| | 55 boulevard Robert-Schuman submitted by Eki75 to DupontDeLigonnes [link] [comments] A disturbing disappearanceNantes, boulevard Schuman, Wednesday April 13, 2011, eight days earlier. The shutters on 55 have been closed for several days. To the right of the front door, in an empty space framed by two hooks that supported a mailbox, a piece of white paper is fixed to the wall with an orange-colored tape. A typed message: “Return all mail to senders. Thank you.” Local residents have already noted these two abnormalities. Accustomed to walking past a house with shutters always open, this message intended for the postman seems very strange to them.Located north of Nantes, this bourgeois house is adjoined with numbers 57 on its right and 53 on its left by three of its sides: facade, walls, and garden. It is in the heart of the residential district of Breil-Barberie, a rather lively area with many passing people day and night. Along Boulevard Schuman, imposing gates conceal beautiful wooded properties. In this spring of 2011, many small local shops are open – a hair salon, a sewing store, a bar where locals bet on horse races - there is a certain sweetness of life here. At night, the scene changes under the very windows of 55: prostitutes, essentially of African origin, roam the sidewalks, looking for customers. Sometimes, this nocturnal “animation” degenerates into uproar. On the neighboring Boulevard des Américains, Agnès Dupont de Ligonnès’ car, a Golf convertible, attracts the attention of a neighbor. The vehicle has not moved for several days, which is unusual. She testified to French radio station, RTL: “The house was closed and there was this inscription on the mailbox, ‘return to senders,’ which had intrigued me. [...] I always hoped that this house would reopen, but that didn’t happen. On Wednesday [the 13th], the postman came by, and I said to him, ‘It’s not worth putting mail at the neighbors at 55. The mailbox is closed.’ He said to me, ‘Really? I’m not surprised. They haven’t paid the recommandés (a special tax which guarantees mail delivery) for a while.’ It bothered me. I had a really bad feeling deep inside... I didn’t know why, but it made me anxious. I called the police.” https://preview.redd.it/zc9u2hq8fwd51.jpg?width=1024&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e7ac0ec64551f08d0ca33b7b0b34d319b260555c Agnès de Ligonnès abandoned car This April 13, surprising information circulates in the neighborhood and fuels conversations. Persistent rumors come back from La Perverie-Sacré-Coeur, Anne and Benoît Dupont de Ligonnès’ school located on rue de la Perverie, a little east of boulevard Schuman. Since April 4, no one at the middle school or high school had seen them. Teachers and classmates are worried about them. One of them, who had loaned his iPod to Benoît, tried to reach him by phone in order to get it back, but there was no answer. Other friends passed in front of 55 only to find the door is closed. As for the Blanche-de-Castille Catholic school complex where Agnès works, the news is hardly more reassuring: the family has apparently left in a hurry... for Australia. A letter of departure for the United StatesFour days earlier, Saturday, April 9, a member of Agnès’ family called the police to alert them to the receipt of a very peculiar and rather alarming letter. Suffice to say the interlocutor is not taken seriously by the police station.This person, however trustworthy, reiterates his concern the following Monday, April 11 with the Nantes magistrates. The reaction in the prosecutor’s office at TGI (Tribunal de Grande Instance) of Nantes is extremely cautious. The family member is told that the Dupont de Ligonnès couple is of age, so there is no reason to worry so much. The content of this letter, authored by Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès, is far from commonplace: Nantes, April 8. Hi everyone! Mega surprise: we left for the USA in an emergency, under very special conditions. It will no longer be possible for us to communicate with you otherwise (no emails, SMS, or telephone) for a few years due to security reasons.He said he was an American spy recruited by the DEA (Drug Enforcement Administration) and infiltrated the world of French nightclubs to recover information on drug trafficking and money laundering. And continues: With the information I have collected for seven years, I have become an essential witness in a future trial involving senior officials in the international drug trade.According to him, this risky mission had become complicated: For some time, there were indications that I had been spotted... The situation therefore became dangerous for us here and necessitated taking emergency measures.He then details “the federal witness protection program, from which he and his family benefit since they are already on American soil, transferred under a new identity, which must obviously remain secret,” and insists: The official version is that we were transferred to Australia for professional reasons without further details. It would be good to circulate this false information on Facebook and other networks. [...] They tell us that it will be possible, in a certain time, to send you information by mail: we have chosen Emmanuel [Xavier’s best friend, Ed.] as the centralizer because he has the advantage of knowing just about everyone. He will receive the letters to communicate to you. He will receive instructions in due course.“The house key is hidden outside in the EDF counter, which opens with anything (car key, screwdriver, knife),” adds Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès, alias XDDL, to allow his relatives to carry out the tasks he entrusts to them. The father of the family indeed gives instructions to everyone: sell certain furniture and cars, organize the inventory of fixtures before May 31… These are all elements that are not carefully examined by the investigators at that time. The main message, though it is extraordinarily bizarre, is pretty clear: the father of the family says he is a spy in danger. Thanks to the American government, he was able to shelter his family in the United States. The letter ends thus: We will have so much to tell you later! The hard part will be getting used to our new names! The \"Letter to Nine\" sent by XDDL By Wednesday, April 13, the police are already aware of this letter. They met with the director of La Perverie in the morning, who informed them of the letter they received that announced a departure after an emergency transfer to Australia - the “official version therefore.” The manager of the Pizza Tempo pizzeria, a few meters from the family home, indicates that he too received a handwritten letter dated April 4, signed by Arthur, the eldest son and a casual employee in his business. In his letter, the young man says he can no longer “continue to perform his duties.” He “submits his resignation and renounces all compensation and any salary… following the transfer of his father to Australia.” This must be the reason why Arthur did not come to collect his pay as he usually did every month. The announcement of this sudden departure on the other side of the world leaves the manager perplexed. This feeling is widely shared by the professional and personal entourage of the family. This accumulation of testimony prompted investigators to search the unoccupied house at 55 boulevard Schuman for the first time. The visit takes place that day at 2:45 p.m. Brigadier-in-Chief, Michel M., notes that the shutters