) and 130 ypg (26th). While their pass D averages giving up 272 ypg (27th) and a 100 passer rating (23rd). The Cowboys passing offense is 3rd in ypg, 4th in ypc, and 1st in ypa 1st. Last week Zeek had a horrible game vs min going 20 rushes for only 47 yards at 2.4 ypc... but he is still top 10 in rush yards with 78 per game. Some interesting stats to go with the Dallas run game:
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+5): Just as the Dallas game, this game looks like it should be a win for the favorite just based upon the offense for the favorite vs the defense of the dog. However, there are definitely scenarios that have Tampa Bay coming away with an upset. The algo has this one as NO -2. Curiously it look-ahead around -7 and has moved down to settle in around 5. This is probably due to the fact the Saints were embarrassed last week by the Falcons. They came out of the bye with 0 energy and the Falcons took advantage. TB was able to pull through last week despite losing the turnover battle and trailing in the fourth. Tampa Bay's ability to protect the ball on offense and force a turnover on defense will be the key for a victory. "They’re 2-12 in games with 0 takeaways. When they force a takeaway, they’re 22-27. When they record exactly one takeaway, they’re 5-16. When they record exactly two, they’re 5-10. Three, as it turns out, is the magic number. When they record at least three, they’re 12-1. Unfortunately for Tampa Bay, New Orleans almost never commits three turnovers in a game. In fact, the Saints haven’t done so since 2017, and they haven’t committed two in any game this season." Uncharacteristically, Brees was sacked 6 times last week. Now he is going against Shaquile Barret this week who has 11.5 sacks (1st). The Saints do have Kamara back, but the TB rush D is tops allowing only 78 ypg (1st) and 3.4 ypc (3rd). Brees will likely look to the air as Thomas is on fire, averaging over 100 ypg, and the Tampa Bay pass D ranks bottom of the league giving up an average 299 ypg (league worst) and an average 100 passer rating (24th). In terms of injuries, almost everyone is a go. The only notable injury is Saints Marshon Lattimore. He has been ruled out and this should really add to the TB abuse of the deep ball. The algo does favor the Saints to win, but I don't think I can lay the points on this one. Fun Fact: NFC South foes Tampa Bay and New Orleans have split their annual series every season since Jameis Winston entered the NFL. NO won the first meeting. Atlanta at Carolina (-5): My algo has this coming out at Carolina -7. I understand the movement as Atlanta got a huge upset last Sunday and Carolina lost by 2 inches. Before we jump into the stats, I think the most important information for this game is Carolina’s starting tackles, Dennis Daley and Greg Little are both questionable for the game. If they play, I see Kyle Allen having time to throw, CMC having holes to run through, and little resistance from an ATL secondary that ranks near the bottom in everything. However, if those tackles are out, ATL may be able to repeat last weeks performance (6 sacks and 11 QB hits) and give themselves opportunity at another big divisional upset. Other injuries to note: The Falcons will be without tight end Austin Hooper, their receptions (56) and receiving touchdown (six) leader who is out with an MCL sprain. The Panthers will be without defensive back Ross Cockrell (quad), who has played a big role in a variety of positions in the secondary. But, for the Panthers, cornerback James Bradberry back. I am leaning towards Carolina here and while the focus will be on CMC, I think the edge can be found with the WR's in this one. Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-2.5): Whoa. Two completely different QBs than the previous week for both teams. It looks as if Brissett is back for the Colts, and after 9 weeks with no BDN, Nick Foals returns. My algo has this game at 22-22 with some HFA to be added in for Indy. This looks like what Vegas got too because they made the spread -3 (hfa on a pk) and the total around 44. Looks like they don't know how to handle the QB change and decided to let the market dictate the price. The Jags are coming off a bye and see the return of wide receiver Dede Westbrook (neck), cornerback D.J. Hayden (neck) and linebacker Quincy Williams (hamstring). Both teams have rush defenses that rank in the bottom of the league, but on the flip side, both teams have rushing offenses that are pretty good. With Jax having the clear edge here. A key stat to note for the Jax rush defense is they are 4-0 when holding