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Betting Against the Public: Fade Like a Sharp SBD
NCAAF Football - Consensus Picks - October, 2020 Odds Shark
More College Basketball Line Movement Data
My previous post regarding line movement in NCAA Men's Basketball spreads received a lot of great feedback and started some really great conversation. As I continue looking into this type of data I will share all of my results here in order to keep those conversations going or, at the very least, continue providing some interesting information for everyone to explore while we don't have any sports to bet on. The most recent numbers I've studied are college basketball totals. The overall takeaways this time are very similar to those previous:
Movements on a total correctly predict the winning side less than half the time.
No profitable betting strategy can be formulated by using line movements alone.
However, there were some interesting differences between sides and totals that are noteworthy:
In reference to the adage, "The public loves favorites and overs"; Overs are not quite as popular with the "public" as favorites. Totals moved up (in favor of the over) 8.7% more often than down (in favor of the under). Recall that favorites saw an almost 11% bias compared to underdogs.
The totals market is slightly more efficient than the spread market. Total line movements had an overall accuracy of 49.84%, compared to 48.99% for spreads. I explained that fading the market's spread movements would save a bettor over 1,000 units vs tailing. This same strategy for totals would save only 172 units.
I found the first indication of market efficiency in one specific sub-set of data. When a total is bet down (in favor of the under), it correctly predicts an under 50.3% of the time. While still not successful enough to overcome -110 odds, it was pretty cool to uncover that the under is a "sharp" play more often than not.
I presented a theory at the end of this article that smaller markets are more likely to be comprised of a higher percentage of sharp players. College basketball is only ever king of the American betting markets during March and early April. Throughout the entire rest of the season it pales in comparison to the NFL and NBA. I made the assumption that recreational, so-called "five dollar" bettors are much more likely to make their "entertainment only" bets in one of those bigger markets. While it certainly can't be said that every die-hard fan or bettor with a model is a sharp player, I think it's an interesting perspective to have before analyzing those bigger markets. In the meantime, as always, feel free to message me with any thoughts or questions, and stay safe! Full article with graphical representations can be found here: https://gamblingandsubmarines.com/evaluating-line-movement-in-ncaa-basketball-totals/
Shane Battier is the GROAT Greatest Role [player] Of All Time
Role player as defined by Red Auerbach: “For Auerbach, the key was to look beyond individual honors and focus on the team. Specifically, Auerbach and the Celtics are considered to be the first organization to popularize the concept of a “role player.” According to Auerbach, a role player is someone “who willingly undertakes a thankless job that has to be done in order to make the whole package fly.” Auerbach went on to add that the Celtics represent a philosophy that in its simplest form maintains that victory belongs to the team: “Individual honors are nice, but no Celtic has ever gone out of his way to achieve them,” he said. “We have never had the league’s top scorer. In fact, we won seven league championships without placing even one among the league’s top ten scorers. Our pride was never rooted in statistics.””
After his illustrious college career, Shane came into the league as a player expected to be the key go-to scorer, but alongside players like Pau Gasol and Mike Miller, Shane immediately assumed the role required to help the team the most (defense, corner threes, hustle, smarts) and continued it throughout his career. Part of what makes Shane the GROAT was his ability to alter his mindset and role for each game. When nothing more than a defender and rebounder was needed, Shane was there to lock it down; when the team needed someone to step up and score some points or hit a clutch shot, Shane was there to knock it down. What distinguishes Shane from the other great Role Players in history (Dennis Rodman especially, Robery Horry, etc.) was Battier’s on and off court contributions. Shane was a crucial leader in EVERY locker room starting from his rookie year at Memphis, and on the court he would do whatever was asked. This is the X-factor when going against a Dennis Rodman in the “role player” category. Though Dennis is most likely the greatest rebounder the league has seen and an absolute force on defense, he lacked both the locker-room aspect (the “glue” or “lego”) as well as the adaptation to circumstances that Shane brought. Dennis was an all-star and DPOY, but he was not a role player; he was a HOF player who only had one role.