are closed. He calls on the fire brigade to enter the house. The residence is well ventilated. The electricity is still working. The accommodation is still furnished. Upstairs, the presence of suitcases suggests a hasty departure. Nothing else to report. A second police visit is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. on Friday, April 15, 2011. Brigadier-in-Chief Michel B. arrives at the entrance to 55. He contacts one of the neighbors, Dr. Alain P., and asks to pass through his adjoining garden in order to reach that of the Dupont de Ligonnès by means of a ladder. From the back of the house, the policeman walks on the yard, crosses it, access the terrace, and then enters the kitchen. On a buffet, they find medical equipment, car keys, and registration cards. The latter correspond to those of a Citroën Xantia and a Golf. The policeman also comes across a hand-scribbled note: Sorry, we didn’t have time to bring the bags of shoes to the Red Cross. It’s not far. Just put them next to the garment containers. See attached map. The state of the home seemed to support the story of a speedy departure. There is also a Finaref bank document and underneath a key a post-it that reads: “Keys to the cellar.” The investigator seizes the key and goes down to visit this place under the terrace. During this second visit, like the previous one, nothing seemed abnormal. The investigation continues, and it will see a clear evolution in the following hours. Around 5 p.m., the Nantes public prosecutor’s office asked the police to investigate the Family Allowance Fund and wished to know the geolocation of the Dupont de Ligonnès couple’s mobile phones. Also, the two names of Xavier and Agnès Dupont de Ligonnès are entered in the National Register of wanted persons. At the same time, a Nantes police officer takes his phone and calls the two cellphones belonging to Agnès and Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès. Each time, the investigator finds the calls go straight to voicemail without ringing. On the two lines, the policeman leaves a message with his name, his rank, his contact details, as well as the reason for his call, requesting to be contacted as soon as possible. Shortly before 6 p.m., the investigators are once again informed of the “American track” by a couple of Nantes friends, Raymond and Nathalie K., who are also recipients of the “confidential” letter written by Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès. Mrs. K. takes the initiative to call the police. She understands that her friends have gone abroad and wants to reassure the police... who do not need any additional information, they already know the exact content of this letter. On Saturday, April 16, 2011, at 10:30 a.m., Nathalie K. was nevertheless summoned and heard by the police. She explains, this time orally, that she received this letter on April 9. Then she revealed being a friend of the Dupont de Ligonnès family. She has not seen Agnès since March 29. A detail: her son Philippe, also a friend of Thomas Dupont de Ligonnès, chatted last Sunday (April 10) on the porch of 55 with a friend of XDDL named Emmanuel. She describes the man as also upset by the sudden departure of the whole family from abroad. At the end of this interview, the police proceed in sequence: they first meet one of Xavier’s sisters, Christine Dupont de Ligonnès, as well as his mother, Geneviève, who share an apartment in Versailles. They ask for confirmation that this letter has been received. After a period of so-called “emotional” wait time, they respond in the affirmative. This letter is also accompanied by a personalized note signed by Xavier. The police then call the other sister of XDDL: Véronique. She is in the Republic of Congo, where she lives part of the year. She does not believe in the contents of this mailing at all, but she does not show concern. Among the other recipients of the letter is a key person, whom the investigators summon to their office: Emmanuel T., appointed by Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès himself as the “centralizer.” The interview is directed by Anne-Sophie R., the same policewoman who will be the impetus for the discovery of the bodies on April 21. The testimony of the missing father’s best friend is rich in new information. He explains that he discovered this famous mail in the mailbox of his Nantes home, placed in an unstamped envelope, on Saturday, April 9 around noon. “Yes, I believed this letter… or more precisely, in hindsight, wanted to believe it,” admits Emmanuel. This missive is also accompanied by two small personalized notes signed Xavier. On the first, we read affectionate words... and precise instructions: My old friend, we are going to spend time (for the first time in 37 years) a few years without seeing each other or calling or writing back and forth: it’s going to be weird! Will have to get used to it! I’ll let you take care of a small “administrative” part, once Cédric has done the “manual” part. Everyone has their own domain! LOL. There may be no deposit to recover because the rent for April will surely not be taken. We have withdrawn the max on Agnès’ account before leaving. As for the files in progress (debts that you know about, no more worries. Everything will fall into the water…) LOL Stay there until I come back. I need you. I was not in Savoy this week, but in Paris with the Americans. I came home at night, and we only had one day to pack up and start emptying the house! Hot! Warn Ben that we will not come to make the baptism of shooting planned on the 9. I kiss you very hard. Xav.Then a second note: Emmanuel, here are the different files. […] Thank you for taking care of all of this [the termination of various subscriptions and the return of medical equipment used by Agnès for sleep apnea, Ed]. When Cédric and his friends have emptied the house, could you find a cleaning lady? I have left 50 euros in an envelope to pay for it. It is not a matter of cleaning thoroughly but of vacuuming each room.Emmanuel T. goes immediately to 55 on Saturday, April 9, and notes that the sets of keys to the house are not yet deposited in the hiding place indicated by Xavier in his letter. In the utility meter box, a new handwritten note mentions that the keys will be placed there overnight. On Sunday, April 10 at 5 p.m., Emmanuel T. returns to the scene. The keys to the house are there. They are accompanied by another note, this time type-written: “Some keys do not work well. You have to wiggle them to open the door. Always leave a set of keys in the hiding place so that others can enter.” He meets Nathalie K.’s son, Philippe, in front of the house, and they chat for a few seconds. Emmanuel then explains to the police: “I entered the house, but I was afraid of a family drama. His DEA story seemed unimaginable to me. I inspected the house. I didn’t see any damage.” Then he adds: “I returned on Monday, April 11 with Cédric M. I had just got the note that Xavier sent me, asking me to get a housekeeper and ensure the inventory of fixtures. […] I had a house key. I had other keys to my home that I did not want to leave in the EDF meter.” Sunday, April 17, 2011. Investigators spread their investigations in all directions. Thus, a decision was made to contact the Urssaf (the French distribution system for Social Security benefits); the medical community was also contacted on this day to find out if members of the family could have been the subject of any psychiatric consultations. In another arm of the