opponents under 100 yards rushing...but they are 0-5 when they dont. Without TY Hilton again this week to help stretch the field, I feel like JAX will be able to stack the box and keep the rush yards for IND to a minimum. Denver at Minnesota (-10): This is another game where I dont think Vegas knows how to cap it. My algo came out with 15-25 MIN. They Vegas spread is -10 with a total of 40. It seems they know the public will like MIN just seeing them come off a win on prime time. As you have probably guessed, my gut leans DEN as I took them on Thursday in my BBDLS parlay. Let's look into the game to see what else is going on. First, we see Denver coming off a bye. Yet another QB named with the last name Allen hopped into the NFL, replacing the injured Joe Flacco and he was 12-of-20 passing for 193 yards and two touchdowns while beating the Cleveland Browns in his first career start. Then, he went into a bye week, giving him double time to get in sync with the plays and the receivers. You know what, there are stats that say the Vikings offense is legit, and the Broncos D is legit. They both have decent running games and run defenses. I'd say the key here is if Min can pressure the young QB. If they can...its a wrap. If they can't? I see Denver with an easy cover and possibly an upset. NY Jets at Washington (-2.5) This is a curious coin flip of two bottom of the barrel teams this year. The Jets are coming of a win and the Redskins are coming off a bye. This feels like an under game. My algo has this at 20-20 but there is no adjustment for Haskins yet. He has had an extra week to prepare, but the Redskins tend to rely on AP to generate some running game. He will be going against a Jets run D that is L.E.G.I.T. giving up only 3ypc (best in the league) and 82 ypg (2nd). The Redskins run game will an added boost in Guice who will be returning. Honestly, all the numbers lean Jets favor. However... everywhere I look 70-75% of the bets are on the Jets...and the number keeps pushing in their favor. This is usually a big red flag to take the opposite of the majority! Buffalo at Miami (+6.5): My algo has this 22-20 Buffalo. This is an interesting rematch of a divisional battle. This time though Frank Gore will be returning home to battle his old team in front of his family. Also Jordan Phillips, Bills defensive tackle is returning to where he was originally drafted. He is having a monster year, so watch out! Looking at the Bills offense, it has been pretty mediocre. However, it will be facing a Dolphins defense that ranks bottom in almost everything. ( 31st in points allowed, 29th in total yards, and 30th in sacks per attempt ) Im sure the Bills would like to see their RBs get it going in this match up, but the MIA run d hasn't been that bad. If you take out the games against Baltimore and Dallas (they gave up 500 rush yards in those two combined) then they only averaging giving up 116 per game. If they can hold Buffalo under 100 yards, the potential for an upset exists. The Bills have only ONE win in the 14 games where they failed to rush for at least 100 yards since Sean McDermott took over as coach. They had only 84 last week in Cleveland. Houston at Baltimore (-4.5): Oooo, this is probably going to be my favorite game of the 1pms. I rarely watch the games, but I am excited to see these teams match up. My algo has this game Bal -4.5. Lining right up with the Vegas spread. Will Fuller has been ruled out for HOU. I dont have analysis for this because Baltimore should be leading in most if not all categories. But I am going to give my gut play here and its ride with the Texans. No analysis, just gut. Arizona at San Fransico (-9.5) Another divisional rematch. This one is interesting because it has seen a pretty big line movement. It opened in most places as high as -14. But has moved to settle around 9.5/10. My algo actually has this as SF -12.5, however that doesn't account for any injuries...of which the 49ers seem to have in spades. The Niners will be without running back Matt Breida, Joe Staley, and kicker Robbie Gould. Linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair has been ruled out as he has not cleared the concussion protocol. Defensive lineman D.J. Jones has a groin injury that will sideline him this week. Emmanuel Sanders is hurt but looks to play and Kittle is listed as doubtful but who knows, we saw him dominate the last game vs AZ after his knee got reversed. Honestly, almost every article I read said the same thing. 