College (yes we’re going there for background info):
Transitioned from young and role player to go-to player for Duke, ultimately setting the record for most wins by a college player ever (broken a couple years ago by Karnowski of Gonzaga, though he won 4 games one season and then redshirted due to injury, so he technically had 5 seasons to beat Shane’s record in 4)
During a championship run and while leading the race for the Naismith, when a professor didn’t show up to class, Shane stepped into that role and taught the class. I mean, talk about versatility and stepping up to the plate. (i read this a few years ago but can’t find any source verifying this; nevertheless, it will stay until i find a source negating it)
Two-time Academic All-American and awarded Academic All-American of the year in 2001
Swept National Player of the Year awards
Duke retires his number 31 jersey.
Grizzlies first term:
Shane is drafted with the #6 overall pick by the Memphis Grizzlies.
Grizzlies went from 23-59 in Battier’s rookie year to 50-32 in his third year, when they made the N.B.A. playoffs, as they did in each of his final three seasons with the team.
Always referred to as the “Glue” of this Memphis team. Ball mainly went through Pau, Mike Miller, James Posey, but Shane was what brought it all together game after game
After Shane leaves, Grizz dive to 22-60, worse than when he first joined.
Rockets:
2006-7, Shane was traded to the Houston Rockets (previous season record was 34-48).
2007-8, Shane messes around with some corner 3s and stellar defense, and the Rockets finish the season with a 52-30 record.
2008-9, Shane puts the team, including an enormous Yao Ming, on his back while single-handedly winning 22 games in a row and finishing the season 55-27….
Though some may say Tracy and Yao (both taking time off for injuries) were primarily behind that 22 game run, I won’t argue, BUT, I will point out that Shane averaged more minutes per game during that stretch than anyone on the team all while guarding the opponents’ main scoring threat.
Only player with access to the Rocket’s highly sophisticated statistical data that they compiled on all opposing players; he used this data to become familiar with the tendencies of the players he would guard in each game.
Shane leaves in February of the 2010-2011 season to join Grizz, Rockets finish that season 43-39 and the following season regress to 34-32 (short season).
The prodigal son returns to the Grizz:
Within months of returning to the promised land, Shane brought the Memphis Grizzlies their FIRST ever post season win in GROAT fashion: a game winning 3 on the road against the Spurs dynasty, leading to an incredible 4-2 series beating the #1 seed.
The Heat:
After sealing the Grizzlies’ historical playoff series, Shane is traded to the Heat who are coming off a disappointing Finals loss due to their lack of one very important arts & crafts suppliy: glue.
Shane overshadows LeBron, Wade, Bosh, & co. in a record 27 consecutive wins in a season by diving for loose balls, hitting corner 3s, boxing out rebounders, and taking a CTE-worthy amount of charges.
Shane’s post-game, pre-Super Bowl speech is credited with sparking the 27 game win streak. No joke.
Also, this run makes Shane the only player to be a part of two 20 game win streaks in the NBA.
Finals 2012 - For his first 3 games of the Finals, Shane shoots 11/15 for 3, setting a record at the time for amount of 3s in the first 3 games of a finals.
Joined Ray Allen as only players at the time to ever make 6 or more threes in 2 separate Finals games
Finishes the Finals with the highest 3-point shooting percentage (57.7%) in NBA Finals history for a player with 15 or more threes. This is a top-5 three point shooting percentages in NBA Finals history when accounting for people with less than 15 made threes.
Playoffs 2013 against the Bulls, after a stat line of 3/1/1 with 1 steal, Shane puts up an unreal plus minus of +42 (the highest plus minus of any playoff game since Jason Terry’s +43 in 2005).
Finals 2013, GAME 7 - Shane Battier “regresses to the mean” after a lackluster playoffs to shoot 6/8 from the three in game 7, a Finals Game 7 record. Yes, Game 7. Shane put that ring on Bron’s finger for the second year in a row.
Additionally, Shane puts up a +12 differential, the highest of any player in the game.
Went to Denny’s after the win instead of a club. Helping out the home town heroes of Miami.
Won the NBA’s “Teammate of the Year” award with 67 first place votes and on 209 ballots overall, making him the runaway winner. Came in 2nd the year prior to Chauncey Billups cause Chaunce was old and people pitied him (probably).