investigation, two requisitions are ordered from a telephone company to list all the terminals activated by the mobile phones of Xavier and Agnès Dupont de Ligonnès since April 1. Monday, April 18. The news of the family’s disappearance begins to spread in the city of Nantes, even if the news of the day is more marked by a completely different matter: the arrests of a sect of Saint-Brévin guru and his partner, indicted for rape and sexual assault during a meeting with two of their disciples. Local journalists are starting to take a closer look at the Dupont de Ligonnès family. They are conducting the very first neighborhood interviews. Meanwhile, the police have been investigating all of the family’s financial movements since April 3, questioning each of the banking establishments where the accounts are open. A gun in inheritanceAt noon, Mathieu Fohlen, deputy public prosecutor, orders the Nantes judicial police to carry out a new visit to 55. They are charged with retrieving photographs of the family members and, above all, a gun! Investigators know now that Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès has a weapon. It is a Unique brand 22 semi-automatic long rifle, which he inherited from his father, who died less than three months previously on January 20, 2011.This third search lasts an hour and a quarter, between 4:30 p.m. and 5:45 p.m. very precisely. It takes place with the same neighbor doctor as a witness. But, this time, the investigators do not need to call the firemen to enter the house: Emmanuel T., Xavier’s friend, gave them a set of keys. Two policewomen, Nathalie P. and Anne-Sophie R., carry out meticulous inspection work. Each detail could be crucial. Everything is documented and video-recorded with precision: garbage bags full of shoes, an empty fridge, the presence of a few jars of jam, a tidy dishwasher… On the kitchen floor, they note the presence of a still damp mop and a bottle of cleansing agent placed on the table next to the cellar key. They notice that a map of France is taped to a wall. Cities are circled with felt-tip pen: La Rochelle, Nice, Tarbes, Pau, Auxerre, Aix, Perpignan. A bottle of Ajax, three-quarters full, is noted on the kitchen counter. In the living room, an intact chess set sits on a trunk acting as a table. On the sofas, three guitars are stored in their cases. Empty photo frames are scattered on the ground. The two women go up to the second floor. In the master bedroom, two single beds devoid of sheets are pushed together. A collection of music occupies a large part of the room. In the other bedrooms, the mattresses are also bare - no more sheets or quilts. They notice the presence of a brownish spot on the mattress of one of the children’s beds. The inspectors backtrack and return to a detail already noted in the kitchen. They state: “The mop is wet with cleanser.” A mop that is still damp is noted in the kitchen during the third search of the house They then head out onto the terrace and descend into the yard. “The ground is dirt. Let’s go back to the terrace where we have to bend in half to access the cellar where boxes are stored.” These twenty boxes are filled with bundles of “Crystal” scratch tickets from Xavier’s business. This third visit does not fulfill its objective: we still have no news of the missing family, and the police have found neither photos nor weapons. Tuesday April 19, 2011. A new interview of Emmanuel T., around is scheduled for 11 a.m. The latter came to return the last 55 key that he had in his possession- he handed over two more the previous weekend. Cédric M. also has two. A total of five keys will therefore be entered into evidence. Then, in answering the investigators’ questions, Emmanuel T. made a disturbing revelation: “During our visit to Xavier’s, Monday, April 11 between 4 and 4:30 p.m., Cédric and I went out in the yard. I took a half-opened bottle of Frontignan from the fridge and poured a glass of it, which I left on the terrace table. Cédric told me that he had forgotten his cigarettes.” What an amazing vision of two friends smoking and drinking only a few meters above the two graves where the bodies will be discovered! Also on April 19, the police gathered elements relating to the family’s heritage. Research is being done to find out if Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès has a boat location along the Erdre River in Nantes. Information is taken from the harbor office of Nantes Métropole. The police have, for the first time, access to the list of the family’s bank accounts, which has just been sent to them. Xavier, personally or professionally, and Agnès have opened numerous accounts in several establishments. And they’re all in the red right now… The two Labradors of the Dupont de Ligonnès family did not escape the investigators either. Research is being carried out to find out whether the Humane Society has recently taken charge of two new dogs. But they come to nothing: no trace of Jules and Léon, even in the smallest kennel of the Nantes region. The triggerWednesday, April 20, 2011. The family has been actively sought for a week now, and the Nantes press is putting pressure on the floor of the TGI of Nantes. To respond to journalists’ requests, Xavier Ronsin, prosecutor, decides to schedule a press conference at the courthouse for 10:30 a.m. the next day.But what will the he be able to say in concrete terms? Can he make public the various letters received and present the proposed scenarios, including that of a spy of French nationality working on behalf the US government in the context of international drug trafficking exfiltrated by the United States to a federal witness protection program? One can imagine how perplexing this must have been for the prosecutor. Within the TGI, we understand that it is especially important to highlight the investigation, mainly within the house. Thus, a fourth home visit is made. This time, it takes place at 10 a.m. in the presence of a magistrate, Mathieu Fohlen. He is accompanied by some investigators from the PJ, including Anne-Sophie R., who has already entered the home twice. Despite the precise description made two days earlier on April 18, they decided to start again from scratch. What did the magistrate and the police note on April 20? “The general appearance of the house gives the impression of a hasty departure.” They discover a Fichet brand safe key. Several objects and documents are placed under seal, including papers linked to other telephone subscriptions. In the dishwasher, there are six large and three small plates, cups, and bowls. Everything is clean. The presence of a three-quarter full bottle of a yellow Ajax brand cleanser is noted in the kitchen as is a red cleaning bucket on the ground containing flexible broom that is still wet. On the refrigerator, there is a telephone number scribbled of someone named D., located in Spain. On the table is a big, old-looking key to the cellar. The decision was made to sweep the kitchen with Crimescope and Bluestar. These two products are often used in criminal cases to detect traces of blood. The Crimescope is a powerful projector capable of producing very pure lights of varying colors. It is used in grazing white light to look for fibers or hair or, in blue light projected perpendicular on the ground, for traces of DNA (blood, sperm, saliva...). Bluestar, on the other hand, reveals traces of blood that has been washed, erased, or invisible to the naked eye, but it does not alter the DNA of the blood revealed. The