49ers are mad injured, played 5 quarters on Monday and lost, and now play a divisional opponent on a short week that they only beat by 3 points just 2 weeks ago, bet the Cards to cover and possibly upset. That was my original train of thought too. Then I looked at the public betting percentages. Everywhere you look, 2 out of 3 spread tickets are on the Cards with some places over 70%. Yet the line has had a ton of trouble breaking 10 and with all that love for AZ you'd think it would drop to 7.5/8.5. Because of this, it appears the edge may actually be with the home team to win a blowout. Should be interesting to see what happens! New England @ Philadelphia (+4.5): An interesting match up here. My algo has this 24-21 NE. Both teams are coming off a bye with limited injuries. The Pats will be without safety Chung, and the Eagles will be without darren sproles, alshon jeffery and deshean jackson. Jordan Mathews is questionable, but Ajayi was signed his week to help with RB depth. What makes this pick really hard is even with all these injuries to the Eagles and Bellichek's after a bye win percentage, AND 80% of the picks being on NE...the line has only moved a point, a point and a half a most. How big are the bets on the Eagles right now to keep the line from ballooning? The Eagles run d is legit, but their secondary is still crap. The Pats D was exposed last week but that was vs an MVP caliber QB lead offense. How has this line not moved?! I want to bet the Pats so bad, but there is this thread pulling at me to take the Eagles. Choose with care here boys. Cincinatti @ Oakland (-11.5): There isn't much to say here. Cincy is winless and starting a backup QB that was destroyed last week. Oakland has some energy. They fought through a grueling road schedule and now get some rest at home. But, 11.5 points for an OAK team this year just seems like too much. And 11.5 for a cincy team with a back up QB on the road when he just lost by 40 at home...cant do it. The algo has this 24-18 OAK but thats not adjusted for the new QB. Honestly I dont have an adjustment for him because I dont know who he is! I am riding OAK to win in some parlays but points are tough. Knock on wood if you're with me. :D Chicago @ LA Rams(-6): Last game of the day. Prime time NFC match up. While both of these teams are technically still live for a wild card spot, I don't think either will realistically make it. The Rams have a shot if they can win here AND win vs Dallas and Seattle but honestly I dont see that happening this year. Crazy enough, my algo has this game 21-20 Bears... I think if Montgomery is a go for CHI this game is much tighter. But if he sits, I dont see the offense for the Bears having as much rhythm. Monday Night Kansas City vs LA Chargers (+4): I dont normally add the Monday game into these write ups, but since I will have this team in my parlays and teasers, I decided to add it. I am betting this for only one piece of info I heard. (My algo actually likes the opposite side here) This game is in Mexico City. The elevation there is higher than Denver. The Chargers spent all week practicing in Denver to get their bodies acclimated to the elevation. Kansas City has stayed home. With as bad as the KC defense is, the elevation factor, and 4 points...I will be siding with old man Rivers to 2nd half comeback and cover. (and possibly win!) Note: We have approx 17u in Bonus money from Refer-A-Friend Bonus. Also, Borgata Sportsbook emailed me this week and offered me 10u in free bets just because I made an account there a year ago and never played. Unlike alllll the other sites in NJ, it does have a rollover. It is 6x, so I will use these free bets on only parlays that way if I hit one, I will have extra funds to hit the rollover without playing it for many weeks. Going really basic this week. Mostly spreads. Singles 73-72-2 (+26.78u)
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IF YOU KNEW HOW LONG IT TOOKNow, this isn’t a piece of merch for iridescence, but it’s a phrase that seems especially suited for the prevalent themes of dealing with a meteoric rise in popularity in such a short span of time. The group tackles this throughout the entire album, from the short interlude lifted from a Cam’ron interview about knowingly being exploited in an attempt to make it big on LOOPHOLE to the especially biting testimonies from each group member on TONYA. Kevin laments a life different from the one he has, admitting “I deleted Facebook, I’ll trade fame any day/For a quiet Texas place and a barbecue plate.” Dom also expresses his desire for simpler times, admitting “I fantasize about a time when everything was simple/My shelter sheltered me from things I needed to commit to.” Merlyn reveals his insecurities about succeeding in the music industry, admitting his “Daddy said ‘Study or get that cash’/Mommy said ‘Your career ain’t gon last.’” That’s not to say the album is all bleak – there’s moments like the Kevin’s cute tribute to his boyfriend, Jaden Walker, on SOMETHING ABOUT HIM, but at the end of the day, it’s not a happy album. Kevin states it best on the album’s closer, FABRIC:
AND HOW MUCH YOU WOULD HAVE TO GIVE UP,
YOU WOULDN’T WANT TO BE FAMOUS
I can’t sleep like I used toIn many ways, iridescence is a breakup record. It’s a farewell to the SATURATION trilogy and the days of making music in a small home with a single couch, doing nothing but making music and being in the company of those who care about you. It’s an honest acknowledgement that they can’t return to their old life, that they must say goodbye to some freedom from omnipresent scrutiny. It’s a reflection on what it means to part ways with a group member, but most importantly, a friend. A friend that many of them knew since high school. A friend who lied and hurt you and others. It was a tough decision, but one that needed to be made. They’re no longer the high schoolers who met online and decided to start a band. Things change. What the fuck do you even do if you go from accumulating thousands of views on YouTube to a $15 million record deal and a #1 album in the span of a year?
The world will try to tell you who you are before you get to
Explain yourself, your thoughts, your motives and all of your reasons
Two albums every season, what the hell do y’all believe in?
Who the hell do y’all keep reachin’?
I been down too long, brother
Tell the world, I ain't scared of nothing
Tell the world, I ain't scared of jumping
Tell my boy I want a crib in London
The biggest threat I’m up against is who I face in my reflection
Depression still an uninvited guest I'm always accepting
Can’t help but meet the feeling with a familiar embrace
When I know that it’ll kill me if I give into my brain
Pressure makes me lash back, wish I could get past that
I can't take a step back, makes me wish you'd pass that
Pressure makes me lash back, wish I could get past that
I can't take a step back, makes me wish you'd pass that
Big old whiskey on them icy rocks
Flood down some veins like oxy does
I need fresh air, I need oxygen
Who the hell you fooling? It's so obvious
We were sat outside on the Harvard floor
With our feet in dirt, and our hearts in awe
I be losin' sleep thinkin' 'bout missed calls
And I see the names circling our thoughts
| | https://preview.redd.it/97x32rnzqpx31.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f2086be157b4ad39d3148753a6d7fc2ba7736587 submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments] Thursday Night Football Recap Singles: 1-1 (+1.88u) Nice little win here Parlay: 0-0 (0u) None BBDLS: 0-0 (0u) None SBBDLS: 0-0(0u) None Teasers: 1-0 (+1.38u) This was one of those nights that didnt matter who we chose. Every teaser combo hit, haha. Early Games Kansas City @ Tennessee (+5/+6/+6.5): At the time of writing this, the lines are all over the place. Most were 6 or 6.5, but Draftkings is +5(-108) right now. I think it's safe to assume the many lines are because of the news that Ma-homie looks like a go. Personally I can see this game going three ways. The most obvious is Mahomes comes back, puts up his 31-34 and the Titans play the whole game trying to catch up and backdoor. The next game script I can see happening is Mahomes starts cold. Tennessee takes advantage of the KC running defense, burning clock and keeping homie off the field and somehow pulling a meaningless upset. The third game script I see is the second game script starting the game, but the Chiefs eventually getting in a groove and coming through with a win. This feels like the most likely. My algo actually has this one much closer then I originally would have thought. It has KC winning 27-23. Honestly just based upon how much KC's defense has been gashed by runners and how much the Titans rely on Henry. Who, by the way, averages 72 ypg(13th) and averages an extra yard per carry at home vs. away this year (3.5 away, 4.5 home) I can see Tennessee putting up a strong fight in this one. However when you're handicapping Mahomes, there is always the chance at any point in the game where he just scores on 3 straight possessions. For this reason, even though I am getting the extra 2.5 points you will probably only see me take a side in this game if I have it balanced in multiple plays. I will be looking at a few props in this game. As already stated, Derrick Henry has a good contextual match up. Also, Tyreek