“I think everybody would agree that you could make a case for a lot of guys in the locker room, but Shane, he's the ultimate teammate," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. "Selfless. He'll do whatever it takes. He's a leader. He's playing for his brothers, his teammates, and you can feel it. So it's a great award."
Ran the team NCAA pool every march and the dead man’s pool, the knockout pool in the NFL in the winter. Every group of best buds needs that one friend to work as the league commissioner and keep things running. Without that team camaraderie, no doubt that Heat team would have gone ringless.
Veteran role:
Probably saved dozens of NBA players from bankruptcy:
“whenever a rookie came to our team or a young guy got traded, I gave him the Wall Street Journal’s Primer on Basic Finance. And honestly, most guys don’t know what an interest rate is. Or they don’t know what the Dow Jones is and they’re afraid to ask because it makes them look like an idiot. And so they’d rather just be ignorant and look cool than look silly and ask questions. So I’d say, “Look, I don’t know what your financial background is, just put this on your toilet and every time you’re on the crapper, just read a page. It’s got pictures, it’s got graphs.” It’s a really good primer. You can never be too financially well-educated.”
Career
Shane patented the “blindfold” technique. When the scorer goes to shoot and Shane can’t get a hand on the ball, he uses his hand to cover the shooter’s eyes.
Kevin Durant :"He’s probably the only guy that does it," Durant said. "I’m just used to guys contesting the shot, but putting a hand in your face? That’s different."
Kobe would never admit it cause he’s Kobe, but everyone knows he hated it
Kobe only scored on 34% of iso opportunities against Shane.
Only player to have played on 2 of the 5 teams with longest winning streaks. Both the Rockets and Heat streaks were number 2 at the time.
SIX-time divisional winner of the NBA “Sportsmanship Award”
Listed by Sporting News as seventh smartest athlete amongst 19 other braniacs, #1 basketball player.
In response, Shane responded “Intelligence is an esoteric measurement… I don’t know. I’m smart, but I don’t know about the smartest.” —— please name me one other NBA player or anyone for that matter who would have used the word “esoteric” in his response.
Winner of the NBA Community Assist Award during April of rookie season. Rookie season.
NBA “Teammate of the Year” Award
Personal roles:
Married high school sweetheart, Heidi Ufer, and together they have a son, Zeke, and a daughter, Eloise.
Contacted by the Michigan Democratic Party to run for Senate, but he declined.
Dozens of mentions in the Commercial Appeal (Memphis’ Newspaper) commenting on how Shane could run for Mayor and win handily
Member of the esteemed Washington Speakers
Role in the Community:
The Battier Take Charge Foundation - not only a clever name because of the amount of charges taken throughout his career, the Take Charge Foundation awards four-year $20,000 college scholarships to deserving young leaders from the greater Miami, Houston and Detroit areas.
Has over 16 students in its national scholarship program
Battioke - bringing together dozens of athletes and celebrities, Shane and Heidi lead a kareoke night to raise money for the foundation.
Battioke raised more than $200,000 in 2016
https://takechargefoundation.org/our-students/ - “our students” page of the Take Charge Foundation. Really nice to read the kids’ own words about the impact the program has had on their lives.
Shane Battier stumbled upon a man named Steve’s tailgate one Sunday afternoon, and proceeded to clean the area.
“After the game, he came up to me and asked me where they needed to put the trash,” Steve wrote. “Can you believe that with his millions of dollars he started picking up trash and cleaning the area?”
Serves on multiple boards, such as St Jude and the Memphis Zoo.
Shane changed the way statistics are used in the game, both by management and players; changed the way shots are contested; changed the way teammates handled their newfound fame and fortune; changed communities; and ultimately, Shane changed what it takes to be the GROAT.
He’s probably the No. 1 smartest basketball player and person I’ve been around… He knows everything.”
Joel Anthony on Shane Battier being ranked the #7 Smartest Athlete in 2010 by Sporting News
“That is no surprise. His basketball IQ is off the charts in terms of understanding situations and being able to analyze all the different situations on the court. Even off the court. If there’s like a general question, everybody will look to Shane like, ‘You know the answer to this?’”