Bluestar reacts positively on the entire tiled kitchen floor, on the broom, and inside the bucket. For the investigators, this reaction should be taken with caution because the Bluestar occasionally gives a false positive. On a light wooden chair and on a table leg, ten brownish stains, which appear to have been wiped off and could be blood, are also noted. They have an average diameter of half a centimeter. On a mattress, in one of the bedrooms, a very old blood stain, dry and odorless, is also noted – probably from a nosebleed. Room after room, the police collect as much information as possible: toothbrushes and razors from the bathroom are placed under seal along with a glass found on a dresser in a bedroom. Investigators are now able to identify the names of the occupants of the five bedrooms. On the first floor, the bedroom opposite the narrow staircase is that of Arthur; the one on the right, next to the bathroom, is occupied by Anne. On the second floor, the room opposite the staircase is attributed to Thomas; the one on the right, to Benoît. The last is the parents’ bedroom. The investigators ended their search by searching one of the couple’s cars, which was parked nearby. In the glove compartment, they find the trace of an old bank document concerning Arthur, but this paper does not present anything of interest. On the other hand, the attention of the investigators focuses on the father’s professional life. They learn that he manages a company, SelRef, based in Pornic, a coastal town 30 miles from Nantes. On site, they go to the obvious: the company appears to be no more than a post office box, and yet Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès, they discover, has not set foot at this address since 2003 or 2004. As for the company’s mail, it has been redirected to 55 boulevard Schuman. Interviews of relatives are also scheduled, including that of Raymond K., the husband of Nathalie K., already heard on April 16. But nothing particularly important emerges from this mid-afternoon interview. A few minutes later, at around 4:40 p.m., however, significant information reached the police: the requested report of bank transactions pointed to purchases and expenses made by Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès over the past few days. This information from the banks delivers vital clues: one of the bank cards was used recently to purchase trash bags, adhesive tape, quick cement, and lime. These purchases were made in multiple stores in the suburbs of Nantes. In addition, a card was used to pay a hotel bill in Vaucluse on April 13, and a cash withdrawal of 30 euros was made in the Var, on April 14. On April 20, the Nantes prosecutor announces the opening of an investigation for a “disturbing disappearance.” Then, a new home visit is scheduled for the 21st. These purchases are disturbing, especially that of lime. It is this last element that will trigger excavations under the terrace because the police know that quicklime is often used for the burial of corpses… Beginning of criminal investigationNantes police station, Thursday April 21, 11:50 a.m.At the very moment when the forensics team in white coats are busy digging up the first body - and avoiding the contamination of the “frozen” - their colleagues from the judicial branch continue their investigations. Since 10:30 a.m., they are no longer working on a disappearance, but on a crime. All the steps are taken precisely and methodically. They immediately interviewed Cédric M., a friend of Xavier’s, a recipient of one of the seven letters sent to relatives, and who entered inside the house ten days earlier with Emmanuel. A garage owner in Morbihan, Cédric very simply recounts what he did on April 11 around 4 p.m. He made the complete tour of Xavier’s house while Emmanuel did not want to go upstairs. He did indeed forget a pack of cigarettes on a table and confirms that Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès had asked him to empty the house. Then Cédric M., quite spontaneously, threw to the investigators that upon arriving to the station, he heard on Radio France and on RTL that bones had been found in the garden. For him, it is just sensationalist media: “People eat up this crap! They must have been bones that the dogs buried...” Even if research is now launched all over the region, the Nantes police are concentrating on interviewing “key witnesses.” They want to collect as many pieces of the criminal puzzle as they can. All bank traces received the day before are carefully analyzed. Agnès’ account cards also: a purchase on April 5 at 8 p.m. at a Carrefour Market route de Vannes; a withdrawal of 300 euros on April 7at 4:24 p.m., and a card payment in the amount of 166 euros on April 12 at 6:44 p.m. at the Auberge de Cassagne in Pontet in the Vaucluse. These scattered elements arrive en masse at the Nantes police station shortly before noon on April 21, just as the extraction of the first body is taking place under the terrace of 55. Emmanuel T., the best friend of the father who cannot be found, is interviewed a third time. This 51-year-old Dunkerquois without a professional occupation worked until 2009 as a sales manager in industrial cuisine with the Great West company. He knew Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès since the age of 13 or 14 in 1974. With Xavier and another mutual friend, Michel R., who lives near Montpellier, they left for the United States together in the 1980s. Emmanuel T. insisted on the United States, and in particular on Florida, a state that attracted Xavier enormously. Then, answering the questions, he recalls without going into much detail the extramarital affairs that his friend had confided to him. He reveals that Xavier had affairs with two women named Catherine, one living in Ile-de-France, the other in Savoy. Then, he confirms that Xavier had just received a letter from the court and asked if it was possible to redirect his mail to Emmanuel’s home, which he agreed to. During the discussion with the investigators, Emmanuel T., whom we imagine is disturbed by this new interview, remembers: “Xavier told me without joking that with the financial difficulties he encountered he could envision “taking the whole family into a definitive solution.” Emmanuel knows his friend’s financial difficulties. He knows that Xavier owes a lot of money and is unable to repay. Emmanuel says he has already loaned him between 5,000 and 6,000 euros himself. Then, he adds this last disturbing element: just like Michel R., their mutual friend, he received an email with the photo of the Statue of Liberty in the United States with no other indication than this one: “We permanently cease all communication.” Friday April 22, 2011. Who better than his best friends to know Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès? On this day of the autopsy of the bodies, around 11 a.m., the investigators received a call from Michel R., another one of the recipients of Xavier’s letter referring to his departure for the United States. Michel R. is not just a simple collaborator of Xavier within La Route des Commercieaux, one of his activities; he is a close friend with whom the wanted father shared many good times. They have known each other for over thirty years. Michel R. spontaneously explains to the investigators that he spoke with his friend, Xavier, on April 7. He also sent photos on the 5th, dating from a trip they had made together in the United States in the 1980s. He indicated that like Emmanuel T., he had recently