Hill just looked great in both games he's been back. That was with Matt Moore at QB. I can imagine he can only look better with PM throwing the ball. On the flip side for TEN, Delanie Walker is out again and this gives a good match up for Jonnu Smith against a Chiefs team that gives up an average 6.4 Rec, 50 yards to TEs this year. If you can find his receptions, the Chiefs have given up 5+ receptions to the TE position in every game except 2 this year. Buffalo @ Cleveland (-3): So this game has the most curious spread. A 6-2 team, catching points, vs. a 2-6 team. The biggest news in this game is Kareem Hunt returning from an eight-game suspension. Buffalo's defense ranks third overall (296.3 yards per game) but was shredded by Philadelphia for 218 rushing yards in Week 8 and gave up more than 100 yards to Washington's Adrian Peterson in week 9. The obvious bet here seems like Buffalo teased. A standard 6 point tease takes you above all the key numbers of 3, 4, 6, 7 and 8. The total is projected low so 9+ points in a game where both teams are projected 21 points or less seems like a slam dunk. However, everywhere I look 70 percent of the money is on BUF and the line is still 3... My algo is usually within 2/3 points of the vegas spreads and with no injuries to reference and 70 percent of the public on the 6-2 team that is GETtIng points against a 2-6 team that just lost last week to a qb playing in his first ever start... this looks like a classic trap spot to fade the public. I dont want to, but i feel like its a MUST to ride the Browns here. Arizona @ Tampa Bay (-4.5/-5): Here we have an interesting clash. Bruce Arians is hosting his former team after the Bucs finished a grueling road schedule that included 19,920 miles of travel and included zero true home games. My algo has this as 26-25 Tampa Bay. What is really interesting about this match up is so far as I can find, anywhere from 67%-80% of the tickets are being written on the Over. Yet the total has gone from 53.5 down to 52 in most spots. If you like to be contrarian to the public, this is a good spot to take the under as long as it doesn't go below 52. (51 and 52 are key numbers in the totals market) Props are a little harder in this match up. The obvious is to look at everyone since its the highest total on the day. However, with the contrarian view of taking the under presenting itself, it makes props a little more dangerous. Based upon the most likely game script (AZ playing from behind) I would give the most EV in props to an AZ WR. Christian Kirk looks to have the most upside here. He is a high volume candidate for targets, which should give him the most opportunity to reach his props totals. Next to him we have Scarry Larry Fitz. He has been low on production recently, but he has a very good matchup this week in the slot vs a TB D that is fairly weak in that part of the field. However, Larry does share looks with fellow slot receiver Pharoh Cooper. NY Giants @ NY Jets (+3): Here we have a battle for the city of NY with two teams that are a combined 3-14 after both dropped games against division rivals last week. My algo has this as Jets -2. The Vegas look ahead lines had Jets -3/3.5 and then they lost to Miami and it totally reversed to NYG -3. I have to think this is a huge public overreaction. They just see a team like the win less Dolphins get their first win, and combine it with the media crap of Darnold seeing ghosts, and then it swings the spread this huge number. What is baffling to me is the total started so low. (41) My algo predicts a game score and then a spread, but it is based upon averages with some variable adjustments. It has this game 23-21. It looks as if the over is climbing but if you can take the over on 44 or less, I would lock it up before it climbs over 44. I have loved the Giants since the TB game, and they have let me down so many times. In this game without two key offensive weapons (Ingram and Shepherd) I feel the lean has to go with the dog and the points. As for props, the Jets have a decent D, a little weak in the secondary vs Slot WR(look at Golden Tate Receptions), but their biggest weakness comes against RBs that can catch. Saquan has been held back rushing the last two weeks but has exploded receiving going 14 catches for 146 yards. I can imagine the work load on Tate and Barkley being much higher than normal with Ingram and Shepherd out and I am also predicting the Giants playing from behind which hopefully leads to more throwing opportunities to both players. Atlanta @ New Orleans (-13.5/-14): Here we have a divisional battle of the top team