“Shane was an alien. I wanted at the end of his career to crack his head open and see if he was really human,” Blue Devil head basketball coach Mike Krzyzewski said of the two-time All-NBA defensive second team selection. “When the storm hits, you want him [Shane] to be the captain of your ship. I love Shane. I’d want him on any team that I ever coach.”
“He is going to go down as one of my favourite team-mates of all time just by being the guy that he is.” - d wade
“I call him Lego,” Daryl Morey says. “When he’s on the court, all the pieces start to fit together. And everything that leads to winning that you can get to through intellect instead of innate ability, Shane excels in. I’ll bet he’s in the hundredth percentile of every category.”
Dan Wetzel : “There’s this public perception that they’re all thugs. But they aren’t. A lot of them are really good guys, and some of them are very, very bright. Kobe’s very bright. LeBron’s very bright. But there’s absolutely never been anything like Shane Battier.”
Erik Spoelstra:
”He was outstanding. There's something about that guy. He has championship DNA. He's got it.”
“The guy has won at every single level - high school, college, pro and that’s not a coincidence. He has something running through those veins that separates him, makes him a little bit different as a champion.”
“Everybody notices Shane when the ball is going in. We notice everything else before that,” Spoelstra said. “His versatility, the defensive plays he makes, the leadership. He allows us to play our roster the way we need to, and we weren’t necessarily able to do that last year. And so now we’re able to play LeBron at several different positions, and the same with Dwyane, and he kind of ties that all together.” (https://www.miamiherald.com/sports/nba/article1940633.html )
The Miami streak -
“It was in the spirit of the Super Bowl – a great game,” Battier said. “In the spirit of teamwork and camaraderie. … We have a saying around this club, ‘Touching the people.’ I was giving the people a soulful touch. It’s metaphorical. It’s very Zen-like.”
Udonis Haslem on Shane’s speech sparking the 27 game win streak:
“Just touch the people,” forward Udonis Haslem said. “People want to be touched. Sometimes it’s going to be uncomfortable. Sometimes they might get carried away. But touch the people. The fans. And enjoy these moments, because they’re going to come to an end some day.” “That just brought us closer,” Haslem said. “We were never separated. We’ve always been connected as a group. But I think, definitely, doing things off the court only helps the relationships on the court.”
Ray Allen:
“He’s a big part of everything we do here,” Allen said of Battier. “Without guys like that, it’s hard to put together streaks like this, where you have consistency and habits and selflessness out there on the floor. He’s one of those guys who does the intangible things, so yeah, he does have a big part in it.”
Quotes from Shane -
"I will miss the feeling of the butterflies before the game, when I know I have to guard Carmelo Anthony, and guard a Kevin Durant, and guard a Kobe Bryant...There's nothing in my life that will ever, ever replicate that feeling. So I try to enjoy it as much as I could. It's not a good feeling. It's not. It's not. But it makes you feel alive."
Comments about David Green, a graduate of University of Florida through the Take Charge Foundation.
“He was a former member of a gang, but had shown a love for robotics and academia, and was able to tell the people in his environment, ‘Look, I have huge aspirations,’ ” Battier says. “Not only did he graduate, but he graduated with honors and now works in Silicon Valley for a tech firm.
When asked about his jersey retired at Duke:
“You know Art I never started out for individual accolades. Never. It was always about how can I help my team win games? I learned that from my dad. He was my Little League coach and football coach. He was never my basketball coach, but he always said be the best teammate that you can be. Help them win games. That is what it is all about. I have had an unbelievable run in basketball. A lot of individual accolades are a direct result of having my team have success. So when I got my jersey retired at Duke it was a huge honor. You look up in the rafters and you see my heroes. Grant Hill, Bobby Hurley, Christian Laettner and Danny Ferry. They are just unbelievable college basketball players. I almost have to pinch myself and say that is somebody else. That is another Battier. That is not me. It is so surreal when I walk into Cameron Indoor Stadium”
Shane on Kobe: 1)
”The average possession of the Los Angeles Lakers in 2008 generated 0.98 points per possession, 0.98. So you took the average possession of the Lakers. They were going to score 0.98 points every time they had a possession. And so Kobe Bryant only shot the left-handed pull up jumper at a 44 percent clip. So every time that he went left and shot that pull-up jumper he was generating 0.88 points per possession. Well that’s a tenth of a point less than the average Laker possession. And so if I could make him do that time and time again which is a lot tougher to do than to say, I’m shaving off a tenth of a point every single time."