received via the Internet a photo of the Statue of Liberty accompanied by this note: “We are definitively ceasing all communication.” Then Michel R. in turn confirms that his friend Xavier is a highly intelligent man. Thus, he considers that during his descent into the South, his friend must have voluntarily used the bank card to locate him, while he had taken care to no longer use the Internet, his cell phone, nor those of his family. The police know that Michel R. and Emmanuel T. have spoken on the phone many times since they received Xavier’s letter of departure. Armed with this information, Emmanuel T. was heard again at the beginning of the afternoon. The objective of the investigators is to deepen certain points, in particular on a weapon in Xavier’s possession. They get the confirmation. “Yes, he inherited from his father a 22 long rifle. Xavier used this weapon to shoot target-practice at a balloon in his back yard. In order to avoid making noise and not to annoy the neighbors, Xavier had purchased a silencer.” The investigation confirms this: Xavier was shooting at the Jonelière stand in Nantes with his best friend Emmanuel. “The last time I saw him was at the shooting range on April 1 around 6 to 6.30 p.m., and with Agnès, it was March 11 at the Nantes restaurant, La Belle Équipe.” The police are convinced of this: Emmanuel T. knows a lot… They continue the investigation by organizing a search of his home. It takes place between noon and 2 p.m., rue Lavoisière. The neighbors did not fail to notice this police presence. The investigators go directly to the third floor and thoroughly search the F2 apartment where Emmanuel T. resides. They also opened his personal safe, which contained a small wad of bills, his shooting license, and personal papers. They learned that Emmanuel T. owns a 357 Magnum Smith & Wesson revolver. The police will leave with a laptop and a mini-pc under their arm, but also with a file seized from the trunk of his Renault Laguna. This file, forty-four sheets thick, belongs to one of Xavier’s “conquests.” “It was Xavier who asked me to keep this document, which I did,” explains Emmanuel, upset, thinking about his 30-year-old friendship with his mate, Xavier. “I can imagine everything: suicide, hit man…” In this file, confidential documents reveal the existence of a financial conflict between Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès and one of his mistresses. On April 22, interviews are increasing in Nantes, but also throughout the region. Everyone wants to bring their piece to the puzzle taking shape around this complex matter. Elements, more or less verifiable, are provided on all subjects. Here are four examples, among the dozens of testimonies that have been collected:
The police send all this information and considerations, however surprising they may be, to the TGI of Nantes in charge of sorting them out. On April 23, Xavier Ronsin again appeared before the press and declared “We can now speak of a methodical execution of Agnès Dupont de Ligonnès and her four children. Research has established that Xavier Dupont de Ligonnès had recently inherited a rifle from his father. The pursuit of his investigation and his testimony are obviously essential to precisely determine the causes of these five deaths.” Source1 Source2 |
| Party | House | Senate |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats | Coalition Majority | Coalition Majority |
| Republicans | Coalition Majority | GOP Majority |
| Bull Moose | Coalition Majority | Coalition Majority |
| Socialists | Coalition Majority | Coalition Majority |
| Race | Democrat Analysis | Republican Analysis | Bull Moose Analysis | Socialist Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC-Sen | [insert competence here] Soc | I'm not entirely sure what came over Dewey when he called for the murder of billionaires, tried to declare war on Russia, impeach two SCOTUS justices, and fund Republican insanity care; maybe he was trying to lose? He debated very well and called Gunnz out but never came up with an effective defence for his more controversial actions which the former Speaker rightly pounced on. A slow day 3 for Gunnz might represent a failed opportunity to put this one away but I think in stunningly close fashion he'll emerge as the victor. Lean GOP | God I hate this new calculator. Gunnz, a decent campaigner but a less-than-decent legislator, managed to overcome a 15 (!!) point deficit to keep this race close. After hammering Dewey in debates on a stupid soundbite versus the actual issues, a quantity-over-quality debate performance (see a pattern?) could tip this race to the GOP. However, Dewey has been known to win nailbiters in the Northeast, so I'm going with my gut and calling Lean Soc. | Dewey and Gunnz both campaigned hard, but in the end, it looks as if Dewey's campaign events were overall higher quality, as was his debates. Even if the MoE was against him last time, then debates brought him higher either way. Lean Soc |
| AC-1 | [insert competence here] BMP | Initial polling no doubt gave the sitting Speaker cause to worry as he faced the man almost single-handedly responsible for the GOP's AC Assembly win. However, as he often does, he rallied hard and vigorously outcampaigned his surprisingly inactive opponent. By the final day the race was no longer competitive. He'll buck the trend of Speakers losing their seats and will cruise to a comfortable but not too comfortable win. Likely BMP | Shitmemery was running scared after seeing initial polling, which is why he didn't fall victim to a huge no-campaign debuff. Luckily, a devastatingly strong campaign coupled with an inactive opponent allowed him to come from behind and run up a high score. Solid BMP. | House launched a solid campaign, for somebody new to the sim going up against the speaker of the house, it was an impressive run, with the race being somewhat close at times. However, House and the BMP pulled ahead in the end, for a cozy 10 point lead in the previous poll. Solid BMP |
| AC-2 | [insert competence here] Soc | The former Republican lightning rod of controversy continued his unusual style of campaigning, including some bewildering debate responses. But he worked extremely hard just like his opponent to keep one of the closest races in a historically bouncy election close as can be. The debate will give Pacman the narrowest win of the evening. Lean GOP | New York just can't seem to shake PGF. Despite a completely uninteligible debate from both sides, PGF's sheer quantity of events should overcome the questionable quality enough in order to give him the win. Lean Soc. | PGF and Pacman were made for each other. This race was a very close one, with polling showing either candidate winning at times, never a large difference. I believe that maybe PGF has the slight edge, but it really is a tossup. Lean Soc |
| AC-3 | [insert competence here] Dem | Two largely inactive campaigners battled it out in a nice and respectful campaign, showing that politics doesn't need to be nasty. The playbook was standard with them both mustering the time to put out 4 events each on the final day, all of mostly respectable quality. The nice guy battle will end in a GOP win, just because I'm biased and Lynx had a small edge (52%) going into the final day. Lean GOP | After a few terms on the list, Speaker_Lynx seems poised to come back to Congress with his old constituency to represent once more. Polling always tilted towards the GOP, and coupled with a rather anemic opposition from the incumbent Dem, Lynx should cruise to an easy five-point win. Likely GOP | This is a close race, but polling and the debates have shown that GOP have the definite edge here. Lean GOP |