in this division, vs the worst. For Atlanta, a bye week looks to improve the health of their team. Matt Ryan appears to be ready to go after a few weeks of rest. On paper this looks like an easy saints win. Offensively they have been on fire with Brees and Bridgewater averaging a 101 QBR and completing over 70% of their passes and this week they face a Falcons defense that is one of the worst in the league. They average giving up the 31st worse QBR, 28th worst completion percentage, and 28th worst yards per attempt. They also rarely get to the QB, only recording 7 sacks ALL SEASON. For the Saints, it looks like Kamara is back and at full strength too. For me, the top spot to look in this game is props for ATL. NO is decent at spreading the ball around so knowing who to play for them is a challenge. However, the Falcons only have a few reliable offensive players. Jones, Ridley, Hooper, and Freeman are their key players. Freeman should have a tough day as the Saints run D has been legit. Jones will be matched up with Lattimore on the Saints and he has been on fire holding receivers to under 60% completion percentage and not allowing a TD since week 2. This leave Hooper and Ridley. Hooper gets a ton of looks anyway, and with Sanu off to New England, this leaves a whole to be filled. I feel like Ridley should be able to fill that gap and get extra production. Side note, don't forget, before Ryan went down a few weeks ago, he was having a fantastic year in terms of passing yards averaging over 300 per game. It was just his defense losing games for him. My algo has this as Saints 34-Falcons 23. Baltimore @ Cincinnati (+10.5): Another divisional battle. This one a repeat. Last time the spread was also 10, but the home/away was reversed. Cincinnati covered that game with a final score of 17-23. The only difference from that game to this game is now Cincinnati has home advantage and a different QB. I really don't know how to gauge if a new QB is going to help or hurt Cin. If we look at trends from this season, Cincy should win this game outright! haha.(all the new rookie qbs stepping in have crushed it) Baltimore and Jackson are coming off their biggest win of Jacksons career and next week they are looking forward to a big AFC battle with the Texans. On paper this looks like a Baltimore crush. Even the algo is saying 30-20 Baltimore. But with a new QB and a divisional home game, I dont think I can lay the 11 in a weird spot for Baltimore. However, with Cincy starting a new QB with 0 experience, I dont think I can lay them either. If you really wanted action on this game, my algo is leaning with the Bengals in the first quarter. I think in a divisional game at home, there is a better chance of them coming out and making it a slow first quarter. Detroit @ Chicago (-2.5/-3): This is the Sunday of divisional match ups as again we have another. This one features two teams that probably have no shot in their division. The Bears winning would keep their chances alive since they already have one divisional win vs. Min but both teams are looking like any straw could be the one that breaks the camels back. Trubitky has been shitsky all year long. But if he is going to wake up, the Lions could be the perfect team. Their defense has given up at least 400 yards in five of eight games this season and surrendered at least 20 points in each contest since Week 2 and they have the 30th overall ranked pass D. My algo has this as a 21-20 Chi game based strictly on numbers. However, This just feels like the game where Chicago is going to wake up. My heart is chiming in here to drown out the sounds of my algo and it says that Chi is going to have one of those 31 point games where the defense holds the other team under 17 and they look like the Chicago that everyone was predicting preseason. There is heavy value on the Chicago team total with a feature on Montgomery and Robinson props as the Lions D is just not stopping anyone right now. Afternoon Games Miami @ Indianapolis (-10.5): The first thing to note in this game is as of writing this, it looks like Brissett will be sitting an Hoyer will be starting. I can't imagine too much of an adjustment for this switch. The focus here should be the Indy rushing attack. Miami's run D is near the bottom giving up 150 yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry. While Mack is averaging over 4.2 yards per carry. Still, just like the Bengals game, I find it hard to lay such a big number on the favorite given they have a new QB starting. Conversely I find it rather difficult to take the underdog with the points given Miamis