2)
”There was nothing like trying to guard Kobe in his prime. Watching him, I had a lot of nostalgia of the battles. And he used to be such a jerk to me. The fact that it was even insinuated that I even had somewhat of a chance to guard him, it was the most insulting thing to Kobe. So he was the biggest jerk to me. Like I’m out there spreading all these things about I’m the Kobe Stopper, I can guard him, and he just used to be the biggest jerk. Never speak to me. He’d hit my shoulder as I walked by, like he was trying to put me in my place.
I’m like, “Kobe, give it a rest. I don’t care.” I always tried to play up how slow I was and how unathletic I was, that I was just lucky that Kobe missed some shots. When it came to Kobe, it was a lot of false humility because I knew that would drive him even crazier. That was my version of being passive-aggressive towards Kobe, so he was trying to impose his will on me and I was trying to undermine him by being super passive. It was like the best psychological game of all time, and only he and I were in on the joke."
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournamen
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournamen
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournamen
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the pojected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournamen
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the pojected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team. MM means the NCAA tournament NT means the NIT tournament CT means the CIT tournament CB means the CBI tournament
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually provided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
NOTE: KP refers to Ken Pomeroy of kenpom.com. The column "KP %" is Ken Pomeroy's probability of his projected winner winning straight up. "M %" is Massey's probability of the projected winner winning straight up. "JS" is Jeff Sagarin's projected winner and by how much. In the Covers.com preview links, projected scores are usually rovided for the big name teams. All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST). Spreads are linked to thespread.com to show line movement and public percentages; the AWAY teams are in red and the HOME teams are in blue. The chart can be directly copied and pasted into an excel file and then sorted however you like. N means the game is on neutral court. - means the game is not on neurtral court. SH means the game is semi-home for the HOME team.
Our betting trends, also known as public betting percentages, represent actual wagers placed at our seven contributing sportsbooks. We take you behind the lines and show you where and how the action is coming in on every game. Monitoring public betting data is a vital tool used by sharp bettors to find value within the sports betting marketplace. Our betting trends, also known as public betting percentages, represent actual wagers. A large money percentage indicates a higher likelihood that pros are betting on this side. Monitoring public betting data is a vital tool used by sharp bettors to find value within the sports betting marketplace. These "betting percentages" represent actual wagers placed on each game at the participating sportsbooks. This data is delayed 30 mins. Click on the linear graph feature located on the right-hand side to view stats over a 24-hr period. The information is intended to give bettors a deeper understanding of the sports marketplace. Sports Marketplace See who the betting public is on with the latest (to the minute!) NFL consensus data. Win %, Spread, Total & Moneyline! This is just the raw data, if you want to learn my expert betting tips & strategies, signup for my winning Free NFL Picks.Get all my Guaranteed picks when you purchase a NFL football package. The data includes betting percentages for each side of the point spread (or run-line/puck-line), moneyline, and total (also known as the Over/Under known. Find out how to read lines , visit our FAQ page , or if you’re interested in mobile wagering, visit our online sports betting section to find out where you can get the best available ...
Bob Akmens Sports: Making Money Betting Sports - Part 2 of 3
This video is only to highlight math, I don't encourage gambling or sports betting. Source of problem: Su, Francis E., et al. "Sure Betting on Different Beli... WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips 10,965 views 57:04 Ask the Experts: Tips When Betting Weeks 1-3 in the NFL and College Football - Duration: 9:56. If you have watched my previous videos, you will have seen me say the only way you stand a chance at sports betting is to have a mathematical model. The prob... These combinations that range from one game to five games have one winning slip(ticket) in them. This technique of how to bet on football games will make mon... All of this is public knowledge - and not the usual smoke and mirrors you see. 99% of the time in this business guys toot their own horn (which usually is full of baloney). ... This is the second ...