| CH-Sen | [insert competence here] BMP | I appreciate how friendly and cordial this race was. One of the most moderate Republicans faced off with an equally moderate Bull Moose, such that they had little disagreements with one another in the debate. Brain brought his A game and worked overtime not only for himself but even managed to sneak in some events for others. Srajar did all he could against my predecessor as Chairman and slowly ate into Brain's lead as he turned on the jets. This one will be close folks, but as the results come in I suspect the BMP will get their second Senator. Lean BMP | Hey Prelate: SUCK IT! I had a whole line of attack planned for this race painting srajar as someone who hops from office to office without getting anything done, but turns out I didn't need it because Brain started with a 20 point lead. While Srajar did a lot to narrow the gap, Brain finished strong with a pounding debate response and should bring Chesapeake's other Senate seat home for the BMP. Likely BMP | Srajar is a strong candidate, but so is Brain. Srajar seems to have accepted his loss come the senate debates, when he gave shorter and less answers than Brain did. It was in that moment Brain won the race without beyond a shadow of a doubt. Solid BMP |
| CH-1 | [insert competence here] GOP | The "Republican of the Month" famous for winning Flash his first ever race (that he promptly resigned and gave to p17r) probably expected to keep his head down and ride to a win with that same work ethic. He brought it, but unfortunately for him ran into RJM3AH who went blow for blow with him and outcampaigned him on the last 2 days by one event. A hard race to call but p17's slight polling lead coupled with higher quality events gives him the edge. Lean GOP | p17r, despite having me debunk 90% of the sources he listed as not actually being related to porn as a health threat, decided to copy-paste the same laundry list of sources into the Chesapeake debate thread. I love quality debates! p17r was an active Assemblyman and polling supports that he will come out on top. RJM kept the margins close with a quality campaign but unfortunately that likely won't be enough to bridge the gap. Lean GOP | p17r polled consistently better, and in my opinion had a better debate performance. It's for this reason that they have the slight edge. Lean GOP |
| CH-2 | [insert competence here] BMP | I like history, so two former Chesapeake Senators battling for a House seat is neat, especially since it was the same seat that Kbelica took after Prussian was banned. In a tremendous disappointment, what started out as a close contest wasn't by the end. Kbelica's disappearance after day 2 and no-show on the debate stage blew an eminently winnable race. Safe BMP | Kbelica decided not to run for Senate due to trouble staying active, but instead decided to run for House where he still has trouble staying active. An anemic campaign from the GOP turned a marginal seat into an easy cleanup by Kaiser. Likely BMP | Similar to the above analysis. Prussian has polled better, but not only that, Kbelica seems to have completely forgotten to show up to the debate. I would be surprised if Kbelica won, especially under this new calculator. Likely BMP |
| CH-3 | [insert competence here] Dem | Dixian turned Chesapeaker Froggy started with a large polling lead but was playing catch up to Cdocwra before he knew it. A critical no-show on day 3 and being outcampaigned on day 4 will be just enough to carry Froggy to victory in a race he very well could have lost. With two of the highest energy BMP campaigners (Brain/Kaiser) in the state routinely helping others, one wonders why they never diverted resources to this race? Was it because Cdocwra was the lone Democrat running in CH? We may never know. Lean GOP | ModelUSGov's favorite Brit manages to stave off another GOP opponent, with this race being much closer than the last. Quality events (sadly no singing this time) and a dominating debate will let this race stay in the D column. Lean Dem | Cdoc takes this. He had a consistently better campaign, higher quality campaign answers, and gave just as good debate answers as Froggy. He should take this. Likely Dem |
| DX-Sen | [insert competence here] Soc | In contrast to LN Senate, this was my turn to be disappointingly shocked as I was convinced Dexter was bulletproof. But Cold, with the full might of the coalition behind him and his record as a prolific bill author, seemingly did the impossible and made Dexter look human. He campaigned hard and unleashed a torrent of activity that would've swallowed almost anyone. I think Dexter had the better events in the end and a dominating debate performance that will give him the heart attack of his life as he inches out a win. Lean GOP | Two of the most active legislators in the sim duked it out in the most entertaining spit-swapping makeout match of the cycle. I don't know who deserves the seat more, but neither of them deserve to lose. I predict that, after an early edge and a strong debate, Cold will bring this one home for the Socialists. Lean Soc | This is a close one, it pitted two polar opposite, active, party leaders against one another. The race started with Cold in the lead, and the Socs defended their lead throughout the entire race. The debate period was heated, and I think that Cold won it handedly. Remember, Dixie was once a GOP stronghold, I think that this race further shows GOP weakness in Dixie and that the DX senate seat is going to be a better shade of red this election. If I were Prelate, I would be concerned about reelection next federal. Lean Soc |
| DX-1 | [insert competence here] Dem | The leader of the Republicans in the Dixie Assembly started out behind and was never able to mount any semblance of an effective or involved campaign. His fellow Assemblyman BNG took no chances and kicked this dead horse until there was nothing left. A no-show on the final day for BNG won't be nearly enough for Tajec, even if he had managed to debate. Safe DEM | BNG Continues his streak of carrying the Dixiecrats with another resounding win. The GOP rightfully didn't even try to contest what is likely the safest Dem seat outside of GL. Safe Dem | No question about it, this one is obvious. Borednerdygamer is one of the Democrat’s best campaigners, and he opened with a massive amount of personal state mods but also had the coalition bump as well. With other races being far close, it seems the GOP didn’t bother with DX1, resulting in a definite win for BNG. Solid Dem |
| DX-2 | [insert competence here] GOP | Ever see Clash of the Titans? If you say you have and didn't follow this campaign you're lying. Two giants of Republican and Bull Moose politics gave it everything they had and put on one of the most impressive duels in sim history. If you wanna know how to campaign and/or debate, this race should be your gospel. Flam's slow but steady approach and rising polling will carry him to a win but Allen shouldn't be disappointed, he would've crushed virtually any other player in the sim. Lean GOP | Allen started with a solid lead but got whittled down hard by the GOP's most likely candidate for Minority Leader. Only in Dobs' America, folks. This'll be another nailbiter, but I think Allen will have staved off Flam when the dust has settled. Lean BMP | If we were using the old system, I would say lean BMP. Jamawoman, the current BMP chair, put up a strong campaign, and it was obvious that the BMP put through the maximum effort required to win this seat. That being said, the GOP showed up too. Flam is the Minority Whip of the House and a sitting member of the RNC. Flam campaigned and debated well. I think that the BMP will gain this seat, but with a new election system, I cannot be sure. Toss-up (Lean BMP) |