ability to get blown up defensively on any drive and the offense resting on the shoulders of Fitzpatrick bringing the Fitzmagic. For props I would stick with Mack. He should have plenty of opportunity this weekend and a fantastic match up. Carolina @ Green Bay (-4.5/-5): This is one of the match ups I am most curious to see. My algo has this as GB -6.5 but something else is screaming out at me that this is going to be a tougher match up for GB. So far the secret to beating GB has been to work your run game. Well, Carolina has CMC and he is giving himself a fantastic shot a winning the MVP at the rare RB position. I am not set on any plays yet for this game, but currently the model is leaning Carolina and defensive props. LA Rams @ Pittsburgh (+4/+4.5): A very curious one for me. My algo has this closer to a PK with a lean LA because of the bye. If we look at LA, McVay historically has feasted on AFC teams. LA is coming off a bye and seeing the return of Clay Mathews. They will be without Cooks this week, but that only leads me to look at Woods and Cupp for more opportunities. Honestly, I dont like much in this game, but the algo favors LA 1Q and the LA defense to put in some work this week. Those combined have me riding LA overall. Sunday Night Football Minnesota @ Dallas (-3): This should be as easy as Prime Time Kirk with no Adam Thielen, fade. But, if we remember correctly, the last time Dallas faced an above .500 team was week 6 vs. the Packers. Since then they have played the Jets, Philly and the Giants. (losing to the Jets, lol) The Vikings haven't faced much better and honestly these teams are very similar with the Cowboys being a little better offensively, but the Vikings being a little better defensively. Personally on the Prime Time games I think it is best to fade the public. Most likely the public will be on Dallas and the Over (so far almost 2/3 tickets are on Dallas and the over has been pushed from 45 open up to 48 current) This is not a spot where I can back the favorite. However, come game time if the lines get pushed any higher, I will be leaning dog and under. Note: We have approx 38u in Bonus money from Refer-A-Friend Bonus. Not all needs to be used right now. Singles 60-69-2 (+2.06u)
Check the comments tomorrow before noon, I am sure there will be one or two more plays, but for now I am going to switch over to my DFS lineups. Thanks for reading, good luck to all!! :D |
IF YOU KNEW HOW LONG IT TOOKNow, this isn’t a piece of merch for iridescence, but it’s a phrase that seems especially suited for the prevalent themes of dealing with a meteoric rise in popularity in such a short span of time. The group tackles this throughout the entire album, from the short interlude lifted from a Cam’ron interview about knowingly being exploited in an attempt to make it big on LOOPHOLE to the especially biting testimonies from each group member on TONYA. Kevin laments a life different from the one he has, admitting “I deleted Facebook, I’ll trade fame any day/For a quiet Texas place and a barbecue plate.” Dom also expresses his desire for simpler times, admitting “I fantasize about a time when everything was simple/My shelter sheltered me from things I needed to commit to.” Merlyn reveals his insecurities about succeeding in the music industry, admitting his “Daddy said ‘Study or get that cash’/Mommy said ‘Your career ain’t gon last.’” That’s not to say the album is all bleak – there’s moments like the Kevin’s cute tribute to his boyfriend, Jaden Walker, on SOMETHING ABOUT HIM, but at the end of the day, it’s not a happy album. Kevin states it best on the album’s closer, FABRIC:
AND HOW MUCH YOU WOULD HAVE TO GIVE UP,
YOU WOULDN’T WANT TO BE FAMOUS
I can’t sleep like I used toIn many ways, iridescence is a breakup record. It’s a farewell to the SATURATION trilogy and the days of making music in a small home with a single couch, doing nothing but making music and being in the company of those who care about you. It’s an honest acknowledgement that they can’t return to their old life, that they must say goodbye to some freedom from omnipresent scrutiny. It’s a reflection on what it means to part ways with a group member, but most importantly, a friend. A friend that many of them knew since high school. A friend who lied and hurt you and others. It was a tough decision, but one that needed to be made. They’re no longer the high schoolers who met online and decided to start a band. Things change. What the fuck do you even do if you go from accumulating thousands of views on YouTube to a $15 million record deal and a #1 album in the span of a year?