| DX-3 | [insert competence here] Soc | I think this is the race that woke everyone up to how different these elections were. Dr0ne dropped 29 points in one day (!!), the largest polling change ever recorded in the history of sim elections. The race became very tight with both sides waging what seemed like a personal war against one another. I want to personally thank Centrist for his remark about rigging elections, we sure made a mountain out of that molehill. At the end of the day, this one is too close to call. Toss-up | While the Socialists didn't have a dynamo as capable as Cold campaigning this time around, this race went a little under the GOP's radar despite a day one lead. The Socialists picked up the slack and rebounded, so this race is Likely Soc | This is one of the Socialist’s original House seats, and it is one that Party Secretary Cold did not want to lose as it was his seat. Without knowing the true nature of the current system, the GOP gained the lead on day 1; however, they were out campaigning every day after. The Socialists will retain this district, and the future looks bright for Dixie Socialists. Lean Soc |
| DX-4 | [insert competence here] GOP | Poor Frosty just can't catch a break. Going from a heartbreaking loss to blockdenied to a battle against a hardworking and thoroughly competent campaign run by someone I've never heard of before; where did he come from? APG put his nose to the grindstone and outcampaigned Frosty 3 days out of 4. Will he inflict the next heartbreaking loss to Frosty? Unfortunately for Chris I can't predict that he wins, but fortunately for him I can't predict that he loses either. Toss-up | It's okay, Jarl, 1 in 4 American men have trouble finishing. While this race won't be the 10-point wipe that constitued the last Governor's race, Jarl will still come up a bit short on votes after being outcampaigned by an eager APG. Lean BMP | Again, with the new system, it is quite unclear to me how this race is going to go. Both candidates put forth the same amount of effort in both events and debating resulting in a close race. I personally think that the GOP will ultimately win this seat, but again, with this new system, I cannot be sure. Toss-up Lean GOP |
| LN-Sen | [insert competence here] Dem | I, and probably everyone else who doesn't have a dial tone where their brain should be, was convinced the somehow PPT was a dead man walking. Coming off a landslide loss for Lincoln Governor that must have snapped him out of it, he worked tirelessly to hold a GOP seat in our worst state. Slowly but surely he ate into Sam's lead until he was the one ahead in the final poll. Sam had a better debate performance that I think will pull this race back to even. Amazingly, what I would've bet the house was Safe not GOP 10 days ago is a Toss-up | I HATE THIS CALCULATOR I HATE THIS CALCULATOR I HATE THIS CALCULATOR I HATE THIS CALCULATOR. Sorry, lost it for a second there. This race shouldn't have been anywhere near close. DDYT campaigned poorly after six months of sitting on his thumb on the Senate floor. But here we are. Lean Dem because I think I might genuinely quit the sim if this race goes red. | DDYT is the incumbent, imo had better campaign events, and had only ever so slightly worse debate performance. It's not certain by any means, but I think he has the edge Lean GOP |
| LN-1 | [insert competence here] Dem | A race featuring one of two only active Libertarians of the election is just as close as the polling suggests. Kingmaker (who apparently abandoned Dixie to go to Lincoln, a move as head-scratching as West Berliners defecting to the East) worked hard and outcampaigned Tucklet on 3 out of 4 days, building a small polling lead that I just don't think Tucklet did enough to overcome. It'll be close, but King will eke out a win. Lean Dem | Poor Tucklett can't catch a break, but I really have no sympathy for him. The only winnable race for the GOP in GL was swept away by a subpar campaign, which is strangely emerging as a trend from the party largely seen as the best campaigners. Lean GOP | Tucklet put up a strong campaign for someone banned from the sim for quite a long time, but I think kingmaker overall has the better campaign, and in a state like Great Lakes, it would be near impossible for a republican to win. Lean Dem |
| LN-2 | [insert competence here] Dem | Top started with a big lead and then decided to play prevent defence and count on it to save him. Unfortunately, Kyle didn't take advantage of the gift-wrapped opportunity and was similarly absent. His fairly inactive campaign won't come close to taking down Top, who rallied late when it appeared he might be in a bit of trouble. The only interesting thing about this race is questioning why the Libertarian polling consistently at 0% decided to do 2 events on the last day. Likely Dem | There's really nothing interesting to report here. A stellar Dem candidate curbstomped the Republicans. Wish I could've typed this 17 more times. Solid Dem | This one isn't close, Kyle stands no chance and TopProspect put on a good campaign, not being challenged by a serious opponent like Tucklet. This combined with party mods is a solid win. Solid Dem |
| LN-3 | [insert competence here] Dem | Remarkably similar to LN-2, the last Democratic Speaker of the House started with a nice lead and perhaps playing the old campaign playbook took it easy. His opponent didn't take advantage just like Kyle and gave Ben the time to alter his strategy and run an effective and high-energy campaign on the last two days. He'll win by a safe margin and this does down as another one the GOP probably shouldn't have, but could've won. Safe Dem | There's really nothing interesting to report here. A stellar Dem candidate curbstomped the Republicans. Wish I could've typed this 16 more times. Solid Dem | Exact same analysis as GL-2, in all honesty. Solid Dem |
| LN-4 | [insert competence here] Soc | Tiger, amazingly for a Libertarian, actually put in effort and ran a respectable campaign. Not nearly enough to win, but when your fellow party members were mostly off picking their nose, it's a low bar to clear. The race ebbed and flowed between the two real competitors and while I think csgo had better event, he was outworked on all 4 days. The very small polling lead of fox will be just enough to pull him across the finish line. Lean SOC | Despite choking hard on Day One, the Socialists weren't discouraged and continued to chip away at the Republicans in the most sparsely populated district in the contiguous US. Once CSGO started going, he couldn't be caught by the GOP. Likely Soc | Bottled_Fox led a good campaign, and put out more events than csgofan, most of them being of similar quality. In the debates bottled_fox performed solidly, and it would be somewhat of a shock if he lost, especially with the difference of the event count and the emphasis the new calculator has put on that. Likely Soc |
| SR-Sen | [insert competence here] Dem | I have never seen two candidates who both wanted to win as badly as Zairn and Ibney, I'm not kidding when I say someone should watch them when results start coming in. Both exhaustively prepared for their rematch and didn't disappoint, dumping literal walls of text on each other in debates and authoring entire codes of legislation in the lead up. A critical day 3 error by Ibney made this race way closer than it needed to be but I think in the end he wins this round of Zairn v Ibney. His unique campaign coupled with specific and pointed critiques of his opponent in the debates will be just enough. Lean GOP | There are waaaaay too many close races this election cycle. Did you know that over 50% of House races in America have a margin of over 10%? Why can't we get that here? This race is truly going to come down to whether or not the graders prefer Yu-Gi-Oh or Ouran High School Host Club. If I had to call it though, I would give it to Ibney. Much like Dixie, though, both of these candidates would make stellar, active Senators. Lean GOP | As much as I want to say that Zairn will win, this race is without a doubt a tossup. This rematch between Ibney and Zairn pitted the two proud weebs against each other once again. Zairn easily defeated Ibney in a YuGiOh match, but will that translate into an election win? The only thing that we can be sure of with this race is that both candidates are men of high culture and taste, and Ibney has good taste in anime as evidenced by his spoof of Ouran HighSchool Host Club’s opening. (Toss-up) |
| SR-1 | [insert competence here] GOP | A beyond weird race that featured huge polling swings (Prog dropped 28 points in one day) and a complete lack of activity. Maybe the Socialists couldn't have won even if they tried, but running a literal paper candidate didn't even have the effect of distracting Prog who responded with only slightly more energy. I can't begin to fathom why the Vice-President showed up at the last minute to help someone who was I guess too busy in MHOC and AustraliaSim. If Prog loses this, we should all nuke the sim. Safe GOP | The Sierra GOP really bucked the nationwide trend, and good for them! The Socialists didn't seem to try very hard here, and the SRGOP took no chances when it came to posting event after event. For now, Sierra shall remain a beacon of free market politics. Solid GOP | As much as it pains me, AMN did not show up to campaign or debate. The new election system gave the socialists some sense of false hope as they jumped in the polls to put the race into a dead heat; however, by not showing up to debate, AMN all be conceded the election. Hopefully in future elections, these polling discrepancies will be corrected. Solid GOP |
| SR-2 | [insert competence here] GOP | In the debates BOOM asked Cuba if he was deceased, Zairn hilariously said what we were all thinking and replied that it was a valid question. Cuba was nowhere to be found and for what it's worth BOOM could've been running against a basketball with a smiley face drawn on and faced a tougher challenge. Why Hurricane bothered to do two events for him is beyond me but it represented a waste of resources on a candidate that invesigators are still determining if he ever existed. Safe GOP | Only in a simulation could you have a starklky-red California, but here we are. BOOM didn't have the best campaign, but he had pretty decent mods and an inactive opponent. That combo is enough for him to rack up a big margin on election night. Safe GOP | As what happened in SR1, a candidate did not show up to campaign or debate. Boom was already a strong incumbent in the race, but by not campaigning much and not debating, the Democratic candidate all but conceded the race to the GOP. If the Zairn loses his race, the once Democratic stronghold is in danger of becoming a new Republican land, Sierra will be an interesting state to watch next state elections as I am sure the Republicans will put in every effort to win in the state. Solid GOP |
| SR-3 | [insert competence here] Dem | Panda had the lead and never looked back, slightly increasing it each time and racking up points in the Sim equivalent of NFL garbage time. Doing 5 events for all 4 days against an inactive opponent might seem crazy but it's always good to be careful I suppose. He'll easily win PresentSale's old district. Oh yeah, PS was here and despite a debate question about himself, didn't show up. Maybe he was recording a very long episode of Heartland? Safe DEM | A rare spot of blue in an otherwise red wave in Sierra. Panda campaigned harder than any other Democrat in his state, and luckily for him managed to run in the district that is the chink in the GOP's armor. More events and a stronger debate performance will easily send this race to the Dem column. Likely Dem | This is the only safe Democratic spot in the race. The GOP did not invest enough into this race early resulting in an early lead for SirPandaMaster. Both candidates gave comparable debate performances, but the incumbent Democratic looks safe to win this race. Lean Dem |
| SR-4 | [insert competence here] GOP | Give Astr0 some credit. He had a huge polling lead and didn't entirely sit on it, always managing to at least show up. When the former Sierra Governor who was removed from office did tighten the race with a surge in the last few days, Astr0 didn't shy away and messaged me endlessly about his campaign. He adjusted his strategy, met the challenge, and will sit as the Representative of America's by far least populous district. Maybe he'll be able to see Russian rocket launches from his house? Likely GOP | Astro is probably the best designer the GOP has, but as the past has shown that doesn't always lead to a good campaign. However, this election Astro was able to run away with posters alone and secure the bag for his Party. While it is not his preferred district of SR-2, a seat is a seat and he'll take it fine either way. The Democrats made a decent comeback towards the end of the campaign, but unfortunately for them it won't be enough for a majority. Likely GOP | The GOP had the lead early and kept it throughout the race. Bandicoot, Astro, is one of the GOP’s best campaigners, and it showed in the race. Despite efforts by the Vice President, I do not see the GOP losing this one. Lean GOP |

AUSTRALIA'S #1 HORSE RACING PLACE BETTING TIPS Genuine, Consistent, Verifiable & FREE Sunday, October 11 Midweek tips click here "Haven't found any other tipster that's consistent as you!" Rob Berto, Varsity Lakes Qld.. Subscribe to our free Saturday Late Mail newsletter (You can unsubscribe anytime) 1st December, 2011 Betting the Top Rated only: Rules, No Maiden Races, or 2 years Olds. 17 races. 6 winners. Pinjarra, 4 races, 1 winner $12.70, placed $3.30, and the other 3 races all were placed. Speed map/race shape — are my horses suited? This is the most important factor, but is the last task you should undertake, the final arbiter to bet or not. 3. I wanted to find out whether a horse racing betting system using Racing Post Ratings Improvers could be profitable.. I have read a number of articles in which the authors have questioned the usefulness of Racing Post Ratings to punters, some have suggested that they a barely worth the paper that they are written on. Here is a collection of free racing systems that have either been sent, come across, or found. Some of the systems found have been originated overseas, and so have been adapted to Australian horse racing conditions. Unless otherwise stated, bet level stakes for the win on each selection.
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