The world will try to tell you who you are before you get to
Explain yourself, your thoughts, your motives and all of your reasons
Two albums every season, what the hell do y’all believe in?
Who the hell do y’all keep reachin’?
I been down too long, brother
Tell the world, I ain't scared of nothing
Tell the world, I ain't scared of jumping
Tell my boy I want a crib in London
The biggest threat I’m up against is who I face in my reflection
Depression still an uninvited guest I'm always accepting
Can’t help but meet the feeling with a familiar embrace
When I know that it’ll kill me if I give into my brain
Pressure makes me lash back, wish I could get past that
I can't take a step back, makes me wish you'd pass that
Pressure makes me lash back, wish I could get past that
I can't take a step back, makes me wish you'd pass that
Big old whiskey on them icy rocks
Flood down some veins like oxy does
I need fresh air, I need oxygen
Who the hell you fooling? It's so obvious
We were sat outside on the Harvard floor
With our feet in dirt, and our hearts in awe
I be losin' sleep thinkin' 'bout missed calls
And I see the names circling our thoughts
The big board at any Vegas sports book is a sight to behold. A slick cross between the New York Stock Exchange and a McDonald’s walk-up menu, the boards are updated moment to moment and bet to bet, giving a sports gambler all the data he needs to make a smart bet. Often times in sports betting you hear the word ‘pick’em.’ Most professional or regular gamblers immediately know what the means. But that is not always the case with novice bettors or ... A sharp, successful, established professional sports bettor. (In terms of Las Vegas sports betting, this has nothing to do with Tony Soprano, Henry Hill & Co.) A wiseguy is a successful and well established sports bettor. Wood The price of a heavy favorite. (If you bet the Red Sox as a minus 240 favorite, you "lay the wood" with the Red Sox.) Glossary of Sports Betting Terms. There’s a fair amount of slang and jargon used in sports betting. It is really useful to understand what these words and ... Lay: The act of accepting a wager – e.g. a bookmaker lays bets to bettors. Laying The Points: The act of placing a point spread wager on the favorite. Craps Strategy - How to Win at Craps. Craps is a game where you can play with a very low house advantage – some of the bets are the best you can make out of all online casino games– but at the same time, craps offers quite a few real “sucker bets” that can do serious harm to your bankroll. However, when you pick up on the best craps strategy you can use the different bets to your benefit.
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Extra place offers in Matched Betting are an amazing addition to your money making tool kit, but they take a bit to get used to. In this tutorial, Chris explains exactly how to bet and profit from ... A step-by-step video tutorial showing you how to place a lay bet (bet against) on BetFair's betting exchange. A lay bet means that you are betting that somet... Back and lay option. New Income Tax Calculation 2020 New Income Tax Rates New Income Tax Slabs Old vs New Tax Slabs - Duration: 8:28. Kritika Yadav Recommended for you. New New to sports betting? If yes then this channel is for you! Many tutorial videos will be added depending on demand starting with the basic terms and lingo used in sports betting. This formula will always give you a part of your money back, even if you predicted all of your games wrong ?! Look how I developed this unique way of sports ...